Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty.

Let’s cut through it. We’ve got a long stretch of pretty average conditions on the cards here at Jardim Atlantico. The water is warm at about 79°, which is normal for the time of year, but the surf quality just isn’t there for most of the forecast. We are looking at a solid 16 days of wind that’s mostly onshore or cross-onshore, which is going to mess up whatever swell is rolling in.

The swell over the first week is small – mostly around 2 ft to 4 ft – with a short period of 6-8 seconds. That means weak, weak energy (mostly under 200 on the energy scale). It’s just not going to have any push. The wind is straight onshore from the East for a good chunk of that time too, so it’ll be bumpy and messy. Honestly, this is a total write-off for a paddle. For the first nine days, everything is rated as poor. There’s a slight bump in energy around the 10th and 11th of September with chest-high 4 ft sets, but the cross-onshore wind keeps it choppy.

We do see a bit more energy kicking in from the 19th of September onward, with the energy value jumping over 300 (moderate). The swell picks up to about 4-5 ft from the East, but the period stays short at 7-8 seconds. That’s a windswell, not a groundswell, so it’ll be fat and crumbly. The wind is still from the East or Northeast, so it’s either onshore or cross-onshore.

The only time we get a real look is on Monday, the 21st of September, in the morning. The wind finally swings around to a cross-shore from the North-Northeast at a light 9 mph. This is the cleanest the conditions get. You’ll have a chest to shoulder-high swell (4 ft) from the East and the energy is a solid 230. It’s still a short-period windswell, but with light cross-shore winds, it’s your best shot for a few weaker, crumbly waves without all the chop. Because it’s a short period and not a groundswell, it won’t have that long lull between sets, which can be easier for beginners to handle, but the wave shape isn't going to be great. The crowds are listed as "sometimes" here, so you might have a few others on it, but it’s the only window that’s not a total mess. After that morning, the wind shifts back onshore for the afternoon.

Overall, this is pretty grim. The combination of onshore winds and short-period, weak swells doesn't give us a single standout day. Most of this setup, with the wind and small chop, looks more suited for a kite than a surfboard. Don't hang your hopes on the long-range either; the pattern looks locked in. Forecasts could change, but right now, it’s a blank run.

- Rusty

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