Coney Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – Coney Beach is going through a rough patch. We’ve got a long, quiet gap right at the start. The first proper look at anything surfable doesn’t show up until Friday the 4th of September, but even then it’s a struggle. The water’s sitting at a very unusual 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year.

Wednesday the 2nd sees light rain with a tiny 3ft swell out of the WSW at a weak 6 seconds. The combined swell energy is only 39 – completely gutless – and with a moderate onshore breeze, it’s a flat, messy write-off.

Thursday the 3rd is no better. Swell picks up a touch to 4-5ft from the WSW, still short period around 8 seconds, but the cross-shore wind is howling at 19-25 mph, making for ugly, lumpy conditions. Combined energy is moderate at 188, but it’s not worth paddling out.

Friday the 4th brings our first faint glimmer. Morning sees 6ft WSW swell with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind swings to a moderate cross-off breeze. The combined energy hits 369 – moderate to solid. The waves are clean, but the forecast still calls it poor surf. Afternoon cleans up with clear skies and a fresh cross-off, but the swell drops back to 5ft. It’s surfable, but ordinary.

Saturday the 5th is tiny. Only 2ft from the WSW at 7-9 seconds, with light cross-off winds. Combined energy is weak at 67. Clean but barely rideable.

Sunday the 6th, the swell disappears completely. We’re looking at 1ft with a choppy cross-onshore wind. Dead.

Monday the 7th shows some life – a 3-5ft groundswell from the WSW, long period of 12 seconds. Combined energy jumps to 497 (strong). The cross-off wind is moderate to fresh, keeping it clean. This is the first session that’s actually worth a look if you want a clean, lined-up wave, but the quality is still described as poor.

Tuesday the 8th through Wednesday the 9th hang in there with 4-5ft WSW swell, short period, and strong to fresh cross-off winds. Combined energy is moderate to strong (198-297). The waves are clean but messy and lack punch.

Thursday the 10th sees a dramatic drop. Only 2-2ft from the WSW, but the wind finally turns offshore from the NNW – moderate to fresh, clean conditions. Combined energy is weak (19-52). It’s pretty, but you’ll be scratching for a wave.

Now, here’s the standout for the whole forecast. Friday the 11th of September morning. Coney Beach gets a solid 7ft W swell at 8 seconds, with a gentle offshore NNW wind. The combined energy is a strong 643. The forecast explicitly says the wind and tide are favourable. However, it’s too big for this break – only for experts. The afternoon turns to rubbish with cross-shore chop. This is the only real pulse of power in the 16-day window, but it’s a narrow window and only for the skilled crew.

The following week tails off again. Saturday the 12th has 4-5ft from the WSW with light cross-off winds – combined energy 263-310, surfable but very ordinary. Sunday the 13th through Monday the 14th get a bit of swell (4-7ft) but it’s crossed up or onshore, with poor ratings. Tuesday the 15th is clean but weak at 4-4ft.

Then Wednesday the 16th of September brings another big spike – 7-8ft from the SW and WSW, combined energy 807-903 (very strong), but with fresh to strong cross-off winds. Again, it’s clean but too big for Coney, and the forecast calls it poor. Thursday the 17th finally looks good with 4ft W swell at 9 seconds, moderate offshore NW wind, and combined energy of 497. This is the other highlight – clean, solid, and rideable for most. It’s a long way out, so keep an eye on it.

Overall, this is a frustrating stretch for Coney Beach. The best on offer is the morning of Friday the 11th for experts only, and the morning of Thursday the 17th as a promising, cleaner option for everyone else. Crowds are possible here sometimes, but honestly, with this quality, I wouldn’t stress about a lineup.

Rusty.

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