Tuncurry-North Wall Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee, sit down. Rusty here. I've had a proper look at what's coming for Tuncurry-North Wall over the next couple of weeks, and to be honest, it's a bit of a frustrating stretch. There's nothing really firing, but let's break it down day by day.

The overall pattern is small, weak, and mostly disappointing. We start with a few days of tiny, crummy surf that isn't worth paddling out for, then we get a slight bump in size mid-week but the quality just isn't there. It's very much a case of "if you're desperate." The first real chance of anything at all comes on Monday the 17th, but it's a stretch to call it good.

We go into Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th with practically nothing. You're looking at 1ft waves from the ENE with a weak energy reading (19-20). The wind is cross-offshore from the SSE, so the water will look clean, but there's just no power. Saturday afternoon is rain showers, Sunday morning has light rain clearing to a sunny afternoon. Don't bother.

Monday the 17th is where we see the swell bump up a bit. The morning shows 4ft from the ESE, but the period is a short, weak 7 seconds, with moderate energy (160). The comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," and that's being generous. The wind is a light cross-off from the SSE, so it'll be clean, but those short-period waves will be soft. The afternoon gets worse as the wind swings SE and goes cross-shore, bringing in some chop. It's not good.

Tuesday the 18th is more of the same sad story. Similar swell (4-4ft from the ESE with 7-second periods) but with a cross-shore wind from the SE all day. The energy ticks up a bit (196-207), but the conditions are poor, with a slight cross-chop. Not a day to get excited about.

Now, Wednesday the 19th morning is frustrating. We get a glassy, clean surface with the wind dropping to zero from the east. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the ESE with a longer 10-second period, and moderate energy (182). It would be glassy and clean, but it's just so small. The afternoon gets ruined as the wind picks up from the east, going cross-onshore and messing up the 4ft swell. That morning window is the closest thing to a standout, and it's still a "maybe" for a longboard.

Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st are a write-off. Thursday has a stiff onshore nor'easter at 18 mph in the afternoon, turning the 3ft swell into a washing machine. Friday is similar with a messy cross-onshore flow. Not worth it.

By the weekend of the 22nd and 23rd, the swell drops back down to below 3ft and the energy falls off a cliff. Saturday the 22nd morning might have clean 3ft waves from the NE with a cross-offshore westerly, but that energy is a weak 107. Sunday the 23rd sees a clean offshore wind from the SW, but the swell is only 1-2ft. You'd be floating.

The second week, from Monday the 24th right through to Sunday the 30th, is basically flat. The model shows barely any swell, with the combined energy dropping below 40 and often to zero. There are a few days with clean offshore winds, especially the 25th and 26th, but there's nothing to ride. The water temperature is an average 66°F, about normal for this time of year.

So, the honest truth? There's no true standout in this 16-day window. The best on offer, and I mean *best* in a very relative sense, is Wednesday morning, the 19th of August. If you have a log and you are desperate for a glide, the 2ft glassy conditions might give you a few slow, clean lines. But for any sort of proper wave, this forecast is a dud. It's a pattern of small, weak swells and poor wind alignment. It's one of those stretches where you don't bother checking the forecast and go do something else.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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