Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break down this next stretch. It’s going to be a real test of character, I’ll tell you that right now. The surf is around, but it’s just getting torn to pieces by the wind for most of the period. If you were hoping for some clean, lined-up waves, you might want to take up a new hobby for the next week or so.

The first week is a complete loss. From Friday the 14th all the way to about Wednesday the 19th, we’re looking at fresh to moderate winds out of the southeast and south-southeast. It’s all cross-on and lumpy, just messy. The swell does build up, with the biggest energy hitting on Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, with waves around 7ft to 7ft. The combined energy gets up there too, hitting 466 and then 531 on Monday. But it’s all for nothing, because it’s just choppy, blown-out chaos. That’s the kind of surf you watch from the car window and just keep on driving. Water temp is about 68°, which is a bit cooler than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a decent suit.

There are two tiny little windows that might be worth stretching for. On Friday morning the 21st, the wind goes completely glassy. There’s a small 1m swell from the ENE with a 7-second period. It’s surfable, but pretty weak and average. The energy is only at 136. Then, Saturday morning the 22nd is your best shot. We get a light offshore breeze from the northwest, and the swell is still small at about 0.8m, but it’s clean. The energy is weak there too, at 102. At a sheltered spot like Happys, you might get a few fun little peelers. It won’t be big, but it’ll be the cleanest we see for a while. That’s your standout, and it’s not saying much.

After that, the plug gets pulled. The swell fades right off, and the wind just comes back onshore and chops it up. From the 24th all the way through the 29th, we’re looking at tiny ankle-slappers around a foot high with strong southeast winds blowing 30 to 35 km/h. There is a little blip on the 28th with a long-period 12-second swell from the south, but it’s only a foot and not aimed at us. A total non-event.

The bottom line is this: don’t get excited for the long range. The early energy is there, but the wind direction is just the wrong way. We need those westerly or northwesterly offshores to make Happys work, and we’re just not getting them. If you’re desperate, save yourself for that Saturday morning the 22nd for a small, clean session. Otherwise, it might be time to check on your board’s wax, because it’s not getting used much.

Rusty.

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