Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Honestly, the next week and a half is going to test your patience. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak surf with average energy readings hovering around the 100 to 200 mark, and a lot of it isn’t even breaking clean. The swell is hanging in the 1ft to 2ft range, mostly from the SW, and while the period is decent at times—pushing 15 to 19 seconds—there’s just not enough size or push to make anything worth paddling for. A lot of the mornings have that light cross-onshore breeze, which is putting a bit of wobble on the surface, and the afternoons are mostly onshore. It’s looking pretty bleak.

Now, if you’re desperate for a paddle, Toes Over (beach/jetty) is your only real option in this whole 16-day window, and I’m using the term “option” loosely. The water temp is sitting around average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The spot is fairly consistent, but it’s pretty much been stuck in a flat spell. The best of a bad bunch looks to be Friday the 7th, where the swell direction bumps around to the SSW and the combined energy climbs to a moderate 234, but the wave height is still only 1ft. It’s just not doing anything for me. Saturday the 8th is similar, with a moderate 213 energy but still tiny. Honestly, these are just slightly less poor options, not good ones.

There’s a flicker of life on Sunday the 16th of August. A new W swell shows up, pushing the wave height up to a more promising 4ft to 4ft, with the energy jumping to a strong 248. But here’s the catch: the swell period is a tiny 6 seconds—that’s pure wind swell, all chop and no push. And the morning wind is cross-shore, which is about the only thing going for it, but it’s still going to be messy. It’s a marginal call at absolute best.

Looking further out to Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, it’s more of the same nothing. The swell drops back down to 1ft and the energy fades. I’m not going to sugarcoat it: the first week and a half is a write-off. The run from the 3rd to the 14th is basically a dead zone with no surf worth mentioning. That one morning on the 17th is the only thing that even gets a score, and even then, it’s a long shot with that 6-second period. If you’re a beginner, this is all way too small and weak, and there’s no size to speak of for anyone else. If the wind kicks up properly with that W swell, Toes Over might be more interesting for someone on a kite than a surfboard, to be honest. But for now, keep the board in the car and wait for the next system. The forecasts can change, but this one’s looking pretty grim.

Rusty.

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