Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Toes Over over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temp is a freakish 71°, which is a whopping 7° warmer than usual for this time of year. That's a real tropical treat, way out of the ordinary.

The forecast starts off with a bit of a flat spell, but we've got a run of small, rideable waves kicking off Saturday morning the 25th of July. The energy is there, with a 513 (moderate wave energy) from a 2ft SW swell, but it's a cross-on breeze from the south at 6 mph, so it's not going to be glassy. It's a light cross-onshore, so it'll be a little bumpy, but for a beach/jetty spot, it's probably the pick of the first few days. The swell period is a very long 21 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy, but the downside is that kind of period can make the waves a bit too straight and walled up on a beach break. It's a bit of a trade-off for the crowd.

The pattern continues through Sunday the 26th and Monday the 27th with similar small SW groundswell, around 3ft to 3ft, with the same light cross-on or onshore winds. The energy is still moderate, hitting 537 and 603 respectively, but the conditions are marginal. The period drops from 19 seconds to 18 seconds, so it's still a long period, which is great for shape but not ideal for this kind of break. Tuesday the 28th is more of the same, with a 3ft SSW swell on a 17-second period.

Wednesday the 29th and Thursday the 30th see the swell period drop further to 16 seconds and the swell height sits around 3ft to 3ft. The wind stays light and cross-on, so it's not a complete write-off, but the energy is moderate and the conditions are described as marginal or poor. A few of these sessions have zero score, especially the afternoons, so the mornings are your best bet.

Now, Friday the 31st of July is a bit of a standout in the mix. The morning has a 4ft south swell with a 14-second period and a light onshore breeze. The energy is strong at 600. It's still not clean, but that's the biggest swell of the whole run. The water is still warm, the wind is light, and the swell is consistent. Given the other options, this is the best on offer. It's not a classic, but it's the most potential.

The first week of August goes downhill fast. Saturday the 1st has a 4ft SSW swell, but the period drops to 13 seconds and the wind is onshore. By Sunday the 2nd, the swell crashes to 2ft, and the energy plummets to 170 (weak). From Monday the 3rd through to Sunday the 9th of August, the swell is a meagre 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods ranging from 13 to 18 seconds. The energy is all in the double digits – weak, with values like 71, 74, 80, and 90. The wind is light and onshore or cross-on, but with zero swell, it's a flat spell. There's a tiny blip on the 8th and 9th of August with a 2ft SSW swell and a 17-second period, but the energy is still weak (184, 197), so it's not worth getting excited about. This is a long blank run from the 2nd of August onwards.

So, to sum it up: the best wave of the forecast is Friday morning, the 31st of July. It's not a world-class day, but it's the biggest and most energetic. The rest of the first week is small and marginal, and the second week is a total flat spell. Toes Over is a fairly consistent spot, so a blank run like this is a bit of a bummer, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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