Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this stretch is a tough one. We’re looking at a long run of small, almost sleepy surf at Toes Over, and it’s going to take some patience if you’re chasing anything with real push.

The first few days are pretty bleak. Tuesday the 15th kicks off with a tiny 1ft SW swell, and it’s got that gentle cross-shore breeze messing with the surface. The energy in the water is weak, around 114 units, so you’re basically fighting for anything rideable. Wednesday and Thursday aren’t any better—still small, under 3ft, with light cross-onshore winds. The period is hovering around 16-17 seconds, which is nice and long, but there’s just not enough size to make it count. This is a wait-and-see situation; you’re better off checking the tide and hoping for a sneaky cleanup set.

We go through a whole run of days like this. From the 17th through the 23rd, it’s the same story: swell heights stuck between 2ft and 3ft, with a mix of cross-on and onshore breezes. The energy does tick up a bit around the 21st, with combined energy reading 416 units on Monday morning, but the surf quality is still rated poor. It’s frustrating because you can see the swell direction is right there from the SW, but the size just isn’t cooperating. The period stays long, up to 19 seconds on the 18th, which would be great if we had any power behind it, but it’s like a big engine with no fuel.

Now, there’s a bit of a shift as we head into the end of the month. On the morning of Sunday the 27th, we finally get a glassy window. The wind drops right off, almost nothing, and the surface cleans right up. The swell is still only 2ft from the SSW with a 12-second period, and the energy levels are weak at 183 units, but the conditions are clean enough that you might snag a few soft, crumbly ones. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s the best the whole run has to offer. It’s the one morning I’d bother paddling out for, just for the peace and quiet, even if the waves are pretty ordinary.

After that, we’re back to the same small, onshore slop through the 28th to the 30th. The swell stays around 1ft to 2ft, with the wind chopping things up again. By then, we’re looking at a real gap in any genuine surfable option.

Look, the long-range outlook has that single glassy morning on the 27th as the only real standout, and even that’s a marginal call. The whole period is light on size and heavy on ordinary conditions. If you’re desperate, sit on the beach that Sunday morning. Otherwise, keep the board in the car and wait for something better to show up. For the crew who need more power, this setup’s barely worth the walk down the sand.

That’s it from me. Stay patient.

Rusty

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