Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, checkin' in. The surf's been a bit of a tease, but there's a window of glass to aim for.

Right now, the first few days are pretty average. We've got swell, but the wind is messin' it up. Wednesday the 2nd starts with a 6ft ENE swell, but that cross-shore wind is churnin' up the surface, making it a marginal one at best (783 combined energy). The afternoon gets worse, with a choppy 6ft. This pattern holds through Wednesday and Thursday – there's some 4ft to 4ft E swell but the wind is onshore or cross. Then we get to the standout.

The absolute pick of the whole forecast is Friday the 4th morning at Jardim Atlantico. The wind drops right out, going glassy. That's a major win. The swell is a clean 4ft from the east with a 9-second period, and combined energy is 209. That's going to be clean, drivable little waves. Perfect for the beginner-friendly setup. The water temp is around average for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises. Just get out there before the afternoon wind swings to the NE and ruins it.

After that glory window, it gets messy again. Saturday the 5th and Sunday the 6th see the swell drop a bit, but the wind goes onshore or cross, creating chop. The period on Sunday drops to 6 seconds – that's weak, short-period windswell (156 to 107 combined energy). Not worth paddling out for. Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th are similar – small, choppy, and marginal. Tuesday afternoon on the 8th does see a brief moment with a clean cross-offshore wind on a tiny 3ft swell (89 energy), but it's so small it's barely a wave.

Then we get a bigger pulse. Wednesday the 9th brings a solid 8ft SE swell (735 combined energy). That's getting into the "too big for beginners" territory. But the wind is a moderate cross-shore, so it's going to be a choppy mess, not the clean wall you'd want. Thursday the 10th is similar with a 7ft E swell, but again, the onshore wind blows it out. The rest of the week into the second week is a story of onshore wind and "poor" conditions. There's another decent energy spike on Friday the 11th afternoon with a 7ft ESE swell that peaks at 1074 combined energy, but it's cross-onshore and choppy. The swell direction (ESE) does match the optimum direction for the spot, but that wind just ruins it.

Into the second week, it’s a lot of the same: onshore wind. Monday the 14th, Tuesday the 15th, and Wednesday the 16th all show modest swell between 4ft and 5ft, but it's all onshore or cross-onshore. There's a flash of onshore wind on the 13th with a 5ft E swell, but it's still "poor". Wednesday the 16th afternoon has a 5ft E swell with 693 energy, but that cross-onshore chop is still there. The 17th brings a 7ft ENE swell (812 energy) but again, a cross-shore breeze keeps it from being clean.

Honestly, if you've got a free Friday morning, that's your window. Everything else is a scrap. There's a long gap of poor conditions from Saturday the 5th through to the 9th, and then again from the 10th through to the 17th. For a beginner break, a glassy 4ft is as good as it gets in this stretch.

Rusty.

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