Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. I’m lookin’ at the forecast for Happys, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. This is a sheltered point break that really needs the wind and swell to line up, and for the next 16 days, the ocean just isn’t cooperating.

The water temp is sittin’ around 69°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Right from Wednesday the 2nd, we’ve got a tiny 2ft easterly swell with a weak combined energy of just 65 – that’s barely a ripple. The wind is a messy cross-on from the NNE at 12 mph, and it’s choppy as all hell. Not worth paddling out for.

Thursday the 3rd and Friday the 4th are more of the same – tiny waves, poor conditions. Saturday the 5th sees a brief spike in the afternoon with a 4ft swell from the NNE, but it’s got a shockin’ short period of just 5 seconds and a fresh cross-breeze at 19 mph making it lumpy. Combined energy jumps to 107 (moderate), but the quality is just not there.

The pattern drags on. Sunday the 6th is clean but tiny. Monday the 7th through to Tuesday the 8th offer nothing but choppy, onshore slop. There’s a glimmer of hope on Wednesday the 9th morning when the wind goes glassy and the swell is 2ft from the east with a period of 9 seconds – the water goes slick. But the energy is still weak at 63, and it’s barely breaking.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is a write-off. We get a big lump of energy on Friday the 11th with combined energy hitting 364 (strong) from a 7ft ESE swell, but it’s wind-affected, rainy, and messy. That size is too big for beginners anyway, and with cross-onshore winds at 19 mph, it’s a full-on choppy mess.

After that, from the 12th through to the 17th, the swell drops back down, and the wind keeps it ugly. There’s a brief glassy moment on the morning of the 17th with 3ft ENE swell and glassy wind, but again, the energy is weak. It’s a tease.

Honestly, there are no real standouts here. The best you could hope for is that glassy window on the morning of the 9th or the 17th for a longboard cruise on the tiny stuff, but it’s not worth getting excited about. For a point break that needs a decent groundswell from the NE to work, this forecast is a total dud.

The first week is essentially blank for surf, and the second week offers nothing but a couple of marginal, clean-but-small windows. If you’re a kite surfer, the windy, lumpy days from the 10th to the 12th might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer? Stay home, wait for a better chart.

Rusty.

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