Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it.

First up, the next week or so is looking pretty average, to be honest. We’ve got some swell, but it’s not lining up cleanly with the winds. There are a few windows where it could get good, but you’re going to have to be picky.

For the next few days, starting Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th, there’s rideable swell in the 7ft to 10ft range, but the winds are all over the place. Northeast and north-northeast winds will keep things on the messier side, even if the water is clean. The energy is moderate for Thursday (2327), then builds on Friday (3401). But the scores are low, so I’d probably just watch from the sand.

The weekend, the 12th and 13th, is a write-off. The wind goes onshore from the west, and the surf is going to be a jumbled mess. It’s not worth paddling out.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Monday the 14th looks like the standout for the first week. The swell is still up there at 12ft, but the wind goes light offshore from the east in the morning and then cross-off from the south-southeast in the afternoon. The energy is strong at 5302 to 5627, and it’s clean. This is a wave for the experienced crew. At 12ft, it’s going to be too much for beginners, and for a lot of people, it’ll be on the edge. But for those who know what they’re doing on a bigger day at Noises (first mention), this is the one to target. The water temp is 64°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year.

Tuesday the 15th is still rideable with 10ft swell, and clean conditions in the afternoon with that cross-off breeze. But it’s not as good as Monday. Wednesday the 16th drops off a bit more, and the wind turns cross-onshore, so expect it to get choppier.

After that, from Thursday the 17th through the start of the next week, there’s a real lull in quality. The swell drops to the 7ft to 8ft range, but the wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and it doesn’t come together. Then Friday the 18th, things go proper wild. We’ve got a near gale from the northwest with 13ft to 18ft of messy, blown-out swell. That’s not a surf day. That’s a “stay home and watch the chaos” day.

The 19th and the morning of the 20th are still big and messy. But hold on. Sunday the 20th is a real gem. The morning sees the wind drop to a slight offshore breeze from the east, and there’s a solid 15ft of southwest swell pulsing in. The energy is huge (7879), and it’s clean. This is another expert-only day, but it’s the best of the run. It’s a standout. Monday the 21st looks like it could also be fun, with 13ft of swell and light winds, but that cross-shore wind will make it a bit more challenging.

The second week, from the 22nd onward, is a bit of a lottery. The swell drops back to the 10ft range, but the winds are mostly cross-shore, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms on the 23rd. The long-range stuff, like the 20th and 21st, is promising, but it’s a bit less certain. Don’t book your flights just yet.

So, two standout windows: Monday the 14th and Sunday the 20th. Both are big, powerful swells with clean conditions. Both are for experts only. If you’re not in that bracket, you might be better off waiting for a smaller window later in the month.

This stretch from the 22nd to the 25th looks less inspiring overall. The swell drops a bit, the wind is cross-shore, and the last couple of days have more onshore flow. It’s not looking like a good finish to the period, but that’s how it goes sometimes.

-Rusty

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