
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 26 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,457 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 18s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming up for Caspar Creek. I gotta be straight with you – this stretch ain’t looking pretty for paddle surfing. The whole 16-day window is a tough read, and there’s really no good surf on offer here.
We’re dealing with a persistent cross-onshore wind pattern that just won’t quit. For the first week, from Saturday the 25th of July all the way through to Saturday the 1st of August, it’s poor surf conditions day after day. The waves are there, with swell heights climbing from 3 ft up to a solid 10 ft, and the combined wave energy gets into some serious numbers – hitting 1421 (strong energy) on the 1st of August afternoon. But the wind is the killer. It’s a constant cross-onshore breeze of 9 to 19 mph, chopping everything up. It looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The second week doesn’t offer much relief. Starting Sunday the 2nd of August, we finally see a drop in the wind, with a light breeze and even an onshore wind note on Thursday the 6th of August. The swell gets big, with 10 ft to 12 ft waves, and the energy is strong (up to 2134 on the 5th of August morning). But the conditions are still described as marginal or poor. The water temperature is about 58°, which is pretty average for the time of year, but that won’t make up for the messy waves.
The only sliver of hope comes on Thursday the 6th of August morning. We’ve got a 10 ft swell from the NW with a period of 8 seconds, and for the first time we see an "on" wind direction, which is effectively offshore. The wind is only 3 mph – practically glassy. The combined energy is a solid 1091 (moderate to strong). Even though the forecast says “marginal,” that’s the best window we get. The water is still cold at 58°, about average for this time of year. This is the one day where a dedicated surfer might find a clean, powerful wave if they’re willing to gamble on the tide. Crowds are “often” here, so you might have some company. After that, it’s back to the same old cross-onshore chop for the rest of the run.
So, to sum it up: there’s a 16-day gap with no good, consistent surf. Thursday the 6th of August morning is the only standout, and it’s a long-range call, so keep your expectations in check. It’s a tough outlook, but forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NW on Tue afternoon, light winds from the N by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | NW 8 | WNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 6 | NW 10 | NW 6 | SW 16 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
890 | 158 | 114 | 36 | 101 | 73 | 160 | 376 | 160 | 494 | 345 | 408 | 756 | 692 | 525 | 694 | 545 | 424 | 477 | 634 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:54PM1.82m | 11:35AM1.25m | 9:38PM1.86m | 12:06PM1.30m | 10:18PM1.90m | 12:34PM1.34m | 10:57PM1.92m | 1:00PM1.38m | 11:34PM1.91m | 1:27PM1.43m | 00:11AM1.87m | 1:54PM1.48m | 00:51AM1.78m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:39PM1.02m | 4:30AM-0.07m | 3:29PM1.01m | 5:07AM-0.12m | 4:13PM0.97m | 5:40AM-0.15m | 4:54PM0.93m | 6:12AM-0.17m | 5:34PM0.88m | 6:42AM-0.15m | 6:15PM0.83m | 7:11AM-0.10m | 6:59PM0.77m | |||||||
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
8:34 | — | — | 8:32 | — | — | 8:31 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:30 | — | — | 8:29 | — | — | 8:28 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 |
890 | 872 | 1004 | 855 | 719 | 845 | 1153 | 584 | 932 | 1081 | 900 | 545 | 627 | 519 | 372 | 469 | 186 | 239 | 276 | 308 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | NW 8 | SSW 21 | NW 10 | SSW 11 | SW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 17 | S 16 | SSE 14 | S 15 | SSE 15 | SSW 14 | SW 14 |
129 | 57 | 56 | 36 | 260 | 73 | 40 | 376 | 57 | 51 | 119 | 227 | 221 | 210 | 183 | 40 | 157 | 231 | 236 | 102 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 12 | S 13 | SSW 11 | — | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | — | S 19 | SW 11 | SSW 11 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | — | — | SSW 13 |
73 | 39 | 18 | 47 | 84 | 25 | — | 36 | 8 | — | 7 | 33 | 11 | 44 | 42 | 30 | 96 | — | — | 35 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
— | 158 | 114 | 28 | 101 | 59 | 160 | 263 | 160 | 494 | 345 | 408 | 756 | 692 | 525 | 694 | 545 | 424 | 477 | 634 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 310 | 7 | 209 | 270 | 6 | 209 | 270 | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 209 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










