Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks. I’ve been staring at the charts for Toes Over and honestly, it’s going to be a tough stretch for anyone looking to get a proper wave. We’ve got a long flat spell ahead, so if you’re jonesing for a paddle, you might want to find another hobby for a bit.

The water’s sitting at a warm 73°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 7°F above average. That’s a nice bonus if you’re just going for a swim, but it won’t help the surf.

For the first week, it’s a total write-off. From August 2nd through the 13th, we’re looking at tiny, weak swell. The height is hovering around 1ft to 2ft. The energy is weak to moderate, with values mostly in the 100 to 175 range. It’s clean (light winds, mostly onshore or glassy), but there’s just nothing to push you around. The swell direction is mostly from the SW, which is what this spot wants, but it's just not wrapping in with any power. We’re talking about a 12-day drought before things start to look even remotely interesting.

The first real glimmer of hope comes on the morning of August 14th. The swell bumps up slightly to 2ft from the SSW, and the energy jumps to 293. The period is 18 seconds, which is a nice, long groundswell. It’s still marginal, but it’s a start. The following morning, August 15th, is the standout of this whole forecast. The swell nudges up to 3ft from the SSW, with an energy reading of 345. The period is a solid 16 seconds. It’s still small, but with light offshore winds, it could clean up and offer a few fun ones for the more experienced crew. For a beach/jetty setup, that long period might make things a bit straight, but there could be a couple of peaks forming near the jetty. Don’t expect much, but it’s the most promising we’ve seen.

The energy stays in the moderate range for the next couple of days, but the size drops back down. Then, on August 17th, things get weird. The swell height jumps to 3ft in the morning and 4ft in the afternoon, but the period tanks to just 7 seconds. That’s short-period windswell, and it’s going to be a mess. Combine that with moderate breezes, and you’ve got choppy, tough conditions. For the wave size, it’s not huge, so it's still not a beginner issue, but the quality will be poor. This one looks more interesting for the kite surfers getting dragged around than for us, to be honest.

So here’s the bottom line. This is a lean run. A couple of mornings around the 14th and 15th have a bit of potential for the seasoned surfers looking for something, anything, to ride. But it’s not a period to plan your life around. The second week’s long-range stuff is just a promise, not a guarantee. I wouldn't be surprised if things don’t change and we stay flat. But that's the ocean for you. Forecasts can shift, and it never stays poor for too long around here.

Keep the faith.

Rusty

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