Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag for Avalon-South. The first week is almost a complete write-off with tiny, weak swell and rubbish conditions. The real action, if you can call it that, doesn’t get going until the second weekend. There’s a gap of about six days with no real recommendations before we get something worth paddling out for.

Right now, through Saturday the 25th and most of the following week, it’s gutless. We’re looking at waves barely 0.7ft to 1ft, with a tiny 8-second period. The combined swell energy is pitiful, sitting at just 8 (weak). The water temp is a pleasant 65°, which is about average for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort. For the first few days, the wind is mostly light and offshore or glassy, but there’s just nothing to surf. It’s a sad sight.

We finally get a pulse on Friday the 31st of July. The afternoon sees a sudden spike to 8ft from the SSE, but the period is a short 10 seconds, and the cross-shore wind is going to chop it up. The energy is there with a reading of 1129 (strong), but it’s a messy, marginal affair. Saturday the 1st of August is a better bet for the morning with a clean 2ft SE swell and a nice 12-second period (162 – moderate energy), but it’s small.

The standout, and I mean the *only* standout, looks like Sunday morning, the 2nd of August. The swell jumps to a clean 7ft from the SE, with a long 12-second period. The combined energy is pumping at 1154 (strong). The wind is light and cross-off from the NNW, so you’re looking at clean, well-shaped lines. This is the one to aim for. It’s a bit on the bigger side for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’ll be fun. The crowd factor at Avalon-South can be ‘often’ an issue, so expect company for sure. After that, Monday the 3rd offers a smaller, clean 4ft set in the morning (334 – moderate energy), and by Friday the 7th of August, there’s another promising morning with a 6ft easterly swell and clean offshore WSW wind (798 – strong energy). That one looks well worth a look too.

The long-range stuff from the 5th to the 9th is there, but it’s a bit of a gamble. The swell sticks around 5ft to 8ft, but the wind often turns onshore or cross-onshore, making it lumpy. The short 8-second period on those bigger days will mean crumbly, less powerful waves.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total drought. Don’t bother. Your best bet is the morning of Sunday the 2nd of August. The second option is the morning of Friday the 7th of August. That’s your window.

Rusty.

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