
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 20s period, SW swell with 969 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 19 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 1.4m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.1m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Caspar Creek. I’ve got the whole 16-day window laid out, and I’ll be honest, there’s a bit of a rough patch ahead. The water is sitting at about 54°F right now, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.
The first session worth paddling out for is Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July. We’ve got a 3 ft swell rolling in from the SW, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and while the combined energy is moderate (945), it’ll be cranking. The caveat is that this long period can make a beach break a bit too straight, but Caspar Creek is sheltered, so it might hold up. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the NW at 6 mph, which will leave some ripples on the surface. Not perfect, but it’s the only real shot we have in the first few days.
From Monday morning, the 20th, through to the end of the week, it’s a write-off. The wind stays cross-onshore or onshore, and the swell is either small, short period, or just messy. The combined energy drops way down, and the wave comments are all “poor surf conditions.” You’re looking at about four days of nothing worth chasing.
Now, Saturday the 25th of July sees a size jump, but it’s not the kind you want to get excited about. The swell hits 6 ft from the NW, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph. The combined energy is moderate (327), but it’s going to be choppy and lumpy. The same goes for Sunday the 26th, with swell up to 10 ft, but again, poor conditions with moderate to fresh winds. At 10 ft, this is for experts only, and even then, the wind is ruining it. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The following week, starting Monday the 27th of July, the swell stays big, often over 8 ft, but the wind is relentless. It’s a constant cross-onshore from the NW, 15 to 22 mph, making for a lumpy, blown-out mess. The combined energy gets strong, hitting 1678 on Wednesday the 29th, but without clean wind, the quality is just not there. It’s all marked as poor surf conditions.
By the time we get into August, the swell starts to drop back, but the wind stays on it. The first week of August offers nothing but small, choppy, cross-onshore slop. The best you could hope for is a tiny 1 ft to 5 ft, but it’s still bad.
So, to sum it up: the one standout is that Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July. It’s a small, long-period groundswell with a light breeze. That’s your best bet. Everything else is a no-go. The wind is just too persistent and onshore for the rest of the 16 days. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean has a lot of energy, but the wind is keeping it from coming together. Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 5 | SW 24 | SW 24 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
439 | 410 | 239 | 362 | 362 | 145 | 120 | 135 | 60 | 84 | 196 | 77 | 185 | 56 | 448 | 801 | 381 | 327 | 456 | 456 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | on | cross | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | 5:44PM1.74m | 7:20AM1.06m | 6:31PM1.75m | 8:58AM1.08m | 7:19PM1.76m | 10:10AM1.15m | 8:08PM1.78m | 10:59AM1.21m | 8:54PM1.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | 1:00AM0.31m | 11:40AM0.80m | 2:06AM0.20m | 12:37PM0.93m | 3:01AM0.09m | 1:41PM1.01m | 3:49AM0.00m | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | |||||||
— | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 14 | NW 8 | S 10 | NW 8 | NW 10 | SSW 14 | NW 10 | SSW 14 | SSE 13 | SW 24 | S 15 | SW 21 | SSW 21 | SW 20 |
264 | 264 | 239 | 214 | 191 | 145 | 529 | 135 | 171 | 84 | 196 | 233 | 185 | 163 | 178 | 801 | 347 | 1051 | 792 | 872 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 12 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 10 | SSW 14 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | SSE 14 | SSW 13 | SSE 12 | SW 23 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 |
439 | 410 | 258 | 362 | 243 | 310 | 120 | 228 | 201 | 122 | 223 | 77 | 233 | 160 | 154 | 119 | 544 | 284 | 272 | 184 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | S 14 | S 13 | SW 16 | S 11 | WNW 13 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | SSW 14 | S 9 | S 8 | S 7 | NNW 8 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 16 | S 15 |
242 | 183 | 192 | 219 | 362 | 85 | 66 | 272 | 60 | 170 | 74 | 44 | 27 | 45 | 448 | 154 | 98 | 62 | 84 | 161 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 25 | — | — | — | — | 56 | 99 | 213 | 381 | 327 | 456 | 456 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 270 | 12 | 6 | 167 | 7 | 167 | 75 | 0 | 333 | 75 | 0 | 167 | 270 | 0 | 190 | 75 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










