Avalon-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – the next week and a half is a real tough stretch for surf at Avalon-North. We’re seeing a pattern of onshore winds, choppy conditions, and meager swell. It’s going to be a serious test of patience. There’s a big gap with almost nothing rideable from now until around mid-week next week. We’re talking about days of poor surf from Sunday the 13th right through to Thursday the 17th, with only tiny, weak waves and mostly cross or onshore winds. A few mornings like Tuesday the 15th might show a clean face from a light offshore breeze, but the swell is tiny and weak, with combined energy only at 71. It’s just not worth paddling out for.

The first real glimmer of hope doesn’t come until Friday morning, September 18th. We get a glassy morning with the wind swinging light offshore from the NNW, and a bit of a pulse from the ESE. The swell will be around 3ft with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy bumps up to 121. It’s still not firing, but you can get a few clean, knee-to-waist high runners if you’re desperate. Saturday morning the 19th looks similar – glassy again, with a touch more period at 11 seconds, and energy at 208. It’ll be clean, but the swell is still modest. Not a standout, just a chance to wet the line.

Now, hold onto your board, because the real standout is shaping up for Saturday morning, September 26th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. We’ve got a clean, cross-off breeze from the NNW, and the swell jumps up to a solid 5ft from the NE. The combined energy rockets up to 420 – that’s moderate to strong energy, and the wave period is a punchy 7 seconds. This is when Avalon-North will actually start working. The swell direction is right in the optimum from the ENE, so the point should set up nicely. It’ll be a proper head-high, punchy wave. Just a heads up, though, at 5ft it might be a little much for total beginners, but for any intermediate and above, it’s game on. It’s a consistent break here, but keep an eye out because it can get crowded often. With a clean 5ft NE swell, the lineup is going to be busy.

Don’t get too excited about Sunday the 27th. That morning has clean conditions with a light SSW breeze, but the swell drops back to 4ft and the energy goes down to 194. It’s surfable, but nowhere near the quality of the Saturday before.

So, in summary: the next week is mostly a write-off. Wait for that Saturday the 26th. That’s your day. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so a 3/2 fullsuit will be perfect.

Rusty.

Read more