Avalon-South Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s get into it. Avalon-South is the only spot on the radar, and honestly, it’s a tough stretch ahead. The water’s sitting around 63°, which is pretty much normal for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The first proper chance to get wet doesn’t show until Tuesday morning, September 15. We’re looking at a small 3 ft swell from the NE, with a short period of just 7 seconds, so it’ll be weak and a bit lacking in push. The combined energy is a weak 83. But the wind is light and off the SSW, making it cross-off and clean – glassy, really. This is the best on offer. It’s tiny, but if you’re a beginner looking for a longboard or a foamie, this is your window. Expect fairly consistent waves, and the NE swell direction lines up well with the break. Crowds can be a thing here, so get out early.

After that morning, it falls away. Tuesday afternoon turns choppy, and Wednesday and Thursday are total washouts with barely a ripple – 0.7 ft and less. You’re looking at a long gap of several days with nothing worthwhile.

We get a flicker of life again on Sunday morning, September 20. Another tiny pulse, 1 ft from the NE, period a shocking 5 seconds. Combined energy is a mere 6. But again, the wind is light and cross-off, so it’ll be clean. It’s flat by any standard, but if you’re desperate, it’s a paddle.

Then another dead run until Wednesday morning, September 23. That morning is glassy calm, with a weak 4 ft NE short-period swell (energy 53). It looks surfable but ordinary – maybe a 1 out of 10. The real kicker comes Wednesday afternoon: a sudden jump to 4 ft from the SSE, with a 12-second period and combined energy of 506. That’s moderate energy, and a proper groundswell. The problem? The wind is cross-on from the NNE, putting a bump on it. This is worth keeping an eye on, but don’t expect perfection.

The swell winds down from there. Thursday shows some moderate energy (196), but it’s cross-shore and choppy. Friday morning, September 25, brings glassy conditions again with a weak 2 ft NE swell (energy 81). It’s got that “surfable but ordinary” vibe. The biggest wave of the whole period hits Sunday afternoon, September 27 – 6 ft from the SSE, with a period of 6 seconds and combined energy of 288. It’s strong, but the short period means it’ll be a bit of a washing machine and messy. The wind is cross-off from the NW, so it’ll be clean, but 6 ft is getting too big for beginners and pushes it into intermediate territory. Monday the 28th has more solid energy (236 and 511), but it’s cross-shore and lumpy. Not the best.

All in all, there’s no standout, epic session here. The best bet is Tuesday morning, September 15 – it’s small, clean, and lined up right for the break. After that, you’re hunting for crumbs. Keep the expectations low and the wax soft.

Rusty

Read more