Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, but in feet and miles per hour. Let’s break down what Toes Over has for us over the next couple weeks. Hard to sugar-coat this one, folks – it’s a flat spell overall, but there’s a little window early on worth getting damp for.

The general vibe is small surf, with the occasional pulse that cleans up a bit. The water is 71°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice surprise for the first spot we talk about.

We kick off on Saturday, July 25th with a small 2ft SW swell. The period is a long 21 seconds – that’s proper groundswell, so it’s got some push, but it might run a bit straight along this beach/jetty setup. Combined energy is moderate at 513. Winds are light from the S at 6 mph, but they're cross-on, so you’ll have a little texture on the face. The morning is your best shot, though it’s still only marginal.

Sunday the 26th sees the swell bump a hair to 3ft from the SSW, period dropping to 19 seconds (still long-period). Same light cross-on breeze from the SSW, energy at 535. The morning is the cleaner session. Nothing to set the world on fire, but it’s rideable.

Monday the 27th holds at 3ft from the SSW, period 18 seconds, energy up to 604. The morning is clear with light onshore wind. The afternoon has a little more breeze at 9 mph from the SW, still onshore. Still marginal, but the best looking day so far.

Tuesday through Thursday the 30th stays in that 3ft to 3ft range from the SSW, periods dropping from 17 to 16 to 15 seconds. Energy slides from 581 down to 434. Winds stay light and cross-on or onshore. The surf is small and a bit bumpy.

Friday July 31st sees a small increase to 4ft from the S, period 14 seconds, energy at 493 in the morning. Winds are light onshore. The weekend of August 1st is similar: 4ft from the SSW on Saturday morning, period 13 seconds, energy 453. Again, the morning is the better window, but it’s cross-on and tiny.

Then it all falls apart. From Sunday August 2nd, the swell drops to 2ft, then 2ft, then downright gutless 1ft to 1ft through to the end of the forecast. Energy values are in the double digits – 73, 87, 92 – which is very weak. Periods bounce from 10 to 18 seconds, but without any size, there’s just no wave to ride.

The one true standout in this entire 16-day stretch is Saturday morning, July 25th at Toes Over. The swell is only 2ft from the SW, but the 21-second period gives it some life. The combined energy of 513 is moderate. The wind is light and cross-on, so it’s not glassy, but it’s the best you’re going to get in this run. Crowds are *sometimes* a thing here, but with the size, you’ll probably have plenty of room. It’s a beach/jetty setup, so manage expectations, but it’s the pick.

After that, you’re staring at a massive gap of poor, tiny surf from August 2nd all the way through the 9th. That’s over a week of barely anything. Most days are labeled “poor surf conditions” with light onshore or cross-on winds.

In the second week, the 0.4m (1ft) swells on the 8th and 9th of August with energy in the 100-200 range are the “best” of a bad bunch, but honestly, it’s not worth the drive.

So your play is that first Saturday morning. After that, it’s a long wait. Keep an eye on the forecast – things can change.

Rusty.

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