Little Avalon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about Little Avalon. This reef setup is a consistent, advanced-level wave that normally likes a NE swell, but we’re staring down a pretty grim 16-day window. There’s no standout session in the whole run, so I’m not going to lie to you – it’s a tough stretch. The first real chance to even get a board in the water with decent conditions looks to be on Wednesday morning, September 2nd.

We’re looking at a long stretch of really weak surf. The combined swell energy is mostly in the double digits, only occasionally nudging into the weak 40s or 60s (92 on the 30th of August, but that’s with a poor cross wind). The swell is tiny, barely breaking 2 ft with the few exceptions of a 3 ft to 4 ft spike, but that comes with onshore winds or short, weak periods. The water temp is about 64°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 30th of August has a tiny 2 ft SE swell and a cross breeze – not worth the paddle. Monday and Tuesday are flat with glassy or light wind, but the swell is only 1 ft. It’s a total dud.

Then we get to Wednesday, September 2nd. This is the best the whole forecast has to offer. The morning is clear with a light WNW cross-offshore breeze at 10 mph. The swell is a pathetic 1 ft from the ENE at 10 seconds, and the combined energy is only 48 – weak. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions,” and I’d give it a 1 out of 10. It’s clean, but it’s a knee-high dribbler. The afternoon is even lighter with a cross-offshore breeze, but still just 1 ft. If you are desperate for a paddle, this is the only window. The long period (10-11 seconds) means the sets will be a bit more defined, but at this size, it’s barely a ripple.

After that, it’s a desert. Thursday and Friday are flat with glassy conditions, but the swell is 1 ft or less. The weekend of the 5th and 6th of September shows a slight bump to 3 ft-4 ft NE swell, but it’s short period (4-5 seconds) and accompanied by strong onshore winds or a fresh cross-offshore breeze that’s too strong for the tiny waves. The 7th and 8th are back to tiny, weak swell with onshore wind. The whole second week is a total wash – the combined energy rarely hits 40, and the swell stays under 2 ft, mostly with onshore winds. There’s a moment on the 11th of September with glassy conditions and a 2 ft ENE swell, but the period is only 8 seconds and the energy is 40 – still poor.

Honestly, for a break that is “very consistent,” this is a brutal run. The setup is more interesting for a kayak than a surfboard. Keep your board in the car, but don’t be surprised if you don’t get wet.

Rusty.

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