Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Toes Over over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this is a tough read. We’re looking at a long stretch of mostly onshore wind and small, weak swell, so don’t get your hopes up too high.

The water temperature is a real standout at 71°F, which is a massive 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year. It’s like bathwater out there, very unusual.

The pattern kicks off with a poor run. From Wednesday the 22nd right through the end of the month, it’s a real struggle. The wind is blowing straight onshore from the SW or SSW for most of the time, and the swell is small, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, with moderate energy in the 300-600 range. The period is long, over 14 seconds, which is classic groundswell, but with that wind on it, it’s a messy, blown-out affair. This is a rough patch, about a week and a half of it.

Now, there is one tiny window that actually looks worth a paddle. On the morning of Friday the 31st of July, we get a moment of calm. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and the swell is a clean 2ft from the SSW with a 14-second period. The energy is low (228), but that glassy surface means it’ll be the cleanest you’ll see all this forecast. It’s the only session with a “good surf conditions” note, but don’t expect much push. For a shortboard, you’ll be scratching for anything, but a longboard or a funboard might find a few little peelers. It’s a break that’s “fairly consistent” and for advanced surfers, but the crowds are “sometimes” an issue. On a morning that clean, you might have a few mates out there.

After that, from the 1st of August onwards, it’s back to the same old story. The wind swings back onshore, the swell drops into the 1ft to 3ft range, and the period shortens. By the 4th and 5th, the combined energy drops to two-digit numbers (80, 88), meaning the ocean is basically flat. The last week is a total write-off.

So, to sum it up: the only truly standout session is the morning of Friday the 31st of July. It’s the best bet of the whole 16 days, but it’s a very small, clean day. The rest of the window is a long, disappointing slog of onshore wind and weak waves. If you’re desperate, you might get a marginal knee-high wave on a few mornings, but don’t expect much.

Rusty.

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