Fortunes Rocks Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

Honestly, looking at the next 16 days, it's a tough stretch for us here at Fortunes Rocks Beach. The data is pretty clear: we're looking at a long, dry spell with very little to get excited about. There's a big gap of poor surf conditions from the start all the way through to the end of the first week of August. The only real flicker of something a little more interesting shows up on Monday, August 3rd, but even that's marginal.

The pattern is dominated by weak, short-period swell from the southeast, mostly under 3ft. The wind is almost always onshore or cross-onshore, chopping up whatever small waves there are. The water is running 58°F, which is a whopping 6°F colder than normal for this time of year—that's a seriously unusual chill, so you'll want a thick suit.

The first week is a total write-off. The swell is tiny, the wind is junk, and the combined energy readings are low, often in the 40s and 50s. Thursday the 23rd was the only morning with a shot at a glassy 3ft wave from the south-southeast, but the energy was weak (136) and the rest of the day went straight downhill.

We then hit a solid 9-day stretch of nothing but "poor surf conditions" and scores of zero. It's a blank run. Things finally change a little on Monday, August 3rd. The morning sees a jump in energy to 217, with a 4ft south-southeast swell and a period of 9 seconds. The wind is light and onshore, which isn't great, but it's the first time the energy is moderate. The call is "marginal," so it's not a stand-out, but it's the best we've got in the window. The afternoon gets messy with the wind picking up.

After that, it's back to uninspiring conditions through to the end of the forecast. The afternoon of Friday, August 7th shows a clean 4ft south swell with a period of just 5 seconds and moderate energy (107), but that period is so short the waves will be weak and crumbly.

So, the only break on offer is Fortunes Rocks Beach. It's a fairly consistent sandbar, but it's exposed to the east. The optimum swell direction is east, but we're getting all this weak southeast windswell. The best slot is the morning of Monday, August 3rd, but don't expect much. It's a long-range glimmer, and given the overall pattern, it's a long shot.

For the rest of the window, honestly, all this onshore wind and weak, crumbly swell at a beach break looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Rusty, signing off.

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