Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the Waimanalo stretch. I gotta be straight with you – this one’s a tough read. The whole 16-day window is looking like a write-off for a proper paddle session. We’re starting with the first possible surf on Thursday, September 10th, and it’s a grim picture from the get-go.

The wind is a constant problem. It’s almost always onshore or cross-onshore, with moderate to fresh breezes that are going to leave the surface choppy and lumpy. We’re looking at a persistent ENE flow that just won’t quit. The swell is mostly small, hanging around the 3 ft to 6 ft mark, but it’s wrapped in a short, weak period of 7 to 11 seconds. The combined swell energy is moderate at best, hitting a peak of 508 on Friday the 11th, but that’s still paired with poor conditions. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

Honestly, there isn’t a single standout day. The whole period is flagged as “poor surf conditions” with a score of zero. The wind is just too strong and from the wrong direction for Waimanalo. With the ENE wind blowing straight on, it’s going to be a mess. The swell direction is mostly E to ENE, which is not the optimum NE direction for this spot, so the waves won’t be wrapping in cleanly.

The closest thing to a pulse happens around Friday, September 18th and Saturday, September 19th, where the swell bumps up to 6 ft. But with a period of 7-8 seconds and a strong breeze, that’s just a recipe for short, choppy, blown-out lines. The combined energy is moderate (443 on the 18th), but with the wind, it’s not going to be surfable. This setup looks far more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

You’re looking at a blank run for the entire 16 days. There’s no relief in sight. The forecast is consistent, but consistently bad. It’s one of those stretches where you’d be better off finding another hobby for a couple of weeks.

Rusty.

Read more