
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 12 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,308 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 13 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 14s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 13th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Fri 17th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Caspar Creek. Right off the bat, we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch for the next week – the wind gods are not on our side. The set-up here is sheltered, which usually helps, but the wind is hammering in cross-on from the northwest for days, turning what could be decent swell into a choppy, lumpy mess. The water’s sitting at 54°, which is 1° cooler than normal for this time of year – nothing too wild, just a bit of a chill in the air.
Starting Sunday the 12th, we’ve got a solid 6 ft swell from the northwest with a short period of 8 seconds, but the cross-on wind at 9 mph keeps the surface ragged. That combined energy is moderate at 432, but the conditions are poor for surfing. This same story repeats straight through to Thursday the 16th, with the swell building to 10 ft and energy hitting 1633 on the 16th – that’s strong energy, but with the wind howling at 19 mph, it’s a total write-off. Honestly, this would be more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session.
We finally get a glimmer of hope on Friday the 17th. The swell eases slightly to 8 ft from the northwest, but the period bumps up to 9 seconds and the wind drops to a light cross-on in the morning, then shifts to a light onshore in the afternoon from the west at just 3 mph. The combined energy is still high at 1306, but the tide or other factors make it only marginal. Still, it’s the best we’ve seen all week – a solid northwest groundswell with clean-ish conditions if you time the lulls.
The weekend is a wash again, with the swell dropping and the wind swinging around, but then we get a real standout window. Wednesday the 22nd sees the swell climbing back to 8 ft from the northwest with a period of 10 seconds – that’s a solid, long-period groundswell with proper energy (1126). The cross-on wind is still there at 9 mph, but it’s light enough where a sheltered break like this might offer some clean faces if you pick your spot. This is your best bet for the whole outlook – a powerful, punchy wave with good shape.
Thursday the 23rd could also be worth a look: 8 ft swell from the northwest, period 10 seconds, and the wind shifts to light onshore from the west-northwest at 6 mph. It’s a close second, but the conditions are marginal.
After that, the swell hangs around but the wind gets messy again, and by the 27th we’re down to 3 ft of long-period south-west swell at 18 seconds – that’s a very long period groundswell, but the cross-on wind at 16 mph kills it. A blank run for the books, really. But forecasts can change, and with consistent breaks like this, it won’t stay poor forever.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Thu afternoon, calm by Thu night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | WNW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
407 | 559 | 489 | 416 | 413 | 392 | 295 | 371 | 371 | 452 | 818 | 696 | 750 | 1191 | 857 | 777 | 795 | 609 | 549 | 440 | 348 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 11:20AM1.28m | 9:44PM2.23m | 12:07PM1.36m | 10:38PM2.26m | 12:51PM1.44m | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:23PM0.89m | 5:13AM-0.55m | 4:24PM0.86m | 6:00AM-0.59m | 5:22PM0.80m | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | 8:42 | — | — | 8:42 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
217 | 229 | 229 | 163 | 187 | 181 | 69 | 104 | 194 | 192 | 158 | 161 | 286 | 283 | 356 | 777 | 795 | 609 | 549 | 440 | 281 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | S 18 | WNW 16 | S 14 | WNW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | W 13 | SW 17 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 |
56 | 54 | 51 | 35 | 76 | 133 | 69 | 59 | 95 | 89 | 97 | 221 | 159 | 159 | 141 | 348 | 414 | 499 | 402 | 392 | 348 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 18 | W 15 | SW 21 | W 16 | SW 19 | WNW 15 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SSE 15 |
25 | 18 | 18 | 45 | 59 | 71 | 49 | 112 | 59 | 57 | 57 | 53 | 28 | 27 | 13 | 181 | 74 | 74 | 297 | 383 | 88 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
407 | 559 | 489 | 416 | 413 | 392 | 295 | 371 | 371 | 452 | 818 | 696 | 750 | 1191 | 857 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 162 | 167 | 7 | 136 | 167 | 7 | 209 | 75 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 52 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 61 | 50 | 12 | 92 | 43 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










