Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are a lesson in patience. We’ve got a serious run of waits and close-outs ahead, with only one window that’s really worth getting excited about. The ocean’s not going to give it up easy, but when it does, it might just be worth the trouble.

The First Good Window – Sunday Morning, September 6th

Alright, so the pick of the entire run is Sunday morning, September 6th at Toes Over. We’re looking at a clean 3ft SSW groundswell rolling in at 15 seconds. That long period is a good sign – it means there’s some real energy behind it, not just wind slop. The wind is dead glassy from the east, which will have it looking like a mirror out there. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The energy reading is moderate (430), but the combination of that glass and the longer period should make for proper lining-up sets. If you can only get out once over this whole stretch, this is your shot.

The Backup Session – Sunday Afternoon, September 6th

The same day in the afternoon, the swell bumps up slightly to 4ft from the south, with a 14-second period. The wind swings light ESE, which is a cross-off, keeping it clean and fun. The energy is moderate (524). This is the second-best window, packed with more power but slightly less perfect than the morning glass-off. Still, for a Sunday arvo paddle, you could do a lot worse.

The Rest of the First Week – A Grind

Now, for the rest of it, it’s a bit of a struggle. Monday sees that swell go a bit wonky – onshore WSW wind and a drop-off in quality. The rest of the week is a mix of small, short-period slop and poor conditions. We do have a little spike on Wednesday morning, September 9th, with a clean 1ft SW groundswell and a 19-second period, but it’s tiny and weak (243). The early call is for glassy conditions, so if you're desperate for a grovel, you might find a rolly one, but it’s not a standout.

Second Week – Smaller and Choppier

The second week is mostly a write-off. The swell drops right back, with waves in the 1ft to 2ft range and mostly onshore or cross-onshore winds. The periods stay long, which is a tease, but there just isn’t any size. There’s a bit more energy on Saturday, September 19th, with the swell nudging up to 5ft, but it’s coming from the west at a short, jumbled 7 seconds, with onshore wind. That’s a bump, not a wave. It’s more of a mess than a surf. That one’s over the 5ft mark, so it’s not for beginners anyway, but the quality looks poor.

Bottom Line

Honestly, if you’re looking for one standout, it’s Sunday morning, September 6th. That’s the clear winner. The rest is a waiting game. The water temperature is a notable 72°, which is about 6° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a very unusual warm spell, so you might not need the thickest suit.

Take it easy, read the tides, and don't force it on the junk days. The good one will be worth it.

Rusty.

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