Surf Forecasts:
Melbourne Beach surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 9 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 9s period, ESE swell with 99 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Melbourne Beach this week:
The surf forecast for Melbourne Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Melbourne Beach in the next 16 days are 0.8m 9s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Melbourne Beach over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's be real about what we're looking at for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a bit of a grim stretch ahead for Melbourne Beach. We've got a 16-day window, and the first recommendation doesn't kick in until Thursday the 9th of July, so there's a bit of a dead run before we even start. Even then, it's nothing to write home about.
The core problem is we're stuck with tiny, weak east-southeast windswell for the entire period. The wave energy is pathetically low, never even cracking three digits – we’re talking readings between 12 and 70 on the energy scale. That’s barely a ripple. The swell direction is coming from the ESE, which is fine for the break, but the size is miniscule.
Thursday morning, the 9th of July, is the first time we see anything described as "surfable," and that's a generous word for it. Swell is a paltry 2ft from the ESE with a short period of 9 seconds. It's light and cross-offshore, so it'll look clean, but you'll be fighting for scraps. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84°, which is a touch above average for this time of year, so at least you won't freeze waiting for a set.
From there, it's a long, flat slog. Friday the 10th and Saturday the 11th have glassy mornings with tiny 1.5ft swell, but that's about the only positive. It’s textbook longboarding or beginner conditions, but even then, it’s weak.
We get a slight bump in size on Wednesday the 15th of July afternoon, with the swell hitting 3ft, but the period drops to a shocking 4 seconds. That’s not surf, that’s wind chop. It’ll be a mess.
The whole forecast is a repeating cycle of clean, tiny mornings getting ruined by onshore winds and storm threats in the afternoons. Consistency is a problem – the break is only "fairly consistent" at the best of times, and with this lack of energy, it's going to feel like a lake. This kind of blank run is unfortunately normal for the area when there's no proper groundswell.
If you’re desperate for a paddle, aim for a glassy morning. Otherwise, save your energy.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 31°C on Mon afternoon, min 25°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 26°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 36 | 58 | 28 | 65 | 64 | 25 | 40 | 54 | 59 | 35 | 35 | 21 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | on | cross | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross | glassy | on | cross-off |
High Tide | 12:30PM1.12m | 00:39AM1.19m | 1:18PM1.16m | 1:24AM1.14m | 2:11PM1.22m | 2:15AM1.10m | 3:07PM1.28m | 3:11AM1.06m | 4:08PM1.35m | 4:12AM1.05m | 5:09PM1.43m | 5:16AM1.05m | 6:10PM1.50m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:28PM0.35m | 7:01AM0.26m | 7:25PM0.37m | 7:45AM0.23m | 8:26PM0.37m | 8:34AM0.19m | 9:30PM0.34m | 9:28AM0.14m | 10:34PM0.30m | 10:25AM0.09m | 11:36PM0.25m | 11:23AM0.03m | 00:35AM0.20m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:30 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | — | 8:21 | — |
mm | 7 | 4 | — | — | 6 | 4 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3 | — | 2 | 4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 31 | 27 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 26 |
Feels °C | 31 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 31 | 32 | 29 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 34 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 25 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 12 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 10 | SE 4 |
| kJ | 26 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 36 | 58 | 28 | 65 | 3 | 25 | 40 | 3 | 59 | 35 | 2 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 3 | NE 6 | E 6 | SSE 4 | SSE 4 | E 6 | SSE 4 | E 7 | E 11 | — | — | E 13 | S 5 | E 12 | ENE 11 | E 11 | SSE 5 | E 10 | E 10 | ENE 10 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 3 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 6 | NE 6 | — | SE 4 | NE 7 | — | E 7 | E 6 | E 7 | — | — | — | E 12 | — | — | NE 11 | ENE 11 | NE 10 | — | — | E 9 |
| kJ | 4 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 5 | 11 | 4 | — | — | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSE 3 | — | ESE 4 | S 4 | — | — | SSE 4 | — | — | SE 4 | — | ESE 9 | SE 4 | — | ESE 8 | S 5 | — | ESE 8 | SSE 4 |
| kJ | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | 10 | — | — | 21 | — | 64 | 16 | — | 54 | 12 | — | 35 | 15 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1159 | 389 | 356 | 1159 | 1064 | 199 | 199 | 367 | 145 | 12 | 467 | 0 | 0 | 828 | 0 | 3 | 1240 | 16 | 199 | 1681 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Melbourne Beach surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Melbourne Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Melbourne Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Melbourne Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Melbourne Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Melbourne Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Melbourne Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in North Florida? If you are looking for accommodation near Melbourne Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in North Florida, consider staying in Palm Bay which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around North Florida where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Melbourne which is 10 km (6 miles) away, Sebastian, Rockledge and Cocoa.
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