Watergate Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Watergate Bay has in store for us over the coming weeks.

Right, straight off the bat, I've got to be honest with you – this outlook is a tough one. The first real chance of anything surfable doesn't kick in until Thursday the 2nd of July, and even then, it's a bit of a scrappy start. We've got a 7ft swell rolling in from the West with a short period of 8 seconds, but with a strong onshore wind, it's going to be a messy, choppy affair. The combined energy is moderate (566), but the conditions are just poor for a proper surf. The water temperature is sitting at a touch warmer than normal for the time of year at 62°.

Moving into Friday the 3rd, the swell drops off to 4ft from the West, period stretching out a touch to 10 seconds. The wind swings cross-on, and the energy drops to 335. It's still not clean, just marginal at best. Saturday the 4th is more of the same with 3ft to 4ft waves and a persistent cross-on breeze. Sunday the 5th sees the swell drop further to 3ft and 3ft, and it's still onshore, just poor.

The whole first week is essentially a write-off for any decent waves. The best I can say is that by Thursday the 9th, we finally get a shift in the wind. It goes cross-off from the ESE and East, cleaning up the surface nicely. But the problem is, the swell is tiny – only 2ft to 3ft with weak energy (85 to 130). Friday the 10th afternoon has a brief pulse of 5ft, but it's from the North with a pathetic 6-second period, so it's not going to have any push.

After that, it's a long, drawn-out gap of nothing. From Saturday the 11th right through to the end of the outlook on Friday the 17th, the swell barely breaks 1ft and the combined energy values are tiny, 16 to 54. There's a glassy moment on Saturday afternoon the 11th with 1ft on a WNW swell, but you'd be hard-pressed to get a ride. A few days do have clean conditions with cross-off winds, but there's simply no wave energy to work with.

So, what's the standout? There isn't really a true standout. The best of a bad bunch is probably Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th when the wind goes clean, but you'll need a log and a lot of patience for those knee-high wobblers. The rest is a no-go. For a spot that's fairly exposed, it's a frustrating run of tiny, weak swell and bad wind angles. If you're desperate for a paddle, wait for one of those clean days, but don't expect any real waves.

Rusty.

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