Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks. We're going to be focusing on one spot, so let's get into it.

Straight up, I'll be honest with you: the next 16 days are looking pretty bleak for any decent surf. We've got a long stretch of small, wind-affected waves that are a real struggle to get excited about. The first decent window isn't really a thing, because the conditions are just marginal at best. From July 26th right through to August 10th, it's a slog of poor surf quality and very small swells.

The best we've got on offer is at Toes Over, a beach and jetty spot that's exposed to the SW. The water is a very warm 71.4°F, which is a massive 6.5° warmer than normal for this time of year – that's a very unusual thing to see. The swell is coming from the SSW, which is close to the optimum SW direction, but it just doesn't have the power or the right wind to make it work.

The first few days, from July 26th to the 29th, we see a moderate combined wave energy in the 400-600 range, with long-period groundswells around 18 seconds. The swell height is only 2.6 ft to 3.0 ft, which is tiny. But the real killer is the wind. It's either onshore or cross-onshore, from the SW or SSW at 6 to 9 mph. That's going to chop up the surface and make it a real mess. The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" and "marginal surf forecast." It's a shame because the swell energy is there, but the wind is just ruining it.

The end of July and the start of August don't get any better. From July 30th to August 2nd, the swell drops off. The energy is still in the moderate 400-500 range on the 31st, but the swell height is still only 3.3 ft to 3.6 ft, and the period drops to 14 seconds. The wind is still a problem – onshore or cross-onshore. The wave comments are all "poor surf conditions." By August 2nd, the energy drops to 121 and the swell is a pathetic 1.3 ft. It's a total write-off.

After that, it's a real drought. From August 3rd through to the 10th, the swell height is only 1.0 ft to 2.0 ft. The combined wave energy is weak, mostly below 200. The winds are mostly light, but still onshore or cross-onshore, which is all you need to ruin waves that small. There's a brief moment on August 6th with a very long-period swell of 21 seconds, but at 1.0 ft, it's just a ripple. The wave comment is consistently "poor surf conditions." The break is fairly consistent, but with this pattern, it's going to stay poor. For a beach and jetty setup with onshore winds and small swell, this is looking more like a day for the kite surfers than a paddle session.

Honestly, there's nothing to get excited about here. The forecast can change, but right now, you're better off leaving the boards in the car and doing something else. The entire 16-day window is a bust.

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