Surf Forecasts:
Caves Point surf forecast from 3 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 4AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 9s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 7AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 9s period, S swell with 230 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 1PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 10s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caves Point this week:
The surf forecast for Caves Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 1PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caves Point in the next 16 days are 1.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 10PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1PM (Thu 6th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 4AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caves Point over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
The first few days of this outlook are a bit of a write-off, with tiny swell and poor conditions. We’re looking at a dry spell from now through the 7th of August, with nothing really worth paddling out for. The action doesn’t really start to build until the 8th, and then we’ve got a real mixed bag.
The standout window is the morning of Saturday the 8th. It’s not huge, but it’s clean. Caves Point is looking at a 4ft S swell with a 9-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 216. What makes this one special is the glass conditions – zero wind, clean as a whistle. For a point break like this, that’s a dream. The wind is offshore from the NNW, and the swell direction from the S is right in the sweet spot. Expect a few others out, but with that clarity, it’ll be worth the fight.
The next real highlight is the morning of Tuesday the 11th. The swell jumps up to 4ft from the S, with a nice 11-second period, giving it some real grunt. The combined energy is strong at 392. The wind is a light NNW cross-off, keeping the face clean. This is a proper groundswell pulse, and for a point break, that longer period will wrap in beautifully. Not as glassy as the 8th, but a bigger, more powerful wave.
After that, things get weird. The 14th and 15th of August see a massive spike in swell, but it’s a problem. We’re looking at 12ft to 15ft S swell – that’s a lot of water. The combined energy readings are monstrous (3812, 7533). This is way too big for Caves Point, even for the experienced crew. The wind is cross-shore, making it messy. Honestly, this looks more like a kiteboarding setup than a paddle surf session.
The 17th of August finally brings it back into the realm of the possible. The morning has a 10ft SE swell, with a 10-second period. The combined energy is still very strong at 1522. The wind is a light N cross-off, keeping it clean. This is excellent surf, but only for experienced surfers – that size is no joke. It’s the only real window for the big-wave hunters in the second week.
Water temps are about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the NW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | E 11 | E 10 | E 9 | SSE 12 | E 8 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 127 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 27 | 12 | 65 | 106 | 55 | 88 | 86 | 194 | 74 | 21 | 50 | 71 | 73 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross-on | off | cross-off | on | off | off | on | cross-off | off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:18PM1.26m | 11:58AM1.20m | 00:04AM1.15m | 12:47PM1.22m | 00:59AM1.02m | 1:45PM1.23m | 2:08AM0.91m | 2:54PM1.26m | 3:35AM0.85m | 4:09PM1.31m | 5:07AM0.85m | 5:20PM1.39m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:43AM0.19m | 6:08PM0.34m | 6:24AM0.25m | 7:11PM0.37m | 7:11AM0.31m | 8:25PM0.39m | 8:07AM0.36m | 9:49PM0.36m | 9:13AM0.38m | 11:12PM0.29m | 10:24AM0.37m | 00:19AM0.19m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:15 | — | — | 5:16 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:17 | — | — | 5:19 | — | — | 5:20 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 19 | 19 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | ESE 7 | SSW 6 | ESE 7 | E 10 | E 9 | SSW 4 | S 5 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 127 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 65 | 106 | 55 | 88 | 86 | 194 | 74 | 21 | 50 | 71 | 73 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 19 | SE 10 | ESE 7 | S 5 | SSW 5 | SSW 5 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 10 | SSE 10 | E 10 | SSE 4 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | S 7 | SSE 8 | S 8 |
| kJ | 7 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 17 | 55 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 8 | 13 | 10 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | S 5 | SSE 10 | E 11 | SE 7 | S 10 | SSE 12 | S 8 | SSE 12 | E 16 | E 9 | E 17 | E 10 | E 16 | SE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | E 14 | SSW 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 11 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 6 | 30 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | — | — | SSW 3 | W 3 | — | W 3 | — | — | NNW 2 | WNW 2 | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NNW 2 | NW 3 | SW 3 |
| kJ | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 8 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 98 | 187 | 0 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 73 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 52 | 13 | 13 | 25 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caves Point Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caves Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caves Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caves Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caves Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caves Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caves Point is 8 km (5 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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