Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next stretch.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the outlook for Waimanalo is a grim one for the next 16 days. We’re looking at a long, frustrating run of poor surf conditions. The wind is almost constantly hammering the coast from the ENE, putting it right onshore, and the sea state is just messy. There’s no standout session to get excited about, and for a spot that’s usually fairly consistent, this is a tough patch.

We start on Friday, 24 July, with a 7ft ENE swell, but it’s paired with a stiff 22 mph onshore wind. The wave energy is moderate (394), but the conditions are just poor. That same story repeats through Saturday and Sunday (25th and 26th July) – the wind stays strong and onshore, with swell heights hovering around 6ft to 7ft, and energy climbing into the strong range (up to 800). Still, the wind destroys any chance of a clean wave.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th see the swell energy really ramp up – we’re talking 927, 979, and then a massive jump to 1607 and 2212 on Tuesday. The swell size gets up to 8ft on Tuesday afternoon, but it’s all coming from the E with a moderate period of 13 seconds, and the wind is still onshore from the NNE. This is a lot of power (strong to very strong energy), but it’s unsurfable for a paddle board. If you’ve got a kite, maybe this setup starts to look interesting, but for a surfer? Forget it.

Wednesday, 29 July, is the closest we get to a glimmer. The morning sees a 10ft ENE swell with a cross-on wind from the N at 9 mph. The wave energy is still very strong (1733), but the report says it’s too big for this break. That’s a 10ft swell – that’s expert territory, and even then, the wind is cross-on, not clean. The afternoon drops to 6ft, with a light breeze, but it’s still only marginal.

From Thursday, 30 July, right through to Saturday, 8 August, it’s a wasteland. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, the swell direction is locked in from the ENE, and the period is short to moderate (7 to 15 seconds). The energy fluctuates from moderate to strong, but every single entry is marked as “poor surf conditions.” The water temp is sitting at 80°F, which is dead average for this time of year, so you can’t even blame the cold.

There are no good surf options in this 16-day window. It’s a blank run for Waimanalo. The wind just won’t let up, and the swell direction is all wrong for this break. That said, this spot is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for this long – forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it, but for now, I’d save the wax and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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