
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,518 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 31 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 17s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Fri 31st Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a good hard look at what Caspar Creek has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you: this stretch is going to be a real test of patience. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the opening act is rough and it stays that way for a long time. The water temp is sitting at 58.5°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.
For the first full week, from Tuesday the 28th of July right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, we’re looking at a relentless run of poor conditions. The swell is there, no doubt, with NW pulses hanging around 6 to 13 feet, and the combined energy is pumping hard – we’re talking moderate to very strong energy readings, hitting 494 and climbing all the way up to 2420. But here’s the kicker: the wind is a stubborn cross-onshore from the NW and NNW, blowing 12 to 25 mph. That means choppy, lumpy, messy surf. For the average surfer, the size is doable early on, but once we hit Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd, the swell jumps to 11 to 13 feet. At that point, this is strictly expert territory, and even then, the wind is making a mess of it. If you’ve got a kite, this is more your scene than a paddle.
Now, there’s a glimmer of light in the second week. Monday the 3rd of August rolls in with a drop in wind speed, down to 6 mph, but it’s still a cross-on breeze. The swell is still solid at 8 feet from the NW with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is strong at 1075. The forecast calls it marginal, and I can see why – the wave shape is compromised, but it’s at least surfable if you’re hungry.
The real standout, and I mean the only true standout in this whole outlook, is Tuesday the 4th of August, afternoon session. The wind goes glassy – a light WNW breeze at just 3 mph, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” The swell sits at 5.6 feet from the NW with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 476. This is the cleanest we’re going to see it. The break is sheltered and consistent, but remember, crowds are often here. For that afternoon, it’ll be worth sharing the water. That’s your best bet.
After that, it’s another long slog. Wednesday the 5th has a glassy afternoon with 4.6-foot surf, but the conditions are only ordinary. From Thursday the 6th through to Wednesday the 12th of August, it’s back to poor surf with persistent cross-onshore winds and building swell again. The long-range stuff from the 9th onward brings NW swell up to 10 feet and strong energy (1418), but the wind stays cross-on, so it’s messy and lumpy. For experts, those bigger days might offer some heavy, raw power, but it’s not going to be pretty.
Bottom line: If you’re set on Caspar Creek, circle Tuesday the 4th of August afternoon on your calendar. That’s your window for clean, surfable waves. Everything else is either blown out, too big, or just not worth the paddle. Patience, friends.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
494 | 396 | 420 | 736 | 617 | 472 | 637 | 535 | 292 | 569 | 554 | 694 | 1422 | 1336 | 1580 | 2371 | 1721 | 1075 | 831 | 764 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:57PM1.92m | 1:00PM1.38m | 11:34PM1.91m | 1:27PM1.43m | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:54PM0.93m | 6:12AM-0.17m | 5:34PM0.88m | 6:42AM-0.15m | 6:15PM0.83m | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | |||||||
— | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 13 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 13 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
1081 | 780 | 539 | 627 | 436 | 575 | 527 | 186 | 301 | 236 | 137 | 176 | 166 | 107 | 72 | 69 | 44 | 1075 | 831 | 764 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | S 15 | S 15 | SSE 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
51 | 119 | 227 | 221 | 210 | 40 | 35 | 157 | 155 | 145 | 140 | 134 | 100 | 80 | 74 | 70 | 49 | 44 | 43 | 65 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 15 | — | — | SSE 17 | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 | S 12 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
51 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 43 | — | — | 96 | — | — | 81 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 49 | 20 | 25 | 41 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | — | — | — |
494 | 396 | 420 | 736 | 617 | 472 | 637 | 535 | 292 | 569 | 554 | 694 | 1422 | 1336 | 1580 | 2371 | 1721 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 311 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 23 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 | 136 | 627 | 7 | 92 | 16 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










