Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. This stretch for Caspar Creek is a tough one for the most part. We’re looking at a solid run of strong, choppy conditions that will keep things messy for the better part of two weeks. The one bright spot, if you can call it that, is a rare window of cleaner surf right at the very end of the period.

The first nine days, from Monday the 27th of July right through to Tuesday the 4th of August, are a write-off. Forget about a decent paddle. Swell is pumping, with combined wave energy in the hundreds and even climbing into the thousands (up to 2076) by the 2nd of August, but it’s all wind-affected. That persistent cross-onshore breeze from the NW, sometimes hitting 25 mph, just guts the waves. You’ll see plenty of size – up to 12 ft – but it’s a bumpy, choppy mess. That’s not surf for a board, that’s kite-surfing territory. For beginners, that 5 ft+ stuff is already too much, and when it goes over 8 ft, it’s expert-only, but even then, the quality is just not there.

Now, around the 4th of August, things start to shift. The wind finally drops. On Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th of August, we get some light mornings with the wind swinging onshore from the WNW at only 3 mph. The swell is still a solid 8 ft to 8 ft from the NW, with a 10-second period, giving it some decent energy (1076 to 1126). The water is sitting at 58°F, which is right about average for the time of year, so nothing weird there. This is the best you’re going to get in the whole outlook. Caspar Creek is the spot to be. The forecast suggests it’s marginal, but with that light, almost glassy wind, the morning sessions on the 4th and 5th of August could be surprisingly clean. It’s a consistent break, so you know it’ll be breaking, but it’s also sheltered, so it won’t be taking the full brunt of the ocean. The swell direction from the NW matches the optimum swell direction, and while the cross-on wind is a factor, at 3 to 6 mph it’s hardly a problem. It’s a far cry from the mess of the week before.

The 4th of August Tuesday morning is the absolute standout. Winds are virtually nil, swell is a punchy 8 ft, and the energy is strong (1285). That’s a day for a big crew to get out there and find some clean, steep lines before the afternoon breeze picks up. After that, the 5th and 6th of August are similar but with a touch less power. From the 6th onwards, the wind picks up again, and while the swell drops, the conditions go back to being choppy and poor. The 9th of August offers a flicker of hope with glassy conditions, but the swell is smaller and the period is short, so it’s not going to be worth the drive.

So, bottom line: the first week and a half are a complete write-off. The best on offer is the Tuesday morning on the 4th of August with that light wind and solid, long-period swell. The 5th and 6th of August are decent runner-ups, but don’t expect anything world-class. It’s a frustrating wait, but for that one morning, it might just come together.

Rusty.

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