Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the forecast for Caspar Creek. Honestly, the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for a proper surf. We’ve got a ton of energy in the water, but it’s all coming with messy, cross-onshore winds that are going to chop it all up. It’s one of those stretches where you’ll be watching it from the car, not suiting up.

The window starts on Friday the 31st with about 5ft of NW swell, but it's short-period at 7 seconds and the wind is already cross-on. The energy is weak at 233, so it’s not even worth paddling out. That afternoon, it jumps to 6ft and the wind picks up, making it choppy. Not a chance.

Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd see the swell jump up. Saturday afternoon gets to a solid 10ft, and the energy is ramping up to 1090. But the wind is up at 22 mph, and it’s lumpy. Sunday’s morning pushes it to 10ft with a 9-second period and a massive 1612 energy. By Sunday afternoon we’re looking at 13ft of swell and 2512 energy. But it’s all cross-on shore and messy. This is too big and too blown out for anything but a spectator. It’s not for beginners, and with wind like that, even experts aren't going to have much fun. This is more of a kite-surfing show than a surf session.

Monday the 3rd is still big, 12ft in the afternoon, but the wind backs off a little to a gentle breeze. It’s still cross-on and fairly choppy, but you might start to see some shape. The energy is up at 2410, but it’s still a far cry from clean.

Tuesday the 4th shows a bit of promise, with the swell dropping to 8ft in the morning. The wind swings to a light breeze from the SW, but it’s still cross-on. The afternoon is interesting; the wind goes to 3 mph from the WNW and is directly onshore, but the conditions are unknown. It’s the first time the score isn’t a complete zero, but it’s marginal at best.

The real standout of this whole period is Wednesday the 5th in the afternoon. The swell is down to a clean 6ft from the NW, still a 9-second period. The wind goes glassy, with just a slight air from the west. This is our best shot. The energy is moderate at 528, but with clean conditions, Caspar Creek will actually turn on. It’s a beginner-friendly break anyway, and at this size, it should be super fun.

After that, it’s a steep drop-off. Thursday the 6th sees the swell down to 4ft, and the wind is back on it. The rest of the first week and into the second week is a mess of weak, short-period NW swell and cross-onshore winds. The energy drops into the low hundreds. It's a poor run.

There’s a hiccup on the 11th, with a long-period WNW swell at 18 seconds, but it’s only 1ft. The energy is moderate at 316, but there’s just not enough size to do anything with it.

The 12th and 13th tease us with some long-period SW and WNW swells at 16 seconds, but again, they are small, and the winds are mostly cross or onshore. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

So, bottom line: if you’re desperate, Wednesday the 5th afternoon is your window. For everything else, you might as well find something else to do. It’s a long, flat, and messy stretch.

Rusty.

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