
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NW swell with 698 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 13s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what Caspar Creek has cookin' for ya over the next couple weeks.
Alright, I'm gonna level with ya – this is one of those outlooks where you might wanna save your energy for something else. The whole 16-day window is a tough one for Caspar Creek. There are no good surf options on offer at all. Not a single standout session where it all comes together. We're looking at a long, blank run, which is more normal for this area when the winds and swell just don't line up.
The first few days are a write-off with poor surf conditions. Wednesday the 15th has a close to 7ft NW windswell rolling in, but it's crossed-up by a 12 mph NW breeze, making it choppy and messy. That swell energy is moderate though, sitting around (632-835). The next few days through Thursday and Friday see the swell get a bit bigger, even hitting 8ft on Thursday afternoon, but that persistent cross-onshore wind just wrecks it. The water temp is about average for the time of year at 55°F.
Things get a little less ugly starting Saturday the 18th, but we're still in "marginal" territory. The wind backs off to a light breeze, but the swell is small, around 3ft, with short periods, so it's not gonna have any push. That light wind might clean it up a bit, but the tide or something else is questionable.
There is a little flicker of something on Friday the 24th afternoon with a very long 24-second period swell from the SW (energy 1056), but it's only 3ft and crossed up. That's a tease – long period groundswell like that needs a point break to wrap into, not a beach setup. It's still marked as marginal.
The last few days of July see moderate swell energy building to strong levels (491-690), with waves up to 7ft. But the wind is always from the NW, cross-onshore, turning it into a choppy mess. It's just not gonna be clean.
Honestly, for a surfer, the setup here looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing through most of this period. If you absolutely have to get wet, maybe hope for one of those light wind mornings and just accept the small, weak waves. But I wouldn't hold your breath.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 19 | NW 7 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | NW 8 | SW 17 | SW 17 | NW 9 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
240 | 493 | 422 | 286 | 590 | 537 | 433 | 543 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 380 | 335 | 439 | 410 | 293 | 362 | 367 | 172 | 164 | 102 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | 5:44PM1.74m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | 9:31AM0.15m | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | 1:00AM0.31m | ||||||||
6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 8 | W 13 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SSW 14 | NW 8 |
111 | 87 | 221 | 286 | 283 | 448 | 433 | 543 | 327 | 237 | 344 | 380 | 335 | 306 | 320 | 293 | 238 | 184 | 172 | 261 | 102 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | S 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | WNW 13 | SSW 15 |
192 | 158 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 141 | 181 | 74 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 270 | 439 | 410 | 219 | 362 | 367 | 306 | 65 | 272 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | SW 17 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 10 |
89 | 97 | 52 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 104 | 126 | 130 | 362 | 379 | 129 | 248 | 242 | 183 | 258 | 110 | 123 | 82 | 32 | 29 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 9 | NW 5 |
240 | 493 | 422 | 265 | 590 | 537 | 365 | 355 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 164 | 35 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 209 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 270 | 311 | 0 | 167 | 52 | 0 | 77 | 270 | 0 | 209 | 270 | 6 | 190 | 75 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










