Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s look at what we’ve got comin’ down the pipe for Noises. We’re talkin’ a solid chunk of swell, a real heavy-hitter of a southerly groundswell, but man, the wind is gonna be the talkin’ point for most of this run. The water’s sittin’ at 67°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might get away with a thinner suit.

The first real action kicks off Thursday afternoon the 13th. We’ve got a proper 13ft SW groundswell rollin’ in with a juicy 17-second period. The combined energy is way up there at 9736 (moderate-to-strong wave energy). The catch? A light cross-onshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph. It’ll put a few ripples on the face, but for a solid reef setup like Noises, that’s still very surfable for the crew that knows the lineup. This is a legit standout for the more experienced surfers.

Friday morning the 14th is where the window really opens up. The swell drops just a hair to 12ft from the SW, still a long 16-second period, but the wind flips to a clean, cross-offshore breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. This is gonna be glassy, clean, and powerful. Energy is at 6148 (moderate). This morning session is the pick of the whole forecast if you ask me – early, clean, and holdin’ that deep-water punch.

Saturday the 15th is a step down. The swell drops to 8ft and the period shortens to 14 seconds. The morning has clean wind from the NNE but at 12 mph, which starts to chew things up a bit. The energy is lower at 2725 (still moderate), but by the afternoon the wind goes cross-shore, and it gets a bit messy. Sunday the 16th sees a pulse of 10ft WSW swell with 14-second periods, but the wind is howlin’ at 16 mph, makin’ it a tough, choppy day at the reef.

We hit a real rough patch from Monday the 17th through most of the following week. Monday morning gets a monster 13ft SW swell with a 17-second period, but it’s accompanied by a near-gale from the NW at 31 mph. The energy is off the charts at 17067 (very strong), but it’s gonna be completely blown out. A few days after that, from the 18th through the 20th, we’re still seein’ big 15ft to 16ft SW swell with 15-17 second periods, but the winds are relentless – cross-on, onshore, or just plain messy. This whole stretch looks more like a kite-surfing playground than a paddle-surf session. The combined energy values hit four digits (up to 13016) but it’s just not gonna be clean.

We get a bit of a breather on Friday the 21st. The swell backs off to a still-chunky 13ft from the SW with 14-second period. The wind is light, 3 to 6 mph from the WSW, so there’s just a few ripples. It’s not perfect, but it’s a lot more manageable than the mayhem of the previous days. Energy is moderate (6670 to 5713). It’s a “marginal” call but a far cry from the blown-out stuff.

The following Saturday and Sunday (22nd and 23rd) are a mixed bag. Saturday is a write-off with lumpy, choppy seas. But Sunday the 23rd shows some potential: a 13ft to 15ft SW groundswell (14-16 second period) with lighter WSW winds in the morning at 6 mph. That morning session on the 23rd might clean up a bit, with energy back up to 10780 (moderate-to-strong), before the wind swings onshore again in the afternoon.

After that, from Monday the 24th through Thursday the 28th, it’s another stretch of big swell (12ft to 16ft) but locked into strong, messy onshore or cross-onshore winds. The energy stays in the strong-to-very-strong range (6892 up to 14020), but the surface conditions look grim for paddle surfing. The only flicker of hope is Wednesday morning the 26th, where the wind drops to a light 6 mph from the WNW, but by then the swell direction has swung to the WSW, and it’s all a bit tired.

Bottom line: If you’re an expert surfer, get in the water early Friday morning the 14th. That’s your cleanest, most powerful window. Thursday afternoon the 13th is also solid if you can handle a little texture. Everything else in this 16-day stretch is either too windy or too rough, with long gaps of unsurfable conditions.

Rusty, out.

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