Cabrillo Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m lookin’ at the next 16 days here, and honestly, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough run. The swell’s around, but the wind and conditions just ain’t playin’ ball for most of it. We’ve got a long stretch of pretty ordinary stuff before we finally see a little window of hope right at the tail end.

The main spot on the radar is Cabrillo Point. It’s a sheltered point break, so it needs a good angle, and it’s gettin’ most of its energy from the SW which is its optimum. But the problem is, for the entire first week and a half, the wind is just wreckin’ it. Cross-onshore, cross-shore, choppy, lumpy – you name it. The swell energy is there, sometimes moderate, hitting numbers like 293 and even climbing into the strong range at 502 or 638, but that doesn’t matter when the surface is all messed up. The water temp is a big story here – it’s sittin’ at 70.9°F, which is a whopping 5.6°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a real anomaly, feels like bathwater out there.

Monday July 20th kicks off with a cloudy afternoon and a cross-on WSW breeze at 9 mph, pushin’ around a weak 2ft SW swell with a 16-second period. The energy’s only 293, and the report says “poor surf conditions.” Not a good start.

Tuesday July 21st through Thursday July 23rd is more of the same. The morning of the 21st has a cleaner sky but a light cross-on wind, and the swell bumps up to 3.3ft from the SSW with a 16-second period – energy jumps to 502. But it’s still “poor surf conditions.” The afternoons get worse with a strong cross-shore wind, 12 mph, makin’ a mess of the 2.3ft swell. Wednesday and Thursday follow the same pattern: cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and the swell bouncing between 2.3ft and 2.6ft. The energy dips to 324 then back up to 442, but it’s all no good.

Friday July 24th morning brings a surprise – a 24-second period SW swell, but it’s only 2ft and the wind is onshore from the SSE at 9 mph. The energy is strong at 638, but the report still says “poor surf conditions.” The afternoon is a little lighter with a 2.6ft swell, but the cross-onshore wind ruins it.

Saturday July 25th and Sunday July 26th offer a glimmer. The Saturday morning shows a 2.3ft SSW swell with a 21-second period and a light cross-onshore breeze. The energy is 582, and the report upgrades to “marginal” – it’s a 1 out of 10, so barely worth a paddle. Sunday morning is the best of a bad bunch so far: glassy, with a light onshore breeze from the SSW at 3 mph, and the same 2.3ft SW swell, 19-second period, energy of 520. The report says “marginal.” It’s small, but it’s the cleanest window we’ve seen. After that, it’s back to poor conditions for the rest of the week.

Monday July 27th through Wednesday July 29th sees the swell holding around 2.6ft to 3ft, with longer periods (17-19 seconds), and the energy is in the strong range (551 to 656). But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, so it’s “poor surf conditions” across the board. The water’s still warm, but it’s frustrating.

Thursday July 30th and Friday July 31st are more of the same – small swell, 2.3ft to 3.6ft, but the wind and chop keep the quality down. The 31st afternoon shows a 3.6ft S swell with a 15-second period and energy hitting 667, but it’s a gentle cross-shore wind, so it’s “poor.”

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Saturday August 1st morning is a standout. The swell is 3.9ft from

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