Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.2° C
0.2° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 7s period, ENE swell with 705 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11PM (Wed 8th Jul)8ft (2.5m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up about what we're looking at for the next couple of weeks. The forecast is pretty grim right from the jump and doesn’t let up. There isn’t a single day with decent enough conditions to paddle out at Rabbit/Manana Island. We're looking at a full 16-day blank. Yep, you heard that right.

The main issue is a relentless, strong cross-shore to cross-onshore wind out of the ENE, blowing at 18 to 25 mph almost non-stop. That turns any potential swell into a mess of lumpy, cross-chop. Even when there’s a bit of size – like 7ft on Saturday the 11th – the wind is just too strong and from the wrong direction to make it surfable. It’s just "poor surf conditions" straight down the line.

The water temp is sitting at 79°F with a tiny anomaly of 0.4°F, so nothing unusual there for this time of year, but you wouldn't want to be out in it anyway with those winds.

Now, things get a little interesting way out there. By the 21st of July, we start seeing some serious energy on the cards. The combined energy jumps way up to 858, and the period stretches out to a very long 18 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell. The direction shifts to E and NE, and the height drops back to 3ft to 4ft. That longer period with smaller height can mean clean lines, but the problem is that ENE cross-on wind is still there blowing at 18 mph. It’s still going to be lumpy.

This spot is exposed to NNE, and the optimum swell direction is from NNE. The swell we get on the 21st and 22nd is from the E and NE, so it’s close but not a perfect match. Because it's a long-period groundswell, it might wrap in a little better than the short-period junk we've been seeing. But that wind... it's a heartbreaker. For now, all we can do is watch the charts and hope the wind eases. A blank run like this is a real downer for the area, but forecasts can change. Keep an eye on it for that last week.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Wed morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sat morning). Mainly strong winds.

Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2.3
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
2
ENE
7
2
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2.2
ENE
7
2.2
ENE
7
1.7
E
7
1.9
ENE
7
2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.3
E
8
1.2
E
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
482
456
591
481
440
405
334
325
437
522
489
303
397
441
512
382
372
359
310
191
150
Wind (km/h)
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
11:36AM0.46m
6:52PM0.41m
12:27PM0.56m
1:10PM0.65m
1:52PM0.71m
10:48PM0.30m
2:34PM0.75m
00:11AM0.30m
3:15PM0.77m
1:17AM0.31m
3:55PM0.76m
2:18AM0.32m
Low Tide
4:21PM0.34m
3:52AM-0.03m
4:44AM-0.07m
5:35AM-0.11m
9:11PM0.25m
6:26AM-0.14m
9:32PM0.24m
7:16AM-0.15m
10:02PM0.22m
8:04AM-0.15m
10:36PM0.21m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
 mm
1
Temp °C
25
25
24
25
25
24
24
25
24
24
24
24
25
25
25
24
24
24
24
25
25
Feels °C
21
21
20
22
22
21
21
23
21
20
20
20
22
22
23
21
21
21
22
22
22
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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