Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Avalon-South over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, first up, the outlook is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a long quiet spell to start, then a few windows of opportunity, and a possible standout right at the end. The water temperature is sitting about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The first proper reason to paddle out doesn’t come until Monday morning, the 20th of July. The wind is glassy, with a light offshore from the WNW, and the swell is a clean 6 ft from the ENE at a 10-second period. That’s a moderate wave energy (628), and it’s a good size for a beginner-friendly break, not too big, not too small. The morning will be the pick. The afternoon on Monday goes cross-onshore and choppy, so get out early.

Tuesday morning, the 21st of July, is another glassy window. A 5 ft ENE swell at 10 seconds (410) will be clean and fun for the learner crew. Again, the morning is the move.

After that, the surf drops right off. From Wednesday the 22nd through to Sunday the 26th, it’s tiny and mostly messy. A few days of flat, weak energy, with nothing worth chasing.

Now, here’s the one that’s got my attention. Monday the 27th of July. The morning shows a 5 ft SE swell, with a very long 12-second period, and a clean offshore breeze from the WSW. The wave energy is solid (741). That’s a groundswell, and for a spot that’s fairly exposed to the ENE, this SE direction is a bit different, but the clean conditions and the long-period energy will still produce some nice, lined-up waves. This is the best on offer in the whole forecast. The afternoon on the 27th gets a bit cross-shore, so aim for first light.

The following Tuesday morning, the 28th, still has a 4 ft SE swell at 10 seconds (290) with a clean cross-offshore breeze, but it’s a step down from the Monday morning peak.

After that, the run is poor again right through to the end of the 16-day window, with tiny, weak, or onshore conditions. No good.

So, in short: hold out for the Monday and Tuesday mornings of the 20th and 21st of July for clean, small waves. But the real standout is Monday morning, the 27th of July. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

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