Watergate Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the next couple of weeks for Watergate Bay.

To be straight with you, it's a bit of a slow burn. We've got a rough stretch of onshore slop and chop hanging around for a good long while. From Tuesday the 8th through to the 17th, it's a real grind. Wind is mostly on it, either from the NNW or NW, keeping things messy and lumpy. There's swell in the water, but it's not doing us any favors with that wind on it. The wave energy is low to moderate, with values mostly in the 100-600 range (627, 342, 554), but the quality just isn't there. You'll be fighting a bumpy, blown-out sea for a week and a half, and honestly, it's not worth the paddle unless you're desperate for a sore back.

There is a little brighter note in the middle of that, on Sunday morning the 13th and into the afternoon. The wind eases slightly and it turns cross-on, and the swell is still around chest-high. It's still only marginal, with energy around 396, and the tide has to be right. You might find a clean-ish wave if you're patient, but it's not the kind of thing you'd set an alarm for.

But hold on, because things finally turn around on Friday the 18th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. The wind swings around to the ESE, blowing offshore, and the morning of the 18th sees that with a solid 5ft of WNW groundswell, with a period of 11 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 525, which is a proper push of water for this beach. That's a clean, lined-up day coming your way. Then in the afternoon, the wind goes dead glassy, the swell holds at 4ft with the same 11-second period, and the energy is at 405. This is your standout window—clean, offshore, and some proper, rideable waves. It's not a giant day, but it will be the best quality we've seen in a long time.

Saturday the 19th is worth a mention too. The ESE offshore wind holds, but the swell has backed off a touch, with a morning wave around 3ft and energy dipping to 179. It'll be clean and fun on a longboard, but it's a step down from the day before. The rest of the following week looks like it fades out again, and by Monday the 21st, the wind is howling from the NW at 31 mph, with a big, long-period groundswell showing on the charts, pushing energy up to 971, but it'll be unsurfable with that much wind on it. That's more of a kiteboarding day than a surfing one.

So, the long and short of it: stay patient, miss the garbage, and be on it for Friday the 18th. That's the one.

Rusty.

Read more