Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s break it down for Guarita. We’ve got a slow start, a solid run in the middle, and then it gets messy again before a couple of late possibilities.

The general pattern is slow to get going, a bit ordinary, then a real pulse of energy rolls in from Thursday the 23rd of July that lasts through the weekend. After that, it drops off and gets choppy, with a few late-stage options that are worth a look but nothing to bet the farm on.

First up, Tuesday the 21st and Wednesday the 22nd of July are a snooze. Tiny 3ft of swell from the ENE with a short 8-second period, and the energy is only moderate, around 152 to 158. The Tuesday morning wind is a light cross-off from the north, which keeps it clean, but the real highlight is Tuesday afternoon when it goes glassy. You can paddle out, but it’s very ordinary. The water temp is 65°, which is about a degree warmer than normal for this time of year, so that’s a nice little bonus if you’re in the water.

Now, the standout. Thursday the 23rd of July is where it’s at. The morning brings a clean 6ft swell from the SSE, with a moderate energy reading of 511. The wind is light cross-off from the SSW, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the best we’ve got in the whole forecast. The afternoon on Thursday pushes swell up to 6ft with a 9-second period and energy jumps to 682, but the wind swings onshore from the SE, so the morning is the golden window. This is a reef break, so those longer-period SSE swells will wrap in nicely, and at 6ft, it’s solid for advanced surfers. This is a proper groundswell, too, so expect longer lulls between sets, making the paddle out a bit easier. Keep in mind, this spot is fairly consistent, but crowds are possible – it’s a known spot.

Friday the 24th of July keeps the party going but with a slight drop. Morning offers 5ft from the SE, clean with a cross-off breeze from the north. Energy is still moderate at 474. The afternoon gets bigger at 7ft, but the wind turns cross-shore from the NE and the conditions get a bit bumpy. Saturday the 25th of July is another solid day. The morning has 5ft from the ESE, clean, with light cross-off wind from the NW. The afternoon is the real winner here: 5ft from the ESE, still clean, with a cross-off breeze from the WSW, and the wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” Energy is 501. That’s a second highlight.

Sunday the 26th of July has a morning pulse of 6ft from the SE with a 9-second period, and clean conditions thanks to a cross-off southwest wind, energy at 611. But the afternoon turns grotty with cross-shore wind and a score of zero. After that, from Monday the 27th of July through to early August, the surf drops off. Swell stays under 5ft, periods are short, and the wind is generally cross or onshore, leaving it choppy and poor. There’s a mushy glassy moment on Tuesday the 28th of July afternoon with 4ft from the ENE, but it’s not going to set the world on fire.

Heading into the second week, things get a bit more interesting around the 1st of August. Saturday morning the 1st of August pumps 6ft from the ENE with a 7-second period, and energy is strong at 633, but the wind is cross-shore from the NNE, making it marginal. The best bet in this late window is the end of the forecast. Wednesday the 5th of August morning shows 4ft from the SSE with a 9-second period, but the energy is solid at 518, and it’s clean with a light cross-off from the NNW. That’s a promising one, but it’s a long way out, so take it with a pinch of salt.

Overall, the clear winner is Thursday the 23rd of July morning, with Saturday the 25th of July afternoon as a close second. The rest of the window is a lot of waiting on the wind.

Rusty out.

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