Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 13 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 13 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with 459 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 13) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 16s period and expected on Monday (Jul 13) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 13th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Rabbit/Manana Island is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for decent paddle surfing. The wind is locked in from the east-northeast, and it’s howling. Every single day we’ve got cross-on or cross-shore breezes at 12 mph to 25 mph, creating lumpy, choppy, or messy conditions. The wave energy is pitifully weak for the first ten days, barely cracking 345 (combined energy), and while it does build into the second week, the wind never lets up.
The first real surfable day? There isn’t one. The first week is a total washout. Monday the 13th through to Sunday the 20th sees swell heights between 4 ft and 6 ft, but with that fresh onshore wind, it’s just a churned-up mess. The combined energy is weak, staying under 300 for most of that period. You’re looking at a flat, blown-out week.
The second week is a cruel tease. The swell actually builds. From Monday the 21st through to Monday the 28th, the swell height sticks around 5 ft to 6 ft, and the combined energy climbs from 264 all the way up to a beastly 1134 on the 28th. That’s a lot of power. But the wind—always that cross-on from the ENE or NE—keeps it ragged. The period is mostly short, around 7-8 seconds, until the 27th and 28th when it jumps to 12-14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, but with that persistent cross-on wind, it’s going to be bumpy, straight, and frustrating. The 28th of July shows a 6 ft, 12-second swell from the ENE with a combined energy of 1134, but the wind is still a fresh cross-on 22 mph. That’s a whole lot of energy with zero quality.
Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The consistent wind and building swell would be a dream for them, but for a surfer? It’s a hard pass. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no drama there, but with the wind never dropping, there’s nothing to recommend. The best bet? Nothing. This is a blank run. It’s a bummer, but that’s the way it goes sometimes.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 25°C on Mon afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sun night, light winds from the E by Tue night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 26°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Wed night, fresh winds from the ENE by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sun 19 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 459 | 345 | 310 | 249 | 276 | 194 | 199 | 138 | 114 | 222 | 146 | 165 | 220 | 170 | 181 | 151 | 173 | 186 | 229 | 276 | 246 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 00:11AM0.30m | 3:15PM0.77m | 1:17AM0.31m | 3:55PM0.76m | 2:18AM0.32m | 4:33PM0.73m | 3:19AM0.32m | 5:06PM0.69m | 4:23AM0.32m | 5:34PM0.63m | 5:36AM0.33m | 5:55PM0.57m | 7:07AM0.34m | 6:08PM0.51m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:32PM0.24m | 7:16AM-0.15m | 10:02PM0.22m | 8:04AM-0.15m | 10:36PM0.21m | 8:49AM-0.11m | 11:10PM0.19m | 9:34AM-0.06m | 11:44PM0.16m | 10:16AM0.02m | 00:18AM0.13m | 10:57AM0.11m | 00:51AM0.11m | 11:40AM0.20m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — |
 | 7:15 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:14 |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | E 8 | SSW 17 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | SSW 16 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | SSW 17 | NNE 7 | SSW 16 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 39 | 36 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 138 | 77 | 48 | 43 | 42 | 29 | 29 | 49 | 29 | 37 | 43 | 32 | 22 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | N 8 | SSW 19 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | N 7 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 14 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 36 | 18 | 16 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 25 | 29 | 16 | 24 | 7 | 20 | 36 | 39 | 27 | 28 | 14 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 12 | S 20 | S 6 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | W 16 | SSW 13 | SSE 8 | S 7 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | S 19 | S 18 |
| kJ | 3 | 8 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 19 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 42 | 16 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 27 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 7 | NE 7 | — | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 |
| kJ | 459 | 345 | 310 | 249 | 276 | 194 | 199 | — | 114 | 222 | 146 | 165 | 220 | 170 | 181 | 151 | 173 | 186 | 229 | 276 | 246 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 50 | 48 | 49 | 19 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 43 | 48 | 0 | 48 | 54 | 48 | 49 | 54 | 48 | 49 | 54 | 20 | 48 | 114 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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