Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our one spot, Guarita. This is a solid, exposed reef setup that needs the right direction to really fire, and we’ve got a mix bag over the next couple of weeks.

The opening here isn't a total washout, but it’s pretty underwhelming for a couple of days. Wednesday afternoon kicks off with a lousy 6 ft SE swell, but the wind's onshore and the whole thing looks messy. You wouldn’t bother. We’ve got a gap of really poor conditions through to Friday morning. Then, from Thursday morning we see a bit of hope with 5 ft SE groundswell, a period of 11 seconds, and glassy offshore NW wind at just 3 mph. The water temp sits at 62°, pretty standard for this time of year. That Thursday morning session is the standout right now – clean, glassy, and that longer period swell will be wrapping nicely into the reef. This is the one you want. The combined energy is moderate (548). Best on offer, no doubt.

After that glassy morning, conditions drop off quickly Thursday afternoon as the wind swings cross-onshore. Friday through the weekend is a right-off with small, weak swells and strong cross-offshore or onshore winds making a mess of things. The energy drops to weak levels (125-211). There’s some cleaner wind on Sunday, but the swell is poor quality and small. Not worth the paddle.

We get another chance on Monday the 7th morning. A 4 ft S swell with an 11-second period and clean offshore WNW wind at 6 mph. Decent enough, combined energy moderate (403), but it’s not the same quality as that Thursday glass.

Tuesday and Wednesday are mixed again, but then Wednesday morning the 9th looks interesting. A 5 ft ENE short-period swell (7 seconds) with a slight offshore cross-off wind from the north. That’s got good energy (534) but the short period means it’ll be a bit fat and won’t have the same push. Still, it’s clean and worth a look if you’re desperate.

After that, we’re into a long stretch of mostly poor or marginal conditions right through to the middle of the next week. Small swells, cross-shore winds, and general flatness. There’s a brief flicker on Monday the 14th morning with a 3 ft E swell and light offshore breeze, and that afternoon goes glassy with a tiny 2 ft SSE groundswell of 13 seconds. That’s a long period for such a small wave, so it’ll be clean but gutless.

The real wildcard is Thursday the 17th morning. A solid 7 ft S swell rolling in with a 10-second period. That’s in the expert-only zone size-wise, and the combined energy is very strong (1181). But the wind is a messy cross-shore and the guidance suggests questionable conditions. If the winds clean up, that could be a proper session for the experienced crew, but at two weeks out, treat it as a promising long-range prospect. For now, Thursday morning the 3rd is your best bet for clean, lined-up waves.

Signing off, Rusty.

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