Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it.

Look, I gotta level with you. The 16-day window for the region is a tough one. There’s no real standout, no day where everything lines up for a proper session. The whole period is a grind of small, weak, and mostly onshore slop. We’ve got 1ft to 3ft of swell coming from the southwest, and while the period stretches out to 19 seconds at times, that long-period groundswell just gets wrecked by the wind here. The combined energy stays mostly moderate, hitting between 100 and 400 (around 134 to 401), which is pretty low energy overall.

Starting with Toes Over, a beach/jetty setup that’s fairly consistent but exposed. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is a massive 8° warmer than normal – that’s very unusual for this time of year. Feels like bath water, but the surf quality doesn’t match. For the first week, from 13 September right through to 18 September, it’s all “poor surf conditions.” The wind is onshore from the SW or cross-onshore from the SSE, with a tiny bit of cross-shore on the 14th Monday morning. Even the 2ft on that Monday morning has a period of just 7 seconds, so it’s totally weak and chopped up. Nothing is worth paddling out for. The energy creeps up a bit around the 20th and 21st (combined energy up to 398-401), but it’s still onshore slop with onshore or cross-onshore breeze.

There’s a gap here where nothing is recommended at all, with a long stretch of poor conditions. Then, around the 17th and 18th of September, the notes shift to “marginal” – mostly in the mornings with light onshore winds and a bit of energy. On Friday morning the 18th, we see 2ft at 19 seconds from the SW, but it’s still blown out by the onshore flow. A long-period swell like that is best saved for a point or reef, but Toes Over is a beach/jetty, so it just closes out straight and messy.

Into the second week, from 19 September onwards, the trend doesn’t change much. The swell hangs around 2ft, period drops from 18 seconds down to 12-13 seconds by the 27th. The combined energy stays moderate, peaking around 328 to 398 on the Sunday and Monday. The 27th afternoon has a brief spike with 1ft at 21 seconds and a combined energy of 297, but again, the cross-onshore wind kills it. The 28th Monday morning shows 2ft at 20 seconds with a cross-onshore breeze – still only marginal. Honestly, you’re better off waiting for a proper change. The setup for paddle surfing just isn't there; this is more of a session for kite surfers given the persistent onshore flow and small, weak swell.

There are no standouts. The best of a bad bunch is probably the 21st Monday morning with 3ft from the SW at 17 seconds and a combined energy of 401, but the cross-onshore wind means you’re fighting ripples on a small, weak wave. It’s a flat spell, lads.

Rusty.

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