Coney Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day outlook for Coney Beach is a tough one. We’re looking at a long stretch of mostly poor surf, so get ready for a flat spell with very little to get excited about. There’s a bit of a pulse around September 7th, but it’s not going to make anyone’s highlight reel.

The first real surf on offer kicks off Saturday, September 5th, with a tiny 3 ft swell from the WSW, but the period is short, 7 seconds. The wind is a cross-off from the WNW at 15 km/h, so the conditions will be clean, but the wave energy is weak (89). The water temp is sitting at 67°, which is a whopping 6° warmer than normal for this time of year – very unusual, honestly feels like a warm bath. But honestly, the waves just aren't there. It’s a “poor surf conditions” call, and I’m not going to sugarcoat it.

Sunday the 6th is even worse – swell drops to 2 ft with cross-on winds, making it choppy and messy.

Now, the only real standout, and I use that term loosely, is Monday, September 7th. The morning session sees a jump in swell to 5 ft from the WSW, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell. The combined energy is moderate (815). Wind is a cross-off from the west at 20 km/h, keeping it clean. The problem is that guidance says the surf is marginal due to questionable tide conditions. For a beach break, a long-period swell like that can make it break too straight, so it’s not a guaranteed winner. The afternoon gets bigger, 6 ft, but the wind picks up to 30 km/h and goes cross-shore, making it lumpy. The morning is the only window worth a look, but keep expectations low.

After that, it’s a grind. Tuesday the 8th has 5 ft swell but the wind is fresh and strong, creating chop. Wednesday the 9th drops back to 3 ft. The rest of the week is a mix of small, weak swells and strong winds, with the combined energy staying weak to moderate. By Thursday the 10th, the wind is howling at 40 km/h with a strong cross-shore, making it look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week is a total washout. From around September 12th onward, the swell drops to 3 ft and then just fades into nothing. The morning of September 14th has a tiny 0.7 ft wave with glassy offshore wind from the NNW at 5 km/h, but you’d be hard-pressed to call it surf. The rest of the 16 days, through to September 20th, is all swells under 1 ft with very weak energy (single digits). The morning of the 20th is glassy, but the swell is only 0.7 ft with a 5-second period and energy of just 4. It’s flat.

So, bottom line: there’s no good surf on offer in this 16-day window. Coney Beach is a sheltered spot, so a blank run like this isn’t out of the ordinary. The only faint hope is Monday morning, September 7th, but it’s a long shot. Keep your board waxed and check back – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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