Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Estaleiro Reef over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – we’ve got a long, quiet run ahead. The first patch of surfable waves doesn’t show up until Friday, August 1st, and even then, it’s pretty small. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is right about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

For the first week, we’re looking at a few cleaner morning windows. Saturday, August 2nd, has a morning session with the wind swinging offshore from the WNW at 6 mph and a tiny 3 ft swell from the east with a short, crumbly 6-second period. The combined energy is weak (54). It’s rideable, but you won’t be writing home about it. Sunday the 3rd nudges up a touch – 4 ft from the ENE, still a short period (7s), but with that light offshore breeze from the west at 6 mph, it’ll be clean. The energy is still modest (141). Not a standout, but it’s the best of a pretty average bunch for the first week.

We then hit a few days where the morning glass-off is your only real friend. Wednesday, August 6th, is dead glassy – zero wind from the north – with a tiny 2 ft, 8-second easterly swell. The energy is low (95). Thursday the 7th is similar, glassy with a light NNW breeze at 3 mph, and again 2 ft from the ENE. These are small, clean, and super mellow – good for a longboard or a foiler, but not much grunt.

Now, the second week. The pattern stays small and inconsistent. A few morning windows pop up, like Friday, August 8th, with a 1 ft swell from the SE and a longer 11-second period, clean with a light offshore. The energy is very weak (76). Nothing to get excited about. The same story repeats through the weekend and into the following week – small, short-period easterly windswell, mostly chopped out by onshore breezes in the afternoons.

Then we get a distant rumble. Saturday, August 16th, shows a jump in size – 6 ft to 6 ft from the SE with a very long 16-second period. The combined energy is massive (1532 to 1900). But here’s the kicker: the wind is onshore from the ESE and SE at 12 to 15 mph, and the conditions are listed as poor. That’s a lot of raw power, but with that wind, it’s going to be a messy, blown-out affair. For a reef setup, that long-period groundswell could offer some shape, but the onshore wind is a killer. That’s a kite-surfing kind of day, not a paddle-surfing one. The swell is also over 5 ft, so it’s getting too big for beginners, and the conditions are a write-off.

So, the honest truth? There’s no standout session in this 16-day window. The best you can hope for is a clean, small morning session on the weekend of August 2nd-3rd, or maybe the glassy mornings later in the first week. The big pulse on the 16th is a tease with nasty wind. It’s a pretty flat and uninspiring run for Estaleiro Reef. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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