
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 20s period, SW swell with 1,111 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 14s period with SW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.2m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2ft (0.6m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Caspar Creek over the next couple of weeks.
To be straight with you, the forecast is a tough one to swallow. This spot is just not set up for anything good in the coming sixteen days. The wind is a constant problem – it’s nearly always cross-on, and that’s just not going to give us the clean faces we want. The entire run is rated as poor surf conditions, so there’s no standout session to get excited about. We’re looking at a long stretch of mediocrity without a single recommendation.
The first bit of surf we see is on Tuesday afternoon, July 21st. There’s a tiny bit of swell, 3 ft from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak at 173. The wind is glassy though, dead calm out of the west at 3 mph, so the water will be like a mirror. The water temp is 55°, which is about 0.9° colder than normal for this time of year – so pretty average, nothing wild. But that’s about the only positive. The surf is ordinary, and the score is a flat one.
From Wednesday morning, July 22nd, the wind picks up and it’s downhill from there. The wind stays cross-on, gusting from the NW, and the swell stays small and weak. For the next several days, the heights bob around between 2 ft and 3 ft, with periods mostly 8-10 seconds. The energy is negligible, barely getting into triple digits (93-138). This is truly a flat spell.
Then, around Friday afternoon, July 24th, we see a spike in the numbers. The swell height is still only 3 ft, but the period jumps to 24 seconds – that’s a very long-period groundswell. The combined energy hits 938, which is moderate. But here’s the killer: the wind is still cross-on from the NNW at 9 mph. So that long-period energy, which would be fantastic at a point or reef, is going to get chopped up and messy at this beach. It’s a tease.
It stays like this through the rest of July and into early August. The swell does build, but the wind stays onshore. From July 26th onwards, the swell gets bigger, hitting 5 ft to 8 ft, with periods of 6-7 seconds – that’s short-period, wind-driven junk. The energy becomes strong (355-716), but it’s all windswell. The wind is a steady 12-19 mph cross-on from the NW. For a beginner, anything over 5 ft in these conditions is a handful, and over 8 ft is strictly for experts who don’t mind a beating. With the chop and the cross-on breeze, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.
Later in the run, on August 4th and 5th, the swell gets even bigger, to 10 ft, and the energy is very strong (1482-1866). But again, the wind is cross-on at 12-16 mph. The period is 8-9 seconds, so it’s still a messy, lumpy mess. No good for a clean ride.
So, bottom line: there are no good days to recommend. Don’t bother waxing up for Caspar Creek in this window. It’s a blank run, and honestly, for this area, that’s not unusual. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a long wait for a clean wave.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WNW 12 | NW 8 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SW 24 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SW 21 | NW 6 | SW 19 | NW 7 | SW 18 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
169 | 56 | 29 | 100 | 96 | 94 | 84 | 119 | 801 | 159 | 152 | 890 | 147 | 1100 | 355 | 614 | 177 | 452 | 284 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 7:20AM1.06m | 6:31PM1.75m | 8:58AM1.08m | 7:19PM1.76m | 10:10AM1.15m | 8:08PM1.78m | 10:59AM1.21m | 8:54PM1.82m | 11:35AM1.25m | 9:38PM1.86m | 12:06PM1.30m | 10:18PM1.90m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:00AM0.31m | 11:40AM0.80m | 2:06AM0.20m | 12:37PM0.93m | 3:01AM0.09m | 1:41PM1.01m | 3:49AM0.00m | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | 3:29PM1.01m | 5:07AM-0.12m | 4:13PM0.97m | |||||||
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
8:37 | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:36 | — | — | 8:35 | — | — | 8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 15 | S 9 | S 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 21 | SW 21 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 |
403 | 287 | 311 | 130 | 261 | 229 | 84 | 119 | 159 | 159 | 1221 | 890 | 872 | 1100 | 855 | 614 | 845 | 1153 | 469 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | NW 10 | NW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 24 | SW 23 | NW 9 | S 12 | NW 8 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 20 |
73 | 48 | 200 | 250 | 96 | 94 | 210 | 204 | 801 | 544 | 152 | 110 | 51 | 146 | 141 | 133 | 176 | 109 | 336 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | WNW 12 | NW 8 | NW 10 | S 7 | SSE 14 | S 13 | SW 24 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 21 | — | — | SSW 11 |
169 | 56 | 29 | 100 | 40 | 115 | 171 | 568 | 154 | 114 | 166 | 57 | 92 | 44 | 17 | 180 | — | — | 102 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 9 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 |
3 | 500 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 164 | 147 | 155 | 355 | 239 | 177 | 452 | 284 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 64 | 43 | 0 | 311 | 7 | 6 | 209 | 189 | 7 | 189 | 270 | 6 | 209 | 270 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










