Tiririca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board. Rusty here, and I've been staring at the charts for your local stretch. Let's be straight with each other: the next two weeks are a bit of a grind for paddling in. Wind and swell just aren't playing ball for clean surf.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, it’s a tough run for decent waves. The first real week is full of onshore and cross-onshore winds messing up what little swell kicks up. We get a few pulses of energy, but the wind is always there to chop it up. The only spot I've got to work with is Tiririca, and honestly, she's frustrating at best. The combined swell energy fluctuates, hitting a moderate range (e.g., 194) early on, and even reaching a strong peak of 762, but it’s paired with garbage winds.

Into the second week, from around the 23rd of September, things get a bit juicier on the energy front, with values hitting 470 and even 600. But again, the wind is never truly clean offshore. It’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore light breezes. The water temp is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting around 80°, which is a nice change for your skin, if not your wave count.

Let's run through the days you might be tempted to paddle out.

Monday 14th and Tuesday 15th: Small, weak swell around 3 ft to 4 ft from the east (E), with a short period of 8 seconds. Winds are cross-on and onshore. Just messy and weak. Not worth the effort.

Wednesday 16th through Friday 18th: Swell stays small, with the notable exception of Wednesday afternoon when the period jumps to 11 seconds from the ESE, bumping the energy to 253. It's still a mess with onshore wind though. By Friday morning, the wind is moderate cross-shore and it’s blowing 12 mph. The combined energy is 261, but the period has dropped to a jumbled 6 seconds. This is more kite-surfing territory than paddle-surfing, to be honest.

Saturday 19th: This is where it gets a bit cruisy on the numbers, but look closer. Swell pushes to 6 ft from the ESE with a short 7-second period, and the energy jumps to 405. But look at the wind—rain showers with a moderate cross-onshore breeze. The description says "gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy." It’s just a messy, rain-soaked session.

Sunday 20th: A tiny window appears. The wind drops right off in the morning to just 3 mph from the SSE, making it a "light cross-onshore with small wind ripples." The swell is small, 4 ft, but it's the cleanest the week gets. It's only rated marginal. If you're desperate, this is the least-bad option.

Monday 21st to Thursday 24th: The wind turns onshore from the east most of this stretch. Swell stays around 4 to 4 ft. The period improves to 11 and 12 seconds on the 23rd and 24th, with the combined energy climbing to 470 and 339. But it’s all destroyed by the onshore wind. Frustrating energy going to waste.

Friday 25th to Sunday 27th: Now we’re talking about some real volume. On the 25th, the combined energy hits 600, with a 6 ft swell from the NE. But again, it's a 7-second period, onshore wind, and rain showers. Saturday sees 6 ft with an east-northeast wind, still messy. Sunday the 27th is the biggest raw power in the whole outlook: 7 ft from the NE, with a combined energy of 762. That’s a lot of water moving. But it's a 7-second period again, and the wind is onshore or cross-onshore. For a beach break like Tiririca, that period is too short to hold shape against that wind. This will be a washing machine. If the swell gets over 8 ft, which it doesn’t here, it’d be expert only. As it is, this is going to be blown out, big, messy close-outs. Only really interesting for a kite if the wind cooperates better than it does for a surfboard.

Monday 28th and Tuesday 29th: The energy drops back but stays solid, around 316 to 398. Winds are from the north and northeast. The swell is 5 ft to 6 ft, onshore. A fittingly messy end to a flat and choppy outlook.

So what’s the call? There are no standouts. If you have to paddle out, Sunday 20th September morning offers the cleanest conditions with light wind and some small swell. It won't be epic, but it'll be the most peaceful. The bigger swells later on are all wind-chopped. Keep an eye on the forecast, things can change, but as it stands, don’t expect much.

Stay patient,
Rusty

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