Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 am 30 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.6° C
0.3° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 30 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with 956 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 13s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11PM (Sat 1st Aug)8ft (2.5m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Right, c’mon in, grab a coffee. Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next sixteen days look like a real battle for this stretch of coast. We’re lookin’ at Rabbit/Manana Island, and honestly, the surf report is a tough read. There’s a long, grim stretch of poor conditions ahead, with a blip of hope way, way out on the horizon.

The whole forecast is a flat spell of onshore slop, thanks to a persistent ENE trade wind that just won’t let up. For the first full week, from Thursday, the 30th of July, right through to the 11th of August, it’s all no good. The wind is a constant cross or cross-onshore, often a fresh to strong breeze, churning the ocean into a lumpy, messy cross-chop. The wave comment is "poor surf conditions" for every single session with a score of zero. The swell is there, no doubt, but it’s short-period windswell, and the wind is ruining it completely. On Saturday the 1st of August, the combined wave energy hits 1107 (strong to very strong), with a 8ft swell from the ENE, but the wind is a strong breeze from the same direction, making it an ugly, blown-out mess. For a beginner, that size is too big, and for anyone, the quality is just destroyed. The water temp is around 80°F (normal for the time of year), but you won’t care about that when you’re getting blown off your board.

We’ve got a 12-day gap with no surfable recommendations here. The setup is a beach-and-reef combo, but with this much strong wind and poor quality, it honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing for the entire first half of the forecast.

There is one tiny, tiny glimmer. On Tuesday morning, the 11th of August, the wind finally swings to a light ESE cross-offshore breeze at just 10 km/h. The wave comment changes to "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions" with a score of 1. The swell is weak, 5ft from the ENE with a short period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy is only 177 (weak). It’ll be clean – glassy and clean, the wind state says "clean" – but the waves themselves will be ordinary. It’s the only period in the whole 16 days where you could even paddle out. Then, on Thursday afternoon, the 13th of August, we get a similar setup: a light ESE breeze at 10 km/h, clean conditions, but again a weak, short-period swell (3ft from the NE, 9 seconds, 171 energy). It’s the same story – a very brief window of clean but weak surf.

So, the honest truth is this: don’t hold your breath for the next two weeks. Keep your gear ready for that Tuesday the 11th of August, or Thursday the 13th of August, for a possible paddle in clean, weak waves. It’s not a standout, it’s a survivor. The rest of the period is a write-off. The breaks are fairly consistent in their offering, but the conditions are consistently poor. Forecasts can change, so don’t give up entirely, but as it stands, this is a tough one.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sun morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun morning, light winds from the ENE by Tue night).

Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
ENE
8
1.2
E
8
1.6
E
7
1.9
E
7
2.1
E
7
2.5
E
8
2.5
E
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
12
1.5
ENE
11
1.4
ENE
10
1.3
ENE
9
1.1
ENE
9
0.7
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
250
172
269
387
478
745
902
807
908
824
705
597
422
339
370
636
515
373
260
184
61
Wind (km/h)
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
45
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
25
NE
30
NE
25
ENE
20
ENE
25
NE
15
ENE
20
E
20
ENE
20
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross
cross
High Tide
4:07PM0.66m
2:57AM0.35m
4:27PM0.64m
3:46AM0.36m
4:44PM0.61m
4:42AM0.37m
4:58PM0.57m
5:48AM0.38m
5:09PM0.52m
7:16AM0.41m
5:14PM0.48m
9:27AM0.45m
4:57PM0.44m
Low Tide
8:32AM-0.04m
10:31PM0.18m
9:04AM-0.01m
10:57PM0.16m
9:37AM0.05m
11:22PM0.13m
10:12AM0.11m
11:50PM0.10m
10:52AM0.19m
00:22AM0.07m
11:44AM0.27m
1:03AM0.04m
1:35PM0.35m
1:59AM0.02m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:05
6:05
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:09
7:09
7:08
7:08
7:07
7:07
7:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
27
27
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
26
26
26
Feels °C
26
28
26
23
21
21
20
20
21
21
21
21
24
23
22
25
24
25
27
27
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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