Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 22 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, E swell with 1,127 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 13s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’re looking at a 16-day window for Rabbit/Manana Island, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough stretch. The trade winds are locked in from the ENE, blowing hard and messy, and they’re not letting up. This is going to be a long wait for any kind of decent wave.
The first few days are a write-off. Wednesday the 22nd through to the end of July, it’s all cross-shore and cross-onshore winds with speeds hitting 25 mph, just tearing the surface apart. The swell is there, around 5 ft to 7 ft, but it’s short-period windswell (7 seconds) and the wind is ruining it. The combined energy is moderate but it doesn’t matter – it’s just a messy, lumpy, choppy mess. Not worth paddling out for.
We do get a bit of a shift in the first week of August. The wind eases back a little, dropping to a moderate breeze around 16 mph from the NE. The swell direction swings around to the E and ENE, with period stretching out to 12 to 14 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. The combined energy is strong, hitting 889 and 830 on the 5th. But here’s the kicker – the wind is still cross-on. It’s not clean. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing weird there.
So, the honest truth? There’s no standout session in this whole outlook. The only session that even gets a marginal nod is Wednesday morning, July 29th. We’ve got a 6 ft swell from the E with a 12-second period, and the wind is down to a gentle 9 mph. It’s still cross-on, so it’ll be choppy, but it’s the least ugly wave in the bunch. The combined energy is moderate at 932. This break is fairly consistent, but it’s exposed and the optimum direction is NNE, and we’re getting E and ENE swells, so it’s not lining up perfectly. Crowds are possible here, but with conditions this average, you’ll probably have it to yourself.
For the rest of the run, if you’re desperate, you’re looking at a lot of cross-onshore slop. The swell is too short-period and the wind is too strong. This setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, to be honest. It’s a long, blank run with no real highlights. But hey, it’s a consistent spot, so forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sat morning, min 24°C on Sat morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 12 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 240 | 189 | 139 | 384 | 340 | 366 | 346 | 325 | 498 | 441 | 425 | 493 | 435 | 527 | 706 | 797 | 775 | 891 | 865 | 852 | 835 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:21PM0.51m | 12:58PM0.56m | 1:29PM0.59m | 1:57PM0.62m | 10:51PM0.28m | 2:25PM0.63m | 00:03AM0.30m | 2:52PM0.65m | 00:49AM0.31m | 3:19PM0.66m | 1:31AM0.33m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 3:43AM0.04m | 4:39AM0.02m | 5:29AM-0.00m | 9:26PM0.24m | 6:12AM-0.02m | 9:10PM0.23m | 6:51AM-0.04m | 9:22PM0.23m | 7:26AM-0.05m | 9:42PM0.21m | |||||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 12 | E 11 | E 12 | S 12 | S 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | S 12 | SSW 16 | E 14 | SSW 19 | E 16 | E 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | 103 | 92 | 139 | 44 | 55 | 66 | 104 | 25 | 52 | 62 | 115 | 176 | 435 | 527 | 706 | 797 | 775 | 891 | 865 | 852 | 835 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | S 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 20 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 17 | E 15 | SSW 19 | E 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 14 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 59 | 58 | 52 | 77 | 75 | 31 | 46 | 59 | 42 | 125 | 54 | 103 | 90 | 85 | 83 | 73 | 42 | 41 | 36 | 32 | 132 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 22 | NNW 10 | NNW 10 | S 11 | NNW 9 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 16 | E 17 | E 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SE 11 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | — | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 20 | 19 | 91 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 7 | 44 | 82 | 50 | 49 | 47 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 2 | — | 38 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 9 | NNE 7 | — |
| kJ | 240 | 189 | 137 | 384 | 340 | 366 | 346 | 325 | 498 | 441 | 425 | 493 | 368 | 382 | 362 | 242 | 274 | 142 | 165 | 86 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 55 | 49 | 48 | 57 | 57 | 49 | 55 | 59 | 49 | 55 | 111 | 19 | 51 | 57 | 48 | 48 | 55 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 19 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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