Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 08 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.2° C
0.2° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 621 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 12) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 2AM (Thu 9th Jul)7.5ft (2.3m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Rabbit/Manana Island is a tough one. We’ve got a solid 16-day window in front of us, but the ocean is not playing nice. The whole run is plagued by strong, onshore and cross-shore winds out of the ENE, keeping the surface lumpy, choppy, and just plain messy. There’s no clean, glassy dawn patrol in sight at this spot. The swell is mostly in the 6 ft to 7 ft range from the ENE, with a short, weak period of 7 to 8 seconds, so the waves are going to be soft and crumbly. The combined wave energy sits in the moderate range (values between 300 and 500), but it’s all for nothing with that wind.

The water temperature is sitting at a warm 79°, which is pretty much average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The only glimmer of something different comes in the second week. On July 21st, Tuesday afternoon, the swell direction shifts to the NE and drops to 3 ft, but the period jumps to a very long 17 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, but the combined energy is still a strong 899. The problem is the wind is still a cross-onshore offshore breeze at 16 mph, so it’ll be choppy.

Then on July 22nd, Wednesday morning, we see a 4 ft easterly swell with a long 15-second period, and the wind is a cross-shore, still lumpy. The energy is still high at 781. While these long-period swells can bring some shape, at a beach break like Rabbit/Manana, they can often just break too straight. The wind is just never clean enough to call it a standout.

The biggest swell of the window hits on July 18th, with 10 ft ENE swell. That’s strictly for experts only, and with the wind howling cross-shore, the setup is a washing machine. That kind of energy (1245-1464) with that wind is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer – honestly, it’s going to be a mess.

So, what’s the pick? Honestly, there are no true standouts. If I had to choose, the July 21st and 22nd period offers the best potential, purely because of the longer period swells. The July 22nd morning has a 4 ft swell from the east with a 15-second period. The wind is a cross-shore, so it’s not clean, but it’s the least terrible option. The crowd factor is "sometimes" here, so you might share it, but given the conditions, it probably won’t be packed.

Overall, it’s a long stretch of poor surf. Keep your expectations low and your wax soft.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Some drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 25°C on Sun afternoon, min 24°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Wed
8
Thursday
9
Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.2
ENE
7
2.3
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
2
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
7
2
ENE
7
2
ENE
7
1.6
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2.2
ENE
8
2.2
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1.6
E
8
1.7
ENE
7
1.8
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
2.1
ENE
7
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
498
621
422
440
456
346
338
348
435
412
284
462
545
581
410
389
294
305
344
449
432
Wind (km/h)
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
NE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
E
35
ENE
Wind State
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
High Tide
6:52PM0.41m
12:27PM0.56m
1:10PM0.65m
1:52PM0.71m
10:48PM0.30m
2:34PM0.75m
00:11AM0.30m
3:15PM0.77m
1:17AM0.31m
3:55PM0.76m
2:18AM0.32m
Low Tide
4:21PM0.34m
3:52AM-0.03m
4:44AM-0.07m
5:35AM-0.11m
9:11PM0.25m
6:26AM-0.14m
9:32PM0.24m
7:16AM-0.15m
10:02PM0.22m
8:04AM-0.15m
10:36PM0.21m
8:49AM-0.11m
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
5:54
5:54
5:54
5:56
5:56
5:56
5:56
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
7:15
 mm
1
Temp °C
25
24
25
25
24
24
25
24
24
24
24
24
25
24
24
24
24
25
25
25
25
Feels °C
21
20
23
22
21
21
22
21
21
21
20
21
22
20
21
20
21
22
22
24
23
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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