Fortunes Rocks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie and listen up. This one’s a bit of a heartbreaker for the next couple weeks. We’re looking at a long, flat stretch ahead, but there’s a tiny blip of something on the horizon that might just save the month.

Honestly, for the first week and a half, you can leave the board in the car. It’s looking pretty grim. We’ve got weak, short-period wind swell bumping in from the SSE, and the winds are mostly going to be on it or cross-onshore, chopping everything up. The water is sitting around 63.5°, which is about 1.3° colder than normal for this time of year, so it’s pretty much what you’d expect. A few mornings will clean up with a light offshore, like Tuesday the 4th, but the swell is just too tiny and weak – we’re talking 2.6ft of knee-high mush. The energy in the water is in the 70s (72), which is nothing to get excited about. It’s just not worth the paddle.

We’ll have a run of days with almost nothing on offer. From the 5th through to the 14th, the swell just dies on its feet. You’ll see days with 0.7ft, 1.3ft, and 1.6ft of slop, and the energy readings are in the single digits to low twenties. There’s a clean, glassy morning on the 12th, but there’s literally no swell to ride. It’s just a flat, shimmering lake. This is the kind of blank run that gets a surfer checking the forecast obsessively.

Now, here’s the one true standout in the whole window. It’s a bit of a distant promise, but on Saturday the 15th, the swell finally decides to show up. We’re looking at a jump to 3.9ft on the Saturday morning, pushing to 4.3ft by the afternoon. The direction is S, and while the period is a wonky 6 seconds at first, the energy jumps into the 100s and 200s (108), which tells you there’s finally some push behind it. The winds are light from the SE, so it won’t be perfect, but it’s the only time in this whole 16-day window where you’ll have waves with any sort of size. The break remains Fortunes Rocks Beach, a sandbar setup that’s fairly consistent but isn’t exactly a secret. It’s exposed and can get a bit jumbled, but with that size, it’s a go.

Keep in mind that 4.3ft with that short period is going to be a bit soft and maybe a little bumpy, but it’s about as good as it gets. It’s promising, but with it being so far out, you have to take it with a grain of salt. The long-range calls are just less certain. After that, it fades back down to nothing on the 16th and 17th.

So, there you have it. A long, thirsty wait, and then a chance to wet the whistle on the 15th. But the outlook is mostly about patience. With a sandbar setup and this kind of inconsistency, you just have to bank on the next pulse. Forecasts can change, so keep your eye on it, but don’t hold your breath for the next week.

Stay stoked.

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