Palm Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Palm Beach over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, things are pretty quiet. The first few days are a write-off—small swell, dodgy wind, poor conditions. Sunday the 6th is flat and messy, with a weak 3 ft swell from the SSW and a 12 mph cross-off wind making a hash of things. Combined energy is only 95, barely a ripple. Not worth a paddle.

Monday morning the 7th sees a glimmer of hope. A 5 ft SSE swell starts to build, combined energy hits 267, and that N wind at just 3 mph has the surface glassy. It’s clean, but the swell’s still short-period at 8 seconds, so it’s a bit weak and crumbly. Only real standout in the first week, but nothing to write home about.

Tuesday the 8th gets a pulse of bigger swell—8 ft from the S by morning, with combined energy screaming up to 2082. That’s serious grunt. But the wind is a cross-shore from the SSE at 9 mph, and the conditions are described as marginal. At that size, it’s pushing into expert territory at 8 ft, and the short 9-second period won’t help the shape.

The real headline, if you’ve got the skills, is Thursday the 10th morning. Clean 10 ft S swell, period up to 10 seconds, combined energy at 3059—that’s a solid, powerful groundswell. Wind is a cross-off from the SSW at 12 mph, which will keep the face fairly tidy. But look, this is too big for most, and the guidance says it’s too big for this break. Only for experts, and even then, you’ll want a bigger board and a forgiving tide.

Friday the 11th morning might be the sweet spot for the average surfer. 7 ft from the S, period 10 seconds, combined energy 974—moderate power but not overwhelming. The wind is light SW at 6 mph, cross-off, and it’s clean. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Things go flat again through the middle of the week, with a gap of a few days where there’s nothing really worth chasing. Swell drops below 3 ft, wind gets messy, and the scores are low.

Then we jump out to the second week, and here’s where it gets interesting. Friday the 18th morning, we’ve got a massive 16 ft S swell rolling in, period 12 seconds, combined energy at 12551—that’s a proper, powerful groundswell. Offshore wind from the NNW at 9 mph, clean faces. But again, this is way too big for Palm Beach, and the guidance says it’s too big. Only for absolute experts, and even then, it’s likely going to close out or be dangerous.

Saturday the 19th morning might be the one to wait for. Swell drops to a still-chunky 8 ft from the SSE, period 12 seconds (very long period), combined energy 2140. Wind is glassy—WSW at just 3 mph—so the surface will be perfect. This is the standout for experienced surfers in the second week, but that long period swell at a beach break might make it a bit straight and fat. More suited to a point or reef, but if it’s lining up, you’ll be in for a treat.

Overall, the first week is a slow burn with one clean but small morning on Monday the 7th, then a big, expert-only pulse on Thursday the 10th. The second week holds more promise, but the big swells are all oversized for this break. Best bet is Saturday the 19th morning for those who can handle 8 ft and want glassy, clean waves. Keep your eyes on the forecasts, ’cause it could change.

Rusty.

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