Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, but maybe don’t rush – it’s going to be a slow grind for the next couple of weeks at Toes Over. There’s barely a ripple worth paddling for in the near term, and we’re looking at a whole lot of onshore junk and tiny swell. The first real chance of anything rideable doesn't show up until the 20th, and even then, it's thin pickings. But let’s walk through it, day by day, because there are a couple of windows that might just surprise you – though they're a long way off.

Right from the Tuesday morning start (September 15th), it’s flat-out poor. We’ve got a tiny 1ft SW swell, but it’s coming in at a long 16 seconds, and with a cross-shore SSE breeze, it’s just messy. The combined energy is weak, sitting at 115, and there’s no push. Wednesday is more of the same – 2ft but still short of power, and the wind is cross-onshore, so you’re fighting ripples. Honestly, through the 17th and 18th, we’re stuck in this rut: 1ft to 2ft, onshore winds, and a rating of zero or one. It’s the kind of stuff that has you checking your board for dings instead of checking the surf.

The weekend of the 19th and 20th gets a tiny bit more interesting. Saturday the 19th still has that onshore SW wind, so it’s not clean, but the swell nudges up to 2ft and the energy is building – 280 to 326. By Sunday the 20th, the morning has a better chance: wind swings SSE and goes cross, and the swell holds at 2ft with a 18-second period. Combined energy jumps to 331, and it’s the first morning that looks remotely surfable. Still small, but for a longboard or a funboard, you might find a crumbly peak if you’re patient. The afternoon, though, goes back onshore and kills it.

Then we hit a bit of a wait. The 21st has a morning cross-shore wind and 3ft of SW swell at 17 seconds – that’s the most size we’ve seen, and combined energy is 401, which is moderate. It’s still not great, and the score is only one, but it’s the pick of the first week. After that, we slide back into drivel – 2ft, onshore winds, weak energy in the 170–200 range. The 22nd, 23rd, 24th, 25th, and 26th are all poor, with onshore SW or WSW winds and tiny swell. There’s a bit of size on the 25th and 26th (2ft), but the period drops to 13 seconds and the wind is on it, so it’s chopped-up slop.

Looking further out, the last couple of days of the window – the 27th through the 30th – don't offer much of an upgrade. The 27th has a touch of cross-shore wind in the morning, but the swell is still only 2ft and the period is down to 12 seconds, so it’s disorganized. Energy drops into the 140s, which is weak. The 28th has a similar 2ft but with onshore wind again, and the 29th is back to 2ft and marginal. Even the 30th has just a light cross-onshore breeze and a small, weak 1ft swell. There’s no standout period, no day where you’d want to clear your schedule. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Bottom line: Toes Over is going through a flat, wind-affected stretch. The only day that half-tempts me is the 21st with that 3ft of SW groundswell and a cross-shore breeze – but even then, it’s still a one-out-of-ten kind of session. There’s no serious size, no clean glass, and mostly onshore winds. If you’re a beginner, you’re not missing anything – the swell never gets over 5ft. If you’re an expert, you’re not missing anything either, because there’s no power. This is a good stretch to do chores, sort your fins, and wait. Forecasts can change, but right now, the ocean is telling us to stay patient.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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