Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Issued: 10 am 02 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
11.7° C

1.4°C colder than average for this time of year

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 2 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 3 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,339 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 3 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 03) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Fri 3rd Jul)6ft (1.8m) 8s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 3rd Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s
Most Powerful 5PM (Thu 9th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 9s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in on what's cookin' for Caspar Creek. Let's be straight with each other – the next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a grind. This spot is a sheltered, consistent beginner wave, but the wind and swell combo just isn't playing ball for most of the run.

We kick things off on Thursday, 2 July, with some swell pushing in at 7 feet from the NW, and the water is sitting at a chilly 53°, which is notably colder than what you'd expect for this time of year. The energy in the water is moderate (933), but the wind is already onshore and putting a chop on it, and the wave comment is "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." It's a tough start, and honestly, that theme continues day after day.

For almost the entire first week and a half, from Friday 3 July right through to Wednesday 15 July, we see a frustrating pattern. Swell holds in the 5 to 10 feet range, mostly from the northwest, with moderate combined energy (244 to 1339). But the wind is relentless – a constant cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the NW at 12 to 16 mph. That's the kiss of death for clean surf here, chopping everything up. The guides are calling it "poor surf conditions" almost every single session. Even the bigger push of 10 feet on Thursday 9 July with very strong energy (1339) is ruined by that cross-onshore wind. At that size, with that chop, this is looking more like a kiteboarding setup than a paddle session.

We get a tiny glimmer of hope on Saturday 11 July and Sunday 12 July. Saturday morning drops to 7 feet with a gentle breeze, but it's still cross-onshore, so the quality is poor. Sunday 12 July morning is interesting – there's a 7 feet NW swell with a very light onshore breeze (3 mph). The "light breeze" and "unknown" wave state could mean it cleans up, and the tide might be workable. That's the best chance you'll get, but it's still marginal. The following week continues the same story, with cross-onshore winds and moderate swell until Wednesday 15 July afternoon, which has 8 feet waves and light winds but remains marginal.

Then, a really interesting shift on Thursday 16 July and Friday 17 July. The swell drops right down to 3 feet, but the period jumps to 16-18 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell energy! The combined energy is still moderate (630 to 953), and the wind is extremely light, almost glassy at times. For a sheltered spot like Caspar Creek, that long-period swell could wrap in beautifully and offer some rare, clean, workable waves for a log or a fish. It won't be big, but it could be your only clean window in the entire 16-day forecast.

So, what's the call? The standout window is the very end of the run. Thursday 16 July and Friday 17 July are your best bets. The swell is tiny (3 feet) from the WNW, and with that 16-18 second period and light winds, the quality could be surprisingly good for this spot. It's not for everyone, but for a longboard day with mellow energy, that’s the one to watch.

For the rest of it? Honestly, there's no real standout paddling surf. The winds are just too bad. It’s a long, frustrating run of wind-affected chop.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that last weekend, and maybe wax up a foamie for the clean, small stuff.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
2
Friday
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NW
9
2.1
NW
8
2.1
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
2
NW
8
2
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.9
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
2.1
NW
8
1.6
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
2.1
NW
7
1.8
NW
6
2.1
NW
7
2.3
NW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
730
555
489
403
444
432
403
424
470
457
398
479
398
413
477
285
301
428
244
386
589
Wind (km/h)
10
W
15
NW
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NW
5
NNW
10
WNW
10
W
0
WNW
10
SW
10
WNW
0
NNW
15
WNW
20
NW
10
NW
15
NW
20
NW
10
N
20
NW
25
NW
20
NNW
Wind State
on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
2:48PM1.34m
1:02AM1.75m
3:21PM1.38m
1:43AM1.65m
3:52PM1.44m
2:30AM1.51m
4:24PM1.51m
3:28AM1.34m
4:58PM1.60m
4:42AM1.18m
5:35PM1.71m
6:13AM1.07m
6:17PM1.82m
Low Tide
7:13PM0.93m
8:18AM-0.16m
8:03PM0.91m
8:51AM-0.07m
9:00PM0.85m
9:24AM0.05m
10:05PM0.76m
9:58AM0.21m
11:16PM0.61m
10:36AM0.38m
00:27AM0.41m
11:20AM0.56m
1:35AM0.17m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:45
8:45
8:45
8:45
8:45
8:44
8:44
 mm
Temp °C
12
13
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
11
12
11
13
14
13
Feels °C
10
10
10
11
11
10
11
11
11
10
11
10
10
9
9
10
8
8
9
10
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
NW
9
0.7
SW
15
0.6
SW
15
1.8
NW
8
0.7
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
16
1.8
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.9
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
18
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
Energy kJ
730
232
174
403
209
288
403
424
470
457
398
479
398
330
432
485
531
651
491
667
452
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SW
16
0.3
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
SSW
14
0.3
WNW
15
0.4
NW
14
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
WNW
13
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
WNW
12
0.7
NW
11
0.7
SW
16
0.6
SSW
14
0.6
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
15
0.4
S
20
0.4
SSW
13
Energy kJ
203
65
246
140
42
48
129
183
239
216
395
206
180
174
128
255
140
142
144
119
70
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
19
0.2
WNW
16
0.2
WNW
15
0.3
SSW
17
0.2
S
11
0.3
SSW
21
0.4
WNW
14
0.5
SSW
20
0.5
WNW
12
0.6
SSW
14
0.5
WNW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
21
0.7
SSW
16
0.6
WNW
11
0.6
WNW
11
0.2
S
21
0.2
S
11
0.4
S
19
Energy kJ
125
26
22
56
9
89
71
216
86
134
101
207
246
260
226
81
78
35
9
117
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
NW
8
2.1
NW
8
2
NW
8
2
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
2.1
NW
8
1.6
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
2.1
NW
7
1.8
NW
6
2.1
NW
7
2.3
NW
7
Energy kJ
555
489
444
432
413
477
285
301
428
244
386
589
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
2
2
4
2
3
2
3
2
2
2
1
3
4
1
3
3
2
3
Distance (km)
92
52
7
92
75
6
92
75
0
64
270
0
167
311
7
136
311
7
190
310
52
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County
Rating
(10 max)
3
4
4
3
3
4
4
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
3
2
4
2
3
4
3
2
3
3
2
4
4
2
4
4
2
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
9
5
9
5
5
6
5
9
7
5
8
9
8
6
8
9
6
9
5
5
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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