Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Toes Over. Let’s get into it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty quiet out there. We’ve got a long stretch of marginal to poor conditions, so don’t expect much to get excited about. The first real chance for a wave is Sunday morning, July 26th, but it’s a tough one.

Sunday, July 26th – Morning kicks things off with a bit of a tease. We’ve got a 3 ft swell from the SSW, with a very long 19-second period. That’s a long-period groundswell, proper energy, and the combined energy is moderate at 525. The water temp is a balmy 71°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual – very unusual for this time of year, so it’s like a warm bath out there. But here’s the rub: the wind is a cross-on 9 mph from the SSW, making things choppy. It’s a beach/jetty setup, so that long-period swell will be breaking straight in the shorebreak, not offering much shape. The score is low, and honestly, this is one for the hardcore or the kite crew. The cross-on breeze and the long period on a beach break make it look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Monday, July 27th through to Thursday, July 30th – It’s a grind. We’ve got a small, knee-to-waist high 3 ft to 3 ft SSW swell rolling through, with periods dropping from 18 seconds down to 16. The combined energy stays moderate (hovering between 474 and 651). The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, light but enough to keep it bumpy. The forecast calls it marginal at best. Nothing to rush for.

Friday, July 31st – The swell nudges up to 3 ft from the S, period dropping to 14 seconds, and combined energy at 422. Still, the wind is onshore from the SSW or WSW, and the conditions are poor. The wave comment says it all.

Saturday, August 1st – A similar story. 3 ft SSW swell, 12-13 second period, energy dropping to 296. Still onshore wind. Not worth the paddle.

Sunday, August 2nd to Tuesday, August 5th – The swell fades fast. We’re down to 1 ft to 2 ft, with combined energy falling into the weak range (68 to 166). The period is still mid-range to long, but the wind is cross-on or onshore. The water temp anomaly is no longer recorded, but the surf is tiny and poor. This is a real dry spell.

Wednesday, August 6th to Monday, August 10th – The numbers stay flat. 1 ft to 2 ft, weak energy, and onshore winds. The only slight change on Friday, August 7th, is a little bump in period to 19 seconds and energy to 192, but it’s still poor conditions. The 16-day window is a dud.

The standout? Honestly, there isn’t a true standout. The best on offer is probably Sunday morning, July 26th, but it’s a flawed option. If you’re desperate, you might score a few long-period waves on that small 3 ft swell, but with the cross-on wind and beach break nature, it’s going to be messy. For the rest of the month, it’s a flat, poor run. This is one of those times where the forecast can change, but as it stands, you’re better off waiting for the next system.

Stay tuned, and don’t bother waxing up just yet.

– Rusty

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