
Surf Forecasts:
Flagler Avenue surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 22 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 7s period, ESE swell with 44 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flagler Avenue this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Flagler Avenue in the next 16 days are 0.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 5s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flagler Avenue over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because I've been staring at the charts for Flagler Avenue, and to be honest, it's a pretty quiet outlook. We're looking at a solid 16-day window, but the surf is going to be a tough sell for most of it.
The water temp is sitting right around 84°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least the air and water are warm, even if the waves aren't.
Let's break it down. The story starts on Wednesday, the 15th, and it's a slow one. We're looking at tiny, weak swell—combined energy is only at 35 (weak), with a wave height of 1ft from the NE. That's a knee-high dribbler at best. The wind is a light cross-off, so it's clean, but there's just nothing to push you around. This tiny surf pattern hangs around for days. Thursday and Friday are the same deal: ankle to knee-high, with the combined energy dropping to the teens and twenties. Friday morning the 17th does go glassy, which is beautiful to look at, but the swell is only 1ft.
This flat spell is a long one. We're looking at a stretch from the 15th right through to the 29th of July where every single call is "poor surf conditions." There's a little bump in the afternoon of Sunday the 19th with 3ft from the SE, but with a period of only 4 seconds, that's just wind chop—mushy and weak. The combined energy on that bump is only 20, so it's not worth the drive.
The only real standout window, and I'm using that word loosely, arrives on the morning of Tuesday, the 29th of July. We get a glassy morning with a bit of long-period energy creeping in. The swell is still only 1ft, but the period stretches to 9 seconds, and the combined energy nudges up to 24. That's still weak, but the glassy conditions and the slightly better period will make the rare peelable wave a little more fun. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and we're getting it from the E, so it's a bit off, but on a day with nothing else, you take what you can get.
After that, the afternoon of the 29th sees a bit more size (2ft) but the wind switches to a cross-shore, and the 30th looks like another clean, tiny morning followed by a choppy afternoon.
So, the honest truth? Flagler Avenue is looking like a complete write-off for the next two weeks. The energy is just not there. If you're dead set on getting wet, the glassy morning of the 29th of July is your best bet for a few clean, waist-high sliders, but don't expect much. For the rest of the time, the setup is so weak and small that it honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, if the wind picks up enough.
Stay patient, and keep an eye on those long-range charts. Sometimes it takes a while for the Atlantic to wake up.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 32°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 32°C on Sun afternoon, min 24°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | E 7 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 3 | E 7 | ESE 7 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 | SE 4 | E 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 4 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
19 | 38 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 44 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | off | cross | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 9:13AM1.21m | 9:43PM1.57m | 10:07AM1.23m | 10:34PM1.50m | 11:02AM1.24m | 11:24PM1.39m | 11:57AM1.24m | 00:15AM1.27m | 12:52PM1.22m | 1:06AM1.15m | 1:48PM1.20m | 2:00AM1.03m | 2:45PM1.18m | 2:55AM0.95m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:15PM-0.27m | 4:07AM-0.20m | 4:11PM-0.22m | 4:57AM-0.19m | 5:06PM-0.15m | 5:45AM-0.15m | 6:03PM-0.05m | 6:34AM-0.10m | 7:01PM0.04m | 7:22AM-0.04m | 8:02PM0.12m | 8:12AM0.02m | 9:05PM0.18m | ||||||||
6:33 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | |
— | 8:23 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:22 | — | — | 8:21 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 29 | 32 | 29 | 30 | 31 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 25 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 32 | 30 |
Feels °C | 31 | 34 | 30 | 32 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 31 | 26 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 33 | 32 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 34 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | N 4 | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 6 | NE 6 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 5 | E 8 | SE 5 | SE 5 | E 10 | SE 5 | SE 6 | E 8 | SE 5 | ESE 5 | — | ESE 7 |
19 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 1 | 14 | 5 | — | 44 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ENE 6 | ENE 7 | ENE 6 | E 8 | NE 6 | E 7 | ESE 7 | — | E 9 | E 8 | — | E 8 | ESE 7 | — | — |
15 | 24 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 5 | 10 | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | NNW 4 | N 4 | NNW 3 | NNW 3 | — | SE 4 | — | E 10 | ENE 6 | E 9 | E 6 | E 10 | — | — | E 9 | — | E 8 | — | — | — |
— | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 3 | E 7 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 2 | SE 3 | — | SE 3 | — | — | SE 4 | SSE 5 | SE 5 | SE 4 | S 4 | — | ESE 4 | SW 3 |
1 | 38 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 7 | — | — | 18 | 54 | 28 | 16 | 7 | — | 19 | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 82 | 475 | 1447 | 596 | 476 | 1114 | 1915 | 1943 | 208 | 1915 | 1083 | 129 | 371 | 578 | 82 | 329 | 10 | 62 | 134 | 977 | 6 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flagler Avenue Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flagler Avenue provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flagler Avenue can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flagler Avenue surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flagler Avenue) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flagler Avenue may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flagler Avenue is 4 km (2 miles) from New Smyrna Beach. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in New Smyrna Beach. New Smyrna Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










