Tiririca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a good hard look at what Tiririca is offering up over the next couple of weeks.

Straight up, it’s a tough stretch. There’s surf on the cards, sure, but the conditions are fighting it every step of the way. The wind is just constantly onshore or cross-onshore, which is turning what could be fun waves into a bumpy mess. The water’s sitting at 80°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

Sunday the 13th kicks things off with a 4ft easterly swell, but it’s short-period at 8 seconds and the wind is a cross-onshore from the NNE at 9 mph. The wave energy is weak, sitting around 180, and the call is poor surf conditions – choppy and messy. That pretty much sets the tone.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are more of the same. We’re looking at 4ft to 4ft easterly swell with onshore or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy stays low, between 163 and 193. It’s just not clean enough to get excited about.

Wednesday the 16th sees a shift. Morning has a smaller 3ft swell from the ESE, but the wind is still cross-onshore. The afternoon brings a pulse of longer-period groundswell at 11 seconds, with the energy jumping to 284, even hitting 427 on Thursday morning. That’s moderate energy now, but there’s a catch – the wind is still from the ESE at 9 mph, which is cross-onshore, keeping things choppy.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th are frustrating. We get some better swell pulses – up to 4ft to 5ft, with periods up to 11 seconds – but the wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and it’s even picking up to 12 mph. It’s all just messy, with a cross-chop making paddling a chore.

The weekend of the 21st and 22nd sees a small uptick. The swell drops to about 3ft, but the wind gets lighter. Monday morning is the first time we see any kind of "marginal" call, with a 4ft easterly swell and a light onshore breeze. It’s not great, but it’s the best window in the first week.

Now, if you’re looking for a standout, you’ve got to look way down the line. Monday the 23rd of September afternoon is the one that catches my eye. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the ESE with a very long period of 12 seconds. That’s groundswell energy, and the combined energy is strong at 551. This is real power for a point break or reef setup. The problem is the wind is still onshore from the NE at 9 mph. But that long-period direction matches the optimum easterly swell for Tiririca, so if that wind even hints at easing… it could be special.

The week that follows has the biggest swell of the forecast – 5ft to 5ft from the east on Thursday the 24th and Saturday the 26th. The energy is strong, pushing over 500 and then into the 360s. But again, the wind is the enemy – cross-onshore or onshore. For a beach break like this, that setup with onshore wind and solid swell is going to be a battle. Honestly, it looks more suited to a kite surfer than a paddle surfer on those bigger, wind-affected days.

So, the honest truth? There’s no day in the 16-day window where everything lines up perfectly. The best bet is the Monday the 23rd afternoon for the long-period groundswell potential, but that wind is a worry. The rest is a waiting game. With a bit of luck, a shift in the wind could make one of those 5ft days a ripper.

Stay patient.

Rusty.

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