
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 929 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 9s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 15) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook is a tough one. Caspar Creek is the only break on the cards for the whole 16-day window, and honestly, it’s not shaping up to be a great run. The water temperature is sitting at 56°F, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so don’t forget a decent wetsuit.
We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions ahead. The surf kicks off Monday, August 10th, with a 8ft NW swell, but that cross-onshore wind from the NW at 9 mph is chopping it up. The combined swell energy is moderate at 926, which sounds promising, but the wave comment says it all – poor surf conditions. That theme sticks around for days. Tuesday the 11th through Friday the 14th are all marginal at best, with swell sizes dropping from 7ft down to 4ft, and the wind stays cross-onshore, never really cleaning up. The energy drops from 736 down to 188 by Friday afternoon.
Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are flat and weak – swell drops to 3ft and then 2ft, with energy falling to just 121 and then 79. That’s weak energy, barely a ripple. The wind stays messy, and the water’s just not cooperating. From Monday the 17th all the way through to Sunday the 23rd, it’s a desert. Swell heights hover around 1ft to 3ft, periods are short and confused, and the energy is mostly under 300. You’re looking at cross-onshore breeze and tiny waves. There’s a brief flicker on Friday the 21st afternoon with a 5ft NW swell and 6-second period, but the energy is only 425 and the wind is still cross-onshore – marginal at best, and not worth paddling out for.
The last few days, Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th, see a bit of a bump – 5ft and 7ft NW swells, with energy climbing back to 588 and then 806. But the wind is still cross-onshore from the NW at 9 mph, and the period is short at 7 to 8 seconds. The wave comment stays poor. For a sheltered, consistent beginner spot like Caspar Creek, it’s a real bummer. The optimum swell direction is NW, and we’re getting that, but it’s just not lining up with the wind.
If you’re looking for a standout, there isn’t one. This is a long, blank run. The setup’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on a few of those choppier days, but for surfers, it’s a waiting game. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a solid “don’t bother.”
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
861 | 728 | 929 | 639 | 686 | 661 | 929 | 579 | 634 | 568 | 413 | 324 | 245 | 188 | 141 | 102 | 100 | 59 | 50 | 49 | 41 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:01AM1.38m | 9:39PM2.18m | 11:40AM1.47m | 10:33PM2.19m | 12:17PM1.56m | 11:26PM2.14m | 12:53PM1.65m | 00:17AM2.02m | 1:28PM1.71m | 1:07AM1.86m | 2:03PM1.76m | 2:00AM1.66m | 2:39PM1.77m | 2:57AM1.45m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:24PM0.87m | 4:56AM-0.39m | 4:24PM0.77m | 5:39AM-0.37m | 5:19PM0.66m | 6:19AM-0.30m | 6:13PM0.55m | 6:58AM-0.16m | 7:06PM0.47m | 7:34AM0.03m | 8:00PM0.41m | 8:10AM0.24m | 8:56PM0.37m | ||||||||
6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:15 | — | — | 8:13 | — | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 18 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 |
861 | 728 | 754 | 639 | 686 | 209 | 736 | 579 | 634 | 568 | 413 | 324 | 245 | 188 | 141 | 563 | 499 | 627 | 612 | 596 | 515 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | W 10 | W 9 |
165 | 156 | 102 | 101 | 116 | 52 | 207 | 179 | 173 | 203 | 251 | 245 | 196 | 138 | 360 | 102 | 100 | 59 | 29 | 49 | 41 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | S 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | S 11 | WNW 12 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | W 10 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
65 | 98 | 134 | 145 | 50 | 26 | 56 | 67 | 104 | 21 | 29 | 83 | 149 | 205 | 186 | 21 | 21 | 35 | 50 | 22 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 8 | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 929 | — | — | 661 | 929 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 27 | 6 | 61 | 347 | 7 | 162 | 23 | 6 | 43 | 311 | 0 | 130 | 167 | 0 | 64 | 12 | 6 | 43 | 43 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











