Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the surf outlook for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, it’s a pretty grim run. The finder is pointing to a single spot, Happys, and for the vast majority of the 16-day window, the conditions are just not on. From the 9th of September all the way through to the 22nd, we’re looking at a long stretch of poor surf conditions with no real hope. The winds are mostly cross or cross-onshore, and the swell is either too small, weak, or just messy. There are a couple of days where the swell bumps up a bit, like around the 10th and 11th with 7ft to 8ft, but the wind is howling from the SSE at 18 mph, making it lumpy and pretty much unsurfable. That’s a big miss. The combined wave energy on the 10th afternoon hits 780 (moderate to strong), but it’s all blown out.

The only real glimmer in this whole outlook comes right at the tail end, on the 23rd of September. Wednesday morning, Happys is looking at a clean 3ft swell from the NE with a period of 8 seconds. The wind goes glassy – a light ENE breeze at 3 mph. That’s a rare window of clean conditions. The wave comment says "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," but honestly, given the surrounding trash, that glassy morning is the standout. It’s a point break, so it handles the swell direction well, and that glassy wind will make it look pretty. The combined energy is 155 (moderate), but it’s only a 3ft wave, so it’s not going to be a barnstormer. For a beginner, that’s a good size; for anyone else, it’s a cruisey morning if you’re desperate. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing wild to report.

Don’t get your hopes up for the 24th – the wind goes back onshore and the quality drops. That’s the whole story. It’s a quiet spell, and it tends not to stay this poor for long, so keep an eye on the forecasts.

Rusty.

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