Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 27 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
27.1°C
0.3° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, ENE swell with 538 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 17s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful11AM (Tue 1st Sep)6.5ft (2.0m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s Rusty here, and honestly, the next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for us. We’ve got a long stretch ahead with no real surf on offer, so let’s just be straight about that.

The whole 16-day window is pretty much a write-off for good waves. We start with a gap of over a week where there’s nothing ridable. The winds are just going to be a constant problem – mostly fresh cross-shore and cross-onshore, which is going to leave the ocean lumpy and chopped up. There’s some swell on the way, sure, but the quality is going to be poor, and the energy is weak to moderate at best (189–342) through the first week. It’s going to be messy.

We had a small window around Thursday the 3rd through Saturday the 5th where things lighten up a touch, with swell around 4ft, but the period is still short and the winds are still cross-onshore. It’s surfable for someone who just wants to get wet, but you’ll be fighting the chop the whole time. Not worth getting excited about.

Then, there’s another quiet patch until around Sunday the 6th. That day, the winds finally back off to a gentle breeze, and the surf becomes “marginal” at best. We're looking at 3ft with a more reasonable 11-second period. The energy is still moderate (262–307), but it’s the first time the ocean looks semi-clean. Still, it’s a far cry from good.

The best of a bad bunch looks like it could be Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th. The swell stays around 4ft, the period is a solid 11 seconds, and while the wind is still cross-shore, it’s lighter. Energy is picking up too (526–539). It’s got the most potential of the bunch, but it’s still only marginal. If you can, that’s your window. The swell direction is from the east, which is okay for our exposed spots, but the optimistic side is that it’s not a huge, unruly swell.

If we’re talking about a specific break, look to Rabbit/Manana Island. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but given the conditions, even it will be tough. The swell is all coming from the ENE, which is roughly in line with its optimal direction, and it’s an exposed spot, so it’ll see most of it. Just don’t expect any standouts.

Honestly, this is one of those stretches where the weather just isn’t on our side. A blank run like this is more normal for this area than people like to admit. Forecasts can change, though, so don’t give up hope entirely. But as it stands, the paddle out is going to be more of a fight than a pleasure.

Keep it salty.

Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Thu morning, min 25°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 26°C on Sun morning, min 25°C on Sun morning). Mainly strong winds.

Thursday
27
Friday
28
Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
E
6
1.3
ENE
6
1.4
E
6
1.4
ENE
6
1.5
ENE
6
1.7
ENE
6
1.6
ENE
6
1.9
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
1.7
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.7
ENE
8
2.1
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
0.7
E
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
176
139
151
144
146
212
210
298
295
263
306
241
407
447
476
538
493
403
519
382
207
Wind (km/h)
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
25
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
High Tide
2:57PM0.65m
2:22AM0.43m
3:14PM0.63m
3:05AM0.46m
3:30PM0.60m
3:52AM0.48m
3:45PM0.56m
4:44AM0.51m
3:57PM0.51m
5:44AM0.52m
4:04PM0.47m
7:03AM0.52m
3:54PM0.43m
Low Tide
9:08PM0.15m
8:18AM0.02m
9:29PM0.12m
8:54AM0.07m
9:52PM0.09m
9:33AM0.13m
10:17PM0.05m
10:16AM0.20m
10:46PM0.03m
11:06AM0.27m
11:19PM0.02m
12:22PM0.33m
00:03AM0.02m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:11
6:11
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:51
6:50
6:49
6:47
6:46
6:46
6:45
 mm
1
2
Temp °C
26
25
25
25
26
25
25
26
25
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
Feels °C
24
22
22
22
23
21
21
23
22
23
23
24
23
24
24
25
24
25
25
25
26
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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