Toes Over Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is a tough one to call. For the first week and a half at Toes Over, it’s a real struggle. We’ve got small, weak swell and a persistent cross-onshore or onshore breeze that’s just messing up any chance of clean waves. The energy is low, mostly in the 140 to 354 range, and the swell height is stuck at 1ft to 2ft. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Monday the 20th of July, with a marginal window. The swell ticks up to 2ft from the SSW, and the energy gets a little more interesting, but it’s still a cross-onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.

Then things start to change around Tuesday the 21st of July. The morning shows a 3ft SSW swell, energy reaching 437, and the wind is light onshore. It’s still a bit messy, but it’s the first time the ocean looks like it might have a pulse. This is the start of the build.

The real standout, and the only true highlight in this whole 16-day window, is Sunday the 26th of July. The morning session sees a 5ft SSW swell, with a massive energy reading of 1105 – that’s proper juice. The wind is light and onshore, but it’s glassy enough that it could clean up. This is the biggest swell of the period, and if the wind holds, Toes Over will have some heavy, powerful lines. It’s a 5ft swell, so it’s getting into the fun zone, but just under that 5ft threshold where it gets too big for beginners. The period is 14 seconds, which means it’s a groundswell with good shape and long lulls between sets. Be aware that with a long period swell like this, the jetty can sometimes cause it to break a bit straight, but the energy is undeniable.

The following Monday the 27th of July also holds some promise with a 4ft SW swell, energy at 862, and light onshore winds again. It’s a solid option but not quite the peak of Sunday.

So, to sum it up: you’ve got a long wait. The first week is a write-off. The surf starts to build around the 21st, but the one true standout is the morning of Sunday the 26th of July. That’s the day to circle on the calendar. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The crowds at Toes Over can be ‘sometimes’ busy, so on that Sunday morning, expect company.

Rusty.

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