Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Alright, listen up. We're looking at a pretty grim stretch ahead for Happys. There's a lot of swell on the cards, but it's all pretty much junk. The wind is just relentless, hammering the place with cross-shore and cross-onshore breezes for the first week straight. The water is sitting at 69°, which is a bit colder than we'd expect for this time of year. The real story here is the wind, not the waves.

The first few days, from Monday the 6th through to Friday the 10th, are a write-off. Swell is up, peaking around 8ft on Monday afternoon, but it's a short-period, lumpy SE windswell of 7 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate to strong (741), but the cross-shore wind is just tearing it up. It's a total mess. The wave comment says "poor surf conditions" and that's the truth. There's a brief moment on Wednesday the 8th morning where the period jumps to 12 seconds, giving a massive 2148 energy reading, but the wind is still cross-shore. It's a tease, but not a goer.

Now, we finally get a break in the wind on Saturday the 11th. The morning shows a light breeze and clean conditions with a cross-offshore wind. The swell is tiny though, only 3ft from the ESE with a 10-second period. It's surfable, but very ordinary. The wave comment confirms it: "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions". That's the best we've got for a while.

Sunday the 12th morning is similar. A glassy cross-offshore breeze from the WNW and 3ft of ESE swell at 11 seconds. It's clean, but again, it's tiny. The combined energy is only 230, so it's weak. After that, the swell just dies. From Monday the 13th onwards, we're looking at a long dry spell. The swell drops to 2ft, then 1.0ft, and eventually down to 0.3ft on the 15th. The wind is clean but there's nothing to ride.

We get a bit of a pulse back on Friday the 17th, with 5ft of short-period SE swell (294 energy), but it's back to a fresh cross-shore wind and lumpy conditions. Another no-go. The rest of the forecast through to the 21st is just small, weak, and mostly wind-affected. There's a glimmer on Monday the 20th afternoon with a gentle offshore wind and 2ft of swell, but it's not enough to get excited about.

So, to be blunt, there's nothing here that's a standout. The best window is the morning of Saturday the 11th, but even that is marginal. For a point break like Happys it's a real bummer. The surf is either too small, too wind-blown, or both. It's a long gap of nothing from the 13th to the 17th, and even then it's not good. The only bright spot is that the consistency is listed as "fairly consistent," so it won't stay this way forever, but in this 16-day window, it's a struggle.

Signing off, Rusty.

Read more