Avalon-North Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, let’s see what’s in store for Avalon-North.

Honestly, mate, it’s a pretty flat and frustrating run ahead. We’ve got a solid 16-day window to look at, but the first week or more is basically a write-off. Most of the time we’re looking at tiny, weak swell. The combined energy readings are pathetically low, often under 100 (like 32, 46, 23), which tells you there’s just no power in the water. You’d be bored out there.

We don’t really get a proper look until the morning of Monday the 7th of September. The swell finally bumps up a bit to 4ft from the NE, but it’s a short-period wind swell at 6 seconds, and the wind is a cross-onshore – it’s gonna be choppy. Not a day to get excited about.

By the afternoon of Monday the 7th, things get a bit more interesting, but for the right crew. The swell jumps to 6ft from the NE, and the combined energy hits 421 – that’s a solid moderate energy. The wind swings around to a cross-offshore from the NW, cleaning up the surface. But here’s the catch: at over 5ft and nearly 6ft, that’s getting into expert-only territory, especially for a point break. The period is still short at 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit of a messy, fat wave. If you’re an experienced local who knows the rock, you might score a few, but it’s not a beginner-friendly session.

After that, it drops back down again. We see another little pulse on Tuesday 15th of September with a 5ft swell from the south, but that’s short-period junk from the S and it’s cross-shore, so it will be a lumpy mess. Then on Wednesday 16th of September, we get a 3ft SSE swell with a clean cross-off wind – the waves are surfable but very ordinary. The energy is only 131, so it’s weak.

The only true standout window, if you can call it that, is that Monday afternoon on the 7th. That 6ft NE swell with clean cross-off wind is the only time we get any size and clean conditions together, but it’s only for experts. The rest of the time, you’re looking at knee-to-waist high slop with poor conditions. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, but you won't be in it long enough to notice.

For the rest of us, it’s a long gap of nearly two weeks of nothing worth paddling out for. Keep the board in the car, but don’t wax it up just yet.

Rusty.

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