
Surf Forecasts:
Melbourne Beach surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 8s period, ENE swell with 66 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Melbourne Beach this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Melbourne Beach in the next 16 days are 0.8m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Melbourne Beach over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. We’ve got one spot on the radar – Melbourne Beach – and it’s a flat spell for the foreseeable future. The entire 16-day window is a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. There is simply no swell to get excited about, and nothing changes for the first week. The only faint glimmer of hope shows up right at the tail end, but it’s not worth building a session around yet.
Starting now and running all the way through to around the 19th of September, it’s a complete dud. Tiny, weak waves – we’re talking 0.7ft to 2ft at best, mostly from the east-northeast with short, punchless periods of 5 to 9 seconds. The combined wave energy is pathetically low (26 to 79), and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore from the southeast and east, making things choppy and messy. There are a couple of glassy moments on the morning of Saturday the 19th, but with only 1.0ft of swell, it’s a lake, not surf.
Then, from the 21st of September onward, things get a little weird. The swell bumps up to 3ft to 7ft by the 25th, and the wind swings cross-offshore from the southwest and south-southwest. That’s clean, but these are short-period wind swells (7 to 10 seconds) and the energy numbers start climbing into the hundreds, even breaking 1000 on the 25th (1296). The problem? The direction is from the northeast, which is off the beach, and the forecast quality is still poor or marginal at best. The 7ft on Friday the 25th of September is the biggest wave, but it’s raw, short-period, and onshore. Honestly, with that much wind and that much messy energy, this stretch is looking more like a kite surfer’s playground than a surfer’s dream. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Bottom line: no good surf on the cards. It happens. But it can’t stay this flat forever.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Thu night. Warm (max 29°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 29°C on Sun afternoon, min 27°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 4 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
60 | 58 | 33 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 38 | 25 | 26 | 40 | 26 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 33 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 7:52AM1.32m | 8:18PM1.40m | 8:40AM1.38m | 9:02PM1.35m | 9:27AM1.40m | 9:45PM1.28m | 10:11AM1.40m | 10:27PM1.20m | 10:56AM1.36m | 11:09PM1.11m | 11:41AM1.31m | 11:51PM1.03m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:39AM0.12m | 1:54PM0.06m | 2:22AM0.09m | 2:44PM0.08m | 3:03AM0.09m | 3:33PM0.11m | 3:44AM0.10m | 4:21PM0.17m | 4:25AM0.13m | 5:10PM0.23m | 5:07AM0.17m | 5:59PM0.29m | |||||||
— | 7:03 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | |
7:34 | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:27 | — | |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | 6 | 3 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 33 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 33 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 5 |
60 | 58 | 33 | 34 | 18 | 17 | 10 | 13 | 1 | 25 | 26 | 40 | 26 | 25 | 38 | 25 | 24 | 25 | 1 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | SE 4 | ENE 6 | E 6 | ESE 4 | SE 4 | E 8 | — | SSE 4 | — | — | — | E 15 |
15 | 14 | 13 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 4 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 8 | E 10 | NE 10 | E 9 | NE 9 | ENE 5 | NE 8 | E 8 | SSE 4 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | E 15 | NE 5 | E 7 |
— | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | — | SE 4 | SSE 4 | SE 4 | SE 4 | ESE 8 | ESE 4 | — | — | SE 3 | E 3 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | E 4 | E 5 | E 4 |
5 | 7 | 3 | — | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 467 | 172 | 467 | 9 | 199 | 970 | 964 | 1109 | 1581 | 17 | 110 | 268 | 76 | 110 | 1588 | 199 | 1186 | 1588 | 1347 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Melbourne Beach Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Melbourne Beach provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Melbourne Beach can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Melbourne Beach surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Melbourne Beach) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Melbourne Beach may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a vacation in North Florida? If you are looking for accommodation near Melbourne Beach, camping, hotels and condos and appartments in North Florida, consider staying in Palm Bay which is 6 km (4 miles) away. Other places in and around North Florida where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Melbourne which is 10 km (6 miles) away, Sebastian, Rockledge and Cocoa.










