Tolcarne Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, the long-range picture for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a flat spell for Tolcarne. We’ve got a lot of days with small, weak swell and a persistent onshore or cross-onshore wind that’s going to mess things up. Hang in there.

Starting from Sunday, August 9th, it’s just not worth paddling out. The swell is tiny, only 0.7 ft to 1.0 ft, with a combined energy of just 15 to 23. That’s barely a ripple, and the wind is cross-on so it’s a bumpy mess. That carries right through Monday and Tuesday, with nothing over 3 ft and periods all over the place. The wind is all over the shop too—on, cross-on, and cross-off—but the waves are too weak to ride anyway.

Wednesday, August 12th, we finally see a little pulse. Morning swell builds to 3 ft from the W, period 10 seconds, and the combined energy hits 125. That’s moderate energy, and the wind turns cross-off with a light breeze. The afternoon is similar, with 3 ft waves. It’s surfable, but the conditions are very ordinary. Still, it’s a bit of a tease.

Thursday, August 13th, the swell pushes up to 4 ft from the W with a 11-second period, and the energy jumps to 274. That’s solid moderate swell, but the wind is onshore, making it choppy and poor. Not the one.

Friday, August 14th, drops back to 3 ft and the wind stays on. No good.

Saturday, August 15th, the swell turns from the N at 3 ft, but the period is a short 5 seconds. That’s weak windswell, energy only 72. Cross-shore wind with slight chop. Not great.

The rest of that week, right through to Friday, August 22nd, is a grind. We see swell heights between 2 ft and 4 ft, but the wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, keeping the surface bumpy. The energy levels are weak to moderate, topping out at 226 on Thursday, August 20th, but it’s not enough to make up for the chop.

Now, here’s the one that catches my eye. Sunday morning, August 23rd. We’ve got 3 ft swell from the WNW with an 8-second period, combined energy of 140, which is moderate. But the wind goes glassy. Absolutely glassy with the slightest air. That’s a rare treat. The conditions description says “glassy.” That’s the standout of the whole forecast. Get on it early because by Sunday afternoon the wind swings onshore at 30 km/h and it’s gone again.

Monday, August 24th, we’re back to 3 ft swell with onshore wind and rain showers. A mess.

So, if you’re a beginner, almost all of this is fine—the waves never get above 5 ft. But for everyone else, you’re chasing that Sunday, August 23rd morning window. That’s your best shot.

Rusty.

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