Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf outlook for Waimanalo. I gotta be honest—this is a tough stretch. The first week and a half looks pretty bleak. The wind is howling from the ENE, blowing straight onshore, and it’s making a mess of the waves. There’s some solid swell in the water, but it’s getting thrashed by these strong winds, so the surf quality is poor for days on end. You’re looking at a big gap of about 10 days where there’s nothing worth paddling out for.

The water temperature is sitting at 80°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year—no big surprise there.

The one real glimmer of hope comes on Wednesday the 29th of July. That afternoon, the wind finally swings around to a light SSW offshore breeze, just 3 mph, glassing things up. The swell drops to 8 ft from the ENE, with a combined wave energy of 949 (moderate energy). The wind is light and offshore, so the sets should be clean. This is the standout window in the whole 16-day forecast. Waimanalo is an exposed beach break, so that long-period energy isn’t ideal for it, but with the wind off and the swell size manageable, it’ll be the best you’ll see.

After that, it’s back into the onshore wind pattern for the rest of the run. The second week sees the swell dropping a bit and the winds staying stubbornly onshore. A few days around the 6th and 7th of August have lighter winds (9 mph from the ENE), and the swell is around 5 ft to 6 ft with periods of 9 to 10 seconds, but the surf condition is still marginal or poor. Nothing to get excited about. The breaks are likely to be a bit of a mess.

So here’s the takeaway: if you’re waiting for a session, circle Wednesday the 29th of July. That’s your day. The rest of the window is a write-off for clean surf at Waimanalo. It’s a tough run for this area, but forecasts can change, and it’s not the end of the world.

Rusty.

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