
Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 7s period, ENE swell with 375 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 1.9m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 18s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 6ft (1.9m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one to call. To be honest with you, for the next sixteen days, the outlook for Rabbit/Manana Island is pretty grim. There’s not a single day in the forecast that offers a proper surf session. The wind is just relentless from the east-northeast, and it's almost always cross or cross-onshore, which is going to leave that water looking like a washing machine. You’ll be fighting a lumpy, choppy mess, not riding clean waves.
The swell sticks to a short-period, wind-driven ENE pulse, mostly around 6 to 8 seconds, so there’s no real power or shape to it. The combined energy climbs from a weak 210 (moderate wave energy) early on Thursday, August 6th, up to a very strong 856 by Monday, August 17th, but that energy is completely wasted by the wind. It’s just a big, blown-out, messy ocean. For a spot that’s exposed to the NNE, this constant ENE wind is just a killer.
The water temperature anomaly is average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there, but you won’t care about the temp when you’re getting blown sideways.
There’s a very brief moment on Friday, August 21st, the very last day of the forecast, where the wind finally swings around to the north at a light 6 mph, becoming offshore. The swell is still just 5 ft from the NE with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a moderate 325. It’s the only time the wind is right, but the swell is nothing special. It’s a glimmer of hope, but it’s a long way off and the rest of the fortnight is a write-off. For a spot that’s fairly consistent, this is a painfully long run of poor conditions.
Let’s be real, with this much wind and a messy cross-chop, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer right now.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 25°C on Thu morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sun afternoon, min 25°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
223 | 57 | 36 | 36 | 53 | 135 | 176 | 194 | 326 | 319 | 346 | 301 | 220 | 240 | 238 | 186 | 186 | 148 | 111 | 108 | 104 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 11:19AM0.53m | 12:18PM0.61m | 1:01PM0.68m | 1:40PM0.72m | 11:41PM0.30m | 2:17PM0.74m | 00:48AM0.34m | 2:50PM0.74m | 1:43AM0.37m | 3:21PM0.72m | 2:36AM0.40m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:11AM-0.00m | 4:25AM-0.03m | 5:29AM-0.07m | 8:45PM0.24m | 6:24AM-0.09m | 8:55PM0.22m | 7:12AM-0.10m | 9:16PM0.20m | 7:57AM-0.08m | 9:41PM0.17m | |||||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 7:06 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | — | 7:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
Feels °C | 25 | 26 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SSW 13 | NE 9 | NNW 11 | NNW 10 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 20 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 |
13 | 43 | 32 | 21 | 45 | 41 | 36 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 23 | 33 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 42 | 40 | 119 | 157 | 221 | 257 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NE 10 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | N 6 | SSW 13 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | NNW 8 | SSE 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SE 9 |
10 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 24 | 20 | 49 | 45 | 44 | 11 | 8 | 62 | 57 | 55 | 3 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | S 11 | S 11 | NNW 7 | NE 12 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | N 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 10 | NE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | SE 9 | W 12 |
6 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 23 | 9 | 20 | 19 | 30 | 11 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
223 | 57 | 36 | 36 | 53 | 135 | 176 | 194 | 326 | 319 | 346 | 301 | 220 | 240 | 238 | 186 | 186 | 148 | 111 | 108 | 104 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 20 | 19 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 49 | 55 | 49 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 48 | 20 | 21 | 48 | 21 | 21 | 48 | 48 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











