Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk about what’s going on for the next couple of weeks. It’s gonna be a tough run, I won't sugarcoat it. The swell window is mostly shut, and what’s coming in is small and junky. The only place with any kind of recommendation in the whole 16-day stretch is Flagler Avenue (Florida). It’s a beach/jetty setup, super consistent, which is a good thing, but even that can’t make much of these ankle-biters.

The water temp is sitting right around average for this time of year, so no worries about needing a thicker wetsuit or anything. It's about as normal as it gets.

Looking at the immediate forecast, there's a lot of cross-onshore and cross-shore wind that's going to mess things up. The first week is basically a bust. From the 7th through the 16th, we’ve got wave heights mostly under 3 ft, with periods around 7-8 seconds. The energy is weak. We're seeing values like 139 on the 7th morning, which is barely moving, and then it just drains away. It’s all “poor surf conditions” and choppy. You’d be fighting more for a bump than a ride. There’s a brief glassy morning on the 11th, but it’s only 1 ft, so it’s flat, just clean flat. That doesn’t help.

There’s a run of about a week and a half where there is really nothing worth paddling out for. It’s not until Monday the 17th that things start to look a little less terrible. The swell picks up a touch to 2 ft, coming from the ESE with a 9-second period. The wind is offshore, SSW, and it’s clean. The energy is still low, at 60 on the morning of the 17th, but at least the surface will be smooth. It’s surfable, but just barely. The morning of the 19th is similar, with clean conditions and a 2 ft ESE swell. It’s still small, but at least you won’t be getting blown off it. These are the only two windows that even register as “surfable” but they’re still knee-high at best.

This spot likes swell from the NNE, and we’re getting everything but that. The bigger swells we see are all from the east and are short-period, which is doing us no favors. For Flagler Avenue, the forecast swell direction just doesn’t match its optimum. It’s going to be a real paddle for nothing most days.

Honestly, this is a patch where the jetty might be more for the fishermen than us. It’s not looking like there's any standout surf in this period. The only thing you can bank on is its consistency, meaning it’s always got a wave, even if it's a poor one. We’ll have to wait for the wind to die down and take what we can get. The long-range stuff is too far out to call, but if the pattern shifts to give us that NNE swell with some period, this place can turn on in a heartbeat. For now, keep the board in the car and the expectations low.

Rusty.

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