Fly Roads Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at what Fly Roads has cookin' for us. Gotta be straight with you, the next week and a half is a tough stretch. We’ve got a big gap of junk to wade through before anything gets interesting.

Right now, we're looking at a whole lot of nothing good. From Tuesday the 11th right through to Sunday the 16th, it’s a write-off. The swell is there, sure, mostly around 3ft to 4ft from the south, but the wind is just killing it. It’s coming from the WNW or WSW, putting a nasty cross or cross-on chop all over the place. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, with combined energy values mostly between 139 and 346, which tells me it's just a messy, bumpy ocean. Don’t even bother paddling out; it’s poor.

Now, we finally start to see a shift on Monday the 17th. The swell picks up from the ESE, hitting 7ft in the morning. The wind swings to a cross-off from the east, and for the first time, the word “clean” shows up in the notes. Wave energy jumps to 491. This is the first real chance for a wave, even if it’s just marginal. The water temp is sitting at 65°, which is just about dead average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The real standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is the tail end of the window. Mark your calendars for Thursday the 20th of August at Fly Roads. This is the best bet on the entire forecast. We’ve got a solid 8ft swell pumping in from the ESE with a 9-second period. The combined wave energy is a massive 1070 to 1168, which is strong and full of power. The wind is light, coming from the WSW and SE, so it’ll be a little cross-on but nothing too nasty. The wave comment even calls it marginal, but the score is the highest we've seen. This will be a proper size, and for a spot that’s very consistent and exposed to the south swell, the ESE direction is a good match. It might be a big one, so if you’re a beginner, maybe sit this one out. For the more experienced crew, this is your session.

After that, things taper off quickly. Saturday the 22nd morning looks glassy with 5ft of ESE swell (combined energy of 356), which is a nice, clean little window, but the energy drops right off again. By Monday the 24th, we’re back to almost nothing, with tiny 0.7ft waves on the glass, and then a weird 0.3ft offshore wind day with an 18-second period, which is just useless.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a total bust. Don’t even look at it. The only light in the tunnel is that Thursday the 20th, which has the size and juice to be a proper day out. Then it’s back to flatness. Fingers crossed the forecasts keep looking good for the 20th.

Rusty.

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