Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store for us at Jardim Atlantico. I’ll be straight with ya – it’s a tough run ahead. The water is running warm at about 79°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The pattern shaping up is a long stretch of mostly small, choppy, and messy conditions. We’ve got a lot of cross-onshore wind and short-period windswell making things lumpy. There’s no real standout period here, but a couple of moments might give you a little hope if you’re desperate for a paddle.

Let’s run through it. The first few days from Wednesday the 12th through to Saturday the 15th are basically a write-off. Swell hangs around 3 ft to 5 ft but it’s mostly coming from the ESE with a short period of 7 to 8 seconds. The wind is consistently cross-on or onshore, making everything choppy. Combined wave energy only gets up to 359 (moderate) at best, but the quality is just poor. Not worth suiting up.

Sunday the 16th morning looks a bit cleaner with an onshore wind from the East and a longer period of 12 seconds, but the swell is only 3 ft. The energy is moderate at 213, but the forecast still calls it marginal. It’s a maybe if you’re really keen, but don’t expect much.

The 18th of August, Tuesday, sees a bump in swell to 5 ft from the SE, but the period is short at 8 seconds and the wind is cross-onshore again. The energy jumps to 411 (moderate), but it’s just messy. That kind of setup with a beach break is more interesting for the kite crew than for paddle surfing.

Now, the one tiny glimmer in this whole outlook is the morning of Wednesday the 19th. The wind goes glassy, coming from the SSE at just 3 mph. The swell is 3 ft from the East with an 8-second period, and the combined energy is 123 (weak). The waves are surfable but very ordinary. Still, glassy conditions at Jardim Atlantico can make even a small wave feel fun. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so if you’re out early, you might have it mostly to yourself.

After that, we’re back into a long stretch of poor to ordinary conditions right through to the end of the 16-day window. Swell stays small, mostly under 3 ft, with short periods and onshore or cross-onshore winds. There’s a brief moment on the morning of Friday the 21st with a light cross-offshore wind from the NNW and clean conditions, but the swell is only 2 ft with 66 energy (weak). It’s a long paddling session for not much reward.

To be honest, the only morning that stands out even a little is Wednesday the 19th. If you can get out then, with the glassy conditions, you might snag a few clean little ones. The rest of the period is a real grind. Keep your eyes on the forecast, because it tends not to stay this poor for too long.

Rusty.

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