Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks. Rusty here. We got the Estaleiro Reef (Estaleiro-Reef) outlook right here. This is a reef break, intermediate territory, and it’s inconsistent, so don’t expect it to be pumping every day. It’s exposed, but it really needs that swell to come from the ESE to get going.

Alright, kicking it off. Saturday the 11th is a slow starter. We got a clean 3 ft swell from the ESE, with a 13-second period pushing in. The wind is a light cross-off from the NNW at 3 mph, so the surface should be decent. Combined wave energy is moderate at 341, and the water is sitting at 63°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year. It’s surfable, but nothing special.

Now, Sunday the 12th is interesting. The morning looks clean—offshore wind from the West at 6 mph, with a 3 ft groundswell from the ESE, 12-second period. That’s the kind of morning that gets you out of bed. Combined energy is 297, still moderate. But don’t get too stoked, because by the afternoon the wind switches to a cross-on from the SE at 12 mph and the energy jumps to 429, turning the place into a choppy mess.

Monday the 13th brings a different beast. The swell bumps up to 5 ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds—short-period stuff. Morning wind is a light cross-shore from the SSW at 3 mph, but the wave comment says it’s marginal. Combined energy is 551 (moderate). The afternoon is similar but with a cross-on from the SE. Not the best.

Here’s where it gets good. Tuesday the 14th is a standout. The afternoon session is the one. We got a glassy 5 ft swell from the ESE, with an 11-second period. The wind is glass—dead calm from the NNE at 3 mph. The wave comment says "very good surf conditions." Combined energy is 523 (moderate). That’s as clean as it gets on this reef. Crowds are possible here, so beat the rush.

Wednesday the 15th holds up nicely. Morning brings a cross-off from the NW at 6 mph, with 5 ft from the ESE, 10-second period. Clean. The afternoon shifts to a cross-off from the North at 9 mph, with 4 ft. Good conditions again. Combined energy stays moderate (447 and 374).

Thursday the 16th is another potential beauty. The morning offers a 5 ft swell from the East, with a 12-second period and cross-off wind from the NW at 6 mph. Wave comment says "very good." Combined energy is 581 (moderate). The afternoon has a 4 ft swell from the ESE, also 12-second period, with a light cross-shore from the NNE at 6 mph. Better on the morning side.

Friday the 17th sees the swell drop back to 3 ft, 12-second period, with clean cross-off wind in the morning. Afternoon gets a bit cross and the waves lose their steam.

Moving into the second week, the pattern stays similar but with shorter-period stuff. Saturday 18th and Sunday 19th both have morning cross-off wind and 4 ft swells from the ENE, but with only an 8-second period. Combined energy drops to 246 and 208. Clean but not as punchy.

Monday 20th and Tuesday 21st are much the same—clean mornings with 4 ft and 3 ft, but that short period means the reef might not hold the shape we want. Combined energy falls to 204 and 159 by Tuesday. Afternoons are a write-off with cross-chop.

Wednesday 22nd through Friday 24th is a flat spell. Swells barely crack 3 ft, period is 8 seconds, and the energy is weak (130-187). Paddling out for that is a tough sell.

Finally, Saturday 25th gives us a little lift. Morning has an offshore wind from the NW at 6 mph, with a 3 ft swell from the East, 8-seconds. Afternoon holds steady at 4 ft from the East, cross-off from the North. Combined energy jumps back to 254 and 278. It’s surfable. But Sunday the 26th looks nasty—cross-on wind from the SSE at 16 mph, with a 7 ft swell. Combined energy hits 913 (moderate-strong), but the conditions are poor and choppy. That last one’s for the kite surfers, not us.

Best bet: Tuesday 14th afternoon is the absolute peak of this outlook. Glassy, clean, and long-period swell. Thursday 16th morning is your runner-up.

Rusty.

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