Molhes de Mampituba Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a seat. Rusty here, bringing you the long-range look at what’s going on for our patch of coast.

We’re looking at a bit of a mixed bag over the next couple of weeks. Right now, things are pretty quiet, but there are a few windows where it’ll turn on, especially if you can pick your sessions. The water is sitting about 66°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a nice little bonus to start with.

The first real sniff of action comes on Tuesday afternoon (July 21st) at Molhes de Mampituba. It’s small, with some waist-high 3ft swell coming out of the ENE, but the wind is dead glassy. That means the surface will be like a mirror. The wave energy is weak though, so you’ll be working for every ride. It’s surfable, but very ordinary conditions – a good one for a longboard or a foiler, not much grunt.

Wednesday morning (July 22nd) looks the same – same small 3ft ENE swell and glassy NW wind. That morning session is your best bet for a quiet, clean paddle. But by Wednesday afternoon, the wind swings to the SSW and picks up to 15 km/h, turning it into a messy cross-shore chop. That window closes fast.

Thursday (July 23rd) sees a spike in size with a 7ft SSE swell rolling in, but the wind is all wrong. Morning is a cross-shore, afternoon is a light cross-onshore. The energy jumps significantly, so there’s power there, but the wind is going to make it lumpy and hard to manage. This is more of a challenge than a joy.

Friday morning (July 24th) is our first real standout. We get a clean 6ft SE swell with a light, cross-offshore breeze from the north. That’s a magic combo for Molhes. The energy is moderate and the report says “expect very good surf conditions.” Get out there early. By the afternoon the wind swings onshore again and ruins it.

The weekend (July 25th – 26th) is nothing to write home about. Saturday has some rain showers and a messy cross-shore wind. Sunday morning (July 26th) is glassy again, but the swell drops back to 4ft – not much push.

The big one to circle is Monday morning, July 27th. This is the best call of the whole run. We’ve got a clean 6ft E swell with a light, cross-offshore breeze from the NNE. The energy is solid and conditions are set to be “very good.” This is the session you want to plan for. Consistent, chest-to-head high, and clean.

After that, the surf fades fast. We drop into tiny stuff under 3ft from Tuesday (July 28th) through Wednesday (July 29th). Not worth the paddle.

Then we get another pulse. Thursday morning (July 30th) brings a 7ft southerly swell, but it’s onshore and messy. Look ahead to Friday afternoon, July 31st. The swell drops to a clean 5ft from the SSE, but the period stretches out to 12 seconds, and the wind goes glassy. The energy is good and the call is “very good.” That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll love the jetties and have some real punch. A close second-best for the whole outlook.

Saturday morning (August 1st) has one more flare-up: a 7ft ENE swell with a clean cross-offshore wind. That’s solid, punchy stuff for the experienced crew. The afternoon wind kills it, though.

We finish off the run with some smaller, cleaner days on Monday (August 3rd) and Tuesday (August 4th), with 3-4ft SE swells and light winds. It’s not going to blow you away, but it’s a far cry from the messy junk earlier in the week.

So the bottom line: Monday morning, July 27th is the clear winner. Friday afternoon, July 31st is your second pick. Everything else is a choose-your-window game. Crowds are often a factor here, so don’t expect to have it to yourself on those good days.

Rusty.

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