
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 9s period, NW swell with 2,866 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 4.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 31) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Tue 4th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 13ft (4.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about the forecast for Caspar Creek. Honestly, the next couple of weeks look pretty grim for a proper surf. We’ve got a ton of energy in the water, but it’s all coming with messy, cross-onshore winds that are going to chop it all up. It’s one of those stretches where you’ll be watching it from the car, not suiting up.
The window starts on Friday the 31st with about 5ft of NW swell, but it's short-period at 7 seconds and the wind is already cross-on. The energy is weak at 233, so it’s not even worth paddling out. That afternoon, it jumps to 6ft and the wind picks up, making it choppy. Not a chance.
Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd see the swell jump up. Saturday afternoon gets to a solid 10ft, and the energy is ramping up to 1090. But the wind is up at 22 mph, and it’s lumpy. Sunday’s morning pushes it to 10ft with a 9-second period and a massive 1612 energy. By Sunday afternoon we’re looking at 13ft of swell and 2512 energy. But it’s all cross-on shore and messy. This is too big and too blown out for anything but a spectator. It’s not for beginners, and with wind like that, even experts aren't going to have much fun. This is more of a kite-surfing show than a surf session.
Monday the 3rd is still big, 12ft in the afternoon, but the wind backs off a little to a gentle breeze. It’s still cross-on and fairly choppy, but you might start to see some shape. The energy is up at 2410, but it’s still a far cry from clean.
Tuesday the 4th shows a bit of promise, with the swell dropping to 8ft in the morning. The wind swings to a light breeze from the SW, but it’s still cross-on. The afternoon is interesting; the wind goes to 3 mph from the WNW and is directly onshore, but the conditions are unknown. It’s the first time the score isn’t a complete zero, but it’s marginal at best.
The real standout of this whole period is Wednesday the 5th in the afternoon. The swell is down to a clean 6ft from the NW, still a 9-second period. The wind goes glassy, with just a slight air from the west. This is our best shot. The energy is moderate at 528, but with clean conditions, Caspar Creek will actually turn on. It’s a beginner-friendly break anyway, and at this size, it should be super fun.
After that, it’s a steep drop-off. Thursday the 6th sees the swell down to 4ft, and the wind is back on it. The rest of the first week and into the second week is a mess of weak, short-period NW swell and cross-onshore winds. The energy drops into the low hundreds. It's a poor run.
There’s a hiccup on the 11th, with a long-period WNW swell at 18 seconds, but it’s only 1ft. The energy is moderate at 316, but there’s just not enough size to do anything with it.
The 12th and 13th tease us with some long-period SW and WNW swells at 16 seconds, but again, they are small, and the winds are mostly cross or onshore. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
So, bottom line: if you’re desperate, Wednesday the 5th afternoon is your window. For everything else, you might as well find something else to do. It’s a long, flat, and messy stretch.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Thu night, fresh winds from the NW by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sun night, calm by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
377 | 233 | 321 | 331 | 335 | 1075 | 1135 | 1507 | 2463 | 2321 | 1827 | 2369 | 1819 | 904 | 669 | 580 | 561 | 457 | 250 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy |
High Tide | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | 2:21PM1.55m | 1:35AM1.65m | 2:50PM1.62m | 2:25AM1.50m | 3:21PM1.69m | 3:26AM1.32m | 3:57PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.17m | 4:40PM1.83m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | 7:40AM-0.01m | 7:46PM0.70m | 8:10AM0.12m | 8:39PM0.61m | 8:40AM0.28m | 9:39PM0.51m | 9:13AM0.46m | 10:46PM0.39m | 9:51AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.25m | |||||||
— | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | |
8:29 | — | 8:28 | — | — | 8:27 | — | — | 8:25 | — | — | 8:24 | — | — | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 13 | NW 10 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 |
211 | 301 | 236 | 140 | 126 | 136 | 99 | 92 | 70 | 44 | 44 | 43 | 1460 | 904 | 669 | 580 | 561 | 457 | 250 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SSW 14 | S 13 | S 14 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
157 | 106 | 141 | 78 | 134 | 78 | 32 | 45 | 45 | 29 | 43 | 41 | 65 | 85 | 78 | 34 | 73 | 71 | 97 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 16 | — | — | S 14 | SW 20 | SW 19 | S 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 12 | S 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | S 13 |
83 | — | — | 92 | 15 | 15 | 22 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 11 | 11 | 38 | 14 | 14 | 22 | 12 | 12 | 30 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NW 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
377 | 233 | 321 | 331 | 335 | 1075 | 1135 | 1507 | 2463 | 2321 | 1827 | 2369 | 1819 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 6 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 52 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 162 | 75 | 7 | 43 | 27 | 0 | 92 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











