Marlin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this is a tough run for Marlin. The next sixteen days are looking grim, with no real windows of quality surf. The whole stretch is a write-off, so we’re not talking about a few days of flatness; we’re looking at a solid two-week-plus gap with nothing worthwhile on offer.

The first recommendation comes in on Wednesday, 29th of July, but honestly, it’s a non-starter. We’ve got a weak 3ft swell from the ESE, with a short period of 5 seconds and only 100 units of combined energy. The wind is onshore and the report says "poor surf conditions" – don’t even bother paddling out. The water temp is about average for this time of year.

Thursday the 30th and Friday the 31st of July are no better. The swell might bump up to 3ft on Friday afternoon, with 187 units of energy, but the cross-onshore wind from the SSE makes it choppy and messy. The period is still a short 7 seconds, so there’s no power or shape to the waves.

As we head into the first week of August, the swell ticks up a bit. Saturday morning, the 1st of August, sees a 5ft swell from the ESE, but it’s onshore wind at 12 mph, creating poor, blown-out conditions. The energy jumps to 263 units, but the wind and short period (7 seconds) kill it. Sunday the 2nd of August is a bit bigger – 7ft from the ESE in the afternoon, with 479 units of energy – but again, it’s cross-onshore and choppy. This is all messy, stormy stuff. The period never gets above 8 seconds the whole way through, so it’s all windswell, no real push.

Looking further out, the second week is a continuation of the same story. Swell hangs around 3ft to 5ft, with poor onshore or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy stays moderate, in the 150 to 300 range, but the wave quality is consistently listed as "poor surf conditions" with scores of zero. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday, the 4th of August, when the afternoon shows a "marginal" call with 690 units of energy, but it’s still a 5ft, 8-second ESE swell with onshore wind. Even then, it’s not worth your time.

Because the swell is coming from the ESE and the wind is from the same general direction – onshore all the way – this setup is a complete bust for paddle surfing. If you’ve got a kite, the strong winds and moderate wave energy might give you something to play with, but for a surfboard, this is a solid two-week-plus blank. The break is consistent, but the conditions are just not there. We’ll keep an eye on the charts; things can change, but right now, you’re better off doing something else.

Rusty.

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