Estaleiro Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.02° S 48.57° W

Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 14 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Estaleiro Reef sea temperature is
19.0° C
0.5° 

Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, E swell with 478 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 0.8m and 8s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 12AM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 6AM (Sat 15th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Best Surf 6AM (Sat 15th Aug)5ft (1.6m) 8s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 16th Aug)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

First off, I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day run for Estaleiro Reef is a tough watch. We’re looking at a real dry spell with only a few very brief windows where it might be worth paddling out. The water’s sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t be freezing.

The overall pattern is a long stretch of cross-onshore winds and choppy, messy conditions. Most days are a write-off, with poor surf and weak energy. There’s a big gap of poor conditions from the start, through the first week and into the next.

Let’s break it down. The first real glimmer of hope comes on Monday, 17 August. The morning has a 5 ft swell from the east with a period of 8 seconds, and a light cross-offshore NNW breeze at 6 mph. The combined energy is moderate at 372. It’s clean, and the wave comment says “expect good surf conditions.” That’s your best bet for the whole outlook. The swell is pushing 5 ft, which is getting a bit punchy for beginners, but it’s a reef, so it could be fun for the intermediates. The period is short, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but the clean surface will make it rideable.

Tuesday, 18 August morning offers a similar story – 4 ft from the east-northeast, 8-second period, with a light cross-offshore NNW wind at 6 mph. Energy is moderate (254). Clean again, but the swell is a touch smaller.

Wednesday, 19 August morning is the next standout. We get a 3 ft swell from the east-northeast, but the wind goes pure offshore out of the northwest at just 3 mph. The energy is still weak (146), but the glassy, clean conditions will make the most of it. The waves will be small, but if you’re after a silky session, this is the one.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions. There’s a tiny blip on Saturday, 22 August morning with glassy conditions and a 3 ft swell, but the energy is weak (123) and the wave comment says “surfable but very ordinary.” Not worth getting excited about.

The rest of the run into the second week is a desert of cross-onshore winds and choppy, poor surf. The combined energy drops into the double digits on the 23rd (68), which is basically flat. We see some cleaner conditions on the 25th and the 27th, but the swell is tiny and the energy is weak.

So, to wrap it up: the only real standouts are the Monday 17 August morning and the Wednesday 19 August morning. The Monday has the most size, but the Wednesday has the purest offshore wind. Everything else is a pass. This is a tough stretch for the reef – it’s mostly a blank run, so don’t expect much.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 51mm), heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 16°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 17°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
14
Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
2
2
2
1
1
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SE
14
1.6
ESE
7
1.5
E
8
1.4
E
8
2
E
8
1.5
E
8
1.4
E
8
1.5
E
8
1.6
ENE
9
1.6
ENE
9
1.5
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
9
1.2
ENE
9
1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
1
ENE
7
1
ENE
7
1
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
257
261
258
221
478
270
233
309
404
442
337
258
232
227
144
113
81
111
108
118
Wind (km/h)
20
SSE
20
SE
5
NNW
5
E
20
NE
10
NNE
15
NE
15
NE
10
NNW
15
NE
10
N
15
NNW
15
N
5
ESE
10
NNW
15
N
0
SE
15
WSW
5
NE
5
WSW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
3:31PM0.94m
3:13AM1.04m
3:56PM0.89m
3:47AM1.00m
4:20PM0.84m
4:23AM0.94m
4:43PM0.79m
5:03AM0.85m
5:05PM0.74m
5:51AM0.75m
5:25PM0.68m
7:05AM0.66m
2:33PM0.63m
Low Tide
8:53PM0.40m
9:30AM0.11m
8:53PM0.34m
9:35AM0.19m
9:13PM0.29m
9:48AM0.28m
9:42PM0.27m
10:07AM0.37m
10:15PM0.28m
10:28AM0.46m
10:55PM0.32m
10:48AM0.55m
11:56PM0.39m
mod rain
heavy rain
light rain
light rain
light rain
cloud
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:41
6:41
6:39
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:52
5:52
5:52
5:53
5:53
5:54
5:54
 mm
6
36
2
4
2
1
Temp °C
16
17
18
18
19
19
19
19
20
21
18
25
26
18
27
27
21
25
26
21
Feels °C
14
15
20
20
19
20
20
19
21
22
19
26
27
18
27
28
23
27
28
20
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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