Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you. The next couple of weeks at Jardim Atlantico are looking pretty grim for getting a proper surf. We’ve got a long stretch of small, wonky waves and less-than-ideal winds, so you might want to keep the board in the car for most of this forecast. There are a few blips of hope way down the line, but we’ll get to that.

Right now, the water’s sitting at a pretty warm 79°, which is about average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit while you’re staring at the flatness.

The first real chance of anything rideable doesn’t show up until Saturday the 12th, and even then, it’s a marginal call. We’re looking at a small 4ft east swell with a short 8-second period, and the wind is going to be light and cross-shore. The energy is weak at 230, and honestly, it’s not going to be worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate. It’s just not going to have any push.

From Sunday the 13th through to Wednesday the 16th, we’re stuck in that same pattern: small east swells around 3ft to 4ft, a short period, and a cross-onshore breeze messing up the surface. Wave energy stays in the weak-to-moderate range, between 105 and 322. It’s all poor surf conditions. The wind’s just not giving us a break.

There’s a slight change on Thursday the 17th, but it’s not for the better. The wind swings around to the southeast, but it’s still cross-onshore, and the swell stays small and weak. This is definitely a “go do something else” kind of week.

The only time the forecast even hints at something decent is the morning of Tuesday the 24th of September. The wind drops right out to nothing, leaving the ocean glassy, and we’ve got a 4ft swell from the ENE with a 7-second period. The energy is moderate at 251, and the forecast even says to expect good surf conditions. It might be a bit soft and short-period, so don’t expect barrels, but for a beginner-friendly spot like this, it could be your only real chance to get a few clean, small waves. Just keep in mind that this is over a week away, so it’s promising but not a sure thing.

So the long and short of it is: for the next week and a half, you’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. The first real standout, and maybe the only one, is that glassy morning on the 24th. Before that, it’s a waiting game. The breaks are fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long, but this run is a real test of patience.

Signing off.

Rusty

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