Happys Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s take a look at what’s cooking at Happys for the next couple of weeks.

Man, it’s a rough stretch to start. The forecast begins on Thursday the 10th, and it’s all cross-onshore wind and messy, short-period slop. The first ten days are a real bummer. From Thursday the 10th all the way through to the morning of Friday the 19th, it’s just not worth paddling out. The wind is almost always cross-onshore, the swell is weak and small, and the wave energy is mostly in the low hundreds – 539 on the 10th morning, dropping to 54 by the 15th. That’s weak to moderate energy, the period barely gets above 8 seconds, and it’s choppy and lumpy. A total write-off for a decent paddle.

The first real chance comes on the morning of Saturday the 19th. We get a 1.5m swell from the SSE, with a short 6-second period, but the wind goes glassy from the ENE. For a sheltered point like Happys, that’s a massive win. The wave energy is 185 (moderate), and the report calls it “surfable but very ordinary.” Still, it’s the best we’ve seen. The water temp is 21°, which is a little cooler than usual for this time of year (anomaly of -0.6°), but no big deal.

If you’re a beginner, that 1.5m might be a bit of a handful, but it’s doable. The spot is fairly consistent, so you’ll get waves, but it’s often crowded, so expect company. The swell direction isn’t perfect – it’s coming from the SSE, and the ideal here is NE – but that glassy wind makes it happen.

Then, the real standout is Thursday the 24th. The morning is clean with a 1.1m SE swell and a light offshore wind from the WSW, 5 km/h. The afternoon is the best of the whole forecast: glassy calm, 1.0m swell from the SE, but with a 10-second period. That’s a proper groundswell. The wave energy hits 213 (moderate), and it’s glassy. The longer period means better-shaped waves, more energy, and longer gaps between sets – which makes paddling out way easier. For a point break like Happys, that’s the sweet spot. Again, it’s often crowded here, so get there early.

The morning of the 19th and the afternoon of the 24th are your two real windows. Everything else in between is too small, too windy, or too choppy to bother with.

So, keep Saturday the 19th morning in mind for a sneaky glassy session, but the one to circle is definitely Thursday the 24th afternoon – that’s your best wave of the fortnight.

Rusty.

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