Little Avalon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking pretty bleak for Little Avalon over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, and unfortunately, the first week and a half is a write-off. The swell is tiny, the winds are messy, and the surf just isn't showing up. Don’t bother checking it until we get to Thursday the 20th.

Let’s start with the real kicker. For the first seven days, from Thursday the 13th right through to Wednesday the 19th, it’s flat. We’re looking at waves barely pushing 1 ft to 1.0 ft. That’s ankle-snapper territory with a combined wave energy reading of only 17 to 35 (weak). The wind is a mix of cross and cross-onshore from the SE and ESE, which just throws a little chop on top of nothing. There’s nothing to even bother paddling for.

Now, come Thursday the 20th, there’s a tiny glimmer. We finally get a morning with glassy conditions – that’s a great sign – but the swell is still only 3 ft from the ESE at a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is 87 (still weak). It’s surfable, but it’s "very ordinary conditions". You might get a few bumpy ones, but I wouldn’t plan a trip around it.

We’ve got another little pulse on Saturday the 22nd. The morning sees a clean 4 ft swell from the NE with a moderate cross-offshore wind from the W. The energy picks up to 141 (moderate). By the afternoon, the wind goes fully offshore from the WSW at 12 mph, which will clean it right up. The swell stays at 4 ft from the NE with a period of 8 seconds. This is probably your best bet of the whole run, but it’s still only scoring a 1 out of 10 for quality. It’s "surfable but ordinary". The water temp is about 63°, which is 1° cooler than normal for this time of year, so not unusual; a spring suit is fine.

Sunday the 23rd offers a similar setup. Afternoon offshore winds from the SW at 12 mph over a 3 ft swell from the ENE at a 10-second period. The energy is 120 (moderate), and it’ll be clean with the moderate offshore wind. Again, it’s ordinary but ridable.

From Monday the 24th all the way through to Friday the 28th, it fades right back out. We’re back down to 1 ft to 2 ft swells with weak energy readings of 15 to 49. The wind is mostly clean but the swell is just too small to do anything.

Honestly, for Little Avalon, it’s a stretch. The setup on Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd afternoons is the best you’ll get, but even then, it’s just "very ordinary". For a break that needs a good swell direction from the NE to work, and is exposed to it, we just aren’t getting the energy. This kind of flat run is more normal for the area during this part of the year, so don’t let it get you down.

Keep an eye on it. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.

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