Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's coming up.

Right now, it's a bit of a slow start. The forecast is really quiet to begin with, but we've got a few windows that are worth getting excited about, especially if you can wait.

The first real chance for a surf comes on Tuesday, September 8th at Estaleiro Reef. It's not going to blow your hair back. We're looking at a small south-east swell around `2ft` with a period of `10 seconds`. The water temp is sitting at `67°F` which is pretty much normal for this time of year, no big anomaly. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the West at `6 mph`, so conditions will be clean, but the wave energy is weak (93). It’s an inconsistent spot that only breaks sometimes, so keep expectations in check.

The next day, Wednesday the 9th, shapes up a little better. The morning brings an offshore breeze from the WNW at a light `3 mph` with a cleaner `4ft` east swell. The period is shorter at `8 seconds`, but the energy picks up to a moderate level (231). The wind is glassy and the surf will be clean, making this a decent window for an intermediate surfer.

Moving into the weekend, things get a bit ordinary. The swell tries to push up, but the wind turns onshore and gets nasty. On Saturday the 12th, we see `4ft` to `5ft` swells, but with fresh cross-onshore winds hitting `19 mph` from the SE. This kicks the energy up (444), but the chop and bump will ruin it. This isn't paddle surfing weather; for a reef break with that cross-onshore mess, the setup looks more interesting for a kite session than a surf.

The real standout arrives on Tuesday, September 15th. This is the one to mark on your calendar. The morning has `6ft` of east swell (period `9 seconds`) and a clean offshore wind from the West at `9 mph`. The wave energy is strong (587), and the conditions will be excellent. That swell is a bit much for beginners, but for intermediates and up at Estaleiro Reef, with that gentle offshore cleaning it up, it’s going to be a very good session.

Wednesday the 16th keeps the swell size up at `6ft` (moderate energy at 808), but the wind swings southerly and cross-shore, which will put a bit of chop on the face. It’s still surfable, but not as pristine as Tuesday.

After that, the surf drops back. We have a gap of a few quiet days. Then, Saturday, September 19th shows a big swell arriving—`8ft` from the ENE. The energy is massive (1112), but the forecast notes that at this size, it is predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory and likely a washing machine.

Looking into the second week, Sunday, September 20th looks promising but is less certain. The morning shows a `7ft` east swell with a light offshore from the WNW. If that holds, it could be another standout, but long-range forecasts have that 'could change' feel to it.

Overall, the best bet is Tuesday, September 15th. Go then.

Rusty.

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