Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you – the next 16 days at Toes Over are a tough watch. We’ve got a long, quiet run ahead, with barely a whisper of rideable surf. The first real chance to paddle out doesn’t even show up until around Saturday the 15th, and even then it’s a marginal call. Before that, from Wednesday the 12th through Friday the 14th, conditions are poor – mostly onshore winds and tiny, messy swell. It’s a frustrating start, but that’s the way the cookie crumbles sometimes.

The standout window, if you can call it that, is Saturday morning the 15th. We’ve got a clean, clear sky with a light onshore breeze from the SW at 6 mph, pushing in a 3 ft swell from the SSW. The period is a meaty 16 seconds, which gives the waves some real shape and push – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined swell energy reads 393, so there’s a moderate amount of grunt in the water (393). The water temp is a balmy 72°, a whopping 7° warmer than average – that’s very unusual for this time of year, so the water will feel like a warm bath. The downside? The wind is onshore, so it won’t be glassy, but it’s light enough to keep things reasonable. It’s only a 1 out of 10 on the score – more of a “maybe if you’re desperate” session. The break is a beach/jetty setup, so with that long period, expect longer lulls between sets, but the wave shape should be decent.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th offer similar small 2-3 ft swells, but the wind stays onshore and the quality is poor. There’s a brief flicker on Tuesday morning the 18th with a cross-on breeze and a 2 ft SSW swell, but it’s still marginal. The energy drops away into the second week, with nothing above 2 ft from the 19th through the 26th. The period stays long, often 16-19 seconds, but the size is just too small to get excited about. Thursday the 27th sees a bump up to 3 ft, but with a cloudy sky and onshore wind, the surf will be a mess. The combined energy gets up to 329, but the poor conditions kill it. Honestly, the only day worth a look is Saturday the 15th, and even then, keep your expectations low. The rest of the 16 days is a write-off for a decent paddle.

Rusty.

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