Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Toes Over over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a bit of a slow start. We've got clean conditions early on, but the swell is tiny and the wave comments are all "poor" – nothin' worth paddlin' out for. It's gonna be a bit of a wait. The first few days of September are pretty much a write-off for any decent surf.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Thursday the 3rd. We've got a small 2ft SSW groundswell on the books, but it's more about the conditions. The morning has light cross-shore winds, which is a start. The swell energy is building, sitting at 233 (moderate), and it's a good sign things are about to turn. Still, it's marginal at best. Friday the 4th looks similar, with a 3ft SSW swell (energy at 443) and a bit of cross-shore breeze. It's still only gettin' a "marginal" call, so don't expect much.

Now, Saturday the 5th is where we can start to get a little interested. Same 3ft SSW swell, but the wind on Saturday morning drops to near nothing – a slight air from the S – which is basically glassy. That's a major positive for clean waves. The combined swell energy is strong at 615. We're still talkin' small waves, but the cleanest window of the whole run. It's not a standout by any stretch, but it's the best on offer early on. The crowds at Toes Over are "sometimes" an issue, so on a clean Saturday, expect a few locals out.

The best punch of the entire 16-day window arrives on Monday the 7th of September. We get a solid 5ft S groundswell (15 second period) in the morning, and that combined energy jumps to a hefty 1001 (strong). The wind is a light cross-shore from the NW, keeping it clean. This is a proper long-period groundswell. The 5ft size is right on the edge for beginners, but it's gonna offer some fun, lined-up waves for the experienced crew. By the afternoon it pushes up to 6ft, but the wind gets a bit stronger and a bit cross-choppy, so the morning is the go. This is the standout of the forecast – a proper swell with decent power. Just keep in mind that the water temp is a very unusual 75°, a massive 9° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it's gonna feel like a tropical bath.

After that Monday pulse, the energy drops off quickly. The rest of the run is back to small, weak swells and mostly onshore or poor winds. A lot of "poor surf conditions" calls from Tuesday the 8th onward. There's a tiny uptick in the water temp, but that doesn't help the surf. The second week – from the 9th through the 16th – is thin. You get a few marginal calls on the 10th and 12th with 2ft and 2ft swells, but the wind is almost always directly onshore from the SSW/SW. It's not worth a special trip. The energy drops back to weak two-digit figures by the 13th.

So, to sum it up: hold out for the Monday the 7th morning session for the best chance at a proper wave. The Saturday before is your backup for a clean, small-wave glide. The rest? A lot of flat and choppy waitin'.

Rusty.

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