Mallorca - Paguera Tora Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get this straight. Looking at the 16-day picture for the island, it’s gonna be a real test of patience. Right now, there’s just not a lot of love in the water. We’ve got a big gap of flat, small, or just plain messy conditions stretching from this Saturday the 12th all the way through to the end of the month. I’m talking about a solid ten days or more where you’re better off finding something else to do. The swell is just absent, and when there is a hint of something, it’s weak, short-period junk.

Let’s run through the early days. Saturday the 12th is a total write-off. No swell to speak of, and the morning light offshore wind is the only thing that’s clean. Sunday the 13th gives you nothing at first light, and the afternoon goes a bit lumpy. The start of the week on the 14th and 15th is more of the same – glassy mornings but with no waves, it’s just a pretty lake. We do pick up a tiny pulse on the morning of the 16th, but it’s just knee-slappers at best, so don’t get excited.

We carry on with this frustrating theme right through the week. The 17th brings some stormy conditions, which at least keeps the wind offshore, but there’s still no real surf to speak of. The 18th, 19th, and 20th are frustrating. We finally see a bit more life, with the swell pushing up to 2.6ft on the afternoon of the 20th, and there’s also the first sign of that low energy turning into something a little more real – the combined swell energy climbs to 66, which is still weak, but it’s the most we’ve seen. But with a 6 second period, it’s not going to have any punch.

The morning of the 20th and through the 21st, we’ve got a bit more consistency, with a clean 2ft SSE/S swell, but it’s still pretty weak. The light offshore winds are making it look clean, but it’s just not enough to get you frothing. This is the most hopeful period of the whole run, and while the flags aren’t great, you could get a few soft little runners at Paguera – Tora (Mallorca). It’s a beach and reef set-up that’s exposed to the SSW, which is a good sign for any of this SE/SSE swell. But remember, this spot rarely breaks as it is, so you’re relying on a lot of conditions to line up. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, and with these tiny 1ft to 2ft waves, it’s the kind of soft, forgiving crumble that’s fun for a mess-around on a foamie. Just don’t expect any power, and the short 5-6 second period is a clear sign of that.

Then, as if to tease us, it just dies again. From the afternoon of the 22nd right through to the 27th, the swell completely drops away, and we’re back to square one. The water’s glassy and clean, but there’s nothing to ride. The wind states keep shifting, but it doesn’t matter when there’s no swell. We’re looking at a total blank. It just fades to nothing.

So, here’s the deal. The only time that shows any promise at all is the window from the morning of the 20th through to the 21st. It’s not big, and it’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s the only rideable surf on the whole horizon. Everything else is a drought. This flat spell is more normal for the area, and while it doesn’t look great, things can change – forecasts are more reliable for the next few days, but for the second week, it’s just a hope and a prayer. Keep the board waxed, but don’t hold your breath.

Signing off, rusty.

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