
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 3 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 7 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 731 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 4th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. It’s been a real tough stretch for surf around here. The whole 16-day window is looking mostly poor, with a couple of small windows where things might just be ridable but nothing to get too excited about. Water temp is sitting at 52.7°F which is about 2.9°F colder than average for this time of year – feels properly chilly for July.
Right now, we’re starting with a real flat run. The first break that pops up as a very marginal option is Caspar Creek on the morning of July 4th, but with 5.9ft of NW swell at an 8-second period and a light cross-on breeze, the combined wave energy is still moderate at 435. The condition notes say “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” The rest of the week just offers poor surf with cross-onshore winds and choppy mess. The afternoon of July 11th sees the swell bump up to 8.2ft from the NW at 8 seconds, and the energy gets to 844 (moderate-strong), but with a 9 mph cross-on wind, it’s too blown out to matter. The biggest number comes on July 10th afternoon – 9.8ft swell at 8 seconds, combined energy of 1028 (strong), but the wind is a 9 mph cross-on, so the report is just “poor surf conditions.” That size is for experts only.
Now, after a long, ugly run of poor surf and mostly moderate to fresh breezes, there’s one moment that actually stands out. In the second week, on July 13th, Monday afternoon, conditions finally line up right for a short window. The swell is 5.6ft from the NW at a very nice 9-second period, combined energy of 717 (moderate). That alone is average. But the wind – dead calm, glassy conditions. The report literally says “expect good surf conditions.” For a spot that’s been hammered by cross-onshore wind almost every day, that glass-off is a major win.
Caspar Creek is a sheltered beginner-friendly spot, and it’s consistent, which has helped keep hope alive through this. Crowds are often there, so expect company if this window firms up. For a beginner spot, 5.6ft with no wind will be super clean. And the swell direction from NW matches the optimum direction for this break perfectly. Because the period is 9 seconds (a short groundswell), it shouldn’t break too straight for this sheltered setup, so it should shape up nicely.
The immediate next days on July 14th bring a 5.9ft NW swell at 11 seconds with light onshore wind, and energy of 801 – again, a moderate-strong pulse, but the wind isn’t clean enough to call it a standout. July 15th has a weird combo: a long-period 19-second swell from the WNW but at only 2.3ft, so it’s tiny and marginal despite the massive period. The rest of the week into July 18th is back to poor conditions with cross-onshore winds and small, short-period swell mixed in.
So bottom line: the entire first week is a right-off. The only true standout is July 13th afternoon at Caspar Creek with that glassy clean wind. Get on it if you can, because the forecast after that reverts to poor form. For now, that’s your one shot.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 3 | Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 11 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
326 | 444 | 392 | 364 | 364 | 414 | 380 | 389 | 475 | 437 | 359 | 423 | 558 | 259 | 284 | 157 | 436 | 244 | 420 | 640 | 598 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:21PM1.38m | 1:43AM1.65m | 3:52PM1.44m | 2:30AM1.51m | 4:24PM1.51m | 3:28AM1.34m | 4:58PM1.60m | 4:42AM1.18m | 5:35PM1.71m | 6:13AM1.07m | 6:17PM1.82m | 7:51AM1.05m | 7:04PM1.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:18AM-0.16m | 8:03PM0.91m | 8:51AM-0.07m | 9:00PM0.85m | 9:24AM0.05m | 10:05PM0.76m | 9:58AM0.21m | 11:16PM0.61m | 10:36AM0.38m | 00:27AM0.41m | 11:20AM0.56m | 1:35AM0.17m | 12:12PM0.71m | 2:36AM-0.07m | |||||||
5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:45 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | — | 8:44 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 20 | NW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 |
326 | 209 | 288 | 364 | 364 | 414 | 380 | 389 | 475 | 437 | 359 | 485 | 558 | 531 | 651 | 491 | 659 | 452 | 643 | 519 | 451 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SW 15 | S 20 | SW 13 | — | S 18 | NW 11 |
140 | 42 | 74 | 129 | 183 | 186 | 140 | 395 | 206 | 180 | 171 | 226 | 485 | 140 | 188 | 220 | 119 | 88 | — | 160 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 17 | S 11 | SSW 21 | WNW 14 | SSW 20 | WNW 12 | SSW 18 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SW 13 | SW 16 | S 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | — | S 19 | — | S 11 | — |
56 | 9 | 89 | 71 | 216 | 86 | 216 | 101 | 207 | 246 | 330 | 27 | 255 | 5 | 42 | 64 | — | 117 | — | 10 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 8 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
— | 444 | 392 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 423 | 164 | 259 | 284 | 157 | 436 | 244 | 420 | 640 | 598 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 23 | 6 | 92 | 52 | 0 | 52 | 270 | 0 | 333 | 270 | 0 | 209 | 311 | 6 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










