Nyang-Nyang Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Nyang-Nyang.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it ain’t looking pretty. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the way, with a big, long-period SSW groundswell filling in, but the wind is the enemy here. It’s coming straight out of the ESE to SE, which is cross-on at this spot, and that’s ruining everything. For the next week, you’re looking at moderate to strong breezes chopping up what would otherwise be a beautiful reef break.

The water is sitting at 78°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

From Sunday the 9th right through to Tuesday the 11th, the swell is solid, between 7ft and a whopping 10ft, with periods from 16 to 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. But with 9 to 16 mph cross-onshore winds, it’s just blown-out, choppy mess. The wave energy is massive, hitting up to 5976 (moderate to strong energy) on Monday afternoon, but without clean conditions, it’s a write-off for a paddle surfer. At this size and with these winds, a beach setup might be more interesting for the kite crew, but Nyang-Nyang is a reef, so that’s not the call here. Honestly, it’s poor.

Tuesday the 11th gets a marginal nod, with a slight drop in wind speed, but the swell is still 10ft and the chop is only “fairly choppy” – not good enough to get excited about. Through Wednesday and Thursday, the wind stays up, and the swell hovers around 7ft to 10ft. It’s just a hard no.

Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th, we finally see a bit of a let-up. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph, and the swell eases back to 7ft to 8ft. The conditions are still “fairly choppy” and marginal at best, but this is the closest we get to a window. Tuesday the 11th and Friday the 14th mornings are the only times the score even hints at something, but with that cross-on wind, it’s still messy.

The second week is more of the same – a long gap of poor to marginal surf. From Monday the 17th onward, the swell starts to fade, dropping to 5ft by Monday afternoon, but the wind stays cross-on. There’s a pulse on Wednesday the 19th with a 10ft SW swell (18-second period) and 5194 energy, but again, it’s blown out. Thursday the 20th is similar. Friday the 21st to Monday the 24th sees the swell slowly shrink back to 5ft, but the wind never swings offshore. It’s just a long, frustrating stretch.

The standout? There isn’t one. Nothing here is clean. The best you could hope for is a paddle on Friday the 14th morning or Tuesday the 11th morning, when the wind is lightest, but you’ll still be fighting cross-on chop. The swell is there – big, long-period, and from a good SSW direction – but Nyang-Nyang needs that offshore ESE wind to really shine, and we aren’t getting it.

Stay patient, mate. This one’s a write-off.

- Rusty

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