Surf Forecasts:
Tolcarne surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 23 Jul, 4AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 6s period, N swell with 125 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tolcarne this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tolcarne in the next 16 days are 1.4m 6s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 4AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM.
| Wave Type | Time (BST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 4AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 6s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tolcarne over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it’s looking flat and grim. The whole first week and a half is a write-off. We’re talking a solid 12 days of practically nothing worth paddling out for. The water temperature at Tolcarne is sitting at 64°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only small mercy.
We’ve got a long stretch of onshore northerlies and weak, choppy conditions. The swell is tiny, with periods bouncing around 5 to 8 seconds, and combined energy barely cracking 100 (34 to 94). It’s just messy, small, and frustrating. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Tuesday the 28th of July where the wind goes glassy, and the swell is 3ft from the west, but the combined energy is only 120 – it’s just surfable, not good. The wind is offshore, but it's a tiny swell with a short period, so it’s not going to offer much.
Then things start to get a bit more interesting, but it’s all the way out on Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell starts to show some real energy, with combined energy hitting 192 on the morning (5ft from the west, 7 seconds) and even 229 on the afternoon (5ft, 8 seconds). That’s moderate wave energy starting to build, but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore from the west, making it lumpy and choppy. It’s a tricky one, and for a beginner, 5ft is getting a bit much.
The best chance in the whole run looks like it lands on the morning of Monday the 27th of July. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the west-northwest, with a 6-second period, and the combined energy is 167 – that’s respectable. The wind is a light cross-onshore from the north at just 6 mph, which is about as good as it’s going to get. It’s not perfect, but it’s the cleanest wave we’ll see all week. After that, it’s back to the chop and the onshores.
So, the honest truth? There’s no standout session here. If you’re desperate, that Monday morning is your best bet, but don’t expect miracles. It’s a lean run.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, fresh winds from the N by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | NNW 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | N 6 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | NNW 6 | WNW 10 | W 10 | N 5 | N 4 | N 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 50 | 61 | 74 | 31 | 18 | 28 | 27 | 59 | 62 | 40 | 33 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 116 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:38PM6.92m | 8:03AM6.52m | 8:23PM6.83m | 8:47AM6.34m | 9:08PM6.57m | 9:31AM6.06m | 9:52PM6.19m | 10:15AM5.70m | 10:37PM5.73m | 11:02AM5.33m | 11:26PM5.27m | 11:54AM4.98m | 00:23AM4.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:07AM0.06m | 2:22PM0.24m | 2:51AM0.21m | 3:05PM0.43m | 3:34AM0.50m | 3:48PM0.75m | 4:17AM0.88m | 4:32PM1.13m | 5:01AM1.29m | 5:19PM1.53m | 5:49AM1.68m | 6:13PM1.88m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:26 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:33 | — | — |
 | — | 9:24 | — | — | 9:23 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:22 | — | — | 9:21 | — | — | 9:20 | — | — | 9:19 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Feels °C | 19 | 18 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 9 | W 9 | N 4 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | W 8 | N 6 | W 7 | W 9 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | WNW 11 | NNW 6 | N 5 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 9 |
| kJ | 14 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 31 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 22 | 40 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 7 | SW 6 | W 8 | SW 13 | SW 5 | SW 11 | SW 11 | SW 12 | W 7 | SW 19 | W 12 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | WNW 10 | WNW 10 | SW 16 | W 16 | W 15 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 7 | 6 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 33 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 14 | SW 15 | SW 6 | SW 6 | SW 11 | S 5 | — | W 21 | W 10 | W 10 | W 9 | W 8 | W 8 | W 18 | W 8 | SW 16 | W 7 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | N 4 | — | NNW 4 | NNW 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | — | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | — | — | N 5 | N 5 | N 4 | N 6 |
| kJ | 5 | 14 | — | 11 | 20 | 50 | 61 | 74 | — | 18 | 28 | 27 | 59 | 62 | — | — | 16 | 37 | 33 | 116 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 238 | 282 | 282 | 1549 | 406 | 402 | 567 | 241 | 394 | 42 | 394 | 387 | 389 | 55 | 2 | 42 | 490 | 530 | 655 | 562 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Cornwall | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United Kingdom | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tolcarne Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tolcarne provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tolcarne can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tolcarne surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tolcarne) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tolcarne may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in North Cornwall? If you are looking for accommodation near Tolcarne, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in North Cornwall, consider staying in Newquay which is 2 km (1 miles) away. Other places in and around North Cornwall where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Padstow which is 17 km (11 miles) away, Truro, Saint Austell and Bodmin.
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