Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, NW swell with 698 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.8m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 16s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Looking at the 16-day window for Caspar Creek, and I gotta be straight with you—it's a tough stretch. The consistent onshore flow is the main culprit here, keeping things messy almost the whole way through. There's no real standout session, but let's not pretend there's nothing to look at; we just have to be realistic about conditions.
The water temp here is about average for the time of year, nothing wild.
We start off on Wednesday the 15th with a clean, clear sky, but that NW wind is up, blowing 12 mph cross-on. The swell is a solid 6 ft from the NW with a short, weak period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is moderate at 598. It's a poor one, choppy and tough. It gets worse in the afternoon with the swell bumping up to 7 ft, but still cross-onshore and messy.
Thursday the 16th is more of the same, with a stronger 16 mph cross-on wind. The morning has a long-period 19-second swell from the WNW, but only 2 ft, so it's all energy and no push, with a combined energy of 740. The afternoon jumps to 8 ft from the NW, but again, it's a short period and choppy.
Friday the 17th through the weekend sees the wind ease a little, but it's still cross-on. The swell drops to around 3 ft, and while the period stays long (around 16-17 seconds), the combined energy is still strong (between 885 and 1093). The wave comment calls it "marginal" or "poor" the whole time.
The best chance for a surf, and I'm using that word loosely, falls on Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th. The wind is lighter, only 6 mph, and the swell is a solid 6 ft from the NW. But it's still a short period of 8 seconds, and the wind is cross-on, so it's just light and bumpy, not clean. The combined energy drops to around 346-446, which is moderate. It's a "marginal" call at best. For a protected spot like Caspar Creek, a proper NW swell needs offshore wind, and we're just not getting it.
Honestly, for the whole 16 days, there's not a single session I'd race to the water for. The consistent cross-on wind kills the quality. If you're desperate, the lightest wind days around the 24th to the 26th are your only hope, but keep your expectations low. It's a quiet run for Caspar Creek.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Thu afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Sat morning, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tue 21 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 19 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | SW 18 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 9 | NW 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 263 | 317 | 493 | 410 | 286 | 573 | 521 | 433 | 543 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 405 | 180 | 362 | 362 | 168 | 156 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | 5:41AM1.13m | 5:44PM1.74m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | 9:31AM0.15m | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | 11:48PM0.42m | 10:53AM0.61m | ||||||||
 | | |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — |
 | 8:40 | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SW 18 | W 13 | WNW 20 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 194 | 192 | 87 | 221 | 286 | 283 | 356 | 433 | 345 | 318 | 221 | 264 | 270 | 244 | 244 | 196 | 180 | 156 | 160 | 168 | 206 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | W 13 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | S 10 |
| kJ | 95 | 89 | 158 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 141 | 181 | 543 | 499 | 487 | 392 | 348 | 339 | 439 | 405 | 258 | 362 | 362 | 171 | 49 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 17 | WNW 12 | WNW 12 | W 12 | SSW 12 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | WNW 13 |
| kJ | 59 | 57 | 97 | 48 | 30 | 26 | 26 | 104 | 74 | 130 | 362 | 379 | 129 | 302 | 242 | 183 | 180 | 168 | 139 | 85 | 65 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 8 |
| kJ | 263 | 317 | 493 | 410 | 265 | 573 | 521 | 375 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 156 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 209 | 310 | 7 | 311 | 310 | 7 | 311 | 311 | 0 | 209 | 75 | 0 | 167 | 75 | 0 | 202 | 136 | 7 | 190 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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