Mallorca - Paguera Tora Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the outlook for our waters over the next 16 days is a flat spell, plain and simple. I’ve had a look at the numbers and honestly, there’s nothing that gets the heart pumping. The whole period is full of guesses that just don’t add up to any kind of wave worth paddling for.

To start with, our only named break in the mix is Paguera-Tora-Mallorca (Mallorca - Paguera Tora). It’s a beach and reef setup that rarely breaks, so when the ocean gives us nothing, it just sits there looking pretty. The water temp on the 30th of July was a toasty 84°F, which is much warmer than normal for the time of year – a solid 5°F above the average. That’s very unusual. Feels like a warm bath.

From the 30th of July right through to the 14th of August, the story doesn’t change. We’re looking at what the guidance calls "poor surf conditions" every single session. The combined swell energy is basically a whisper, with values barely cracking the double digits – mostly sitting between 1 and 17 (weak energy). The swell heights? A paltry 0.3ft to 2ft. The periods are short, between 2 and 7 seconds, which tells you it’s just local wind slop, not real groundswell. Only on the morning of the 10th of August does the wind go completely glassy with a 2ft swell from the SW – but even then, that’s not enough to wrap around and break properly at this exposed spot.

The optimum direction for Paguera-Tora-Mallorca is SSW. We do see a few days with a SW or SSW swell direction, like the 4th of August morning (1ft, period 6s, glassy wind) or the 10th of August morning (2ft, period 5s, glassy). But a small swell from the right direction still needs size to work, and 1ft or 2ft just doesn’t cut it, especially when the period is under 8 seconds. That combo creates weak, mushy waves if anything at all. The wind on those glassy mornings is a positive, but you can’t surf flat water.

We’ve got a big gap of absolutely nothing recommended. This blank run is honestly pretty normal for this area right now – it’s a classic summer flat spell. If you’re desperate for a paddle, the 10th of August morning (Monday) is the least bad option: glassy conditions and a tiny SW pulse, but don’t expect to catch anything. For the rest of us, it’s time to check the long-range charts again and hope a proper groundswell shows up before autumn. This setup looks more interesting for a kayak than a surfboard right now.

Stay patient,
Rusty

Read more