Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 am 27 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
14.2° C
0.6° 

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,422 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 19s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug)13ft (4.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. This stretch for Caspar Creek is a tough one for the most part. We’re looking at a solid run of strong, choppy conditions that will keep things messy for the better part of two weeks. The one bright spot, if you can call it that, is a rare window of cleaner surf right at the very end of the period.

The first nine days, from Monday the 27th of July right through to Tuesday the 4th of August, are a write-off. Forget about a decent paddle. Swell is pumping, with combined wave energy in the hundreds and even climbing into the thousands (up to 2076) by the 2nd of August, but it’s all wind-affected. That persistent cross-onshore breeze from the NW, sometimes hitting 25 mph, just guts the waves. You’ll see plenty of size – up to 12 ft – but it’s a bumpy, choppy mess. That’s not surf for a board, that’s kite-surfing territory. For beginners, that 5 ft+ stuff is already too much, and when it goes over 8 ft, it’s expert-only, but even then, the quality is just not there.

Now, around the 4th of August, things start to shift. The wind finally drops. On Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th of August, we get some light mornings with the wind swinging onshore from the WNW at only 3 mph. The swell is still a solid 8 ft to 8 ft from the NW, with a 10-second period, giving it some decent energy (1076 to 1126). The water is sitting at 58°F, which is right about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there. This is the best you’re going to get in the whole outlook. Caspar Creek is the spot to be. The forecast suggests it’s marginal, but with that light, almost glassy wind, the morning sessions on the 4th and 5th of August could be surprisingly clean. It’s a consistent break, so you know it’ll be breaking, but it’s also sheltered, so it won’t be taking the full brunt of the ocean. The swell direction from the NW matches the optimum swell direction, and while the cross-on wind is a factor, at 3 to 6 mph it’s hardly a problem. It’s a far cry from the mess of the week before.

The 4th of August Tuesday morning is the absolute standout. Winds are virtually nil, swell is a punchy 8 ft, and the energy is strong (1285). That’s a day for a big crew to get out there and find some clean, steep lines before the afternoon breeze picks up. After that, the 5th and 6th of August are similar but with a touch less power. From the 6th onwards, the wind picks up again, and while the swell drops, the conditions go back to being choppy and poor. The 9th of August offers a flicker of hope with glassy conditions, but the swell is smaller and the period is short, so it’s not going to be worth the drive.

So, bottom line: the first week and a half are a complete write-off. The best on offer is the Tuesday morning on the 4th of August with that light wind and solid, long-period swell. The 5th and 6th of August are decent runner-ups, but don’t expect anything world-class. It’s a frustrating wait, but for that one morning, it might just come together.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon).

Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.1
NW
10
1.6
NW
6
0.9
SW
16
1.6
NW
6
2.2
NW
7
2
NW
7
2
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
2.4
NW
8
2.1
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2.2
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
2.3
NW
7
2.3
NW
7
2.3
NW
8
3.5
NW
8
3
NW
8
3
NW
9
3.5
NW
9
3.5
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
227
149
376
171
436
345
368
717
674
499
676
516
351
535
550
611
1361
1137
1448
2027
1693
Wind (km/h)
15
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
25
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
25
NW
25
NNW
10
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
25
NNW
40
NW
25
NNW
25
NW
25
NNW
20
NNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
12:06PM1.30m
10:18PM1.90m
12:34PM1.34m
10:57PM1.92m
1:00PM1.38m
11:34PM1.91m
1:27PM1.43m
00:11AM1.87m
1:54PM1.48m
00:51AM1.78m
2:21PM1.55m
1:35AM1.65m
2:50PM1.62m
2:25AM1.50m
Low Tide
4:13PM0.97m
5:40AM-0.15m
4:54PM0.93m
6:12AM-0.17m
5:34PM0.88m
6:42AM-0.15m
6:15PM0.83m
7:11AM-0.10m
6:59PM0.77m
7:40AM-0.01m
7:46PM0.70m
8:10AM0.12m
8:39PM0.61m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:09
6:11
6:11
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:31
8:30
8:30
8:29
8:28
8:27
8:25
 mm
Temp °C
14
15
14
15
16
15
15
15
14
14
15
14
15
15
14
15
17
16
15
15
15
Feels °C
12
12
11
12
12
11
11
11
11
10
11
11
11
11
11
10
12
10
11
10
11
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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