Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. We’re focusing on one spot for this entire run, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough one. The whole 16-day window is a bit of a write-off if you’re chasing quality waves. The only break lit up in the guide is Happys, a sheltered point that’s fairly consistent, but it’s facing some serious headwinds from the conditions.

The water temperature is sitting at 69°F currently, which is about 1°F cooler than the long-term average for this time of year – nothing to write home about, just your standard early autumn water.

The first chance to get wet kicks off on Friday the 4th of September, but honestly, it’s a non-starter. We’ve got a tiny 1ft swell from the east with a weak combined energy of just 52. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the NE, which just messes up the surface. You’re looking at poor surf conditions, small wind ripples, and nothing to get excited about.

Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th are no better. The swell stays tiny, barely reaching 3ft to 4ft, but the wind is swinging from NNE to N, keeping it cross or cross-onshore, and the period is short (4 to 5 seconds). The energy is weak, with values like 41 and 88. The comment says it all: poor surf conditions.

Monday the 7th through Tuesday the 8th gets a little more height, with swell around 4ft to 3ft, but the wind is from the SSE and SE, blowing cross-on and choppy. The energy picks up a bit on Monday morning (108), but the wind is too messy to make it work. No good.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Wednesday the 9th sees a spike in energy to 272 on the morning, with a 3ft swell from the SE and a period of 10 seconds. That’s a longer period groundswell, which would normally be a good sign for a point like Happys, but the wind is a light cross-shore from the SSE. The guide still says “poor surf conditions.” The afternoon drops off again. So, that’s a tease.

The rest of the first week – Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th – the swell actually builds. We’re looking at 7ft on Thursday afternoon and 6ft on Friday morning, with energy jumping to 309 and 355. But the wind is a nightmare. Strong breeze from the SSE and SE, cross and cross-on, with a messy cross-chop. That’s strong, ugly wind. For a point break, that’s a hard pass. The sea state is described as “strong cross-shore with messy cross-chop” and “fresh cross-onshore and lumpy.” It’s blown out.

Saturday the 12th and Sunday the 13th settle down a bit, with swell dropping to 4ft and 2ft, but the wind is still from the ESE, cross-on, and choppy. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th – the second week now – we see another pulse of swell. 6ft on Monday afternoon and 6ft on Tuesday morning, with energy of 238 and 296. The wind on Tuesday morning is a light cross-on from the SSE, which is a bit better. But the period is a short 6 seconds, so it’s not a groundswell, just windswell. The guide still says “poor surf conditions.” It’s consistent, but it’s not quality.

The final stretch from Wednesday the 16th to Saturday the 19th is more of the same: onshore winds, lumpy, choppy, and weak to moderate energy. Nothing to plan a session around.

So, the bottom line, my friends: there is no standout in this entire 16-day window. The best bet for a bit of size is the 7ft swell on Thursday the 10th, but the wind is a total mess. For a spot like Happys, which is a sheltered point, you need offshore wind, and we’re not getting any decent offshore flows. The wind is cross or cross-on almost the entire time. If you’re a kite surfer, the setup on the 10th and 11th with strong cross-shore winds and a decent swell might look interesting. For paddle surfing, it’s a two-week blank. Hang in there, check the charts later, sometimes these runs break.

Rusty.

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