Tolcarne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, my fellow wave hunters, Rusty here. Let’s cut through the noise. We’ve got a 16-day outlook that’s mostly a waiting game, but a couple of days are worth burning some gas for.

The water is about 65°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need the thickest suit for the first session.

Tuesday, September 1st kicks off with a 3ft west swell, but the wind is a 12 mph cross-shore, making it a bumpy mess. The energy is weak (162), and it’s just poor. Skip it.

Wednesday, September 2nd and Thursday, September 3rd are the same story. The swell hits 5ft – 5ft, but the wind is either a fresh 22 mph cross-off or a lumpy chop. The energy picks up to moderate (369), but the quality is still garbage.

Friday, September 4th sees a 6ft west swell, but the wind is a cross-on, keeping it choppy. The energy is strong (427), but it’s not clean. For a beginner spot, that’s a hard pass.

Now, here’s the first real gem. Saturday, September 5th. The morning is a 4ft west swell, period at 10 seconds, and the wind is dead calm. Glassy. The energy is moderate (306), and the conditions are good. It’s small, but it’ll be clean and fun. The afternoon stays glassy with a 3ft swell. This is your best bet for the first week.

Sunday, September 6th drops off to a 2ft swell, and even with offshore wind, the energy is a pathetic 64. Not enough to stand up.

Monday, September 7th is a big one, but a warning. A 7ft west swell with a very long 13-second period. The energy is massive (1452), but it’s a cross-shore with a chop. For a beach break, that long period means it’ll break straight and fast. Experts only. The afternoon is a 7ft swell with a 12-second period, but the wind turns cross-on. Not for the faint of heart.

Tuesday, September 8th through Thursday, September 10th is a total washout. Strong wind, messy swell. Keep the board in the truck.

Friday, September 11th morning offers a small window. A 5ft swell with offshore wind, giving clean conditions. The energy is moderate (276). It’s surfable, but nothing special.

The week of September 12th through the 15th is mostly small and weak with a lot of cross-shore wind. The energy stays low, and the swell is tiny. Not worth the drive.

Finally, the second standout. Tuesday, September 15th afternoon. A 7ft west swell, 12-second period, and the energy is huge (1342). The wind is a cross-shore, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s a solid swell. Then Wednesday, September 16th morning, you get a 6ft west swell, an 11-second period, and a light offshore breeze. The energy is strong (757), and it’s clean. This is your second-best window. The size is for the experienced crew, but the conditions are much better.

The takeaway: The first week is a dud. Your two best days are Saturday, September 5th for the small, glassy fun, and Wednesday, September 16th morning for the bigger, cleaner waves. Everything else is a roll of the dice with the wind.

Rusty, out.

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