Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Toes Over (beach/jetty).

Mate, I gotta level with you—over the next 16 days there isn’t a single session I’d call a standout. The surf stays tiny across the whole run, with most readings hanging around 1.0 ft to 2 ft, and the vast majority of those are scoring a zero for surf quality. On top of that, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave comment keeps saying “poor surf conditions” or “marginal.” There’s nothing here that gets the heart racing.

Looking at the first recommendation window: Tuesday morning, August 18th, we’ve got a 2 ft swell coming out of the SSW with a period of 16 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which normally means better shaped waves and more energy, but at a beach/jetty setup it can break a bit straight. The combined energy is moderate at 226, and the water is sitting at 70°F which is 5°F warmer than usual—that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SSW at 6 mph, so it’ll be a bit rippled. Honestly, though, the score is only a 1—this is a marginal surf forecast with questionable tide conditions. Not worth paddling out for.

The rest of the week and the whole run into early September just repeats the same story: tiny swell, light to gentle onshore wind, and very low scores. There’s a couple of mornings with cross-onshore light breeze and small wind ripples (like Thursday August 20th morning, 2 ft, 14 sec period, 189 energy; Saturday August 22nd morning, 1.0 ft, 18 sec, 103 energy), but the wave state is still poor.

Sunday morning August 23rd sees a 1 ft SW swell at 19 sec period, combined energy 194, but the wind is onshore from the WSW at only 3 mph—almost glassy—yet the forecast still calls it poor surf conditions. That’s frustrating, but the numbers don’t lie.

From August 24th onward, through to September 2nd, it’s the same grind: 1 ft to 2 ft swell, with onshore or cross-onshore wind, and no score above 1. The only real change is the occasional morning with light cross-onshore winds and some subtle ripple, like August 25th Tuesday morning (2 ft, 16 sec, 243 energy) or August 29th Saturday morning (2 ft, 16 sec, 208 energy), but it’s never enough to turn things around.

So here’s the honest truth: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window for Toes Over. Given this spot is fairly consistent normally, it tends not to stay this flat for long—forecasts can shift, so keep an eye on it. But for now, leave the board in the shed.

Rusty.

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