Shelly Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 30.51° S 153.03° E

Shelly Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 9 am 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Shelly Beach sea temperature is
19.9°C
0.0° 

Shelly Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Shelly Beach surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 1PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 4AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, S swell with 5,195 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 7PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Shelly Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 7PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Shelly Beach in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 06) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 7PM (Fri 4th Sep)2.5ft (0.7m) 13s
Best Surf 1PM (Thu 10th Sep)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 4AM (Fri 11th Sep)11ft (3.5m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Shelly Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s brewing for Shelly Beach over the next couple of weeks. The early part of the period is pretty ordinary, with small, messy swell and onshore winds keeping things flat and uninspiring. We’ve got a few days of nothing much to write home about, but patience will pay off. The real action starts to build from early next week, with a couple of standouts that’ll get the heart thumping.

Friday (4th September) starts weak – a bit of a 3ft south swell at 6 seconds, with a light cross-offshore wind, but the combined energy is only 105 – pretty weak. It’s surfable but ordinary, and not worth chasing. Saturday and Sunday stay small and messy, no good windows.

Monday (7th September) morning is where we see the first proper movement. A solid 6ft south swell rolling in at 11 seconds, with a light cross-offshore breeze and combined energy jumping to 686 – moderate and building. That’s clean, punchy surf for the experienced crew. Shelly Beach is exposed, and the swell direction from the south lines up nicely. The water temp is 20°, right on average for this time of year.

Tuesday (8th September) morning brings a bigger 8ft swell from the SSE, period 9 seconds, but with a moderate cross-offshore wind. Combined energy hits 1060 – that’s getting strong. It’s a bit heavy for beginners but manageable for intermediates. Conditions are clean, though the size might make it more of a challenge if you’re not confident.

Now for the standout – Friday, 11th September morning. We’ve got a 8ft swell from the SSE, but the period stretches to 13 seconds, and the wind is light offshore from the SSW. Combined energy is 2360 – strong. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. The long period means the waves will have proper shape and power, and the offshore breeze will keep them glassy. Shelly Beach is a beach break, so that long period might make it a bit straight, but the quality here is top-notch. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

Saturday (12th September) morning holds a 6ft SSE swell at 13 seconds, moderate offshore wind, combined energy 934 – still very good, clean waves. A solid follow-up session.

After that, the swell backs off through the second week. Sunday (13th September) morning drops to 3ft, still with a light cross-offshore breeze, but energy falls to 305 – weak to moderate. By Monday the 14th, we’re back to tiny, poor surf.

Another runner appears on Friday (18th September) morning – a 8ft south swell with a 13-second period, fresh cross-offshore wind, and combined energy of 2592 – strong. But it’s marginal and the wind is fresh, so it’ll be challenging.

The true best on offer is that Friday 11th September morning session – big, clean, powerful. Monday 7th September morning is also a ripper for a solid session without the extreme size. Get amongst it if you’re keen.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Very mild (max 18°C on Mon morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon afternoon, fresh winds from the SSW by Wed night).

Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
2
3
0
1
2
2
4
2
0
2
1
!
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
S
6
0.4
SSE
10
1
S
10
0.6
S
9
0.4
S
11
0.5
S
10
0.4
S
10
1.2
SSE
6
1.4
S
7
1.7
S
11
1.3
S
10
1.1
S
8
2.5
SSE
9
2.5
SSE
10
2.4
SSE
12
1.9
SSE
11
1.6
SSE
10
1.4
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
8
3
SSE
10
2.2
S
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
50
33
210
52
52
44
30
107
215
670
313
157
1050
1280
1659
823
500
358
908
1846
1240
Wind (km/h)
10
S
15
E
5
W
10
ENE
20
NNE
10
NNW
10
ESE
15
SE
10
W
10
SSE
15
ENE
15
SW
25
S
25
SSE
10
WSW
10
E
20
ENE
15
SW
30
SSW
35
S
20
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
cross-off
on
on
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
on
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
1:24PM1.39m
1:48AM0.91m
2:41PM1.42m
3:19AM0.88m
3:57PM1.48m
4:39AM0.94m
5:02PM1.57m
5:41AM1.04m
5:57PM1.65m
6:31AM1.15m
6:44PM1.69m
7:16AM1.26m
7:28PM1.68m
Low Tide
8:14PM0.39m
7:35AM0.33m
9:46PM0.35m
8:58AM0.33m
10:59PM0.26m
10:16AM0.29m
11:55PM0.15m
11:21AM0.21m
00:41AM0.07m
12:16PM0.13m
1:20AM0.00m
1:06PM0.08m
1:56AM-0.03m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
clear
part cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:00
5:58
5:56
5:56
5:54
5:52
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:32
5:34
5:34
5:35
5:35
5:36
5:36
 mm
3
2
Temp °C
19
20
17
23
25
23
25
20
17
18
18
16
18
18
14
17
18
17
17
16
14
Feels °C
18
19
17
19
22
20
22
17
16
16
16
16
12
12
11
14
15
17
9
8
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Shelly Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Shelly Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Shelly Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Shelly Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Shelly Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Shelly Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Port Macquarie? If you are looking for accommodation near Shelly Beach, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Port Macquarie, consider staying in Coffs Harbour which is 24 km (15 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in South Grafton which is 90 km (56 miles) away

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