
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 12 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,585 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 6 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 06) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 6th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Wed 12th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s talk about Caspar Creek. This is a sheltered little nook, and it’s a consistent beginner-friendly spot, but if you’re looking for clean waves, you’re gonna have to be patient. The water temperature is sitting right around normal for this time of year, nothing weird to report there.
Right now, on Thursday the 6th, it’s a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a 2ft southwest swell coming through with a 13-second period, which could be nice, but the wind is a cross-onshore mess. The combined energy is weak at 197, and it’s just choppy and poor. Friday the 7th isn’t much better – the swell bumps up to 4ft from the northwest, but the period drops to a short 6 seconds, and the cross-on wind is still messing it up. Energy is moderate at 148.
Saturday the 8th sees the swell building to 5ft in the morning, hitting 8ft by afternoon, with an 8-second period. The energy kicks up to 292, then 676, but that cross-offshore wind is still on it, making it poor. By Sunday the 9th, the swell is 8ft in the morning and 10ft in the afternoon, with the period stretching to 9 seconds. The energy is strong (986 and 1391), but the wind is a moderate cross-on, so it’s going to be choppy and messy. This is big enough (over 8ft) that it’s really only for experts, and even then, the conditions are poor.
Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 12th, the swell stays in the 8ft to 10ft range, with periods of 9 to 10 seconds. The energy is strong to very strong (893 up to 2117). The wind does ease off a bit, becoming a light cross-on, so the surf quality ticks up to “marginal.” It’s not great, but it’s not terrible. Still, the cross-on wind is a drag.
Thursday the 13th and Friday the 14th, the swell drops back to 6ft to 8ft, with moderate energy. The wind is still cross-on, so the surf quality is poor to marginal. Honestly, the best chance of a decent wave in this whole stretch is maybe Wednesday the 12th afternoon, when the wind goes light and onshore, but the swell is a grinding 10ft at 9 seconds. That’s a lot of power for a sheltered spot, and with the cross-on wind, it’s not a standout.
The rest of the forecast from Saturday the 15th onward is a slow fade. The swell drops below 5ft, the period stays short, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday the 18th morning when the wind goes glassy, but the swell is a tiny 2ft from the west with a 15-second period. The energy is weak at 159. It’s surfable, but only just. The north-northeast wind is glassy, which is a major positive, but the waves are too small to get excited about.
The last half of the 16-day window is a big gap of poor to no surf. The swell drops to 1.0ft-2ft, and the energy is weak (38 to 82). The wind is mostly cross-on, making it a flat, choppy mess.
So, to be honest, there’s no real standout here. The best on offer is likely the early morning of Tuesday the 18th, if you’re desperate for a glassy session, but the waves are ankle-snappers. Otherwise, the whole 16-day window is a long, frustrating wait for cleaner conditions. Given the constant cross-on wind and mostly poor quality, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It’s a tough run, but that’s how it goes sometimes. Forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | NW 8 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
93 | 88 | 84 | 67 | 91 | 124 | 327 | 292 | 645 | 1009 | 965 | 1373 | 1026 | 828 | 1010 | 1134 | 1159 | 1188 | 1188 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 6:20AM1.09m | 5:32PM1.90m | 8:03AM1.10m | 6:33PM1.97m | 9:21AM1.18m | 7:37PM2.05m | 10:17AM1.28m | 8:40PM2.13m | 11:01AM1.38m | 9:39PM2.18m | 11:40AM1.47m | 10:33PM2.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 11:59PM0.25m | 10:38AM0.80m | 1:12AM0.09m | 11:43AM0.92m | 2:18AM-0.09m | 1:01PM0.98m | 3:17AM-0.23m | 2:18PM0.95m | 4:09AM-0.34m | 3:24PM0.87m | 4:56AM-0.39m | 4:24PM0.77m | |||||||
— | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | |
8:22 | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | — | 8:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 6 | SSW 19 | NW 7 | NW 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | NW 9 | NW 9 | S 13 | NW 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 |
92 | 50 | 40 | 67 | 91 | 203 | 327 | 292 | 240 | 226 | 263 | 191 | 167 | 828 | 1010 | 90 | 958 | 116 | 209 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 14 |
84 | 59 | 46 | 113 | 126 | 79 | 111 | 240 | 35 | 56 | 48 | 14 | 25 | 165 | 156 | 134 | 101 | 159 | 53 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | S 11 | SW 16 | SW 12 | W 13 | SW 23 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 14 | SW 19 | W 16 | S 12 |
93 | 88 | 84 | 81 | 57 | 10 | 130 | 37 | 31 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 72 | 65 | 98 | 32 | 94 | 5 | 26 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | — | — | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
— | — | — | — | — | 124 | — | — | 645 | 1009 | 965 | 1373 | 1026 | — | — | 1134 | 1159 | 1188 | 1188 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 200 | 136 | 6 | 438 | 77 | 7 | 270 | 655 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 118 | 16 | 7 | 162 | 167 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











