
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 5 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,628 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ at Caspar Creek.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are a write-off. We’ve got a solid NW swell rolling in, but the wind is just wrecking it. Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st are all cross-onshore and choppy, with a weak combined swell energy of just 321 (Friday afternoon). The water’s sitting at 56°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We finally start to see a glimmer of hope on Monday the 3rd. The swell’s still big, around 10ft, but the wind drops to a light breeze, and the period stretches to 10 seconds. The energy jumps to 1708 (moderate) by morning, and 1842 in the afternoon. It’s still cross-on, but it’s *light* cross-on, so you’ll get some workable waves if you’re patient. The rating is still marginal, though.
Tuesday the 4th morning is the first real standout. We get some offshore wind from the WNW, 8ft swell from the NW, and a solid 10-second period. The energy is 1193 (moderate). That offshore wind is a major positive – it’ll clean things right up. This is the best window in the first week for sure, even if it’s a bit big for beginners at 8ft – more of a solid intermediate to expert wave.
After that, it’s a long grind. The wind stays cross-on or onshore right through to the 11th of August. The swell stays big, between 7ft and 12ft, with moderate to strong energy (908 to 2215), but the wind keeps it lumpy and choppy. Just no good clean conditions.
From the 12th of August, the swell starts to fade. The 13th and 14th have a very long-period groundswell coming in from the WNW at 15 to 16 seconds, but the height is only 2ft to 3ft. The energy is weak (356 to 516). That long period will make it a bit fat and straight at a beach break like this, so not a lot of push.
The last day in the window, Saturday the 15th of August, actually gives us a glassy moment in the afternoon. The swell is 4ft from the NW with an 8-second period, and the energy is weak at 367. It’s surfable but very ordinary. Nothing to get excited about.
So, the honest truth? Caspar Creek is a tough call this fortnight. The best bet is Tuesday morning, August 4th, with that offshore wind and a solid 8ft NW swell. That’s your one true standout. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. The break is consistent, so it tends not to stay poor for long, but this forecast is a real test of patience.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sun night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
321 | 347 | 335 | 1103 | 1220 | 1475 | 2166 | 2046 | 1665 | 1801 | 1460 | 1108 | 853 | 764 | 868 | 944 | 1297 | 1608 | 2088 | 1455 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | 3:57PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.17m | 4:40PM1.83m | 6:20AM1.09m | 5:32PM1.90m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | 9:13AM0.46m | 10:46PM0.39m | 9:51AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.25m | 10:38AM0.80m | 1:12AM0.09m | |||||||
— | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | NW 10 | SW 13 | SW 16 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 13 |
236 | 140 | 126 | 136 | 97 | 92 | 70 | 44 | 1665 | 43 | 65 | 1108 | 853 | 764 | 868 | 944 | 97 | 46 | 68 | 44 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 11 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 12 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | S 13 | SSW 19 | SSW 20 | SW 18 |
141 | 78 | 134 | 78 | 22 | 45 | 46 | 49 | 44 | 41 | 38 | 85 | 78 | 34 | 72 | 71 | 30 | 37 | 37 | 82 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 14 | SW 20 | SW 20 | S 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | SW 16 | S 12 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
— | 92 | 15 | 15 | 33 | 13 | 49 | 29 | 43 | 11 | 19 | 14 | 28 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 26 | 11 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | — | NW 10 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
321 | 347 | 335 | 1103 | 1220 | 1475 | 2166 | 2046 | — | 1801 | 1460 | — | — | — | — | — | 1297 | 1608 | 2088 | 1455 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 311 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 52 | 167 | 655 | 7 | 162 | 32 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 0 | 43 | 75 | 7 | 624 | 52 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











