Jardim Atlantico Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a good hard look at what’s on the menu for Jardim Atlantico over the next couple of weeks. I'll be straight with you – it's a bit of a slow cooker, but there are a few windows if you’re keen.

The big picture? We’ve got a long, drawn-out stretch of small, weak, onshore junk to start. The swell energy is pitiful, barely hitting triple digits until we get into the new month. Patience is the name of the game here. The first serious pulse of energy doesn't show its face until the very first day of August.

Let’s start with the here and now. For Sunday the 26th, it’s a mixed bag. The early morning glass-off is beautiful – wind is dead calm from the west at just 3 mph – but the swell is a tiny 2ft coming from the east with a period of only 7 seconds. The combined energy is a very weak 54. It’s rideable, but honestly, it’s pretty ordinary. The afternoon goes completely south as the wind swings easterly at 9 mph and blows directly onshore. That kills it.

Monday and Tuesday are write-offs. Small, onshore, and messy. The water temp is sitting at a mild 78° now, which is about 0.5° warmer than average for this time of year – so the water feels pretty normal, nothing weird going on.

The real story starts to build around the first week of August. We see the swell start to pick up. Saturday the 1st of August has the swell climbing to 3ft in the morning and 4ft by the afternoon, with the combined energy clicking over into the moderate range (105 and 134). The problem? It’s still getting hammered by an easterly onshore breeze all day. The waves will be there but bumpy. By Sunday the 2nd, the swell holds at 4ft early and the energy jumps to 235, but again, it’s onshore. You’ll see some shape but expect a lot of chop.

Monday the 3rd is probably the most interesting morning of the whole run for a proper session, but it still comes with a caveat. Swell pushes to 4ft from the east with an 8-second period, giving us a moderate 313 in combined energy. The wind goes light and southerly, swinging to a cross-shore texture – not glassy, but far from the onshore trash we’ve been seeing. That will actually make for some rideable, punchy little waves on the bank, but it’s still not firing.

From the 5th onward, the swell gets bigger – climbing to 5ft and 6ft, with the energy blasting up into the strong category (649 on the Wednesday afternoon). But this is the kicker: it’s accompanied by a constant cross-onshore wind from the southeast at 9 mph. The waves will be lumpy and hard to enjoy, especially for a beginner. At 6ft and over 5ft, it starts getting too much for beginners anyway. The wind is just going to chop it up.

If you look at the very end of the run on the 9th and 10th, the swell stays in the 5ft to 5ft range with a longer 9-second period, delivering better energy (around 300), but the wind is still mostly onshore or cross-onshore. You’ll get a bit more push, but the quality just isn't there.

The standouts? Honestly, if I had to pick one morning to get wet, it’s Monday the 3rd of August. The swell is a clean 4ft from the east, the wind is light and cross-shore, and the energy is finally in the game (313). It’s not a world-class day, but it’s the only window where the wind and swell align to give you a clean, surfable wave at this spot.

Otherwise, for most of the next two weeks, the setup is more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer – the east winds and building chop will keep the board short and the frustration high for a regular surfer.

So, keep your expectations low, and if you’re a beginner, stick to the glassy mornings before the wind turns on. The second week shows more size but less quality. Forecasts can change, but for now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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