Fly Roads Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in with the look ahead for our local stretch. We’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands. The next several days are pretty grim, but there is a little window forming later that might just be worth paddling out for.

The short-term forecast is dominated by poor surf conditions. We have some building swell around Thursday the 27th and Friday the 28th, but the winds are just making a mess of it, so the quality is absolute rubbish. We’re looking at a gap of nearly a week of average to poor surf before we see any real hope.

Wednesday 26th August – Forget it. The morning is a write-off with cross-on winds and a weak 1ft S swell. The afternoon sees a bit of a jump to 4ft, but it’s onshore and choppy, not worth a second look.

Thursday 27th August – We get some size, but it’s a cruel tease. The morning brings a 7ft S swell, but it’s blown out by onshore winds. That’s powerful wave energy (1065), but for a paddle surfer, it’s a messy, closed-out nightmare. This setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than a standard paddle session. The afternoon cleans up a little with lighter winds and a 6ft swell, but the damage is done.

Friday 28th August – Still messy. The morning shows a 6ft S swell with some long period (11 seconds) and solid energy (819), but with cross-onshore winds, it’s only a marginal call at best. The afternoon is much the same. Not worth the drive.

Saturday 29th & Sunday 30th August – The swell drops off, but the wind stays in a nasty cross-onshore pattern. Small, choppy, and uninspiring. We’re looking at some weak energy around 3ft to 5ft. Honestly, you’re better off doing something else.

Monday 31st August – The swell tries to build back, with a 5ft SSE swell by the afternoon. The period is a long 15 seconds, which means some good groundswell energy (876). However, it’s cross-shore and a bit of a wolf in sheep's clothing. Still only a marginal call.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. We have a little standout window.

Tuesday 1st September – This is the one to circle on your calendar. The morning glass-off is the story. We’ve got a clean 3ft S swell (282 energy) with light cross-offshore NNW winds. It won’t be big, but by midday, conditions are looking very clean. The afternoon gets even better as offshore NNE winds kick in at 12 mph. The swell holds at 3ft, but it’ll be groomed, clean and fun on a longboard. A true standout for this run, with good surf conditions forecast. It’s a very consistent break, so you should get plenty of rides, but be aware crowds are possible.

Wednesday 2nd September through to the end – Unfortunately, after that Tuesday window, the energy drops right off and the wind turns against us. The swell dips below 3ft, the period shortens, and we’re back to marginal or poor surf. The long-range forecasts into the second week show persistent small wind swell and onshore winds, so no big standouts to get excited about.

So, to wrap it up: the only real bright spot is the clean conditions on Tuesday 1st September at Fly Roads. It’s small and clean. Everything before that is a blown-out, choppy mess or just too small. Don't get your hopes up for the rest of the window.

Stay patient, Rusty.

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