Marlin Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Marlin. Straight up, I’m looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead. The next couple of weeks are looking like a write-off for any decent surf. We’ve got a 16-day window with no real highlights to speak of, so brace yourselves for a long flat spell.

The first recommendation doesn’t come until the morning of Thursday the 13th of August, and even then, it’s a tough sell. The water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The rest of the first week is a total washout. Winds are mostly cross-onshore or onshore, with a gentle breeze through Friday, but the swell is small, short period (7 seconds), and combined energy is weak, barely cracking 200 (204). The conditions are just messy and choppy. Saturday the 9th and Sunday the 10th are the same sad story. Monday the 11th gives us rain showers and a bit of cross-onshore chop. Nothing to get excited about.

Tuesday the 12th sees the swell bump up a touch to 5ft from the ESE, and combined energy climbs to 424, but the period is still a weak 7 seconds and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. It’s going to be a bumpy, blown-out mess. Not worth the paddle.

Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th are the closest we get to anything. The Thursday morning shows a 6ft swell from the SSE with an 8-second period, and combined energy hits 807. The wind is light and onshore from the SE, which is a bit better, but the forecast still calls it marginal. Friday morning has a 4ft swell from the S with a 12-second period, giving it some shape, and combined energy at 481, but again, the wind is cross-onshore. It’s still not clean.

The second week is more of the same. From the 15th to the 23rd, the swell hangs around 2ft to 5ft, with periods between 7 and 12 seconds, and winds are either onshore or cross-onshore. The combined energy stays in the low to mid hundreds, with a few days barely touching 200. The only spot of note is the morning of the 19th, where the swell from the SSE is 4ft and the period is 8 seconds, but the wind is still onshore. Not enough to salvage the week.

Look, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a dry run. With no clean conditions, consistent onshore winds, and small, choppy swells, it’s a classic case of “leave the board in the car.” The sets are short and weak, and the wind is ruining any chance of a decent wave. Marlin is a consistent spot, but it tends to go through these blank spells when the wind doesn’t play ball. The outlook is dour, but forecasts can change. For now, this is a solid “stay home” window.

Rusty.

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