Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. I’ve scanned the charts for our local stretch, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a rough 16-day grind. The models are showing a whole lot of nothing good for a solid two weeks.

There’s only one spot lighting up, and that’s Waimanalo. But for the first 15 days, it’s a brutal run of straight-up poor conditions. The swell is coming in from the east and northeast, but the wind is just relentless. From the 9th of September all the way through the 23rd, it’s a constant onshore or cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the ENE, blowing at 9 to 22 mph. That’s just going to be choppy, lumpy, and messy. The swell height stays mostly between 3.3ft and 6.2ft, but with that wind, it’s not rideable. The combined energy is moderate – figures like 361, 493, and 464 – but it’s all wasted energy. The water temp is sitting at 80.6°, which is about average for the time of year, but who cares when the lineup is a washing machine.

We’re looking at a massive gap with no recommendations. The only light at the end of this tunnel, and I mean the only one, is a brief window on the 24th of September. On Thursday afternoon, the wind finally looks like it might cooperate. We’re seeing a light cross-offshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph, and the forecast actually says “expect good surf conditions.” The swell will be small, around 3.6ft from the east, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is 267, which is moderate. Because the wind will be clean, this is the one chance to get a few small, clean waves. It’s the standout, but only because everything else is a total write-off.

For the rest of the run, the setup is so poor that it’s more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle guys. Hang in there, but keep your expectations real low.

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