Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got a look at the next couple of weeks at Toes Over for ya.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. This is a beach/jetty setup exposed to the SW, and for the next week and a half, the wind is just not playing ball. We’re looking at a solid, dry spell of mostly onshore and cross-onshore breezes that are messing with what little swell there is. There's no rideable surf to get excited about until the very end, so patience is the name of the game here. The water is running about 72°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a solid 6°F anomaly, pretty unusual if you ask me. You won’t need a thick suit, but the waves just aren’t there to enjoy it.

From Tuesday the 11th right through to the morning of Sunday the 23rd, it’s basically a write-off. The swell hangs around 1ft to 3ft with periods that bounce from 13 to 19 seconds, but the combined wave energy is pitiful – mostly in the 100-300 range (weak) – and every session is either getting hammered by onshore wind or is marked as "poor surf conditions." A couple of mornings, like Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th, we see a marginal score with light cross-onshore wind and a reading of 385 and 356 energy respectively, but the swell is only 3ft and the wind is still putting a crinkle on it. Not worth paddling out, honestly.

The first real flicker of hope shows up on Tuesday morning, the 25th of August. There will be a 2ft SW groundswell (17-second period) running under light onshore wind, giving us 370 energy. It’s still marginal at best, with a score of 1 out of 10, so don’t clear your schedule. It’s just barely surfable.

But the standout – and honestly the only bright spot in this whole 16-day window – is the morning of Wednesday, the 26th of August. We’ve got a jump in swell height to 3ft from the SSE, with a very long 18-second period. That long period means proper groundswell energy, and with 500 combined energy, we’re finally looking at moderate wave power. Winds are light and onshore (blowing somewhat onshore), but it’s the best we’ve seen by a mile and scores a 2 out of 10. The swell direction is SSE, which isn’t ideal for a spot that likes SW, but that long period will wrap in a little. For a beach/jetty break, the long period can make waves break a bit straight, so it won’t be perfect, but after two weeks of nothing, this is the session to watch. The afternoon gets ruined by a 12 mph cross-onshore breeze, so don’t sleep in – get it done in the morning if you want anything.

To keep it real: there’s nothing else. The week of the 19th and 20th gets choppy and messy, and the last few days of the window drop back down to weak 1ft to 1ft swell. So if you’re desperate, aim for the early morning of the 26th. Otherwise, I’d dust off the kiteboard for all that onshore wind because paddle surfing is a no-go for most of this forecast.

Stay patient, stay salty.
Rusty.

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