
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 10s period, NW swell with 2,883 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 2.5m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 17s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this stretch of coast. We’ve got a long forecast window ahead, but I’ve gotta be honest with you—it’s a rough one. The entire 16-day run is a battle against persistent cross-onshore winds that just won’t let up, churning up the surface and making anything worthwhile a real mission. The water is running at about 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort, but it doesn’t help the waves.
The first real surf we see is at Caspar Creek, and it kicks off on Tuesday, July 28th. Right from the start, it’s a struggle. Swell is coming in from the NW at 5 ft, but with a short period of 6 seconds, there’s not much push behind it, and the combined energy is weak (171). The 12 mph NW wind is cross-on, making it choppy and messy. The water temp is 59°, a touch warmer than normal. The afternoon bumps up to 8 ft swell, but the wind stays strong at 16 mph, and it’s still poor.
Wednesday, July 29th, is more of the same. Morning sees 7 ft NW swell, still cross-on and choppy. The afternoon pushes to 8 ft with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy jumps to moderate (640), but it’s all ruined by that 16 mph cross-on wind. Thursday, July 30th, follows the same pattern—7 ft in the morning, 8 ft in the afternoon, all cross-on and choppy. Friday, July 31st, offers a slight reprieve with lighter wind at 9 mph in the morning, but the swell is still 6 ft and cross-on, so it’s only slightly less messy.
The swell gets bigger over the weekend, but it’s not good news. Saturday, August 1st, has 8 ft in the morning, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph, and the energy is strong (788). The afternoon is a beast—12 ft with a very strong energy (1806)—but the wind is 22 mph and cross-on, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. This is strictly for the hardcore, and even then, it’s not fun. Sunday, August 2nd, has 10 ft in the morning and 13 ft in the afternoon, with very strong energy (1588 and 2438), but again, it’s all cross-on and choppy. For a beach break setup, this is looking more like a kite-surfing situation than a paddle session.
The first signs of any real improvement come on Monday, August 3rd. The swell is still 10 ft, but the wind finally drops to 6 mph, and the period stretches to 10 seconds. The energy is very strong (3293), but the conditions are still labeled marginal. The cross-on wind is still there, but it’s light. It’s the best looking morning in the whole forecast, but it’s still a gamble. The afternoon drops back to 10 ft and 9 seconds, with 9 mph cross-on, so it’s choppy again.
Monday, August 4th, is interesting. The morning has a 7 ft NW swell, and the wind is a slight 3 mph from the WNW, and it’s actually onshore, not cross-on. The period is 9 seconds, and the energy is moderate (815). The conditions are still listed as marginal, but that light, onshore wind might offer a window of clean-ish surf. The afternoon is back to cross-on, though.
From there, it’s back to the same old story. The entire second week, from around August 5th through to August 12th, is a mix of moderate to strong swell, all with cross-on winds from the NW or NNW. The swell stays solid, often over 7 ft and sometimes hitting 12 ft, but the wind never truly turns offshore. The period gets up to 10 seconds, giving it some energy, but the surface is always choppy or lumpy. The one standout in this whole outlook is the morning of Monday, August 3rd, with the biggest swell, longest period, and lightest wind of the entire run. It’s the only real window where you might find something halfway decent, but it’s still a marginal call. The rest of the time, it’s a battle against the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the NNW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
171 | 509 | 371 | 368 | 640 | 640 | 412 | 606 | 416 | 317 | 658 | 658 | 773 | 1688 | 1310 | 1575 | 2389 | 1886 | 1801 | 1372 | 1124 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 12:34PM1.34m | 10:57PM1.92m | 1:00PM1.38m | 11:34PM1.91m | 1:27PM1.43m | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:54PM0.93m | 6:12AM-0.17m | 5:34PM0.88m | 6:42AM-0.15m | 6:15PM0.83m | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | |
— | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 13 | NW 10 | SW 13 | SW 16 |
932 | 1081 | 780 | 539 | 627 | 436 | 575 | 469 | 183 | 301 | 236 | 139 | 236 | 222 | 143 | 100 | 67 | 44 | 1449 | 43 | 40 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 16 | SW 12 |
56 | 51 | 119 | 227 | 221 | 210 | 40 | 37 | 157 | 106 | 149 | 140 | 134 | 103 | 51 | 74 | 46 | 49 | 44 | 41 | 38 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 11 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 15 | — | SSE 18 | SSE 15 | — | — | S 16 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 13 | SW 16 | S 12 | S 12 |
8 | 51 | 34 | 12 | 11 | 43 | — | 30 | 76 | — | — | 81 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 49 | 28 | 43 | 25 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
171 | 509 | 371 | 368 | 640 | 640 | 412 | 606 | 416 | 317 | 658 | 658 | 773 | 1688 | 1310 | 1575 | 2389 | 1886 | 1801 | 1372 | 1124 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 209 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 52 | 190 | 311 | 7 | 92 | 32 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










