Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Guarita.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but you’ll want to pick your moments. The first few days are a bit mixed, but things really clean up as we move through the week. The standout window is shaping up to be Monday morning, with a real gem lurking on Thursday morning the week after.

Kicking off Saturday, August 8th, it’s a bit of a slow starter. The morning is cloudy with a 6ft SSE swell, but the wind is a cross-shore from the NNE at 15 km/h, so it’s a little messy. The afternoon though, that’s a different story. The wind drops to glassy, and you’ve got a 5ft SSE groundswell with a period of 13 seconds. The energy is strong (993) and the face is clean. It’s a reef break, so that long-period swell will wrap in nicely. The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild.

Sunday the 9th is a write-off. The morning has a 6ft swell but the period drops to a short 8 seconds, and though the wind is cross-offshore, the energy is moderate. The afternoon bumps up to 7ft but the wind turns cross-on and it gets choppy. Not worth it.

Monday, August 10th is the first real standout. The morning is where it’s at. A 7ft S swell with a 12-second period, cross-offshore wind from the SW at 15 km/h, and the energy is pumping at 2094. The report says excellent conditions for experienced surfers. This is a bigger, powerful wave, so if you’re not comfortable in that 6ft+ range, maybe sit this one out. It’s looking clean and lined up.

Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th are consistent and clean with 5ft to 6ft SSE swells, good cross-off winds, and long 12-second periods. The energy is moderate to strong, but the waves are manageable. Conditions are very good, especially in the mornings.

Now, Thursday, August 13th morning is the hidden gem. Glassy. Zero wind. A 5ft SSE swell with a very long 15-second period. The energy is strong (1025). For a reef break like this, that long-period groundswell is going to produce some beautiful, powerful lines. Excellent for experienced surfers. This is a morning for the connoisseur.

After that, the surf starts to fade. Friday the 14th is okay, but the wind gets messy in the afternoon. Saturday the 15th has a tiny 3ft glassy morning, but it’s small. Then from Sunday the 16th, we get a run of poor conditions. A strong onshore wind kicks in, with 7ft to 8ft of short-period, wind-affected slop. This stretch is more for the kite crew than paddlers.

There’s a gap of poor surf for a few days, but the models show a pulse of bigger swell hitting Tuesday, August 18th morning. A 10ft ENE swell, but with a cross-shore wind and a short period of 9 seconds. The energy is very strong (2467), but the quality is marginal and it’ll be a bumpy, lumpy mess. This one is for experts only, and even then, it’s a gamble.

The forecast finally cleans up again on Wednesday, August 19th. The morning has a 5ft E swell with a 10-second period and a light cross-offshore wind from the west. It’s clean, and the energy is back to a moderate level. The afternoon goes offshore with a 5ft swell. It’s small, but it’s clean, and a good way to end the run.

After that, the swell drops right off into the 2ft to 3ft range with poor winds and short periods. The last real chance for a wave is gone.

So, for the best on offer: Monday, August 10th morning for the size and power, and Thursday, August 13th morning for the glassy, long-period quality. The rest is a case of picking the clean windows when the swell is still in.

Rusty.

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