
Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 663 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 14s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. Honestly, it’s a tough outlook for this region. We’ve got a full 16-day stretch ahead, but there’s not a single moment I’d recommend paddling out. The whole period is a write-off for quality surf.
Right from the get-go on Tuesday, July 7th, we’re dealing with a messy trade-wind pattern. The wind is hammering out of the ENE at a solid 25 mph, sitting cross-onshore and just tearing up any chance of a clean wave. Swell is 8 ft from the ENE with a short, weak period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is moderate at 611, but with that wind, it’s just a lumpy, blown-out mess. The water temperature is 79°, which is about average for the time of year, but you won’t be noticing that through the wind chill.
This same grim story carries on day after day. Wednesday and Thursday keep the same 25 mph ENE winds, with cross and cross-onshore conditions keeping the surface chopped. Swell sits around 7 ft to 7 ft with a period of just 7 seconds. The energy stays moderate, between 417 and 498, but it’s all useless for surfing.
Friday and Saturday don’t let up. Still strong ENE winds around 22-25 mph, still cross-onshore. Swells hover around 7 ft to 7 ft, period at 7 seconds. The break, Rabbit/Manana Island, is exposed to this swell direction, and the wind is just ruining any chance of shape. The energy dips a little but it’s still moderate.
The pattern finally weakens slightly heading into the second week. By Tuesday, July 14th, the wind drops to 19 mph, but it’s still cross-onshore. Swell drops to 6 ft and the period stays a weak 7 seconds. Combined energy falls to 281. It’s poor surf, plain and simple.
There is a brief moment around July 18th where the swell period jumps to 11 seconds on Saturday morning, with a 4 ft swell from the E, and combined energy hits 446. But that wind is still a fresh 22 mph cross-onshore, lumpy and messy. No good.
The last few days of the forecast, from July 19th to 22nd, see a bit more size. Swells hit 8 ft from the E and ENE, with periods around 8 seconds. Combined energy peaks at 924 on the 19th. That’s strong wave energy, but it’s all for nothing with the wind locked in onshore. At 8 ft, this is really only for experts anyway, but with the conditions as they are, it’s a complete no-go for a clean ride. Frankly, with that much swell, poor surf quality, and strong onshore wind over a beach setup, this looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
It's a brutal run. A solid 16 days of nothing worth getting wet for. No standouts, no hidden gems. Just trade winds and chop. On the bright side, the break is fairly consistent, so this kind of blank run isn’t normal. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye out, but for now... stay home.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 25°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
606 | 522 | 485 | 417 | 456 | 440 | 498 | 417 | 417 | 498 | 542 | 462 | 423 | 395 | 412 | 475 | 508 | 525 | 439 | 362 | 310 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 10:04AM0.36m | 6:48PM0.45m | 11:36AM0.46m | 6:52PM0.41m | 12:27PM0.56m | 1:10PM0.65m | 1:52PM0.71m | 10:48PM0.30m | 2:34PM0.75m | 00:11AM0.30m | 3:15PM0.77m | 1:17AM0.31m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 1:09PM0.29m | 3:04AM0.02m | 4:21PM0.34m | 3:52AM-0.03m | 4:44AM-0.07m | 5:35AM-0.11m | 9:11PM0.25m | 6:26AM-0.14m | 9:32PM0.24m | 7:16AM-0.15m | 10:02PM0.22m | ||||||||||
5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | |
— | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
70 | 66 | 63 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 34 | 30 | 48 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 36 | 21 | 20 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 18 | S 8 | — | S 16 | S 16 | S 15 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | 5 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 9 | N 9 | — | — | S 18 | — | — | W 14 | S 23 | S 8 | S 8 | W 13 | S 8 | S 14 | — | W 13 | W 12 | SW 23 | S 20 | SSE 6 | SW 18 |
3 | 2 | — | — | 6 | — | — | 4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 21 | 8 | 4 | 13 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 |
606 | 522 | 485 | 417 | 456 | 440 | 498 | 417 | 417 | 498 | 542 | 462 | 423 | 395 | 412 | 475 | 508 | 525 | 439 | 362 | 310 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 111 | 111 | 55 | 57 | 142 | 55 | 55 | 55 | 48 | 51 | 55 | 55 | 60 | 111 | 48 | 48 | 111 | 48 | 49 | 54 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










