Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Caspar Creek. I’ve got the whole 16-day window laid out, and I’ll be honest, there’s a bit of a rough patch ahead. The water is sitting at about 54°F right now, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

The first session worth paddling out for is Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July. We’ve got a 3 ft swell rolling in from the SW, with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy, and while the combined energy is moderate (945), it’ll be cranking. The caveat is that this long period can make a beach break a bit too straight, but Caspar Creek is sheltered, so it might hold up. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the NW at 6 mph, which will leave some ripples on the surface. Not perfect, but it’s the only real shot we have in the first few days.

From Monday morning, the 20th, through to the end of the week, it’s a write-off. The wind stays cross-onshore or onshore, and the swell is either small, short period, or just messy. The combined energy drops way down, and the wave comments are all “poor surf conditions.” You’re looking at about four days of nothing worth chasing.

Now, Saturday the 25th of July sees a size jump, but it’s not the kind you want to get excited about. The swell hits 6 ft from the NW, but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is a moderate cross-onshore at 12 mph. The combined energy is moderate (327), but it’s going to be choppy and lumpy. The same goes for Sunday the 26th, with swell up to 10 ft, but again, poor conditions with moderate to fresh winds. At 10 ft, this is for experts only, and even then, the wind is ruining it. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The following week, starting Monday the 27th of July, the swell stays big, often over 8 ft, but the wind is relentless. It’s a constant cross-onshore from the NW, 15 to 22 mph, making for a lumpy, blown-out mess. The combined energy gets strong, hitting 1678 on Wednesday the 29th, but without clean wind, the quality is just not there. It’s all marked as poor surf conditions.

By the time we get into August, the swell starts to drop back, but the wind stays on it. The first week of August offers nothing but small, choppy, cross-onshore slop. The best you could hope for is a tiny 1 ft to 5 ft, but it’s still bad.

So, to sum it up: the one standout is that Sunday afternoon, the 19th of July. It’s a small, long-period groundswell with a light breeze. That’s your best bet. Everything else is a no-go. The wind is just too persistent and onshore for the rest of the 16 days. It’s one of those stretches where the ocean has a lot of energy, but the wind is keeping it from coming together. Stay patient.

Rusty.

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