Out Front Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’ve been staring at the charts for Out Front and I gotta tell ya, it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a 16-day window here, but it's gonna feel a lot longer waiting for something decent. The first real glimmer of hope doesn't show up until Wednesday the 22nd, and even then, it's a marginal call.

Let’s be honest, the first few days are a write-off. From Sunday the 19th right through to Tuesday the 21st, it’s just poor surf conditions with tiny, weak swell and lousy wind. You’re looking at waves under 2 ft, periods around 4 to 7 seconds, and the wind is either blowing it ragged or straight onshore. Not worth getting the wetsuit wet for.

The water at Out Front right now is a balmy 80°F, which is *much warmer than normal* for the time of year – over 4°F above average. That’s a bit of a shock to the system, but it’s not gonna make the waves any better.

We get a little pulse on Wednesday morning the 22nd. The swell bumps up to 3 ft from the SSE, with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy hits a moderate 223. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze, so it’ll be clean. The score is still just a 1/10, so it’s marginal. It’s surfable, but you’ll be scratching for the good ones. Don’t get your hopes up too high.

Then it’s back to the doldrums. Thursday the 23rd through to Thursday the 30th of July is a whole lot of nothing. Constant onshore wind, tiny swell, and poor conditions. The wind is just relentless from the east and northeast, keeping everything chopped out. There’s a moment on Thursday the 30th morning where it goes glassy – wind from the SSW at 3 mph, but the swell is a pathetic 2 ft from the SSE. It’s still a 1/10, but at least it’s glassy. You could go for a paddle, but don’t expect to ride much.

Now, hold on to your board, because the end of the window might just offer something. Friday the 31st of July morning sees the swell start to build: 4 ft from the ENE with a period of 8 seconds and a combined energy of 191. The wind is a light cross-on, so it’s messy but the size is coming up. By Friday afternoon, it’s 5 ft from the ENE, energy at 240. It’s still a 0/10 for quality because of the wind, but the potential is there if the wind swings.

Then we get to the standout. Saturday the 1st of August is the only real highlight in the whole 16 days. The morning brings a solid 5 ft of swell from the ENE, with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of 533 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind is a cross-shore from the SW, not perfect, but it’s workable. It’s still scored as a marginal 1/10, but with that much energy, if the wind plays nice, it could be the best session of the month. Keep in mind, Out Front is a sandbar, so with that size (over 5 ft), it’s getting a bit too much for beginners. For the rest of us, it’s worth a look.

The swell drops off quickly after that, and by Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd, we’re back to small, weak, and blown out. Honestly, if you’re itching for a wave, that Saturday the 1st is your best bet. It’s a long way off, so don’t book the day off work yet, but keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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