Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

Alright, listen up. We’ve got a bit of a flat spell on our hands for the next little while. The whole 16-day window is pretty lackluster for Toes Over (beach/jetty). Honestly, we're looking at nothing better than marginal conditions until the very tail end. There are several days in a row with barely a ripple.

The earliest thing that even looks remotely interesting is around the morning of the 17th of September, but it’s still just marginal. The swell is coming from the SSW at 2ft, with a very long period of 16 seconds. The problem is the wind is a light cross-onshore, which just puts a little crinkle on the surface. The combined wave energy is weak (217), so you're not getting much push. It’s really just a hopeful paddle at best.

As we move into the 20th and 21st of September, the swell ticks up a tiny bit to 2ft and then 3ft from the SW, but the wind is still onshore or cross-shore at best. The longer periods (17-18 seconds) mean it’s a groundswell, which holds some potential, but for a beach break like this, that kind of period can make it break too straight. The energy is still only moderate (399 on the 21st), but it’s not clean. It’s frustrating.

There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the 22nd right through until the morning of the 1st of October. The winds are mostly onshore, the swell stays small, and the periods drop off, so the shape will be sloppy. This is a long stretch of "leave the board in the car" kind of days.

Now, the one standout, and it’s a true glimmer, is the morning of the 1st of October. Finally, a morning with glassy conditions. The wind swings to WSW and goes dead calm, which will make the surface like a lake. The swell is only 1ft from the SW, with a period of 18 seconds, giving it a moderate energy (142). It’s not big, but you’ll be able to catch a clean little longboard wave if you position yourself right. For an advanced break, it’s tiny, but those conditions make it the only session worth paddling out for in the whole outlook. It’s a shame the rest of the run is so poor, but that one morning glass-off is the highlight.

Keep your eyes on that 1st of October morning. It’s a long way off, but it’s the only real chance for a clean slide.

Rusty.

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