Hobson County Park Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty flat and featureless for Hobson County Park. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly poor surf ahead. If you’re hanging for a wave, you’re going to need to be patient, because there’s nothing worth paddling out for until at least the 20th, and even then, it’s only a marginal call.

The next week is a write-off. From the 12th through to the 19th, we’ve got tiny leftovers, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, with periods bouncing between 8 and 19 seconds. The energy is weak too, with readings mostly in the low 100s and sometimes dipping below 100 (think 95, 90, 84). It’s clean enough – light breezes, mostly onshore or light cross-onshore – but the waves are just not there. You’d be fighting for waist-high slop at best. On the 16th and 17th, there’s a hint of a longer period (17 seconds), but the size is just too small to do anything with it. This isn’t surf; it’s a flat spell.

Now, the only glimmer of hope arrives on Sunday the 20th. The morning still looks poor, but the afternoon shows a bit of life. The swell bumps up to 2ft from the southwest with an 18-second period, and the energy jumps to 322 – that’s the strongest reading we see in the whole run, pushing into moderate territory. It’s still small, but that long-period groundswell might wrap in with a bit more push. The wind is light and offshore (WSW at 6 mph), which is a big positive for clean conditions. The forecast even says “marginal” instead of “poor,” which is about as good as it gets here. But let’s keep it real – it’s still only 2ft. It could be a fun, clean ankle-to-knee-high wave for a log, but don’t expect much more. It’s the only day I’d even consider wetting a line.

After that, the 21st and 22nd drop back to 2ft with a 16-17 second period, but the energy fades and it’s mostly onshore again. The rest of the run through to the 27th is a slow fade back to nothing, with swells shrinking to 1ft-1ft and energy dropping into the double digits. The water temp is a real standout though: 72°F at the start, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s about 8°F above the long-term average. That’s a nice bonus for a paddle, even if the waves aren’t there.

So, to sum it up: the first week is dead, the second week has one marginal window on the 20th, and that’s it. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that Sunday afternoon – it’s the best of a bad bunch, but don’t book a surf trip around it. The setup here is more suited to a flat day at the beach than a proper surf session. I’d be looking at other options or just enjoying the warm water while it lasts.

Rusty.

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