Melvich Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a quiet start. Monday afternoon the 6th is a write-off with a weak 2ft N windswell getting clobbered by a 19 mph W cross-off wind. Not worth the look. But hold tight, because things flip around nicely for Tuesday the 7th.

Tuesday morning, July 7th is your standout of the entire forecast. Melvich wakes up to a clean 4ft W swell rolling in with a 9-second period, and the wind is glassy from the east at just 3 mph. That’s straight-up perfect conditions for a river mouth setup. The combined energy sits at a solid moderate 268. The water is about 54°F, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there. Crowds are only *sometimes* an issue, so you’ve got a good chance of getting a few clean ones to yourself. Tuesday afternoon stays glassy with a 3ft W swell and zero wind – absolute magic for a session that could stretch into the late arvo.

Wednesday the 8th gets a bit messy. The morning is cross-shore, and the afternoon sees the swell bump up to 5ft (moderate energy at 387), but with a crosswind and marginal conditions, it’s not the same quality. Thursday the 9th looks better again – morning is clean with a 4ft W swell, but the afternoon is the real gem: 5ft W swell, glassy NNW wind at 3 mph, and strong energy at 400. That’s a solid runner-up to Tuesday.

From Friday the 10th through to late July, the wind turns mostly cross-onshore or onshore, and the swell quality drops off hard. There’s a pulse of longer-period swell around Tuesday the 14th – a 4ft W groundswell at 12 seconds – but the 12 mph WNW cross-on wind will chop it up. The energy is moderate at 368, but it’s not going to be clean. After that, it’s a long stretch of small, weak, and wind-affected surf. There’s a gap of several days where nothing is really worth paddling out for.

By Sunday the 19th, things stay small – 1.0ft to 1ft NNE swells – but the wind is light and cross-off, so you’ll get clean, knee-high dribble if you’re desperate. Into Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st, the wind picks up strong from the SE at 16-19 mph, and even though the swell bumps to 4ft N on the 21st, the conditions are just too rough for a good paddle session.

Bottom line: Tuesday the 7th is your day. Get out there. The rest of the window is mostly average to poor, with a few fleeting moments of clean surf on the 9th.

Rusty.

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