Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee. It's going to be a quiet few weeks. I'm looking at the charts for Toes Over and, honestly, there's nothing to get excited about for a long time. We're staring down a barrel of weak, onshore wind-affected slop that’s going to make for some pretty frustrating paddles.

First up, Wednesday the 8th of July. There's a long-period groundswell pushing in from the SW, peaking around 2ft to 3ft with a period of 16 seconds. That sounds decent, right? Wrong. The wind is straight out of the SW, onshore, and blowing 6 to 9 mph, turning the combo into a lumpy, bumpy mess. The combined energy is moderate at best but the conditions are just 'poor'. You'll be fighting the chop more than riding a wave. Not worth it.

That onshore flow sticks around through Thursday and Friday. Friday the 10th sees the wind swing a little more cross-onshore out of the S, but we're still looking at 2ft and a short-ish 15-second period. The energy drops, and it’s just 'marginal'. Light wind ripples on the surface tell you all you need to know—it’s a skunk. Saturday and Sunday, the 11th and 12th, are the same story. Light onshore breezes, tiny swell, and no quality. The water temp anomaly isn't mentioned here, so we’ll call it average for this time of year.

We hit a real dead zone starting Monday the 13th. Swell drops to 2ft, then 1ft, and the period gets inconsistent. By Tuesday the 14th, you're looking at a 1.0ft, 19-second swell with a combined energy of only 122. That's borderline no-surf territory. Wednesday the 15th is barely a ripple. The whole week from the 13th to the 19th is a write-off. For a beach/jetty setup like Toes Over, that’s a long, boring gap.

Now, there’s a flicker of hope way down the line. On Saturday the 18th of July, the swell starts to pick up a bit (2ft, 18 seconds) and the wind goes cross-shore from the SSE at 6 mph. The combined energy climbs back to 299. It’s still only 'marginal' and it's a light cross-shore breeze creating small wind ripples, so it's not clean. That continues into Sunday the 19th, with the energy actually hitting 340. But the wind is cross-onshore again.

Monday the 21st? another 'marginal' call with 2ft, 15-second swell and clean-ish light offshore wind from the SW in the morning. The energy is 370. That's the closest thing to a standout in this whole forecast. If you're desperate for a paddle, that Monday morning might be your best (and only) bet—a cleanish 2ft from the SW. Just manage your expectations.

Bottom line: leave the board in the garage. This is a long, flat, choppy stretch. The only faintly rideable window is around July 20th to 21st, but it's a gamble. See you on the beach when it’s worth it.

Rusty

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