Nyang-Nyang Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – this forecast for Nyang-Nyang is a test of patience. The next two weeks are filled with onshore wind and choppy conditions, and for a long stretch, the quality just isn't there for a proper paddle session. There’s a silver lining right at the end, but we’ve got to wade through a fair bit of ordinary stuff first.

We start off on Wednesday the 16th with a solid SW groundswell, 6ft at a very long 15 seconds, and a combined energy of (1445). That's a good-looking number, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore from the ESE at 12 mph, which is chopping it right up. The water temp is 79°, which is bang on average for this time of year.

Thursday the 17th and Friday the 18th see the swell holding around 6ft to 7ft from the SSW, but it’s the same story – cross-onshore wind, and the energy readings (1850, 1600, 1037) still point to moderate conditions that are being wrecked by the wind. The surf quality is poor, with reports calling it nothing but marginal or poor.

This pattern of clean skies but messy, choppy surf continues all the way through the end of September. We get a run of pulses, including a bigger spike on Sunday the 20th with 7ft SW swell at 16 seconds and a combined energy of (2353), but the wind stays cross-onshore. By Tuesday the 22nd, the wind picks up to 16 mph and the swell drops to a weak 4ft, and the whole setup looks better for kite surfing than for a traditional paddle.

The real interest doesn't kick in until the last weekend of the month. On Saturday the 26th, we get a 4ft SSW groundswell at a very long 21 seconds, but the combined energy jumps to (2239). That’s a sign of something bigger building. The standout moment, though, is Sunday the 27th. That morning brings a 10ft SSW swell at 18 seconds, with combined energy hitting (6105). That is serious groundswell energy. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore at 9 mph, so while it's not glassy, it's as clean as this spot gets for such a big offering. This is for experienced surfers only – anything over 8ft, and you need to know what you’re doing. For experts, this is the pick of the entire forecast. Monday the 28th morning still has a 8ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, the wind turns cross-shore, and the energy is (3278), offering more solid, though still not pristine, conditions.

After that, the swell fades through Tuesday and Wednesday, but then we see another promising pulse on Thursday the 1st of October with a 8ft SSW groundswell at 17 seconds and a combined energy of (3375). It’s still cross-onshore, but if the wind eases, there’s potential.

So, if you’re a competent surfer and you can wait, the true standout is Sunday the 27th at Nyang-Nyang. Big, powerful SSW groundswell and the best wind of the whole window. That’s the one to circle on the calendar. For the rest of it, it’s either too small, too windy, or both.

Rusty.

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