Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 6 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, ENE swell with 551 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 06) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 20s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 6th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, I'll be straight with you. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for a paddle. We've got a solid pulse of ENE swell rolling in, but the wind is just relentless out of the same direction – a constant cross-onshore that's going to keep things messy and lumpy.
The forecast kicks off with Saturday, July 4th, showing 6 ft of short-period ENE swell at 8 seconds, but it's already getting hammered by 19 mph cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is moderate at 346. That's a no-go. This pattern locks in through the whole first week. By Sunday the 5th, the swell jumps to 7 ft with 25 mph winds – combined energy hitting 435 – but it's "strong cross-onshore and messy." Honestly, for the next ten days straight, every session is either "poor surf conditions" or "poor surf conditions." It's a tough stretch.
The only spot with any kind of setup in the guidance is Rabbit/Manana Island. It's an exposed spot that can handle an ENE swell, but with this wind lineup, there's no getting around it. The swell direction is perfect, but the wind direction is the same, making it a classic battle. The waves will be there, but they'll be blown out, lumpy, and tough to ride.
There's a slight breather around Tuesday, July 14th. The swell drops to 5 ft from the ENE, and the wind eases to a moderate 16 mph cross-shore. The combined energy is down to 198. It's still not clean, but it's the least offensive looking window. Wednesday the 15th drops to 4 ft with a 6-second period – that's weak, weak energy at 154. You'd be fighting a moderate cross-onshore chop for tiny, gutless waves.
Late in the window, around July 17th and 18th, we see a slight uptick back to 5-6 ft, but the wind stays fresh and cross-onshore, so it's more of the same. Sunday the 19th fades to 5 ft.
All up, I can't point you to a standout session. Not one. The combination of persistent ENE swell and relentless ENE wind means Rabbit/Manana Island is basically a write-off for good surf for the entire 16-day period. If you're desperate, the window on the 14th and 15th might give you some bumpy, choppy lines. But if you've got a kite, this setup looks way more fun for you than for a surfer with a shortboard.
hang in there,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Fri 10 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 365 | 322 | 339 | 337 | 382 | 423 | 508 | 447 | 546 | 408 | 487 | 428 | 444 | 363 | 344 | 293 | 348 | 369 | 264 | 249 | 302 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:22AM0.27m | 6:00PM0.58m | 5:41AM0.27m | 6:18PM0.54m | 7:34AM0.29m | 6:34PM0.50m | 10:04AM0.36m | 6:48PM0.45m | 11:36AM0.46m | 6:52PM0.41m | 12:27PM0.56m | 1:10PM0.65m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 00:39AM0.17m | 10:19AM0.04m | 1:11AM0.15m | 10:54AM0.11m | 1:44AM0.11m | 11:39AM0.20m | 2:21AM0.07m | 1:09PM0.29m | 3:04AM0.02m | 4:21PM0.34m | 3:52AM-0.03m | 4:44AM-0.07m | |||||||||
 |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — |
 | 7:15 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 24 | 89 | 128 | 123 | 104 | 102 | 86 | 84 | 76 | 71 | 70 | 66 | 63 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 12 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | NW 12 | NW 12 | ESE 9 | NW 11 | NNW 11 | NW 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 9 | N 9 | S 10 | S 8 | S 9 | SE 8 | — | S 8 | S 16 | S 15 | S 8 | SW 21 |
| kJ | 25 | 24 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | — | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 23 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | NW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | NW 10 | NW 10 | S 18 | NW 9 | NW 9 | S 10 | S 18 | S 18 | SE 8 | S 16 | S 8 | S 8 | SW 21 | S 8 |
| kJ | 41 | 49 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 7 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 365 | 322 | 339 | 337 | 382 | 423 | 508 | 447 | 546 | 408 | 487 | 428 | 444 | 363 | 344 | 293 | 348 | 369 | 264 | 249 | 302 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 49 | 54 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 49 | 59 | 112 | 111 | 55 | 57 | 48 | 55 | 55 | 48 | 49 | 60 | 55 | 55 | 111 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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