Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,422 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 18s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and I gotta be honest with you – the first week or so is a tough one to swallow. The onshore winds are just relentless, making a mess of what could be decent swell. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel.
The first few days through the end of July and into the start of August are pretty much a write-off. From Monday the 27th of July right through to Sunday the 2nd of August, Caspar Creek is getting hammered by a persistent cross-onshore wind. The swell is building, sure, but it’s all wind-affected and choppy. The water temp is sitting at 58°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so that’s one thing you don’t have to worry about. The combined swell energy is climbing from 200 up to a massive 2257, but with that wind, it’s all just a messy, lumpy lineup. Not worth paddling out for.
Conditions finally start to shift on Monday the 3rd of August. The wind backs off, and we get a light cross-onshore breeze, with swell heights holding around 10 ft from the NW and a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy is still hefty at 1634, but it’s a “marginal” call. By Monday afternoon, the wind goes almost glassy, turning onshore, and the waves are still 10 ft. It’s still not perfect, but it’s a big step up.
The real standout window opens up on Monday the 10th of August. Monday afternoon at Caspar Creek is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. The wind goes glassy, the swell is a solid 8 ft from the NW with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a healthy 977. This is the kind of session you wait for – clean, glassy conditions with a decent push of swell. For a sheltered spot like Caspar Creek, this is as good as it gets. It’s a consistent break, so you know there will be waves, but it does get crowded often, so get in early.
The next day, Tuesday the 11th of August, is a step down again with the wind coming back onshore, so make the most of that Monday window.
So, to wrap it up: tough go for the first week, but Monday the 10th of August is your day. Set your alarms.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNW on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | NW 6 | SW 16 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 227 | 149 | 376 | 171 | 436 | 345 | 368 | 717 | 674 | 499 | 676 | 516 | 351 | 535 | 550 | 611 | 1361 | 1137 | 1448 | 2027 | 1693 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 12:06PM1.30m | 10:18PM1.90m | 12:34PM1.34m | 10:57PM1.92m | 1:00PM1.38m | 11:34PM1.91m | 1:27PM1.43m | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:13PM0.97m | 5:40AM-0.15m | 4:54PM0.93m | 6:12AM-0.17m | 5:34PM0.88m | 6:42AM-0.15m | 6:15PM0.83m | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — |
 | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 14 | S 15 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 13 |
| kJ | 845 | 1153 | 584 | 932 | 1081 | 780 | 539 | 627 | 436 | 575 | 435 | 140 | 239 | 207 | 161 | 297 | 280 | 102 | 102 | 67 | 44 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 15 | SSE 15 | SSW 14 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | S 10 |
| kJ | 25 | 40 | 376 | 56 | 51 | 119 | 227 | 221 | 207 | 40 | 37 | 157 | 169 | 236 | 135 | 134 | 103 | 91 | 74 | 70 | 19 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | — | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 15 | — | SSE 18 | S 16 | — | S 21 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 46 | — | 36 | 8 | 51 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 44 | — | 31 | 134 | — | 9 | 136 | 15 | 15 | 80 | 13 | 49 | 49 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
| kJ | 227 | 149 | 236 | 171 | 436 | 345 | 368 | 717 | 674 | 499 | 676 | 516 | 351 | 535 | 550 | 611 | 1361 | 1137 | 1448 | 2027 | 1693 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 209 | 270 | 7 | 209 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 75 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 | 136 | 311 | 52 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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