Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Issued: 10 am 05 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
11.7° C

1.3°C colder than average for this time of year

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,371 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5PM (Sun 5th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 8s
Best Surf 5PM (Sun 5th Jul)5ft (1.5m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 9th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipeline for Caspar Creek.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day stretch is a tough one. For the first week, starting Sunday the 5th, we’ve got some swell on the way, but the wind is a real problem. It’s predominantly a cross-onshore breeze, which is going to chop things up and make it messy. The water is also a bit colder than normal for this time of year, coming in at 53°F.

Sunday the 5th is the only real bright spot in the early days. The morning is a bit of a write-off with a cross-on wind, but the afternoon is looking glassy. The swell is 5 ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate (402). That’s your best bet for the entire first week – a small window of clean, surfable waves.

Then from Monday the 6th right through to Saturday the 11th, it’s a grind. The wind stays cross-onshore, the swell sticks around 5 ft to 8 ft, but the quality is just poor. The combined energy bumps up into the moderate range (over 400), but it’s choppy and lumpy. By Wednesday the 8th and Thursday the 9th, the swell gets bigger – 7 ft to 10 ft – but with that same cross-on wind, it’s just a washing machine. It’s too big for beginners and not clean enough for anyone else.

We hit a bit of a lull on the 12th. The swell drops to 3 ft with a longer period of 10 seconds. The morning is glassy, but the waves are small and the conditions are described as very ordinary. The energy is weak (203). It’s a surf, but not a memorable one.

From the 13th through the 15th, the wind picks back up and the quality is poor again. The swell stays in the 4 ft to 8 ft range, but it’s all cross-onshore chop.

Now, heading into the second week, things get interesting but not necessarily good. On Thursday the 16th, we see a massive spike in combined energy (1144 in the morning, 1415 in the afternoon) driven by an 8 ft NW swell. But the wind is still cross-onshore, and it’s still poor. The real kicker is on the morning of the 16th – we’ve got a 3 ft WNW swell with a period of 19 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell, which means a lot of energy for a small wave, but that long period and cross-onshore wind is a recipe for a straight, walled-up beach break. Not ideal.

Friday the 17th is the biggest day of the forecast, with 10 ft NW swell and a combined energy of 1789. That is strong wave energy. But again, cross-onshore wind. That’s expert territory, and even then, it’s going to be a battle.

The last couple of days, the 18th to the 20th, see the energy drop back into the moderate range, the swell sticks around 5 ft to 8 ft, but the wind never lets up. It’s a constant cross-onshore breeze.

Honestly, the standout here is that Sunday afternoon, the 5th. It’s the only time the glassy conditions line up with a decent swell. Everything else is a fight against the wind. For the rest of the period, this setup is honestly more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, given the consistent cross-onshore winds and the size of the swell.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecasts. It tends not to stay this poor for long.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.8
NW
8
1.7
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
2
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.5
NW
7
2.4
NW
8
3
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2
NW
7
1.6
NW
7
1.5
NW
7
1.5
NW
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
304
284
327
299
306
393
311
301
341
446
979
696
762
1136
1053
736
975
421
255
225
177
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
5
WSW
0
NW
10
WNW
15
NW
5
N
15
NW
20
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
20
NNW
25
NNW
25
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
10
NW
5
NE
Wind State
cross-on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
High Tide
4:24PM1.51m
3:28AM1.34m
4:58PM1.60m
4:42AM1.18m
5:35PM1.71m
6:13AM1.07m
6:17PM1.82m
7:51AM1.05m
7:04PM1.94m
9:18AM1.10m
7:55PM2.05m
10:26AM1.19m
8:49PM2.16m
Low Tide
9:24AM0.05m
10:05PM0.76m
9:58AM0.21m
11:16PM0.61m
10:36AM0.38m
00:27AM0.41m
11:20AM0.56m
1:35AM0.17m
12:12PM0.71m
2:36AM-0.07m
1:13PM0.83m
3:31AM-0.28m
2:19PM0.89m
4:23AM-0.45m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:45
8:45
8:44
8:44
8:44
8:43
8:43
 mm
Temp °C
11
12
11
11
12
11
12
12
11
12
13
12
12
12
11
13
14
13
14
14
13
Feels °C
9
10
11
9
10
9
9
9
9
9
9
8
8
7
6
9
10
10
11
11
11
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.5
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.7
NW
7
0.9
SSW
18
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
15
0.9
NW
9
Energy kJ
304
284
327
299
306
308
311
531
651
491
667
407
643
436
377
382
362
272
268
272
110
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
WNW
13
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
WNW
13
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
SSW
16
0.8
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.4
S
20
0.5
SW
14
0.5
S
18
0.1
S
21
0.1
W
18
0.6
WNW
10
0.8
SSW
15
Energy kJ
140
395
209
180
330
485
485
140
188
174
119
91
160
9
6
61
283
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSW
18
0.6
WNW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
WNW
11
0.7
SW
16
0.6
WNW
11
0.2
S
21
0.2
S
11
0.4
S
19
0.1
W
18
0.2
S
20
0.2
S
19
Energy kJ
216
118
207
246
174
151
255
75
35
9
117
6
30
29
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
NW
8
1.8
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
2
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.5
NW
7
2.4
NW
8
3
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2
NW
7
1.6
NW
7
1.5
NW
7
1.5
NW
6
Energy kJ
393
301
341
446
979
696
762
1136
1053
736
975
421
255
225
177
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
1
2
2
2
3
3
2
3
3
2
4
4
2
3
1
3
1
Distance (km)
64
0
0
209
311
0
270
311
7
136
311
52
209
310
7
136
311
7
209
16
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
3
4
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
3
2
2
4
2
2
4
4
2
4
3
2
4
4
4
3
2
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
6
4
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
5
6
5
8
5
5
8
6
5
5
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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