Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on offer for this stretch of coast.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: this run looks pretty bleak for paddle surfing. For the next ten days or so, it’s all cross-onshore wind and messy, choppy conditions. There’s plenty of swell showing up, but the wind just has it all blown out. The first real chance at something clean doesn’t roll around until Tuesday the 4th of August.

The one spot on the menu is Navarro Rivermouth. It’s an inconsistent river mouth break that needs everything to line up. For the early part of the outlook, from Tuesday the 28th of July right through to the 3rd of August, it's a no-go with "poor surf conditions" stamped all over it. We're seeing a moderate wave energy (around 494-569) on Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th, with swell heights around 8 ft to 8 ft and a short, weak period of just 7-8 seconds. This is expert-only size, but with a fresh 16 mph cross-onshore wind, it’s just a washing machine. By the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August, the swell really jacks up, hitting 12 ft to 13 ft with a combined energy reading well over 1500, but it’s coupled with even stronger wind and a "lumpy" description. That’s kite-surfing territory, not for a paddler.

Now, here’s the one true standout. Look at Tuesday the 4th of August. The wind drops right out to a glassy 3 mph from the WNW in the afternoon. The swell settles to a manageable 6 ft from the NW with a combined energy of 476. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions." That’s your window. The water temp is sitting at 57°F, which is about average for this time of year so don't expect a warm one.

If you miss that, there’s a smaller repeat on Wednesday the 5th of August in the afternoon. Again, glassy wind at 3 mph from the west, with a slightly smaller 5 ft NW swell and 369 energy. It’s a marginal call, but with those clean, glassy conditions, it might be worth a look if you're desperate for a few clean ones.

After that, it's a long stretch of poor conditions with consistent cross-onshore winds and bumpy surf through to the end of the forecast period on the 12th. The swell stays on the small side with some moderate energy spikes, but the wind never cooperates again.

So to sum it up: if you’re gonna paddle, your only real shot is the afternoon of Tuesday the 4th of August, with a backup on the 5th. Everything else is blown out or for the kite crew. Keep an eye on the forecasts, though—it can always flip.

Rusty.

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