Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what we've got coming up for Estaleiro Reef.

Alright, first thing’s first. The water's running a bit colder than you'd expect for this time of year, sittin' at 63°, about 3° cooler than the long-term average. Something to keep in mind before you paddle out.

The next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. There’s some surf on the horizon, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully. It’s not a non-stop run of great waves, so don’t expect a solid week-long pulse.

We kick off Monday the 13th, but honestly, it’s a write-off. A choppy 6 ft cross-swell from the SSE with weak energy (783) and a cross-breeze. Not worth your time. Tuesday the 14th is much better. Tuesday morning the wind swings cross-offshore from the SW, cleaning up a 4 ft swell from the ESE with moderate energy (268). Then Tuesday afternoon? Absolute glass. 4 ft swell from the ESE, period around 10 seconds, and the wind goes dead flat. That’s clean, silky conditions. That's a standout session.

Wednesday the 15th keeps the trend going with offshore WNW winds in the morning on a clean 4 ft swell. The afternoon holds a nice 3 ft wave with cross-offshore winds. Thursday morning the 16th is also looking tidy with offshore NW winds on 3 ft. Everything after that gets a bit windy and crossed up for a few days.

The following week is lean. From about the 19th through to the 25th, we’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swells and onshore or cross-onshore winds. It’s a proper lull. The energy drops right off, with values barely cracking 100. Conditions are mostly poor to marginal, with a lot of chop. Stick to the sandbar games or maybe even think about a kite if that’s your thing, because paddle surfing isn’t gonna be pretty.

But then, hold onto your board. Monday the 27th of July. Two weeks out, but it looks promising if the forecast holds. Monday morning shows a 4 ft swell from the ESE, a 13-second period, and clean cross-offshore winds from the NNW. Combined energy jumps up to a solid 593. That’s the one to circle on your calendar. If it comes together, it’ll be the best of the whole run. Just be aware that a long period swell like that (13 seconds) can pitch up a bit straight at some beach breaks, but on a reef setup like Estaleiro, it should really shine.

So, to wrap it up: Tuesday the 14th afternoon for the most perfect glassy conditions, and Monday the 27th for the biggest, most powerful groundswell of the outlook. The rest you can sleep in for.

Rusty.

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