
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,805 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Honestly, the outlook for Caspar Creek is a tough one. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions that doesn't let up for the first two weeks. The first real chance for anything decent doesn't come until the very end of the period.
Right now, just about everything is messy. The wind is stubbornly coming from the north-west, blowing cross-onshore all day, every day. For a spot as sheltered as Caspar Creek, that's the kiss of death. The water temp is 58°F, which is basically average for this time of year.
For the first week, from Thursday the 30th of July through Monday the 4th of August, it's a write-off. The swell is there, with wave heights running 5 ft to 13 ft, but the swell period is short, around 7 to 9 seconds. It's a messy windswell. The wind just wrecks it, making everything choppy and lumpy. On Tuesday the 4th of August, in the afternoon, we finally get a brief moment of glassy wind. The swell drops to 7 ft from the NW. That's the first moment worth paddling out, but the forecast is marginal due to tide issues. It's a brief glimmer in a sea of bad.
After that, there's another long, dusty stretch from Wednesday the 5th through Sunday the 9th of August. On the 9th, we get another glassy window in the afternoon with a clean 6 ft NW swell, but again, it’s just a small window. The pattern is cruel: building swell with bad wind, or light wind and dropping swell.
The only true standout, and I mean the only one worth a red circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 13th of August. It's still a week and a half out, so take it with a grain of salt, but the morning looks promising. The swell is a consistent 7 ft from the NW with a 9-second period. The big plus is a light cross-onshore breeze from the WNW. It's not glass, but it's light enough that Caspar Creek might just clean up and offer some fun lines. The afternoon stays marginal, but that morning session is the best we've got.
For beginners, be careful. For most of the first week, the swell is over 5 ft and often over 8 ft, so definitely for experienced heads only.
Overall, it's a tough call. This is a blank run for the area, and you'd be better off finding something else to do until that Tuesday the 13th of August rolls around. The forecasts can always change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
585 | 457 | 233 | 298 | 321 | 357 | 1028 | 1190 | 1507 | 2559 | 1957 | 1790 | 2321 | 1913 | 1026 | 798 | 699 | 619 | 606 | 564 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross | cross-on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | 3:57PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.17m | 4:40PM1.83m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:15PM0.83m | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | 9:13AM0.46m | 10:46PM0.39m | 9:51AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.25m | |||||||
— | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
527 | 214 | 301 | 236 | 140 | 126 | 136 | 99 | 92 | 70 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 1527 | 1026 | 798 | 699 | 619 | 606 | 564 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
35 | 157 | 107 | 141 | 78 | 134 | 78 | 32 | 45 | 45 | 49 | 43 | 41 | 40 | 85 | 78 | 34 | 73 | 71 | 97 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | — | — | S 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 13 |
29 | 83 | — | — | 92 | 15 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 49 | 29 | 26 | 11 | 38 | 14 | 28 | 34 | 12 | 12 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
585 | 457 | 233 | 298 | 321 | 357 | 1028 | 1190 | 1507 | 2559 | 1957 | 1790 | 2321 | 1913 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 | 190 | 311 | 75 | 209 | 190 | 7 | 43 | 0 | 12 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











