Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty damn flat and uninspiring for our stretch of coast. I’ve scanned the charts, and there’s no real swell on the horizon that’s going to get the heart rate up. We’re looking at a long stretch of small, weak surf. It’s the kind of outlook where you might be better off waxing the longboard just in case, but honestly, you might not even need to bother. The first week is a write-off, with only ankle-biters and onshore chop messing things up.

The second week brings a little more energy, but it’s still nothing to write home about. There’s a brief pulse of bumpy, disorganized surf on Monday the 7th and again on Tuesday the 15th, but the wind and quality aren’t there. For the most part, the swell direction is coming from the ENE, which isn't ideal for our setup. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The energy levels are weak, with values mostly under 100 for much of the period. The combined energy only cracks triple digits a handful of times, like the 421 on the 7th, but that's attached to messy conditions.

Let’s break it down. The first week is a total dud. From Tuesday the 1st all the way through to Sunday the 6th, we see nothing but poor surf conditions. Wave heights are mostly under 3ft, with weak periods. There’s a little bump of about 6ft on the afternoon of Monday the 7th, but it’s coming with a cross-offshore breeze and an energy reading of 421, which sounds meaty, but the period is a short 7 seconds. It’s going to be lumpy and messy, not the clean, lined-up waves we’re after. It’s a marginal call at best, and I’d say it’s more for the kitesurfer than the surfer.

The following week is more of the same. A brief pulse on the morning of the 16th brings about 3ft of swell with a 7-second period, but again, it’s just ordinary. The wind is cross-offshore and the conditions are clean, but 3ft at that period is going to be weak and soft. The combined energy is 131, which is moderate, but it’s just not worth the paddle for most.

So here’s the reality: there are no standout days in the next 16 days. There’s no single swell that lines up with good winds and a decent period. It’s a flat, quiet spell. This is a “keep the board in the car and watch the forecast” kind of situation. We’ve got a long run of nothing, and it’ll probably take a while for things to turn around.

Keep the faith, though. It never stays this flat for long.

Rusty.

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