Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, buddy, Rusty here. Looking at the charts for Rabbit/Manana Island on Oahu’s East side, and I’ve got to say, it’s a rough 16 days ahead. The westerly trade winds are going to be a real pain, and there’s not much to get excited about.

The biggest problem is that persistent ENE wind. For the first week, it’s blowing a strong breeze, 25 to 28 mph, and it’s almost always cross or cross-onshore. That’s the kiss of death for any kind of clean surf. The water temp is pretty normal for the season, nothing to write home about.

Through the first few days, from Saturday the 1st to Tuesday the 4th, we’ve got swell from 8 ft down to 5 ft, coming from the E or ENE. The period is short, only 8 seconds, so it’s all windswell junk. The wave energy is moderate, with readings from 1107 down to 436 (combined energy of all swells directed here), but it’s all ruined by the wind. The waves are too big for beginners on the 1st and 2nd (over 5 ft), and with that wind, it’s a complete mess. Honestly, this looks more like a kite surfing day than a paddle surfing day.

The whole first week and into the second is a total loss. There’s a slight break on Wednesday morning the 5th, with the wind dropping to a gentle breeze, and the swell is 4 ft from the ENE, with a 10-second period. It’s a marginal 1/10, but there’s a risk of thunderstorms later. Don’t count on it.

After that, it’s the same old story. From the 10th of August onward, the swell drops below 5 ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross-onshore, 15 to 22 mph. The wave energy is weak, usually under 300 (combined energy of all swells directed here), and the period is a short 7-8 seconds. It’s just not going to work.

So, bottom line: there are no standouts. The consistency is there for Rabbit/Manana Island, but the quality is terrible. It’s a long, dry spell. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d say save your wax and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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