Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.

Looking at the whole 16-day window, I gotta be honest with you – it’s a grim run for Navarro Rivermouth. The river mouth setup is inconsistent at the best of times, and this stretch is looking like a long, quiet period with hardly a window that’s worth paddling out. The whole first week is a write-off. From Sunday the 13th right through to the end of the following Saturday the 21st, there’s nothing but poor conditions with cross-onshore wind and choppy, lumpy surfaces. Swell energy is all over the shop but mostly moderate to strong (712 to 1549 for the combined energy), yet the wind just ruins it.

There is a brief flicker of hope on Tuesday the 22nd morning – we see a light breeze with the wind switching onshore from the WSW. You’ve got a 7ft NW swell with a period of 8 seconds, and combined energy reading 827. The score barely gets a nod, but it’s the closest to ridable we get in the first two weeks. Still very marginal, and with the spot being so inconsistent, you’d be a die-hard to go for it.

Then on Wednesday the 23rd afternoon, things get a little more interesting. We’re looking at 8ft of NW swell, period jumps up to 12 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy right there (combined energy 1872). The wind is light WNW, so it’s cross-on but light enough that the surface might clean up a bit. This is the best looking slot in the whole forecast. That said, at 8ft this is pushing past the beginner zone, and with the period that long at a river mouth, it might be a bit straight and tricky. But for anyone who knows the spot, this is the moment to watch.

Friday the 25th morning also has size – 8ft NW swell with 11 seconds, combined energy at 2666 – strong stuff. But the wind is cross-on from the SSW and it’s fairly choppy. It’s there, but it ain’t pretty.

After that, the last few days fade into smaller, longer period SW groundswell but with more cross-on wind, so nothing solid enough to recommend.

Overall, if you’re aching for a wave, aim for Wednesday the 23rd afternoon. That’s the standout, but keep your expectations in check. The rest of the run is mostly about waiting for a better forecast.

- Rusty

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