Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, straight up, I gotta be honest with you – this stretch is lookin’ pretty flat and sad. We’ve got a 16-day window, and it’s a long, quiet one. The first real chance of any kind of wave doesn’t show up until the afternoon of Friday the 7th of August, and even then it’s nothing to write home about. We’re talkin’ a long gap of nothing before that.

The overall pattern is a persistent, weak, long-period SSW groundswell that just doesn’t have any punch. The swell energy is weak, barely tickling the 200 mark (212) at its best, and it’s mostly under that. The waves are tiny, sittin’ between 1 ft and 3 ft. The wind is a constant problem too – almost always onshore or cross-onshore from the SW or SSW, which is just gonna put a chop on whatever little ripple shows up.

Let’s break it down. Friday the 7th of August afternoon, we see a tiny 1 ft SSW swell with a 19-second period at Toes Over. That’s a long-period groundswell, but with that size and onshore wind, it’s just a mess. The water is a very unusual 72°, which is 7° warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a wild anomaly.

The rest of the first week is more of the same. Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th offer 2 ft to 2 ft waves, but the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions” all the way. There’s a tiny window Saturday morning where the wind is a light breeze, but the swell is still just marginal.

Moving into the second week, it doesn’t get any better. From Monday the 10th through to Saturday the 15th, the swell height just barely touches 3 ft on a couple of mornings. The wind is still mostly onshore. The Saturday morning of the 15th has a 3 ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and a light breeze, but it’s still tagged as “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” The energy is moderating a bit, hitting 362, but it’s not enough to save it.

The final week, from the 16th onward, is a slow fade. The swell drops back to 1 ft to 2 ft, with energy falling back below 200. The wind stays onshore or cross-onshore. The last few days, like the 22nd of August, are just a complete write-off with 1 ft swell and energy down to 91.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout session in this whole 16-day run. The surf is just too small, the wind is wrong, and the quality is poor. If you’re a beginner, it’s too small to even learn on; if you’re an expert, there’s nothing to ride. The long periods (13-20 seconds) mean the waves would be better at a point or reef, but there’s no power behind them. For a beach break like Toes Over, this long-period, tiny swell is just gonna roll in and do nothing.

Given the consistent poor quality and persistent onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. You’d need a foil board to even get a slide.

So, I’m sorry to say it, but put the board away for a bit. It’s a blank run. But this is the kind of normal quiet spell that happens in this area. The forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope entirely, but for the next 16 days? There’s nothing to get excited about.

Rusty.

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