Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, mate, let’s have a look at what Estaleiro Reef is offering up. It’s a reef break, so it’s got some structure to it, but it’s inconsistent, so you’ve got to be patient. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is a bit colder than normal for the time of year, so you’ll want a decent wetsuit.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a mixed bag, with plenty of ordinary days, but there is one true standout that’s worth circling on your calendar. We’re looking at a gap of very little worthwhile surf until we get to Saturday the 11th.

Let’s start with the early days. Monday the 6th through Wednesday the 8th are mostly a write-off. Small swell around 2 ft to 3 ft from the SE and ESE, with light cross-off winds. The combined wave energy is weak to moderate (best is 191), and the conditions are described as “surfable but very ordinary.” Honestly, not worth rushing for.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th don’t improve much. Same small swell, with the wind occasionally going offshore. The energy stays weak (85 to 172). Friday afternoon does see a jump in period to 13 seconds, but it’s onshore wind, so it’s a messy affair.

Now, here’s the highlight. Saturday the 11th of July. Get ready. The morning session is the one. We’ve got a solid 4 ft of ESE groundswell, with a very long 13-second period, howling with energy—560 combined energy! That’s a serious jump. The wind is light offshore from the NW, so it’s going to be clean. This is your best bet of the whole run. Because the swell direction is from the ESE and the optimum for Estaleiro is ESE, this is a perfect fit. The afternoon sees the wind shift cross-shore and the crowd factor could be an issue—it says “sometimes” crowded—so get out early.

Sunday the 12th drops off again, with cross-onshore wind and bumpy conditions.

Monday the 13th gives you a morning window with 3 ft from the SE, 12-second period, and light cross-off wind. The energy is solid (409), but it’s not the standout Saturday was. After that, it fades into a series of small, ordinary days until the end of the period.

A few things to note: Wednesday the 15th morning has 2 ft with a very long 14-second period and offshore wind, but it’s tiny. Monday the 20th afternoon goes glassy with 2 ft and a 15-second period, which would be clean, but again, small.

The final standout in the forecast window is that Saturday the 11th. Everything else is either too small or has the wrong wind. If you’re patient, that one morning is your shot.

Rusty.

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