Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and I’ve got a straight-up report for you. Look, I’ve gotta be honest with you right off the bat – our only break in the mix is Caspar Creek, and it’s a bit of a rough ride for the next while. It’s a sheltered spot, consistent, and takes a NW swell, which is what we’re mostly seeing, but the wind is just not playing ball. The water’s sitting at 60° – a touch warmer than normal for the time of year over at Caspar Creek.

We’re staring down a long stretch of “poor surf conditions” starting Friday afternoon, 24 July, with a 3 ft SW swell and a 24-second period. That’s a very long period groundswell, which usually means a lot of energy and nice shaped waves at a point or reef, but here it’s cross-on wind at 12 mph, turning it into a choppy mess. The combined energy is moderate (964). Saturday 25 July and Sunday 26 July aren’t any better – small 3 ft to 3 ft swells, short periods around 8-9 seconds, and the same old cross-on wind. The energy drops right off (114 on Saturday morning, 45 on Sunday afternoon).

The grind continues through the end of July. Monday 27 July sees the swell bump up to 4 ft, then 6 ft in the afternoon, but the wind is still cross-on at 9-12 mph, keeping things choppy. Tuesday 28 and Wednesday 29 July push the swell over 7 ft, hitting 8 ft on Wednesday afternoon (522 combined energy), but that’s getting into big territory for beginners, and the wind is still up at 15 mph. Thursday 30 July has a 7 ft swell with a longer 8-second period (energy jumps to 979), but again, cross-on wind. Friday 31 July finally gives us a morning of “on” wind from the WNW at 9 mph, which is offshore, with a 5 ft NW swell, but the surf quality is still poor. The afternoon blows out again.

The first week of August gets bigger but not better. Saturday 1 August has a 10 ft NW swell (energy 1249 – strong) and Sunday 2 August peaks at 12 ft (energy 1810). That’s expert-only territory, and the wind is a solid 15 mph cross-on, making it ugly. Monday 3 August through Tuesday 5 August stays in the 8-10 ft range with very strong energy (up to 2936), but the wind is relentless. Honestly, with that much swell and strong cross-onshore wind, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Finally, we get a glimmer of hope. Thursday 6 August morning has a 8 ft NW swell, long 10-second period, and the wind swings to “on” from the W at only 3 mph. That’s a clean, offshore breeze. The comment shifts from “poor” to “marginal” – not perfect, but a step up. The energy is still very strong (1266). Thursday afternoon stays light cross-on. Friday 7 August (morning and afternoon) is even smaller, 7 ft then 6 ft, with light wind, keeping it marginal. The real bright spot is Saturday 8 August afternoon – a 6 ft NW swell, 9-second period, and the wind goes glass at 3 mph from the WNW. The comment reads “expect good surf conditions” (energy 684). That’s the standout. For a beginner-friendly spot, 6 ft is a bit pushy, but for a confident surfer, that’s a clean, smooth afternoon session.

In summary, the first 13 days are a write-off. The only genuine window of quality is the afternoon of Saturday 8 August. Crowds are likely here (often), so get there early if you’re keen.

Rusty.

Read more