Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Toes Over over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest with ya, it's a bit of a slow start, but there's a window of fun coming up that could make it all worthwhile.

Right now, the water is sitting at 75°, which is a solid 9° warmer than we'd normally see this time of year. That's a real treat, but the surf isn't matching the water temp just yet. We're looking at a long stretch of small, messy conditions. For the first five days, from Tuesday the 1st through Saturday the 5th, it's all weak, cross-onshore junk with tiny swell. The combined wave energy is struggling, barely cracking 100 to 600 in the afternoons, but the winds are onshore or cross-onshore, so it's just not worth paddling out. It's a real bummer, but hang tight.

Now, Sunday the 6th is where things get interesting. That's the standout. We've got a solid 5 ft to 5 ft southerly groundswell rolling in with a long period of 15 to 16 seconds. That kind of period means proper energy, nice shaped waves, and long lulls between sets. The combined energy jumps right up to 1150 – that's strong energy. And the wind? Sunday morning we've got a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, and by the afternoon it goes glassy with a touch of rain. That's as clean as it gets. This is for experienced surfers, as 5 ft with that much punch is no joke for beginners. This is the best on offer, no question.

Monday the 7th keeps the party going with 5 ft southerly swell, still packing decent energy (976). The morning looks clean with a cross-offshore breeze, but the afternoon gets a bit chopped up as the wind swings cross-shore. Still a good day to be out there early.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell drop to 3 ft, but the morning is clean with light offshore winds. The swell period drops to 9 seconds, so it's a bit weaker and less organized, but still a fun option before the next flat spell kicks in.

From Wednesday the 9th all the way through the end of the forecast on Wednesday the 16th, it's back to tiny, weak, and onshore. We're talking 1.0 ft to 2 ft waves, mostly onshore winds, and combined energy dropping into the 100s again. There's a long gap here with nothing worth chasing. Honestly, the setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer during this whole run.

So, bottom line: suffer through the first week, then lock in Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th. That's your window. After that, it's time to wax the board and wait for the next one.

- Rusty

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