Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 20s period, SW swell with 1,111 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.2m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.2m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 19s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 20th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down this 16-day stretch for the local spot.
Honestly, it’s a real mixed bag, and mostly a frustrating one. The first week is mostly flat and choppy, but there’s one tiny window of absolute magic. The second week has a ton of swell, but the wind is just relentless. It’s a classic case of the ocean giving with one hand and taking away with the other.
The only real standout is a short, clean window right at the start. Monday afternoon, July 20th, Caspar Creek is looking glassy with a 3ft (0.9m) SW groundswell running on a very long 16-second period. The water is 54°F (12°C), which is a bit cooler than usual for July. The combined swell energy is moderate (576), and with zero wind, the surface will be dead calm. This is the one to go for – clean, long-period lines. Don’t sleep on it.
From Tuesday morning, July 21st, all the way through Friday, July 24th, the wind swings onshore and the swell drops off. It’s weak, short-period, and choppy. There’s a brief spike of energy on Friday afternoon but it’s still cross-on. A real gap.
The second week, from Saturday, July 25th, through to Tuesday, August 4th, is all about size. The swell builds from 5ft (1.6m) to well over 11ft (3.5m), with the combined energy hitting the strong to very strong categories (over 1000). But the wind is a constant cross-on from the NW or NNW. With a beach break and that much cross-on wind, it’s going to be lumpy, choppy, and messy. Honestly, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The only faint hope is the morning of Friday, August 1st, with a light onshore wind, but the swell is short period and the rest of the day is cross-on again.
The final few days, from Sunday, August 3rd, into Tuesday, August 4th, show the biggest waves of the forecast, pushing past 11ft (3.5m) with a moderate period and combined energy over 1500. But again, cross-on winds. It’s big, but it’s blown out.
So, the call is simple: snag that Monday afternoon glass, then settle in for a long wait. The ocean is going to be angry, but not clean.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed afternoon, min 13°C on Mon afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NNW 9 | SW 24 | SW 23 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | SW 18 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 362 | 362 | 129 | 107 | 73 | 69 | 48 | 51 | 53 | 136 | 82 | 101 | 801 | 429 | 178 | 226 | 177 | 167 | 331 | 614 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | 5:44PM1.74m | 7:20AM1.06m | 6:31PM1.75m | 8:58AM1.08m | 7:19PM1.76m | 10:10AM1.15m | 8:08PM1.78m | 10:59AM1.21m | 8:54PM1.82m | 11:35AM1.25m | 9:38PM1.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | 1:00AM0.31m | 11:40AM0.80m | 2:06AM0.20m | 12:37PM0.93m | 3:01AM0.09m | 1:41PM1.01m | 3:49AM0.00m | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | 3:29PM1.01m | ||||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 14 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | S 8 | SSW 14 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NNW 9 | SW 24 | S 14 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 214 | 191 | 129 | 529 | 339 | 250 | 148 | 111 | 233 | 136 | 82 | 101 | 801 | 333 | 1051 | 792 | 872 | 863 | 650 | 614 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | S 12 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSE 13 | SSW 13 | S 16 | NNW 9 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 362 | 243 | 310 | 107 | 73 | 69 | 173 | 223 | 72 | 233 | 187 | 201 | 248 | 110 | 413 | 260 | 134 | 243 | 139 | 146 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SW 16 | S 14 | WNW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSE 14 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SW 23 | SW 16 | S 16 | NNW 9 | — | SSW 14 | SSW 21 |
| kJ | 219 | 362 | 129 | 66 | 264 | 201 | 48 | 51 | 53 | 160 | 210 | 568 | 154 | 429 | 41 | 46 | 53 | — | 70 | 180 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | 25 | 175 | 200 | 178 | 226 | 177 | 167 | 331 | 503 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 270 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 12 | 52 | 174 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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