Caspar Creek Surf Break

Lat Long: 39.36° N 123.82° W

Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 07 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Caspar Creek sea temperature is
12.2° C
0.8° 

Caspar Creek surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Caspar Creek surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,339 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 5PM.

Wave TypeTime (PDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 9th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.


Alright, let’s get into this one. I’ll be straight with you – this outlook for the next couple of weeks is a tough pill to swallow if you’re just trying to paddle in.

We’re looking at Caspar Creek, and honestly, for the first week and a half, the conditions are going to be a real challenge. The wave energy is moderate to strong—we’re seeing readings in the hundreds, peaking over a thousand at times, with swell heights consistently between 5ft and 10ft. But here’s where it gets frustrating: almost every session is marred by a cross-onshore wind, mainly from the NW, blowing at 9 to 16 mph. That’s creating choppy, messy surf. It’s not going to be clean or fun.

From Wednesday the 8th all the way through to Saturday the 19th, it’s a consistent theme: poor surf conditions. Every single entry says it. There’s a solid swell coming in, sure, but it’s being ruined by the wind. This is a beach break setup, and with those conditions, honestly, it looks more interesting for the kite surfers than for us.

You’re looking at a real gap here—over a week with no real recommendation for a paddle. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so at least that’s not adding insult to injury.

Now, there’s a light at the end of the tunnel, but it’s a distant one. On Tuesday the 21st, things change. In the afternoon, the wind goes completely glassy. Calm. Zero. That’s a major positive. We’ve got a 8ft NW swell, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 770. The wind state says "glassy"—that’s what we want to hear. The surf forecast is "expect good surf conditions." That is the standout. For that session, Caspar Creek should actually be decent. Clean face, proper shape for the size.

The next morning, Wednesday the 22nd, could also be worth a look with a light WNW offshore wind at 3 mph and a 7ft NW swell. But that’s got a marginal forecast, so the Tuesday afternoon slot is your best bet.

Then it fades out again. So, if you’re patient, hold out for that Tuesday, July 21. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. The rest of this run is a write-off, but it doesn’t look like it’ll stay poor forever. Forecasts can always change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tue
14
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
NW
7
1.6
NW
7
2.4
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
3
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
3
NW
8
2.4
NW
8
2.1
NW
7
2.5
NW
8
2.4
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
2.5
NW
8
2.3
NW
8
1.9
NW
8
2.1
NW
7
1.7
NW
7
1.6
NW
7
2.1
NW
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
233
221
623
796
719
1081
1028
875
1055
637
440
776
692
661
808
613
424
428
279
240
447
Wind (km/h)
5
NNW
15
NW
25
NW
20
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
20
NNW
25
NNW
20
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
25
NW
10
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
10
NNW
15
NW
20
NW
15
NNW
20
NW
20
NW
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
6:13AM1.07m
6:17PM1.82m
7:51AM1.05m
7:04PM1.94m
9:18AM1.10m
7:55PM2.05m
10:26AM1.19m
8:49PM2.16m
11:20AM1.28m
9:44PM2.23m
12:07PM1.36m
10:38PM2.26m
12:51PM1.44m
Low Tide
00:27AM0.41m
11:20AM0.56m
1:35AM0.17m
12:12PM0.71m
2:36AM-0.07m
1:13PM0.83m
3:31AM-0.28m
2:19PM0.89m
4:23AM-0.45m
3:23PM0.89m
5:13AM-0.55m
4:24PM0.86m
6:00AM-0.59m
5:22PM0.80m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:58
5:58
5:58
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:44
8:44
8:44
8:43
8:43
8:42
8:42
8:40
 mm
Temp °C
10
11
12
11
12
12
11
13
14
13
13
14
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
13
Feels °C
6
8
9
8
8
8
7
9
10
10
9
10
9
9
9
9
10
9
10
9
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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