Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

First off, the outlook for Estaleiro Reef is a bit of a slow burn. We’re looking at small, weak, and mostly average conditions for the first week or so. The water temperature is sitting right around normal for the time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real chance for a wave kicks off on the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. The swell is a tiny 2ft from the ENE with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak (71). The wind is offshore from the WNW, which is a positive, but the waves are just too small to get excited about.

Thursday morning, July 30th, is glassy, with a 2ft swell from the E. The energy is even weaker (52). It’s pretty, but there’s next to no power.

Friday, the 31st of July, sees a shift. The swell drops to 1.0ft, but the period jumps to 13 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, which is normally a good sign for a reef. The energy is still low (65), and the wind is a light cross-offshore from the N. It’s clean, but the size is a real problem.

The first hint of something better comes on Saturday, August 1st. The morning swell is 3ft from the ENE, with a combined energy of 111 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW. This is surfable, but still ordinary.

The weekend of August 2nd and 3rd offers similar small, clean conditions, but nothing will get your heart pumping.

The first standout arrives on Thursday morning, August 6th. The swell is 4ft from the ENE with an energy of 159. The wind is offshore from the NW, and the conditions are clean. This is the best the forecast has offered so far. Then, on the afternoon of Thursday, August 6th, the swell bumps up to 4ft from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 212. The wind is a cross-offshore from the NNW, and the report says "expect good surf conditions." This is the pick of the early run.

The next real highlight is the morning of Saturday, August 8th. The swell is 4ft from the ENE, with a solid 9-second period and energy of 223. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NW. This is another good session.

The following Monday, August 10th, afternoon session also looks promising. The swell is 3ft from the ENE, but the cross-offshore wind from the N and a combined energy of 207 make for a clean, fun afternoon.

The forecast gets a bit messy from Tuesday, August 11th. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SE, with a combined energy of 394. That’s a lot of energy, but the wind is a strong cross-onshore from the SSE at 12 mph. This is going to be a choppy, blown-out mess. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The final days, August 12th and 13th, see the swell drop back down to 3ft and 2ft, with persistent cross and cross-onshore winds. Not worth the paddle.

Overall, the best bet is the afternoon of August 6th and the morning of August 8th. Those are the two standouts. The swell is moderate, the wind is favorable, and the energy is there. The rest of the window is small, weak, or windy.

Rusty.

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