Surf Forecasts:
Caspar Creek surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period, WNW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 17s period, WNW swell with 543 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 16s period with WNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Caspar Creek this week:
The surf forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 14s. Another secondary swell of 2.1m and 7s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Caspar Creek in the next 16 days are 1.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 13s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (PDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Caspar Creek over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for Caspar Creek over the next couple of weeks. Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough run. This spot is a sheltered little beginner-friendly nook that gets its best juice from a NW direction, and for the most part, the conditions just aren’t cooperating. The water temp feels about average for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.
The opening week looks pretty grim. From Tuesday the 14th through to Sunday the 20th, we’ve got a solid onshore flow from the northwest cranking at 9 to 12 mph, and that’s keeping everything choppy and messy. You’ll see waves in the 4 ft to 7 ft range, but with that cross-onshore wind, the quality is totally blown out. The combined energy of all the swells gets into the moderate and even strong bracket – we see readings like 238, 393, and even 878 on Thursday the 16th – but with the wind ruining the surface, it doesn’t matter. There’s no surf worth paddling for here.
Now, there is a bit of a light at the end of the tunnel, though it’s a week and a half away. On Saturday morning, July 25th, we get a rare moment of glass. The wind switches to a light 3 mph westerly and goes glassy. The swell drops to 2 ft from the NW at 9 seconds, with combined energy of 153. It’s not big, but glassy conditions at Caspar Creek are a treat. The waves will be small and clean – perfect for the beginners this break is made for. That’s your one true standout in the whole 16 days: the morning of Saturday the 25th. The rest of that day and the following Sunday are back to poor conditions with cross-on wind.
Heading into the final few days of July and the start of the new week, it’s more of the same story – light to moderate cross-onshore NW breezes, small waves mostly under 4 ft, and poor surf conditions.
So, to wrap it up: this is a lean period. If you’re jonesing for a wave, your best and really only shot is that glassy Saturday morning July 25th. The rest is a write-off. Don’t force it.
Stay stoked,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 13°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Mon 20 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | WNW 19 | NW 7 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | NW 8 | NW 9 | SW 17 | SW 17 | NW 8 | SW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 295 | 169 | 177 | 263 | 208 | 385 | 308 | 286 | 410 | 448 | 433 | 543 | 499 | 487 | 475 | 468 | 447 | 439 | 405 | 232 | 362 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:38PM2.26m | 12:51PM1.44m | 11:31PM2.24m | 1:33PM1.51m | 00:23AM2.14m | 2:14PM1.57m | 1:16AM1.98m | 2:55PM1.63m | 2:10AM1.76m | 3:37PM1.68m | 3:09AM1.53m | 4:18PM1.72m | 4:17AM1.30m | 5:00PM1.73m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:00AM-0.59m | 5:22PM0.80m | 6:45AM-0.55m | 6:20PM0.75m | 7:29AM-0.45m | 7:18PM0.69m | 8:11AM-0.29m | 8:20PM0.64m | 8:51AM-0.08m | 9:25PM0.58m | 9:31AM0.15m | 10:35PM0.51m | 10:11AM0.39m | ||||||||
 | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:58 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — |
 | 8:42 | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:40 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:39 | — | — | 8:38 | — | — | 8:37 | — | — | 8:37 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | W 14 | SW 18 | WNW 10 | W 13 | WNW 10 | WNW 19 | WNW 19 | WNW 18 | WNW 17 | WNW 17 | WNW 16 | NW 7 | NW 8 | NW 8 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NW 8 |
| kJ | 181 | 69 | 104 | 194 | 65 | 87 | 61 | 286 | 283 | 448 | 433 | 543 | 499 | 285 | 364 | 468 | 447 | 412 | 336 | 232 | 227 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | WNW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | WNW 20 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SW 19 | SW 14 | SW 14 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 16 | WNW 15 | SW 17 | SW 17 | S 13 | SW 16 |
| kJ | 133 | 69 | 59 | 95 | 192 | 158 | 161 | 159 | 159 | 139 | 181 | 74 | 130 | 487 | 475 | 348 | 270 | 439 | 405 | 219 | 362 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 15 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | WNW 13 | W 13 | SW 17 | WNW 20 | WNW 12 | W 12 | S 12 | SW 15 | SW 19 | NW 12 | SW 17 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | WNW 15 | WNW 14 | SW 16 | S 12 |
| kJ | 71 | 49 | 112 | 59 | 89 | 97 | 221 | 50 | 26 | 11 | 104 | 126 | 37 | 362 | 379 | 129 | 248 | 242 | 183 | 258 | 153 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 295 | 169 | 177 | 263 | 208 | 385 | 308 | 203 | 410 | 393 | 386 | 516 | 381 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 167 | 32 | 7 | 190 | 310 | 7 | 270 | 311 | 7 | 190 | 311 | 6 | 209 | 27 | 0 | 92 | 75 | 0 | 209 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Mendocino County | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Caspar Creek Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Caspar Creek provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Caspar Creek can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Caspar Creek surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Caspar Creek) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Caspar Creek may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Caspar Creek is 58 km (36 miles) from Ukiah. If you plan a vacation in Mendocino County, look for hotels and other accommodation in Ukiah. Ukiah has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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