Point o Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. I gotta level with ya—this stretch from now right through to the end of the 16-day window is a tough one for Point o Rocks. We’ve got a long gap of flat, poor surf conditions stretching from Monday the 14th all the way through to Sunday the 27th of September. That’s nearly two weeks of nothing worth paddling out for. The water’s sitting at a very unusual 89°F—that’s much warmer than normal for this time of year, so if you’re just keen for a dip, go for it, but don’t expect any waves.

Monday the 14th starts off glassy early with a risk of thunderstorms and a light WNW breeze at 3 mph, but the combined swell energy is zero (0). Nothing. The afternoon turns cross-onshore and choppy. Tuesday the 15th has a clean cross-offshore in the morning, then glassy calm in the arvo—still flat. Wednesday the 16th brings a fresh offshore ENE wind at 19 mph, but still no swell. By Wednesday afternoon we finally see a tiny 0.3 ft SE swell with a short 4-second period, and combined energy of just 1—basically a ripple. That’s not surf. Thursday and Friday stay clean but flat. Saturday the 19th sees a 2 ft SSE swell at 4 seconds with energy of 10—still weak and sloppy. The rest of that week and into the next is more of the same: tiny, short-period bumps and mostly clean winds, but nothing worth getting wet for.

Finally, on Monday the 28th of September, we get a sniff of something. Morning brings an offshore ENE breeze at 9 mph and a 2 ft SSW swell with a 5-second period, and combined energy climbing to 26. It’s still poor surf conditions according to the numbers, but it’s the best we’ve seen in weeks. The afternoon goes light cross-onshore with a 2 ft SSW swell. Tuesday the 29th holds a 1 ft SW swell with a 6-second period and energy of 11 in the morning, then a 2 ft S swell at 6 seconds and energy of 24 in the afternoon, with light offshore winds. Still not great, but there’s a pulse.

If I had to pick the only real standout across this whole 16-day run, it’s Monday morning the 28th of September. The 2 ft SSW swell, while small, is the biggest we’ll see, and the 9 mph offshore ENE wind will keep it clean. Point o Rocks is a point break that works best on a SW swell direction, and this SSW is close enough to get some shape. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so you might have company, but with conditions this marginal, it shouldn’t be too bad. The combined swell energy is weak (26), but for this break, that small clean wave might just be rideable. Still, this spot is inconsistent and rarely breaks, so don’t get your hopes too high.

The rest of the period is a blank run—pretty normal for this area when the swell just won’t show. Keep an eye on the forecast, because it tends not to stay this poor forever.

Rusty.

Read more