Waikiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s see what we’ve got for the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it’s a pretty flat stretch for the most part. We’re looking at a long, mellow grind of small, clean waves rather than any real standouts. The overall pattern is small, south-west swells, but with some decent offshore winds in the mix. The first real window of proper fun doesn’t show up until the 25th.

Let’s break it down. The first few days, from the 15th through the 19th, we’re looking at waist-high or smaller waves. Wednesday the 15th is a bit of a tease, with a clean 2ft of west swell, but it’s a bit weak. The combined energy is moderate (383) and the cross-off breeze from the east keeps it tidy. Waikiki will be the main call, but it’s not going to be firing. The swell direction comes from the W, which is a bit off for the optimum south swell, so the waves might be a little soft. Expect a small, clean, beginner-friendly wave.

Thursday the 16th, the wind really picks up. We get a fresh offshore breeze from the ENE, gusting 22 mph. That’s a big positive, it’ll groom the surface nicely. The swell is still only 2ft from the west, but the energy bumps up a bit (508). It’s going to be glassy walls, but the size is still small. The same story continues into Friday (17th) and the weekend, with the swell dropping off a bit and the wind staying strong. The combined energy dips into the low hundreds, which is weak.

The big news is the water temperature. It’s a bit of a head-scratcher; the anomaly is unremarkable, so it’s pretty much average for the time of year. Good news for the summer wetsuit brigade.

Now, Sunday the 20th is a bit of a glimmer. We see a pulse of south swell coming in, with 3ft faces and a longer period of 16 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and with a moderate offshore breeze from the NE, it’ll be clean. The energy is moderate (422) but it’s a step up. The bigger sets will have a bit more push, but the long period means it’ll be a bit more lined up than the earlier stuff. Monday the 21st is similar, but the wind shifts cross-off, so it’s a bit bumpier.

The real standout, the one worth circling on the calendar, is the 25th of July. Saturday morning, we’ve got a very good surf forecast. The swell is still around 3ft from the SSW, but the period is 19 seconds – that’s really long-period groundswell. The combined energy is strong, hitting 700. The wind is offshore from the NE, but lighter at 12 mph. This is the best window. Waikiki will be clean, with a bit more power than the rest of the week. The long period will make it a bit more of a waiting game, but the waves will have real shape. The best of the bunch. After that, the energy holds up through the 26th and 27th, but the wind gets a bit inconsistent, and the period drops off.

The final few days of the month, the 28th through the 30th, see the swell fade back to small and weak, with the wind staying strong offshore. It’s a clean finish, but not worth getting excited about.

So, the verdict: it’s a long, slow, clean period. The best bet is the 25th, with that long-period SSW groundswell and light offshore winds. It’s not a huge swell, but it’s the best quality on offer. The rest of the time, it’s a small-wave board, maybe a longboard, and a whole lot of patience.

Rusty.

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