Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at the next couple of weeks for this stretch of coast. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.

We’re starting things off with a bit of a tease. On Monday afternoon, there’s some proper NW groundswell rolling in at 8ft with a 10-second period. The energy is strong at 1240, and the wind is dead glass. That’s a standout window right out of the gate, and it's the kind of clean, powerful surf that gets your heart rate up. The water is sitting at 55°, which is about 3° colder than usual for this time of year, so don’t forget the hood and booties.

Tuesday morning gets tricky. The swell backs off to 6ft, but the wind swings around to the SSW and it’s cross-on, which is going to mess with the surface. It’s not worth paddling out for. Later in the afternoon, the wind drops to glass again with 6ft of NW swell on the face, but the energy has dropped to moderate (505). It’s okay, but nothing special.

Wednesday is pretty forgettable, with the wind staying cross-on and the swell fading. Thursday looks rough, with a big drop in size and a new SW swell with a long period, but the wind is onshore and the conditions are all over the place. Forget it.

We then get a few days of building NW swell, but that persistent cross-on wind is gonna make it lumpy. Friday through Monday next week sees waves from 4ft to 10ft, but it's all pretty messy. There is a huge pulse of energy on Sunday afternoon, with 10ft waves and a combined energy of 1491, but the wind is still cross-on and the guidance tells me it's only marginal. It would be big, but ugly.

The first truly standout window after the initial glassy Monday is Monday the 10th, when the swell jumps to 12ft. The energy is strong at 1619, but there's a slight onshore wind and it’s labelled as marginal. That size is only for experienced surfers, and it could be a bit unruly. If you’re an expert, you might find something, but it's not going to be clean.

The rest of that second week is a downward slide into small, weak surf. There’s a bigger, longer-period WNW swell that arrives around the 15th and 16th, but it’s coming with 12-16 mph cross-onshore winds and only 3ft. That’s not surf, that’s just a choppy ocean. The vibe fades out completely by the 18th with nothing but knee-high dribble.

So, what’s the call? Your best bets are Monday afternoon (the 3rd) with that clean 8ft glass, and if you're an expert, Monday the 10th for the big 12ft, though be prepared for it to be a battle. Everything else in the middle is mostly onshore slop. This break is consistent, but with the prevailing wind directions, a lot of this swell is going to be compromised. Keep your expectations in check for most of the run.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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