Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Jardim Atlantico over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the first week is a tough one. We’ve got a long, ugly stretch of poor surf conditions from Monday the 13th right through to the end of the week. The wind is mostly cross or cross-onshore, chopping everything up, and the swell is short-period junk. The wave energy is weak, sitting in the 70s on the 13th, and even when it bumps up to 191 on Tuesday the 14th afternoon, it’s still a messy, cross-shore chop. Not a single day in that first week gets a thumbs up for a proper surf. You’ll be staring at a lot of close-outs and wind bumps.

Now, we start to see a little glimmer of hope on Saturday the 18th. The morning goes glassy, with a light SSW air, and a 4 ft swell from the east. The conditions are still described as "very ordinary", but at least it’s clean. The energy is moderate (166). That Saturday afternoon and Sunday the 19th morning look similar – glassy or clean, with 3 ft to 4 ft east swell. It’s not pumping, but if you’re desperate for a small, clean wave, that Sunday morning window is your best bet for the first week. The water is a warm 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Tuesday the 21st morning. We get a glassy dawn with a light south wind, a 4 ft east swell (8 seconds), and the combined energy jumps to 325. The forecast is calling for "expect good surf conditions." That’s the first time we’ve seen that phrase. It’s still a short period, but the glassy conditions will make the most of what’s there. This is your best window in the whole outlook.

After that, it gets messy again, but we’ve got another promising window late in the second week. Friday the 24th morning has a little more size at 5 ft from the east-southeast, but it’s cross-onshore. The real prize is Saturday the 25th morning. Again, glassy conditions with a light east-southeast breeze, 5 ft east-southeast swell, and a solid energy reading of 493. That’s the strongest energy of the whole run and it’s glassy. That’s a proper morning session, folks. It’s a long way out, so don’t lock it in, but it’s the one to watch.

The rest of the forecast is a mix of marginal and poor conditions. The gap between the good stuff on the 21st and the 25th is about three days of mostly average to poor surf. Jardim Atlantico is a beginner-friendly spot, so anything over 5 ft is getting a bit much for learners, and the 5 ft on the 25th will be pushing it for absolute beginners, but it’s still very manageable for intermediates.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that Saturday the 25th morning, and don’t bother paddling out in that first week of onshore junk.

Rusty.

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