Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 2 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 1 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, ENE swell with 844 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sat 1st Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight up about this one. We've got a solid 16-day window on the cards, but I'll be honest with you, the outlook for Rabbit/Manana Island is a bit of a bummer. There's a lot of energy in the water, but it's all coming with messy wind.
Right off the bat, we're looking at Saturday the 1st of August. The swell is a solid 8 ft from the east-northeast, packing a heap of energy. But the wind is a strong cross-shore, 28 mph, just tearing it up. It's a powerful, choppy mess. The water is sitting at 80°, which is pretty much what you'd expect for this time of year.
The trend doesn't let up for a while. Through the first week, we've got a relentless run of strong cross-onshore winds. The swell drops a bit, but the wind stays in the 12-25 mph range, ruining any chance of clean waves. It's a long stretch of lumpy, choppy, poor surf. The only change is a couple of days around the 4th and 5th where the swell period stretches out to 10-11 seconds, but the cross-onshore wind just kills the shape.
We roll into the second week, and it's more of the same. The wind stays onshore or cross-shore, and the swell ticks up again. By Saturday the 15th, we're back to 8 ft from the east-northeast, with a lot of energy. But again, it's a strong cross-shore wind, 25 mph. The whole period is one long stretch of poor conditions. There's no standout day, no window for a clean session. Honestly, with these strong winds and messy conditions, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
So, what's the call? There's no good surf on offer here. We've got a solid 16-day gap with no recommendations. It's a tough run for Rabbit/Manana Island. Keep an eye on the forecast, as things can change, but for now, I'd find something else to do.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Sat night, light winds from the NE by Tue morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Wed afternoon, min 25°C on Tue afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 7 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 824 | 844 | 682 | 650 | 512 | 361 | 331 | 336 | 534 | 444 | 487 | 275 | 203 | 176 | 153 | 51 | 59 | 66 | 91 | 349 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 4:44PM0.61m | 4:42AM0.37m | 4:58PM0.57m | 5:48AM0.38m | 5:09PM0.52m | 7:16AM0.41m | 5:14PM0.48m | 9:27AM0.45m | 4:57PM0.44m | 11:19AM0.53m | 12:18PM0.61m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 11:22PM0.13m | 10:12AM0.11m | 11:50PM0.10m | 10:52AM0.19m | 00:22AM0.07m | 11:44AM0.27m | 1:03AM0.04m | 1:35PM0.35m | 1:59AM0.02m | 3:11AM-0.00m | 4:25AM-0.03m | |||||||||
 |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | |  | |
 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — |
 | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:06 | — | — | 7:06 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 |
Feels °C | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 26 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 14 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | E 12 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | S 12 | S 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 10 | NNW 7 | N 7 |
| kJ | 196 | 194 | 188 | 183 | 87 | 84 | 76 | 101 | 534 | 444 | 487 | 275 | 203 | 11 | 11 | 44 | 37 | 14 | 5 | 8 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | N 10 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 13 | NNE 9 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | ENE 12 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 18 | 17 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 8 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 13 | S 13 | SSE 13 | N 7 | SSE 12 | S 14 | NNE 9 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | N 8 | S 11 | ENE 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 11 |
| kJ | 9 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 17 | 13 | 17 | 1 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 5 | E 5 | ENE 5 | ENE 6 | E 7 |
| kJ | 824 | 844 | 682 | 650 | 512 | 361 | 331 | 336 | — | — | — | — | — | 176 | 153 | 51 | 59 | 66 | 91 | 349 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 133 | 59 | 57 | 114 | 142 | 50 | 19 | 50 | 19 | 19 | 9 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 48 | 49 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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