Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,191 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 5th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, grab your board. Rusty here with the long-range look for Caspar Creek. It’s a quiet stretch ahead, so let’s be straight with each other.
For the first week and a half, don’t get your hopes up. The swell is there, bumping around 5 to 10 ft from the NW, but the wind is a killer. It’s cross-on from the NW almost every day, with a moderate to fresh breeze. That spells choppy, messy conditions. The combined wave energy sits in the moderate range, but with that wind, it’s just not worth paddling out. The water temp is about average for this time of year at Caspar Creek. Even the Sunday morning of the 5th with a light breeze still has light cross-onshore ripples—close, but no cigar.
We’ve got a real gap here. The surf just won’t clean up for you. Then, around Thursday the 16th of July, something shifts. The swell drops to 3 ft from the WNW, but the period jumps way up to 19 seconds—that’s a very long period groundswell. Combined energy is strong, and the wind goes light variable, even onshore at times. It’s marked as marginal, but for a sheltered beginner spot like Caspar Creek, a long-period groundswell from the WNW can actually wrap in nicely. The break is sheltered and consistent. Just know that long-period groundswell can make a beach break a bit straight, but here it could offer clean little lines. Crowds are often at this spot, so expect company.
Then on Sunday the 19th of July, another pulse: 8 to 10 ft NW swell (period 7-8 sec), combined energy ramps up strong. The wind is light cross-on again. This is big for beginners—over 5 ft—and at 10 ft it’s only for experts. The direction is solidly NW, but the period is short, so it’s windswell, not groundswell. Still, with light winds, it might offer some punchy, albeit lumpy, waves. For a true standout, the Thursday the 16th session looks like the best bet: smaller, glassy, long-period energy that’s rare. The Sunday the 19th is promising but less certain this far out.
Overall, a long dry spell until the second week. Then a couple of windows open up. Keep an eye on Thursday the 16th for a sneaky clean small wave day.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sat night, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Sat 11 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 373 | 311 | 319 | 349 | 327 | 358 | 424 | 303 | 267 | 284 | 327 | 776 | 677 | 595 | 1029 | 1055 | 854 | 1029 | 601 | 389 | 404 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 2:30AM1.51m | 4:24PM1.51m | 3:28AM1.34m | 4:58PM1.60m | 4:42AM1.18m | 5:35PM1.71m | 6:13AM1.07m | 6:17PM1.82m | 7:51AM1.05m | 7:04PM1.94m | 9:18AM1.10m | 7:55PM2.05m | 10:26AM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:00PM0.85m | 9:24AM0.05m | 10:05PM0.76m | 9:58AM0.21m | 11:16PM0.61m | 10:36AM0.38m | 00:27AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.56m | 1:35AM0.17m | 12:12PM0.71m | 2:36AM-0.07m | 1:13PM0.83m | 3:31AM-0.28m | 2:19PM0.89m | |||||||
 | | |  | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — |
 | 8:45 | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 |
| kJ | 373 | 311 | 319 | 349 | 327 | 330 | 300 | 485 | 531 | 651 | 491 | 667 | 407 | 643 | 436 | 377 | 382 | 362 | 272 | 268 | 272 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | WNW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 20 | SW 14 | — | S 18 | — | — | — | S 21 | W 18 | S 20 |
| kJ | 186 | 140 | 395 | 209 | 180 | 174 | 151 | 255 | 140 | 188 | 174 | 119 | 91 | — | 160 | — | — | — | 9 | 6 | 30 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 12 | SSW 18 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 12 | S 8 | WNW 10 | S 11 | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | — | W 19 |
| kJ | 86 | 216 | 118 | 207 | 246 | 260 | 485 | 28 | 5 | 43 | 9 | — | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | — | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | 358 | 424 | 303 | 267 | 284 | 327 | 776 | 677 | 595 | 1029 | 1055 | 854 | 1029 | 601 | 389 | 404 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 64 | 61 | 0 | 209 | 311 | 6 | 270 | 312 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 | 209 | 311 | 23 | 136 | 435 | 7 | 92 | 435 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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