Little Avalon Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s have a look at what’s in store for the next couple of weeks at Little Avalon. I’ll level with you, mate – it’s a pretty bleak run for most of the forecast. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the first swell that’s worth paddling out for doesn’t show up until the 28th of August. That’s a good two weeks of mostly flat, tiny, or messy conditions to sit through.

From the 14th right through to the 27th, it’s a real struggle. We’ve got days of tiny 0.6ft to 1ft slop, with a lot of cross-onshore winds and choppy junk. The 16th does see a bump to 5ft, but it’s a short-period, wind-affected SE swell with a 6-second period, and the wind is straight cross-shore, making it a total write-off. The 17th through the 27th are all in the same boat – small, weak, and with poor conditions. Sunday the 18th morning offers a clean 3ft but with very ordinary conditions, so it’s barely surfable. The 19th morning is glassy at 3ft, but again, the wave quality is just average. This is a long, dry spell.

Now, the 28th of August is the one that has me talking. Finally, a proper pulse of energy. Friday morning sees a 5ft SE swell rolling in, with a decent 10-second period, and the combined energy is a solid 458 (moderate to strong). The wind is light offshore from the SW – a gentle offshore breeze, which will keep the reef at Little Avalon clean and groomed. That’s the standout. It’s a high-energy groundswell that suits this break, and the conditions are looking good. The water temp is sitting at 63°F which is about 2°F cooler than normal, so it’s a touch on the chilly side for the time of year, but nothing crazy.

The 28th afternoon holds similar size at 5ft, but the wind swings cross-offshore, and the forecast calls it marginal, so the morning session is the clear winner. The 29th drops back to 3ft with a 9-second period and cross-offshore winds, but it’s back to mediocre quality.

So, if you’re a patient surfer, hold out for the morning of Friday the 28th of August. That’s the only real highlight in a very quiet stretch. Before that, you’re staring at a lot of flat, onshore, or tiny junk. Stick with it, because the 28th looks like it’ll deliver.

Rusty

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