Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell to get through. The first real chance of a surfable wave won’t show up until Tuesday morning, 21 July, and even then it’s a tough call. The break in question is Toes Over, a beach/jetty setup that’s exposed to the southwest. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so don’t expect any surprises there.

On Tuesday morning, 21 July, we’re looking at a 3 ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is a cross-on at 6 mph, which is a bit of a buzzkill. The period is a very long 16 seconds, which tells us this is a proper groundswell, but at a beach break like this, that long period can make the waves break too straight and close out fast. The combined energy is moderate at 502. It’s a marginal call, and honestly, it’s more for the experienced crew who can handle the finicky conditions.

Wednesday morning, 22 July, the swell drops to 3 ft from the SSW, but the wind is straight onshore at 9 mph. That’s a write-off. The rest of the week follows a similar pattern: small, onshore, and poor. Thursday morning, 23 July, is 2 ft and onshore again. Friday morning, 24 July, shows a tiny 2 ft from the SSW but with a very long 24-second period, giving a moderate energy of 592. The wind is a light cross-on, so it’s still marginal at best.

Saturday and Sunday, 25 and 26 July, are pretty much the same story: small swells in the 2 ft to 3 ft range, onshore winds, and nothing to get excited about. The energy ticks up to around 525 and 584, but the wind kills it.

Now, the first real standout comes on Monday morning, 27 July. We’ve got a 3 ft swell from the SW, period of 18 seconds, and the combined energy pushes into the strong range at 628. The wind is a light onshore at 6 mph, which isn’t perfect, but it’s the best we’ve seen. This is still a beach break, so the long period could be a bit tricky, but for the patient surfer, there might be a few clean ones. The following Tuesday morning, 28 July, is similar with a 3 ft SSW swell and a 17-second period, but the wind swings to a light cross-on, which is a slight improvement. Energy is 551.

The second week starts to fade. Wednesday, 29 July, through Friday, 1 August, sees a mix of 3 ft to 4 ft swells, but the wind is either onshore or cross-on, and the energy is mostly moderate. The 4 ft swell on Friday afternoon, 31 July, from the S with a 15-second period and a strong energy of 994, is the biggest of the whole period, but with a 12 mph onshore wind, it’s just a mess. The afternoon of Saturday, 1 August, is similar.

From Sunday, 2 August, onwards, it’s a rapid drop-off. Swells shrink to 1 ft to 3 ft, energy plummets to 100-150, and the wind is still messy. The last few days, 3 to 5 August, are pure flat with poor conditions.

So, the best window is Monday morning, 27 July, and Tuesday morning, 28 July. They’re not world-class, but they’re the only ones with a pulse. The rest of the run is a long, quiet stretch. Don’t plan your holiday around it.

Rusty.

Read more