Surf Forecasts:
Flagler Avenue surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period, E swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period, E swell with 58 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flagler Avenue this week:
The surf forecast for Flagler Avenue over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flagler Avenue in the next 16 days are 0.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flagler Avenue over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming our way on the Flagler Avenue stretch. I won’t sugarcoat it – we’re in a flat spell.
Right off the bat, we’ve got nothing for the first week. From Sunday the 16th through to Saturday the 22nd, there’s a long, drawn-out gap with basically no surf worth paddling out for. We’re talking tiny knee-high dribbles, if that. The wave energy is weak as dishwater – most of it sitting in the 18 to 30 range. The wind does swing favorable – a few glassy mornings like Sunday the 16th morning with 1 ft from the ESE and 3 mph W wind, glassy as a mirror – but there’s just no push behind it. It’s heartbreaking, really. A spot like Flagler Avenue thinks it’s doing you a favour with a 2 ft wave on Tuesday the 18th afternoon, but with an 11-second period and a combined energy of 62, it’s barely a ripple. That’s surfable but ordinary. Not worth getting wet for.
Then there’s a shift. Thursday the 27th morning, we finally see something with a bit of life. The swell bumps up to 2 ft from the East, period stretching to 13 seconds. That jump in period is key – more energy in the water, longer waits between sets. The combined energy hits 157, which is moderate and real. Wind is calm, glassy as anything, and it’s a Thursday morning which means the crowds won’t be too bad. This is a moment. The waves will be clean, lined up a bit better with that longer period, but it’s still small. You’ll need a log or a funboard to get the most out of it.
Friday the 28th morning keeps it going – 2 ft from the East, 11-second period, energy at 112, and a light cross-offshore wind from the SSE. Clean again. It’s still not pumping, but it’s the best we’ve got in the whole 16-day window. After that, it fades back into the abyss by the weekend.
So here’s the bottom line: if you’re itching for a surf, set your alarm for Thursday the 27th morning. That’s the standout – glassy, that small but punchy groundswell, and a decent window before the afternoon seabreezes mess it up. Friday morning is a solid backup. The rest? Leave your board in the car and go do something else. Forecasts change, but right now, this is a lean stretch.
Stay patient,
Rusty
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Tue night. Warm (max 34°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 34°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 36 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 58 | 49 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross | glassy | off | cross | off | off | cross | off |
High Tide | 11:26AM1.38m | 11:42PM1.26m | 12:16PM1.34m | 00:29AM1.16m | 1:07PM1.30m | 1:18AM1.06m | 2:01PM1.25m | 2:12AM0.98m | 2:57PM1.22m | 3:09AM0.94m | 3:56PM1.22m | 4:08AM0.94m | 4:51PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:38PM0.05m | 5:53AM0.01m | 6:30PM0.14m | 6:38AM0.09m | 7:25PM0.23m | 7:25AM0.16m | 8:24PM0.30m | 8:17AM0.21m | 9:25PM0.34m | 9:12AM0.24m | 10:25PM0.35m | 10:09AM0.24m | 11:20PM0.33m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | |  | | |  | |  |  | | | | | | | |  | | |
 | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:52 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — | 6:54 | — | — |
 | — | 8:01 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 8:00 | — | — | 7:59 | — | — | 7:58 | — | — | 7:57 | — | — | 7:55 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | 3 | 9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 |
Temp °C | 30 | 32 | 30 | 31 | 34 | 31 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 31 | 34 | 26 | 29 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 32 | 31 | 30 | 32 | 30 |
Feels °C | 34 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 37 | 34 | 35 | 36 | 30 | 35 | 37 | 30 | 33 | 35 | 32 | 32 | 36 | 33 | 33 | 35 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | NE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 11 | E 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 4 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 |
| kJ | 25 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 58 | 49 | 30 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | — | NE 9 | NE 9 | SSE 4 | E 11 | NE 5 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | E 6 | SE 4 | ESE 5 | E 7 | E 8 | ESE 4 | ENE 9 | SE 4 |
| kJ | 4 | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NE 10 | NE 9 | — | NE 7 | NE 6 | NE 7 | — | — | — | — | NE 6 | — | E 5 | — | E 15 | NE 9 | ENE 9 | E 13 | E 13 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 2 | ESE 8 | — | SSW 3 | ESE 2 | — | WNW 3 | — | WNW 4 | — | SE 3 | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | SE 2 | S 4 | — | SE 3 | SSE 4 |
| kJ | 1 | 36 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — | 4 | — | 2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | 2 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 451 | 82 | 1915 | 475 | 451 | 451 | 451 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 475 | 329 | 916 | 596 | 728 | 742 | 82 | 505 | 854 | 625 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flagler Avenue Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flagler Avenue provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flagler Avenue can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flagler Avenue surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flagler Avenue) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flagler Avenue may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flagler Avenue is 4 km (2 miles) from New Smyrna Beach. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in New Smyrna Beach. New Smyrna Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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