Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna level with you – for the next sixteen days around Happys, it’s a tough stretch. There’s no real standout swell window, and the conditions are mostly fighting against us. The water’s sitting at 69°, which is about 2° cooler than what’s normal for this time of year, so nothing too unusual there.

We start off this Sunday the 13th with a weak, short-period ESE swell bumping around 4ft, but it’s carrying a weak energy reading (134) and that onshore SE wind at 12 mph is making a mess of it. Choppy, poor conditions – not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 14th drops to 3ft from the east, period still a short 6 seconds. Morning has a light onshore breeze, but by the afternoon the wind turns directly onshore from the east at just 6 mph, which is light, but the wave energy is low (64). Still nothing.

Tuesday the 15th morning gives a moment of hope – glassy conditions with 3ft easterly swell, but the energy is tiny (56). The wave state says “poor surf conditions,” so that glass is just on flat, bump-less water.

Wednesday the 16th afternoon sees a jump in size to 6ft from the SE with moderate energy (191), but that SE wind is howling at 22 mph. It’s fresh and lumpy – absolutely blown out.

Thursday the 17th morning has 5ft and a solid 316 energy reading from the SE, but the south wind at 16 mph keeps it cross and lumpy. Not clean.

Friday the 18th is the closest we get to something interesting. Morning has 5ft SE swell with a nice increase in period to 10 seconds and strong energy (544). But the wind is cross from the SSE at 12 mph, so it’s still messy. By the afternoon the period stretches to 12 seconds with energy hitting 749 – that’s strong groundswell potential. But the wind is cross-onshore from the ESE at 9 mph, meaning it’s fairly choppy. This break is a sheltered point that likes a NE swell direction, so this SE swell is coming in at a bad angle and the offshore wind is W, which we never get. It’s just not clicking.

Saturday the 19th morning has a trace of clean-up with a NE breeze at 3 mph and 4ft ESE swell at 12 seconds (443 energy), but the wind is still cross-onshore, and the system gives it a “marginal” call.

From Sunday the 20th all the way through the following weekend, the swell fades to nothing – under 4ft, periods dropping, and energy readings below 150 most days. The 21st morning is glassy but with only 1ft of swell – flat as a tack.

Then by Saturday the 26th, a new ENE pulse shows at 4ft with 7-second period and moderate energy (144), but the wind from the NNE at 6 mph is cross-shore. Still ordinary.

Finally, on Sunday the 27th morning, we get a glimpse of something better: 4ft from the NE, period 7 seconds, glassy conditions, with 115 energy. The wave comment says “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” This is the best of a bad bunch. But it’s only Sunday morning; the afternoon sees a cross-onshore breeze ruin it.

Honestly, there isn’t a single stand-out session in this 16-day window. The forecast confidence is decent for the first week, but it’s just poor surf. For a sheltered point that really needs a NE swell and W offshore wind, we’re getting the opposite. If you’re a beginner, most of this is small enough, but the wind will ruin it. For experts, there’s nothing to get excited about. Kite surfers might find the Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th afternoons more interesting with that strong cross-onshore wind and moderate swell.

That’s the story. Hang tight – sometimes these blank runs happen, and forecasts can change. Rusty out.

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