Estaleiro Reef Surf Break

Lat Long: 27.02° S 48.57° W

Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 2 pm 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Estaleiro Reef sea temperature is
17.3° C
1.6° 

Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 13 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, S swell with 816 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:

The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 3s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 11) at 9PM.

Wave TypeTime (-03) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Fri 10th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 14s
Best Surf12AM (Mon 13th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 8s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sun 12th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.


Hey, Rusty here. We’ve got a slow start, but once Estaleiro Reef gets going, it’ll have some sweet moments. This reef break is a fickle one—it only breaks now and again, so you gotta be on it. The first few days are dead, but from Saturday, 11 July, things start looking up, and there’s a clear standout mid-week that’s worth the wait.

The first decent surf shows up Saturday morning, 11 July, with a 4ft swell from the ESE at 13 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, giving the waves some grunt, and the morning and afternoon are clean with light cross-offshore winds. Crowds are a real thing here—it can get packed, so expect some company. The water’s at 63°, which is a bit colder than usual for this time of year, so you’ll want a thicker wetsuit.

The real standout is Tuesday, 14 July. Tuesday morning is glassy with a 5ft ESE swell and 10-second period, but the afternoon is the pick: glassy conditions, a 5ft ESE swell at 11 seconds, and combined energy pumping at 533 (moderate wave energy). That’s a clean, solid afternoon session. Wednesday morning, 15 July, is another cracker—offshore wind from the WNW, 5ft ESE swell at 11 seconds, and combined energy of 604 (moderate wave energy). That’s the best on offer: clean, decent size, and the reef will be linking up nicely. Just keep in mind, with the swell over 5ft, it’s not for beginners—intermediate and up only.

After Wednesday afternoon, the swell drops and the period shortens. The second week sees a shift to a shorter-period ENE swell, mostly around 8 seconds. The mornings from Thursday, 16 July through to Monday, 20 July still offer clean, cross-off or offshore conditions with 3ft to 4ft surf, but the energy is weaker. The standout from this later stretch is Monday morning, 20 July—offshore wind, 4ft ENE swell at 8 seconds, and combined energy of 209 (weak wave energy). It’s surfable, but nothing special. From 21 July onward, it winds down into small, weak waves and poor conditions, so your window is really the first week.

Overall, the best bet is Wednesday morning, 15 July, with Tuesday afternoon, 14 July, a close second. Don’t sleep on the Saturday, 11 July sessions either—they’ll be clean and fun. Just remember, Estaleiro Reef is inconsistent, so when it’s on, you gotta go.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 13°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
2
2
2
0
2
0
!
1
0
2
2
3
3
3
1
3
2
2
2
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
ESE
12
0.7
E
14
1.1
ESE
13
0.8
ESE
13
0.9
ESE
13
1
ESE
12
1.2
ESE
12
2.2
SSE
8
0.7
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
11
1.1
SE
11
1.4
ESE
10
1.5
ESE
11
1.5
ESE
11
1.6
ESE
11
1.4
ESE
12
1.4
ESE
12
1.3
ESE
12
1.1
ESE
12
1
ESE
12
0.9
ESE
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
147
192
444
229
294
288
390
599
119
207
289
426
531
505
593
497
531
467
367
303
199
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
10
N
10
NNW
10
NNW
15
SE
10
NW
20
SSE
15
S
10
SSW
15
SE
10
SSW
5
SW
5
NNW
10
NW
10
WNW
15
NNE
5
WNW
10
NW
15
N
10
NW
10
NW
Wind State
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
on
cross-off
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
glassy
glassy
off
off
cross
off
off
cross-off
off
cross-off
High Tide
11:51PM0.70m
12:49PM0.98m
00:36AM0.72m
1:39PM1.04m
1:14AM0.76m
2:22PM1.06m
1:49AM0.81m
3:01PM1.04m
2:23AM0.87m
3:36PM0.99m
2:57AM0.92m
4:08PM0.92m
3:33AM0.94m
Low Tide
6:53PM0.31m
6:36AM0.20m
7:52PM0.30m
7:23AM0.11m
8:42PM0.33m
8:07AM0.05m
9:24PM0.38m
8:48AM0.01m
9:58PM0.44m
9:24AM0.01m
10:22PM0.50m
9:55AM0.04m
10:15PM0.53m
10:16AM0.10m
rain showers
mod rain
rain showers
rain showers
mod rain
clear
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:03
7:03
7:03
7:01
7:01
7:01
7:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:35
5:36
5:36
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:37
5:38
 mm
5
9
1
6
9
Temp °C
18
15
17
17
17
20
19
15
16
17
14
15
17
15
16
17
15
17
18
16
20
Feels °C
16
16
17
17
19
20
16
12
14
14
12
14
17
14
14
15
15
16
17
16
20
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

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