Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a stretch of days ahead that’s gonna test your patience. The ocean’s gonna be a bit of a mess for the most part, but there’s a couple of windows where it might just come together for a session. Don’t get too fired up about the long range just yet, but there are a few things worth circling on the calendar.

The first few days are pretty much a write-off for a proper surf. We’re looking at small, weak, and bumpy conditions. The wind is gonna be coming at us from the southeast, putting a real chop on things. For the weekend and into Monday, it’s not looking like you’ll want to paddle out unless you’re just desperate to get wet. The swell is small – around 2ft – and that combo of wind and small waves is just a recipe for frustration. It’s a poor surf situation down at Jardim Atlantico.

The energy in the water is gonna start to build a little as we head into Tuesday and Wednesday, but it’s still not going to be pretty. Tuesday morning brings a touch more size – maybe 6ft – but the southeast wind is still messing it up. We’re getting a bit of a push in energy, but the quality is just not there. Then Wednesday morning, things look like they might clean up a bit. The wind drops right out, going glassy, and there’s a small but rideable 4ft of east swell. The period is a short 8 seconds, so it won’t be packing much punch, but it’ll be the first clean-ish look at the place. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Now, here’s the standout in this whole forecast period. Thursday morning, August 20th. The wind goes calm, totally glassy. The swell is still on the small side at 4ft from the east, but with zero wind, that’s going to be the cleanest the place is all week. For a beginner-friendly spot like Jardim Atlantico, which is fairly consistent and exposed to the ESE swell, this is your best window for a hassle-free, clean, small-wave session. It won’t be big, but it will be clean. That’s what we're chasing here.

After that, things get messy again Friday with a cross-on breeze, and the weekend sees the swell drop off further. The following week, the second week of this outlook, is looking pretty uninspiring to be honest. It’s mostly small, short-period windswell – in the 3ft to 4ft range – with a cross-on or onshore wind messing up the surface nearly every session. There is a slight uptick in size on Thursday, August 27th, with a 5ft northeast swell, but the wind is still cross-on, so it’ll likely be a bit of a mess.

Given the lack of any real quality and the onshore winds that are forecast for most of the period, if you're looking at a day when the swell shows up but the wind is howling onshore, this setup might be more interesting for the kite surfers than for us paddle surfers.

For a first mention, the water temp is a warm 78°F, which is about 2°F warmer than usual for this time of year. It’s a touch on the warm side, but nothing crazy.

So, to sum up: the first real chance for a surf will be Thursday morning, the 20th. It’s the only time we get that perfect glassy wind with some rideable swell. The rest of the time, you'll be battling the chop for not much reward. Keep your expectations low and your eyes on that Thursday morning forecast.

Stay salty.

Rusty.

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