Estaleiro Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. It’s been a bit slow out there, but we’ve got a run of surf coming through that’s worth paddling out for, especially if you pick your windows right.

The swell pattern kicks off with a small, clean spell this Friday morning, July 10th. Estaleiro Reef is the only spot in the game here. That first session has waves around 2ft coming from the east with a 14-second period – that’s long-period groundswell, which brings some nice shape but also longer waits between sets. The water’s a bit colder than normal at 63°, about 3° off the average. The wind’s WNW at 6 mph and offshore, making it glassy. Combined swell energy is moderate at 153 – not huge, but with that clean surface, it’s a fun, quiet session. Crowds are only sometimes here, so you might have it to yourself. It’s inconsistent by nature, so don’t expect a wave every minute.

Friday afternoon turns poor, with SSE wind messing it up, so you’re best off getting out early.

Now, the real standout comes Saturday morning, July 11th. Swell bumps up to 4ft from the ESE, still with a solid 13-second period, and wind is NNW at 6 mph – cross-offshore, keeping it clean. Combined energy jumps to 444, which is moderate but punchy. This is the best of the first week. The wave height is right for intermediates, not too big, and the conditions are excellent. Saturday afternoon holds similar quality with a bit less size at 3ft.

Sunday morning, July 12th, is clean again with 4ft from the ESE, offshore wind from the west, and energy at 417. But Sunday afternoon gets blown out by strong SE wind, so wrap it up before lunch.

The pattern tightens up from Monday July 13th through Wednesday July 15th – mostly small, marginal surf with cross-onshore or light winds. Not worth rushing for. Thursday July 16th and Friday July 17th offer small clean windows again, with Friday morning’s 4ft from the ENE, 8-second period, offshore wind – that’s a short-period swell, so waves will be a bit weaker and more chop-prone, but the clean wind makes it rideable.

The second week gets interesting. Saturday July 18th through Sunday July 19th shows consistent, clean surf in the mornings: 4ft to 5ft from the ENE, 8-second period, with NW winds keeping it clean. Energy sits around 217 to 253. It’s small but fun, and the break stays inconsistent. Monday July 20th and Tuesday July 21st have mixed conditions – Tuesday morning, July 21st, is notable for glassy conditions with WSW wind at just 3 mph, and 4ft from the ENE (9-second period). That’s a near-perfect surface, even if the swell is modest.

The final highlight lands Saturday morning, July 25th, with 5ft from the SE, 13-second period, and energy at 686 – that’s moderate-to-strong energy. Wind is SSW at 6 mph, cross-shore, so not perfect, but the long period and solid size make it the most powerful swell of the whole outlook. This one could really peel at the reef, but the cross wind might make it tricky. Still, for the second week, that’s your best bet.

In between, the gap from around July 14th to July 16th has few solid options, and then again from July 22nd to July 24th, it goes quiet. But with the consistent windows in the first and second weeks, it’s not a total blank.

So to wrap it up: Saturday July 11th morning is the clear winner of the first week – clean, 4ft ESE groundswell, light cross-off wind. And for the second week, Saturday July 25th morning has the most power, though wind is a bit sideways. Give it a look.

Stay wet,
Rusty

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