Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 19 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NW swell with 565 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 14 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Fri 14th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Wed 19th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – we’ve got a long stretch ahead, and it’s not looking pretty for the most part. The only game in town is Caspar Creek, and it’s a sheltered spot that’s consistent, but the wind is almost always a problem. The water temp is about average for this time of year.
We start off Friday, August 14th, with poor surf. A weak, short-period 4ft NW swell and a light onshore wind from the WNW keep things messy. The combined energy is weak (143). There’s no improvement through the weekend or into next week. We’re looking at a solid stretch of poor conditions with cross-onshore winds and choppy, bumpy waves. The swell sticks from the NW, hovering around 3ft to 5ft, with periods of 6 to 7 seconds. The combined energy stays in the low to moderate range (91 to 247). This is not what you want to paddle out into.
By Tuesday, August 18th, the swell bumps up to 5ft to 7ft, and the energy climbs to 271 and then 536, but it’s still cross-onshore and choppy. The poor surf continues day after day. Wednesday, August 19th, peaks with a 7ft to 5ft NW swell and energy up to 984, but it’s still bumpy. This is more of a windsurf or kite-ski kind of setup – if you’re into that, go for it, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a write-off.
There’s a slight shift on Thursday, August 20th, when the swell direction swings to the WNW and the period lengthens to 11-12 seconds, giving us a bit more groundswell character. The height drops to 3ft but the energy is still moderate (303 to 367). The wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s still poor. That run continues through Friday, August 21st, with similar conditions.
Things get a little bigger on the weekend of August 22nd and 23rd. The swell jumps to 7ft to 8ft from the NW, with periods of 7 to 8 seconds. The energy is strong (541 to 960). But the wind is still cross-onshore, and at 8ft with that short period, this is straight-up messy and too big for beginners. It’s only for experienced surfers, and even then, the conditions are poor.
On Monday, August 24th, the swell remains 8ft to 8ft, with energy around 853. The wind is a light breeze, but it’s still cross-onshore, so you get light cross-onshore ripples. It’s poor surf. Tuesday, August 25th, finally shows a glimmer of hope – the forecast calls for “marginal surf” with a score of 1, and the wind switches to a cross-shore from the NNW in the afternoon. The swell is 6ft from the NW with an 8-second period, and energy is moderate (635 to 647). It’s the best of a bad bunch, but it’s still only marginal. The crowd is listed as “often,” so you won’t be alone.
After that, it’s back to poor surf from Wednesday, August 26th, through Saturday, August 29th. The swell drops to 4ft to 3ft by the end, with energy falling to 95. The wind stays cross-onshore. Nothing to get excited about.
Best on offer: If you’re desperate, Tuesday, August 25th, is the only day with a hint of ridable surf – a cross-shore wind and 6ft NW swell. It’s marginal, but it’s the pick of the litter. For the rest of the 16 days, it’s poor conditions. On the bigger days (over 8ft), it’s expert-only, and with the constant cross-onshore wind, it’s more of a kiting show than a surfing one.
– Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Mon morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
262 | 143 | 109 | 109 | 73 | 54 | 96 | 60 | 76 | 206 | 143 | 195 | 233 | 221 | 452 | 483 | 458 | 260 | 260 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:17AM2.02m | 1:28PM1.71m | 1:07AM1.86m | 2:03PM1.76m | 2:00AM1.66m | 2:39PM1.77m | 2:57AM1.45m | 3:15PM1.76m | 4:04AM1.28m | 3:55PM1.73m | 5:28AM1.15m | 4:40PM1.69m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:58AM-0.16m | 7:06PM0.47m | 7:34AM0.03m | 8:00PM0.41m | 8:10AM0.24m | 8:56PM0.37m | 8:45AM0.46m | 9:56PM0.35m | 9:21AM0.67m | 11:02PM0.33m | 10:01AM0.85m | 00:14AM0.30m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
8:13 | — | 8:12 | — | — | 8:10 | — | — | 8:08 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:07 | — | — | 8:05 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | NW 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 7 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | NW 8 | WNW 13 | WNW 12 |
262 | 143 | 109 | 109 | 615 | 499 | 96 | 519 | 463 | 206 | 334 | 334 | 268 | 239 | 357 | 291 | 354 | 235 | 260 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | NW 7 | WNW 11 | SSW 16 | NW 6 | NW 6 | SSW 15 | W 9 | W 9 | WNW 8 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
245 | 226 | 138 | 360 | 73 | 37 | 627 | 60 | 76 | 334 | 40 | 38 | 24 | 50 | 84 | 102 | 242 | 309 | 318 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 14 | WNW 10 | SSE 12 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 9 | S 11 | S 11 | WNW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | S 10 | SSW 13 | WNW 12 | SW 21 | W 21 |
82 | 149 | 205 | 214 | 35 | 28 | 34 | 32 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 62 | 63 | 2 | 65 | 172 | 18 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
— | — | — | — | — | 54 | — | — | — | — | 143 | 195 | 233 | 221 | 452 | 483 | 458 | 260 | 226 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 92 | 312 | 0 | 92 | 52 | 0 | 92 | 75 | 0 | 167 | 311 | 7 | 136 | 75 | 7 | 209 | 75 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











