Navarro Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – the next couple of weeks at the rivermouth look pretty tough. We’ve got a long stretch of messy, onshore wind conditions messing up what could be decent swell. Let’s not sugarcoat it.

We’re kicking off with a blank. Nothing worth paddling out for through the weekend and into the start of next week. The first real chance to even think about a wave is on Wednesday, August 19, but even that’s a struggle. The morning sees swell bumping up to 7 ft from the NW, with a short period of 8 seconds and moderate combined energy (670), but it’s coming in under a gentle cross-onshore breeze (15 km/h). That’s gonna make it choppy and pretty average. The afternoon doesn't get any better – stronger cross-onshore winds and a score that keeps it in the "don't bother" category. That kind of size and short period just isn’t gonna hold up.

Things actually get interesting on Sunday, August 23 morning. We get a pulse of very long-period SW groundswell at 19 seconds, with a solid 452 combined energy, but the height is only 2 ft. That’s a tease. A long-period, clean-looking swell from the optimum direction for this spot, but it’s just too small to do much with. The afternoon gets a better bite of swell though – 6 ft from the NW at 9 seconds and combined energy jumping to 547. The wind flips to a light WSW at just 5 km/h, nearly glassy. That afternoon window on the 23rd is the lone standout: clean conditions, a bit of punch, and that long-period groundswell energy in the mix makes for the best potential of the whole outlook. It’s not going to be perfect, but for this stretch, it’s the only session that feels worth the wetsuit.

After that, we go right back into the grinder. A week of weak, onshore, short-period junk. Small swells, constant cross-onshore winds, and energy readings that barely get into the moderate range. Another pulse of long-period SW energy pops up on the 26th, but it’s still tiny. The water temp is sitting at 55 °F, which is 3 °F colder than average for the time of year, so expect a bit of a chill if you do get in.

Overall, Navarro Rivermouth is a river break that rarely fires under these conditions. The lack of clean, offshore wind is a killer. Don’t hold your breath for the first week – the one bright spot is that Sunday afternoon session on August 23, and that’s it. After that, it’s a lot of windy, short-period slop.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the forecast. It tends not to stay this poor forever.

Rusty.

Read more