Coney Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a 16-day window for the Coney Beach area, and I’m not gonna sugarcoat it: the first week is a real struggle. There’s barely a ripple to get excited about until the very end of the month, and even then, it’s a waiting game with some heavy conditions on the horizon.

The first real sniff of any sort of surf comes in on the 28th of August. Friday morning sees a slight uptick, with a weak 2ft swell from the WSW, but it’s got a cross-shore wind on it, making for a messy, chop-infested surface. The combined energy is a weak 64 (moderate), so it’s not doing much. Friday afternoon cleans up a bit with a cross-offshore breeze, and the swell pushes to 3ft, but it’s still very ordinary. The weekend is a write-off, with a mix of rain and wind on Saturday and Sunday slapping the surface around. The swell on Saturday morning hits 3ft but the cross wind ruins it.

Now, hold onto your board. The 31st of August Monday morning is a major turning point. The wind shifts to a clean cross-offshore breeze, and the swell jumps up to a solid 7ft from the WSW. The period is 10 seconds, so it’s a decent groundswell, and the combined energy is a massive 988 (strong). This is proper surf, but it’s big. At 7ft, this is getting into expert-only territory. The wind is a fresh 35 km/h cross-off, so it’s gonna be wind-affected and lumpy, but the power is there. The afternoon keeps it going with a 6ft swell and even more energy at 1158 (very strong). This is the standout window: the 31st of August. It’s not perfect, but it’s the only time we’ve got size and some clean-ish conditions.

The first week of September is a bit of a letdown after that spike. The 1st is clean but the swell drops off fast to 2ft, and the energy is gone. The 2nd of September Wednesday morning shows a 4ft swell with a very short period of 6 seconds. That’s weak, wind-swell junk, and it's not worth a paddle. The 3rd and 4th are messy with poor wind. The 5th of September Saturday is a write-off with strong onshore winds.

The end of the 16-day window gets interesting again. The 6th of September Sunday afternoon sees a building swell, hitting 7ft from the SW, with a period of 8 seconds and a massive 535 energy (strong). The wind is cross-offshore, so it’s clean. This is another big-swell day, pushing expert limits. Then, the 7th of September Monday morning is the biggest of the entire forecast: a monster 10ft swell from the west, with a very long period of 19 seconds. The energy is an enormous 10285 (very strong). The wind is clean cross-offshore. This is massive, heavy groundswell. For a sheltered spot like Coney Beach, this is about as big as it gets, and it will be working, but it’s strictly for the big-wave crew. The 8ft+ mark is well and truly smashed.

So, the clear standout for the whole period is the 31st of August. It’s not for the faint of heart, but if you’ve got the skill and the board, that’s your window. The 7th of September is a monster, but it’s a long way off and even more intense. The water temperature is a very unusual 69°F which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 5/4 at home. Coney Beach is a beginner spot, so don’t even think about the big days here unless you’re an expert. The crowds are sometimes an issue here, so on the 31st, expect a few locals out.

Stay safe, and I’ll be back soon.

Rusty.

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