
Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with 497 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 6ft (1.9m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at this stretch of the coast right here. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and honestly, it’s a mixed bag. The surf starts off small and clean, but it’s not really going to fire up in a big way until much later. There’s a real gap of quiet days in the middle there, so you’ve got to pick your moments.
The first good bet is Estaleiro Reef on Thursday morning, July 16th. We’re looking at a small 3ft swell from the ESE, but it’s got a clean, glassy feel with a light offshore breeze. The water is a notable 62°F, which is much colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. The combined energy is weak (196), so don’t expect much push, but it’s rideable and clean. Crowds are possible here sometimes.
The pick of the early window is Friday morning, July 17th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the ENE, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the NW, giving us clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is still moderate (202), but it’s the best of the first week. It’s an inconsistent reef, so be patient, but when it comes, it’ll be worth it.
Saturday and Sunday mornings (July 18th and 19th) are similar, with 4ft to 5ft ENE swell and cross-offshore winds. The energy picks up a bit on Saturday (307), but the wind is a touch more cross-off, so it’s still clean enough. These are your best morning sessions for the next few days.
Then we hit a long, flat patch. From Monday afternoon, July 20th, through to the end of the month, the surf is small, weak, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on. It’s a real lull for paddle surfing. The biggest of these days is July 30th, with a 6ft SSE swell, but the wind is straight onshore, and the energy is actually strong (837) – that’s a kite surfer’s dream, not a paddle surfer’s. The setup is a reef, so it’s messy.
The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday morning, July 31st. The wind drops to dead calm, glassy conditions. The swell is a clean 3ft from the SE, with a long period of 11 seconds. The energy is moderate (237), and with the glassy surface, it’s going to be the most beautiful, cleanest surf of the entire forecast. It’s a long way out, but this one looks promising. For a reef that’s inconsistent, catching it glassy is a rare treat.
So, for the best surf: hammer the Friday morning, July 17th, for the first week, and keep your fingers crossed for that glassy Friday, July 31st. The rest is small, weak, or blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
146 | 106 | 89 | 147 | 163 | 250 | 273 | 250 | 497 | 196 | 172 | 281 | 211 | 181 | 197 | 176 | 149 | 116 | 94 | 87 | 105 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:08PM0.92m | 3:33AM0.94m | 4:39PM0.86m | 4:09AM0.94m | 5:08PM0.80m | 4:49AM0.90m | 5:38PM0.75m | 5:34AM0.83m | 6:11PM0.70m | 6:29AM0.75m | 6:51PM0.66m | 7:50AM0.68m | 2:41PM0.54m | 7:52PM0.62m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:55AM0.04m | 10:15PM0.53m | 10:16AM0.10m | 9:15PM0.50m | 10:24AM0.18m | 9:33PM0.45m | 10:37AM0.27m | 10:07PM0.41m | 11:00AM0.35m | 10:51PM0.40m | 11:32AM0.44m | 11:51PM0.41m | 12:30PM0.54m | ||||||||
7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 17 | 18 | 15 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 26 | 27 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
146 | 60 | 89 | 147 | 163 | 250 | 273 | 250 | 277 | 196 | 172 | 281 | 211 | 181 | 197 | 176 | 149 | 116 | 94 | 87 | 105 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | ESE 10 | SE 10 | E 18 | SE 16 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 12 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SE 9 | SSE 11 |
50 | 106 | 82 | 55 | 52 | 19 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | SE 17 | SE 15 | SE 13 | SE 18 | S 9 | E 9 | — | S 15 | — | — | — | S 5 | — | — | — | — | SE 13 |
— | — | — | — | 11 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 3 | ENE 7 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | NE 8 | — | ENE 8 | — | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | SSE 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | S 8 |
1 | 17 | — | — | 59 | — | — | 80 | 497 | — | 58 | — | — | 61 | — | — | — | 12 | 27 | 6 | 86 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 125 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 54 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










