Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what we’ve got coming down the line. Honestly, for the most part, this is a quiet stretch. The swell is small, the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and conditions are going to be pretty ordinary. Don’t expect any magic sessions here. We’re looking at a 16-day window that’s largely a write-off for anything special.

Looking at the pattern, the waves just don’t show up with any real punch. The wind is constantly on it, and the few times the swell bumps up a notch, the wind spoils it. We’re not talking about anything over 3 ft at its best, with periods that are all over the shop. The energy is weak to moderate, hitting values like (151) to (381) in the combined swell energy, but the quality just isn’t there.

The first half of the window, starting from Thursday 13th August, is a real struggle. The swell is tiny, barely 2 ft to 3 ft, and it’s coming from the SSW-SW. The wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the surf conditions are consistently poor. Friday 14th and Saturday 15th August are the same story – small, messy, and not worth paddling out for. Sunday 16th through to Tuesday 18th August offer a glimmer with a bit more energy, but it’s still small (2 ft to 3 ft) and the wind is all wrong. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

The middle of the period, from Tuesday 19th August through to Sunday 23rd August, is the same old story. Clean skies, but onshore or cross-onshore wind keeps the surface choppy. The swell hangs around 1.0 ft to 2 ft. Nothing more than a knee-high dribble.

There is a gap of several days where it’s all pretty much the same – poor, marginal, or just plain flat. Monday 24th through to Friday 28th August is the same small, onshore mess. The wind is a constant issue.

Now, if you’re still keen, the absolute best of a very average bunch is *Toes Over*. It’s a beach/jetty setup, exposed to the SW swell, and it breaks fairly consistently for the area. The optimum swell direction is SW, which is what we’ve got coming, but the size is tiny. On Saturday 15th August morning, we get the biggest push with a 3 ft SSW swell at 16 seconds period. The combined energy is (381), which is moderate, and it’s clear with a light breeze. But the problem is the wind is onshore, so it’s going to be bumpy. If you’re desperate, that’s your best window, but don’t expect much.

A quick word on the period: the swell period is often 14-19 seconds. That’s long-period groundswell, which usually means better shaped waves and more push, but at a beach/jetty like Toes Over, that long period can make it break too straight and close out. Still, the sets will be clean and the paddling out might be easier between them, but the tiny size means it won’t really matter.

For the second week, don’t hold your breath. From Monday 24th August onward, the swell is 1 ft to 2 ft, the wind is onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is weak. It’s a flat run.

Look, to be blunt, this is a pretty grim outlook. The surf is small, the wind is bad, and the quality is poor. For the experienced surfer, it’s barely a paddle. For beginners, the tiny waves are safe, but the onshore wind will make it messy. Honestly, with the small, crumbly waves and constant onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. Keep an eye on the charts, because it tends not to stay this flat for long.

Rusty.

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