Cabrillo Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate. Rusty here, looking at what we've got for Cabrillo Point over the next couple of weeks. I'm not gonna lie to ya, it’s a tough stretch. The break itself is a point, sheltered from the full brunt of things, which explains why everything that shows up is small.

For a solid run, from the 24th of July right through to the 8th of August, there’s just nothing to get excited about. That’s a long spell of flat or near-flat conditions. Most days the swell is sitting around 1 ft to 3 ft, and the winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is never going to polish up these tiny waves. The combined swell energy is generally in the low to mid hundreds (like 568 on the 24th morning, dropping to 84 by the 7th of August), which is weak to moderate at best and just doesn't have the grunt to make this sheltered spot work.

There's no clear standout anywhere. The best score of the whole run is a 1 out of 10, and that’s a "marginal" call. Let’s look at the 25th of July – Saturday morning has a 2 ft SW swell with a 21-second period. That's a very long period groundswell, which theoretically brings good energy, but the wind is onshore. It’s a shame because a 21-second period like that at a point break is normally a dream. Then on the 30th of July, Thursday morning, the swell switches to SSE at 2 ft with a 15-second period, and we get a "light cross-onshore" wind. It’s small, cleanish, but still marginal. The 31st of July morning sees 3 ft from the S, 14-second period, with a light cross-onshore, again that's about as good as it gets. But it’s all knee-high mush.

Honestly, for a sheltered point like this, we need a proper swell and clean offshore wind to make it work. Over 8 ft it’s expert-only, but that’s not the problem here. The problem is a total lack of size and clean wind. The large gaps between sets from those longer period swells won't even matter if the wave is barely breaking.

So, the outlook is grim. This run of poor surf (moderate energy at best, often weak, and wrong wind) is pretty normal for this spot when the swell windows aren't lining up. It’s a frustrating wait, but that’s the coastline here. Keep your eye on the charts, because the minute that swell direction swings a bit more west and the wind turns offshore, this place will fire. For now, it's a flat spell. Hang in there.

Rusty

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