
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 7 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Caspar Creek has in store for us. I gotta be straight with you—this stretch isn’t looking pretty for a long while. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but there’s a big blank run to start. The first real chance of something surfable won’t come until Wednesday, July 16th, and even then, it’s a real marginal call, not something to get excited about.
Right off the bat, from Tuesday, July 7th, through to Tuesday, July 15th, it’s all poor surf conditions. Constant cross-onshore winds from the NW, mostly moderate breezes, and the swell is just messy. The water temperature is sitting around 54°F which is pretty close to average for this time of year, nothing wild there.
The first flicker of hope shows up on Wednesday morning, July 16th. The combined swell energy is pumping up to 1289 (moderate to strong) with a 8ft swell from the NW, period around 8 seconds. Winds are still a gentle cross-on, so the face will be a bit lumpy, but it’s rideable. That afternoon the swell jumps to 10ft with energy hitting 1715, but the same cross-on wind keeps it from being clean. This is for experienced surfers only at that size—too big for beginners.
Into Friday, July 17th, we get a slight shift. Morning brings a light onshore wind from the W, with the swell at 8ft and NW direction, energy at 1430. It’s still marginal, but the lighter wind gives it a better chance of holding shape. This is about as close to a standout as we get, but I wouldn’t call it a classic. Crowds are often here, so expect some company for what’s on offer.
Saturday, July 18th morning has a 8ft NW swell with a 9-second period, energy at a massive 2578—very strong wave energy. But the wind is a gentle cross-on from the NW again, keeping it from being pristine. For a spot that’s sheltered and consistent, the swell direction (NW) is right in its wheelhouse, which is a plus.
The following week stays in the same vein—plenty of size, with swells regularly over 8ft and up to 12ft, and energy numbers in the four digits. The wind does ease up to light breezes at times, like on Tuesday, July 21st afternoon with an 12ft swell from the NW and period 9 seconds. But the cross-on component never fully goes away, so it’s always a bit messy.
Honestly, the best bet in this entire run is probably Friday morning, July 17th, and then again Wednesday morning, July 22nd, where we get an onshore wind from the WNW, light at 6 mph, with a 10ft NW swell and a 10-second period. That’s the cleanest window, but even then it’s only a 2/10 on the scale. This is a stretch where the swell is big but the quality is poor—if you’re a kiter, this might be more your scene than a paddle surfer’s dream.
So, there you go. A long wait, a few marginal days, but nothing to go rushing for. Stay tuned, things can turn around.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Mon morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
188 | 284 | 271 | 676 | 796 | 762 | 1191 | 1028 | 875 | 1055 | 565 | 412 | 776 | 710 | 772 | 868 | 848 | 634 | 659 | 643 | 456 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:35PM1.71m | 6:13AM1.07m | 6:17PM1.82m | 7:51AM1.05m | 7:04PM1.94m | 9:18AM1.10m | 7:55PM2.05m | 10:26AM1.19m | 8:49PM2.16m | 11:20AM1.28m | 9:44PM2.23m | 12:07PM1.36m | 10:38PM2.26m | 12:51PM1.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:27AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.56m | 1:35AM0.17m | 12:12PM0.71m | 2:36AM-0.07m | 1:13PM0.83m | 3:31AM-0.28m | 2:19PM0.89m | 4:23AM-0.45m | 3:23PM0.89m | 5:13AM-0.55m | 4:24PM0.86m | 6:00AM-0.59m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | |
8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:42 | — | 8:40 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
531 | 651 | 491 | 667 | 407 | 643 | 436 | 377 | 382 | 372 | 272 | 272 | 242 | 259 | 168 | 229 | 233 | 107 | 141 | 139 | 69 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 11 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 20 | SW 14 | — | S 18 | — | S 16 | S 11 | S 21 | W 18 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | WNW 16 | S 14 | WNW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 14 |
143 | 188 | 174 | 119 | 91 | — | 160 | — | 131 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 55 | 51 | 35 | 77 | 133 | 69 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 10 | NW 10 | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | W 19 | W 16 | W 18 | W 15 | SW 21 | S 16 | SW 20 | WNW 15 | SSW 12 |
186 | 43 | 28 | — | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 7 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 46 | 60 | 71 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
188 | 284 | 271 | 676 | 796 | 762 | 1191 | 1028 | 875 | 1055 | 565 | 412 | 776 | 710 | 772 | 868 | 848 | 634 | 659 | 643 | 456 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 312 | 6 | 190 | 311 | 52 | 190 | 311 | 23 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 136 | 594 | 7 | 136 | 395 | 7 | 162 | 395 | 7 | 209 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











