Guarita Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, grab a coffee and listen up. This is Rusty, and I’m looking at the surf for Guarita.

Alright, so for Guarita, we’re looking at a pretty slow start. The first few days are pretty average, with a mix of onshore wind and weak swell that isn’t doing us any favours. It’s not until a bit further down the line that things start to get interesting.

Let’s get into it. The water temp is sitting around 61°, which feels a bit colder than normal for this time of year.

On Sunday the 13th, we’ve got a 5ft swell coming from the S with a short 7-second period and a cross-off wind from the SW at 12 mph. The combined energy is 355 (moderate), but the wave comment says it’s marginal. Monday the 14th is similar, with a 3ft S swell, 9-second period, and a cross-off breeze. Still, nothing to get too excited about. Tuesday and Wednesday stay in that same average zone, with the swell size bumping up to 5ft on Wednesday morning, but the wind turns cross-on in the arvo and chops it up.

Thursday the 18th sees a drop-off, with waves down to 3ft, and Friday the 19th is even smaller at 2ft. The energy is weak, down to 79 (weak). The whole first week is mostly poor conditions or marginal at best.

Now, here’s where we see a little glimmer. On Sunday the 20th, the morning session is clean with glassy conditions and a light NW wind at 3 mph. The swell is only 3ft from the E with a short 7-second period, and the energy is 141 (weak), so it’s surfable but very ordinary.

The real standout in this forecast is Monday the 21st. We’ve got a 6ft E swell with a 9-second period, and the wind is a light cross-off from the SSW at 6 mph. The combined energy jumps to 540 (moderate to strong), and the wave comment says to expect very good surf conditions. This is the best on offer, no doubt. The E direction matches the optimum for Guarita, and with those light winds, it’s going to be clean. Keep in mind, though, that with swell over 5ft, it might be a bit much for beginners.

After that, things get a bit messy again with cross-on winds, but keep an eye on Monday the 28th. That’s over a week away, so don’t book your flights yet, but the forecast shows a 5ft S swell with a long 13-second period and a cross-off wind from the N at 9 mph. The combined energy is massive at 1050 (very strong), and the wave comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a proper groundswell. Just remember, long-period swells like that can make beach breaks a bit straight, but Guarita is a reef, so it should handle it well. It’s one to watch.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The best chance for a good surf is on Monday the 21st, with a solid 6ft E swell and light offshore winds. The other one to keep in mind, but with less certainty, is Monday the 28th for the more experienced crew. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty out.

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