Fly Roads Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Fly Roads has got cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a mixed bag, with a few windows of opportunity, but you’ll need to pick your moments.

The water temp is sittin’ at 67°F which is about average for this time of year, so nothin’ wild there.

The next few days are pretty grim. Sunday afternoon (13th) has some S swell around 3ft but a strong NE wind at 22 mph is blowin’ cross-off, and the combined energy is weak at 235, so the conditions are poor. Monday the 14th is a bit of a tease; morning has clean 3ft S swell with a light offshore, and combined energy is moderate at 188, but the score is low, so it’s very ordinary. Monday afternoon the wind picks back up to 19 mph offshore, and it’s clean, but the swell drops to 2ft and energy to 138 – not worth paddlin’ out for.

Tuesday the 15th is a write-off with tiny 1ft swell and glassy conditions in the morning, but the energy is only 33, so it’s just flat. Tuesday afternoon is a joke at 1ft and 32 energy.

Now, here’s where it gets heavy. A big pulse arrives Wednesday the 16th. Wednesday morning we’re lookin’ at a solid 12ft swell from the S with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is very strong at 1925, but the wind is howlin’ onshore from the SSW at 28 mph. It’s blown out. Wednesday afternoon the swell hits 13ft with energy at 3266, but again, that 28 mph onshore wind is trash. Thursday the 17th continues the pattern: 12ft swell in the morning (energy 2210) and 10ft in the afternoon (energy 1524), but both with strong onshore winds. This is expert-only territory, and even then, the conditions are poor. For a beach setup like this, it’s lookin’ more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We finally get a bit of a break on Friday the 18th. The morning has a 6ft S swell with a light cross-on wind, and the energy is moderate at 493. It’s only a marginal forecast. Friday afternoon is cleaner with a cross-off wind and 5ft swell (energy 439), still just marginal.

Saturday the 19th sees a weird long-period S swell of 16 seconds, but it’s only 2ft. The energy is moderate at 399, but the morning is choppy and the afternoon has cross-shore wind. That long period will make it straight and fast at the beach, so don’t expect much.

From Sunday the 20th through Monday the 28th, it’s mostly tiny, weak swell and inconsistent conditions. There’s a glimmer on Tuesday the 22nd morning, with a clean 6ft S swell (period 10 seconds, energy 619) and a light offshore breeze – that’s the standout of the whole run. It’s the only session I’d call “very good,” so if you can, that’s your window. But it’s over a week away, so don’t bank on it too hard.

Otherwise, it’s a long stretch of poor, small, or onshore junk. The last real chance is Tuesday the 22nd morning; after that, it’s flat and messy until the end of the period.

Rusty

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