
Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period, ENE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 13s period, E swell with 1,667 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 10s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.2m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 14s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 7ft (2.2m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee, and let’s talk about O‘ahu’s east side, because the next 16 days are a real mixed bag. We’ve got a window of decent surf coming, but you’ll have to be patient and pick your moments. The water is sitting right around 80°F, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so no surprise there.
The first real chance to get wet that’s worth talking about lands on Wednesday, July 29th. That Tuesday beforehand is a write-off – strong cross-onshore winds and lumpy, messy surf. But Wednesday morning? That’s the standout of the whole run. At Rabbit/Manana Island, we’ll see a 7ft swell rolling in from the ENE, with a period around 10 seconds. The energy is moderate (821), but the real story is the wind: glassy, dead calm. That means clean, smooth faces. The afternoon cleans up too, with a light cross-offshore breeze and a drop to 6ft, making it a good, clean session. The swell direction (ENE) is a touch off the optimum NNE, but with that glass, it’s the best on offer.
Thursday, July 30th, the wind swings back to a moderate cross-shore, chop comes in, and the swell drops to 5ft with a short period of 8 seconds. It’s not great. Then Friday through the end of the first week and into the second week is a long, frustrating stretch. From July 31st all the way through to August 10th, we’re stuck with persistent ENE winds, mostly fresh to strong breezes, and a mix of cross-shore and cross-onshore conditions. The surf size fluctuates between 5ft and 8ft, but it’s all messy, lumpy, and choppy. The energy values climb into the strong range (up to 983), but with that wind, it’s just not surfable. There’s a short-period swell from ENE that’s mostly windswell, and it’s just going to be a battle. Honestly, for a beach-and-reef setup like this, with that much wind and chop, it’s looking more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The only other flicker of hope comes on Tuesday, August 11th. That’s a full two weeks out, so treat it as promising but not a guarantee. The morning shows a clean 5ft NE swell, with a light cross-offshore breeze out of the ESE. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s average, but clean conditions are clean conditions. The afternoon though, the wind swings onshore and light rain moves in, so it’s a half-day window at best.
So, the long and short of it: the best on offer is that Wednesday the 29th. Get it while the glass is good. After that, you’re waiting until August 11th for another clean shot, and that’s a long, windy gap. Crowds at Rabbit/Manana Island can be a problem sometimes, but on a Wednesday with that forecast, you might just get lucky. Stay patient.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 27°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Mon afternoon). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NE on Mon night, calm by Wed morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 27°C on Thu afternoon, min 24°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the E on Thu afternoon, strong winds from the ENE by Sat morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
690 | 1144 | 1510 | 1584 | 1111 | 821 | 449 | 361 | 272 | 201 | 333 | 397 | 465 | 670 | 735 | 787 | 827 | 745 | 705 | 569 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 2:52PM0.65m | 00:49AM0.31m | 3:19PM0.66m | 1:31AM0.33m | 3:44PM0.66m | 2:12AM0.34m | 4:07PM0.66m | 2:57AM0.35m | 4:27PM0.64m | 3:46AM0.36m | 4:44PM0.61m | 4:42AM0.37m | 4:58PM0.57m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:22PM0.23m | 7:26AM-0.05m | 9:42PM0.21m | 7:59AM-0.05m | 10:06PM0.20m | 8:32AM-0.04m | 10:31PM0.18m | 9:04AM-0.01m | 10:57PM0.16m | 9:37AM0.05m | 11:22PM0.13m | 10:12AM0.11m | 11:50PM0.10m | |||||||
— | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 26 | 25 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 13 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 14 | SSW 13 | S 13 | E 16 | E 15 | E 16 | E 14 | E 15 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 |
690 | 1144 | 1510 | 1584 | 1111 | 821 | 449 | 62 | 60 | 55 | 81 | 157 | 231 | 202 | 205 | 196 | 257 | 180 | 144 | 89 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | NNE 9 | S 14 | S 14 | NNE 6 | S 15 | S 14 | SW 19 | SW 18 | NNE 7 | S 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | S 11 | N 10 | N 9 | N 8 | S 13 |
42 | 59 | 32 | 33 | 103 | 67 | 65 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 29 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 12 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | S 14 | S 10 | — | S 14 | — | S 13 | S 13 | N 9 | N 9 | N 9 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | S 14 |
2 | 37 | 8 | — | 36 | — | 4 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 27 | 26 | 11 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 7 | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | NE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | — | S 2 | S 3 | ENE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 |
277 | 240 | 173 | 158 | — | 1 | 1 | 361 | 272 | 201 | 333 | 397 | 465 | 670 | 735 | 787 | 827 | 745 | 705 | 569 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 19 | 18 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 48 | 48 | 55 | 111 | 111 | 133 | 111 | 57 | 57 | 57 | 50 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










