Tolcarne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right then, let’s have a look at what’s on offer. The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag for us. We’ve got a long stretch of poor conditions to get through first, with the wind and swell not playing ball at all. It’s a proper waiting game. The good news is that there is a standout window, but you’ve got to be patient for it. The first real opportunity doesn’t show up until Tuesday, 15 September.

For the first week and a bit, from Monday the 7th right through to Sunday the 13th, it’s mostly rubbish. We’ve got a strong wind from the west and northwest, blowing onshore or cross-onshore, making a mess of things. The swell is there, around 1.1m to 2.2m, with a period of 6 to 13 seconds, but the conditions are just too choppy and lumpy to be any fun. The wave energy is moderate to strong, with readings of 1632 down to 78, but it’s all blown out. There’s also rain and some fresh breezes to deal with. Keep your board in the car for now.

Things start to look up briefly on the morning of Tuesday, 15 September. This is our standout. Tolcarne wakes up with a clean, glassy morning and a solid 1.8m swell rolling in from the WNW at a quality 12 seconds. The wind is almost nothing, just a slight breeze from the WSW, so the surface will be perfect. The combined swell energy hits 872, which is moderate and punchy. This is the session to aim for if you’re a beginner looking for a clean wave without the chaos. It won’t be too intimidating, just a nice, manageable size. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing weird going on there. The afternoon wave drops to 1.6m and the wind picks up a little to a light cross-shore, so it’s still okay, but that morning is the clear winner.

After that high point, the conditions get wild again. The 17th and 18th see some serious size come in, with swells hitting 3.5m to 4.0m from the WNW with a solid 11 seconds period. That’s massive energy too, peaking at a huge 4046. But here’s the thing – for a beginner spot like Tolcarne, that’s just too big. It’s expert-only territory, and the wind is messy as well, so it’s not a great call.

The last few days of the forecast then drop back into poor conditions, with strong onshore winds and messy waves from the 19th to the 22nd. There’s a brief moment on the 20th where the swell is 3.0m and the wind is clean, but again, it’s too big for a proper session here.

So, to sum it up: the first week and a half is a write-off. The only real standout is the morning of Tuesday, 15 September at Tolcarne. Get on it if you can. The rest of the window is either messy or too big. Don’t hold your breath for anything else.

Rusty.

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