Little Avalon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, lookin’ at the charts for Little Avalon. Truth be told, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. For a spot that’s a consistent, advanced reef break, we’re gonna be starvin’ for a wave for the better part of a fortnight. The first solid recommendation doesn’t kick in until late in the game, so be prepared for a long, flat spell.

Right now, we’re in a period of next-to-nothing. From Wednesday 2nd September through to Wednesday 16th September, the swell is tiny—mostly around 1.0ft to 3ft, with short, weak periods (5 to 10 seconds). The combined wave energy is pitiful, often in the single digits or low double digits (e.g., 54, 44, 27). The wind is a mixed bag—some glassy mornings, some cross-off breezes—but there’s simply no swell to work with. The water’s sitting at 64°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no thermals needed.

There’s a small spike of energy on Thursday 10th September morning, with a 2ft, 8-second swell and a clean cross-off breeze, but it’s still only “surfable” at best—nothin’ to get excited about.

The only real standout in this whole 16-day window is Friday 11th September morning. The swell jumps to 6ft from the ESE, with an 8-second period. The combined energy is a solid 434, which is a strong, punchy amount of juice. This is a late-arriving, short-period groundswell that’ll be a handful. For a reef break, that short period might keep things a bit crumbly, and with the wind blowing straight onshore from the NNE, it’s gonna be messy. This is strictly for the advanced crew—beginners, stay well away, as it’s over the 5ft mark and will be a washout. The crowds are often here, so expect a few locals out.

That Friday afternoon, the swell drops to 5ft but the onshore wind picks up, making it even worse.

After that, the surf fades away again through the rest of the second week, with small, weak swells and mostly poor conditions. The morning of Monday 14th September has a 5ft ENE swell with a 7-second period and onshore wind—again, only for the desperate.

Bottom line: If you’re keen, the Friday 11th September morning window is the only time you’ll get a real wave, but it’ll be a battle. For the rest of it, you’re better off checkin’ the kite forecast. The long gap of near-flatness through the first week and a half is pretty normal for this area when the swell windows are shut.

Rusty

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