Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checking in on what's cookin' for Caspar Creek. Let's be straight with each other – the next couple of weeks are going to be a bit of a grind. This spot is a sheltered, consistent beginner wave, but the wind and swell combo just isn't playing ball for most of the run.

We kick things off on Thursday, 2 July, with some swell pushing in at 7 feet from the NW, and the water is sitting at a chilly 53°, which is notably colder than what you'd expect for this time of year. The energy in the water is moderate (933), but the wind is already onshore and putting a chop on it, and the wave comment is "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions." It's a tough start, and honestly, that theme continues day after day.

For almost the entire first week and a half, from Friday 3 July right through to Wednesday 15 July, we see a frustrating pattern. Swell holds in the 5 to 10 feet range, mostly from the northwest, with moderate combined energy (244 to 1339). But the wind is relentless – a constant cross-onshore breeze, mostly from the NW at 12 to 16 mph. That's the kiss of death for clean surf here, chopping everything up. The guides are calling it "poor surf conditions" almost every single session. Even the bigger push of 10 feet on Thursday 9 July with very strong energy (1339) is ruined by that cross-onshore wind. At that size, with that chop, this is looking more like a kiteboarding setup than a paddle session.

We get a tiny glimmer of hope on Saturday 11 July and Sunday 12 July. Saturday morning drops to 7 feet with a gentle breeze, but it's still cross-onshore, so the quality is poor. Sunday 12 July morning is interesting – there's a 7 feet NW swell with a very light onshore breeze (3 mph). The "light breeze" and "unknown" wave state could mean it cleans up, and the tide might be workable. That's the best chance you'll get, but it's still marginal. The following week continues the same story, with cross-onshore winds and moderate swell until Wednesday 15 July afternoon, which has 8 feet waves and light winds but remains marginal.

Then, a really interesting shift on Thursday 16 July and Friday 17 July. The swell drops right down to 3 feet, but the period jumps to 16-18 seconds – that’s proper long-period groundswell energy! The combined energy is still moderate (630 to 953), and the wind is extremely light, almost glassy at times. For a sheltered spot like Caspar Creek, that long-period swell could wrap in beautifully and offer some rare, clean, workable waves for a log or a fish. It won't be big, but it could be your only clean window in the entire 16-day forecast.

So, what's the call? The standout window is the very end of the run. Thursday 16 July and Friday 17 July are your best bets. The swell is tiny (3 feet) from the WNW, and with that 16-18 second period and light winds, the quality could be surprisingly good for this spot. It's not for everyone, but for a longboard day with mellow energy, that’s the one to watch.

For the rest of it? Honestly, there's no real standout paddling surf. The winds are just too bad. It’s a long, frustrating run of wind-affected chop.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that last weekend, and maybe wax up a foamie for the clean, small stuff.

Rusty.

Read more