Estaleiro Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.02° S 48.57° W

Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 8 am 16 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Estaleiro Reef sea temperature is
16.4° C
2.3° 

Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 8s period, NE swell with 497 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 1.9m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 12PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Thu 16th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 7s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 19th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s
Most Powerful12AM (Sun 19th Jul)6ft (1.9m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at this stretch of the coast right here. We’ve got a 16-day window ahead, and honestly, it’s a mixed bag. The surf starts off small and clean, but it’s not really going to fire up in a big way until much later. There’s a real gap of quiet days in the middle there, so you’ve got to pick your moments.

The first good bet is Estaleiro Reef on Thursday morning, July 16th. We’re looking at a small 3ft swell from the ESE, but it’s got a clean, glassy feel with a light offshore breeze. The water is a notable 62°F, which is much colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good wetsuit. The combined energy is weak (196), so don’t expect much push, but it’s rideable and clean. Crowds are possible here sometimes.

The pick of the early window is Friday morning, July 17th. The swell bumps up to 4ft from the ENE, with a short period of 8 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the NW, giving us clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is still moderate (202), but it’s the best of the first week. It’s an inconsistent reef, so be patient, but when it comes, it’ll be worth it.

Saturday and Sunday mornings (July 18th and 19th) are similar, with 4ft to 5ft ENE swell and cross-offshore winds. The energy picks up a bit on Saturday (307), but the wind is a touch more cross-off, so it’s still clean enough. These are your best morning sessions for the next few days.

Then we hit a long, flat patch. From Monday afternoon, July 20th, through to the end of the month, the surf is small, weak, and the wind is mostly cross or cross-on. It’s a real lull for paddle surfing. The biggest of these days is July 30th, with a 6ft SSE swell, but the wind is straight onshore, and the energy is actually strong (837) – that’s a kite surfer’s dream, not a paddle surfer’s. The setup is a reef, so it’s messy.

The real standout, and the one to circle on your calendar, is Friday morning, July 31st. The wind drops to dead calm, glassy conditions. The swell is a clean 3ft from the SE, with a long period of 11 seconds. The energy is moderate (237), and with the glassy surface, it’s going to be the most beautiful, cleanest surf of the entire forecast. It’s a long way out, but this one looks promising. For a reef that’s inconsistent, catching it glassy is a rare treat.

So, for the best surf: hammer the Friday morning, July 17th, for the first week, and keep your fingers crossed for that glassy Friday, July 31st. The rest is small, weak, or blown out.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 14°C on Thu morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light.

Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
0
1
2
1
2
2
1
3
2
1
2
2
1
1
1
0
0
1
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
ESE
10
0.7
ESE
10
0.9
ENE
7
1.1
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.5
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.9
NE
8
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
9
1.3
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.2
ENE
8
1.1
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.9
ENE
8
0.8
ENE
8
0.9
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
146
106
89
147
163
250
273
250
497
196
172
281
211
181
197
176
149
116
94
87
105
Wind (km/h)
10
WNW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NNW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
10
NW
15
NNE
10
NW
15
NW
15
NE
15
S
5
SSW
10
SE
0
SW
Wind State
off
cross
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
off
off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
glassy
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
4:08PM0.92m
3:33AM0.94m
4:39PM0.86m
4:09AM0.94m
5:08PM0.80m
4:49AM0.90m
5:38PM0.75m
5:34AM0.83m
6:11PM0.70m
6:29AM0.75m
6:51PM0.66m
7:50AM0.68m
2:41PM0.54m
7:52PM0.62m
Low Tide
9:55AM0.04m
10:15PM0.53m
10:16AM0.10m
9:15PM0.50m
10:24AM0.18m
9:33PM0.45m
10:37AM0.27m
10:07PM0.41m
11:00AM0.35m
10:51PM0.40m
11:32AM0.44m
11:51PM0.41m
12:30PM0.54m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:00
7:00
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:37
5:38
5:38
5:38
5:39
5:39
5:40
 mm
2
Temp °C
17
18
15
19
20
17
21
22
19
21
22
20
23
23
20
26
27
20
19
20
19
Feels °C
16
16
14
18
19
17
20
20
19
20
21
20
22
22
21
25
26
18
20
21
21
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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