Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 11s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 4 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 12s period, NW swell with 1,336 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.2m 12s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 15s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s shaping up for Caspar Creek. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch is looking pretty bleak for a while. The first week and a half is mostly a write-off for decent waves. We’ve got a long gap with no real recommendations, and the surf that does show up is messy or just not worth paddling out for.
The water is sitting at 55°F right now, which is a solid 4°F colder than usual for this time of year. That’s a noticeable chill, so a good 5/4mm wetsuit is your friend if you’re keen.
The first few days are a no-go. Tuesday morning (September 1st) is small, maybe 2ft from the NW, but with a light cross-shore wind and poor conditions. The energy is weak (109). It just looks bumpy and uninviting. That theme carries on through Wednesday and Thursday. We get a bit more size – 6ft on Thursday morning – but the wind is still cross or cross-on, and the forecast says marginal at best. The combined energy does climb a bit (528), but it’s not clean.
Friday morning (September 4th) is the first real teaser. We get a 7ft NW swell with a clean offshore wind – WNW at 6 mph. The energy is strong (1053). The problem is the forecast still calls it marginal, and it’s a bit meaty for most. If you’re an expert, that morning window might have a few, but it’s not the standout we’re waiting for.
After that, we slide back into a long run of poor surf. The wind switches to cross-on or onshore, the swell drops, and the energy fades. Nothing is worth a second look until the second week.
Then, on Thursday, September 10th, we finally get a proper window. The afternoon looks glassy – WSW wind at just 3 mph – with a 4ft NW groundswell running on a 12-second period. The energy is strong (900). The forecast says “good surf conditions.” This is a rare moment where the stars align. The waves will be clean, with some shape from that longer period. It’s not huge, but for a spot that’s been blown out, this is our best bet. The next day, Friday afternoon (September 11th), is another glassy session with 6ft NW swell, though the period drops to 8 seconds. Still, with glassy conditions, it’ll be fun. Just be aware that this spot is consistent, but crowds are often here, so expect company.
The following Monday (September 14th) has some promise, with a long-period 4ft NW swell (13 seconds) and light offshore wind in the morning, but the energy is huge (816) and the forecast is still marginal. Could be a sneaky one if the tide works.
So, the standout days are the afternoon of September 10th and the afternoon of September 11th – glassy, clean, and with some swell. That’s where you want to be. Everything else is a gamble or a straight-up miss. Keep an eye on the long-range for the 14th, but it’s less certain.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri afternoon, min 12°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 11 | NW 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 5 | NW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
71 | 167 | 154 | 246 | 135 | 331 | 528 | 666 | 1336 | 1053 | 694 | 459 | 266 | 211 | 220 | 197 | 93 | 69 | 80 | 51 | 190 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:26PM1.84m | 3:35AM1.30m | 3:07PM1.87m | 4:58AM1.19m | 3:58PM1.88m | 6:37AM1.16m | 5:02PM1.88m | 8:05AM1.21m | 6:16PM1.89m | 9:06AM1.30m | 7:30PM1.93m | 9:51AM1.40m | 8:37PM1.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:01AM0.54m | 9:16PM0.19m | 8:37AM0.71m | 10:21PM0.13m | 9:20AM0.86m | 11:35PM0.08m | 10:22AM0.98m | 00:51AM0.00m | 11:48AM1.03m | 1:59AM-0.09m | 1:17PM0.99m | 2:56AM-0.15m | 2:31PM0.87m | 3:46AM-0.19m | |||||||
6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | |
— | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | — | 7:40 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | 7 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | WNW 9 | W 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | NW 6 |
198 | 167 | 127 | 120 | 135 | 331 | 528 | 666 | 1336 | 1053 | 694 | 459 | 266 | 211 | 220 | 197 | 330 | 264 | 462 | 558 | 118 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NW 9 | SSE 15 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | SSE 15 |
38 | 198 | 151 | 246 | 87 | 216 | 455 | 184 | 553 | 651 | 464 | 651 | 575 | 546 | 519 | 405 | 93 | 240 | 80 | 217 | 657 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 11 | S 12 | SW 18 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 13 | S 13 | NNW 12 | S 11 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | NW 12 | SSW 13 |
71 | 73 | 154 | 89 | 130 | 60 | 115 | 103 | 121 | 81 | 257 | 142 | 104 | 106 | 66 | 45 | 65 | 69 | 233 | 37 | 156 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 3 | SW 5 | SSW 4 | SE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 |
— | — | 2 | 12 | 13 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43 | 33 | 35 | 12 | 51 | 190 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 12 | 64 | 0 | 61 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 50 | 0 | 118 | 333 | 0 | 50 | 167 | 0 | 167 | 7 | 0 | 163 | 270 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











