Cabrillo Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for Cabrillo Point, and honestly, it’s a tough one. This is a sheltered, inconsistent point break that’s advanced-only, and the forecast is mostly a story of small, messy swell and choppy conditions. There’s no real standout surf in the first week, and the whole run is a bit of a waiting game.

The water is 70° – that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, nearly three degrees above the long-term average. It’s a weird one, but it’s the only notable thing about the conditions right now.

The first week is a real grind. From Friday the 17th right through to Thursday the 24th, we’re looking at tiny swell heights between 1 ft and 2 ft, mostly from the SW or SSW, with weak to moderate energy levels (between 137 and 521). The wind is almost always cross-on or onshore, keeping things choppy and gutless. The only breath of fresh air comes on Monday the 20th morning – we get a glassy moment with a 3 ft SSW swell, but it’s paired with very ordinary conditions. The energy is moderate (374), but it won’t be exciting. That’s the best of a bad bunch in the first week, and it’s still not worth a paddle.

After a long gap of nothing worth recommending, the second week shows a little more life, but it’s still far from perfect. From Friday the 24th onwards, the swell picks up a bit, hitting 2 ft to 4 ft, with the energy climbing into the strong range (up to 930). The period gets longer too, with some 21-24 second groundswell pulses. That’s a promising sign for a point break, but the wind remains a problem – mostly cross-on or onshore, with only a few marginal cross-shore windows.

The best on offer, and the only real standout, is Monday the 27th morning. The swell is 3 ft from the SSW, with a strong energy reading of 930 and a long period of 18 seconds. The wind is a light cross-on from the SW, which is just about manageable. It’s marginal, but it’s the cleanest, most energetic window in the whole 16 days. The wave shape could be okay for a point, but it’s still an advanced-only spot that’s inconsistent, so don’t expect a crowd of regulars. It’s the one to circle if you’re keen.

After that, we drift back into smaller, weaker, and choppier conditions through the end of July and into the start of August. The 31st of July morning has a 3 ft S swell with moderate energy (620) and a light cross-on, but it’s not enough to save the run.

Honestly, this is a blank run for most of the window. The forecast can change, but right now, it’s a quiet period for Cabrillo Point. If you’re desperate, the 27th morning is your best bet, but don’t expect much.

Rusty.

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