Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, it's a slow start, folks. We're looking at a pretty grim picture for the first week, with basically nothing worth paddling out for. The tail end of the forecast, around the second week of September, is where the real interest lies.

From Monday the 31st of August right through to at least Thursday the 3rd of September, it's a total write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 2ft, and the wind is all over the shop – cross-onshore or directly onshore. The wave energy is weak (around 128 to 247), and the conditions are just poor. You’d be better off doing anything else.

We start to see a tiny flicker of life on the morning of Thursday the 3rd of September, with a little 1ft SW swell pushing in, but the wind is cross-shore and it's still barely a ripple. It's only a marginal call. The energy is still low (225). Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th are much the same story – a bit more size at 3ft, but the wind is a cross-onshore breeze and the wave comment is still "marginal" at best. The energy is picking up a bit though, hitting 457 on the Saturday morning.

Now, Sunday the 6th of September is where things start to get interesting. The morning is still a bit of a mess with onshore wind, but hold on for the afternoon. We get a shift in the wind – a light cross-offshore breeze from the north, and the swell jumps to 4ft from the south with a solid 15-second period. The combined energy jumps to 768, and the conditions are described as "clean". This is the first real glimmer of hope.

The standout window is Monday the 7th of September. The morning is looking like the pick of the entire run. We’ve got a 5ft south swell pushing in with a 14-second period, and a gentle cross-offshore breeze from the north. The wave energy is strong (1112). The report says it's "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". That 5ft is a bit too big for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of time in the water, this is the session to aim for. The water temperature is a very unusual 75°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not even need a wetsuit.

The clean conditions continue into the afternoon, although the swell drops back a touch to 5ft. Tuesday the 8th of September still has some juice, with a 6ft south swell and a moderate offshore breeze from the east-northeast in the morning, keeping things clean. This is still a solid wave, but the period is dropping to 11 seconds. The afternoon on Tuesday goes onshore and messy.

After that, it's a rapid fade. The swell drops back to 2ft by Wednesday the 9th, and the winds turn onshore again. The rest of the second week is a desert of tiny, onshore slop. By the 14th and 15th of September, the energy is down to a paltry 91 to 116, and the swell is barely 1.0ft. Don't even bother.

So, to wrap it up: the first week is a total bust. The one and only true standout is Monday morning, the 7th of September, at Toes Over. It's the only real window of quality surf we've got in the next 16 days. It's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but it's looking like the one.

Rusty out.

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