Caspar Creek Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Gather 'round, crew. Rusty here, and we’re looking at a pretty bleak stretch ahead for Caspar Creek. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for decent paddle surfing, I’m afraid. We’ve got a long, grinding run of poor surf conditions right from the get-go, and it doesn't let up until the very end, and even then it's just "marginal" at best. It’s a tough one.

We kick off on Wednesday the 22nd of July with tiny, weak swell, only 1 ft from the WNW. The wind is a messy cross-shore, and the water temp is sitting at 56°, which is pretty much average for the time of year. No joy there. This sets the tone for the whole first week – we see the swell slowly build, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-onshore, kicking up chop. The energy stays weak to moderate for days, with readings like (104) and (138), but it’s all messy.

By Friday the 24th, the swell starts to push a bit, hitting 3 ft from the SW with a 24-second period by the afternoon. That’s a long-period groundswell, (938) energy reading, which would be exciting elsewhere, but here, with the wind on it, it’s just a lumpy mess. The swell keeps building through the weekend and into the next week. By Monday the 27th, we’re seeing consistent 5 ft to 7 ft NW swell, and the wave energy jumps into the strong range (449). But it’s all cross-onshore and choppy. The swell gets up to 8 ft on the 29th, and even hits 10 ft on the 1st of August (1450 energy), which is seriously powerful. But with the wind howling from the NW at 30 km/h, it’s more of a kite-surfing scene than a clean paddle session.

The pattern is relentless: swell direction stays NW, period is short (6-9 seconds) so it’s choppy and gutless, and the wind is always cross-onshore. Even when it dips a little on the 3rd of August with a 6 ft NW swell and a WSW onshore wind, the forecast only calls it "marginal." The rest of the week up to the 6th of August is more of the same – poor conditions with moderate chop.

So, I’ve got to call it straight: there are zero standout sessions here. The closest we get to a window is on the 3rd of August, but it’s still a "marginal" call with onshore wind. The combination of constant cross-onshore wind, short-period chop, and that NW swell direction that doesn’t match the break’s optimum NW means this is a blank run. It's a tough stretch for the area. The swell is there in size, but the quality just isn’t. Forecasts can change, but for now, save your wax.

- Rusty

Read more