Avalon-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good, hard look at what Avalon-North is serving up over the next couple of weeks. I'll be straight with you, it's a bit of a tough stretch, but there might be a light at the end of the tunnel.

First up, the overall pattern. We are looking at a long, dry spell to kick things off. From Wednesday the 19th all the way through to the end of August, the surf is pretty much non-existent. We're talking days and days of tiny, weak dribble. The combined wave energy is struggling, with values mostly in the double digits or low triple digits, like a weak 233 (ft). It’s just not doing anything. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is basically average for this time of year, so no surprises there. For a spot like this, a blank run is just part of the deal sometimes.

We do see a tiny flicker of life on Tuesday the 25th. The morning brings a glassy 5 ft swell from the NE, with the combined energy bumping up to a still-moderate 200 (ft). The wind is calm, which is a huge positive for clean conditions, but the waves are described as "surfable but very ordinary." It’s not a standout by any stretch, just a brief moment where you could get wet without it being a complete battle.

After that, it’s back to the same small, choppy conditions until we hit a massive shift on Wednesday the 2nd of September. Now, this is where things get interesting. A big, long-period groundswell is due to roll in from the SSE. The morning shows a solid 12 ft with a period of 12 seconds and a massive combined energy reading of 3792 (ft). That is a serious amount of power. This is expert territory only—way too big for beginners. The wind is light cross-onshore, so it won’t be perfect, but for an advanced crew at Avalon-North, this is the one to circle on the calendar. Keep in mind, this is a long-range call, so it's promising but not locked in yet. If it holds, expect some serious waves, but that long-period energy can make a point break like this stand up tall and steep.

So, the one true standout in this whole 16-day window is that Wednesday the 2nd of September. The SSE swell, the size, the period, it’s the only real event worth getting excited about. For the rest of the time, the board stays in the car.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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