Coney Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a real quiet stretch ahead for Coney Beach—nothing to write home about, I’m afraid. The whole 16-day window is a bust for good surf. There’s a gap right from the start, and honestly, it’s a long one. We’re looking at over a week of barely a ripple before things even start to think about showing a pulse.

The opening days, from Wednesday the 22nd right through to the end of July, are flat. Absolutely flat. Swell heights are stuck at 0.3ft to 0.7ft with weak energy (combined energy of all swells directed here sits at 4 or less). The water’s much warmer than usual for this time of year, coming in at 68°F, but that’s all we’ve got to get excited about. Winds are a mix of cross and cross-off, sometimes glassy, but it doesn’t matter when there’s no wave to catch.

Come Sunday the 26th, we finally see a bump. A 3ft swell from the west shows up in the morning with a short period of 7 seconds, and the energy ticks up to 86. The wind is offshore from the NW, which is a major positive for clean conditions. Afternoon pushes that swell to 4ft, still short period, with energy climbing to 135 and a strong cross-off wind. It’s the best we’ll see, but the surf quality is still poor. For a beginner spot, 4ft can be a bit much, and with that short period, the waves will be dumping and hard to read. The crowd factor is “sometimes” here, so you might have some company, but it won’t be a circus.

That weak pulse fades fast. Monday the 27th drops back to 2ft, and by Tuesday the 28th we’re back to 1.0ft with a messy cross-shore wind. The rest of the week is a write-off: tiny swell, mixed wind directions, and energy levels in the single digits.

Now, there is a glimmer in the far distance. Saturday the 1st of August brings a 3ft west-southwest swell with a period of 9 seconds, pushing energy to 134. Winds are cross-off and clean. It’s still not a standout, but it’s the best of a bad lot. Sunday the 2nd sees a 4ft swell from the same direction, but the onshore wind from the SE spoils it. The combined energy hits 163, but the surf quality remains poor. The swell direction is a match for the break’s optimum, which is WSW, but the onshore wind kills it.

Then Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th of August show a bit more life. The 4th afternoon has a 4ft WSW swell with 8 seconds and energy jumping to 268—the highest we’ll see. But it’s onshore wind from the SE, making it choppy and messy. For a beach break, that’s not a good look. It’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you ask me.

The final few days, from the 5th into the 6th, fizzle out again. The 5th afternoon has a glassy clean 2ft, and the 6th morning is glassy as well, but with only 1ft of swell, it’s just a flat lake.

Bottom line: there’s nothing worth paddling out for in this 16-day outlook. The area is known for these blank runs, so it’s not a surprise. Forecasts can change, but as it stands, keep your board in the car and find something else to do.

Rusty.

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