Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one for Caspar Creek. The pattern is dominated by a persistent cross-onshore wind from the northwest, which is just about the worst direction for this break. It’s a sheltered spot, so when that wind is up, it turns the place into a messy, choppy, lumpy mess. The water is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, coming in at 54°, which is about 2° cooler than the average.

Looking at the first proper recommendation, Sunday morning the 19th, we’ve got a 3 ft swell from the WNW with a long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 925. The wind is a light breeze but it’s onshore, and the call is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.”
It’s not a total write-off, but it’s far from firing. The long period groundswell will be trying to wrap in, but that onshore breeze will kill the surface.

Monday morning the 20th sees a bump up to 4 ft, but the period drops to a short 8 seconds, and the wind is still cross-onshore. The energy is weak at 239. It’s a no-go.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a wasteland. Tuesday through Thursday are all poor, with small, short-period swell and that same nasty cross-onshore breeze. The swell bumps up a bit around the 25th, with Saturday morning seeing 5 ft, and Sunday the 26th hitting 6 ft, but the wind is a moderate breeze, making it choppy. The crowd situation is “often” here, so you won’t be alone in the struggle.

For the week starting Monday 27th July, the swell gets bigger. Monday afternoon sees 8 ft, but it’s a short period of 7 seconds and a fresh cross-onshore breeze. The energy is strong at 777. This is expert-only territory, and honestly, with that wind, it’s probably more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle. The same goes for Wednesday the 29th, with a 10 ft swell and very strong energy of 1247, but it’s a windy, lumpy mess.

The best of a bad bunch, if you can call it that, might be the morning of Sunday the 20th or maybe the early morning of Friday the 31st of July, when the swell drops to 4 ft. But even then, the wind is still cross-onshore. The final few days into August show a drop in swell size back down to 2 ft to 4 ft, but the wind just won’t let up.

Honestly, the standout here is nothing. There is no true standout. The persistent cross-onshore wind and the fact the swell direction rarely matches the optimum NW direction means this is a blank run. For this area, that’s not unusual. It tends not to stay poor for long, but for this forecast, it’s a waiting game. Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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