Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

The long-range picture is wild. We’ve got a massive run of swell coming, but the real challenge is the wind. For the first week or so, strong onshore winds are going to wreck a lot of the potential. The water is sitting at 66°F at Noises, which is a touch warmer than you’d normally expect for this time of year.

We’re starting off Wednesday morning, July 29th, with a solid 8ft SW swell at 13 seconds. The wind is a clean cross-off from the NE, so the break is looking clean. The combined energy is moderate (3068). This is a solid option for the advanced crew, but it’s a big slab.

Wednesday afternoon drops a touch to 7ft from the SSW, but the wind goes light and the surf stays clean. That’s a decent window.

Thursday morning, July 30th, the swell drops to 6ft but the wind picks up to 25 km/h from the NNE. It’s still cross-off, but it’s a bit of a battle. The afternoon turns cross-on and choppy, so we’re losing that window.

Now, Friday the 31st through the weekend is a write-off. A massive 12ft to 13ft SW groundswell moves in, but it’s accompanied by strong onshore and on winds. The surf is messy and lumpy. The energy is very strong (6108 to 8874), but it’s not for paddling. This is kite-surfing weather, not a surfboard day.

The first true standout is Saturday afternoon, August 1st. The Saturday morning has a 13ft SW swell with a cross-shore chop, but the afternoon is where it’s at. We get a 16ft SW swell at 15 seconds, with a clean cross-off breeze from the SSE. The combined energy is massive (11906). This is a raw, powerful groundswell with clean conditions. It’s big, over 8ft, so this is for experts only. The long period (15 seconds) means it will be a bit straight at the beach, but it’s a reef break, so it should handle the juice.

Sunday, August 2nd, is still big (12ft to 10ft SW) but with clean cross-off winds. The energy is moderate (3677 to 2843). It’s a solid follow-up day, but the Saturday afternoon is the peak.

From Monday, August 3rd, through the middle of the week, the wind turns onshore again. We’re looking at 7ft to 12ft SW swell, but the wind is on or cross-on, making it choppy and messy. Not worth a paddle.

August 5th, Wednesday, is another big one. A 16ft SW swell with a 16ft WSW swell behind it. The energy is very strong (12117 to 15096). The morning has a gentle cross-on, but by the afternoon the wind is light and onshore. The swell is simply too big for this break, even if the wind is favorable. This is a pass for us.

The rest of the second week is a rinse and repeat of massive, wind-affected swell. From the 6th to the 11th of August, we’re seeing 15ft to 20ft swell with brutal onshore winds. The energy is screaming (11528 to 17324). It’s a total mess.

The second standout is much later, and it’s a long-range call. August 12th, Wednesday morning, we get a 20ft WSW groundswell with a 17-second period, and a light offshore from the SE. The energy is massive (22160). The wind is clean, but the swell is enormous. It’s the same story: too big for this spot, but if it were a different break, this would be a day of a lifetime. It’s promising but less certain this far out.

August 13th, Thursday morning, is also huge with a 20ft WSW swell, but the wind is light cross-on. The energy is the highest we’ve seen (31584). It’s still too big for experts only.

All in all, the best chance for a proper paddle is that Saturday afternoon, August 1st. The rest is a battle with the wind or a battle with the size.

Rusty.

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