Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's on the menu for the region, and I'll be straight with you—it's a bit of a lean run.

We're looking at a 16-day window starting now, and honestly, there's a big blank stretch to get through first. The first real glimmer of something rideable doesn't show up until Saturday the 5th of September, and even then, it's marginal. The water is sitting at a balmy 74°, which is a solid 9° warmer than usual for this time of year—pretty unusual, feels like a bath out there.

The spot is Toes Over, a beach and jetty setup that's fairly consistent but needs the right conditions. It's exposed to the SW, and that's the direction we need the swell from.

For the first few days, Wednesday the 2nd through Friday the 4th, it's a total write-off. The swell is tiny (1ft to 3ft) and the wind is either onshore or cross-onshore, so the wave energy is weak to moderate (181 to 631). The surf is just poor. Don't even bother.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th see a slight uptick. The swell bumps up to 3ft to 4ft from the SSW and S, with a period of 14 to 16 seconds—that's a nice long-period groundswell, which means better shaped waves but longer waits between sets. The combined energy is moderate to strong (517 to 619). The catch? The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, so it's still a bit bumpy. The forecast calls it marginal, and I'd agree. You might find a few if you're desperate, but it's nothing to write home about.

Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th, the swell drops back to 3ft to 4ft, and the wind stays onshore. The energy is moderate (425 to 436). Still marginal, still not great.

There's a real tease on Friday the 11th of September. The morning shows a 6ft swell from the W, but with a terrible period of just 7 seconds—that's short-period wind chop, not a proper swell. The energy is moderate (669). The afternoon, it's back to 2ft. It's a miss.

After that, from the 12th of September right through to the 17th, it's back to tiny, weak surf. The swell is 1.0ft to 2ft, with periods ranging from 13 to 24 seconds. That 24-second period on the 16th is a very long-period groundswell, but at 1.0ft, it's just a ripple. The energy is weak to moderate (99 to 442). The wind is onshore or cross-onshore. It's a dead zone.

So, what's the standout? Honestly, there isn't a true standout. The best on offer is the morning of Saturday the 5th of September. The swell is 3ft from the SSW, with a 16-second period, and the wind is a light cross-onshore at 6 mph. The combined energy is 517. It's not going to be glassy, but it's the most potential you'll see in this window. The other pick is the morning of Sunday the 6th, with a 4ft swell from the S, a 15-second period, and the same light cross-onshore breeze. The energy is 538. Both are only marginal, but that's the best we've got.

For a spot that's fairly consistent, this run really isn't typical. It tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on it. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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