
Surf Forecasts:
Backdoor 4 surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 20ft (6.0m), 11s period, SSE swell with 7,970 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Backdoor 4 this week:
The surf forecast for Backdoor 4 over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Backdoor 4 in the next 16 days are 6.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 4PM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 20ft (6.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Backdoor 4 over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here again, breakin' it down in feet and miles.
First up, we got a solid run starting Thursday, July 9th. Backdoor 4 is the spot, and it's lookin' prime. Water temp is about 66°, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The swell is coming from the SE at a clean 6 feet, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of 841 (moderate). That's a nice, solid groundswell, and with the wind being light and cross-off in the morning, the waves should be clean and well-shaped. Afternoon turns offshore with a light breeze, keepin' things tidy. This is a very consistent reef break, and it's exposed to the swell, so it'll be handling that energy well. It's an intermediate spot, so not for total beginners, but not a death mission either. Crowds can pop up sometimes.
Friday, July 10th, keeps the goods. The morning is cross-off again with a 6-foot SE swell, but the real standout is the afternoon. The wind drops to a glassy 3 mph from the south, and the swell holds at 6 feet with a 10-second period. That's gonna be clean, organized, and very user-friendly. The combined energy is still solid at 604 (moderate). This is the best on offer in the first few days.
Saturday, July 11th, the swell drops off to 3 feet and the period stretches to 12 seconds, but the wind goes cross-on and then onshore, and the quality tanks. The combined energy drops to 414 (moderate). Honestly, it's marginal at best.
Then we hit a rough patch. From Saturday afternoon, through the whole of the next week, the surf quality plummets. Sunday the 12th has a fresh cross-shore wind and the swell is tiny. Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, it's all cross-shore or onshore winds, with the swell dropping to barely a ripple. The combined energy is in the weak range (12 to 96). There's a big gap of poor or unsurfable conditions from July 11th afternoon through to July 16th.
Now, hold on to your board. On Thursday, July 16th, a massive swell arrives. We're talking 18 to 20 feet from the SSE, with a period of 10-11 seconds. The combined energy is monstrous – 6105 to 7970 (very strong). But here's the catch: the wind is a near gale, and the forecast clearly says this is too big for Backdoor 4. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it's going to be a washing machine. The same goes for Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th, with swells of 15 to 18 feet. The wind is a fresh breeze, but the size is just intimidating. The break is a reef, so it'll be handling the energy, but the sheer power will make it dangerous for pretty much everyone except the most seasoned big-wave chargers.
Sunday, July 19th, the swell starts to back off a bit to 10 to 12 feet, still very strong energy (1988 to 3008), but the wind is lighter. Still, it's going to be a beast for experts only.
The next real window of opportunity comes on Monday, July 20th. The morning is a gem. The wind is glassy, out of the northwest, and the swell is a clean 6 feet from the SE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is 772 (moderate). The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions." This is the standout for the second week. After that, the wind goes onshore for the rest of the week, choppin' up the waves.
Then, another big pulse hits on Wednesday, July 22nd, with 13 feet of swell from the SSE, but the wind is a strong cross-shore, making it a messy, lumpy mess. Again, too big for most.
Thursday and Friday, July 23rd and 24th, see 7 to 8 feet of swell, but the wind is better, though the size is still pushin' it. The energy is high (1268 to 1947), but it's borderline for the intermediate crew.
So, to wrap it up: your best bet is Thursday afternoon, July 9th, through Friday afternoon, July 10th, for clean, fun, intermediate surf. Then, keep an eye on Monday morning, July 20th, for a glassy, clean session. The stuff in between is either flat, blown out, or way too big. Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | S 7 | S 11 | S 8 | S 10 | S 19 | S 10 | S 10 | E 11 | S 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
625 | 614 | 502 | 627 | 592 | 408 | 213 | 234 | 194 | 109 | 55 | 21 | 45 | 88 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 2 | 1480 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:27PM1.43m | 3:41AM1.07m | 4:26PM1.53m | 4:57AM1.05m | 5:24PM1.64m | 6:06AM1.07m | 6:19PM1.74m | 7:08AM1.11m | 7:13PM1.82m | 8:03AM1.14m | 8:04PM1.86m | 8:55AM1.18m | 8:54PM1.85m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:00PM0.41m | 9:38AM0.29m | 11:12PM0.30m | 10:39AM0.30m | 00:15AM0.17m | 11:38AM0.28m | 1:13AM0.06m | 12:36PM0.26m | 2:06AM-0.02m | 1:30PM0.24m | 2:56AM-0.06m | 2:23PM0.23m | 3:43AM-0.06m | ||||||||
6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:56 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | |
— | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:00 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:01 | — | — | 5:02 | — | — | 5:02 | — | |
mm | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 24 | 9 | 5 |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 13 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | SSW 6 | S 7 | S 11 | S 8 | S 7 | S 9 | S 4 | S 10 | E 9 | S 16 |
625 | 614 | 502 | 627 | 592 | 408 | 197 | 132 | 194 | 109 | 55 | 33 | 45 | 88 | 46 | 25 | 41 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 5 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 14 | S 19 | S 21 | ESE 15 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | S 12 | SE 9 | S 13 | S 7 | S 11 | S 10 | — | S 10 | E 9 | E 11 | — |
210 | 38 | 114 | 7 | 8 | 42 | 213 | 234 | 47 | 17 | 3 | 21 | 29 | 27 | 9 | 7 | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | — | S 15 | S 17 | S 15 | S 16 | S 15 | NNW 4 | S 12 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | S 19 | S 15 | E 10 | — | — |
6 | 6 | 5 | — | 4 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 2 | NW 3 | W 4 | WSW 4 | W 4 | NW 3 | NW 2 | W 3 | WNW 3 | SW 7 | W 3 | SSW 6 | SSW 7 | S 9 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 3 | 47 | 328 | 1480 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 57 | 22 | 84 | 218 | 169 | 255 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Backdoor 4 Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Backdoor 4 provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Backdoor 4 can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Backdoor 4 surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Backdoor 4) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Backdoor 4 may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Backdoor 4 is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










