Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 11s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 3 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 11s period, NW swell with 1,215 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.3m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 18s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Fri 4th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty dismal for any real surf. We’ve got a long stretch of not much to get excited about, so if you’re jonesing for a wave, you might want to find another hobby for a bit.
Right off the bat, the outlook is poor. We're looking at a gap of several days with absolutely nothing worth paddling out for. The first few days are a total write-off. Friday afternoon kicks things off with a weak and messy 6ft of windblown slop, cross-onshore breeze, and a combined energy of just 320. It’s choppy and confused. Saturday gets a bit bigger, but it’s lumpy and junky. By Sunday morning, there’s a touch more size, but it’s still cross-on and not clean.
The first real glimmer of hope doesn't come until Sunday, August 30th, in the morning. We see some actual power building, with the combined energy jumping to 1116. The swell is a 7ft, but it’s let down by a light cross-onshore wind. It’s still questionable, but it’s the closest thing to a wave we’ve had. Still, I wouldn’t be rushing out for it.
Then, it just dies again. Monday, Tuesday, and Wednesday mornings are all flat, weak, and poor. The energy drops right off, and it's just small, crossed-up lines.
Things start to get interesting again on Thursday, September 3rd. The morning looks like it has some potential, with a 6ft northwest swell at a solid 13-second period, and the combined energy climbs to a strong 1173. The wind for the morning is just a whisper, which could make for some clean conditions at the right spot. The afternoon, however, gets chopped up again by a moderate cross-onshore breeze.
After that, we see a pulse of energy, but it gets blown out. The wind stays up and cross-onshore for a few days, and the swell mixes down. By the time we get to Monday, September 7th, the energy fades away, and we’re left with tiny, weak waves.
Now, if you’re just learning and don't mind the wind, Caspar Creek (Mendocino County) is an option. It’s a consistent, sheltered spot for beginners. Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th have some surfable size, but remember that anything over 5ft is too much for a beginner. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about normal for this time of year. It will be a bit of a battle with the cross-shore wind, but that’s the price you pay. However, if the wind is too strong and the surf is over 8ft and messy, it might honestly look more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The second week is looking pretty weak. There are a few pulses of long-period groundswell, but they’re small and mostly coming in under the radar. September 11th has a slight bump of 5ft in the afternoon on a short, weak period, and the 12th has some small, clean-ish options but nothing that’s going to get the heart pumping.
Honestly, the only standout, if you can call it that, is the Thursday, September 3rd morning session at Caspar Creek. The swell direction from the northwest matches the optimum, the period is long, and the wind is light. There’s good energy behind it too. It’s about 6ft, so it's a bit much for beginners but should be a fun, powerful wave for those with some experience. It’s far from a guarantee, but it’s the best this whole stretch has to offer.
So, be patient. It’s not a good run of surf. Get your fix elsewhere and keep an eye on that Thursday morning a week out. Keep the faith. This is Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Sat afternoon, calm by Mon morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 13°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | SW 17 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
233 | 317 | 292 | 623 | 489 | 624 | 565 | 579 | 270 | 205 | 112 | 89 | 251 | 170 | 243 | 115 | 255 | 1173 | 1052 | 1029 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | glassy | cross | on | off | on | on | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:02AM1.80m | 12:55PM1.66m | 00:46AM1.71m | 1:22PM1.73m | 1:34AM1.58m | 1:52PM1.79m | 2:29AM1.44m | 2:26PM1.84m | 3:35AM1.30m | 3:07PM1.87m | 4:58AM1.19m | 3:58PM1.88m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:00PM0.57m | 6:31AM0.10m | 6:43PM0.46m | 7:00AM0.22m | 7:29PM0.35m | 7:29AM0.37m | 8:19PM0.26m | 8:01AM0.54m | 9:16PM0.19m | 8:37AM0.71m | 10:21PM0.13m | 9:20AM0.86m | 11:35PM0.08m | |||||||
— | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | |
7:52 | — | — | 7:51 | — | — | 7:49 | — | — | 7:47 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:45 | — | — | 7:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | SSW 15 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 13 | NW 12 | NW 11 |
572 | 537 | 887 | 742 | 733 | 492 | 512 | 579 | 270 | 205 | 112 | 65 | 251 | 170 | 120 | 115 | 255 | 1173 | 1052 | 1029 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSE 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | SSW 16 | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 17 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 18 |
59 | 33 | 15 | 15 | 7 | 724 | 6 | 405 | 394 | 321 | 204 | 154 | 154 | 114 | 243 | 181 | 276 | 314 | 240 | 553 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | — | — | — | W 12 | S 10 | — | S 9 | SE 14 | SW 19 | SSE 14 | NW 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SW 16 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | S 14 |
87 | — | — | — | 11 | 7 | — | 2 | 8 | 14 | 41 | 89 | 48 | 40 | 126 | 59 | 216 | 455 | 465 | 239 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
233 | 317 | 292 | 623 | 489 | 624 | 565 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 209 | 7 | 190 | 311 | 7 | 118 | 311 | 6 | 92 | 272 | 0 | 12 | 77 | 0 | 167 | 32 | 0 | 50 | 272 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











