Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for this stretch of coast. We’ve got a long forecast window ahead, but I’ve gotta be honest with you—it’s a rough one. The entire 16-day run is a battle against persistent cross-onshore winds that just won’t let up, churning up the surface and making anything worthwhile a real mission. The water is running at about 59°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a small comfort, but it doesn’t help the waves.

The first real surf we see is at Caspar Creek, and it kicks off on Tuesday, July 28th. Right from the start, it’s a struggle. Swell is coming in from the NW at 5 ft, but with a short period of 6 seconds, there’s not much push behind it, and the combined energy is weak (171). The 12 mph NW wind is cross-on, making it choppy and messy. The water temp is 59°, a touch warmer than normal. The afternoon bumps up to 8 ft swell, but the wind stays strong at 16 mph, and it’s still poor.

Wednesday, July 29th, is more of the same. Morning sees 7 ft NW swell, still cross-on and choppy. The afternoon pushes to 8 ft with a period of 8 seconds, and the energy jumps to moderate (640), but it’s all ruined by that 16 mph cross-on wind. Thursday, July 30th, follows the same pattern—7 ft in the morning, 8 ft in the afternoon, all cross-on and choppy. Friday, July 31st, offers a slight reprieve with lighter wind at 9 mph in the morning, but the swell is still 6 ft and cross-on, so it’s only slightly less messy.

The swell gets bigger over the weekend, but it’s not good news. Saturday, August 1st, has 8 ft in the morning, but the wind is a fresh 19 mph, and the energy is strong (788). The afternoon is a beast—12 ft with a very strong energy (1806)—but the wind is 22 mph and cross-on, making it a lumpy, blown-out mess. This is strictly for the hardcore, and even then, it’s not fun. Sunday, August 2nd, has 10 ft in the morning and 13 ft in the afternoon, with very strong energy (1588 and 2438), but again, it’s all cross-on and choppy. For a beach break setup, this is looking more like a kite-surfing situation than a paddle session.

The first signs of any real improvement come on Monday, August 3rd. The swell is still 10 ft, but the wind finally drops to 6 mph, and the period stretches to 10 seconds. The energy is very strong (3293), but the conditions are still labeled marginal. The cross-on wind is still there, but it’s light. It’s the best looking morning in the whole forecast, but it’s still a gamble. The afternoon drops back to 10 ft and 9 seconds, with 9 mph cross-on, so it’s choppy again.

Monday, August 4th, is interesting. The morning has a 7 ft NW swell, and the wind is a slight 3 mph from the WNW, and it’s actually onshore, not cross-on. The period is 9 seconds, and the energy is moderate (815). The conditions are still listed as marginal, but that light, onshore wind might offer a window of clean-ish surf. The afternoon is back to cross-on, though.

From there, it’s back to the same old story. The entire second week, from around August 5th through to August 12th, is a mix of moderate to strong swell, all with cross-on winds from the NW or NNW. The swell stays solid, often over 7 ft and sometimes hitting 12 ft, but the wind never truly turns offshore. The period gets up to 10 seconds, giving it some energy, but the surface is always choppy or lumpy. The one standout in this whole outlook is the morning of Monday, August 3rd, with the biggest swell, longest period, and lightest wind of the entire run. It’s the only real window where you might find something halfway decent, but it’s still a marginal call. The rest of the time, it’s a battle against the wind.

Rusty.

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