Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here, and we’ve got a mixed bag coming up at Guarita over the next couple of weeks. This reef setup is an advanced wave, so we’re looking at waves that’ll test the crew. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

The action kicks off Sunday the 9th with a bit of a shoulder of a swell. Morning sees a 3ft SSE swell, but with a moderate cross-offshore breeze from the SW, the waves are clean. The problem is the combined energy is weak (467). Afternoon gets a jump to 7ft from the S, but the wind swings cross-shore, turning it lumpy and cross-chop. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday the 10th is a better story. Morning has a solid 7ft S swell with a 12-second period and a moderate cross-offshore breeze, keeping it clean. The energy is moderate (1810). This is a good window for the experienced crew. The afternoon drops to 6ft with a gentle cross-breeze, so it’s less special.

Tuesday the 11th through Wednesday the 12th is the real standout. Tuesday morning, the swell settles to 5ft from the SSE, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore from the north, and the forecast says “very good surf conditions.” The period is 12 seconds, and the energy is around 782 to 804 – clean, glassy, consistent. This is the best stretch of the whole forecast. The wind stays light and cross-offshore through Wednesday afternoon, with waves holding at 5-6ft. If you’ve got a board, this is the time to be in the water at Guarita. Crowds are possible here, so get in early.

Thursday the 13th morning is for the experts only. The swell jumps to 7ft from the SSE with a 14-second period and a very long-period groundswell feel. The energy spikes to 1663, and the wind is near calm. This is a powerful, clean wave, but it’s over 5ft and pushing 7ft, so it’s for the advanced crew only. The afternoon drops off, with a light cross-shore wind and smaller 5ft swell.

Friday the 14th is a write-off. Onshore wind in the morning, then a strong cross-onshore in the afternoon with 15 mph winds and poor surf conditions. Saturday the 15th is even worse – a windswell from the ENE at 8ft but with a short 8-second period and a fresh cross-shore that’s lumpy and choppy. The energy is strong (1737), but the quality is poor. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

After that, we hit a long gap. Sunday the 16th afternoon has a brief window with 5ft and glassy conditions, but it’s a short-period windswell. Monday the 17th afternoon turns glassy again with a 6ft ENE swell, and the energy is moderate (616). That’s worth a look if you’re desperate. Tuesday the 18th morning is clean with 6ft, but the period is still short.

From Wednesday the 19th through to Monday the 24th, it’s mostly poor or marginal. There’s a lot of small, short-period windswell, onshore winds, and lumpy conditions. One exception is Friday the 21st morning – a clean 7ft ENE swell with a solid offshore wind from the west, but the period is only 7 seconds, so it’ll be a bit soft and dumpy. The afternoon gets a near-gale cross-offshore, so it’s over.

The best days are Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th, with clean, glassy conditions and a nice 5-6ft SSE swell. That’s the one to aim for. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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