Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

Overall, the pattern is a bit of a slow burn. We’ve got a little window of decent surf right at the start, but then it gets pretty quiet, with a long stretch of flat or poor conditions through the middle of the period. The second half of the window looks more promising, with some real size on the horizon, though it’s a long way out.

The first real action is happening on Thursday morning, the 3rd of September. The swell is up at 6 ft from the WNW, with a period of 10 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 1046. That’s a lot of juice in the water. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SSE, so the conditions are looking clean. The water is a chilly 51°, which is 8° colder than normal for this time of year, so that’s way colder than usual. You’ll want a good thick hood and booties. The break is a rivermouth, so it’s inconsistent, but when it’s on, it’s on. That Thursday morning session is a standout. The afternoon glassed off with a light 3 mph NW wind, and the swell still holding at 6 ft, so it’s a great day all around.

Friday morning, the 4th, the swell bumps up to 6 ft from the NW with an 11-second period, but the wind goes cross-on from the WNW at 6 mph. It’s workable, but not as clean. Friday afternoon is a write-off with 9 mph cross-on wind and a choppy surface. From Saturday the 5th through to Wednesday the 9th, it’s a real struggle. The swell drops right off, the wind is persistently cross-on, and the quality is poor. There’s a 10-day stretch here where there’s really nothing good to chase. The waves are small, weak, and messy.

The light at the end of the tunnel shows up on Friday morning, the 11th of September. Holy moly, the swell jumps to 10 ft from the SW with a 12-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 3002. That’s a very strong swell. The wind is a light cross-on from the NW at 6 mph, so it’s not perfect, but with that much size, the rivermouth could be a proper beast. This is a big-wave day for experienced surfers only. The period is long enough to have some real power, but the cross-on wind might make it a bit tricky. It’s a standout for the size alone.

After that, the swell stays up through the weekend of the 12th and 13th, but the wind is messing things up. The afternoon of Friday the 18th of September looks like a real gem, though. It’s glassy, with a 3 ft swell from the SW but a very long period of 19 seconds, and the combined energy is 1206. The energy is all from that long-period groundswell. It’s small, but the conditions will be perfect, and the rivermouth will handle that long-period swell well. For a clean, mellow end to the forecast, that’s your pick.

So, the best on offer is the Thursday morning, 3rd September, for the combo of solid swell and clean conditions. And for the real size, the Friday morning, 11th September, is a standout for the heavy hitters, but it’s a long way out and the wind could switch.

Rusty.

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