Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin' for Toes Over over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag. We’ve got a long period of weak, onshore slop to start, with a few pulses of energy coming through that look better on paper than they do in the water. The standout period is right around the end of the first week and into the second, but even then, we’re dealing with a lot of "marginal" tags.

The first real sniff of anything happens on Monday, July 20th, but don’t get your hopes up. We’re looking at a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, but it’s blowing straight onshore from the SSW at 6 mph. The combined energy is a weak 285, so it’s a struggle. The water is a notable 71°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s unusual, like swimming in a warm bath. The next few days through to Thursday, July 23rd, are more of the same: small, onshore, and poor.

Now, Friday, July 24th, things start to get a little more interesting. The morning shows a 2ft swell from the SSW, but check the period – 24 seconds! That’s a very long-period groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 705 (moderate-strong). The catch? The wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so it’s not entirely clean. Because the period is so long, it might break a bit too straight for a beach/jetty setup like this, but it’s something to watch.

The real highlight, and the best bet in the whole outlook, is Saturday, July 25th, in the morning. The swell is still just 2ft from the SSW, but the period is a very long 21 seconds, and the wind is virtually nothing – just a slight air from the SW at 3 mph. That’s glassy conditions. The combined energy is a solid 655 (moderate). This is your window for clean, lined-up waves, but temper expectations on size. The light wind is a major positive.

The following period from July 26th through the end of the month is a repetitive story of small, weak, onshore swells. The energy is moderate, but the wind is always on, making for poor surf quality. For a beach/jetty setup like this, with that persistent onshore wind, it honestly looks more interesting for a kite session than a paddle session.

The second week, from August 1st on, the energy drops right off. We’re into 2ft to 3ft swells with weak combined energy (under 200). The period drops to 7 seconds on Sunday, August 2nd, which is that short-period, weak windswell. Not worth the paddle.

The last possible window is Tuesday, August 4th, in the morning. We see a 3ft swell from the SSE with a 15-second period and a combined energy of 582. The wind is cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so it’s not clean, but it’s the biggest swell of the period. It’s still a long way out, so treat it as a promising but less certain option.

Rusty, signing off.

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