Waikiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for us. This forecast is all about Waikiki and honestly, it’s a quiet stretch ahead. The first real chance to get wet doesn’t look promising for a while, so brace for a lot of small days.

We kick off on Friday the 3rd of July with tiny 1.6ft to 2.0ft swells from the SSW, with a long 17-second period. The combined energy is weak at around 266. The wind is a fresh offshore from the ENE, so the surface will be clean, but the size is so small it’s barely rideable. It’s more of a fun paddle than a surf session. The water temp is pretty average for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary. Over Saturday the 4th, the swell nudges up to 2.0-2.3ft from the S, with a very long 20-21 second period, and the combined energy climbs to moderate levels (562-563). That long period groundswell can be tricky at a beach and reef setup like Waikiki, making it a bit straight, but on the right board you might find a few. The wind stays fresh offshore, so it’ll be clean.

Sunday the 5th through to the start of the second week is mostly a write-off. Swell hovers around 2.6ft from the SSW, but the combined energy drops, and from Monday the 6th onwards the conditions are flagged as poor. The wind stays solidly offshore or cross-offshore, but the surf is just too marginal to get excited about. By Wednesday the 8th, the wind picks up to a strong breeze at 24 mph, making it hard to paddle. This pattern of small, weak swell continues for days.

The first hint of a pulse comes on Saturday the 11th of July with the swell building to 2.0ft from the SW, and the combined energy rising to 332. Still marginal, but it’s a step up. Sunday the 12th holds 2.6ft from the SSW with moderate energy (379-388). By Monday the 13th, we see a bit more juice with 3.0ft from the SW and moderate energy (556), but the wind is a strong offshore at 24 mph – clean surf but a real workout.

The standout in this whole stretch, if you can call it that, is Thursday the 16th of July. Waikiki sees 2.6ft from the SSW with a 16-second period and combined energy of 540, which is the highest we’ve seen. The wind is fresh offshore all day, promising clean, glassy conditions. It’s not big, but the consistency and clean surface make it the best bet. For the true big-wave hunters, there’s nothing here. This is a beginner-friendly, longboard-friendly size. Keep an eye on Friday the 17th of July with a moderate offshore breeze at 15 mph and 2.3ft from the SSW – it might offer a fun morning before it fizzles out.

Over the 16 days, there’s a long gap of poor surf from the 6th to the 10th where you’re better off checking the kite forecast if the wind holds. The crowds at Waikiki are often heavy, especially when it’s small, so expect company.

Stay patient, folks. The ocean will turn it on eventually.

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