Little Avalon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll level with you – the next 16 days for Little Avalon are a proper grind. There’s a long dry spell at the start with basically nothing worth paddling out for, so don’t get your hopes up early.

We’ve got a gap from now all the way through to the end of July and into the first few days of August with barely a ripple. Most of that time is flat or tiny, with a few scraps of 0.3ft to 0.7ft swell that aren’t going to do a thing. The wind is clean on and off, but there’s just no energy in the water. The combined swell energy sits at single digits or low teens – proper weak stuff (9 to 7). It’s a quiet period and you’d be better off checking the forecast again later.

The first real sign of life shows up on Sunday afternoon, 2nd August. A 6ft SE swell rolls in with a period of 12 seconds and the combined energy jumps to 771 (moderate to strong). That’s a meaty pulse, but the wind is onshore from the NE at 12 mph, so it’s going to be messy. This is a reef break for advanced surfers only – anything over 5ft gets serious, and this is right on that edge. Not the best conditions, but it’s the first pulse of the run.

Monday, 3rd August, looks better. The morning has a 4ft SE swell, 10-second period, with light NW cross-shore winds at 6 mph. The energy is moderate (282). By Monday afternoon, the wind drops to glassy – NE at 3 mph – and the swell holds at 3ft from the SE, 9-second period. That’s surfable, but very ordinary. The combined energy is 178 (weak to moderate). It’s clean, but the waves are just average.

Then we hit another dry patch. From Tuesday, 4th August through to Thursday, 7th August, it’s tiny again – 0.7ft to 1ft – with some clean windows but no push. The combined energy sits in the teens or twenties (18 to 29). Not worth suiting up.

Friday morning, 7th August, offers a glimmer. A 4ft E swell, 6-second period – that’s short period, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and weak. The combined energy is 111 (weak to moderate). But the wind is glassy from the south at 3 mph, so it’ll be clean. Still, it’s a beach-and-reef setup with that short period, and the waves will be ordinary. The afternoon sees it drop off.

From Saturday, 8th August, through to the end of the forecast, the swell picks up a bit but the wind is all wrong. Most of the time it’s onshore from the NE, ENE, or NNE, with speeds from 6 to 19 mph. The swell heights range from 2ft to 6ft, and the combined energy gets into the 100s to 400s (moderate to strong). But with onshore wind, it’s going to be blown out. The 10th of August Monday morning has a 6ft NE swell, 7-second period, and 466 energy, but it’s onshore at 9 mph. The 13th of August Thursday morning has a 2ft E swell, 14-second period, with light cross-onshore winds at 6 mph – that long period (14 secs) suggests groundswell, but it’s tiny and the wind is wrong. Not worth a dedicated trip.

The standout? Honestly, there isn’t one. The best chance is Monday afternoon, 3rd August, with 3ft SE swell, glassy wind, and clean conditions. It’s the only window where the stars align even a little. The water temp is 65°F, about normal for this time of year, so no need to worry about a wetsuit.

If you’re a kite surfer, the afternoon of 2nd August with that 6ft swell and strong onshore wind might be more your speed than paddle surfing.

That’s it from me. Stay patient. The surf will come back.

Rusty.

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