Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cookin’ for Avalon-South over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first several days are a write-off. We’re looking at tiny, weak waves that won't even get you out of first gear. From the 27th of July all the way through the 31st, it’s pretty much flat with poor surf conditions. You’ll see a few ripples here and there, but nothing worth paddling out for. The combined energy is just a whisper, with values like 10 and 15 (weak energy) – not enough to push a sea-gull.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on Saturday, August 1st. The morning is still a bit ordinary with a weak 2ft swell from the SSE, but the afternoon is where it’s at. We get a jump to 4ft from the SSE, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a major positive. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined energy bumps up to 382 (moderate wave energy), so you’ll actually feel some push. This is the first standout of the period.

Sunday morning, August 2nd, is also looking sweet. The swell builds slightly to 5ft from the SSE, with a period of 12 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell. It’s got some grunt, with a combined energy of 609 (moderate wave energy). The morning wind is light and cross-offshore from the NNW, keeping things clean. This is a beauty of a window. The afternoon gets a bit choppy with a cross-onshore wind, so aim for the early session.

After that, the week of the 3rd to the 7th is a real mixed bag. The swell sticks around but the winds get messy. There’s a brief window on the morning of Wednesday, August 5th, with glassy conditions and a 6ft swell from the SSE, but the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly and soft. That size is still manageable for intermediates, but it's not the best shape.

Now, for the second week, things get a bit more serious. On Saturday, August 8th, the swell jumps up to 7ft from the SE with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 755 (moderate to strong wave energy). This is big, and the wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s an experts-only zone at that size. If you’re not confident, give it a wide berth. Sunday the 9th is similar, with 6ft from the SE, but the afternoon gets chopped up.

After that, the swell winds down fast. By Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th, we’re back to small, weak, and rainy. It’s another blank run to end the outlook.

So, to sum it up: your best bet is the Saturday afternoon (August 1st) and the Sunday morning (August 2nd). That’s the cleanest, most fun surf on offer. The bigger stuff later in the second week is for the experienced crew only.

Rusty.

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