Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Caspar Creek over the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, I got to be straight with you—this forecast is a tough one to swallow. We’re looking at a real dry spell. For the first ten days or so, it’s a pretty grim run. The surf is gonna be on offer, but it’s all wrapped up in poor conditions. The wind is locked in from the northwest, blowing cross-on shore, and it’s keeping everything choppy and messy. The water temp is sitting at 57°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Starting Thursday the 23rd through to the end of July, we’ve got small swell pushing in, but it’s all weak energy (94), and the cross-on breeze just tears it apart. The swell height is barely a ripple, and the period is short—between 5 and 10 seconds—so it’s just gonna be lumpy and uninviting. Not a wave worth paddling for.

Into the beginning of August, the swell does start to build. By Sunday the 2nd, we’re seeing 10 ft from the northwest with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy is getting strong (1214). That’s a lot of water moving around, but the wind is still ruining it. It’s a real shame because there’s power there, but it’s too messy for a good time. Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, the swell sticks around between 10 ft and 12 ft, and the wind finally eases off a little. We get a bit of an onshore breeze, but it’s light, so the surf is at least rideable. A couple of those sessions are rated as “marginal” rather than poor, which is the best we’re gonna get. That 12 ft swell on Monday afternoon is big and powerful (1815), but it’s a cross-on shore wind, so it’s going to be a bumpy, lumpy mess. Honestly, for a wave that size, you’d need to be an expert—this is not a beginner’s day.

The real standout, the only time I’d get excited, is the morning of Monday the 3rd of August. We’ve got a 10 ft northwest swell, and the wind is swinging around to the west-southwest, blowing straight onshore at only 3 mph. That’s essentially glassy. The energy is massive (1037), and while the period is a modest 8 seconds, the clean surface will make it look a lot better than the rest of the week. This is a big-wave day for experts only. If you’ve got the skills and a big board, that morning could be a real gem.

After that, the swell drops off again from the 5th onward, and the wind picks back up, so we’re back to the same old story. The last few days of the forecast show a new swell from the west-northwest with a longer period of 10 seconds, but the wind is still cross-on, and the energy is moderate (543). It’s promising, but it’s a long way off, so don’t hold your breath.

So, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the marginal days around the 3rd and 4th of August are your best bet. The outright winner is Monday morning, the 3rd—big swell, glassy wind, but only for the brave. Everywhere else, it’s a waiting game. The setup here is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing most days.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecast. Things can change.

Rusty.

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