Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what Caspar Creek has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you: this stretch is going to be a real test of patience. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the opening act is rough and it stays that way for a long time. The water temp is sitting at 58.5°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

For the first full week, from Tuesday the 28th of July right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re looking at a relentless run of poor conditions. The swell is there, no doubt, with NW pulses hanging around 6 to 13 feet, and the combined energy is pumping hard – we’re talking moderate to very strong energy readings, hitting 494 and climbing all the way up to 2420. But here’s the kicker: the wind is a stubborn cross-onshore from the NW and NNW, blowing 12 to 25 mph. That means choppy, lumpy, messy surf. For the average surfer, the size is doable early on, but once we hit Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd, the swell jumps to 11 to 13 feet. At that point, this is strictly expert territory, and even then, the wind is making a mess of it. If you’ve got a kite, this is more your scene than a paddle.

Now, there’s a glimmer of light in the second week. Monday the 3rd of August rolls in with a drop in wind speed, down to 6 mph, but it’s still a cross-on breeze. The swell is still solid at 8 feet from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 1075. The forecast calls it marginal, and I can see why – the wave shape is compromised, but it’s at least surfable if you’re hungry.

The real standout, and I mean the only true standout in this whole outlook, is Tuesday the 4th of August, afternoon session. The wind goes glassy – a light WNW breeze at just 3 mph, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” The swell sits at 5.6 feet from the NW with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 476. This is the cleanest we’re going to see it. The break is sheltered and consistent, but remember, crowds are often here. For that afternoon, it’ll be worth sharing the water. That’s your best bet.

After that, it’s another long slog. Wednesday the 5th has a glassy afternoon with 4.6-foot surf, but the conditions are only ordinary. From Thursday the 6th through to Wednesday the 12th of August, it’s back to poor surf with persistent cross-onshore winds and building swell again. The long-range stuff from the 9th onward brings NW swell up to 10 feet and strong energy (1418), but the wind stays cross-on, so it’s messy and lumpy. For experts, those bigger days might offer some heavy, raw power, but it’s not going to be pretty.

Bottom line: If you’re set on Caspar Creek, circle Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon on your calendar. That’s your window for clean, surfable waves. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or just not worth the paddle. Patience, friends.

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