Makapu'u Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.31° N 157.66° W

Makapu'u Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 12 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Makapu'u sea temperature is
27.3°C
0.4° 

Makapu'u surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Makapu'u surf forecast from 13 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 10s period, ENE swell with 1,021 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Makapu'u this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Makapu'u in the next 16 days are 2.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 18s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 11AM.

Wave TypeTime (HST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 8PM (Thu 17th Sep)8ft (2.4m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Makapu'u over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’ve got the outlook for Makapu'u.

Right off the bat, the next week and a half is looking pretty tough. The wind is relentless, blowing straight onshore from the ENE or NE, and the surf just isn’t cooperating. We’re looking at a long stretch of poor conditions with no real standout surf. From Saturday the 12th all the way through to Thursday the 24th of September, it’s basically a write-off. The waves are small, the wind is on it, and the overall energy is weak for the most part, hitting only moderate levels (213) on the first afternoon, and then building to strong levels later, but the onshore wind will ruin any chance of a good wave. It’s just messy.

There is a bit of a change around Friday the 25th. We finally get a break from the constant onshore wind. The wind shifts to a light cross-onshore from the ESE or SE, and the swell direction swings to the SSW. The combined energy is still strong (584 to 577), and the period is a very long 14 to 16 seconds, which is classic groundswell. That said, it’s a marginal forecast and the tide might be tricky. Makapu'u is a reef break, and a very long period swell like this can sometimes make it a bit straight and challenging at a beach or reef setup. It’s not going to be perfect, but after all that onshore chop, it might be the only chance for a few cleanish waves. But it’s not a standout.

For the rest of the forecast, the wind stays onshore and the surf quality remains poor. There’s no other window to recommend. Water temperature is about 81°, which is normal for the time of year, so at least the water is warm.

So, honestly, there’s nothing I’d call a true standout in this entire 16-day run. The conditions just aren’t lining up. Hang in there, forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Warm (max 26°C on Tue morning, min 25°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Fri morning. Warm (max 26°C on Tue afternoon, min 25°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds.

Sat
12
Sunday
13
Monday
14
Tuesday
15
Wednesday
16
Thursday
17
Friday
18
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.9
NE
9
0.9
NNE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.9
NE
9
0.8
NE
8
0.7
NE
8
0.7
NE
8
0.4
E
12
1.1
NE
8
0.8
SSW
19
0.7
E
10
0.9
SSW
18
1.8
ENE
6
2.2
ENE
10
2.3
ENE
10
2.4
ENE
9
2.2
ENE
8
1
SSW
17
2.1
E
8
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
115
135
112
115
123
82
69
65
46
133
470
98
541
269
942
979
860
660
580
559
Wind (km/h)
20
NE
20
ENE
20
ENE
25
NE
25
ENE
25
ENE
20
NE
25
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
30
ENE
35
ENE
35
NE
35
NE
35
NE
35
ENE
35
ENE
25
ENE
30
ENE
25
ENE
Wind State
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
on
High Tide
3:07PM0.55m
4:11AM0.55m
3:19PM0.50m
4:57AM0.55m
3:24PM0.45m
5:47AM0.53m
3:20PM0.41m
6:53AM0.51m
2:37PM0.40m
8:54AM0.49m
10:52AM0.51m
Low Tide
9:26PM0.05m
9:50AM0.20m
9:48PM0.03m
10:35AM0.25m
10:11PM0.03m
11:26AM0.30m
10:35PM0.05m
12:57PM0.34m
11:02PM0.07m
11:41PM0.10m
1:18AM0.13m
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:18
6:18
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:36
6:35
6:34
6:32
6:31
6:30
6:30
 mm
4
4
Temp °C
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
25
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
26
25
26
26
26
Feels °C
24
24
25
24
24
24
24
25
26
26
26
24
24
25
24
24
23
25
24
25
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Makapu'u Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Makapu'u provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Makapu'u can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Makapu'u surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Makapu'u) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Makapu'u may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Makapu'u is 13 km (8 miles) from the city of Kailua. If you plan a vacation in Oahu, look for hotels and other accommodation in Kailua. Kailua has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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