Playa Poniente Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this straight. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty dire for a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak, and mostly onshore slop ahead. The good news is there’s a tiny blip of something a bit more interesting right at the end of the window, but we’re gonna have to be patient.

For the first week and a half, it’s a write-off. From Sunday the 9th through to around the 18th, we’re looking at ankle-biters. The swell is coming in from the ESE at a pathetic 0.7ft to 2ft, with periods of 4 to 6 seconds. That’s just wind chop with no push. The energy in the water is super weak, often registering single digits or low twenties. The wind is mostly light, but it’s cross-shore or onshore, so it’s just making a mess of an already flat ocean. There will be a few glassy moments, like Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th mornings, but with nothing to ride, it’s just a flat, pretty ocean. You’d have more fun floating on a pool noodle.

Then, from the 19th to the 20th, we finally see a pulse. It’s not much, but it’s something. Wednesday the 19th morning has a bit more life with a 2ft swell coming from the NE with a period of 8 seconds. The energy jumps up to 56, which is still weak, but it’s double anything we’ve seen. The wind goes glassy and calm, which is a big positive. It’s still small and weak, but it’s the first time all week it’s even remotely surfable. It’s a slight improvement, but I wouldn’t be clearing my calendar.

After that, it’s back to the flatness until we get to Sunday the 23rd. The swell starts to build a little, with the ESE swell pushing up to 3ft. The energy is getting more moderate at 44. Still not great, but there’s a pulse.

The real standout is Monday the 24th. This is the one to keep an eye on. The swell from the ESE is forecast to be 4ft to 5ft, with a period of 6-7 seconds. The energy is now moderate, with values around 168 and 161. That’s a legit bump of swell. The morning looks the better bet with a light NE wind, keeping it a bit cleaner. The afternoon, the wind swings to the east at 12 mph, which will chop it up. Now, this is a beach and reef setup, and with a swell over 4ft, it might be a bit much for total beginners. The period is still short, so it won’t be the cleanest, but it’s the biggest surf we’ve seen in the whole forecast. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 84°, which is a solid 6° above average. That's notable.

So, here’s the deal. For the next 16 days, you’ve got one day that’s worth getting excited about. That’s Monday the 24th. It’s over a week out, so treat it as promising but not set in stone. The waves will be a step up in size, but the quality will be average. If you’re desperate before then, Wednesday the 19th morning might give you a couple of grovelers, but that’s about it. For the rest of it, you’re better off finding something else to do.

Rusty.

Read more