Melbourne Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking at the stretch ahead for Melbourne Beach, and I gotta be straight with you—it’s a tough run. The whole 16-day window is pretty much a flat spell with very little to get excited about. We’ve got a long gap from now through the middle of the month with practically nothing on offer.

Kicking off on Tuesday, the 4th of August, there’s a tiny bit of energy in the water, but it’s messy. Swell is a weak 2 ft out of the east, with a short period of 8 seconds and combined energy at a measly 29. The wind is cross-off in the morning, which is clean, but the wave comment says it all: “poor surf conditions.” Not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday the 5th stays similar—2 ft of east swell, period dropping to 7 seconds, energy at 28. The morning does go glassy, which is a tease, but there’s just no push. The wave comment is still “poor surf conditions.” It’s frustrating because the wind is perfect, but the ocean is flat.

Thursday the 6th through to Sunday the 9th shows a slight bump, with swell heights creeping up to 3 ft, and the combined energy finally hitting three digits (146 on Saturday morning). But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore from the ESE, making it choppy and lumpy. The wave comment stays “poor surf conditions.” Even Saturday morning with 3 ft east swell at 8 seconds and 146 energy, the wind is cross-onshore and the conditions are “fairly choppy.” That’s not a session you’ll remember.

The second week, from the 10th of August onward, is even flatter. Swell sizes drop back to 0.7 ft to 2 ft, periods are short, and energy is mostly in the teens. Winds are a mix of cross and cross-onshore, with a few glassy moments on the morning of the 14th and again on the morning of the 19th. But even those glassy windows have barely any swell—2 ft and 1 ft respectively—and the wave comment on the 14th is still “poor surf conditions.” The 19th morning finally gets a “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions” rating, but it’s only 1 ft of swell. That’s not a surf report; that’s a hope.

The water temperature is sitting at 83°, which is about 1° cooler than average for this time of year. Nothing wild, just a normal summer temp.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. If you’re desperate, the glassy window on Wednesday the 5th morning might be worth a paddle on a foamie, but don’t expect to catch anything. The rest of the run is a complete write-off. For an area like this, a blank run like this isn’t too unusual—sometimes the ocean just shuts off.

Stay patient, mate. The forecasts can always change, but for now, keep the board in the car and the wax in the cupboard.

Rusty.

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