Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 9s period, ENE swell with 336 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 1.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's break down the next couple of weeks at Estaleiro Reef.
The main story is a solid run of small, clean surf starting this Wednesday afternoon. Water temp is 62°F, which is about 4°F cooler than normal for this time of year – you'll want a thicker suit.
The best window is the first few days. Wednesday the 15th gets a clean 4ft swell from the ESE with a 10-second period and a light offshore breeze. The combined energy is moderate (258), and it'll be a fun session. Thursday morning drops to 3ft, but with a true offshore WNW wind at 6 mph, it'll be glassy. Friday and Saturday mornings also deliver clean, surfable waves with the swell holding 4ft to 5ft, and the energy staying moderate (207 to 307). The swell direction shifts to ENE on Friday, but it's still clean.
We hit a rough patch from the 22nd through the 25th – wind goes onshore, the swell drops, and it gets messy. Not worth it. The 26th has glassy conditions but tiny 2ft waves.
Here's the big one for the long-range. On Monday the 27th of July, the combined energy jumps to 1003 – that's a strong pulse. The swell is 4ft from the SE with a very long 16-second period. A proper groundswell. It's clean with a light offshore breeze, but that long period will make it wall up and run straight at this reef – it's one for the experienced crew. The rating is excellent for experts, so if you're good, circle this date. It's a long-range call, so promising but not locked in.
The 28th and 29th still have clean, manageable surf (3ft to 3ft) with that long-period SE swell, but the energy is back to moderate. The 30th gets blown out.
Bottom line: the best bets are the Wednesday 15th through Sunday 19th mornings for clean, fun waves, and the long-range standout is Monday the 27th for the big swell. Crowds are sometimes an issue, but on those early mornings, you'll likely have it to yourself.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sat morning, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wed 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 250 | 176 | 146 | 106 | 114 | 151 | 202 | 299 | 273 | 250 | 336 | 232 | 206 | 262 | 206 | 176 | 190 | 149 | 113 | 113 | 92 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:36PM0.99m | 2:57AM0.92m | 4:08PM0.92m | 3:33AM0.94m | 4:39PM0.86m | 4:09AM0.94m | 5:08PM0.80m | 4:49AM0.90m | 5:38PM0.75m | 5:34AM0.83m | 6:11PM0.70m | 6:29AM0.75m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:50AM0.68m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:22PM0.50m | 9:55AM0.04m | 10:15PM0.53m | 10:16AM0.10m | 9:15PM0.50m | 10:24AM0.18m | 9:33PM0.45m | 10:37AM0.27m | 10:07PM0.41m | 11:00AM0.35m | 10:51PM0.40m | 11:32AM0.44m | 11:51PM0.41m | ||||||||
 |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | 5:40 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 24 | 24 | 21 | 23 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 250 | 176 | 146 | 62 | 114 | 151 | 202 | 299 | 273 | 250 | 336 | 232 | 206 | 262 | 206 | 176 | 190 | 149 | 113 | 113 | 92 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | E 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | — | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 2 | 31 | 50 | 106 | 82 | 56 | 19 | 10 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 13 | — | — | — | — | SE 17 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 18 | SE 15 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 | — | — |
| kJ | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 11 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 5 | — | — | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | S 3 |
| kJ | 6 | — | — | 17 | — | — | 59 | — | — | — | — | — | 59 | — | — | 59 | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 84 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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