Tuncurry-North Wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s Rusty here.

First up, we’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands. The good news is there’s a pulse of energy coming through, but the timing and conditions mean it’s not going to be a total write-off. The standout window is this Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th, with a solid, powerful swell. After that, things drop away quickly, and we’re looking at a long, flat spell.

Tuncurry-North Wall is the only spot on the radar, and it kicks off Sunday morning, July 19th. We’re looking at a solid 8ft easterly swell, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving around – the combined energy is a hefty 1495 (strong to very strong wave energy). The wind is a cross-off from the SSE at 12 mph, which will keep it reasonably clean, but that’s a big, powerful wave. For the experienced crew, it’s game on, but beginners should sit this one out. The water temp is sitting at 67°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no thermal shock. The afternoon session hangs in there with the same size, a bit lighter wind at 9 mph, and still cross-off.

Monday the 20th sees the swell dropping slightly to 7ft in the morning, still from the east, with a period of 11 seconds. The energy is still strong at 1128. The wind is light and variable from the ESE at 3 mph, which is almost glassy – a major positive. This will be the cleanest of the bigger days. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 7ft and the wind swings onshore, making it a bit bumpy.

Tuesday the 21st is a letdown. The swell drops to 5ft and the wind turns onshore, making it messy. By the afternoon, it’s a write-off with onshore wind and poor conditions.

The Real Pick: Look, if you’re serious, Sunday morning and Monday morning are your only real shots. The swell is big, but the Monday morning session with that near-glassy wind is the best of the bunch. It’s a powerful, easterly groundswell – it’ll be lining up, but it’s for the experienced. This is a beach/breakwater setup, so that long period (11 seconds) means it could be a bit straight, but with the size, there’ll be some wedges.

What’s Coming: After Tuesday, the surf dies. We’re talking a long stretch of tiny waves. From Wednesday the 22nd onwards, the swell drops below 3ft, and by the end of the week, we’re scraping the bottom with 0.7ft to 2ft waves. The wind turns offshore or cross-off for a lot of that period, which is a tease – clean but flat. The combined energy drops to double digits (as low as 3), so it’s a total flat spell. The second week (starting July 26th) is a complete washout. There’s a tiny blip of very long-period swell right at the end (Aug 1st-3rd), but it’s only 0.7ft – it’s a ghost wave. You’re better off taking a break.

So, in short: get out Sunday or Monday morning. After that, it’s a long, flat run. The forecast can change, but for now, it’s a one-weekend show.

- Rusty

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