
Surf Forecasts:
Estaleiro Reef surf forecast from 11 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 14 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, E swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 14 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, E swell with 643 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 11 Sep, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Estaleiro Reef this week:
The surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Estaleiro Reef in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 14) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (-03) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Fri 11th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Mon 14th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Estaleiro Reef over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ve been staring at the charts for Estaleiro Reef and it’s a pretty frustrating run. We’ve got a solid two-week window, but honestly, there’s not much to get excited about until the second week rolls around. The first week is a write-off for any decent wave quality, with only a couple of mornings offering something barely surfable.
Friday the 11th is a bit of a tease. Morning sees a weak 3ft swell from the ENE, with a period of 8 seconds, whipped up by a cross-offshore NNW breeze. The water temp is sitting at 66°, which is bang on average for this time of year. The combined wave energy is weak (111), and while the conditions are clean, the waves themselves are just ordinary. It’s the same deal in the afternoon with a touch more size (3ft) but still very ordinary.
Then we hit a solid dead zone. From Saturday the 12th all the way through to Monday the 14th, the wind goes wrong. We get a chunky pulse of swell hitting 6ft on Monday afternoon, but it’s being hammered by an onshore ESE breeze and the energy is high (576), but it’s just a mess. Then Tuesday the 15th... that’s the standout.
Tuesday morning is the only true highlight in the entire outlook. We’ve got a clean 6ft easterly swell, with a 9-second period, and the wind swings light WSW cross-offshore – glassy, clean conditions. The wave energy is strong (572). This is the call. The swell is over 5ft, so it’s probably too much for beginners, but for the intermediates and up, with that wind and that size, it’s the best we get. There’s a slight cross-on in the afternoon, so get out early. Crowds are ‘sometimes’ an issue here, so you might have a few mates out.
After that, it drops off again. Wednesday the 16th and Thursday the 17th are back to poor or marginal conditions. There’s a weird 16-second period pulse on Thursday afternoon, but it’s from the SE with a cross-on wind, so it’s not doing this reef much good.
Friday the 18th shapes up as another decent session. Morning sees a 6ft ENE swell (6-second period – a bit short) with a light cross-offshore NW breeze, and the energy is strong (416). The best part might be Friday afternoon when it goes glassy and drops to 4ft with a 7-second period. That glassy window is a beauty.
Saturday the 19th starts glassy again with a 5ft ENE swell (8-second period), but the wind swings onshore by the afternoon and spoils it.
The rest of the run is a washout. From Sunday the 20th all the way to the 26th, it’s a mix of weak swell, onshore wind, and poor conditions. Most days have tiny waves under 3ft. The only slight glimmer is Thursday the 24th morning with a glassy 2ft swell, but it’s just ordinary.
So, for the whole 16 days, Tuesday the 15th morning is your one big chance. Get stuck into that 6ft east swell with clean glassy winds. Friday the 18th morning is your next best. The rest is a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 74mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 14°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the N on Fri night, fresh winds from the ESE by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 19°C on Tue afternoon, min 14°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | SE 7 | E 7 | ESE 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 7 | SE 12 | ESE 9 | SE 16 | SE 13 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
75 | 83 | 85 | 67 | 169 | 123 | 57 | 98 | 60 | 163 | 302 | 501 | 561 | 449 | 234 | 107 | 121 | 425 | 123 | 193 | 163 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:28PM0.98m | 2:18AM1.08m | 2:51PM0.95m | 2:51AM1.07m | 3:13PM0.91m | 3:25AM1.02m | 3:35PM0.86m | 4:00AM0.94m | 3:54PM0.81m | 4:38AM0.85m | 4:11PM0.75m | 5:24AM0.75m | 4:14PM0.69m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:16PM0.31m | 8:40AM0.09m | 8:13PM0.25m | 8:46AM0.16m | 8:26PM0.20m | 8:55AM0.24m | 8:48PM0.17m | 9:10AM0.32m | 9:14PM0.17m | 9:28AM0.40m | 9:44PM0.21m | 9:47AM0.48m | 10:17PM0.28m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | |
— | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | |
mm | 7 | 10 | 4 | — | 6 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 19 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 18 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 22 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | SE 7 | SE 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SE 16 | SE 13 |
75 | 83 | 85 | 60 | 45 | 33 | 57 | 98 | 60 | 68 | 247 | 501 | 561 | 449 | 234 | 107 | 63 | 74 | 123 | 193 | 163 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 11 | E 12 | ESE 12 | E 12 | E 8 | SE 8 | ENE 8 | SSE 12 | NE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | S 10 | SE 13 | SE 12 | E 14 | ENE 8 | SSE 11 | E 9 | E 8 |
23 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 3 | 31 | 68 | 47 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 77 | 26 | 36 | 4 | 6 | 85 | 73 | 35 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | — | — | E 9 | — | SE 15 | SE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | ESE 10 | — | SSE 10 | SE 10 | E 14 | — | — | — | E 9 | E 7 |
13 | 13 | 3 | — | — | 2 | — | 8 | 7 | 46 | 12 | 10 | — | 83 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | 73 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 4 | — | — | SSE 6 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | ESE 5 | — | E 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | SSE 10 | SE 6 | SE 7 | SE 12 | — | ESE 5 | E 5 |
7 | — | — | 67 | 169 | 123 | 33 | — | 48 | 163 | 302 | — | — | — | 117 | 40 | 121 | 425 | — | 15 | 17 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 121 | 43 | 30 | 43 | 38 | 42 | 42 | 42 | 2 | 0 | 42 | 12 | 2 | 43 | 43 | 2 | 41 | 68 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Santa Catarina - Norte | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Brazil | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Estaleiro Reef Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Estaleiro Reef provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Estaleiro Reef can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Estaleiro Reef surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Estaleiro Reef) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Estaleiro Reef may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.










