Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 12 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ENE swell with 597 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 12s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 12th Jul) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Well, I’ve gotta be straight with you – this outlook for Rabbit/Manana Island is a tough one. We’ve got a solid run of consistent swell on the way, but the wind just won’t play ball. We’re looking at a full 16-day stretch, but the first decent surf recommendation doesn’t pop up until Friday the 10th of July, and honestly, it’s a bit of a bleak picture right through.
The overall pattern is a persistent east-northeast to easterly swell, with a short, 7 to 8-second period. That’s a real windswell, not much grunt behind it. The real killer here is the wind, ripping from the east-northeast at 18 to 25 mph, keeping the ocean cross-onshore or directly cross-shore the whole time. That’s just messy, lumpy, choppy conditions. There’s no standout session; every single period in the forecast is marked as poor surf.
There’s a decent amount of energy in the water, with energy levels reaching as high as 596 (moderate to strong) on Sunday the 12th of July, with a swell height hitting 7 ft. But with that wind, it’ll be a washing machine. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual.
Even into the second week, from the 17th of July onward, the swell sticks around in the 3 ft to 5 ft range, but the wind isn’t letting up. We get a slight drop in wind speed to a moderate 16 mph on the afternoon of Friday the 17th, but it’s still a cross-shore chop.
Honestly, for this exposed spot (best with a north-northeast swell direction), all that short-period easterly swell and constant strong breeze makes it look better suited for a kite than a paddle. This spot is fairly consistent, but without a break in the wind, it’s just not going to clean up. Frustrating, I know. Keep an eye out for a change in the forecast.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu night, min 24°C on Thu night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 25°C on Tue morning, min 24°C on Sun night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thu 16 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | NNE 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 512 | 366 | 310 | 459 | 437 | 407 | 384 | 475 | 596 | 483 | 389 | 327 | 307 | 297 | 306 | 289 | 235 | 180 | 89 | 143 | 134 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on |
High Tide | 1:10PM0.65m | 1:52PM0.71m | 10:48PM0.30m | 2:34PM0.75m | 00:11AM0.30m | 3:15PM0.77m | 1:17AM0.31m | 3:55PM0.76m | 2:18AM0.32m | 4:33PM0.73m | 3:19AM0.32m | 5:06PM0.69m | |||||||||
Low Tide | 4:44AM-0.07m | 5:35AM-0.11m | 9:11PM0.25m | 6:26AM-0.14m | 9:32PM0.24m | 7:16AM-0.15m | 10:02PM0.22m | 8:04AM-0.15m | 10:36PM0.21m | 8:49AM-0.11m | 11:10PM0.19m | 9:34AM-0.06m | |||||||||
 |  | | | | | | | | | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | |
 | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — |
 | 7:15 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 24 | 24 | 23 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 26 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 30 | 48 | 41 | 40 | 39 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 29 | 16 | 31 | 89 | 64 | 41 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 | S 12 | S 12 | S 13 | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 19 | SSE 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 4 | 18 | 17 | 37 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 36 | 11 | 16 | 30 | 14 | 48 | 25 | 29 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 18 | — | SE 6 | W 13 | W 14 | S 14 | — | W 13 | — | W 12 | S 20 | SW 21 | SW 18 | SSE 11 | SW 19 | SE 10 | W 16 | SW 15 | W 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 6 | — | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | — | 3 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 17 | 17 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 |
| kJ | 512 | 366 | 310 | 459 | 437 | 407 | 384 | 475 | 596 | 483 | 389 | 327 | 307 | 297 | 306 | 289 | 235 | 180 | 77 | 143 | 134 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 62 | 48 | 55 | 49 | 55 | 57 | 48 | 55 | 60 | 49 | 48 | 49 | 19 | 48 | 49 | 19 | 48 | 48 | 19 | 48 | 54 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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