Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
12.5° C
0.8° 

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NW swell with 679 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 1.9m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 14s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 17th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 16s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 16th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Caspar Creek has cookin’ for us over the next couple of weeks.

Alright, I gotta be straight with you: this isn’t looking like a great run. The whole 16-day stretch is a bit of a battle, with nearly every period tagged as poor surf. The first real chance to even paddle out comes on Saturday the 18th, and even then it’s only a marginal call. There’s a long gap of nothing really worth chasing before that.

The water temp at Caspar Creek is sitting at 55°F, which is about 1°F cooler than the long-term average – so pretty normal for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

Let’s run through it. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th are a write-off. Strong cross-onshore winds around 12 to 16 mph chopping up a messy combo of short-period groundswell and windswell. The combined energy is moderate to strong (730 and 1024 on Thursday), but the quality is just not there.

Saturday the 18th is the first time the score creeps up to a “marginal” rating. Morning brings a 3ft swell from the WNW with a long 16-second period (groundswell) and light cross-onshore winds at 6 mph. The combined energy is strong at 1256, but the light wind is only creating small ripples. It’s not clean, but it’s the first window where you might find a couple of closeouts. The afternoon sees a similar 3ft swell, but with a gentle breeze making it choppier.

Sunday the 19th is a bit of a mixed bag. The morning has a 5ft swell from the NW with a short 8-second period and light onshore wind. That’s a bit of messy, weak windswell. The combined energy is moderate (837). The afternoon drops to 3ft from the SW, but again, light cross-on breeze.

Monday the 20th through Wednesday the 23rd are all poor. Mostly small swell (2ft to 4ft), with short periods, and cross-onshore winds. The energy is weak to moderate (95 to 574). The only highlight is Wednesday afternoon the 22nd, when it goes glassy for a moment, but with a tiny 3ft, 8-second NW swell and only 80 combined energy, it’s barely a ripple.

The second week doesn’t get any better. From Thursday the 24th all the way through to Friday the 31st, it’s a steady drumbeat of poor conditions. The swell gets bigger, with 8ft to 10ft on the 25th and 26th, but it’s all short-period, cross-onshore, and choppy. Combined energy hits 1341 on the 25th afternoon, but the wind is strong and the quality is terrible. That big, messy swell is more for the kitesurfers than paddle surfers.

The only standout, if you can call it that, is Saturday the 18th morning. It’s the first day where the surf is even rideable, and the long-period groundswell from the WNW (16 seconds) means there’s some energy in the water. The wind is light, and the swell is a manageable 3ft. But it’s still cross-onshore, so don’t expect perfection. The rest of the window is a bust.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
0
0
1
1
1
2
1
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
WNW
19
2.4
NW
7
0.9
WNW
18
0.9
WNW
17
1
WNW
17
1
WNW
16
1
WNW
16
0.8
SW
18
0.9
WNW
16
1.6
NW
8
0.9
SW
17
0.9
SW
17
1.5
NW
8
0.8
SW
16
0.8
SW
16
1.1
NW
8
0.6
SW
14
0.9
NW
8
0.9
NW
8
0.8
NW
8
0.8
NW
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
286
557
507
433
543
499
487
392
348
319
439
414
306
295
302
180
164
109
95
80
88
Wind (km/h)
25
NW
25
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
5
NNW
10
WNW
15
NW
5
N
10
WNW
10
NW
0
S
10
WNW
10
WNW
5
N
5
W
10
W
5
WSW
5
SW
5
WSW
5
WNW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
cross
on
on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
High Tide
2:14PM1.57m
1:16AM1.98m
2:55PM1.63m
2:10AM1.76m
3:37PM1.68m
3:09AM1.53m
4:18PM1.72m
4:17AM1.30m
5:00PM1.73m
5:41AM1.13m
5:44PM1.74m
7:20AM1.06m
6:31PM1.75m
Low Tide
7:18PM0.69m
8:11AM-0.29m
8:20PM0.64m
8:51AM-0.08m
9:25PM0.58m
9:31AM0.15m
10:35PM0.51m
10:11AM0.39m
11:48PM0.42m
10:53AM0.61m
1:00AM0.31m
11:40AM0.80m
2:06AM0.20m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:39
8:39
8:38
8:37
8:37
8:37
8:36
 mm
Temp °C
13
13
12
12
13
12
13
12
11
13
13
11
13
13
12
17
15
17
16
15
15
Feels °C
9
8
8
9
9
11
11
10
9
12
11
10
12
11
11
16
13
16
14
13
14
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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