Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day window for Estaleiro Reef, and to be honest, it’s a bit of a mixed bag. The first week is mostly small, weak, and messy, with a few clean windows but nothing to write home about. The real standout arrives in the second week – a proper groundswell that finally lines things up. Let’s get into it.

Right out of the gate, Wednesday morning the 22nd is glassy with a 1.0m (3ft) swell from the east-northeast at 8 seconds. The water temp is 65°F, about average for this time of year. The energy is weak (164), and while the conditions are glassy, the waves are pretty ordinary – small and short period. It’s surfable but nothing special. That afternoon, heavy rain and a cross-off wind kill it.

Thursday the 23rd morning has a cross-on wind and an even smaller 0.9m (3ft) swell. Not worth paddling out. Thursday afternoon cleans up a bit with glassy conditions and a 0.7m (2ft) swell, but it’s still just small, weak waves. Friday the 24th is a write-off – onshore winds and a messy 1.0m (3ft) SE swell (210 energy). The weekend looks better.

Saturday morning the 25th is the first real bright spot. Clean offshore wind from the west-northwest, a 1.1m (4ft) swell from the southeast, and moderate wave energy (215). These waves will be clean and lined up a bit better than the previous days. It’s a reef break, and with short period (9 seconds) it won’t be a groundswell, but for a Saturday morning session, it’s the pick of the first week. Crowds are possible here at times. The afternoon gets chopped by a sea breeze, so get it early.

Sunday the 26th morning has clean conditions with a light cross-off breeze, but the swell drops to 0.9m (3ft). Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are small and weak – consistent but underwhelming. From Wednesday the 29th through to the start of August, the swell stays tiny (0.6m to 0.9m, or 2ft to 3ft), with a mix of onshore winds and glassy moments. Not much to chase.

Now for the real standout – Wednesday the 5th of August morning. This one’s worth circling on the calendar. Offshore wind from the northwest, a solid 1.0m (3ft) swell from the southeast, but the big news is the period: 12 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the energy jumps to 389 – moderate and punchy. This swell will have real shape and power. At a reef break, that longer period is a gift – the waves will wrap in and hold their lines. It’s not huge, but the quality will be there. The wind is clean, the tide looks fine, and this is the best session on offer. Crowds are possible, but with it being a Wednesday morning and only intermediates recommended, you might get a few locals on it. If you can, paddle out.

After that, Thursday the 6th of August returns to small, weak, and onshore. The blank runs with no good surf stretch from late July through the first days of August, but that Wednesday morning redeems the whole outlook.

Rusty out.

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