Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up at Jardim Atlantico. The forecast is a bit of a mixed bag—there’s always some swell in the water, but the wind and conditions are chopping things up for most of the period. The water temp is sitting around 78°, which is pretty much average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

The standout window is the very first session: Friday morning, 4 September. It’s the only real gem in the whole 16 days. We’ve got a small but clean 4ft wave from the east, with a period of 9 seconds—that’s a decent little groundswell, not too long, not too short. The wind is glassy, light from the ESE at just 3 mph, so the surface will be silky smooth. Combined wave energy is moderate at 201, nothing huge, but perfect for a beginner-friendly break like this. It’ll be a fun, cruisy session for getting wet. Keep in mind that crowds are possible here sometimes.

From Friday afternoon onward, the story turns sour. The wind swings onshore or cross-onshore, and it stays that way for the rest of the forecast. The swell sticks around between 2ft and 5ft, with periods mostly in the 6 to 9-second range, but the wind spoils it all. There’s a persistent cross-onshore or onshore breeze, often from the NE or ENE, blowing at 6 to 12 mph, making the waves lumpy, choppy, and just plain messy. Even when the swell height picks up a bit—like around 5ft to 5ft in the second week—the onshore wind kills it. The combined energy climbs up to moderate–strong levels, hitting 557 on the 18th, but it’s all wind-affected junk.

There’s a very long gap here with no real surfable conditions. From Friday afternoon on the 4th, right through to the end of the 16-day window on the 19th, every session is rated poor. A few mornings, like the 16th and 18th of September, get a “marginal” tag, but with the wind still onshore or cross-onshore, it’s not worth getting excited about. The 18th morning has the biggest swell at 5ft and strong energy (557), but the wind is cross-onshore from the SE at 6 mph, so it’s still messy. That’s more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, to be honest.

So, bottom line: if you can get out on Friday morning, 4 September, you’ll get the only clean, glassy waves of the whole run. After that, it’s a long, frustrating stretch of poor conditions. The break is fairly consistent with swell, so it’s not a total blank run, but the wind is the enemy here. Forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a one-hit wonder.

Rusty.

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