Wabasso Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, looking at the same stretch for the Wabasso area. Gotta be straight with you—this 16-day outlook is a total dud. There’s nothing worth paddling out for. The whole run is marked by poor surf conditions, and it just keeps going. We’re looking at a long stretch of flat, weak, and messy waves.

The only spot in the mix is Wabasso, a sandbar that rarely breaks. That’s a big red flag. It’s inconsistent, so when the surf is already this weak, it’s even less likely to have anything rideable. This kind of blank run is pretty normal for the area when the conditions line up like this.

The swell is tiny across the whole forecast. Through the first week, we’re seeing summary swell heights of just 1ft to 2ft, with a weak period of 5 to 8 seconds. The combined energy is low, barely cracking 100 in a few spots, with values like 21 (on Monday morning) up to 188 on Friday afternoon, but that’s still weak wave energy. The direction is mostly from the E or ESE, which is off for this spot. Wabasso needs swell from the NNE to really work, so everything coming in is wrong.

The wind is a letdown too. Monday morning starts with a SW breeze at 9 mph, which is offshore but the swell is just 1ft. It’s clean but there’s nothing to ride. By afternoon, it swings SE at 6 mph, and it’s cross-offshore, but still tiny. As the week goes on, the wind turns cross-on or cross-shore, with speeds from 6 to 16 mph, keeping the surface choppy. There’s a moment on Saturday morning, August 8th, with a slightly bigger 4ft swell from the E, but it’s messy with cross-shore wind and the period is a weak 8 seconds. No standout.

The second week is even worse. From Monday, August 10th, right through to Tuesday, August 18th, the swell drops back to 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods down to 4 seconds. The combined energy is pitiful, mostly in the teens or twenties. A couple of mornings on the 15th and 16th of August turn glassy with a light SSW breeze, but the swell is just 0.9ft. That’s a bathtub, not surf.

Water temperature on Monday morning, August 3rd, is 81°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, with a negative anomaly of -3°F. It’s a touch cooler than you’d expect.

In short, there is nothing to get excited about. If you’re desperate for a paddle, you might catch a knee-high ripple on a glassy morning, but don’t hold your breath. The setup is so weak that it actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if the wind picks up. But for a surf, it’s a total bust. Forecasts can change, but this run looks set to stay poor for a while.

Rusty.

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