Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for Navarro Rivermouth. It’s a river mouth setup, pretty exposed to the northwest swell, but it’s an inconsistent spot that only rarely lines up right. The water here is sitting at 55°, which is a bit colder than normal for this time of year, so you’ll want a good hood or at least a thick suit.

Honestly, for the first week and a half, it’s a tough watch. The surf is mostly poor. There’s a bit of swell around, but the wind is almost always cross-onshore, messing up the surface. The combined wave energy stays weak to moderate, mostly in the 100 to 300 range (294, 266, 153, 122, 108, 179, 200, 160), and the period is short, between 5 and 9 seconds, which doesn’t give you any real power or shape. The only slight glimmer comes on Wednesday the 9th. In the morning, we get a little 4ft swell from the northwest with a light onshore breeze, but it’s still marginal. The afternoon is more interesting, with a 3ft swell from the southwest, but the period jumps to 19 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the combined energy climbs to 594 (moderate). The problem is it’s a river mouth, and long-period groundswell can be finicky there, needing a perfect tide and flow. The wind is light and cross-shore, so it might be clean, but it’s a real gamble. Thursday the 10th afternoon has a similar story: a 3ft southwest swell with a 17-second period, and energy at 751 (moderate), but again, cross-onshore wind.

The period from the 11th to the 18th is mostly a write-off. You’ll see some days with 5ft to 7ft of northwest windswell, but the period is a miserable 6 to 9 seconds, and the wind is always on it. The energy values are moderate, like 943 on the 12th morning, but that’s just messy, choppy, windblown junk. The best day for pure size and energy is Thursday the 17th afternoon, with 7ft of northwest swell and a period of 6 seconds, but combined energy is 569 (moderate). The wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the north-northwest, so it’s going to be a bumpy, lumpy mess. That kind of size and setup looks more like a kiteboarding day than a paddle-surfing one.

The only real standout in the whole 16-day window is the very last day, Sunday the 20th. The afternoon shows a 6ft northwest swell with a 10-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 1101 (strong). That’s the first time we’ve seen that kind of power. The wind is moderate cross-shore from the south-southwest, which is a big improvement over the usual cross-onshore. It’s still marginal and the break is inconsistent, but if I had to pick one time to check it, that’s it. The morning is also 5ft from the west-northwest, with a 10-second period and energy of 870 (moderate), but with a gentle cross-onshore. It’s promising, but with this spot and the long-range call, keep your expectations in check.

Rusty.

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