Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Caspar Creek has in store for us. I gotta be straight with you—this stretch isn’t looking pretty for a long while. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but there’s a big blank run to start. The first real chance of something surfable won’t come until Wednesday, July 16th, and even then, it’s a real marginal call, not something to get excited about.

Right off the bat, from Tuesday, July 7th, through to Tuesday, July 15th, it’s all poor surf conditions. Constant cross-onshore winds from the NW, mostly moderate breezes, and the swell is just messy. The water temperature is sitting around 54°F which is pretty close to average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The first flicker of hope shows up on Wednesday morning, July 16th. The combined swell energy is pumping up to 1289 (moderate to strong) with a 8ft swell from the NW, period around 8 seconds. Winds are still a gentle cross-on, so the face will be a bit lumpy, but it’s rideable. That afternoon the swell jumps to 10ft with energy hitting 1715, but the same cross-on wind keeps it from being clean. This is for experienced surfers only at that size—too big for beginners.

Into Friday, July 17th, we get a slight shift. Morning brings a light onshore wind from the W, with the swell at 8ft and NW direction, energy at 1430. It’s still marginal, but the lighter wind gives it a better chance of holding shape. This is about as close to a standout as we get, but I wouldn’t call it a classic. Crowds are often here, so expect some company for what’s on offer.

Saturday, July 18th morning has a 8ft NW swell with a 9-second period, energy at a massive 2578—very strong wave energy. But the wind is a gentle cross-on from the NW again, keeping it from being pristine. For a spot that’s sheltered and consistent, the swell direction (NW) is right in its wheelhouse, which is a plus.

The following week stays in the same vein—plenty of size, with swells regularly over 8ft and up to 12ft, and energy numbers in the four digits. The wind does ease up to light breezes at times, like on Tuesday, July 21st afternoon with an 12ft swell from the NW and period 9 seconds. But the cross-on component never fully goes away, so it’s always a bit messy.

Honestly, the best bet in this entire run is probably Friday morning, July 17th, and then again Wednesday morning, July 22nd, where we get an onshore wind from the WNW, light at 6 mph, with a 10ft NW swell and a 10-second period. That’s the cleanest window, but even then it’s only a 2/10 on the scale. This is a stretch where the swell is big but the quality is poor—if you’re a kiter, this might be more your scene than a paddle surfer’s dream.

So, there you go. A long wait, a few marginal days, but nothing to go rushing for. Stay tuned, things can turn around.

Rusty.

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