Avalon-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good look at what Avalon-North (point) has in store for us.

We start off with a bit of a nothing burger. That tiny 0.7 ft east swell with a 13-second period and a stiff 19 mph south crosswind is pure junk with weak energy. The water is sitting at 66°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, but the conditions are just plain poor. There's no real surf to speak of right now, and that flat, choppy vibe is set to continue right through the weekend.

Monday the 6th wakes up with a sudden jump in size to 10 ft from the SSE, which sounds promising, but the problem is the 16 mph cross-onshore wind and a 10-second period. The combined energy is high, but the chop is ugly. Monday afternoon is still that 10 ft swell, but it's a cross-shore wind, and the comment is that it's marginal at best. The energy stays high, but the quality just isn't there for a good paddle session.

The middle of the week brings a little relief. Tuesday the 7th morning shows 10 ft from the SSE again, and the wind is swinging to a light cross-offshore at 12 mph. The energy is pumping, and that's the cleanest the surf has looked so far. Still, with that size and a 10-second period, it’s pushing into expert-only territory. By Wednesday the 8th, we drop to 8 ft with the same cross-off wind, and the energy is still strong. The morning session is the best of the early week, but it's still a heavy, powerful wave.

Thursday the 9th morning is where it really cleans up nicely. The swell is a much more manageable 7 ft from the SE, with a light 6 mph cross-off breeze from the SW. The energy is moderate, but the "clean" wave state and "very good surf conditions" comment tell the real story. This is a real standout window for the first week.

Friday the 10th keeps the trend going with 6 ft from the SSE and a gentle 9 mph cross-off wind from the WSW. Again, clean conditions with moderate energy. It’s a little smaller than Thursday, but still very tidy. Saturday the 11th drops off to 4 ft and the wind goes light out of the NNW in the morning, so the clean lines will be there for the small-wave crew, but the energy is way down.

Then we hit a long, slow, flat spell. From Sunday the 12th through to Wednesday the 16th, the swell is tiny – under 3 ft – with hardly any energy (down to single digits and zeros). It’s a big gap of about five days of really poor, unrideable surf, with most of it just flat and clean but dead. The pure offshore wind on the 14th and 15th is wasted.

Now, for the second week, we get one big, promising pulse. Friday the 17th looks like the main event. The morning starts with 8 ft from the SSE and a gentle 9 mph cross-off wind, and the energy is back up high. But the real standout is Friday afternoon: a solid 12 ft swell from the SSE with a *very long* 16-second period – that’s pure groundswell. The combined energy is massive. The wind is a light cross-on from the SSE at 6 mph, which isn't perfect, but for a point break like Avalon-North, that long-period energy will wrap in nicely, creating heavy, fast, line-ups. This is a serious session for experienced surfers only – far too big for beginners. Keep in mind that long-period groundswell like this can make beach breaks close out, but on a point, it’s magic.

Saturday the 18th still has 10 ft from the SE on the morning, with a beautiful cross-off wind from the WNW. The energy is still strong, and the Saturday afternoon is a step down to 8 ft, but the comment is "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers" with a clean cross-off wind. Sunday the 19th winds down to 6 ft from the SSE with a moderate offshore wind in the afternoon, which will be clean but smaller.

The clear winner here is Thursday the 9th morning for the first week – a sweet, clean 7 ft with light cross-off wind – and then the big one: Friday the 17th afternoon for the experts. That 12 ft, 16-second groundswell with massive energy is the standout of the whole forecast. Expect a more consistent crowd at this advanced point break.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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