Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into this one. I’ll be straight with you – this outlook for the next couple of weeks is a tough pill to swallow if you’re just trying to paddle in.

We’re looking at Caspar Creek, and honestly, for the first week and a half, the conditions are going to be a real challenge. The wave energy is moderate to strong—we’re seeing readings in the hundreds, peaking over a thousand at times, with swell heights consistently between 5ft and 10ft. But here’s where it gets frustrating: almost every session is marred by a cross-onshore wind, mainly from the NW, blowing at 9 to 16 mph. That’s creating choppy, messy surf. It’s not going to be clean or fun.

From Wednesday the 8th all the way through to Saturday the 19th, it’s a consistent theme: poor surf conditions. Every single entry says it. There’s a solid swell coming in, sure, but it’s being ruined by the wind. This is a beach break setup, and with those conditions, honestly, it looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for us.

You’re looking at a real gap here—over a week with no real recommendation for a paddle. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least that’s not adding insult to injury.

Now, there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, but it’s a distant one. On Tuesday the 21st, things change. In the afternoon, the wind goes completely glassy. Calm. Zero. That’s a major positive. We’ve got a 8ft NW swell, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 770. The wind state says "glassy"—that’s what we want to hear. The surf forecast is "expect good surf conditions." That is the standout. For that session, Caspar Creek should actually be decent. Clean face, proper shape for the size.

The next morning, Wednesday the 22nd, could also be worth a look with a light WNW offshore wind at 3 mph and a 7ft NW swell. But that’s got a marginal forecast, so the Tuesday afternoon slot is your best bet.

Then it fades out again. So, if you’re patient, hold out for that Tuesday, July 21. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The rest of this run is a write-off, but it doesn’t look like it’ll stay poor forever. Forecasts can always change.

Rusty.

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