Wabasso Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here.

Look, I’ve stared at the charts for the next couple of weeks and I’ve got to be straight with you: it’s looking flat, real flat, for a long stretch. We’re talking about a solid blank run with absolutely nothing rideable on offer for the vast majority of this 16-day window.

The only spot we’re looking at is Wabasso, and to be honest, its saving grace is that it’s a sandbar that only rarely breaks. When it does decide to show up, it can be something special, but that’s not the story this time. We start off on Saturday the 15th with a tiny 0.7ft windswell out of the ENE, but it’s getting chopped up by a cross-onshore breeze, and the energy reading is a weak 26. It’s just not happening.

From Sunday the 16th all the way through to Tuesday the 25th, we are in a serious drought. The swell stays stuck at a pathetic 1ft from the east, with periods hanging around 8 seconds. That’s short-period, junky stuff, with weak wave energy values mostly in the teens and low twenties. There are some clean windows, especially those mornings with a light offshore or cross-offshore wind, but there’s simply no wave to ride. You’d be floating around on a millpond. That’s a solid ten days with nothing.

Finally, on Wednesday the 26th, there’s a little hiccup of energy, but it’s nothing to write home about. The swell is still tiny at 0.7ft to 1ft, but the period jumps up to 15-16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is a tease because it has the right idea but just no size behind it. The energy ticks up to 83 by the afternoon, but it’s still hopelessly small and blowing straight onshore from the east, making it choppy.

Then we see the only real pulse of the forecast, arriving on Thursday the 27th. We finally get a bit of push, with the swell jumping to 3ft from the east at a 12-second period. The combined energy reads a moderate 196 on the Thursday morning. But here’s the kicker: it’s got a 12 mph cross-onshore wind on it, so it’s going to be lumpy and messy. This is over 5ft? No, it’s not, it’s only 3ft, but for this stretch, that’s as good as it gets. It’s still more of a bump than a wave, and for a spot that rarely breaks anyway, I’m not sure it will even put its head above the water. This is a highly marginal, long-range call that’s promising but very uncertain.

After that, it fades back down to 2ft to 2ft for the end of the month, with the wind staying onshore and the energy dropping back into the weak two-digit zone. The water temp is a toasty 84°, which is right about average for this time of year.

Honestly, this is one of those blank stretches where there’s just no good surf to be had. Wabasso is inconsistent at the best of times, and with this lack of swell, it’s going to be dead. The only thing that might be worthwhile is if that Thursday the 27th pulse of longer-period east swell actually lines up with the sandbar, but I wouldn’t hold my breath. It’s more of a wait-for-the-next-system kind of deal. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be finding something else to do.

Rusty.

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