Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Toes Over.

First off, the water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there. The pattern we’re looking at is a bit of a slow burn. There’s swell on the way, but the wind is the main problem for most of the window. The first few days are a write-off for anything decent, so sit tight.

We’ve got a bit of a wait until we see something worth paddling out for. The first real chance to get wet comes Tuesday morning, the 21st of July. Toes Over will see a 3ft swell from the SSW with a long 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’ll have some push behind it – the combined energy is sitting at a solid 504 (moderate). It’s not perfect though, as the wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’ll be a bit rippled, but it’s the best we’ve got early on. The afternoon gets messy with onshore wind, so get it in the morning.

The next standout, and honestly the best of the whole run, looks like Friday morning, the 24th of July. The swell drops in size to 2ft, but holy moly, look at that period – 24 seconds! That’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is 691 (moderate), but that energy is all about quality. It’s a light cross-onshore breeze again, so not glassy, but at a beach/jetty setup like this, a long period can make it a bit tricky – it might break a little too straight and fat. But for a picky surfer, those waves will have heaps of shape and power.

After that, Saturday the 25th morning is also worth a look. Similar story: 2ft from the SSW with a 21-second period, combined energy of 646 (moderate). Again, light cross-onshore wind. It’s a decent option.

From the 27th of July through the 30th, we’re in a groove of 3ft to 3ft swells with periods dropping from 18 seconds down to 15 seconds. The combined energy stays in the moderate range (451 to 645). The wind is mostly light and onshore or cross-onshore, so the surf will be a bit lumpy, but it’s still rideable for those who aren’t too fussy. The mornings will be your best bet.

Then things start to fade. From the 1st of August, the swell drops and the period gets shorter. The 2nd of August and into the 3rd and 4th, it gets really weak. The 3rd of August has a combined energy of 74 (weak) and the 4th of August is only 112 (weak). Not much to chase there.

So, to wrap it up: the clear winner is Friday the 24th of July morning for that super-long period groundswell. The Tuesday the 21st and Saturday the 25th mornings are solid back-ups. After that, it’s a slow fade into flatness. Keep your eyes on the morning windows, because the afternoons are mostly blown out.

Rusty.

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