Tolcarne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again, looking at the same run for Tolcarne but in feet.

Honestly, mate, this stretch is a total dud. There’s nothing to get excited about across the whole 16 days. The waves that do pop up are tiny, short-period, and mostly junky. The water is around 63°, which feels a bit warmer than usual for this time of year, if you’re curious about the difference from normal.

We kick off Sunday morning, July 5th. There’s a weak west swell running about 2ft, but the wind is a light cross-onshore WNW breeze, making for poor, rippled conditions. The combined energy is just 127 – really weak. It doesn’t get any better into Monday, with the swell staying under 3ft and the wind hanging onshore. Tuesday July 7th sees the swell drop further to about 2ft, with energy falling to 62.

Toward the end of the first week, on Friday July 10th, the swell bumps up a little to 3ft from the west, but the wind picks up to a fresh 19 mph from the NNW, and with only a 9-second period, it’s going to be a total mess. Energy hits 185, but it’s crap surf.

Saturday July 11th actually brings the biggest swell of the whole outlook – a 7ft pulse from the NNW on Saturday afternoon. That’s well over 5ft, making it too big for beginners, and the period is a short, weak 7 seconds. Plus the wind is onshore and fresh. The combined energy jumps to 568, which is moderate to strong, but with onshore winds and short-period chop, it’s more of a blown-out, churning mess. For experienced surfers, it might hold something if you’re really keen, but don’t hold your breath.

The second week is a slow bleed of tiny, poor-quality waves. The swell stays under 3ft most days, with cross-onshore winds and weak energy readings often under 100. There’s a window on Tuesday morning July 14th where the swell nudges 3ft from the north with a 6-second period and a light cross-onshore NNE breeze – energy is 176 – but again, short period and messy wind kill any real hope. The last day, Monday July 20th, shows a 0.3ft south-west swell with a very long 17-second period, but that’s barely a ripple and the combined energy is just 31.

Bottom line: there’s no quality on offer. The biggest day on July 11th might hold a little something for experts with big boards and low expectations, but overall, the wind is against us and the swell is weak. It’s a flat, frustrating run for Tolcarne. The water’s a touch warm, but that’s about the only positive.

Rusty.

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