Wabasso Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight: this 16-day window for Wabasso is pretty much a bust for serious surfing. There’s a long stretch of flat, weak conditions early on, and even when there’s some swell later, the wind’s a mess. We’re talking over a week of barely a ripple, so don’t hold your breath.

Starting off on Saturday the 12th, we’ve got a tiny 1ft east swell with a short period of 8 seconds, and barely enough energy to move a leaf, with combined energy at just 16. Wind is cross-off in the morning but turns cross-on, and the comment says it all: poor surf conditions. This limp pattern drags on through Sunday and Monday – glassy mornings on the 13th and 14th with 1ft of weak east swell, but still no wave quality. Water temp’s sitting around 84°, which is about average for the time of year here.

Then we hit a proper dead zone. From Tuesday the 15th right through to Thursday the 24th, there’s nothing worthwhile – swell heights barely touch 4ft on the 16th, but it’s onshore wind from the northeast at 18 mph, making it a choppy, blown-out mess. The 3ft on Thursday the 17th is no better with moderate cross-shore wind. Honestly, for the most part, you’d be better off staying home. There’s a brief bit of offshore wind on the 22nd and 23rd, but the swell drops back to 1ft – just not worth paddling out.

Finally, around Friday the 25th, a longer-period NE swell pushes in, hitting 4ft in the morning (11 second period) and ramping up to 4ft by the afternoon. Combined energy jumps to 347, so there’s some real push there. But here’s the rub – it’s cross-onshore at 18-22 mph, fresh and lumpy. This carries into Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th, with swell peaking at 5ft on Saturday morning (12-second period) and energy reaching 629. That’s moderate wave energy, not too big for an intermediate, but the onshore wind just spoils the shape. Add in that the long-period NE swell tends to straighten out at a beach or sandbar setup like Wabasso, so it’s a raw, choppy affair. The best of a bad bunch might be the glassy mornings early on, but the swell’s just too tiny. For the final weekend? Not much to get excited about.

So, the only real standouts? If you’re desperate for a paddle, the glassy Sunday morning the 13th with 1ft east swell is clean, but it’s tiny. For size, Saturday the 26th has the biggest swell, but it’s blown out. There’s no clear winner here. Wind’s just too messy for the size that shows up. With this being a sandbar that rarely breaks anyway, a blank run isn’t unusual for the area. Stay tuned – forecasts can shift.

Rusty.

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