Melbourne Beach Surf Break

Lat Long: 28.02° N 80.53° W

Melbourne Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 am 20 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Melbourne Beach sea temperature is
28.7° C
0.3° 

Melbourne Beach surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Melbourne Beach surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, E swell with 80 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Melbourne Beach this week:

The surf forecast for Melbourne Beach over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 4s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Melbourne Beach in the next 16 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jul 27) at 8AM.

Wave TypeTime (EDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Best Surf 5AM (Thu 23rd Jul)2ft (0.6m) 8s
Most Powerful 8PM (Fri 24th Jul)2.5ft (0.8m) 8s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Melbourne Beach over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s happening for the next 16 days.

Honestly, mate, it’s a grim stretch. The whole 16-day window is a flat spell with no real surf to get excited about. There’s a long gap right from the start with nothing worth paddling out for. The only faint glimmer of something rideable arrives right at the end of the period, but it’s barely worth mentioning.

The first recommendation doesn’t come until Friday, 31 July, and even then it’s a real struggle. Melbourne Beach is an exposed beach break, and the swell is tiny – only 2 ft from the ESE, with a period of 10 seconds. That’s a little bit of groundswell, but the combined wave energy is a weak 55 – just a trickle. The morning of the 31st looks glassy, which is a positive, with very light SSE winds, so the surface will be clean. But the waves are just too small and weak to get stoked about. It’s described as “surfable but very ordinary conditions,” which is the best we get. The water temperature is about 84°F, which is normal for this time of year.

After that, it’s back to poor conditions. The rest of the 16-day run is filled with poor surf, tiny 1.0 ft to 2 ft swell, mostly onshore winds, and a lot of chop. The wind is often coming from the ESE or E, which is onshore for this beach, ruining the shape. There are a few mornings with glassy or clean conditions – like the 24th and 27th July, and the 28th and 29th have some clean cross-offshore winds – but the swell is just too small to do anything with. The periods are short, mostly 8 seconds, meaning there’s no power behind the waves.

If you’re a beginner, the swell is never above 5 ft, so it’s not too big, but it’s also not big enough to surf. The combined energy values are all below 100, which is very weak. For any experienced surfer, this is a total write-off. The beach setup and the lack of wave power mean it’s more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, but even then, the wind isn’t consistent.

Basically, there’s no standout option. The 31st July morning is the only chance to get wet, but don’t expect anything memorable. This kind of flat run isn’t unusual for the area, so forecasts can change, but for now, leave the board in the shed.

Rusty out.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSE on Mon night, light winds from the SSW by Wed night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 30°C on Sat afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
20
Tuesday
21
Wednesday
22
Thursday
23
Friday
24
Saturday
25
Sunday
26
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.6
SSE
5
1
SE
4
0.8
SE
6
0.5
ESE
6
0.9
ESE
4
0.6
SE
5
0.4
ESE
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.3
ESE
8
0.5
ESE
8
0.5
E
8
0.4
ESE
8
0.6
E
8
0.8
E
8
0.5
E
8
0.6
E
8
0.8
E
8
0.7
ESE
8
0.6
E
8
0.7
ESE
8
0.5
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
15
40
44
19
32
14
19
20
13
37
36
21
45
78
31
45
74
60
41
60
30
Wind (km/h)
20
S
30
SE
15
S
15
SSE
30
SE
20
S
10
SE
25
SE
10
S
5
E
15
ESE
15
SSE
5
E
15
ESE
10
SSE
5
SSE
20
SE
15
SSW
10
WNW
20
ENE
5
SE
Wind State
cross
cross-on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross
cross-on
cross-on
cross
on
on
cross-on
glassy
on
cross
cross
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
High Tide
1:50PM1.25m
1:56AM1.09m
2:45PM1.22m
2:46AM1.00m
3:40PM1.20m
3:39AM0.94m
4:34PM1.20m
4:33AM0.91m
5:26PM1.21m
5:26AM0.90m
6:15PM1.23m
6:16AM0.92m
6:59PM1.26m
Low Tide
8:03PM0.34m
8:10AM0.22m
9:03PM0.38m
8:59AM0.25m
10:01PM0.41m
9:49AM0.26m
10:57PM0.41m
10:38AM0.26m
11:48PM0.40m
11:25AM0.25m
00:35AM0.37m
12:12PM0.23m
1:18AM0.35m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:37
6:37
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:39
6:41
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
8:17
8:17
8:16
8:16
8:15
8:15
8:15
 mm
1
1
1
3
1
1
Temp °C
29
31
29
28
30
29
28
29
28
28
29
28
28
29
28
28
30
29
28
31
28
Feels °C
30
31
28
30
29
29
31
29
28
31
31
30
33
31
30
32
31
30
31
34
31
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Melbourne Beach Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Melbourne Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Melbourne Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Melbourne Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Melbourne Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Melbourne Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a vacation in North Florida? If you are looking for accommodation near Melbourne Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in North Florida, consider staying in Palm Bay which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around North Florida where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Melbourne which is 10 km (6 miles) away, Sebastian, Rockledge and Cocoa.

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