Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Yo, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window at Toes Over is a tough one to read. The overall pattern is pretty flat, with onshore or cross-onshore winds sticking around for most of the run. It’s not looking like a classic stretch, but if you’re patient, there’s a tiny window that might just give you something to paddle for.

Right from the start, Tuesday 4th August through to the end of the first week, it’s all small, weak, and messy. Swell heights are hanging around 1ft to 2ft from the SW and SSW, with periods mostly between 13 and 15 seconds. The combined energy is weak – values like 105 (Tuesday morning) to 234 (Friday morning) – so there’s just not enough push. Winds are onshore or cross-onshore, light to gentle, but it’s still poor surf conditions. Nothing to get excited about.

The only real standout in this whole window comes up on Saturday 15th August and Sunday 16th August. That’s the best chance you’ve got. On Saturday morning, you’re looking at 2ft from the SSW with a 16-second period, combined energy of 310 – that’s moderate energy, finally a bit of grunt. The wind is onshore, light, so it’s not glassy, but it’s manageable. The wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” so it’s not a guaranteed classic, but it’s the best on offer. Sunday morning follows with similar 2ft, 16-second SSW swell, energy 251, and same light onshore breeze. These two mornings are the only times the score even nudges a 1 out of 10. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a quiet spell, but it tends not to stay poor for long – forecasts can change.

Toes Over is a beach/jetty setup, exposed to SW swell, and it prefers the swell from SW. The SSW direction we’re seeing is close enough, but the period is long (16 seconds), which means it’s a groundswell. That long period can make waves break a bit too straight on a beach break, so it’s not ideal for peaky barrels. Still, it’s better than nothing.

If you’re a beginner, the 2ft is fine, but anything over 5ft isn’t in the cards, so no worries there. Crowds are possible – it says “sometimes” – so you might have a few others out, but not a zoo.

The water temp is about average for the time of year, no anomaly flagged, so it’s your usual August chill.

After that Saturday-Sunday bump, it drops right back to 1ft to 2ft, poor conditions, and weak energy (144 to 184) through to the end of the window on Wednesday 19th August. That Monday 17th afternoon has a moderate cross-onshore breeze and some chop, so it’s not worth paddling out.

Honestly, if you’re a kiter, the small, windy, onshore days might be more your thing than paddle surfing. For us surfers, circle Saturday 15th and Sunday 16th August on the calendar – it’s not a standout classic, but it’s the only real chance for a wave.

Rusty.

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