Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 23 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NW swell with 601 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 18s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 29) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: Caspar Creek is looking a bit of a tough run over the next sixteen days. The wind just won’t let up from the NW, which is cross-onshore here, and that’s going to wreck most of what the ocean tries to throw at us. The swell energy is moderate at best early on, and the conditions are consistently marked as poor.
The first session isn’t until Saturday, August 22nd, but it's pretty small: just 1 ft of swell from the SW with a very long period of 17 seconds. That period would normally be special, but the combined energy is weak (189), and that cross-on breeze will make it choppy. Not the one. The water temperature is sitting at 57°, which is a touch cooler than average for the time of year—nothing shocking, but you’ll want a good suit.
Sunday the 23rd sees a jump to 5 ft, but it’s a short-period NW windswell (7 seconds) with the same cross-on breeze. The combined energy picks up to moderate (500), but it’s still messy. Monday morning the 24th has a brief moment where the wind switches to WSW and goes light onshore, with a 2 ft SW groundswell (18 seconds) and combined energy at 471. It’s small, but that long period could give you a few runners if you’re patient. The wind nearly goes glassy on Monday afternoon, but the swell is still tiny.
From Tuesday the 25th through to the end of the first week, it’s a relentless pattern: NW wind, cross-onshore, and swell bouncing between 2 ft and 5 ft. The wave energy stays in the moderate range (300-500), but it’s never clean. Thursday the 27th afternoon sees a 7 ft NW swell pop up, but with a 7-second period and choppy wind, it’s a mess.
The second week rolls in with more of the same, only bigger and more frustrating. By Saturday August 29th and Sunday August 30th, we’re looking at 7 ft to 8 ft NW swells (7 seconds) with combined energy jumping into the strong zone (601 to 786). That’s a lot of water moving, but the cross-onshore wind is moderate to fresh, making it lumpy and hard to manage. For a sheltered spot like this, that much NW wind is a killer. These waves are for experienced surfers only, and honestly, the setup looks more interesting for kiteboarding than paddle surfing, given the wind and chop.
The swell keeps pumping into the first days of September, with 7 ft to 8 ft on Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd, combined energy hitting very strong levels (874 to 1026). But again, the wind stays cross-onshore from the NW. The period slowly improves to 8-9 seconds, but it’s still not the clean, lined-up waves we’re after. It’s a grind.
Finally, as we head into the second weekend (September 5th and 6th), the swell drops back to 3 ft to 4 ft with weak energy (125-193). The wind backs off a bit, but it’s still cross-onshore and cloudy.
There’s no standout day in this window. The best bet, and I mean that lightly, is Monday the 24th of August morning, when the wind is lightest from the WSW and that 2 ft SW groundswell has a beautiful 18-second period. You’ll have to work for it on a log, but it’s the only time the conditions might give you a clean, glassy face. For the rest, it’s a waiting game for a change in the wind.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed morning, min 12°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | NW 7 | SW 19 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
106 | 240 | 269 | 373 | 292 | 255 | 192 | 232 | 326 | 214 | 161 | 203 | 201 | 181 | 138 | 357 | 317 | 167 | 308 | 346 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 7:38PM1.69m | 10:24AM1.27m | 8:32PM1.75m | 10:53AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.81m | 11:19AM1.37m | 10:02PM1.85m | 11:43AM1.43m | 10:42PM1.87m | 12:07PM1.50m | 11:21PM1.86m | 12:31PM1.58m | 00:02AM1.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:16AM0.11m | 2:29PM1.03m | 3:57AM0.05m | 3:18PM0.96m | 4:33AM-0.00m | 4:00PM0.87m | 5:05AM-0.03m | 4:40PM0.78m | 5:34AM-0.02m | 5:20PM0.68m | 6:03AM0.02m | 6:00PM0.57m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | |
8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | — | 7:52 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 7 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
54 | 59 | 231 | 373 | 292 | 216 | 164 | 86 | 326 | 214 | 161 | 203 | 201 | 38 | 133 | 106 | 167 | 347 | 175 | 431 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | S 16 | SW 18 | S 14 | SW 17 | NW 6 | S 13 | S 13 | W 13 | W 12 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 15 | S 11 | NW 8 | SSW 19 | S 10 |
67 | 82 | 50 | 117 | 122 | 255 | 153 | 232 | 32 | 126 | 123 | 85 | 47 | 181 | 134 | 134 | 65 | 58 | 214 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | S 14 | SW 18 | S 14 | S 13 | W 16 | W 14 | SSW 12 | SSE 16 | SSE 14 | W 11 | W 12 | W 10 | S 11 | SSE 11 | W 12 |
106 | 40 | 77 | 83 | 199 | 153 | 192 | 144 | 126 | 75 | 65 | 49 | 84 | 108 | 38 | 41 | 34 | 61 | 37 | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
29 | 240 | 269 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 23 | 22 | 38 | 103 | 77 | 138 | 357 | 317 | 167 | 308 | 346 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 310 | 6 | 118 | 16 | 0 | 92 | 208 | 0 | 136 | 7 | 0 | 190 | 270 | 0 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











