Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 545 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let me break down what we’ve got coming up for the Rabbit/Manana Island zone. The honest truth is this forecast is a tough one: for the entire 16-day window, wave conditions are consistently described as poor, with no single day standing out as a good surf option. The prevailing ENE wind blows almost constantly, and it’s always cross-onshore, messy, or lumpy.
The swell direction is mostly from the ENE, which is the opposite of the optimum NNE direction for this spot, so the exposure is working against us. The swell period is short, mostly 6 to 8 seconds, meaning the waves are weak, disorganised windswell. The combined wave energy starts at 348 (moderate) on Friday July 10th, builds to a peak of 531 (moderate) on Sunday July 12th, and then gradually drops. There’s a bit of a spike on July 22nd with a longer period of 14 seconds from the east, but that’s still cross-onshore and lumpy. Water temperature is currently 79°, which is about average for the time of year.
From Friday July 10th right through to Saturday July 25th, the story is the same: strong ENE wind, 15 to 25 mph, and waves in the 4 ft to 7 ft range. The period stays short, so the waves are fat and choppy. Even when the swell pushes over 7 ft, it’s messy and not surfable for a regular paddle session. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, honestly. There are simply no standout days, no hidden gems, and no clean windows. The closest you get to a break in the wind is a few days with moderate breeze, but the waves are still choppy and cross-onshore.
So, in short: leave the boards at home for this stretch. The forecast can always change, but as it stands, this is a blank run. It’s a bummer, but it’s the reality of the trade winds funneling straight into the island.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Fri afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 25°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Mon afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 348 | 420 | 400 | 355 | 373 | 531 | 501 | 501 | 411 | 336 | 286 | 257 | 250 | 112 | 125 | 199 | 199 | 158 | 166 | 150 | 306 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:52PM0.71m | 10:48PM0.30m | 2:34PM0.75m | 00:11AM0.30m | 3:15PM0.77m | 1:17AM0.31m | 3:55PM0.76m | 2:18AM0.32m | 4:33PM0.73m | 3:19AM0.32m | 5:06PM0.69m | 4:23AM0.32m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 5:35AM-0.11m | 9:11PM0.25m | 6:26AM-0.14m | 9:32PM0.24m | 7:16AM-0.15m | 10:02PM0.22m | 8:04AM-0.15m | 10:36PM0.21m | 8:49AM-0.11m | 11:10PM0.19m | 9:34AM-0.06m | 11:44PM0.16m | 10:16AM0.02m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 |
 | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | 7:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | NNE 8 | SSW 17 | NNE 7 | S 16 |
| kJ | 11 | 11 | 34 | 30 | 48 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 112 | 65 | 31 | 48 | 66 | 29 | 43 | 20 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 21 | SSW 19 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | N 8 | SSW 19 | SSE 6 | SSW 17 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | W 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 15 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 17 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36 | 3 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 19 | 26 | 17 | 21 | 6 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 13 | W 14 | S 14 | — | W 13 | — | W 12 | S 20 | SW 21 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 15 | SE 9 | SSW 13 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SW 16 |
| kJ | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 8 | 17 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 8 | 3 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | E 8 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | E 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 348 | 420 | 400 | 355 | 373 | 531 | 501 | 501 | 411 | 336 | 286 | 257 | 250 | 76 | 125 | 199 | 199 | 158 | 166 | 150 | 306 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 59 | 49 | 55 | 59 | 55 | 57 | 57 | 49 | 49 | 51 | 48 | 21 | 22 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 9 | 48 | 49 | 49 | 55 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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