Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 28 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.4° C
0.1° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, E swell with 1,642 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 15s period and expected on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Wed 29th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 29th Jul)7ft (2.1m) 10s
Most Powerful 2PM (Tue 28th Jul)7ft (2.2m) 13s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down the surf at Rabbit/Manana Island for the next couple of weeks.

It’s a rough start. Tuesday July 28th is a total loss. There’s a 7 ft swell from the east, but it’s being hammered by a 30 km/h cross-onshore wind from the NE. The wave energy is high at 1664, but the surface is lumpy and messy. Don’t bother.

Your one true window is Wednesday July 29th. The swell drops to 7 ft from the ENE, with a 10-second period. The wind goes glassy in the morning, then turns to a light cross-off in the afternoon. That’s about as clean as it gets around here. The water is 80°, which is normal for this time of year. Crowds can pop up here sometimes, so expect a few others. This is the day to mark.

From Thursday July 30th through the end of the first week, the trades fire up again. Strong ENE winds, 25 to 45 km/h, keep the surface rough. Swell runs 5 ft to 7 ft, but it’s all cross-shore chop and mess. On Saturday August 1st, the swell hits 8 ft, but with strong messy cross-shore winds, it’s just a churn. The wave energy hits 979, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

The second week, from August 3rd onward, is more of the same. Consistent ENE swell, but the trade winds stay strong. The period drops to 8 seconds or less most days, so the waves are weak and choppy. On August 4th, we see a longer period of 12 seconds, but the wind is still a fresh 30 km/h cross-onshore, so it’s bumpy. Wave energy is moderate to moderate-strong, between 261 and 660, but the wind ruins the surface.

Finally, on Wednesday August 12th, the wind eases to a light cross-off from the ESE, just 5 to 10 km/h. The swell is 5 ft to 6 ft from the ENE with a short 7-second period, but the clean conditions make it worth a paddle. It’s the only other decent chance in the whole 16 days, but it’s a long way out.

So, keep your eyes on Wednesday July 29th. That’s the cleanest surf you’re going to get. The rest of it is a battle with the wind.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Some drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed morning).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Fri morning, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds.

Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Thursday
30
Friday
31
Saturday
1
Sunday
2
Monday
3
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
1
3
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
E
13
2.2
E
13
2.2
ENE
11
2.1
ENE
10
1.8
NE
9
1.5
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.4
ENE
8
1.7
E
7
2
E
7
2
E
7
2.5
E
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.5
ENE
8
2.4
ENE
8
2.3
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.8
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
1.6
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1510
1609
1173
821
515
299
308
226
311
427
423
756
773
787
844
801
705
597
446
338
336
Wind (km/h)
25
NE
30
NNE
15
NNE
5
SW
5
SE
15
SE
20
ENE
25
ENE
25
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
45
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
NE
35
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
on
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
3:19PM0.66m
1:31AM0.33m
3:44PM0.66m
2:12AM0.34m
4:07PM0.66m
2:57AM0.35m
4:27PM0.64m
3:46AM0.36m
4:44PM0.61m
4:42AM0.37m
4:58PM0.57m
5:48AM0.38m
5:09PM0.52m
Low Tide
9:42PM0.21m
7:59AM-0.05m
10:06PM0.20m
8:32AM-0.04m
10:31PM0.18m
9:04AM-0.01m
10:57PM0.16m
9:37AM0.05m
11:22PM0.13m
10:12AM0.11m
11:50PM0.10m
10:52AM0.19m
00:22AM0.07m
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:01
6:01
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
6:03
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:10
7:10
7:09
7:09
7:08
7:08
7:07
 mm
1
Temp °C
25
26
25
27
27
27
26
26
26
26
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
Feels °C
25
26
25
30
29
29
26
26
25
23
21
21
20
21
21
21
21
21
22
22
22
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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