Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you – this stretch at Toes Over is a bit of a mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s pretty quiet. We’ve got a bit of a wait before things really start to show some promise. The first few days are mostly a write-off, but there’s a couple of windows that might just get your heart rate up.

Right now, through the end of August and into the first days of September, the surf is looking pretty sad. The wind is mostly cross-onshore or onshore, keeping things messy. The swell is small, around 1 ft to 3 ft, with moderate energy, and the quality is just poor. It’s a bit of a flat spell, really. The water temp is a whopping 72°F, which is a massive 6°F warmer than usual for this time of year, so you’ll be in a warm bath, but there’s not much to ride.

Then, we get a little glimmer on Tuesday the 1st of September. The morning is looking like a genuine standout. The wind goes glassy, dead calm, and we’ve got a 3 ft S swell (12 sec period) pushing in. The energy is moderate. It’s not going to be huge, but it’ll be clean, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s the best window in the first week, for sure.

After that, the wind turns back onshore again, and we’re back to marginal or poor conditions through the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th of September. The swell does start to push up a bit, hitting 5 ft on the morning of Thursday the 3rd, with strong energy, but the cross-onshore wind just ruins it. If you’re into kite surfing, that afternoon might look interesting, but for a paddle, it’s a no-go.

The pattern continues through the first week of September – small, onshore, and messy. We get another glassy morning on Tuesday the 8th, but it’s only 1 ft of SSW swell, so it’s really just a chance to get the board wet in very ordinary conditions.

The real highlight, the one to circle on the calendar, is Thursday the 10th of September. The morning is glassy again, with a 2 ft SW swell (16 sec period). That’s a long-period groundswell, which will bring nice, clean lines, especially on a point or reef if you can find one. The energy is moderate. It’s still a small day, but with the glassy conditions, this is the best surf on offer across the whole outlook. The afternoon will get blown out again by a 12 mph onshore breeze, so get in early.

Honestly, for a beach/jetty setup like this, most of the window is a bit of a dud. The consistent theme is onshore winds and small, weak swell. But look, conditions can change, and with that water temp so far above normal, it’s a sign of something interesting. Keep an eye on the sky for the 1st and the 10th of September – those are your best bets.

Rusty.

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