Estaleiro Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.02° S 48.57° W

Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 am 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Estaleiro Reef sea temperature is
16.4° C
2.3° 

Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with 485 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 10s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9AM (Thu 16th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 10s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 19th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 19th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this isn’t a classic run for Estaleiro Reef. The first half of the outlook is pretty slow, with a few small windows of clean surf, but nothing that’s going to get the heart racing. The real standout is much further out, so you’ll need to be patient.

The first decent morning is Thursday the 16th. Estaleiro Reef is breaking with a small 3ft swell from the ESE, and the wind is light offshore from the WNW, so it’ll be clean. The water is a cool 62°, which is a whopping 4° colder than normal for this time of year – that’s genuinely unusual, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit. The combined energy is weak (196), so it’s more of a grovel session than a proper session. It’s inconsistent, so you’ll be sitting and waiting between sets.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th mornings look similar, with a bit more size. On Friday morning we’ve got 4ft from the ENE, light offshore NW wind, and clean conditions. The period is short at 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but the energy is moderate (230). Saturday morning builds to 5ft from the ENE, again with a light offshore NW wind, and the energy is a bit stronger (307). These are the best of the early days, but it’s still a short-period swell, so don’t expect much push.

Sunday the 19th and Monday the 20th mornings are clean again with light offshore winds and 5ft to 4ft ENE swell, but the energy drops back to 244 and 214 respectively. It’s surfable, but ordinary.

Then we hit a real lull. From Tuesday the 22nd through to Thursday the 24th morning, the swell drops to 3ft or less. There’s a glassy morning on the 23rd with 3ft from the ENE, but it’s tiny and weak (139). Not worth paddling out for.

Now, the real standout. Friday the 24th afternoon is where it gets interesting. The swell jumps to 6ft from the SE, with a longer period of 9 seconds. The wind is from the NNW, cross-offshore, and conditions are clean. The energy ramps up to 449 (moderate to strong). This is the best swell of the whole run.

Saturday the 25th morning pushes even bigger: 6ft from the SSE, with a 15 km/h cross-offshore wind from the W. The energy is a solid 723 (strong). The period is 9 seconds, so it’s got some grunt. However, this is getting into the size where it’s really only for competent surfers. The tide or bank might be a bit tricky, but on its day, this could be the best session of the outlook. The crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so it could get busy if word gets out.

The rest of the second week drops off quickly. The afternoons get chopped out, and the mornings are small and weak. A few mornings around the 28th and 29th have clean 4ft to 4ft E swell with light offshore winds, but the energy is only moderate (230–249). It’s a distant follow-up to the big Friday.

So, to sum it up: the best on offer is Friday the 24th afternoon and Saturday the 25th morning at Estaleiro Reef. The Friday has a great 6ft SE swell with clean cross-offshore wind, and the Saturday has a bigger 6ft SSE swell but with a cross-offshore wind that’s a little stronger. Those are the two you want to circle. Everything else is small, weak, or just ordinary.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 18°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
1
ENE
7
1.2
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.9
NE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.9
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
146
106
114
173
197
250
273
244
485
237
196
239
211
176
190
149
146
116
96
92
105
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NNW
10
NW
10
NNE
5
NNW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NNW
10
NW
10
NNE
20
S
5
SSW
10
NW
10
SE
Wind State
off
cross
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross
off
on
High Tide
4:08PM0.92m
3:33AM0.94m
4:39PM0.86m
4:09AM0.94m
5:08PM0.80m
4:49AM0.90m
5:38PM0.75m
5:34AM0.83m
6:11PM0.70m
6:29AM0.75m
6:51PM0.66m
7:50AM0.68m
2:41PM0.54m
7:52PM0.62m
Low Tide
9:55AM0.04m
10:15PM0.53m
10:16AM0.10m
9:15PM0.50m
10:24AM0.18m
9:33PM0.45m
10:37AM0.27m
10:07PM0.41m
11:00AM0.35m
10:51PM0.40m
11:32AM0.44m
11:51PM0.41m
12:30PM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
light rain
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:00
7:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:39
5:40
 mm
1
1
4
Temp °C
17
18
15
19
19
17
21
22
19
22
22
21
23
23
20
25
25
20
18
19
19
Feels °C
16
16
14
18
18
17
20
20
19
21
21
21
22
22
20
24
24
19
19
20
21
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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