Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a mixed bag ahead over the next couple of weeks, but there are a few moments worth setting the alarm for.

First thing to note: the water’s running about 3° Fahrenheit colder than average for this time of year, so a decent 4/3 or a hood might be a good call when you’re out at Caspar Creek. It’s a bit of a shock to the system at first, but you’ll warm up once you’re paddling.

The next few days are looking pretty grim. We start with a big, raw NW swell coming in on Sunday the 2nd—10 to 13ft of cross-onshore chaos, with strong 25 km/h winds. The energy is huge (1580 to 2387), but it’s just a washing machine out there. Not worth your time unless you’re after a beating.

Monday the 3rd calms down a touch. Still a solid 8 to 10ft of NW swell, but lighter winds and a little more organized. It’s marginal, but there might be a few salvageable ones if you’re keen and the tide works out. Tuesday afternoon the 4th is the first real glimmer—a drop to 6ft, light winds, and glassy conditions. The energy’s down to 564, but that clean surface could make for some fun, lined-up waves on the better sets. It’s not epic, but it’s surfable.

Then we hit a flat, frustrating patch. From Wednesday the 5th through to Friday the 7th, we’re looking at small, weak, cross-onshore slop. Swell drops below 5ft most of the time, with periods around 8–9 seconds and weak wave energy (245–416). It’s honestly not worth paddling out for anything more than a splash. The weekend of the 9th and 10th brings a pulse back, but it’s not clean. Swell jumps back up to around 11-12ft with NW energy in the 2000s, but it’s crossed-up and lumpy—plenty of power but not much shape. The wind is light on Monday the 10th, which helps, but the swell is still a bit raw. If you’re an experienced local, you might find something, but it’s far from ideal.

After that, it’s a long, drawn-out fade. From Tuesday the 11th onward, the swell steadily drops, energy levels fall, and we’re left with a lot of weak, short-period chop and persistent cross-onshore breezes. The most interesting thing in the second week is a very long-period groundswell arriving on Saturday the 15th—16 to 17 seconds from the WNW, but only 3ft. It’s a tease. That long period will make for some clean, slow lines at a place like Caspar Creek, but the size is just too small to get excited about. That’s about as good as it gets after the 11th, and it’s marginal.

So, to sum it up: the standout is Tuesday afternoon the 4th—small but clean and glassy. If you can wait, Monday the 10th has the most size with lighter winds, but it’s a gamble on shape. Don’t hold your breath for the second week—it’s mostly small and weak, with that one long-period bump on the 15th being the only real hope.

Stay patient, keep an eye on the buoys, and don’t force it.

Rusty

Read more