Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Guarita. This is a reef break that needs an easterly swell direction and a bit of patience, but there’s a couple of windows that could be really special.

Right now, the start of the outlook is a bit flat and messy. We’ve got small, weak swell under 3ft (combined wave energy only around 126) and a lot of rain or clouds. Not worth paddling out for. This lean patch runs from Tuesday the 28th of July right through to the end of the month. The only glimmer is a brief glassy window Wednesday morning, but the swell is tiny.

Friday the 31st of July sees a jump in size, up to 5ft, but it’s short-period windswell from the ENE, and the wind is howling cross-shore or cross-onshore. That’s choppy, ugly, and the combined energy shoots up to 411, but it’s not the kind of power you want – it’s just messy.

The first standout I’m getting excited about is Tuesday the 4th of August. The morning is looking prime. We’ve got a clean 5ft swell from the SSE, light offshore or glassy conditions from the west, and the water is a normal 64°F for this time of year. The combined energy is a solid 429, which is moderate but punchy enough for this reef. This is the best clean surf in the first week. The only downside is that the optimum swell direction for Guarita is E, and this is SSE, so it’s not perfect, but it’s good.

Now, the real gold is further out. Monday the 10th of August morning is a huge promise. The swell is 4ft from the S, but look at the period – 15 seconds. That’s very long-period groundswell, and the combined energy hits 625. It’s a reef break, so that long period will wrap in nicely. The wind is near calm, clean, cross-offshore. This is the best of the outlook. Confidence is lower this far out, but if it holds, this is a session to remember.

The next day, Tuesday the 11th of August, is another cracker. The morning is glassy, 4ft from the SSE with a 14-second period, and the energy is 876. That’s moderate-strong, and the conditions are perfect. The afternoon gets bigger, up to 8ft, but the wind turns cross-onshore and the period drops, so the morning is the pick.

Beware of Wednesday the 12th of August. It’s 8ft from the ESE, which is a decent direction, but the period is short (7-8 seconds) and the wind is strong and cross-shore. That’s a lot of water moving around without any shape – only for the very experienced, and even then, it’s a battle.

So, bottom line: the best on offer is the morning of Monday the 10th of August – long-period groundswell, clean, glassy. The back-up is Tuesday the 4th of August morning for a cleaner, smaller session. The rest of the fortnight is either too small, too windy, or too raw.

Rusty out.

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