
Surf Forecasts:
Backdoor 4 surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, S swell with 1,266 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Backdoor 4 this week:
The surf forecast for Backdoor 4 over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Backdoor 4 in the next 16 days are 2.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (AEST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Thu 30th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Backdoor 4 over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu.
First off, things are pretty flat and sad for the next few days. We’re looking at a gap from now until the morning of Thursday, 30 July, with nothing worth paddling out for. Small, weak, and messy. The wind is all wrong, and the swell is practically non-existent. Just a bit of a wait.
Then, Thursday morning, 30 July, things start to fire up. Backdoor 4 (reef) comes alive with a clean 6 ft south swell, period around 10 seconds – that’s solid groundswell with good shape. The wind is light and cross-offshore, so the face will be clean. The combined wave energy is strong at 541 (moderate-strong). Water temperature is 65°, right on the money for this time of year, nothing unusual. This is a standout morning.
Thursday afternoon gets even better. The swell drops a touch to 5 ft, but the wind swings offshore from the SSE at 9 mph, glassing it up nicely. Energy is still pumping at 577. This is the best on offer – clean, offshore, consistent. If you’ve got a shortboard and some skill, this is your window.
Friday, 31 July, keeps the momentum. Morning sees 5 ft south swell with light cross-offshore wind and clean conditions. Energy sits at 540. Afternoon pushes up to 6 ft with a moderate offshore breeze from the south at 12 mph, and energy jumps to 620. That’s a strong, punchy setup. The reef will handle it well. This is another standout day.
Saturday, 1 August, is still good but a step down. Morning 5 ft south swell with clean cross-offshore wind, and afternoon drops to 4 ft with glassy conditions. Energy is moderate at 460 and 397. Still fun, but not as meaty as the days before.
Sunday, 2 August, gets tricky. Morning has a 5 ft south-southeast swell with a long 13-second period, but the wind is onshore. That’s a lot of energy (653) but the wind will mess it up. Afternoon goes cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth it.
Monday, 3 August, brings a cleaner morning. 2 ft south-southeast swell with a 13-second period, cross-offshore wind, and clean faces. Energy is moderate at 344. Afternoon has a 3 ft swell with a moderate offshore breeze. Good for a smaller board session.
Tuesday, 4 August, continues the clean trend. Morning 4 ft south-southeast swell, light offshore wind, energy 355. Afternoon drops to 3 ft, still clean. Consistent but smaller.
From Wednesday, 5 August, things start to fade. The swell gets weaker and shorter period. By Friday, 7 August, there’s a 5 ft swell but with a short 6-second period – that’s windswell, not groundswell, and it’ll be lumpy. Saturday, 8 August, the swell jumps to 7 ft from the southeast, but it’s predicted to be too big for Backdoor 4, and the wind is onshore. That’s for experts only if you’re brave, but the conditions are poor.
The second week is a mixed bag of small, weak, or blown-out conditions. Nothing to get excited about. The best of the whole run is definitely Thursday 30 July through Friday 31 July – clean, strong, and offshore. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue morning, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 17 | S 16 | S 13 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 17 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 535 | 298 | 1074 | 533 | 612 | 605 | 347 | 248 | 397 | 638 | 500 | 280 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:54PM1.52m | 7:33AM1.02m | 7:32PM1.57m | 8:10AM1.07m | 8:08PM1.60m | 8:46AM1.11m | 8:43PM1.60m | 9:22AM1.16m | 9:17PM1.58m | 9:58AM1.20m | 9:52PM1.53m | 10:36AM1.25m | 10:28PM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:44AM0.26m | 12:57PM0.39m | 2:19AM0.21m | 1:38PM0.36m | 2:52AM0.17m | 2:16PM0.34m | 3:24AM0.14m | 2:56PM0.34m | 3:55AM0.13m | 3:36PM0.35m | 4:26AM0.13m | 4:19PM0.37m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
5:10 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:12 | — | — | 5:13 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:14 | — | — | 5:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 20 | 20 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 16 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 16 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 16 | ENE 6 | S 10 | S 9 | S 12 | S 10 | ENE 7 | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 11 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
185 | 108 | 41 | 24 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 535 | 298 | 1074 | 533 | 5 | 605 | 347 | 248 | 397 | 638 | 500 | 280 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SE 16 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | S 17 | NE 6 | S 13 | ENE 6 | S 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 13 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | S 12 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | ENE 8 | SSE 14 |
2 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 7 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 278 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 108 | 69 | 321 | 2 | 7 | 140 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | E 8 | — | SE 15 | S 15 | SE 6 | SE 6 | S 13 | E 12 | NE 6 | — | E 13 | — | E 13 | ENE 7 | SSE 14 | NE 6 | NE 9 | E 17 | NE 4 |
8 | 1 | — | 8 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 5 | 80 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NE 3 | — | NNW 3 | W 3 | WNW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | S 10 | — | — | — | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | — |
— | 5 | — | 3 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 49 | — | — | — | — | 612 | — | — | — | 4 | 10 | 4 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 73 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 84 | 526 | 218 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 37 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Newcastle | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Backdoor 4 Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Backdoor 4 provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Backdoor 4 can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Backdoor 4 surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Backdoor 4) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Backdoor 4 may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Backdoor 4 is 14 km (9 miles) from the city of Catherine Hill Bay. If you plan a holiday in Newcastle, look for hotels and other accommodation in Catherine Hill Bay. Catherine Hill Bay has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










