Mosquito Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Mosquito Bay over the next couple of weeks. It’s a bit of a slow start, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll get the blood pumping.

The first decent wave arrives on the morning of Wednesday, 9th September. We’re seeing a solid 7ft swell out of the S, with a period of 7 seconds. It’s a bit short-period, but the S 6 mph cross-offshore wind keeps the surface clean. The combined energy is 528 – moderate energy, so it’s got some push. This is the standout for the whole run, and it’s for beginners. For a beginner point break, that’s a great, accessible height. That first session looks the best on offer, no question.

Later that afternoon, the wind jumps to 22 mph from the S, turning the conditions poor, even though the swell picks up to 8ft. That’s a pass.

Thursday the 10th sees a 7ft S swell early with a 9 mph cross-off, but the forecast is marginal. The combined energy jumps way up to 1014 (strong energy) with a 9-second period on Thursday morning, but the score is low. The afternoon gets messy with an ESE 6 mph cross-shore on a 5ft SSE swell. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday the 11th through to Tuesday the 15th is mostly a write-off. The swell drops right off, under 3ft most days, and the wind turns onshore or cross-onshore. There’s a moment on Monday the 14th morning with a glassy 2ft swell from the S, period 11 seconds, but that’s just too small to get excited about.

Then, on Tuesday afternoon, 15th September, things wake up. We get a 6ft SSE swell, period 7 seconds, and the wind goes glassy from the SSW at 3 mph. Combined energy is 350 (moderate). The conditions are clean, the score is a 2. That’s the second standout – a nice little pulse for the intermediate crew.

After that, it’s grim again from Wednesday the 16th all the way through Monday the 21st. Swell stays small, mostly under 4ft, with onshore or cross-shore winds and poor conditions. Crowds at Mosquito Bay are *sometimes* an issue, but with this run of flatness, it’ll be quiet.

The next real chance comes on Tuesday, 22nd September. The morning is a bust with a fresh 19 mph WNW cross-off, but the afternoon is a beauty. We get a 7ft NE swell, period 7 seconds, and a WSW 9 mph offshore breeze. Combined energy is 537 (moderate). The score is a 2. That’s a solid expert-level wave – 7ft is getting serious. Offshore wind, clean. This is the other true standout, but it’s for experienced surfers only.

Wednesday the 23rd morning is glassy but only 4ft from the NE. Surfable, but nothing to shout about.

The last entry on Thursday the 24th shows an 8ft SSE swell with an 8-second period and light cross-shore wind. Combined energy is 784 (moderate to strong). The score is a 2, but the description says “marginal” – probably a tide issue. That’s a big wave, definitely for experts only, and very long-range, so keep an eye on it but don’t book the trip yet.

To sum it up: the absolute best is the morning of 9th September – clean, solid, beginner-friendly. The second pick is Tuesday afternoon the 15th for a glassy cleanup. The offshore session on the 22nd afternoon is a big-wave standout for the crew who can handle it.

Stay tuned, forecasts can change, but for now, that’s the story.

Rusty.

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