Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s on the table.

Honestly, it’s a pretty grim run ahead. The whole 16-day window at Caspar Creek is looking like one long stretch of poor quality surf. The swell sticks mostly in that cross-onshore NW wind pattern, and that makes for messy, choppy conditions day after day. You’ll see some building swell size, especially into the first weekend, but it comes with that stiff onshore wind, so the surface will be lumpy and blown out. This is a sheltered spot that needs clean wind to really work, and it just doesn’t get it.

The first real standout, and I mean the only flicker of hope, shows up a little later. On Thursday, September 3rd the morning session has that swell turning more cross-shore with a light breeze. The swell is 6 ft from the NW with a moderate period of 11 seconds, and the combined energy is ticking up to 671, which is solid for this break. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises in that 57-61°F range. It’s not perfect, but it’s the most surfable moment in the whole outlook. The crowds here are often a concern, so you might have company. After that morning, the winds go back to cross-onshore and the quality drops again.

For the rest of the run, you are looking at a lot of days where the swell gets up over 5 ft and even 8 ft by the 29th and 30th, but that NW wind just won't let up. That 7 ft on Saturday, September 12th might have some power, with combined energy hitting 951, but it’s blown out by a moderate breeze. This spot is a beach-and-reef setup, and with that much strong cross-onshore wind and messy surf, this might be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

The next few days after the 3rd settle down in size but the wind stays problematic. There is a glassy moment on Monday, September 7th, but the swell is only 2 ft with weak energy at 62 - it just won't give you much push. The long period swells that pop up on the 2nd and 8th are from the SW, but the period is 16-18 seconds, and at this beach break, that kind of groundswell tends to close out quickly which isn’t ideal for the setup.

So, bottom line: the only day worth paddling out is the morning of Thursday, September 3rd. Everything else gets a pass. It’s a long, quiet stretch for Caspar Creek, but it tends not to stay this poor forever. Forecasts can shift.

- Rusty

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