Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.33° N 157.66° W

Rabbit/Manana Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 23 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit/Manana Island sea temperature is
26.5° C
0.2° 

Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period, ENE swell with cross-onshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 11s period, ENE swell with 3,565 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 11s period with ENE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 11s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 4.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 18s period and expected on Friday (Jul 24) at 2AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11AM (Wed 29th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s
Best Surf11AM (Wed 29th Jul)11ft (3.5m) 11s
Most Powerful 8AM (Wed 29th Jul)13ft (4.0m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

We’re looking at a pretty grim stretch for Rabbit/Manana Island. This East-facing, exposed spot wants swell from the NNE to really light up, but we’re getting hammered by a constant ENE wind that just won’t let up. The outlook is a long, frustrating wait for any kind of decent session.

The entire first week is a write-off. From Friday the 24th of July right through to the end of the month, it’s all cross-onshore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. The combined energy is moderate, hovering between 394 and 1328, but it’s all wasted with that wind. The swell is a mix of short-period ENE windswell, mostly around 6ft to 7ft, but it’s just a bumpy, blown-out mess. No scores here, just a lot of frustration.

We get a glimmer of something on Wednesday the 29th of July. The swell jumps up significantly, with a 12ft ENE swell hitting in the morning (combined energy 3034 – strong wave energy). The wind is a moderate cross-onshore, but the note says it’s too big for this break. On Wednesday afternoon, the wind shifts to a cross-offshore from the SE and the waves are described as clean, but the swell is still a powerful 10ft. This is expert-only territory, and even then, it’s a risky call.

After that, it’s back to the grind. A long gap of over a week of poor to marginal conditions. From Thursday the 30th of July through to Saturday the 8th of August, we’re stuck with fresh to strong breezes, cross-onshore winds, and lumpy, choppy surf. The combined energy drops back to moderate levels. The one bright spot – if you can call it that – is on Friday the 7th of August. The swell is a clean 6ft from the ENE with a 10-second period, and the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The report says “marginal surf forecast,” but it’s the only time in the whole window that’s not a complete zero. The water temperature anomaly is not mentioned, but we can expect it’s about average for the time of year.

Honestly, this is a tough run. The biggest takeaway is that the wind is the enemy for almost the entire 16 days. If you’re a kiter, the strong cross-shore winds and solid swell on the 29th and 30th of July might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, patience is the only real option. Hang in there, forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu night, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Wed morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds.

Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
Monday
27
Tuesday
28
Wednesday
29
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
!
!
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.9
ENE
7
2.2
ENE
7
2
ENE
7
2.2
ENE
7
1.9
ENE
8
2.2
NE
8
2.1
ENE
8
1.9
ENE
8
1
E
14
1.1
E
14
1.2
E
14
1.2
E
13
2
ENE
13
1.7
E
12
1.8
E
13
3
ENE
12
3.5
ENE
11
3
ENE
9
2.4
ENE
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
316
513
394
485
425
573
504
393
412
472
522
485
1295
869
1021
2139
3034
1297
727
Wind (km/h)
35
ENE
40
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
35
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
NE
25
NE
30
NE
35
NNE
30
NE
20
NE
25
SE
15
E
Wind State
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-on
cross-off
cross
High Tide
1:29PM0.59m
1:57PM0.62m
10:51PM0.28m
2:25PM0.63m
00:03AM0.30m
2:52PM0.65m
00:49AM0.31m
3:19PM0.66m
1:31AM0.33m
3:44PM0.66m
2:12AM0.34m
Low Tide
4:39AM0.02m
5:29AM-0.00m
9:26PM0.24m
6:12AM-0.02m
9:10PM0.23m
6:51AM-0.04m
9:22PM0.23m
7:26AM-0.05m
9:42PM0.21m
7:59AM-0.05m
10:06PM0.20m
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:00
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:01
6:01
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:13
7:13
7:12
7:12
7:12
7:10
7:10
 mm
1
1
5
4
7
Temp °C
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
26
25
26
26
26
Feels °C
22
21
21
21
22
22
22
22
22
22
23
23
22
25
25
24
28
26
26
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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