
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 20 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, SW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 20s period, SW swell with 969 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 20 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.1m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Mon 20th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Caspar Creek. I’ve got to be straight with you – the next 16 days are a tough watch. The surf is on offer, but it’s pretty much all poor quality, so I’m not going to hype you up for anything you’ll want to paddle out for. There’s a long stretch from the start all the way through to the end of July where every session is rated as poor surf conditions. The wind is almost always a cross-onshore breeze, and while it’s often light, it’s enough to mess up what little shape there is. The swell is mostly short-period junk, with periods around 7 to 8 seconds, which just doesn’t have the push or the shape for a fun wave. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there.
The first real standout, and honestly the only time I’d even consider it, is the afternoon of Monday, August 3rd. Swell hits 12ft from the NW with a period of 10 seconds, so you’ve got some decent groundswell energy – the combined energy is a massive 2390 (strong). That’s a lot of power. The wind is light and almost glassy from the WSW at 3 mph, which is about as good as it gets for this spot. But here’s the kicker: the wave comment says “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions,” and the swell is 12ft. For a spot that’s sheltered and beginner-friendly, that size is only for experts. The break is consistent, but with that much NW swell, it’s going to be a heavy, powerful wave. The optimum swell is from the NW, so direction is spot on. If you’re an experienced local and you know the tide, this is your window. Otherwise, it’s a no-go.
The morning of Tuesday, August 4th, is similar – 12ft NW swell, period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 3681 (very strong). The wind is a light cross-onshore from the SW at 6 mph, which is still okay, but the tide could be a factor again. Another expert-only session.
For the rest of the run, it’s all cross-onshore wind and weak, short-period swell. The wind is often a moderate breeze from the NW, making it choppy and messy. Sizes get up to 10ft, but with a period of 7-8 seconds and that wind, it’s just a washing machine. Honestly, for a stretch like this, the setup at Caspar Creek looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing – the wind is consistent and the waves are choppy.
So, the bottom line: keep your board in the car for the first two weeks. The only real chance you’ve got is that Monday afternoon and Tuesday morning of August 3rd and 4th, but that’s heavy, expert-only stuff. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | NW 8 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 6 | SW 24 | SW 24 | SW 23 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
410 | 239 | 362 | 362 | 126 | 104 | 101 | 82 | 69 | 75 | 78 | 185 | 96 | 448 | 801 | 429 | 263 | 327 | 327 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | 5:44PM1.74m | 7:20AM1.06m | 6:31PM1.75m | 8:58AM1.08m | 7:19PM1.76m | 10:10AM1.15m | 8:08PM1.78m | 10:59AM1.21m | 8:54PM1.82m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | 1:00AM0.31m | 11:40AM0.80m | 2:06AM0.20m | 12:37PM0.93m | 3:01AM0.09m | 1:41PM1.01m | 3:49AM0.00m | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | ||||||
— | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
8:37 | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 14 | S 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 14 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | S 14 | SW 21 | S 13 | SW 20 |
264 | 239 | 214 | 191 | 126 | 529 | 273 | 167 | 120 | 223 | 233 | 233 | 247 | 156 | 801 | 416 | 1051 | 326 | 872 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | S 12 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SW 24 | S 16 | SW 23 | S 13 | SSW 21 | S 12 |
410 | 258 | 362 | 243 | 310 | 104 | 101 | 82 | 69 | 75 | 78 | 107 | 163 | 448 | 183 | 429 | 342 | 792 | 295 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | S 14 | S 13 | SW 16 | S 14 | WNW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | NNW 8 | SSE 13 | S 13 | NNW 9 | S 17 | SSW 16 | — |
183 | 192 | 219 | 362 | 129 | 66 | 268 | 291 | 173 | 71 | 43 | 27 | 42 | 133 | 119 | 59 | 94 | 87 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 10 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 185 | 96 | 99 | 200 | 301 | 263 | 327 | 327 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 92 | 167 | 7 | 167 | 75 | 0 | 64 | 52 | 6 | 167 | 75 | 0 | 209 | 75 | 6 | 190 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










