Waimanalo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s happening at Waimanalo, folks. This is a tough one, I gotta be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for surf out here. We've got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead, so if you're itching to paddle out, you might need to find something else to do for a while.

Starting now and running through the end of August, it’s a write-off. The winds are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, blowing from the ENE and NE, kicking up chop and messing up the waves. The swell is small and weak, with combined energy readings mostly in the low hundreds (132–303) – that’s weak energy, not enough to get excited about. Swell heights are hovering around 2 ft to 6 ft, but with short periods of 6 to 8 seconds, it’s just windswell, lacking any real punch. The water temperature is pretty average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

We hit a real low point on the 24th of August, with a near-gale wind from the ENE at 31 mph and a swell of 8 ft, but the energy reading of 488 tells you it’s all messy, blown-out junk. This is kite-surfing weather, not paddle surfing.

Then, right at the very end of the forecast window, there’s a glimmer of something on the 1st and 2nd of September. The swell picks up significantly, with heights hitting 7 ft to 8 ft, and the period jumps to 11–13 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy readings go through the roof – 1391, 2447, 2489 – that’s strong to very strong energy. But don’t get too excited yet. The wind is still onshore, blowing from the ENE and NE at 16 to 25 mph, so the quality will be poor. The swell direction is also from the ENE and E, which is a bit off the optimum NE direction for Waimanalo, so it won’t be breaking its best. This is a long-range standout, promising but uncertain. For a beginner-friendly spot like Waimanalo, a 8 ft swell is already too big for newer surfers, pushing it into expert-only territory.

So, to sum it up: we’ve got a solid two-week gap with no good surf. The first week is a total bust, and the second week isn’t looking much better. The only potential is that distant swell in early September, but it’s a long way off and the winds will likely ruin it. Hang tight, and maybe the forecasts will change.

Rusty.

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