Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,220 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a pretty grim stretch ahead. We’ve got a long run of poor surf conditions with cross-onshore winds hammering the breaks constantly. The water temp is sitting at 54° with a 1° cooler than average, so it’s a touch cooler than usual for this time of year, but nothing too crazy.
The first real chance of anything remotely rideable doesn’t show up until Friday, July 17th. Even then, it’s only a marginal call. The swell is going to be solid with a 10 ft swell from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 3025 — that’s strong and powerful. But the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it’s going to be fairly choppy and messy. Not what you’d call a standout, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while. The size is also over 8 ft, so this is strictly for the experts; beginners should stay well clear.
Saturday, July 18th could be a little better. We’re looking at a 7 ft NW swell with a 9-second period and a combined energy of 1376. The wind shifts to a light onshore from the W in the morning, then a light cross-onshore from the WNW in the afternoon. It’s still marginal, but with less wind, it might clean up a touch. Still, the break is Caspar Creek, which is a sheltered spot, so it won’t take the full brunt of the swell, but the direction is NW, which is the optimum swell direction for this break.
After that, it’s back to poor conditions from Sunday, July 19th, through to the end of the outlook. The wind stays cross-onshore, and the swell drops off, with periods between 6 and 8 seconds. The energy drops right back down to weak levels, hitting 193 on the 22nd. The 23rd has a long-period 11-second swell from the NW, but it’s only 3 ft, and the wind is messy again, so don’t get your hopes up.
The long and short of it: the only semi-rideable window is that Friday 17th and Saturday 18th, and even then, it’s a fight with the wind. If you’re desperate, that’s your window, but don’t expect anything clean.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat morning, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 177 | 462 | 713 | 719 | 1003 | 1003 | 684 | 713 | 404 | 308 | 698 | 622 | 582 | 817 | 613 | 482 | 574 | 510 | 355 | 516 | 516 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:17PM1.82m | 7:51AM1.05m | 7:04PM1.94m | 9:18AM1.10m | 7:55PM2.05m | 10:26AM1.19m | 8:49PM2.16m | 11:20AM1.28m | 9:44PM2.23m | 12:07PM1.36m | 10:38PM2.26m | 12:51PM1.44m | 11:31PM2.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:20AM0.56m | 1:35AM0.17m | 12:12PM0.71m | 2:36AM-0.07m | 1:13PM0.83m | 3:31AM-0.28m | 2:19PM0.89m | 4:23AM-0.45m | 3:23PM0.89m | 5:13AM-0.55m | 4:24PM0.86m | 6:00AM-0.59m | 5:22PM0.80m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — |
 | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:43 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | NW 8 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 491 | 667 | 407 | 643 | 436 | 377 | 283 | 367 | 272 | 272 | 242 | 259 | 170 | 233 | 233 | 113 | 141 | 403 | 69 | 104 | 194 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | S 20 | SW 14 | — | S 18 | — | S 16 | — | S 21 | W 18 | S 20 | S 19 | S 18 | S 18 | WNW 16 | S 13 | WNW 15 | SSW 13 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 174 | 119 | 91 | — | 160 | — | 131 | — | 9 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 25 | 55 | 51 | 32 | 77 | 139 | 69 | 60 | 95 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 10 | — | S 19 | — | — | — | — | — | W 18 | W 18 | W 19 | W 16 | W 18 | W 15 | SW 21 | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | WNW 13 |
| kJ | 77 | — | 117 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 18 | 46 | 60 | 133 | 29 | 112 | 59 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
| kJ | 177 | 462 | 713 | 719 | 1003 | 1003 | 684 | 713 | 404 | 308 | 698 | 622 | 582 | 817 | 613 | 482 | 574 | 510 | 355 | 516 | 516 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 190 | 311 | 52 | 136 | 311 | 52 | 270 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 209 | 655 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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