
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,379 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 16s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Alright, grab a coffee, let’s talk about what’s happening with Caspar Creek right now. Honestly, it’s a tough start. For the next week and a half, it’s pretty much a write-off for decent waves here. The swell is coming from the NW, but that northwesterly wind is hammering us from the same direction, just about cross-on, and it keeps the ocean messy and choppy. A lot of the time, the swell is between 6 and 8 feet, which would usually be fun, but the wind’s ruining it – it’s just poor conditions day after day.
On Saturday the 12th, we get a bump with combined wave energy hitting 834 (moderate energy), but again, that cross-onshore wind is gonna make it a bumpy, frustrated paddle out. There’s no use sugar-coating it: for ten straight days, it’s all”poor surf conditions.” Even Wednesday the 15th sees the swell push up to 10 feet with strong energy (1375), but that’s big, strong, and messy – that's expert territory and honestly, still not clean.
Then around Friday the 17th, things start to change. The wind finally eases back, turning a bit more WNW and dropping to a light breeze. The swell drops right off to 3 feet, but the period jumps way up to 17 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy is still strong (around 1002-1159), so there’s juice, but the swell direction is off for Caspar Creek. The optimum direction here is NW, and we get some WNW and even SW, so the breaks will be picky. It’s still cross-on and not super clean, so I’d call it marginal. It’s better than the previous week, but not a standout.
For Monday the 20th and a couple of days after, it’s back to that poor, short-period NW windswell – small and messy. The week from the 21st to the 24th is all small, poor conditions.
But then, hold on. Friday the 24th of July afternoon looks like the best we’re gonna get in the whole 16-day run. The wind swings around to the SSW, drops to just 3 mph, and goes glassy. Swell is a solid 10 feet from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is strong (1102). That’s a decent-sized, clean wave with light wind. For a sheltered spot like this, glassy conditions are gold – it’ll be clean and lined up. For the first time in this whole forecast, I’d rank that as the standout session. Keep in mind, long-period swells of over 15 seconds work best at reefs and points, but this swell is short-period (8s), so it should hold up fine at Caspar Creek. But be aware – Caspar Creek is consistent and often has crowds, so don’t expect solitude.
Now, the water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Alright, that’s the story. Rough start, but a glassy window on the 24th afternoon might just save this run.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
731 | 545 | 404 | 255 | 152 | 494 | 674 | 564 | 816 | 574 | 502 | 574 | 435 | 327 | 516 | 483 | 545 | 1055 | 1003 | 897 | 1379 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:18AM1.10m | 7:55PM2.05m | 10:26AM1.19m | 8:49PM2.16m | 11:20AM1.28m | 9:44PM2.23m | 12:07PM1.36m | 10:38PM2.26m | 12:51PM1.44m | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:36AM-0.07m | 1:13PM0.83m | 3:31AM-0.28m | 2:19PM0.89m | 4:23AM-0.45m | 3:23PM0.89m | 5:13AM-0.55m | 4:24PM0.86m | 6:00AM-0.59m | 5:22PM0.80m | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | |||||||
— | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | |
8:44 | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 20 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 |
377 | 283 | 367 | 334 | 330 | 272 | 256 | 168 | 229 | 229 | 123 | 141 | 181 | 69 | 104 | 194 | 194 | 158 | 221 | 283 | 283 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 16 | — | S 21 | NW 10 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | WNW 16 | S 14 | WNW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | WNW 13 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 |
— | 131 | — | 9 | 73 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 54 | 51 | 35 | 77 | 133 | 69 | 60 | 96 | 59 | 103 | 161 | 159 | 159 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | W 18 | W 18 | W 19 | W 16 | W 18 | W 15 | SW 21 | S 16 | SW 20 | WNW 15 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 21 | SSW 12 |
— | — | — | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 46 | 60 | 71 | 29 | 112 | 59 | 57 | 59 | 29 | 70 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 |
731 | 545 | 404 | 255 | 152 | 494 | 674 | 564 | 816 | 574 | 502 | 574 | 435 | 327 | 516 | 483 | 545 | 1055 | 1003 | 897 | 1379 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 167 | 624 | 7 | 119 | 655 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 23 | 136 | 311 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











