Molhes de Mampituba Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's have a look at the 16-day outlook for our local stretch.

The pattern for the next couple of weeks is a bit of a mixed bag, with some decent pulses of swell but the wind isn't always playing nice. There's a bit of a wait for the first proper session, and a few gaps where it's not worth paddling out.

Alright, let's start with the first bit of action. The standout for the whole period is looking like Sunday the 19th of July at Molhes de Mampituba. It's a river/jetties setup, fairly consistent, and exposed to the SE swell. The water is sitting at 61°, which is about a degree and a half colder than usual for this time of year, so you'll want a slightly thicker wetsuit. The morning session has a 6ft NE swell with a 9-second period, generating a moderate combined energy of 828. The wind is a gentle cross-off from the N at 9 mph, which will keep things clean. The afternoon cleans up even more: a 6ft swell from the ENE with an 8-second period, energy at 628, and a light cross-off breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. This is the pick of the window—clean, good-sized waves, and the direction lines up nicely with the optimum SE swell direction. Expect crowds to be possible here.

The rest of the first week is a bit of a write-off. Monday the 20th has a tiny 4ft morning glass-off, but it's tiny and the afternoon turns poor. Tuesday through Wednesday are small and plagued by onshore or cross-shore winds, giving poor conditions. Thursday the 23rd bumps up to 6ft from the SSE, but with a moderate cross-onshore breeze, it's a choppy mess—more for the kite crew than paddle surfing.

We get a bit of a reset on Friday the 24th of July. The morning has a 5ft SE swell, 9-second period, with a light cross-off breeze from the N at 3 mph. It's clean, with moderate energy (393). It's a solid option, but not as big or clean as the Sunday before.

The following week is a bit of a struggle. There's a long gap from the 25th of July through to the 28th of July where the surf is mostly small, weak, or blown out. The swell on the 25th is tiny (2ft) but with a very long 12-second period, which is a proper groundswell—it'll wrap nicely into the jetties but the sets will be few and far between. The wind is a problem on the afternoons. The 26th has a half-decent 4ft morning with clean cross-off winds, but it's short period (7 seconds) and weak.

A little diamond in the rough shows up on Tuesday the 28th of July morning. The swell pushes to 4ft from the ENE, 7-second period, with a light cross-off breeze from the NNE at 6 mph. It's clean, with moderate energy (273). It's a fun little session, but nothing to write home about.

Looking further ahead to the end of the month and into August, the 30th of July has a pulse of 5ft S swell, but the wind is a light cross-shore, keeping it average. The 31st of July has a glassy 3ft SE swell in the morning, and a clean 4ft ENE swell in the afternoon—decent little windows. But the 1st of August gets blown out again with moderate onshore winds, and the 2nd and 3rd of August are mostly onshore and messy, with a final clean-up on the 3rd of August afternoon with a 4ft ENE swell and light offshore winds.

So, to wrap it up: the clear winner is the first Sunday, the 19th of July. Get out there early or in the afternoon for the best waves of the forecast. The 24th of July morning is your next best bet. The rest of the period is a waiting game for clean windows and decent swell.

Rusty out.

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