Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.5° C
0.2° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 12s period, E swell with 1,269 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.1m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11PM (Tue 28th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s happening.

Right now, it’s a rough stretch ahead. If you’re hoping to paddle out at Rabbit/Manana Island, you’re gonna be waiting a good while. The whole 16-day window is a bust, with no real standout days. The first week is pretty much a washout.

Tuesday the 28th starts things off, but forget about it. There’s a 2.2m swell from the east, but that northeasterly wind is blowing hard at 30 km/h right onshore, making everything a mess. The combined energy is moderate at 1847, but it’s just blown out. Wednesday the 29th has a little drop to 1.4m in the afternoon, with a 10-second period and cross-on winds at 15 km/h, but it’s still marginal – gentle cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth suiting up.

From Thursday the 30th through the end of the first week, the wind doesn’t let up. Easterly trades are pumping at 20-45 km/h, mostly cross or cross-on, keeping everything lumpy and messy. Wave heights bounce between 1.5m and 2.5m, but the period drops to 7-8 seconds – short-period wind swell that’s chunky but shapeless. Combined energy stays moderate, from 265 to 1054, but the quality is zero.

Into the second week, from August 4th onward, the swell drops to 1.2m to 1.6m, with the period stretching to 11-12 seconds on the 4th – a little more groundswell feel, but the wind is still cross-on from the northeast at 20-25 km/h. The water temp is 26°C, which is just about average for this time of year. Crowds are “sometimes” possible when it’s good, but there’s no good to be had.

This is one of those stretches where the wind is relentless, the swell is short-period and wind-affected, and every single session shows “poor surf conditions.” Nothing to chase. The entire 16 days is a blank run for the area.

Hang tight, wait for the trades to ease up.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the NE on Wed afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Fri afternoon).

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Fri night, min 24°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Fri night, moderate winds from the ENE by Mon morning).

Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
ENE
11
2
ENE
10
1.7
NE
9
1.1
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
E
8
1.7
E
7
1.8
E
8
2.1
E
7
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
9
1.7
ENE
9
1.4
ENE
9
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1027
733
470
180
308
233
311
377
478
699
850
827
865
699
642
554
442
397
318
Wind (km/h)
20
NNE
15
N
10
NE
20
E
20
E
30
ENE
25
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
45
ENE
45
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
NE
30
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:31AM0.33m
3:44PM0.66m
2:12AM0.34m
4:07PM0.66m
2:57AM0.35m
4:27PM0.64m
3:46AM0.36m
4:44PM0.61m
4:42AM0.37m
4:58PM0.57m
5:48AM0.38m
5:09PM0.52m
Low Tide
9:42PM0.21m
7:59AM-0.05m
10:06PM0.20m
8:32AM-0.04m
10:31PM0.18m
9:04AM-0.01m
10:57PM0.16m
9:37AM0.05m
11:22PM0.13m
10:12AM0.11m
11:50PM0.10m
10:52AM0.19m
00:22AM0.07m
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:10
7:10
7:09
7:09
7:08
7:08
7:07
 mm
Temp °C
25
26
27
27
26
26
26
26
25
25
24
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
Feels °C
25
28
29
29
27
26
25
23
21
21
19
21
21
22
21
22
23
23
23
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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