Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s cooking at Guarita, a reef setup that’s got some serious mood swings over the next couple of weeks.

The water temperature is sitting at a chilly 58°, which is a whopping 6° colder than normal for this time of year. That’s a big deal; you’ll want a thick suit and maybe some booties, because that’s not just a little cool, that’s “much colder than normal” territory.

The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, but we start seeing some real potential early on. Monday the 13th morning is our first real standout. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell rolling in from the south with a short, punchy 8-second period, and the wind is light and cross-offshore out of the west. That’s a recipe for some fun, clean waves at this exposed reef. The combined energy is moderate (614), so there’s enough push to get you into some decent ones.

Tuesday the 14th morning is also worth a mention, with a clean 5ft swell from the southeast and a 10-second period, offering a bit more shape. The cross-offshore northerly breeze will keep things tidy. The energy is moderate (401).

Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 16th mornings both bring clean conditions with cross-offshore winds, offering 5ft and 5ft swells respectively. The energy is moderate (519 and 530). Consistent, clean, and surfable.

Now, the real highlight of the whole outlook is shaping up for the end of the second week. On Monday the 27th, the morning session is solid, but the afternoon is the absolute best on offer. The swell jumps to 8ft from the SSE, with a very long 16-second period. That’s serious groundswell energy – the combined energy is a massive 3348, which is strong. This is expert territory, as it’s over 8ft. The wind is light and cross-off from the north, leaving the waves clean. This swell is going to be powerful and organized, perfect for Guarita’s reef setup. It’s a long way out, so lock it in as a promising one, but it’s the one to aim for.

The rest of the second week has some smaller swells, and there are a few days like the 24th and 25th where the wind gets messy with a cross-shore chop, or the swell is too short period to be exciting. The 26th has some decent size but the conditions are a bit marginal.

Overall, any of the mornings with cross-offshore winds and a couple feet of swell are good. But as I said, the 27th afternoon is the standout. Crowds can be a thing here sometimes, so for that big swell, expect a few chargers out.

Rusty out.

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