Chinamans Hat/Mokolii Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up – the next couple of weeks are a bit of a write-off for a proper surf at this spot. We've got one break on the radar, Chinamans Hat/Mokolii, but the conditions are just not playing ball. The water temp is sitting at a very typical 79°, which feels normal for this time of year.

Things kick off on Friday afternoon, the 3rd of July, with a 6 ft swell from the ENE, but that’s coming with a stiff 16 mph cross-onshore wind. The period is a short, weak 8 seconds, and the combined energy is in the moderate range at 376. It’s gonna be choppy and bumpy, to be honest.

Saturday the 4th into Sunday the 5th is more of the same: 6 ft to 6 ft ENE swell with that nagging cross-on breeze. The period drops to a sloppy 7 seconds over the weekend, so the waves will be weak and messy.

Monday the 6th sees a bit more size, pushing 7 ft to 7 ft, and the energy bumps up to a solid 544, but the wind kicks up to 19 mph. It's going to be a lumpy mess – frankly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Too blown out and short-period to be any fun on a log or a shortboard.

We’ve got a solid two-week stretch of this. From the 7th of July all the way through to the 18th of July, the swell hangs around between 4 ft and 7 ft, but it's constantly from the ENE, which is the cross-on direction for this spot. The wind never really lets up, staying cross-on or cross-shore. The period stays stubbornly at 6 to 8 seconds for the whole run, so you're getting short, weak, wind-affected lumps. The combined energy fluctuates between 173 and 497, which is weak to moderate at best.

This break is already inconsistent, so with these poor conditions across the board, there isn't a single standout day in the entire 16-day window. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. Keep the board in the car and your eyes on the forecast – it can’t stay like this forever.

Rusty.

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