Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you: we’re in for a bit of a flat spell here at Toes Over. The whole 16-day outlook is a struggle, and there’s no real standout session to get hyped about. The water’s a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 67°F, but that’s about the only interesting thing happening.

The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until Thursday afternoon, July 9th, but even then, it’s a write-off. We’ve got a tiny 2ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, but the combined energy is weak (265). The wind is light onshore, so it’s poor. That same pattern of small, weak SSW swell and onshore or cross-onshore winds drags on through the whole first week. Friday the 10th through Monday the 13th, you’re looking at 2ft to 1ft of SSW swell, with periods dropping from 15 to 13 seconds, and combined energy in the doldrums (164 to 240). The wind is a light breeze, but always onshore or cross-onshore, keeping it choppy and messy. It’s just not worth paddling out.

There’s a gap of several days of nothing but poor surf conditions. The flat run continues right through to Saturday, July 18th. That morning, we finally see a spike in energy – the combined swell energy jumps to a very strong 518, with a 2ft SW swell at 18 seconds. But the forecast still calls it “marginal,” and the wind is onshore. It’s a tease. The afternoon of the 18th sees the swell height bump to 3ft from the SSE, with a 655 energy reading, but again, it’s poor with onshore wind.

The best of a bad bunch looks like Sunday, July 19th. We’ve got a 3ft S swell at 14 seconds, with a very strong 681 combined energy. The wind is a light cross-onshore in the morning, and it’s the only day with a score high enough to even mention. But at 3ft, it’s small, and the period is moderate. It’s still only “marginal” due to tide or conditions. The afternoon cleans up a bit with light onshore wind, but it’s the same swell. If you’re desperate, that Sunday morning might be the least worst option, but don’t expect much.

The final week from July 20th to the 24th just fades back into weak, small SSW swell, with combined energy dropping from 281 down to 149. Winds stay light and onshore or cross-onshore, with “poor surf conditions” written all over it. Nothing to get excited about.

Toes Over is a beach/jetty setup, and it’s fairly consistent, but with this forecast, it’s a dry spell. For a spot that’s exposed to the SW, we’re just not getting the size or the clean windows. Hang tight, the forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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