Out Front Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m lookin’ at the whole 16-day window here, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough one. The only break on the radar is Out Front, a sandbar setup that’s exposed to the ESE. Right now, the water is sitting at 82°, which is a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s a real anomaly, feels like a warm bath out there.

We start off on Wednesday, July 8th, with a tiny 2ft easterly swell, period a short 6 seconds, and the combined energy is a weak 36. The wind is onshore from the ESE, so it’s going to be poor. Honestly, that sets the tone for the whole first week. The swell never really gets going; it’s all small, short-period, and mostly junky. The wind is a constant problem – cross-on, onshore, or just messy. There’s a brief moment on Friday morning, July 10th, where we get a 2ft SSE swell with a light offshore from the WSW, which cleans it up, but the energy is still weak at 43. It’s surfable, but it’s very ordinary.

The rest of that first week is a write-off – wind keeps blowing onshore or cross-shore, and the swell stays tiny. We get a bit of a bump on Sunday, July 12th, up to 4ft, but it’s from the ENE with a short 6-second period and a fresh cross-onshore wind, so it’ll be lumpy and choppy. Not worth paddling out for.

Then we hit a real dry spell. From Monday, July 13th, all the way through to Sunday, July 19th, the swell drops and stays below 2ft, often just 0.7ft or 0.3ft. The combined energy falls into the single digits and teens. There’s no surf on offer here for over a week. Just a lot of clean, flat water with offshore winds, but no waves to ride.

Things start to look a little more promising toward the end of the window. On Monday, July 20th, we see a little bump to 2ft from the ENE, but it’s a short 4-second period. The real interest comes on Tuesday, July 21st. The swell picks up to 4ft from the east, with a 6-second period, and the combined energy hits 89. Morning wind is a gentle cross-onshore from the ENE, so it’s a bit lumpy, but that’s the biggest push we’ve seen. It’s not a stand-out by any means, but it’s the best of a bad lot. The following day, Wednesday, July 22nd, drops back to 2ft, and the wind is cross-shore and messy.

The tail end of the forecast on Thursday, July 23rd, shows a 2ft swell but with a strong cross-shore wind from the NE, so it’s not going to be clean. There’s a sliver of hope with a 1ft swell and a lighter cross-offshore wind later that day, but it’s barely a ripple.

Honestly, this is a grim run. Out Front is inconsistent and rarely breaks well, and that’s ringing true here. The only moment that might get you wet is Tuesday, July 21st, and even then, you’re looking at mediocre, choppy surf. The gaps are massive – from around July 13th to July 20th, there’s basically nothing. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual when the conditions aren’t lining up. Keep your eye on the forecasts, but don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more