Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s happening in the water over the next couple weeks. I’ll be honest with you – it’s looking pretty slow at Toes Over, with a big flat stretch in there.

The first window to get wet is Monday morning, July 27th. We’ve got a 3ft groundswell from the SSW, but with a very long 18-second period – that’s real deep ocean energy. The combined energy is moderate at 589. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is nearly 7° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s really unusual, but comfy for a long session. Wind is a light onshore breeze from the SSW at 6 mph, so there’ll be a bit of texture. But here’s the bummer: the call is “marginal” and the tide is likely messing things up. It’s really only for the advanced guys and it’s a low-confidence day.

Tuesday the 28th is much the same – 3ft, 17-second swell, but with a light cross-onshore wind turning it bumpy. Still marginal. By Wednesday the 29th, the swell drops to 3ft and the energy keeps slipping. Thursday the 30th through the end of July is fading fast – down to 2ft, and the comments turn to “poor surf.”

Then from Saturday August 1st right through to Tuesday August 11th, it’s basically flat. Most days show 1ft to 2ft waves, with combined energy dropping into double digits (as low as 69). That’s weak. There’s one little pulse on the morning of Thursday August 6th – 1ft swell but an incredibly long 21-second period, giving a combined energy of 206 – but still considered poor. Friday August 7th and Saturday August 8th mornings each show 2-2ft SSW swell with long periods in the 17-19 second range, but they’re both “marginal” at best with cross-onshore winds.

The best of a bad bunch is definitely those first two days, July 27-28. That 3ft, very long-period groundswell has real punch, especially for a reef or point break. At Toes Over, which is a beach/jetty, that long gap between sets and straight-breaking waves might make it tricky to line up a good one. Still, with light wind and crowds that are only sometimes around, you could get a few clean runners if the tide cooperates. It’s far from epic, but in this forecast, it’s the top of the heap.

Otherwise, it’s a long dry spell. The area just goes quiet for over a week. These runs happen here, and forecasts can always change, but right now, I’d leave the board in the car and take a walk on the beach instead.

Rusty.

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