Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The first thing you need to know is that for the next week or so, the swell is going to be absolutely smoking, but it’s also going to be way too big for most of us. We’re looking at a classic case of “too much of a good thing” for a solid stretch.

The pick of the entire run, and the only time I’d really be getting excited, is the morning of Friday the 14th at Noises. It’s a reef break, so it handles the size, and the swell is dropping to a still-heavy 12 ft from the SW, with a very long period of 16 seconds. That groundswell will be peeling, and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNE. That’s clean, smooth, and glassy. The combined energy is still pumping at 5974 (moderate). This is for experts only – the size and power will be serious. A lot of that energy is coming from a second swell too, pushing the water temperature up to 68°F, which is much warmer than usual for this time of year.

The week before that, from the 8th of August through to the 11th, the swell is pushing 16 ft to 25 ft. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore and strong, 15 to 31 mph. It’s blown out and messy. Even though the combined energy is massive (22456 on the 8th morning), it’s not surfable for a paddle surfer. It’s more of a kite-surfing setup, to be honest.

From the 12th to the 13th, the swell drops to 13 ft to 15 ft, but the wind is still cross-onshore and the conditions are choppy. You’ll get a wave, but it’s not the good stuff. The morning of the 13th has a glassy moment with a light onshore breeze, but the swell is still big and lumpy.

After that Friday the 14th stand-out, the weekend of the 15th and 16th sees the swell drop right off to 8 ft to 13 ft, with the wind turning cross-offshore. It’s cleaner, but the energy is weak (2395 on the 15th morning). It’s marginal, not really worth the drive.

The window opens again on the 17th of August with a 16 ft SW swell and a very long period of 17 seconds. The wind is moderate cross-shore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s a solid wave. The energy is 14356, so there’s some power. It’s a bit of a gamble.

Then from the 18th to the 19th, we’re back into the too-big territory. The 18th morning has a 21 ft swell with 22 mph onshore winds – blown out. The 19th morning is interesting: a 21 ft WSW swell, very long period of 16 seconds, and a light cross-offshore from the NNE. That’s a clean, glassy, massive wave. The energy is 19927. It’s an expert-only session, but it’s a big, beautiful beast.

The 20th is a step down to 15 ft, cross-shore winds, and mediocre energy. And then the 21st to the 23rd is just a repeat of the first week – huge swell (18 ft to 25 ft) and strong, messy onshore winds. The 23rd afternoon has a 25 ft swell with 12 mph cross-onshore wind, but it’s still lumpy. The energy is 34137, which is massive, but it’s a complete washout for paddle surfing.

So, bottom line: the morning of Friday the 14th is your best bet. It’s clean, powerful, and just about manageable for the experienced. The 19th of August is a long-range promise of another big, clean day, but it’s a week away and could change. For the rest, it’s either too big and blown out, or too small and weak.

Rusty.

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