Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming up for the Waimanalo zone. I gotta be straight with you – this is one of those outlooks where I wish I had better news. The whole 16-day window is pretty much a write-off for decent surfing, so we’re looking at a blank run that stretches from now right through to mid-August with no real standouts.

Waimanalo’s an exposed beach break that really wants that NE swell, and we’ve got that direction alright, with swell heights mostly hanging around the 4 ft to 6 ft range. But the problem is the wind. It’s blowing from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph almost the whole time – mostly onshore or cross-onshore. That’s a moderate to strong breeze that’s going to have things choppy, lumpy, and messy. The swell period is short too, mostly 6 to 8 seconds, so the waves will lack any real push or shape. The combined swell energy values (between 122 and 629) are moderate to strong in numeric terms, but with that wind and short period, it’s just not translating to anything rideable.

The water temp is sitting at 80°, which is about 0.9° above the long-term average – nothing unusual for this time of year.

Honestly, every single one of those morning and afternoon slots is flagged as poor surf conditions. There’s not a single day where that changes. For the first week, from Monday 3 August right through to Sunday 10 August, you’ve got onshore wind, cross-onshore wind, and even the risk of thunderstorms on the Sunday and Monday. The wave comment just keeps repeating “poor surf conditions.” The second week is more of the same – 11 August to 18 August – still that same ENE wind cranking, still those short-period swells, still poor.

If you’re desperate for something, the swell does bump up a bit around Monday 17 August with a 7 ft ENE swell and combined energy hitting 629, but that’s blowing 25 mph onshore. That’s not paddle surfing – that’s a kite-surfing setup or just a day to stay on the sand.

There are zero standouts here. No hidden gem days. No clean window. This is one of those stretches where it just doesn’t stay poor for long, and forecasts can change, but the pattern looks locked in. The lack of any consistent clean options is fairly normal for this area when the trade winds lock in like this.

Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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