Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, ENE swell with onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 27 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 14s period, ENE swell with 2,049 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.4m 14s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 16s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Mon 27th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next couple of weeks at Rabbit/Manana Island. It’s a bit of a slow burner, to be honest. The first few days are a total loss – strong cross-onshore winds are ruining the surface, even though there’s swell in the water. We’re looking at a dry spell right through until Wednesday, July 29th before anything worth paddling out for shows up.
Wednesday, July 29th is your one to circle. The morning session is the clear winner. We’ve got a 7ft swell coming from the NE with a 10-second period, and the wind is dead glassy. That’s as clean as it gets. The water temp is about 80°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year. The combined energy is moderate (863). This is the real deal – clean, well-shaped waves, with that offshore wind holding the faces up. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for any intermediate surfer, it’s going to be a great session. The afternoon cleans up too with a lighter 6ft ENE swell and cross-offshore wind, but the morning is the peak.
After that, it’s back to the grind. From Thursday, July 30th onward, the trade winds come roaring back, blowing cross or cross-on, and the swell period drops off a cliff. The waves get lumpy, choppy, and generally poor. There’s a brief moment on Tuesday, August 4th where the swell period jumps to 12 seconds with a 6ft ENE swell, giving it decent energy (902), but the wind is still cross-shore and choppy. It’s only a marginal call at best.
The rest of the outlook through to August 10th is mostly a battle with strong cross-onshore winds and messy surf. The swell hangs around 4ft to 8ft, but the quality just isn’t there for a paddle. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing during those strong windy days.
So here’s the deal: hold out for the morning of Wednesday, July 29th. That’s your window. The rest is a long stretch of bumpy, blown-out conditions. Keep the hopes up, but be realistic.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Sun afternoon, light winds from the SSW by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Wed night, strong winds from the ENE by Fri night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 418 | 602 | 640 | 690 | 1275 | 1210 | 1596 | 1884 | 863 | 439 | 394 | 279 | 265 | 366 | 504 | 522 | 670 | 789 | 829 | 956 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:25PM0.63m | 00:03AM0.30m | 2:52PM0.65m | 00:49AM0.31m | 3:19PM0.66m | 1:31AM0.33m | 3:44PM0.66m | 2:12AM0.34m | 4:07PM0.66m | 2:57AM0.35m | 4:27PM0.64m | 3:46AM0.36m | 4:44PM0.61m | 4:42AM0.37m | ||||||
Low Tide | 9:10PM0.23m | 6:51AM-0.04m | 9:22PM0.23m | 7:26AM-0.05m | 9:42PM0.21m | 7:59AM-0.05m | 10:06PM0.20m | 8:32AM-0.04m | 10:31PM0.18m | 9:04AM-0.01m | 10:57PM0.16m | 9:37AM0.05m | 11:22PM0.13m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — |
 | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 24 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | ENE 9 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 13 | E 16 | E 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 |
| kJ | 418 | 602 | 640 | 690 | 1275 | 1210 | 1596 | 1884 | 863 | 439 | 62 | 60 | 55 | 82 | 159 | 216 | 205 | 282 | 264 | 199 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | S 14 | SSW 14 | S 14 | S 13 | S 15 | S 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | N 9 | S 13 | N 8 | S 12 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 10 |
| kJ | 85 | 83 | 73 | 42 | 37 | 36 | 32 | 30 | 67 | 65 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 30 | 13 | 26 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SE 11 | S 11 | S 11 | NE 10 | S 10 | SSE 10 | S 15 | — | S 13 | S 13 | N 9 | E 18 | N 9 | S 12 | N 8 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 45 | 2 | 9 | 18 | — | 4 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 14 | 27 | 12 | 11 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 8 | NNE 6 | — | — | — | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
| kJ | 358 | 320 | 301 | 303 | 155 | 249 | 140 | — | — | — | 394 | 279 | 265 | 366 | 504 | 522 | 670 | 789 | 829 | 956 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 57 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 20 | 9 | 46 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 48 | 49 | 57 | 60 | 111 | 114 | 114 | 55 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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