Wabasso Surf Forecast and Surf Report

GDay folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the waves coming down the pike. It’s gonna be a bit of a slow burn for the first stretch, so don't get too keen too early.

The opening days are pretty flat and jumbled. We’ve got weak, short-period windswell mixing with onshore breezes, which is a recipe for mush, not magic. The water temp is running pretty average for this time of year, so nothing to get too excited about there. The first real push of energy is a big one, but it comes with a heap of wind and a cross-onshore angle that's going to chop things up. We'll also see a weak, short-period pulse move through around the 22nd and 23rd, but it's small and messy.

The standout, and really the only one on offer, is the swell that builds late in the period. We're looking at a serious pulse of long-period groundswell moving in from the east-northeast. It starts to show late on the 29th with some proper size, but it’s a bit wind-affected. The real fun begins on the 1st of October.

For the break itself, let's talk about Wabasso. This sandbar is rarely breaking, so anytime it lines up you have to pay attention. For the 1st of October, we’re looking at head-high-plus surf, in the 1.4m range, with a nice long period of 11 seconds. The winds are light and glassy, which is a major positive. This is about as clean as it gets. The swell direction is from the ENE, right in the optimum window for this spot.

The combined energy for that day is sitting at 457, which is a solid, moderate amount of push. The long period and light wind should allow the sandbar to produce some lined-up, well-shaped waves. I'd get on it early though, as the following days see the wind clock around and the size drop off.

Before that, from the 19th through the 24th, it's small and weak. On the 25th and 26th, there’s a bump in size to the 1.7m range, but it's still short-period and winds are average, so “marginal” is being kind. The 27th sees the first real push of size from the new groundswell, with waves jumping to 2.0m, but again, it's onshore and bumpy. The 28th is where it really gets big, hitting the 4 to 4.0m mark. That's a serious amount of water, and with the wind chopping it up, it's going to be a washing machine. That size is well into expert territory and with the north to northeast winds, it's going to be a mess.

So, the message is clear: hold out for the 1st of October. It’s a while away, so we’ll have to watch how it develops, but that morning of clean, powerful waves is what we’re after. There’s a bit of a gap to get through before then.

Talk soon.

Rusty.

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