Tolcarne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it's a pretty flat and quiet run we're looking at for Tolcarne. The first week doesn't have a single session that's worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, the periods are short, and the wind is often onshore or cross-onshore, mucking everything up. The water temp is sitting at about 64°, which is a touch warmer than we usually see this time of year, but that's about the only highlight.

We kick off with a few days of nothing. Wednesday the 22nd through Friday the 24th have ankle-to-knee-high slop with wind from the north, making it a write-off. Saturday the 25th brings a bit of a bump from the west around 4 ft, but it's coupled with a 19 mph cross-onshore wind, so it's just a lumpy mess. The combined swell energy is a weak 78, telling you there's no power in the water.

Sunday the 26th is the biggest swell of the whole period, with the morning seeing 6 ft from the WNW and a combined energy of 346 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is howling at 19 mph from the NW, cross-onshore, and the period is only 8 seconds, so it's going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. Not one for the paddleboard, but a kite surfer might have some fun in those conditions.

The following week, from the 27th of July through to the 2nd of August, is much of the same. Small, weak swells, poor wind directions, and the "poor surf conditions" tag on every single time slot. The 1st of August has a glassy calm, but the swell is a pathetic 1.0 ft, so it's a total flat spell.

Even the second week doesn't offer any redemption. The first glimmer of something cleaner comes on the 4th of August, Tuesday morning, with a 1 ft swell from the WSW and a cross-offshore wind from the south, giving clean conditions. But the swell is just too small to do anything with. The 5th of August sees a slightly better 2 ft groundswell from the west with an 11-second period, which is a nice long period, but the wind is a strong 22 mph cross-offshore, making it clean but likely too blown out to hold shape at this size. The combined energy is a moderate 126.

So, what's the standout? There isn't a true standout in the traditional sense. The best of a bad bunch would be the morning of the 5th of August. It's a promise of a clean face with a touch of groundswell energy, but it's still small and a long way out, so don't bank on it. Between now and then, except for the windy Sunday, you're looking at almost two weeks of tiny, poor surf. It's a classic blank run for this area; sometimes it just goes quiet.

Rusty

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