Rye On the Rocks Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat for the surf around here. We’ve got a solid 16-day window, but the wave models are showing nothing but small, weak waves, and the wind is often not playing along. Let’s get into it.

Alright, the first day we might even consider is Monday morning, August 3rd, but it’s a write-off. We’re looking at a weak 3ft SSE swell, but with a short, wobbly 5-second period, and a cross-shore breeze from the south at 9 mph. The wave energy is basically nothing (61), and the conditions are just poor. It’s a no-go.

The rest of the first week and into the second is a real struggle. Tuesday the 4th through to the 10th of August sees swell heights barely cracking 2ft, with periods between 5 and 9 seconds. The combined energy stays well under 100, mostly in the teens and twenties. We do get some clean windows – like Tuesday morning the 4th with a light offshore wind from the west at 9 mph, and Saturday morning the 8th with glassy conditions. But the waves are just too small to get excited about. The swell is coming from the SSE to SE, which is okay for the spot, but there’s just no power behind it.

The only break on the cards is Rye On the Rocks, a reef setup. It’s fairly consistent for a reef, but with this kind of forecast, even consistency doesn’t mean much. For a reef, you really want some groundswell, but the periods are mostly short-period junk. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing to write home about.

From the 11th of August onward, it’s more of the same. A few glassy mornings on the 12th and 15th, with a 0.7ft and 1ft swell respectively, but the energy is laughable – 14 and 33. The 14th of August sees a tiny bump with a 2ft swell from the south, but it’s a short 5-second period and the wind is a light cross-onshore. It’s not enough to do anything with.

Honestly, the most notable thing in the whole 16 days might be a few glassy or offshore windows, but the swell is so small it’s hard to call it surf. For a reef, you need a pulse of energy, and we just don’t have one. There’s a massive gap from the start until the 18th of August with no real recommendation. The 18th shows a 1.0ft SE swell, clean, but again, it’s a knee-high ripple at best.

Bottom line: There’s no standout swell, no quality wave to chase. The forecast is a flat, sleepy stretch. For a spot like this, a blank run like this is pretty normal. The board stays in the shed. The forecasts can change, but right now, it’s looking grim.

Rusty.

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