Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, ENE swell with 636 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit/Manana Island this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit/Manana Island in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 20s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 04) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (HST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, let’s look at Rabbit/Manana Island. The water temp is 79°F, about average for the season. Not much to get excited about here for the next two weeks. The wind is blowing from the ENE at 15 to 25 mph, and it’s mostly cross-onshore. The swell direction is close to the optimum from NNE, but that doesn’t matter when the quality is shot. Every single session for 16 days says "poor surf conditions" – all zeros.
Starting on Saturday July 4th, we’ve got ENE swell at 6ft, period a short 8 seconds, with cross-on wind. The energy is moderate but rough (354). Sunday the 5th is a bit bigger at 7ft, period only 7 seconds, and the wind picks up to 25 mph, creating strong cross-onshore and messy surf (437). Monday the 6th hits 7ft, 8 seconds, but it’s strong cross-shore with messy cross-chop (491). The first week is all like this – the combined energy gets up to over 500 on Tuesday July 7th with 7ft, but it’s short-period junk and the wind never gives a break. That 7ft is expert-level when it’s this disorganized.
The second week is no better. By Monday July 13th, the swell drops to 3ft from the E, still cross-on (301). The period stretches to 9 seconds, but it’s still choppy. The whole run is just cross-onshore or cross winds with moderate to fresh breezes.
Nothing stands out as a good session. There are no glassy, offshore moments. The setup is really one for the kite crew, not the paddle brigade. The guidance says the break is "fairly consistent" – meaning the waves will show up, but they’ll be a mess. This kind of long, poor run is typical for the area when the trades lock in.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Sat afternoon, min 24°C on Sat morning). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 25°C on Thu morning, min 24°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 330 | 339 | 287 | 418 | 387 | 443 | 487 | 522 | 508 | 522 | 501 | 444 | 400 | 319 | 325 | 279 | 344 | 310 | 285 | 369 | 472 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:00PM0.58m | 5:41AM0.27m | 6:18PM0.54m | 7:34AM0.29m | 6:34PM0.50m | 10:04AM0.36m | 6:48PM0.45m | 11:36AM0.46m | 6:52PM0.41m | 12:27PM0.56m | 1:10PM0.65m | ||||||||||
Low Tide | 10:19AM0.04m | 1:11AM0.15m | 10:54AM0.11m | 1:44AM0.11m | 11:39AM0.20m | 2:21AM0.07m | 1:09PM0.29m | 3:04AM0.02m | 4:21PM0.34m | 3:52AM-0.03m | 4:44AM-0.07m | ||||||||||
 | |  | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — |
 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:15 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 24 | 25 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 25 | 25 |
Feels °C | 21 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 24 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 21 | SSW 20 | ESE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 |
| kJ | 89 | 128 | 26 | 104 | 102 | 86 | 84 | 76 | 71 | 70 | 66 | 63 | 36 | 35 | 34 | 30 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 12 | NW 12 | SSW 19 | NW 11 | NNW 11 | NW 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | S 18 | N 9 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SE 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SE 6 | S 15 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 |
| kJ | 24 | 23 | 123 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | NW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | NW 10 | NW 10 | S 8 | NW 9 | N 9 | — | S 18 | S 18 | W 15 | S 16 | S 16 | S 23 | SW 18 | S 8 | W 16 |
| kJ | 49 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | — | 6 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 |
| kJ | 330 | 339 | 287 | 418 | 387 | 443 | 487 | 522 | 508 | 522 | 501 | 444 | 400 | 319 | 325 | 279 | 344 | 310 | 285 | 369 | 472 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 48 | 55 | 48 | 55 | 111 | 55 | 111 | 114 | 49 | 59 | 111 | 49 | 49 | 55 | 48 | 49 | 59 | 48 | 48 | 55 | 48 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Oahu | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit/Manana Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit/Manana Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit/Manana Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit/Manana Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit/Manana Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit/Manana Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Rabbit/Manana Island is 11 km (7 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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