Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat, so don't go getting your hopes up too high. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak waves, and conditions are just not playing ball for most of the run.

The first bit of action, if you can call it that, shows up on Monday afternoon, July 27th, at Toes Over. We’re looking at a clean 3ft swell rolling in from the SSW with a very long period of 19 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, but it’s directed here with moderate energy (640). The water is a balmy 72°, which is 7° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual for this time of year. The wind is light and offshore from the SW, so the surface will be glassy. But don’t get too excited; the wave comment calls it marginal, and the tide could be a factor. It’s a beach/jetty setup, so that long period might make the waves break a bit straight and fat. For a more advanced surfer, there might be a sneaky one, but it’s not a standout for the masses.

Things stay pretty locked in through Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th. Swell holds around 3ft to 3ft, still from the SSW, with periods dropping from 17 seconds down to 16 seconds. The wind is light, but it’s a cross-on from the S in the mornings, which will put a bit of a bump on the surface. The afternoons turn offshore again, but the wave quality is still rated as marginal. The energy is moderate but dropping (from 582 down to 505). Nothing to really plan a session around.

By Thursday the 30th, the swell starts to fade. We’re down to 2ft, and the period drops to 14 seconds by the afternoon. The energy is still moderate at 425 in the morning, but the afternoon session on Thursday is a write-off with poor surf conditions. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August are similar – small 3ft swell but with a short period of 11-12 seconds, and the afternoons are all poor surf. The mornings are marginal, but the cross-on wind won’t help.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Sunday the 2nd of August all the way through to Tuesday the 11th of August, the swell drops to a pathetic 1ft to 2ft. Every single session is labeled as “poor surf conditions.” The combined energy dips into the double digits (down to 62) and only barely climbs back into the low 100s. The swell direction wobbles around SW to SSW, and the periods vary, but it’s all too small and weak to do anything with. The wind is often offshore, but it doesn’t matter when there’s no wave to ride.

The only tiny glimmer is right at the very end on Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th of August. The swell picks up a hair to 2ft, but the period jumps to 20 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the energy is moderate (267 and 238). For a beach/jetty break like Toes Over, that long period will likely just make the waves close out. It’s a tease, not a real option.

Honestly, for the next two weeks, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. There’s simply no juice. The surf is inconsistent, and the quality is poor. A blank run like this isn’t out of the ordinary for the area, but it stings. Keep an eye on the forecasts, because it tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

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