
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 839 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 2.0m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 16s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s going on at Caspar Creek. It’s a bit of a tough one, to be honest. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim, so I’m going to be straight with you.
Right off the bat, the first week is a write-off. From Tuesday, the 14th of July, right through to Friday, the 18th, it’s all poor surf conditions. The wind is a stubborn cross-onshore, blowing from the NW at 9 to 16 mph, chewing up the surface. The swell is there, but it’s a messy, short-period wind swell (7 seconds) that’s just not offering anything rideable. Energy levels are all over the place, from a weak 258 to a big 1197, but it doesn’t matter because the wind is ruining it. This is the kind of setup that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
Then we hit the weekend of the 18th and 19th, and it gets marginally better, but still not good. The swell drops to about 3 ft, and the period gets long – 16 seconds – which is that classic groundswell. But the wind is still a light cross-onshore, and the comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s just not enough to get excited about. The energy is moderate (1106 to 819), but it’s not coming together.
The pattern continues through the week of the 21st. The swell dips to 2 ft with almost no energy (63) on the 22nd, and then slowly builds back up. The 23rd and 24th show a little pulse of NW swell, but it’s short period (6-8 seconds) and the cross-onshore wind is still a problem. By the 24th afternoon, the swell period jumps to a massive 24 seconds, which is a very long period, but the swell height is only 2 ft, so it’s not going to do much.
The final week, from the 26th of July, the swell does start to build again. You’ll see chest-to-head-high sets (5 ft to 7 ft) from the NW, but it’s that same short period (7-8 seconds) and the wind is still cross-onshore. The energy is moderate (around 500-660), but it’s just not clean. The forecast closes out with a little more promise on the 28th, with a 6 ft NW swell and light winds, but it’s still marked as “marginal.” The 29th is the same story.
To be honest, there is no standout session in this entire 16-day window. The only near miss is the morning of Saturday the 18th, where the wind is directly onshore and the period is a solid 16 seconds, but the swell is only 3 ft and the tide is questionable. If you were desperate, you might paddle out, but I wouldn’t expect much.
The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is only a touch below average for this time of year, so it’s nothing unusual. Caspar Creek is a sheltered beginner spot, and it’s consistent, but when the wind is cross-on like this, it just doesn’t work. It’s a tough stretch, but forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
189 | 240 | 317 | 240 | 447 | 434 | 347 | 716 | 569 | 433 | 448 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 405 | 302 | 362 | 367 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 12:51PM1.44m | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:22PM0.80m | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | 9:31AM0.15m | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 8:40 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | WNW 8 | W 13 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
69 | 104 | 194 | 111 | 87 | 221 | 286 | 322 | 356 | 433 | 448 | 383 | 257 | 319 | 187 | 169 | 138 | 117 | 126 | 135 | 118 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
69 | 59 | 95 | 192 | 158 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 141 | 181 | 74 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 405 | 302 | 362 | 367 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | W 13 | SW 17 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | S 13 | S 12 |
49 | 112 | 59 | 89 | 97 | 48 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 104 | 126 | 130 | 362 | 379 | 64 | 302 | 242 | 183 | 180 | 161 | 137 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
189 | 240 | 317 | 240 | 447 | 434 | 347 | 716 | 569 | 413 | 413 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 167 | 27 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 270 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 311 | 0 | 92 | 75 | 0 | 167 | 50 | 6 | 77 | 52 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










