Cabrillo Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m looking at the next 16 days here, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough stretch. The overall pattern is one of small, weak swell and a lot of cross-shore or onshore wind. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might find something, but it’s not going to be pretty.

The only break that even gets a mention is Cabrillo Point. It’s a point break, sheltered, and it takes swell from the SW, which is what we’re mostly seeing. But it’s an inconsistent wave, and it’s only for advanced surfers. The water is sitting at 68°F right now, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year—about 4°F above average, so that’s nice if you’re in a wetsuit.

Right now, through the first week, the swell is tiny. We’re looking at 1ft to 2ft waves, mostly from the SSW or SW. Periods are all over the place—some 12 seconds, some 18 seconds, but the energy is weak. The combined swell energy is mostly in the 100s or low 200s (like 121 to 235), which is barely a pulse. The wind is a mess. Most of the time it’s cross or cross-on, and the “wave comment” is just “poor surf conditions” day after day. There’s nothing rideable here.

Around the 21st of July, Tuesday morning, we get a tiny bump: 3ft from the SSW, period 16 seconds, with a light cross-shore breeze at 6 mph. That’s the best we see all week, and it’s still a “poor surf conditions” call. The energy is a bit better at 329, but that’s still moderate. The crowds are “sometimes” at Cabrillo Point, so you might have it quiet, but honestly, the waves aren’t worth the paddle.

The late part of the second week—specifically the 24th and 25th of July—shows a bit more juice. On Saturday the 25th, morning, we get 2ft from the SW, period 21 seconds, with a light cross-on breeze. The combined energy jumps to 528 (moderate-to-strong). That’s a long-period groundswell, which is better for a point break like this, but it’s still small. The wind is light, so it could be clean, but it’s cross-on, not offshore. The “wave comment” is still “poor surf conditions.” Not a standout.

The 26th of July, Sunday morning, shows 3ft from the SW, period 19 seconds, and light onshore wind. Combined energy is 588—the highest in the whole run. That’s the closest we get to something interesting, but it’s still marginal. The “wave comment” is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” So it’s a maybe, not a go.

Bottom line: there’s no true standout here. The surf is too small, the wind is never really offshore, and the consistency is poor. If you’re in the area, keep an eye on the 26th of July, but don’t hold your breath. This is a classic blank run for a spot that’s already inconsistent. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be waxing the kiteboard instead of the surfboard.

Rusty

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