Marlin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking at the forecast for Marlin. It’s a beginner-friendly, consistent spot, exposed to the swell, and it likes an S direction swell. Honestly, the next couple of weeks aren’t looking great for a good paddle session. The wind is mostly from the SE or ESE, which is onshore or cross-onshore here, and that’s going to mess up the surface. The water temp is sitting at 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first week is pretty much a write-off. From Sunday the 26th of July right through to the end of the month, the swell is tiny, between 2ft and 4ft, with a short period of 6 to 7 seconds. The wind is light to gentle, but it’s onshore, so the waves are going to be choppy and weak. The combined energy is low, usually under 150, so there’s just no push. It’s poor surf, plain and simple.

Things start to pick up a little as we head into the first week of August. The swell bumps up to around 6ft on the 2nd of August, with the combined energy hitting 436 (moderate), but the wind is still a moderate cross-onshore from the SSE and SE, making it choppy. The period is still short at 7-8 seconds, so the waves will be weak and messy. This continues through the 3rd, 4th, and 5th, with swell heights staying around 5ft to 6ft and energy climbing into the 400s, but the wind is still onshore. It’s just not going to be a clean ride.

The only real glimmer comes on the 7th of August (Friday). The morning shows a 5ft swell from the ESE with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 602 (strong wave energy). But the wind is onshore from the E at 9 mph, so it’s marginal. The afternoon of the 7th, however, is interesting. The swell drops to 3ft, but the period stretches to 14 seconds, and the combined energy is 618. The wind is light and onshore from the E at 6 mph. That long-period groundswell could offer some clean, lined-up waves, but it’s small. Given the break is exposed, a long-period swell like this can create some nice, peelable waves, especially for a beginner-friendly spot. It’s a standout, but it’s a small one.

The 10th of August is the only other day worth a mention. The morning shows a 5ft swell from the ESE with 8-second period, combined energy at 716 (very strong wave energy), and the wind is a gentle cross-shore from the NNE at 9 mph. That’s a better wind direction, but it’s still a bit cross, and the period is short. The afternoon sees the wind pick up to a moderate cross-onshore from the ENE at 12 mph, which will ruin it.

If you’re a beginner, the small swell early on might be okay for a practice session, but it’s going to be messy. The bigger swell later in the first week and into the second is too big for beginners at over 5ft, and with the onshore wind, it’s just not fun. The best bet is the afternoon of the 7th of August, with that long-period groundswell and light wind, but it’s a small window. For a more experienced surfer, the 10th of August morning has the most energy, but the wind is cross-shore, so it’s not perfect.

Overall, it’s a pretty poor run. The swell comes, but the wind fights it every step of the way. For a consistent spot, you’d expect a bit more. Keep an eye on the 7th and 10th, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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