Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me be straight with you. The outlook for Jardim Atlantico over the next couple of weeks is pretty grim, I won't sugarcoat it. The waves are there, but the wind just won't play ball. We've got a long stretch of onshore and cross-onshore breezes messing up what could otherwise be a fun little run of surf.

Right now, starting from Sunday the 13th, we've got a weak 4ft easterly swell with a short 8 second period. The combined swell energy is only 339 (moderate energy) but it's completely blown out by a cross-on wind. The water temp is sitting at a nice 79°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but you wouldn't want to be out there with the current conditions.

Monday the 14th and Tuesday the 15th are more of the same – small, messy, onshore slop. The swell hangs around 3ft to 4ft from the east, but periods are still short, around 8 seconds, and the wind is either on or cross-on. The combined energy drops right down to around 146 (weak energy) on Tuesday morning. It's not worth paddling out for.

Wednesday the 16th is actually the low point. Swell drops to a tiny 1ft from the ESE, with a period of 10 seconds and a combined energy of just 102 (weak energy). The wind is still cross-on. It's a complete write-off.

From Thursday the 17th through to Friday the 18th, we see a tiny bump in swell, but it's still weak (around 3ft to 4ft, 6 second period) and the wind remains a problem. Combined energy stays between 117 and 169 (weak to moderate). Honestly, the surf quality is poor across the board.

There is a very brief glimmer on Saturday the 19th. The swell picks up a bit to 4ft from the east, with a 7-second period, and the combined energy hits 205 (moderate energy). But the wind is still onshore. The model calls it "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions". I wouldn't get my hopes up.

Sunday the 20th sees the biggest swell of the period, hitting 5ft from the ESE, with a 7-second period and combined energy of 454 (moderate energy). Again, the wind is directly onshore. For a beginner-friendly break like Jardim Atlantico, anything over 5ft can be a handful, but with this wind, it's going to be a messy, choppy mess. Honestly, it's more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The rest of the week (21st to 28th September) is a rinse-and-repeat cycle. Swell hovers around 4ft to 4ft from the east, periods stretch out to 8 or 9 seconds sometimes, but the wind barely lets up. Every single day has onshore or cross-onshore winds. The combined energy stays moderate, between 224 and 302. There's no standout window. The model occasionally gives it a score of 1 out of 10 (marginal), but that's about the best we get.

To be honest, it's a tough run. The swell is consistent enough, but the wind direction is just cruel. For a break that's exposed to the east, a consistent east-northeast wind is a killer. If you absolutely have to get wet, the early mornings on the 22nd or 25th might offer the least awful conditions, with light cross-onshore breezes and a little bit of shape, but don't expect anything special.

Rusty.

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