Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s suss out what’s coming our way. Look, I’m not gonna lie to you: this stretch is a tough one. For the most part, we’re looking at a long, dry spell of very ordinary conditions. The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t show up until the very end of August, so patience is the name of the game for the next week and a half.

We’re kicking off now, and it’s a real struggle. From Friday the 14th through to well into the next week, it’s mostly small, weak, and messy. The wind is all over the shop, usually onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell energy is way down in the dumps, often in the teens or low hundreds. There are a few moments of glassy conditions, like the morning of Wednesday the 19th, but the swell is tiny (3 ft from the ESE with a short 7-second period) and weak, with the combined energy sitting at 166 – just not enough to get excited about. The 21st also has a glassy morning, but again, it’s a tiny 3 ft wave.

The water’s sitting at around 63° for the first break we look at, which is just a touch cooler than average for this time of year, but nothing too strange.

Honestly, there’s nothing worth paddling out for through the rest of August until the very last day of the month. You’re looking at a gap of over a week of poor-quality, energy-starved surf. It’s a proper blank run.

The Standout

Then, finally, things change. The one and only bright spot is the morning of Friday, August 28th at Avalon-South. This is the pick of the entire forecast. We’ve got a solid 5 ft swell rolling in from the SE with a period of 10 seconds, packing some real punch – the combined energy is a strong and impressive 458. The wind is expected to be light offshore from the SW, which is going to groom it into nice, clean lines. The break itself is fairly consistent, exposed, and the optimum swell direction (ENE) is a close match to the forecast SE, so this should set up well. For a spot that’s been starved of energy for so long, this is a proper session to circle on your calendar. Keep in mind though, the crowds at Avalon-South are “often,” so you’ll want to be sharp and early to get a piece of it.

The afternoon of the 28th gets blown out with rain showers and a cross-onshore wind, so the window is tight. The morning is where it’s at.

So, there you have it. A long dry spell, but a decent payoff at the very end if you can hold out. Stay keen.

- Rusty

Read more