Tiririca Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, checkin’ in from the beach. Let's talk about the next stretch of days for Tiririca.

First thing you gotta know – the water is sitting at a warm 79°, which is a touch warmer than what we’d normally expect this time of year. At least you won’t need a thick suit.

The long and short of it is: we’re looking at a pretty bleak outlook for the next two weeks. The first real window of anything halfway decent doesn’t come until the morning of Friday the 4th. That’s a solid three or four days of near-zero surf ahead of us. The combined swell energy is weak, hovering around the 100-200 mark for most of that time, and the wind is just a mess – mostly cross-onshore or onshore, making for choppy, messy conditions.

The one moment that stands out as your best bet is the morning of Friday the 4th. It’s not a bomb, but it’s the only time the stars align. We’ve got a clean 4ft swell from the east, with a 9-second period. The wind turns glassy, which is a massive win. The combined energy will be around 312 (moderate), and the conditions are set for clean, fun waves. This is the one to point your car at while it lasts.

After that morning, it’s back to the grind. The wind swings onshore by the afternoon, ruining the shape. The following days (Saturday the 5th to Tuesday the 10th) are a write-off – the swell drops, the wind is a constant problem, and the forecast is full of "poor surf conditions." The combined energy dips into the double digits at times, which is barely enough to push a ripple.

Then we get a bit of a spike in size on the 10th, with a 6ft SE swell showing up. The energy jumps to 428 (strong), but don’t get too excited. The period is a short 7 seconds, and the wind is onshore again. That’s a recipe for a bumpy, closed-out mess. This one is for the experts only, if anyone, and honestly, it looks more like a kite-surfing session than a paddle-surfing one.

The next and only other standout is the morning of Saturday the 12th. We’ve got another shot at glassy conditions, with 5ft of east swell (8-second period). The combined energy is 315 (moderate). This is a promising second chance, but it’s a long way out so keep an eye on the charts. The quality will be there if the wind holds.

Beyond that, the forecast is a desert. The swell becomes inconsistent and small, with combined energy mostly under 200. The wind is unreliable. There’s a pulse of very long period swell (12 seconds) on the 17th, but it’s only 2ft and the wind is wrong. It’s a tease.

So, to wrap it up: the morning of Friday the 4th is your best, closest call. The morning of Saturday the 12th is a promising long-range option. The rest of the time, you’re better off tuning the boards or waiting for a better forecast.

Rusty.

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