Noises Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s get stuck in. This is going to be a wild ride for us at Noises. It’s a reef break, exposed to the south-west, and it’s consistent, which is a good thing because for the first couple of days, it’s all about size. The water is sitting at 67.3°F, which is a solid 3.8°F warmer than the long-term average for this time of year. That’s not just a little warmer, that’s a much warmer than normal ocean.

The pattern for the next two weeks starts with a bit of a lull. We have some surf on Saturday the 1st, but it's got a bit of that "wait for it" feel. The energy is off the charts, though, with combined energy reading 10621. That’s a strong to very strong pulse of swell. It’s a 16.4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, so it's a proper groundswell. The winds are light and cross-off, so the conditions will be clean, but the commentary says the tide might be a bit iffy. For the experienced crew, there’s something to look at here.

Sunday the 2nd sees the swell ease a touch, to 11.5ft, but the morning is all about clean lines with a light NE cross-off. The real gem is Sunday afternoon though – the wind swings to a light NNE, and we’re looking at 9.8ft SW swell with the same clean lines. The energy is still strong, with readings of 4148 and 3936. That Sunday afternoon looks like a proper go-to for those who know the reef. The commentary even says it’s excellent for experienced surfers.

Monday the 3rd drops down to 6.2ft, and the winds start to build out of the NNE. It’s still clean on the morning but the energy is dropping, and the afternoon is a write-off with the cross-on wind ruining the shape. That’s where the first real gap starts. Tuesday the 4th through to the end of the first week is a messy picture. It’s not a lack of swell, it's the wind.

Tuesday is a 13.1ft SW swell but with onshore winds all day. It’s big, but it’s bumpy and blown-out. The energy is still there, 9362, but it’s not a clean paddle. Wednesday is even bigger – 16.4ft – but the rain and cross-onshore winds are going to make it a messy one. Thursday is still big at 13.1ft, but the fresh cross-shore winds will have it choppy. Friday the 7th the swell kicks up to 19.7ft and it’s just a messy, cross-onshore mess with 22 mph winds. Not for the faint of heart.

Saturday the 8th is the big one. The forecast is for 24.6ft in the morning, hitting 27.9ft in the afternoon. The energy readings are insane – 17,435 and then a whopping 30,464. This is way, way too big for this break. The file says it’s too big for the break, and with those near-gale cross-onshore winds, it’s going to be a full-on, dangerous, world-class maelstrom. That’s for the absolute top-level chargers only. This is not a day for anyone else.

Sunday the 9th is still huge, with 21.3ft and onshore winds, but the energy is easing. Monday and Tuesday are still blown out, with strong winds and messy conditions. The swell is still 16.4ft on Monday, but the wind will have it all over the place. Tuesday is similar, and then Wednesday the 12th, we have the same story: big swell, onshore winds, and it’s just a mush-fest. This whole stretch from Sunday the 2nd to Wednesday the 12th is just about fighting through the wind for the experts, not about it being good.

Now, for the good stuff. Thursday the 13th looks set to be a proper standout. The swell eases to a still-chunky 16.4ft, but the period stretches out to 20 seconds in the morning, and the wind is a fresh cross-onshore. The energy is back up to 19660. It’s still big, but that super long period means it will be breaking with real power and shape. The caveat? It’s a long-period swell, so it might be breaking a bit too straight on a beach break, but here at the reef, it should be excellent.

Friday the 14th is the other gem. The wind lightens up, the swell drops to 14.8ft, and the energy is still good at 9884. The afternoon looks really nice with a gentle cross-onshore. This is a proper “wait for it” day after all the chaos. The quality is there, the size is manageable, and it should be clean.

After that, it's all downhill again. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are a poor finish. The swell drops to 9.8ft and 8.2ft respectively, but the winds are onshore and it’s all just messy. The energy drops right back down, too. It’s a lack of quality, not a lack of swell.

So, the two standouts for the advanced surfer are Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th. Those are the windows to watch

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