Mosquito Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for Mosquito Bay.

It’s a quiet start in the water. The first few days are flat and not worth paddling for, but hang in there. We’ve got a decent pulse of swell arriving from the south around Thursday the 30th of July. Before that, the water temp is doing its thing, feeling pretty standard for this time of year, nothing wild to report on that front.

Thursday the 30th of July is where things get interesting. We’re looking at a solid south swell building through the morning, with clean waves about 6 ft showing up. The wind is gentle offshore from the southwest, so it should be glassy and well-shaped for a point break like this. The combined swell energy is ramping up nicely (649) and it’s got some grunt. By the afternoon, it pushes to 7 ft from the south with light, clean conditions. This is the standout session of the whole run. Mosquito Bay is a consistent point break, so when it’s on like this, you’ve got to get out there. Just be aware, because it’s fairly exposed and a known spot, it can get a few people out – "sometimes" crowded, so expect some company.

Friday the 31st of July keeps the goodness rolling. Another morning with clean 7 ft south swell and a moderate offshore wind. The energy is still pumping (967), solid and powerful. The wave period around 9 seconds means it’s a wind swell, but with that much juice and offshore conditions, it’ll be punchy and fun. The afternoon drops off a bit in size and quality, but the morning is the clear target.

Saturday the 1st of August is still surfable with chest-high 4 ft waves and clean glassy conditions in the morning, but the energy is dropping (261). It’s a decent option if you missed the main event.

After that, things get messy again. A bigger swell arrives on Sunday the 2nd of August, around 5 ft from the southeast, but it brings onshore winds and gets choppy. The energy is still strong (623-627), but the wind ruins it for paddling. To be honest, with that much cross-onshore wind and a beach-and-reef setup, this looks more interesting for the kite crew than a surfer on a log.

The following week, from Monday the 3rd of August onward, drops off significantly in quality. We get some small, weak swells and poor winds. There’s a glimmer on Sunday the 9th of August with a 4 ft SE swell and light winds, but the conditions are marginal. It’s a long wait for not much reward. The rest of the window is pretty quiet, with tiny waves and mostly onshore breezes. Not worth getting excited about.

So, to wrap it up: the clear standout is Thursday the 30th of July, with Friday the 31st of July morning as your backup. The rest is a write-off. Get on it while you can.

Rusty.

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