Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let me tell you how it's looking for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, mate, I'm a bit gutted to say it, but the outlook for Waimanalo is a long, frustrating stretch of "poor surf conditions." We're looking at a solid 16-day window with no real green lights. The consistent onshore wind from the ENE is just killing it, with a strong breeze gusting up to 25 mph at times, which is going to shred any chance of clean faces. The swell is on the rise, but it's all windswell with a short, choppy period, so it's just messy.

The first real pulse of energy comes in around August 10th, where the swell starts to build, but the wind is still cranking onshore. By August 15th and 16th, the combined energy kicks up to strong levels (439 on Saturday, 612 on Sunday), with waves pushing 7 ft to 7 ft. But again, it's all onshore slop. The water temp is sitting around 80°, which is about normal for this time of year, but you won't care about the water temp when you're getting battered by that wind.

The biggest swell event looks like it's building toward August 17th and 18th, with the combined energy hitting a massive 829 on the 17th. That's a lot of power in the water, but with a short period and onshore wind, it's going to be a washing machine. For a beginner-friendly break like Waimanalo, waves over 5 ft start to get hairy, and anything over 8 ft is expert-only, but the wind is the real problem here. If you're a kite surfer, this setup is going to be way more interesting than a paddle session.

There's a slight glimmer on August 19th, where the wind finally drops to a gentle breeze, but the swell is dropping and the period is still short. It's a long wait for nothing. This is a tough run, folks. The forecast can always change, but as it stands, I'd say give it a miss and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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