
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,684 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 3 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 03) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 17s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. This is a bit of a frustrating watch for Caspar Creek. The whole 16-day window's got size, no doubt about it, but the wind is just a straight-up pest most of the time. We’ve got a real run of “could’ve been” energy.
The main story is the wind. We’ve got consistent northwesterlies raking this spot, which is a sheltered spot that wants that window to be clean. For the first week, it’s almost a write-off. The swell builds from a combined energy of 383 on the 1st, all the way up to a massive 2306 on the 2nd, but it’s all cross-onshore with 18 to 22 mph winds. That 10 ft to 12 ft of swell is just going to be blown-out, lumpy chaos. Not beginner territory with those sizes, but it doesn't matter because it’s ugly anyway. There’s a gap of pure poor conditions right through until the 5th of August.
Now, Wednesday the 5th of August is where we get a tiny, tiny window. On the Wednesday afternoon, the wind goes dead glassy. For a few hours, that 5 ft NW swell (combined energy of 501) will be the cleanest surf on offer in the whole outlook. It's a short-ish period at 9 seconds, but when it’s glassy at Caspar Creek, it gets fun. That’s your one small stand-out in the first half of the month.
After that glass-off, it’s back into the cross-onshore chop for days. The swell stays solidly in the 6 ft to 10 ft range through to the 16th, with that combined energy hitting four digits often, but the wind hardly ever gives us a break. The period hangs around 8 to 10 seconds, so it’s a mix of windswell and small groundswell, but it’s all trashed. It’s the kind of setup where you’d be looking at the kites more than the longboards, to be honest.
The best of a bad bunch is probably Monday the 10th of August morning, with an 8 ft NW swell and a better 10-second period, combined energy of 1336. The wind is only a light cross-on from the WNW, so it might just have a bit of shape on the sets. It’s still a marginal call, but if you’re desperate, that’s the pick of the second week.
Water temp is sitting at 55° on the first day, which is about 2 degrees colder than average for the time of year. So expect a bit of a chill, but nothing wild.
To be straight with you, this isn't a classic run for Caspar Creek. The consistency is there, but the quality is a battle. It should turn, it always does. Keep an eye on the forecasts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
368 | 1128 | 1308 | 1475 | 2257 | 2046 | 1510 | 1281 | 1048 | 816 | 640 | 593 | 457 | 402 | 320 | 313 | 286 | 266 | 264 | 429 | 613 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | 3:57PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.17m | 4:40PM1.83m | 6:20AM1.09m | 5:32PM1.90m | 8:03AM1.10m | 6:33PM1.97m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | 9:13AM0.46m | 10:46PM0.39m | 9:51AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.25m | 10:38AM0.80m | 1:12AM0.09m | 11:43AM0.92m | 2:18AM-0.09m | ||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 19 | SW 13 |
126 | 136 | 99 | 92 | 70 | 44 | 1510 | 1281 | 1048 | 816 | 640 | 593 | 457 | 402 | 320 | 313 | 286 | 266 | 264 | 203 | 82 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
134 | 78 | 32 | 45 | 46 | 49 | 44 | 42 | 65 | 85 | 78 | 34 | 73 | 99 | 97 | 88 | 85 | 113 | 127 | 80 | 130 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SW 20 | S 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 | SW 18 | SW 13 | S 11 | SSW 19 |
15 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 49 | 29 | 43 | 41 | 38 | 37 | 36 | 39 | 24 | 12 | 30 | 29 | 37 | 81 | 59 | 10 | 74 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 |
368 | 1128 | 1308 | 1475 | 2257 | 2046 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 429 | 613 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 136 | 310 | 52 | 167 | 655 | 7 | 92 | 6 | 7 | 43 | 52 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 209 | 167 | 0 | 270 | 52 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











