Coney Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this stretch of the forecast is a tough one. We’ve got a real flat spell on the cards for Coney Beach, with barely a wave worth paddling for across the entire 16-day window. The first recommendation on the board isn’t until Tuesday the 28th of July, and even then, it’s not what you’d call surf.

The overall pattern is dominated by weak, short-period windswell that’s just not getting the job done. The combined wave energy barely cracks double digits for most of the run, with a few moments struggling up to the 60–80 range, which is still weak at best (moderate energy only in the 60s and 80s). The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Tuesday morning (28 July) is a write-off – 2ft of weak, 6-second windswell from the west, with a cross-shore breeze. The energy is a feeble 24. Poor surf. The afternoon drops to 0.3ft.

Wednesday 29 July through Thursday 30 July keep the same story: tiny dribbles, 0.3ft to 1ft, with moderate breezes keeping it clean but utterly flat. Energy is 11 or less.

Friday 31 July morning sees a slight bump to 2ft, but still a 5-second period and weak energy of 16. Not worth a call.

Saturday 1 August afternoon is the best of a very poor bunch. Swell height hits 2ft from the west, with a 9-second period. The energy is still only 72, and the wind is cross-offshore. It’s small, but it’s the cleanest you’ll see. Still, I can’t call it a standout.

Sunday 2 August morning goes glassy – dead calm, 1.0ft from the west-southwest, 8-second period. Energy is 14. It’s a real lake out there, but if you’ve got a longboard, you might scratch out a knee-high dribble.

From Monday 3 August through to Wednesday 12 August, the pattern barely shifts. Tiny swells, mostly under 1ft, with periods hanging around 8–10 seconds. The energy stays in the weak to moderate range (up to 82 on the 12th). Winds are mixed, but nothing lines up to produce a wave worth writing home about.

Tuesday 11 August afternoon and Wednesday 12 August morning see the biggest swell of the run – 2ft from the west-southwest, with periods of 8–9 seconds, and energy of 60 and 82 respectively. The wind is light and cross-offshore on the 11th afternoon, and light cross-shore on the 12th morning. That’s the closest we get to a worthwhile session, but it’s still marginal at best. For a beginner, 2ft is fine, but the quality just isn’t there.

Alright, the honest truth: there are no true standouts here. If you’re desperate, the Tuesday 11 August afternoon (Coney Beach) with 2ft, 8-second period, and cross-offshore wind is the cleanest, most consistent-looking option. But it’s a longboard-only affair. The swell direction is west-southwest, which is close to the optimum (WSW), so that’s a small tick. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect solitude, but it’s not like you’ll be fighting for waves.

For the rest of the run, you’re looking at gaps of days with virtually nothing. The second week (from 5 August onward) is even flatter.

This is a classic case of a flat spell for a sheltered spot. It tends not to stay this poor for long, but right now, the ocean is taking a nap. If you’re a kite surfer, the moderate breezes on the 30th and 31st of July might be more interesting than anything on offer for a paddle. Otherwise, keep the board in the car.

Rusty.

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