Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Waimanalo. Most of this next couple of weeks looks pretty ordinary, with a long run of poor conditions and wind messing things up. But there’s one day, about a week out, that looks like a proper little window of magic, and that’s what we’re waiting for.

Water temp is sitting around 80°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

Right now, for the first week, from Sunday the 9th up to Saturday the 15th, it’s pretty much a bust. The swell is onshore from the ENE, with winds blowing 19 to 22 mph. The surf is there, between 4ft and 8ft, but the period is short, mostly 6 to 8 seconds, and it’s just messy, lumpy, and unappealing. The swell energy is weak to moderate, nothing that gets your heart racing. You’d be out there just getting battered.

Then Sunday the 16th, it gets bigger and ugly. Swell jumps to 10ft, with a period of 12-13 seconds, and the energy cranks up big time. But the wind swings to the north, blowing cross-onshore, so it’s a big, blown-out, lumpy mess. This is experts-only, and even then it won’t be any fun. Best to watch from the beach.

Now, here’s the one to circle. Monday the 17th. The wind finally does the right thing and goes offshore, light and clean. The morning has a light WSW breeze at 6 mph, and the swell is still solid at 8ft from the NE, with a period of 10 seconds. There’s a heap of energy in the water. This is when the break turns it on. It’s still a big day, so only experienced surfers should be out there. The afternoon backs off a little, dropping to around 7ft with an NNE swell and a gentle offshore breeze, still looking very good. This is the one window of quality in this entire stretch. Clean surf, good power, and a decent period. It’s a fairly consistent break, but it’s exposed, and with the clean offshore wind, it’s going to be the pick of the fortnight. Unfortunately, it doesn’t last.

After that, it’s back to the struggle. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell drop way down to under 3ft, and the wind goes light and cross-shore, messing up what little is there. From the 19th through to the 24th, it’s a mixed bag of poor to mediocre. The swell pulses between 2ft and 10ft, but the wind is stuck in the ENE and NE at 16 to 19 mph, keeping it onshore and choppy. The energy fluctuates, but the quality is never there. The last day, Sunday the 23rd, sees another pulse to 10ft, but it’s still onshore and messy.

So, there you have it. Don’t bother this week. The only real hope is Monday the 17th. Big, clean, offshore, and all yours if you’ve got the skills. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or too big and blown out. It’s a lean stretch, but that one day could be special.

Stay salty.

Rusty.

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