Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The outlook for Toes Over is a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. We’ve got some energy coming through, but the wind is going to be a persistent issue, keeping things from getting truly clean for most of the run. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no shock there.

The first real chance to get wet comes Thursday the 3rd, but honestly, it’s a tough start. Morning brings a little 1ft SW swell with a super long 15-second period, and the combined energy is weak at 188. The problem is the light cross-onshore breeze from the SSE at 6 mph, which is putting a wrinkle on the surface. It’s not great, and the surf quality is poor. By afternoon, the wind swings onshore from the SW at 9 mph, and it’s a write-off.

Friday the 4th is a little better. The swell picks up slightly to 3ft from the SSW with a 17-second period, and the energy jumps to a moderate 442. The morning has a light cross-shore wind from the SE at 6 mph, which is a better angle, but it’s still creating small wind ripples. It’s marginal, not a classic session. The afternoon goes onshore again, so morning is the only window.

Saturday the 5th morning has a similar story: 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, moderate energy at 515. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the S at 6 mph, which is a bit messy. You might get a few, but it’s not the standout day. The afternoon is again blown out.

Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th are there, with swell around 3ft to 4ft from the S and SSW, with periods around 13 seconds. The energy is moderate, in the 400–500 range. But the wind is consistently cross-onshore or onshore, so it’s marginal at best. Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th offer similar conditions – small, long-period swell, but the wind is never really your friend.

The standout window, if you can call it that, is actually the morning of Monday the 7th. The swell is 3ft from the S, 13 seconds, with a combined energy of 536. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, which is the best of a bad bunch. It’s the highest score (2) of the whole period, but that’s still just marginal. The waves will be a little fuller, but the wind is still not clean offshore. It’s the best you’ll get, but keep expectations low.

After that, the second week drops off hard. From Thursday the 10th through to the 18th, the swell fades to 1.0ft to 2ft, and the energy drops to weak or low-moderate (100–400). The period is long, 15–24 seconds, which is a groundswell, but at this size, it’s just not enough to be fun. The wind is mostly onshore, with some mornings having a light onshore breeze. It’s a long, quiet stretch. The conditions are poor to marginal, and there’s no real hope of a good session.

So, to be honest, the pick of the fortnight is the morning of Monday the 7th. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time the swell and wind align to give you a chance. The rest of the time, you’re fighting the wind or waiting for a wave that never really shows up. For a spot that’s exposed to SW, the direction is right, but without a clean offshore wind, it’s hard to get excited.

Rusty

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