Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – this outlook for Jardim Atlantico is a tough one. We’ve got a 16-day window, but honestly, it’s pretty barren. There’s no good surf on offer for the first few days, and the pattern doesn’t really change. The first sniff of anything comes Friday morning, the 21st of August, but it’s not what you’d call good.

Friday morning, August 21st: We’ve got a small, weak easterly swell pushing in at 3 ft, with a short period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak (88), so it’s not packing much punch. The wind is light from the northwest, which is cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean enough for a beginner. The water temp is a lovely 78°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. But honestly, this is surfable, not fun. It’s just very ordinary.

Friday afternoon: The wind swings to the northeast, turning it cross-on, and the swell stays the same size. It gets choppy. Not worth paddling out.

Saturday, August 22nd, through to the end of the forecast: The pattern is a broken record. The swell stays small, between 2 ft and 4 ft, always from the east or east-northeast, with periods mostly between 6 and 8 seconds. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, from the northeast or east-northeast, at 6 to 12 mph. It’s going to be choppy, bumpy, and generally poor. There are a couple of glassy moments – like Sunday morning, August 23rd, and Tuesday morning, August 25th – but the swell is too small and weak (42 and 78 energy) to make anything of it.

The only real standout – and it’s a big ‘if’: Look at Thursday afternoon, August 27th. The swell drops to 2 ft, but the period jumps to 15 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, and the combined energy is moderate (246). For a spot like this, a long period east-southeast swell is what you want to see. But it’s tiny. The wind is cross-onshore, so it won’t be clean. It’s a teaser, a promise of something that might have been if the size was there.

The rest of the run: From the 28th of August through to the 5th of September, we see the swell slowly building, hitting 4 ft by the 31st, with energy climbing into the 200s and even 296 on the 1st of September. But the wind is always cross-on or onshore, and the direction is never quite right. The setup here is a beach break, so with that onshore wind and small, weak swell, it’s going to be a mess. For a kite surfer, it might look interesting, but for a paddle surfer, it’s a no-go.

Bottom line: There’s not a single day in this 16-day window that I’d call good. The consistency is poor, the wind is almost always wrong, and the swell is either too small or too short period. It’s a blank run. Jardim Atlantico can be a fun little beginner wave, but this forecast is a write-off. Keep your board in the bag, or wait for the forecasts to change – they usually do.

Rusty.

Read more