Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Fair dinkum, it's been a lean stretch and this outlook is a tough one to sugarcoat. Looking at the 16-day window in the South West region, there's not a whole lot of grunt or good timing. The waves are there, but they’re small and almost always blown out. The water’s a warm 74°, which is much warmer than what we’d normally expect for this time of year, so the boardies are staying on.

We kick off on Wednesday the 2nd of September with a small 2ft SSW swell at Toes Over. The period is okay at 12 seconds, and the combined wave energy is moderate (209), but the 12 mph onshore wind from the WSW has it looking messy right from the start. Not one to rush out for.

Thursday the 3rd is looking poor too. Thursday morning we get a 1ft SW swell, real long period at 15 seconds, but the cross-shore wind just messes with it. The energy drops to 198. Thursday arvo is 2ft SSW with an 18-second period, which is a ripper period for a point or reef, but Toes Over is a beach/jetty setup. That long period will just make it close out, and the onshore wind won't help. The energy picks up to 305, but it’s wasted.

Friday the 4th shows a little promise, but it's fleeting. The morning has a 3ft SSW groundswell, 17 seconds, and only a light cross-shore SSE breeze. The energy is up at 443. The report calls it "marginal," but that’s the best we’re going to get. It’s still small and a bit tricky with the long period on a beach break, but if you want a wave, that Friday morning session is the pick. The arvo goes straight back to poor.

Saturday the 5th morning is the next look-in. Still a 3ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, combined energy at 460, and the wind is a light 3 mph from the south, just cross-on. It’s small and soft, but glassy-ish. Again, marginal at best. The rest of the day through the weekend is just onshore slop.

There’s a bit of a gap from Sunday the 6th right through to Wednesday the 9th. It’s all small wave heights between 3ft and 4ft, but the wind is onshore from the SSW or WSW almost every arvo. The mornings are cross-on with the odd 1 out of 10 score popping up. Nothing you’d change your plans for.

Thursday the 10th is a write-off. Strong 16 mph WSW winds, choppy. The energy is still 374, but it’s not surfable for a paddle.

We limp through to the second week, and it doesn’t get any better. From Friday the 11th through to the 17th, it’s tiny. Wave heights drop to 1ft to 2ft. Periods are still decent, mostly 12 to 18 seconds, but the wind is almost always on it. The energy drops from 220 down to 117 at its lowest. The last entry on Thursday the 17th afternoon shows a 1ft SW swell with a 21-second period and 12 mph onshore wind—that’s just a bump of energy (273) that’s completely unrideable.

Honestly, if you're desperate, the only standout worth mentioning is Friday morning the 4th of September at Toes Over. It's not epic, but it's the cleanest window with the most energy and a light cross-shore breeze. For everyone else, the board stays in the car. If you’re into kites, the bigger afternoons with strong onshore winds might get you interested when the swell is up around 3ft, but for a paddle surfer, this is a tough run.

Rusty.

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