Waikiki Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look for our local waters. Let’s be straight with you – it’s a slow start and a long wait for the good stuff.

We’re kicking off with a real dry spell. For the first week and a half, from Sunday the 5th right through to the morning of Monday the 13th, the surf is frankly poor. A solid 8 days of small, weak swell with these persistent ENE trade winds howling in the 18-25 mph range. The wind is offshore, sure, which keeps the surface clean, but it’s so strong it’s a battle just to get out and the wave quality is just not there. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, sitting mostly between 100 and 500 (in the weak to moderate range). The water’s sitting around 80°, which is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

Now, the first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of Tuesday the 14th at Waikiki. This is where it gets interesting. The swell direction swings around to a west direction, and we see a jump in the combined energy to 582 (moderate energy). The wave height is still only around 2.3 ft, but the period is a long 16 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. That long period will wrap into the break nicely, offering some clean, lined-up waves. The best part? The wind drops to a moderate 15 mph from the ENE, still offshore and glassy. It’s the sweet spot – clean, manageable, and rideable. The crowd factor is set to “often,” so be ready for company, but this is a rare calm window in an otherwise windy forecast. The morning of the 14th is the standout. There’s a brief uptick again on the afternoon of the 17th with a 5.6 ft east swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, making it a bit of a messy, choppy windswell. That’s more for the experts to mess around on, not the best bet.

After that, the wind picks back up and the surf fades out again through the end of the third week. It’s a long wait for that one decent day, but Tuesday the 14th is your window.

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