Nyang-Nyang Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s cookin’ for this stretch.

The whole 16-day window is a bit of a bummer, to be honest. We’ve got plenty of swell, but the wind just won’t cooperate. It’s a classic case of lots of energy, but the quality is missing. For the first week and a half, we’re stuck with a persistent cross-onshore breeze that’s gonna keep things choppy and messy. The real standout, if you can call it that, is a brief window on the morning of Saturday the 5th, and then a more promising look at the very end of the forecast on the morning of Wednesday the 16th.

Right now, Nyang-Nyang is the only show in town. It’s an exposed reef break that loves a south-west swell, and that’s exactly what we’ve got. The water is sittin’ at 79°, which is pretty much dead average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Let’s start with the first real chance. On the morning of Saturday the 5th, we’ve got a 6 ft swell from the south-southwest, riding a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy is strong at 1850. The wind is a light cross-onshore at 12 mph, which is about as good as it gets in this forecast. It’s still not clean, but it’s the closest we’ll get to a surfable lineup for a while. Keep in mind, with that long period, the sets will be more powerful and spaced out, which is a plus for paddling out, but it can make the waves a bit tricky at a reef setup. Crowds are possible here, so expect some company.

The real standout, and the one I’m eyein’ from a distance, is the morning of Wednesday the 16th. That’s a long way off, so take it with a grain of salt, but the numbers are mouth-waterin’. We’re lookin’ at a 8 ft south-west swell with a 20-second period. That is a very long period groundswell, and the energy is immense – 5586. The wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph, which is a shame, but with that much power, there will be waves. For a beat-up old reef like Nyang-Nyang, this kind of long-period south-west swell is exactly what it needs. However, at 8 ft, this is gettin’ into expert territory. This is not for the faint-hearted or the beginner. The afternoon sees it jump to 10 ft and winds increase, which is just too big and messy for a paddle session.

Before that, there’s a long, frustrating run. From the 1st right through to the 15th, it’s a constant stream of 12-15 mph cross-onshore winds. The swell is present, mostly between 4 ft and 7 ft, but the quality is poor. It’s a real test of patience. There are a couple of marginal windows – like the morning of Thursday the 10th with a gentler 9 mph breeze – but it’s still cross-onshore and the waves will be choppy. For the most part, this setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The conditions are just too blown out for a good time.

So, to wrap it up: the start and middle of the period are a write-off for clean, quality surf. The only two real chances are the morning of the 5th, and the morning of the 16th, which is the one to watch if you’re an expert lookin’ for power. But it’s a long way out, so don’t book the time off just yet.

Rusty.

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