Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' at Toes Over for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I gotta be honest with ya – the surf outlook for Toes Over is looking pretty grim for the foreseeable future. We've got a long, long stretch ahead with no real action to speak of. The whole 16-day window is basically one big gap of poor conditions, so don't get your hopes up for any kind of session in the near term.

Starting now and through the rest of this week and into the next, it's a total write-off. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1 ft to 2 ft from the SSW or SW, and the wind is locked in onshore from the SW or WSW every afternoon. That onshore breeze is just ruining any chance of a clean wave. Every single afternoon shows "poor surf conditions." Even the mornings don't offer a break; the wind might be light, but it's still onshore or cross-onshore. There's just no quality to be found.

The combined swell energy stays weak, hanging in the low hundreds (between 141 and 238) for most of this period, so there's no power behind what little bump there is. It's a flat, blown-out mess.

We finally see a tiny bump in potential around Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th. The swell picks up slightly to 2 ft to 3 ft from the SSW, and the energy ticks up a bit, hitting 283 on Friday morning and 333 on Saturday morning. The wind is still onshore, but light, which is the only reason the forecast gets a "marginal" label. It's still not good. The period is around 16 seconds, which is a long-period swell for such a small wave, meaning it'll be fat and gutless when it hits the beach.

The only real standout, and I use that term loosely, is a strange event on Tuesday the 18th. The afternoon shows a jump to 5 ft from the west, but the period is a shocking 6 seconds – that's pure wind chop, a complete mess. The winds are onshore and the combined energy (321) is moderate, but with that period, it'll be a closeout close-in and impossible to ride. That's a day for the jet ski, not a longboard.

Further out, into the third week, it's more of the same. Tiny 1.0 ft to 1 ft swell, onshore winds, poor conditions. There is one interesting note: on Sunday the 23rd, a long-period 19-second groundswell from the SW rolls in, but it's only 1 ft. For a beach break like Toes Over, a long-period groundswell that small will just run straight down the beach and won't form a decent peak.

Water temp is a real talking point if you do get desperate. The first record shows it at a very unusual 72°F – that's 7° warmer than average for this time of year. It's downright tropical, which is nice, but it won't help the surf.

So, the bottom line. There are zero good surf options in this 16-day window. Don't bother paddling out. It’s a blank run, plain and simple. For an exposed spot like Toes Over, a run like this is pretty normal when the wind clocks onshore and stays there. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be looking at other hobbies.

Stay dry, Rusty.

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