Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a good, hard look at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’ve got a long, quiet run here, so let’s not waste time.

The outlook starts on Sunday, August 2nd, and honestly, it’s a bit of a bleak picture for a while. The first few days are a write-off. Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd are a no-go, with poor, choppy conditions and weak, short-period windswell. You’ll see light winds, sure, but the swell is small and messy.

Things get a tiny bit of life on Tuesday morning, August 4th. At Happys, we see a glassy morning with a small 2ft swell coming from the ESE at a mediocre 9 seconds. The combined energy is weak at (101), so it’s really just ankle-snappers. The water is sitting at 68°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year – about 2° below average.

Wednesday morning, August 5th, is the same story. Glassy conditions again, but the swell is still only 3ft from the east, with a period around 10 seconds and energy at (173). It’s surfable, but it’s ordinary. You’ll get a few little runners, but nothing to get excited about.

Then we hit another dead patch. From Thursday the 6th all the way through to Sunday the 9th, it’s mostly poor to average. The wind keeps swinging around, putting a chop on the surface, and swell heights fluctuate between 2ft and 4ft but with short periods that just don’t hold up. There’s a glimmer on Sunday morning, August 9th, with dead calm winds and a glassy ocean, but the swell is still just 3ft from the east at 9 seconds (energy 166). It’s a “might get one if you’re desperate” kind of session.

Monday the 10th offers some clean conditions with a light cross-offshore wind, but the swell remains tiny at 3–3ft. It’s clean, but mushy.

The really frustrating part is the gap. After the 5th, there’s not a single day with a proper wave until you get way out to the end of the forecast. We are looking at a solid week and a half of marginal, grovel-worthy surf.

The best of the whole period, and I mean the absolute standout, is shaping up for Sunday, August 16th. The afternoon at Happys gets glassy again with a 3ft swell from the east at a better 10 seconds. The combined energy is (137), and the wind goes glassy. For this stretch, that’s as good as it gets. It’s clean, there’s a tiny bit of push, and it’s the only time you might not be fighting the chop.

The other decent window is on Saturday afternoon, August 15th, with a clean, offshore wind (WSW 20 km/h) and a similar 3ft, 10-second east swell. The energy is (109), and the conditions will be clean. It’s not big, but it’ll be the best shape of the week.

So, what’s the final call? Honestly, don’t plan your week around this. The highlight is Sunday the 16th afternoon: beachbreak style at Happys, glassy and clean, with a small, long-period groundswell. It’s a session for the longboard or a fish. The Saturday afternoon before that is also worth a look with the offshore wind. Other than that, you’re waiting for a lot of nothing. This is just how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can always change, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Stay patient,
Rusty

Read more