
Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 9s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 585 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 14 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 2s period and expected on Monday (Sep 21) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at what we’ve got coming up over the next couple of weeks for Estaleiro Reef.
Honestly, the start of this outlook is a bit of a tough one. There’s a real dry spell for the first few days. Nothing really worth paddling out for from Monday the 14th through to Friday the 19th. We’re looking at a solid week of poor to marginal conditions, with short-period, weak swell and mostly cross or cross-onshore breezes messing things up. It’s one of those stretches where you’re better off working on your wax collection or just staying home.
The first real glimmer of hope comes at the tail end of the week. Check out Sunday the 20th during the afternoon. The wind drops right off, going glassy, and that’s a major positive. We’ve got a 6 ft swell from the ENE, and the combined wave energy jumps up to a very solid (602) for the morning and (599) in the afternoon. This is the kind of setup that can turn a reef break like this on. It’s still a bit of a long period for a beach setup, but on a reef, those longer gaps between sets will help with the paddle out, and the waves should have some real shape to them. Definitely the standout for the first week.
The good news keeps rolling into Monday the 21st of September. Morning and afternoon both see clean conditions with a light cross-offshore breeze, holding swell around 5 ft to 5 ft from the East. The energy is still cranking (406 and 476). This is proper, rideable surf.
After that, things get a bit mixed up again with onshore winds returning Tuesday and Wednesday the 22nd and 23rd. But hold on, because we’ve got another sweet window. Thursday the 24th of September is looking clean in the morning with a light offshore from the WNW (the optimum direction for this spot) and a 4 ft swell. That’s not huge, but with clean conditions and a solid period, it’ll be fun.
And for the very end of the run, Monday the 28th of September also has a morning window with clean, cross-offshore wind and a 5 ft SE swell, producing moderate energy (207). That’s worth keeping an eye on, but it’s over a week away, so treat it as a promising "maybe".
The water is about 67°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no nasty surprises there. Just keep in mind, this reef is inconsistent, so when it’s on, it’s worth the wait, but don’t expect a carnival every day.
In short: the first week is a write-off. Your real targets are late on the 20th and through the 21st for the best waves, with a couple of potential morning windows later on.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 12°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 130mm), heaviest during Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Thu afternoon, min 16°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Thu morning, fresh winds from the E by Sat night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
257 | 129 | 41 | 71 | 46 | 78 | 346 | 49 | 134 | 114 | 83 | 93 | 64 | 137 | 166 | 259 | 302 | 585 | 459 | 453 | 402 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:35PM0.86m | 4:00AM0.94m | 3:54PM0.81m | 4:38AM0.85m | 4:11PM0.75m | 5:24AM0.75m | 4:14PM0.69m | 6:36AM0.66m | 1:48PM0.66m | 12:47PM0.69m | 7:48PM0.55m | 11:59AM0.77m | 10:41PM0.63m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:48PM0.17m | 9:10AM0.32m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:44PM0.21m | 9:47AM0.48m | 10:17PM0.28m | 10:00AM0.57m | 11:04PM0.37m | 6:02PM0.54m | 4:33AM0.34m | 6:00PM0.47m | |||||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 15 | 33 | 57 | 6 | — | 9 |
Temp °C | 13 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 11 | 12 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 23 | 24 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | E 6 | NE 7 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 9 |
43 | 74 | 41 | 71 | 46 | 41 | 55 | 41 | 134 | 114 | 83 | 93 | 36 | 44 | 23 | 13 | 8 | 28 | 459 | 453 | 402 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 13 | SE 6 | SSE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | NE 6 | E 6 | ESE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
11 | 25 | 37 | 35 | 33 | 25 | 33 | 37 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 39 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SE 11 | ESE 10 | E 8 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 15 | SE 13 | E 11 | E 12 | NE 4 | SE 10 | E 8 | SE 12 | — | S 11 | S 10 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | — |
24 | 19 | 20 | 34 | 11 | 4 | 33 | 9 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 54 | 23 | 23 | — | 10 | 2 | 7 | 3 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | ESE 2 | SE 8 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 3 | — | — | ENE 4 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | — |
257 | 129 | — | — | 1 | 78 | 346 | 49 | 1 | — | — | 10 | 64 | 137 | 166 | 259 | 302 | 585 | 127 | 140 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 146 | 2 | 2 | 42 | 41 | 33 | 42 | 84 | 125 | 115 | 115 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










