Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 21 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 20s period, SW swell with 1,111 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.2m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Tue 21st Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, and I'm looking at the next 16 days for Caspar Creek. I'm gonna level with you – it's a rough patch. Nothing good is happening for paddle surfing. The swell is coming from the northwest, which is the right direction for this sheltered spot, but the wind is almost always messing it up. For the first week, a constant cross-onshore wind is going to chop up whatever waves are there, making it pretty ordinary. The water temp is 55°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
The only real glimmer of hope is on Tuesday, the 21st. Tuesday morning is a no-go with a 3ft NW swell, a weak 8-second period, and a light breeze, but it's just poor. However, Tuesday afternoon gets a brief window of *glass*-like conditions. The wind drops to zero. That is a major positive. The swell is still just 3ft from the NW, but the combined energy is moderate (173). It's surfable, but it's very ordinary. For a beginner-friendly, consistent break like this, that's your best bet. But it's not a standout by any stretch.
Then it's a long, grim run. From Wednesday the 22nd all the way through to Wednesday the 5th of August, it's a no-go zone. The wind stays cross-onshore, the swell gets bigger but the quality stays poor. By the end of July and into August, the swell gets serious. There's a 12ft wave on the 2nd of August with a very strong energy (2153), and a 10ft on the 3rd. That's expert-only, and even then, it's a messy, choppy mess with that cross-onshore wind. The period on the bigger swells is short, between 6 and 9 seconds, which means it's just a lumpy, blown-out windswell. Honestly, for a beach break setup like this, that much swell with a steady cross-onshore wind is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
So, if you're desperate, the Tuesday afternoon glass-off is it. But otherwise, this is a 16-day window with one brief, mediocre moment. For a spot that's usually consistent, this is a rough patch. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 19°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 14 | WNW 12 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SW 24 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SW 21 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SW 18 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 112 | 107 | 169 | 56 | 29 | 100 | 96 | 136 | 64 | 119 | 801 | 159 | 152 | 890 | 141 | 255 | 554 | 614 | 231 | 371 | 386 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 5:44PM1.74m | 7:20AM1.06m | 6:31PM1.75m | 8:58AM1.08m | 7:19PM1.76m | 10:10AM1.15m | 8:08PM1.78m | 10:59AM1.21m | 8:54PM1.82m | 11:35AM1.25m | 9:38PM1.86m | 12:06PM1.30m | 10:18PM1.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:53AM0.61m | 1:00AM0.31m | 11:40AM0.80m | 2:06AM0.20m | 12:37PM0.93m | 3:01AM0.09m | 1:41PM1.01m | 3:49AM0.00m | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | 3:29PM1.01m | 5:07AM-0.12m | 4:13PM0.97m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — |
 | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 |
| kJ | 112 | 521 | 403 | 287 | 311 | 134 | 261 | 229 | 210 | 119 | 159 | 159 | 1221 | 890 | 872 | 1004 | 650 | 614 | 845 | 1153 | 572 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | NW 10 | NW 10 | SSE 13 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SW 23 | NW 9 | S 12 | NW 8 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 13 | S 12 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 310 | 107 | 73 | 48 | 200 | 250 | 96 | 136 | 178 | 201 | 801 | 544 | 152 | 144 | 57 | 161 | 187 | 61 | 170 | 99 | 261 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | WNW 13 | SW 14 | WNW 12 | NW 8 | NW 10 | S 7 | SSE 14 | NW 9 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | NW 11 | — | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 85 | 66 | 169 | 56 | 29 | 100 | 40 | 115 | 64 | 568 | 154 | 114 | 166 | 57 | 165 | 44 | 68 | 102 | 30 | — | 113 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 4 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 9 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
| kJ | — | — | 8 | 494 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 189 | 141 | 255 | 554 | 382 | 231 | 371 | 386 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 52 | 0 | 0 | 64 | 12 | 0 | 272 | 7 | 6 | 209 | 174 | 0 | 209 | 270 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 311 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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