Nyang-Nyang Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Nyang-Nyang over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I’ve gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. The forecast is showing a long run of poor surf conditions, with the wind stubbornly locked in from the ESE to SE, blowing cross-onshore pretty much every day. That’s the kind of wind that’ll put a chop on the surface and make it feel lumpy and frustrating. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong, ranging from around 824 up to a meaty 4643, so there’s definitely power in the water, but it’s just not lining up with clean conditions.

From Tuesday 28 July through to Thursday morning 6 August, the forecast is a write-off – scores of 0 and 1, with the description calling it “poor” or “marginal” at best. Swell heights climb from 0.9m up to 1.5m, which is about 3 ft to 5 ft, with periods mostly between 14 and 17 seconds, so you’ve got some decent groundswell trying to push in, but that cross-onshore wind is just ruining it. The water temperature is sitting at 26°C, which is about 80°F, and that’s average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real glimmer of hope comes in on Sunday 2 August. The morning session shows a 2.1m (about 7 ft) SSW swell with a 17-second period and a shift to a cross-shore wind at 20 km/h (about 12 mph). The combined energy is strong at 2582, and the score bumps up to a 2. It’s still not perfect – there’s a cross-chop – but it’s the best we’ve seen. The afternoon, though, goes back to cross-onshore and choppy, so you’ll want to be in the water early.

The standout window, if you can call it that, looks to be on Tuesday 4 August. The morning has a 1.7m (about 6 ft) SSW swell, 14-second period, and a gentle breeze from the ESE at 15 km/h (about 9 mph). The wind is still cross-onshore, but it’s light enough that the water might be “fairly choppy” rather than lumpy. It’s a quiet, low-crowd vibe – the spot is “sometimes” busy, so you might have it to yourself. This is a reef break, advanced only, and it’s fairly consistent. The swell direction is SSW, which is close to the optimum SW direction, so the waves should have some shape. Just keep in mind that with a 14-second period, it’s a groundswell that can run a bit straight on a beach break, but here on the reef, it should line up nicely. The combined energy is moderate at 1352. The afternoon is similar, with a 1.9m (about 6 ft) swell and the same gentle breeze – again, a marginal call, but the best of the whole run.

From Wednesday 5 August onward, the swell builds, with heights hitting 2.4m to 2.5m (about 8 ft to 8 ft), and even 3.0m (about 10 ft) on Tuesday 11 August. That’s expert territory – over 2.5m (8 ft) is only for the skilled. The wind refuses to let up, staying cross-onshore, and the scores stay at 0 or 1. The energy gets very strong, peaking at 4643 on the 11th, but with that wind, it’s just messy.

So, the honest truth? There’s no real standout in this 16-day window. The only semi-decent morning is Tuesday 4 August, but even that’s marginal. If you’re desperate, paddle out early that Tuesday for a 1.7m (6 ft) SSW swell with light wind and a chance of clean-ish waves. Otherwise, it’s a long wait. The break is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay poor forever – but this is a grim run.

Rusty.

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