Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for our local spot. Honestly, the outlook is a bit of a waiting game for the next week or so. The surf is small and the winds are just not cooperating, leaving us with a lot of poor conditions and marginal windows. There’s a glimmer of hope further out, but for now, patience is the name of the game.

The first few days are a write-off. Monday the 20th through the weekend of the 26th, the swell is tiny, between 2ft and 3ft, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, swinging from the south and southwest. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, and the periods are long, around 15 to 16 seconds, which would typically give better shape, but with the wind on it, the surface is just messy. It’s a tough run with nothing to get excited about.

We finally get a bit of a pulse on Friday the 24th. The swell jumps to 2ft from the SSW, but here’s the kicker—the period hits 24 seconds. That’s a proper long-period groundswell. The combined energy is moderate, and the wind is light and cross-on from the SSW. It’s still small, but the length on that swell means there’ll be some real push and longer gaps between sets. This is the first faint glimmer.

The real standout, though, is the morning of Tuesday the 31st of July through to Saturday the 1st of August. That’s the window. The swell builds to 4ft to 4ft from the SSE, with a period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is strong. The wind is light from the south and SSW, keeping it cross-on, so it’ll be a bit textured but not messy. For a beach/jetty setup like Toes Over, that’s a solid, clean little swell. The water is sitting at a very unusual 71°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick suit.

After that, the swell drops off quickly. By Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re back to 3ft from the south with a period of 12 seconds, and the wind gets stronger onshore in the afternoon, spoiling it. By Monday the 3rd, the energy is gone, and the swell is under 2ft.

So, the pick of the week is that Tuesday 31st July morning session, with the SSE swell at 4ft to 4ft, 15-second period, and light cross-on winds. The crowds are noted as “sometimes” at Toes Over, so you might have a few out, but it’s far from a zoo. This is a break that’s fairly consistent, so it’s worth keeping an eye on that window. The rest of the 16 days is a long stretch of small, poor surf, but the forecasts can change, and this area tends to deliver if you’re patient.

Rusty.

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