Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. It’s been a real tough stretch for surf around here. The whole 16-day window is looking mostly poor, with a couple of small windows where things might just be ridable but nothing to get too excited about. Water temp is sitting at 52.7°F which is about 2.9°F colder than average for this time of year – feels properly chilly for July.

Right now, we’re starting with a real flat run. The first break that pops up as a very marginal option is Caspar Creek on the morning of July 4th, but with 5.9ft of NW swell at an 8-second period and a light cross-on breeze, the combined wave energy is still moderate at 435. The condition notes say “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” The rest of the week just offers poor surf with cross-onshore winds and choppy mess. The afternoon of July 11th sees the swell bump up to 8.2ft from the NW at 8 seconds, and the energy gets to 844 (moderate-strong), but with a 9 mph cross-on wind, it’s too blown out to matter. The biggest number comes on July 10th afternoon – 9.8ft swell at 8 seconds, combined energy of 1028 (strong), but the wind is a 9 mph cross-on, so the report is just “poor surf conditions.” That size is for experts only.

Now, after a long, ugly run of poor surf and mostly moderate to fresh breezes, there’s one moment that actually stands out. In the second week, on July 13th, Monday afternoon, conditions finally line up right for a short window. The swell is 5.6ft from the NW at a very nice 9-second period, combined energy of 717 (moderate). That alone is average. But the wind – dead calm, glassy conditions. The report literally says “expect good surf conditions.” For a spot that’s been hammered by cross-onshore wind almost every day, that glass-off is a major win.

Caspar Creek is a sheltered beginner-friendly spot, and it’s consistent, which has helped keep hope alive through this. Crowds are often there, so expect company if this window firms up. For a beginner spot, 5.6ft with no wind will be super clean. And the swell direction from NW matches the optimum direction for this break perfectly. Because the period is 9 seconds (a short groundswell), it shouldn’t break too straight for this sheltered setup, so it should shape up nicely.

The immediate next days on July 14th bring a 5.9ft NW swell at 11 seconds with light onshore wind, and energy of 801 – again, a moderate-strong pulse, but the wind isn’t clean enough to call it a standout. July 15th has a weird combo: a long-period 19-second swell from the WNW but at only 2.3ft, so it’s tiny and marginal despite the massive period. The rest of the week into July 18th is back to poor conditions with cross-onshore winds and small, short-period swell mixed in.

So bottom line: the entire first week is a right-off. The only true standout is July 13th afternoon at Caspar Creek with that glassy clean wind. Get on it if you can, because the forecast after that reverts to poor form. For now, that’s your one shot.

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