Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf outlook for Guarita. It’s a reef setup that needs an easterly swell to really light up, and mate, we’ve got a long wait ahead.

For the first week and a half, it’s pretty grim. We’re looking at a whole lot of nothing. From Friday the 31st of July all the way through to the 11th of August, there’s hardly a wave worth paddling for. The energy is weak, mostly under 100, and the wind is a cross-shore mess. The water temp is sitting at 64°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there. The few small pulses of swell we get are short-period and just don’t have the goods. This is a real dry spell.

But then, things start to look a little more interesting in the second week. On the 13th of August, Thursday morning, we get a bit of a tease. A clean, light offshore wind from the southwest, with a 0.7m (2 ft) swell from the SSE. The period jumps to 16 seconds, which is a very long, groundswell energy. The combined energy is 386 – moderate. It’s a clean window, but the swell is small. This is a promising but less certain call for a sneaky session.

The real standout, the one that’s got my attention, is the 14th of August, Friday. The morning sees a 1.9m (6 ft) south swell with a period of 11 seconds, and a combined energy of 909 – that’s strong. The wind is a light cross-shore from the NNE. This is a proper groundswell. The afternoon gets even better, with the swell building to 2.2m (7 ft) from the south, period 12 seconds, and the energy jumps to 1297. The wind is light and cross-onshore, so it’s not perfect, but for a reef break like Guarita, this long-period south swell will be grinding. This is the best on offer, but it’s a solid size for experienced surfers only.

Then on the 15th of August, Saturday, it gets massive. The swell hits 3.5m (12 ft) from the SSE with a period of 16 seconds. The energy is a massive 5825, which is extremely strong. But the wind is a strong onshore breeze from the ENE, making it choppy and messy. This is a beast of a swell, but the conditions are poor. It’s one for the experts only, and even then, it’s going to be a battle. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, to sum it up: a long, flat start, then a sneak peek Thursday morning, the real go is Friday the 14th, and then a massive, messy cleanup on Saturday the 15th.

Stay patient, keep an eye on that Friday the 14th.

Rusty.

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