Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s going on at Caspar Creek. It’s a bit of a tough one, to be honest. The whole 16-day window is looking pretty grim, so I’m going to be straight with you.

Right off the bat, the first week is a write-off. From Tuesday, the 14th of July, right through to Friday, the 18th, it’s all poor surf conditions. The wind is a stubborn cross-onshore, blowing from the NW at 9 to 16 mph, chewing up the surface. The swell is there, but it’s a messy, short-period wind swell (7 seconds) that’s just not offering anything rideable. Energy levels are all over the place, from a weak 258 to a big 1197, but it doesn’t matter because the wind is ruining it. This is the kind of setup that looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Then we hit the weekend of the 18th and 19th, and it gets marginally better, but still not good. The swell drops to about 3 ft, and the period gets long – 16 seconds – which is that classic groundswell. But the wind is still a light cross-onshore, and the comment is “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions.” It’s just not enough to get excited about. The energy is moderate (1106 to 819), but it’s not coming together.

The pattern continues through the week of the 21st. The swell dips to 2 ft with almost no energy (63) on the 22nd, and then slowly builds back up. The 23rd and 24th show a little pulse of NW swell, but it’s short period (6-8 seconds) and the cross-onshore wind is still a problem. By the 24th afternoon, the swell period jumps to a massive 24 seconds, which is a very long period, but the swell height is only 2 ft, so it’s not going to do much.

The final week, from the 26th of July, the swell does start to build again. You’ll see chest-to-head-high sets (5 ft to 7 ft) from the NW, but it’s that same short period (7-8 seconds) and the wind is still cross-onshore. The energy is moderate (around 500-660), but it’s just not clean. The forecast closes out with a little more promise on the 28th, with a 6 ft NW swell and light winds, but it’s still marked as “marginal.” The 29th is the same story.

To be honest, there is no standout session in this entire 16-day window. The only near miss is the morning of Saturday the 18th, where the wind is directly onshore and the period is a solid 16 seconds, but the swell is only 3 ft and the tide is questionable. If you were desperate, you might paddle out, but I wouldn’t expect much.

The water temp is sitting at 55°F, which is only a touch below average for this time of year, so it’s nothing unusual. Caspar Creek is a sheltered beginner spot, and it’s consistent, but when the wind is cross-on like this, it just doesn’t work. It’s a tough stretch, but forecasts can change, so don’t lose hope.

Rusty.

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