Cabrillo Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's look at what's on the table for the Cabrillo Point stretch. Honestly, looking over the whole sixteen-day run, it's a tough beat. We've got a classic case of "close, but no cigar" – the swell's barely nudging above a foot for the vast majority of the forecast, and when it does show a pulse, the wind is usually messing it up.

Right out of the gate on Sunday the 13th, we're looking at a tiny 1ft SW groundswell with a super long 19-second period. That kind of period at a point break usually means nice lines, but at this size it's just not enough to wrap in. With a 9 mph cross-shore wind, it's going to be a flat, choppy mess. Water temps are sitting at 72°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so the water feels like a bath, but it's wasted on this dribble.

We then slog through a flat spell with nothing to ride until the end of the first week. The signal starts to build a little around the 19th and 20th of September. The morning of Saturday the 19th has a tiny 2ft SW swell (18 seconds), with glassy onshore wind from the south at only 3 mph. The combined energy is starting to climb into the moderate range, hitting 293 (moderate wave energy), which shows there's some power deep down, but the surface is too small to do anything with it unless you're on a log. Afternoon kicks up a 12 mph cross-shore wind, so that window slams shut.

The real "maybe" window shows up on Sunday the 21st of September. The swell bumps up to 2-3ft from the SW at 17 seconds, and the energy jumps to 401 (moderate wave energy). That's the most size we see for a while. Problem is the wind is a light cross-onshore from the SE at 6 mph. It's not howling, but it's not clean. For a spot that's already inconsistent, that onshore element will just put a bit of bump on it. It's the best of a bad bunch, but realistically, with the swell being so small and the wind not cooperating, it's still going to be poor conditions. Crowds are "sometimes" a problem here, but with surf this small, I doubt anyone will be fighting for scraps.

For the next week, into late September, the pattern stays the same: tiny 2ft SW swells, with periods dropping back to the 14-16 second range and moderate cross or cross-onshore winds in the afternoons. There's a flash on Sunday the 27th where the period jumps back to 21 seconds and the energy hits 297, but it's a tiny 2ft weird angle with a cloudy sky. No good. The whole second week just doesn't offer a single standout day. It's one of those classic blank runs where the area just goes to sleep for the whole forecast window. Don't hold your breath; sometimes that's just how this stretch plays out.

Rusty, signing off.

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