Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Issued: 10 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
11.2° C

1.8°C colder than average for this time of year

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,163 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sat 4th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Best Surf 2AM (Sun 5th Jul)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 9th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Caspar Creek.

Right off the bat, I gotta say, the next week and a half is looking pretty rough. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions, starting Saturday the 4th and running all the way through to Monday the 13th. The swell sticks around in the 5 to 8 ft range, mostly from the NW with a short, weak period of 6-8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate to strong, hitting between 275 and 1135, but it doesn’t matter because every single session is plagued by a persistent cross-onshore wind off the NW. It’s gonna be choppy and messy. On Thursday the 9th, the swell actually pushes over 8 ft at 10 ft, but with that same NW wind, it’s just a big, blown-out mess for experts only—and not even good for them. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.

The real standout, and I mean the only true glimmer of hope in this entire 16-day outlook, hits us on Tuesday the 14th of July. The afternoon session is something special. We get an 12 ft NW swell, and the wind goes completely glassy—dead calm, just 3 mph from the SW. The combined energy is massive at 1827, so there’s a ton of power in the water. The period is only 8 seconds, so it’s a bit short-period, but with those conditions and that size, it’s going to be pumping. Keep in mind, at 12 ft, this is strictly for experienced surfers only. Beginners, stay on the beach. This is the one to circle on the calendar.

After that high, things drop off again. Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th see the swell drop to 8 ft then 3 ft, with the wind coming back cross-onshore. The note on Thursday the 16th is that the swell direction shifts to WNW with a very long period of 18 seconds, which is proper groundswell. Combined energy is still decent at 1012, but the size is small at 3 ft. That long period will make for better-shaped waves, but at point breaks and reefs more than a beach break like this. Still, the wind is onshore, so it’s a marginal call at best.

From Friday the 17th through Sunday the 19th, we’re looking at small, weak leftovers—3 ft to 4 ft with moderate cross-onshore winds. Nothing to get excited about.

So here’s the final call: the rest of the first week and the start of the second are a write-off due to wind. The absolute best, and really the only, standout is the afternoon of Tuesday, July 14th. Glassy conditions, big 12 ft swell, and serious energy. Mark that session if you’ve got the skills.

Stay salty,
Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Fri
10
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
2
0
0
2
0
1
2
1
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
NW
7
1.6
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
0.9
WNW
11
1.8
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
2.5
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
363
300
308
316
371
380
380
398
389
335
204
275
341
336
676
658
750
1135
813
719
903
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
10
WSW
10
WNW
5
WNW
15
SW
10
NW
5
S
10
WNW
15
NW
5
NW
15
NW
20
NW
10
NNW
20
NW
25
NNW
20
NNW
20
NW
25
NNW
15
NNW
20
NW
15
NW
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:43AM1.65m
3:52PM1.44m
2:30AM1.51m
4:24PM1.51m
3:28AM1.34m
4:58PM1.60m
4:42AM1.18m
5:35PM1.71m
6:13AM1.07m
6:17PM1.82m
7:51AM1.05m
7:04PM1.94m
9:18AM1.10m
7:55PM2.05m
Low Tide
8:03PM0.91m
8:51AM-0.07m
9:00PM0.85m
9:24AM0.05m
10:05PM0.76m
9:58AM0.21m
11:16PM0.61m
10:36AM0.38m
00:27AM0.41m
11:20AM0.56m
1:35AM0.17m
12:12PM0.71m
2:36AM-0.07m
1:13PM0.83m
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:52
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:45
8:45
8:45
8:45
8:44
8:44
8:44
8:43
 mm
Temp °C
12
12
13
12
12
12
11
12
12
11
12
12
11
12
13
13
13
13
12
13
13
Feels °C
11
10
12
12
11
10
9
10
10
9
10
9
8
8
8
9
9
9
8
9
9
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.8
NW
7
1.6
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.6
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
1.7
NW
8
0.8
SSW
16
1.7
NW
8
0.9
WNW
11
0.9
SSW
18
1
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
18
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
1.1
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
16
0.9
SSW
15
Energy kJ
363
300
308
316
371
380
380
398
330
335
204
531
651
491
667
452
643
436
377
196
367
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SSW
16
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
14
0.7
WNW
13
0.8
SSW
18
0.8
WNW
13
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
WNW
12
0.8
SSW
20
0.8
SSW
20
0.6
SSW
14
0.7
SSW
15
0.6
SW
15
0.4
S
20
0.4
SSW
13
0.5
S
18
0.6
SW
15
Energy kJ
288
129
183
186
140
395
209
180
174
485
485
140
188
174
119
70
160
174
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
WNW
14
0.4
WNW
14
0.5
SSW
20
0.5
WNW
12
0.6
SSW
18
0.5
WNW
13
0.6
SSW
18
0.7
SSW
17
0.5
SSW
21
0.8
WNW
11
0.7
SW
16
0.2
S
8
0.2
S
21
0.2
S
11
0.4
S
19
Energy kJ
74
71
216
86
216
101
207
246
260
151
255
5
35
9
117
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NW
8
1.3
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
1.9
NW
7
1.8
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
2.5
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
Energy kJ
389
184
275
341
336
676
658
750
1135
813
719
903
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
2
2
3
2
2
2
1
2
3
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
3
4
4
Distance (km)
0
162
75
0
92
270
0
209
311
0
190
310
7
190
310
52
209
311
7
136
75
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
4
4
3
4
Best forecast wave conditions in United States
Rating
(10 max)
3
2
2
3
3
2
3
2
2
4
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
4
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
5
9
6
5
6
8
7
5
5
9
8
9
9
5
7
5
4
8
4
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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