Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Jardim Atlantico is a tough one to write. We’ve got a long 16-day window, but the first week and a half is basically a write-off for any decent paddle surfing. The good news is that the water is sitting at 79°, which is about 1° warmer than average for this time of year – not a big deal, just a touch of comfort.

For the first eight days, from Saturday the 11th right through to the morning of Saturday the 19th, it’s a real struggle. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, the wave heights are tiny, mostly bumpy and under 3ft, and the whole setup is just messy. The combined energy during this period is weak, spending most of its time in the double digits or low triple digits (like 103, 85, 55). It’s frustrating. The only tiny flicker of hope comes on the morning of Sunday the 19th of July, when the wind drops to glassy. The wave is still a weak 3ft from the E, and the period is a short 7 seconds, so it’s surfable but very ordinary.

Then, things get a bit more interesting for the experts. The standout window is the morning of Thursday the 16th of July through to the morning of Friday the 17th. That’s where the swell finally shows some muscle. On Thursday afternoon, the swell jumps to 5ft from the SSE with a long 14-second period, and the combined energy rockets up to 1089 – that’s strong energy. The catch is the wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy, but the power is there. The real highlight is the morning of Friday the 17th of July. We’re looking at 6ft of swell from the SE with a 13-second period, and the combined energy hits 1225. That’s a solid, powerful swell. The wind is a light cross-shore, which is better than onshore, but it’s still not clean. This is definitely only for experienced surfers as it’s pushing towards 7ft.

After that high point, the energy fades fast. The rest of the period from Friday afternoon through to the end of the 26th is back to small, weak, and mostly onshore slop, with energy levels dropping back into the low 100s and 200s. The wind is often light, which helps, but the swell is just too small and weak to get excited about. There’s a very long-period, long-range pulse on the 26th (17 seconds), but it’s only 1ft, so it’s not going to do much.

If you are a kite surfer, the afternoons from the 16th to the 17th with the strong energy and cross-onshore wind might be worth a look, but for paddle surfing, it’s a two-week wait for one decent morning. Hang in there.

Rusty.

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