
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 799 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 16s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. Gotta be honest with you, this stretch is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the first real surf we can even talk about doesn’t show up until later, and even then, it’s a tough sell.
For Caspar Creek, the whole forecast is a battle. The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is about 1°F cooler than average for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a bit of a chill.
We kick off on Tuesday, July 14th, with a cross-onshore breeze and a messy 5ft swell from the NW. The energy is moderate (456), but the period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is just chopping it all up. It’s a no-go. Wednesday the 15th through Thursday the 16th sees the swell build, hitting 8ft on Thursday afternoon with strong energy (1121), but the wind is still a moderate cross-onshore. That’s expert-level size with poor conditions, so it’s a pass for everyone.
Then things get weird. Friday the 17th, the swell drops to 3ft, but the period jumps to 17 seconds – a very long-period groundswell. The energy is still strong (1116), but the wind is cross-onshore again. That long period will make the waves fat and straight on a beach break. Not ideal for a paddle, but honestly, the wind and chop make it look more interesting for kite surfing. Saturday the 18th has a moment: a WNW swell of 3ft with a 16-second period and a light onshore wind. The comment says "marginal," and with that long period, it’s a gamble. The energy is high (1099), but it’s a fickle setup.
From Sunday the 19th onward, it’s a slow fade. The swell drops under 3ft, the energy weakens, and the wind stays mostly cross or cross-onshore. The week of the 21st to the 28th is a desert. We’re looking at tiny swell, low energy, and nothing but poor surf conditions. The best chance is a brief moment on Friday the 24th afternoon when the wind goes glassy, but the swell is only 2ft with a weak energy of 69. That’s flat, not surfable.
The very end of the window, Wednesday the 29th, sees a bump back up to 5ft, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore and the period is a short 6 seconds. It’s just another choppy, blown-out day.
So, the honest truth? There is no standout day here. No clean, lined-up waves to chase. The whole 16 days is a write-off for quality surf. Sometimes it just stays poor for a while, and this is one of those stretches.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tue 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
240 | 317 | 308 | 453 | 410 | 337 | 679 | 589 | 433 | 543 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 410 | 180 | 362 | 362 | 160 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:22PM0.80m | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | 9:31AM0.15m | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | |||||||
— | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | |
8:40 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | 8:37 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 14 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | W 13 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
104 | 194 | 135 | 87 | 221 | 286 | 283 | 356 | 433 | 543 | 345 | 250 | 311 | 327 | 219 | 208 | 191 | 176 | 153 | 132 | 160 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 11 |
59 | 95 | 192 | 158 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 141 | 181 | 74 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 410 | 258 | 362 | 362 | 119 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 16 |
112 | 59 | 57 | 97 | 48 | 30 | 11 | 26 | 104 | 126 | 102 | 362 | 379 | 129 | 302 | 242 | 183 | 180 | 171 | 141 | 171 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
240 | 317 | 308 | 453 | 410 | 337 | 679 | 589 | 385 | 373 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 23 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 311 | 310 | 7 | 270 | 311 | 6 | 209 | 75 | 0 | 75 | 136 | 7 | 52 | 7 | 0 | 167 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











