Parcel Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Parcel has in store for us over the next couple of weeks.

First off, look, I gotta be straight with you. Parcel doesn’t give it up easy. It’s an advanced reef break that rarely breaks, so when it does, you better be on it. The water temp's sitting around 67°, which is about 1° warmer than average for August – nothing wild, just a little bit of summer warmth hanging on.

The forecast period starts with a bit of a whimper. Friday the 7th has a tiny 3ft swell from the ENE with a short 8-second period, and although the morning has clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze, the wave energy is weak, coming in at just 94. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. Friday afternoon falls apart completely with a strong onshore wind ruining it.

Saturday the 8th is where things get interesting, and this is the standout of the first week. The morning is a bit junky with a cross-shore wind, but Saturday afternoon looks clean. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period jumps to 15 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The combined energy is a moderate 289, and with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNW, the lines should be clean and well-shaped. This is your best bet in the first few days.

Sunday the 9th sees a bump in size to 4ft from the SSE, with 13-second period and strong energy (600 in the morning). But it’s onshore wind and rain, so the quality drops. It’s marginal at best.

Monday the 10th through Tuesday the 11th is a write-off – small, choppy, and rain-soaked. Not worth paddling out.

Wednesday the 12th brings back some hope. The swell is only 3ft and from the SE, but the wind goes glassy in the morning and afternoon. Combined energy around 245 and 203 – not powerful, but clean. For a break that rarely works, this is a real chance for a tidy session on a glassy sea.

Thursday the 13th is clean again in the morning with a 2ft SE swell, but the period jumps to 16 seconds in the afternoon with 341 energy. That long period can make it a bit straight at the reef, but a light wind keeps it clean.

From Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th, things get messy again. Onshore winds, rain, and a lot of chop. The Sunday has a 3ft swell but it’s short period and blown out.

Now, Monday the 17th – this is a big one, but it’s for experts only. A 7ft swell from the ENE with a short 7-second period and strong energy of 711. The problem? Onshore winds are smashing it. This is more of a kite-surfing scene than a surfer’s wave with that wind. Too messy for paddle surfing.

The real highlight of the second week comes on Tuesday the 18th morning. After the slop, we get a clean morning with a 5ft ENE swell, 8-second period, and a light cross-offshore breeze. Combined energy is 285 – moderate but punchy. For Parcel, that’s a solid, clean session.

Then Wednesday the 19th morning is absolutely glassy, with a 4ft E swell and calm conditions. Zero wind, clean lines, and 224 energy. This is as good as it gets for this break – a true standout morning.

After that, the swell fades right down into the 2ft range for the rest of the week with light winds, but it’s pretty weak and ordinary. Not much to get excited about.

So to wrap it up: your best bets are Saturday the 8th afternoon for clean, lined-up groundswell, and then Wednesday the 19th morning for perfect glassy conditions on a small but clean swell. The rest of the window is either blown out or too weak. Parcel is a fickle beast, but when it cleans up, it’s worth the wait.

Rusty.

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