
Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 7s period, ENE swell with 408 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.1m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 18s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, pull up a seat. Rusty here, and I’ve gotta be straight with you about this stretch ahead. We’re looking at a pretty grim run for Rabbit/Manana Island for the next couple of weeks, so don’t be holding your breath.
What we’ve got is a classic case of a spot that’s exposed to the swell, but it's getting hammered by onshore and cross-shore winds that just won’t let up. The water temp is sittin’ around 80°F, which feels normal for this time of year.
The whole 16-day window is basically a write-off for clean, ridable waves. We start off on Wednesday the 5th of August with weak, short-period swell from the ENE around 4ft to 4ft, but it’s wrapped in a moderate cross-onshore breeze, making for choppy, poor conditions. This trend holds through the first week. The swell energy is weak to moderate, rarely cracking triple digits (277) early on, but the wind is the real killer – just a constant grind of fresh to strong breezes from the ENE or NE, keeping the surface lumpy and messy.
As we roll into the second week, the swell actually starts to build. By Sunday the 16th of August, we’re seeing head-high, 7ft ENE swell with moderate energy (520), and it keeps climbing, hitting 8ft with strong energy (651) by Monday the 17th. The period stretches out to 8 seconds later on, which gives the waves a bit more shape, but the wind remains a stubborn cross-onshore at 22-28 mph. With waves over 8ft and messy, windy conditions, this is strictly for the experts – and even then, it’s more of a battle than a session. Honestly, with this consistent cross-onshore wind and a beach setup, this stretch looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
I can’t point to a single standout here. There isn’t one. We’re looking at a solid two-week gap with nothing worth paddling out for. That’s unusual for an exposed spot like this, but when the trades set in, they set in hard. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a big *pass*.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 25°C on Wed morning, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Sat morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
269 | 203 | 68 | 119 | 57 | 44 | 50 | 87 | 135 | 181 | 181 | 316 | 355 | 403 | 335 | 214 | 193 | 219 | 156 | 136 | 127 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 9:27AM0.45m | 4:57PM0.44m | 11:19AM0.53m | 12:18PM0.61m | 1:01PM0.68m | 1:40PM0.72m | 11:41PM0.30m | 2:17PM0.74m | 00:48AM0.34m | 2:50PM0.74m | 1:43AM0.37m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 1:35PM0.35m | 1:59AM0.02m | 3:11AM-0.00m | 4:25AM-0.03m | 5:29AM-0.07m | 8:45PM0.24m | 6:24AM-0.09m | 8:55PM0.22m | 7:12AM-0.10m | 9:16PM0.20m | |||||||||||
6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:04 | — | — | 7:02 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 10 | NNE 8 | ENE 9 | NNW 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NNW 7 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | NNW 11 | NNW 10 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 20 |
269 | 7 | 68 | 13 | 42 | 32 | 21 | 9 | 41 | 36 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 23 | 33 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 42 | 40 | 119 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NE 10 | NE 12 | N 7 | N 6 | N 6 | SSW 18 | S 18 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | SSW 14 |
8 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 24 | 24 | 20 | 49 | 9 | 44 | 11 | 6 | 63 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | SSW 11 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | S 11 | ENE 10 | NNW 7 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 6 | NNW 7 |
13 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 25 | 8 | 20 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 45 | 16 | 8 | 4 | 5 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 9 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | E 7 |
— | 203 | 59 | 119 | 57 | 44 | 50 | 87 | 135 | 181 | 181 | 316 | 355 | 403 | 335 | 214 | 193 | 219 | 156 | 136 | 127 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 19 | 19 | 19 | 48 | 19 | 19 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 55 | 55 | 49 | 48 | 49 | 48 | 48 | 49 | 19 | 48 | 19 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Latest Updates
Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











