Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, friends, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it: this is a quiet stretch. We're looking at a long, flat spell ahead. The first proper surf worth talking about doesn't show up until Wednesday morning, July 29th, and even then it's a bit of a struggle. After that, it's a whole lot of nothing until we get into the second week. Let's break it down.

The first glimmer of hope is at Toes Over. It's a beach/jetty setup, exposed to the SW swell, and it's fairly consistent, but that's about the only good news. On Wednesday morning, July 29th, we've got a small 3 ft swell rolling in from the SSW. The period is a juicy 16 seconds, which is proper groundswell and gives the waves some shape, but the energy is only moderate (509). The wind is a light cross-on from the south at 6 mph, which isn't ideal. It's clean enough for a paddle but a little bumpy. The water is a very unusual 73°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. That's a 8°F anomaly, so you can leave the thick wetsuit at home. Toes Over is an advanced spot, so the small size keeps it accessible, but the reports say it's marginal surf or questionable tide conditions, so keep your expectations low.

The pattern continues small and weak through Thursday and Friday. A similar 2 ft to 3 ft SSW swell with 6-9 mph onshore winds. Thursday afternoon and Friday afternoon are called "poor surf conditions," so I'd skip those. The energy drops off a cliff as we head into the weekend, with swell heights sinking to 1 ft to 2 ft. By Saturday, August 1st, the combined energy is down to 156, which is weak. It's a real struggle session.

From Sunday, August 2nd, right through to the end of the first week, the swell barely breaks 1 ft. The winds stay light, but they're cross-on or onshore, which just messes up what little bump there is. The combined energy is often in the double digits, like 77 or 94, which is basically non-existent. This is a blank run. For a beach/jetty break, this is a tough period.

Now, looking into the second week, things get a little more interesting, but it's a long way off. Around Thursday, August 7th, we start to see a slight uptick. The swell is still tiny at 1 ft, but the period jumps to 19 seconds, which is a very long-period groundswell. The energy picks up a bit, hitting 140-190. This is promising for a point break or reef, but at a beach break like Toes Over, that long period can make the waves close out and break too straight. The wind is still light and onshore, so it's far from a guarantee.

The most promising window looks to be around Monday, August 10th, and Tuesday, August 11th. The swell stays small at 1 ft to 2 ft, but the period stays very long, between 18 and 20 seconds. The combined energy finally climbs into the low 200s (218-232), which is moderate. The wind is light and cross-on or onshore, so it's not glassy. This is a long-range call, so treat it as a promising "maybe" rather than a sure thing. The water will still be warm, but the crowds at Toes Over sometimes get busy, so you might have to share the small, clean lines.

The final few days, into August 12th and 13th, show a slight lift again, with 2 ft to 2 ft SSW swell, 16-17 second periods, and energy in the 200-300 range. Again, the wind stays light and onshore. It's not a total loss, but it's not a head-high, perfect day.

Honestly, if you're looking to paddle, this is a tough two weeks. The tiny, weak swell and onshore winds mean the surf break is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. You'll be doing a lot of bobbing around. But, keep your chin up—forecasts can change, and it tends not to stay flat forever.

Rusty.

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