
Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 15 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 20 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, ENE swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 20 Sep, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 732 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 15 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 8s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 15) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 20) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Tue 15th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sun 20th Sep) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Sun 20th Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks at Estaleiro Reef.
Right off the bat, it’s a bit of a frustrating start. For the first five days, through to Saturday the 19th, the waves are tiny and messy – we’re looking at waves around 2ft to 2ft and weak energy (between 72 and 167), and the wind is all wrong. It’s onshore or cross-onshore, blowing straight into the face or putting chop on everything, so don’t bother paddling out. The water temp is sitting right on average for this time of year at 67°, so no surprises there regarding a wetsuit, but the conditions just aren’t worth the effort.
Now, here’s where things get interesting. Sunday the 20th is a bit of a stand-out, but with a major caveat. The morning is looking clean as a whistle with light offshore wind from the north, and a solid 7ft swell from the ENE pumping in (combined energy of 512). The swell period is only 8 seconds though, so it’s a bit short period and won’t have that groundswell grunt. The problem? By the afternoon, the swell kicks up to 8ft (combined energy of 1163) and it’s predicted to be too big for this break. That’s expert territory only, and even then, it might just be a washing machine. The morning window on the 20th is your best shot if you’re an experienced surfer at Estaleiro Reef.
After that craziness, Monday the 21st morning settles down nicely. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the ENE with light offshore wind straight out of the WNW (combined energy of 385). It’s still intermediate-friendly at that size, but the wind is perfect, giving you clean faces. This is the best bet for a good, non-intimidating session.
Tuesday the 22nd morning is another glassy gem, with 4ft of E swell and zero wind. It’s clean as a mirror, but the wave height is dropping off. The rest of that week is a slow fade into small, ordinary surf (2ft to 3ft) with cross-off winds keeping things tidy, but it’s not exciting.
Looking way ahead, the final day of the month, Wednesday the 30th, is a promising but long-range call. Both the morning and afternoon are glassy or with light cross-off wind, and a long-period 3ft to 3ft swell from the SE (12 seconds, combined energy around 359 to 386) should offer some clean, lined-up waves. The water’s calm, and that long period will make it feel punchier than the size suggests. It’s the only real highlight of the second week, so keep an eye on it.
Overall, don’t bother with this week until Sunday the 20th morning. The real sweet spot is Monday the 21st morning for a proper, clean session. The 30th is worth a mark on the calendar, but it’s a long way off.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 70mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | Monday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 12 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
71 | 59 | 80 | 38 | 59 | 117 | 41 | 77 | 49 | 84 | 60 | 192 | 173 | 306 | 501 | 499 | 717 | 466 | 383 | 311 | 263 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:54PM0.81m | 4:38AM0.85m | 4:11PM0.75m | 5:24AM0.75m | 4:14PM0.69m | 6:36AM0.66m | 1:48PM0.66m | 12:47PM0.69m | 7:48PM0.55m | 11:59AM0.77m | 10:41PM0.63m | 12:07PM0.85m | 11:28PM0.75m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:10AM0.32m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:44PM0.21m | 9:47AM0.48m | 10:17PM0.28m | 10:00AM0.57m | 11:04PM0.37m | 6:02PM0.54m | 4:33AM0.34m | 6:00PM0.47m | 5:23AM0.24m | 6:17PM0.40m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 11 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 25 | 24 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 27 | 25 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 9 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SSE 11 | ENE 5 | E 6 | ENE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 13 | SSE 11 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 |
71 | 59 | 40 | 38 | 59 | 117 | 41 | 77 | 49 | 39 | 60 | 117 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 446 | 466 | 383 | 311 | 263 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | SE 13 | SE 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | SE 10 | SE 10 | E 8 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSE 12 | — | — | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 |
35 | 33 | 26 | 37 | 39 | 26 | 17 | 16 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 15 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 12 | SE 15 | SE 13 | SSE 12 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 |
34 | 11 | 4 | 35 | 9 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 16 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 2 | SE 8 | — | SE 9 | SE 11 | — | — | E 4 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | — | — | — | S 4 |
— | 1 | 80 | — | 12 | 43 | — | — | 9 | 84 | 46 | 192 | 173 | 306 | 501 | 499 | 717 | — | — | — | 6 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 94 | 2 | 2 | 146 | 2 | 35 | 42 | 38 | 42 | 65 | 68 | 85 | 85 | 125 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 2 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










