Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Mate, let’s be straight up – this is a region for the brave and the experienced. Noises is a reef setup, and it’s not messing around. We’ve got a serious run of big, powerful SW groundswells coming through, but the wind is going to be a major player, and for most of this forecast, it’s going to be a battle.

The water temp is sitting about average for the time of year, nothing crazy to report there.

The first few days are a write-off. The swell is just too damn big. Tuesday morning the 11th is looking at a massive 20-foot SW swell with a very long 16-second period, but with a fresh cross-onshore wind, it’s just a lumpy, dangerous mess. The combined energy is off the charts at 17353. That’s not for paddling, that’s for watching from the cliff. Tuesday afternoon and all of Wednesday the 12th are still oversized and choppy, no good.

Thursday the 13th is where we start to see a glimmer. The swell drops to a still-chunky 13-foot from the SW, period holding at 16 seconds. The wind goes light and cross-shore in the morning. It’s still a big, powerful reef wave, but for the experts, that’s the first real window of the period. The energy is still high at 8696, but it’s clean enough to be interesting.

Friday the 14th morning is the standout. The swell drops to a more manageable 12 feet from the SW, still a long 16-second groundswell, but the wind goes light cross-offshore from the NNE. That’s your window. The combined energy is 6227, and the conditions are clean. This is the best on offer for the whole 16-day run. The afternoon gets light again, but it’s cross-shore, so it’s a bit less organised.

Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are still clean, with light cross-off winds, but the swell is dropping and the energy is fading. It’s surfable, but not the standout.

Then we hit a wall. From Monday the 17th onwards, it’s a grim run. Strong onshore winds, rain, and messy, blown-out conditions. The swell sticks around but it’s all over the place. The combined energy is still significant, but the wind is just ruining it. There’s a massive 21-foot W swell on Wednesday the 19th, but it’s accompanied by a strong cross-shore, making it a messy, dangerous beast. By the 22nd and 23rd, the wind is still howling and the swell is dropping. It’s a long, blank stretch of poor surf with only a few marginal days in the latter half of the second week.

The last day on the chart, Wednesday the 26th, shows a 13-foot SW swell with a lighter cross-shore wind, but it’s way out there and the forecast is less certain. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

So, the call is simple. If you’re an expert with a big-wave board, Friday the 14th morning is your day. It’s the cleanest, most manageable window of the whole run. For everyone else, this is a lean period. The first week has a few shots, but the second week is largely a no-go with poor conditions.

Rusty, signing off.

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