
Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 4 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, NW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 9s period, NW swell with 1,842 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 4 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 3.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 4th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s happening at Caspar Creek. Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this isn't looking like a classic stretch of days. The water’s sitting at 54°, which is a solid 4° colder than what’s normal for this time of year, so you’ll be wanting a good thick wetsuit.
We kick things off on Tuesday morning, the 4th of August, but honestly, it’s a rough start. There’s a NW swell coming in at 6ft with a 9-second period, but the cross-on wind from the SSW at 6 mph is making a mess of it. The wave energy is sitting at (652), but the quality is poor. That same cross-on breeze sticks around through Wednesday and Thursday, with the swell dropping right down. Thursday the 6th sees a long-period 13-second groundswell from the SW, but it’s tiny at 2ft, and the wave energy is weak (179). This isn’t the setup for a good paddle – with that wind and small, weak swell, it’s honestly looking more interesting for the kite crew than surfers.
There’s a bit of a pulse building into the weekend. By Saturday the 8th, the swell from the NW bumps up to 8ft in the afternoon, but it’s still a short 7-8 second period, and the cross-on wind is picking up to 9 mph. The wave energy gets moderate to strong (660), but the quality is still poor. Sunday the 9th gets bigger – 10ft from the NW by the afternoon, with energy roaring up to (1461) – but the wind is now a moderate breeze at 12 mph, cross-on, and choppy. That’s expert territory at 10ft, and only if you can handle the mess. This pattern of strong NW swell and cross-on wind, making it choppy, continues right through the middle of the month. The wind stays from the NW almost constantly, so it never really cleans up.
We do get a little flicker of hope on Thursday morning the 13th of August. The wind swings to a light offshore from the WNW at 6 mph, with a NW swell of 7ft and a 9-second period. The energy is moderate (623). It’s only a morning window and it’s flagged as marginal, but if you’re an experienced local who knows the bank, that offshore breeze is a rare treat in this forecast and could offer a few clean runners before the wind swings back onshore.
After that, the swell holds around the 6ft to 7ft range through the following week, but the cross-on wind returns and it just stays choppy and poor. By Tuesday the 18th, it fades right out to 3ft and under, with wave energy dropping below 250. The last few days of the period are a slow fade into nothing special.
If I had to pick one standout, it’s that Thursday morning, the 13th of August. It’s not perfect, but that offshore wind is the best we’re going to see. For the rest of it? This is a long stretch of poor quality surf. It tends not to stay this bad forever around here, but this forecast is a tough one to get excited about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | SW 13 | SW 13 | NW 8 | SW 13 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
567 | 427 | 270 | 304 | 224 | 94 | 88 | 84 | 69 | 79 | 147 | 277 | 262 | 629 | 939 | 965 | 1443 | 1169 | 1010 | 1550 | 1351 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 3:57PM1.76m | 4:43AM1.17m | 4:40PM1.83m | 6:20AM1.09m | 5:32PM1.90m | 8:03AM1.10m | 6:33PM1.97m | 9:21AM1.18m | 7:37PM2.05m | 10:17AM1.28m | 8:40PM2.13m | 11:01AM1.38m | 9:39PM2.18m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:13AM0.46m | 10:46PM0.39m | 9:51AM0.64m | 11:59PM0.25m | 10:38AM0.80m | 1:12AM0.09m | 11:43AM0.92m | 2:18AM-0.09m | 1:01PM0.98m | 3:17AM-0.23m | 2:18PM0.95m | 4:09AM-0.34m | 3:24PM0.87m | 4:56AM-0.39m | |||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:20 | — | — | 8:17 | — | — | 8:16 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 12 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 8 | WNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NW 8 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
567 | 427 | 270 | 304 | 224 | 94 | 51 | 52 | 69 | 76 | 147 | 277 | 240 | 240 | 226 | 263 | 191 | 167 | 165 | 113 | 101 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 15 | SW 14 | SW 14 | NNW 8 | WNW 8 | WNW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 19 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 20 | SW 20 | SW 20 |
85 | 78 | 56 | 73 | 99 | 82 | 40 | 52 | 113 | 126 | 203 | 111 | 37 | 35 | 56 | 48 | 14 | 24 | 65 | 98 | 134 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | S 3 | SW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 18 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SW 16 | NW 12 | W 13 | SW 23 | SW 23 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 |
37 | 36 | 39 | 24 | 2 | 93 | 88 | 84 | 81 | 79 | 78 | 130 | 35 | 31 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 72 | 12 | 12 | 25 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 |
— | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 262 | 629 | 939 | 965 | 1443 | 1169 | 1010 | 1550 | 1351 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 43 | 16 | 0 | 61 | 43 | 0 | 61 | 167 | 6 | 270 | 75 | 7 | 167 | 655 | 7 | 136 | 311 | 7 | 167 | 311 | 7 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











