Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 16 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 704 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 16 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 16th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s break this down in feet, degrees, and miles per hour for the local crew.
First off, the water temp is about average for the time of year, so no big anomaly there.
Over the next 16 days, it’s a slow start. From September 16th through the 19th, we’ve got tiny, weak surf with a lot of rain and onshore breezes. Wave energy is low, in the 95 to 261 range, and the waves are anywhere from 2ft to 3ft. It’s just not worth your time. A few days of nothing real happening.
Then, Sunday, September 20th, is the window that lights up. The morning brings a 8ft swell from the East-Northeast, with an 8-second period. The combined energy hits a massive 1099, which is strong. Forecast says it’s actually too big for this reef. Conditions are clean with a light cross-offshore breeze from the Northwest. This one is strictly for the experts – that size on a reef is dangerous for beginners. The swell direction is close to the ideal ESE, so the shape should be good if you can handle it. Keep in mind, this break is inconsistent, so don't expect non-stop sets.
After that high, Monday, September 21st morning gives us a more manageable 4ft East-Northeast swell, with a clean offshore wind from the WNW and a moderate combined energy of 203. The conditions are glassy and clean, good for intermediate surfers. The crowd factor is "sometimes", so you might see a few others, but it's not packed.
From the 22nd onward, it’s back to the doldrums. Small, choppy surf with cross-onshore winds. There’s a moment on Thursday, September 24th morning with a glassy 2ft Southeast swell with a 14-second period, but it's just surfable, not special.
Way out on Thursday, October 1st, we see another big one: an 8ft South-Southeast swell with an energy of 1440, which is again too big for this break. It’s an expert-only prospect, but it’s a month away, so don’t bank on it yet.
Bottom line: Sunday, September 20th morning is the real standout – big, clean, and powerful, but only for the experienced crew.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 18°C on Wed morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 58mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | E 7 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 10 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 113 | 48 | 64 | 119 | 41 | 60 | 77 | 50 | 47 | 204 | 181 | 251 | 288 | 704 | 338 | 286 | 197 | 197 | 169 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 4:38AM0.85m | 4:11PM0.75m | 5:24AM0.75m | 4:14PM0.69m | 6:36AM0.66m | 1:48PM0.66m | 12:47PM0.69m | 7:48PM0.55m | 11:59AM0.77m | 10:41PM0.63m | 12:07PM0.85m | 11:28PM0.75m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:44PM0.21m | 9:47AM0.48m | 10:17PM0.28m | 10:00AM0.57m | 11:04PM0.37m | 6:02PM0.54m | 4:33AM0.34m | 6:00PM0.47m | 5:23AM0.24m | 6:17PM0.40m | |||||||
 |  | |  | | |  |  | |  |  | | |  | | |  | | | |
 | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 6:07 | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 19 | 15 | 8 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 28 | 28 | 22 |
Feels °C | 12 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 29 | 29 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | E 7 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | ENE 5 | E 6 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 61 | 48 | 64 | 119 | 41 | 60 | 77 | 17 | 32 | 137 | 8 | 3 | 288 | 394 | 338 | 286 | 197 | 197 | 169 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 8 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 8 | SSE 12 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 9 |
| kJ | 41 | 40 | 27 | 27 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 50 | 24 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ESE 8 | SE 15 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | SSE 13 | — | S 8 | — | — | — | E 14 | — | S 12 |
| kJ | 26 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 14 | 17 | — | 1 | — | — | — | 4 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | — | ESE 2 | ESE 3 | — | — | — | ENE 5 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | — | ENE 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 113 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 48 | 47 | 204 | 181 | 251 | — | 704 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 2 | 0 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 7 | 35 | 75 | 42 | 125 | 125 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
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