Avalon-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, switching over to the imperial scale for you. Let’s break down what’s happening at Avalon-North over the next couple weeks. I’ll level with you – it’s a pretty lean stretch. This is a point break, so it needs a decent swell to light up, but the charts are mostly showing small stuff with lousy winds. We’ve got a long run of tiny waves and onshore or cross-shore breezes that are going to make things messy. Most days the waves are barely knee-high, and the energy is low. There are a few moments where it tries to come alive, but the wind always seems to mess it up.

Starting on Thursday the 10th of September, we’ve got nothing going. A tiny 1 ft swell from the SE with a cross-off wind, but the energy is only 26 and conditions are poor. Friday the 11th and Saturday the 12th are even smaller – 0.7 ft swells. Saturday morning does go glassy, which is beautiful, but with 0.7 ft at 14 seconds, there’s just no push. Saturday afternoon jumps to 4 ft from the SSE, but it’s blowing onshore from the ENE at 20 km/h, so it’s going to be choppy and ugly.

Sunday the 13th and Monday the 14th are more knee-high dribble with cross-onshore winds and low energy. Monday afternoon we get a bump to 4 ft from the NE, but the wind is cross-onshore and the period is a shocking 5 seconds – just pure wind chop. Tuesday the 15th brings the biggest swell of the first week – 6 ft from the SSE in the afternoon – but with 25 km/h cross-onshore wind and a 7-second period, it’s going to be a bumpy mess. That’s actually expert-level size, but the quality is so poor, it’s not worth paddling out.

After that, it drops right back to tiny from Wednesday the 16th through Friday the 18th. Friday morning the 18th has a 2 ft from the NE with a light offshore wind from the W, making it clean. But the period is only 6 seconds and the energy is just 36, so it’s too weak. The weekend of the 19th and 20th is mostly flat again.

Here’s the one bright spot. On Sunday the 20th of September, Sunday morning shows a 2 ft swell from the SSE, but with a period of 15 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. Energy jumps to 210, which is moderate, and the wind is a light cross-shore from the NNE. That long-period energy will wrap nicely around this point, giving you some proper shape and longer lulls between sets. The afternoon sees the swell bump to 3 ft from the same SSE direction, with a 14-second period and energy at 350 – still moderate but with more push. But the wind goes onshore from the NE at 25 km/h, making it choppy. Sunday morning the 20th is your best bet – get out early before the wind picks up. Crowds are likely here, so don’t expect solitude.

Monday the 21st gives us another chance with 5 ft from the SSE Monday afternoon, an 11-second period, and energy at 481 – that’s moderate-strong. But again, cross-onshore wind. Tuesday the 22nd drops back, and from Wednesday the 23rd onward, it’s all messy winds and tiny, weak surf, with energy falling into the low hundreds or even zero. The last couple days, the 24th and 25th, are completely flat.

So, bottom line: if you want to get wet, Sunday morning the 20th of September is the call – that long-period groundswell and light wind will be the cleanest you’ll see. Monday afternoon has more size but uglier wind. Everything else is a waiting game. Water temp is 65°F, right around average for this time of year.

Keep checking the charts, because this spot can turn on quickly.

Rusty.

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