Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a proper paddle at Caspar Creek. We’ve got a long stretch of cross-onshore wind chopping everything up, and for the most part, it’s not going to be worth the effort. That said, I’ve scanned the charts and there is a tiny window of hope right at the end of the run, but we’ve got to wade through a lot of mess to get there.

The first week is a write-off, to be honest. From Wednesday the 9th right through to the 19th, we’re looking at poor surf conditions. The wind is nearly always cross-on, which puts a nasty chop on the surface. There’s a bit of energy around, especially Friday the 11th with waves hitting 7ft to 8ft and combined energy up around 1111–1199 – but it’s all that onshore wind that’s ruining it. That size with that wind is just a washing machine. Saturday the 12th has a similar story – 5ft on the afternoon, but again the wind kills it. We also see a long period NW swell trying to fill in on the 9th, but it’s only 2ft, not enough to do anything with.

The following weekend stays poor too. Saturday the 19th has a moderate breeze making it lumpy, and Sunday the 20th – despite a nice long-period SW swell around 19 seconds – is still blown out by the cross-onshore. It’s a lot of energy but no clean surface to ride. This starts to feel like a long drought.

Now, here’s the light at the end of the tunnel. It’s a fair way off, but things are looking up for Monday the 21st. The morning is still marginal, but the afternoon is where it’s at. The wind drops right out, the sea goes glassy, and we’ve got a solid 3ft SW groundswell running at 17 seconds. That’s a proper long-period swell wrapping in, and conditions look clean. The combined energy is a moderate 660, which is fine. This is a real hope.

And if that gets your stoke up, Tuesday the 22nd looks even better. Glassy conditions again, with a calm wind state and a similar 3ft of SW swell. This is the standout of the entire period. It’s small, so you’ll want a longboard or a fish. The break is consistent, which is a bonus. Crowds are often here, so get in early. With that long period, it will have good shape on this sheltered setup. This is the one to circle.

After that, we slip back into the doldrums with cross-on breezes spoiling things again, and the energy drops off into the 23rd, leaving us with nothing on offer. It’s a long wait, but there is a clean little window on the 21st and 22nd that will make it all worthwhile. That Tuesday afternoon glass is looking like a genuine treat.

Keep the faith, it’ll come good.

Rusty.

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