Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about the next couple of weeks at your local spot.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough outlook. The first solid window of clean waves is just not materialising for the next ten days or so. From now until about the 17th of July, it’s a real write-off. We’ve got a consistent run of cross-onshore winds and generally poor surf conditions. The swell is coming in from the northwest, but the wind is just ruining it. For days on end, it’s a choppy, lumpy mess. The wave energy is moderate for most of that stretch, hitting between 356 and 1037, but it doesn't matter because the quality is shot.

The real glimmer of hope, and it’s a distant one, shows up on Saturday the 18th of July. That’s when a much longer period groundswell starts to roll in, from the WNW. The combined energy jumps up to the 1124-1183 range – that’s strong energy. The winds finally go light and variable, even turning onshore from the west but at just 3-6 mph. This will clean the surface right up. We’re looking at a 3ft swell with a 16-second period, which is proper long. For a rivermouth like this, that long period is a huge bonus; it will wrap in nicely and give you some proper-shaped waves. It’s inconsistent here, which is the rub, but when a set comes through on Saturday morning and afternoon, it’s going to be your best chance.

The wave energy is strong again on Sunday the 19th, with a 17-second period from the WSW in the afternoon, and the winds are light, making for a decent day too. But Saturday 18th of July is the clear standout. After that, the winds get funky again and it’s back to poor surf for the rest of the run.

This isn't a total bust, because this spot does tend to produce clean waves when the stars align. It just needs that perfect calm window to go with a long-period swell. The water temperature is a bit colder than normal for the time of year at 54°F, so definitely factor that in for your session.

So, to wrap it up: the whole first week is a skip. Get your gear ready for the weekend of the 18th of July. That Saturday morning and afternoon at Navarro Rivermouth, with the light wind and that beautiful 3ft, 16-second swell from the WNW, is your only real window for something special. Mark it in your calendar, but keep your fingers crossed – long-range forecasts can still shift.

Rusty.

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