Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, it's Rusty here. Let's be honest from the start: this stretch of coast is in a real dry spell. We're looking at a long, quiet period with nothing much happening for the first week and a half. There's a big gap coming before any real action shows up, and even then, it's a one-hit wonder.

The only break on the radar is Toes Over, a beach and jetty setup that's best for advanced surfers. The water temperature is sitting at 74°, which is a whopping 9° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's very unusual, so you'll be in for a warm, tropical-feeling swim.

From now through to the 7th of September, you're looking at a whole lot of nothing. Morning sessions offer tiny, weak swells around 1ft to 3ft, with a combined wave energy mostly in the weak to moderate range (119 to 529). The wind is almost always cross-onshore or onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions. Most sessions are rated as poor or marginal. There's a hint of something on the 7th morning with a slight cross-offshore breeze and clean conditions, but the swell is still only 3ft from the south with a short period of 13 seconds – not enough to get excited about.

Then, hold onto your board. Tuesday the 8th of September is the standout, and it's a full week away. Tuesday morning delivers the goods: a 6ft swell from the SSW, a very long period of 14 seconds, and glassy conditions with a slight air from the SSW at 5 km/h (3 mph). The combined wave energy is a strong 1264, and the conditions are described as excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper groundswell, which will wrap in nicely at Toes Over. The direction is a solid SSW, and the optimum swell direction for this spot is SW, so it's bang on. The water temp anomaly is still in effect, so it'll be a warm session. The afternoon, however, gets too big with a 10ft swell and cross-onshore winds – that's expert-only territory and a bit of a mess, so stick to the morning.

After that pulse, it's back to the quiet. Wednesday the 9th through to the 14th of September drops into weak, onshore slop again, with swells under 2ft and poor surf conditions. The energy is weak (139 to 400), and the wind is mostly onshore. It's a frustrating run.

So, the plan is simple: wait out the long gap until the 8th of September, and get on it that Tuesday morning. It's the only real chance of a decent wave in this two-week outlook.

Rusty.

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