Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 22 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 23 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 458 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 16s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch ahead. We’ve only got one spot on the radar, Caspar Creek, and it’s a sheltered beginner-friendly zone. But for the next week and a half, the conditions just aren't cooperating.
We start off on Saturday the 22nd with tiny, weak swell around 2ft from the WNW, but the wind is a cross-onshore mess, and it’s just not worth paddling out. That sets the tone for a long, frustrating run. We’ve got a gap of several days with no real surf on offer. The swell does bump up through Sunday and Monday, with some longer period energy pushing in from the SW, but the wind stays cross-onshore, and the wave comment keeps calling it poor. The combined energy builds to moderate levels (508 on Sunday morning, 530 in the afternoon), but it’s all chopped up.
Midweek, from the 27th into early September, we see some bigger NW swell building – up to 6ft, even 7ft on the 29th – but again, the wind is relentless from the NW, cross-onshore and gusty. It’s clean in name only; the wave quality is poor. The swell period is short, around 6 to 8 seconds, so it’s all windswell and lumpy.
Now, there’s a flicker of hope as we push into September. On the 2nd and 3rd, the swell gets solid – 8ft to 10ft from the NW – and the wind eases to a light breeze. The combined energy jumps into strong territory (991 to 1330), and the wave comment changes to “marginal surf forecast.” It’s not a total washout, but it’s only for experts. At 10ft with a short 8-second period, this is big, raw, and unruly. The light cross-onshore wind might keep it from being a total mess, but it’s still not clean.
The best on offer, if you’re an experienced surfer, is around Thursday the 5th into Saturday the 6th. Swell drops back a bit to 6ft to 8ft, still from the NW, but the wind goes light and variable, almost onshore. The period stretches to 10 seconds, giving it some real push. The combined energy is moderate to strong (667 to 1453). It’s still not perfect – the wave comment says “marginal” – but for this run, that’s the standout. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual there.
Honestly, for the first ten days, the wind is the enemy. If you’re a kite surfer, the combination of strong NW wind and solid swell might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, it’s a long wait. Caspar Creek is a consistent break, but with the wind and swell direction clashing, it’s just not happening. Keep an eye on that first week of September; the forecast could change, and it’s the only window that looks remotely promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat morning, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 17 | NW 7 | SW 19 | NW 8 | NW 8 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
80 | 77 | 77 | 240 | 277 | 413 | 326 | 255 | 192 | 235 | 326 | 214 | 161 | 203 | 201 | 194 | 152 | 251 | 220 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:47AM1.22m | 7:38PM1.69m | 10:24AM1.27m | 8:32PM1.75m | 10:53AM1.32m | 9:19PM1.81m | 11:19AM1.37m | 10:02PM1.85m | 11:43AM1.43m | 10:42PM1.87m | 12:07PM1.50m | 11:21PM1.86m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:26AM0.18m | 1:26PM1.07m | 3:16AM0.11m | 2:29PM1.03m | 3:57AM0.05m | 3:18PM0.96m | 4:33AM-0.00m | 4:00PM0.87m | 5:05AM-0.03m | 4:40PM0.78m | 5:34AM-0.02m | 5:20PM0.68m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
8:01 | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:54 | — | — | 7:53 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SSW 12 | SW 19 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 7 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | S 16 | S 15 | S 13 |
80 | 77 | 54 | 59 | 231 | 413 | 326 | 221 | 188 | 102 | 326 | 214 | 161 | 203 | 201 | 181 | 520 | 538 | 350 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | S 16 | SW 18 | S 14 | SW 17 | NW 7 | S 13 | S 13 | WNW 8 | WNW 8 | S 18 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 |
39 | 99 | 67 | 82 | 29 | 117 | 122 | 255 | 153 | 235 | 44 | 126 | 123 | 33 | 44 | 162 | 104 | 103 | 164 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | NNW 8 | SW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SW 18 | S 14 | SW 18 | S 14 | S 13 | W 16 | WNW 8 | W 13 | W 12 | W 12 | W 11 | W 12 | W 10 |
99 | 22 | 77 | 40 | 77 | 83 | 199 | 153 | 192 | 144 | 126 | 75 | 24 | 85 | 73 | 71 | 39 | 68 | 52 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NW 3 | NW 5 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 6 | NW 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
— | 3 | 71 | 240 | 277 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 26 | 21 | 44 | 96 | 194 | 152 | 251 | 220 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 190 | 311 | 6 | 118 | 23 | 0 | 92 | 167 | 0 | 190 | 7 | 6 | 136 | 75 | 7 | 136 | 310 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











