Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey everyone, it’s Rusty. Well, I’ve looked through the charts for the next couple weeks and I gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a tough stretch for finding any decent waves around here. The whole 16-day window is pretty much a flat spell with only a couple tiny blips of energy that barely qualify as surfable. There’s a long gap of nothing worthwhile from now until Monday, August 10th. Let’s break it down.

The only spot we’ve got data for is Flagler Avenue – a beach/jetty setup that’s exposed to the north-northeast. The water temp is sitting at 83°, which is about average for the time of year, so no surprise there.

Right out of the gate, Wednesday July 29th through to the end of July, it’s tiny. You’re looking at ankle-biters around 0.7ft to 1.0ft from the east with short periods of 7-9 seconds. The energy is weak (values as low as 7 to 17). Even though we get some glassy or offshore winds on Friday July 31st and Saturday August 1st, the swell is just too small to bother. It’s honestly frustrating.

The first week of August doesn’t bring any relief. From Sunday August 2nd all the way through to Sunday August 9th, we stay in that 0.7ft to 5ft range, mostly from the east or east-southeast, with periods between 4 and 9 seconds. The wind is a mix of cross-off, cross, and cross-on, but the energy is still weak to moderate at best. On Friday August 7th, the swell height bumps up to 4ft to 5ft with moderate energy (379 to 495), but the wind goes cross-on and choppy, so it’s a messy, blown-out mess. Not worth paddling out for.

Then on Monday August 10th, we finally get a sliver of hope. The morning shows 3ft from the east-southeast with a clean, light cross-off breeze from the south-southeast. The energy is still low at 96, and the period is a short 7 seconds, so the waves are ordinary but at least surfable for the first time. This is the only day in the entire outlook that gets a “1” score, meaning it’s better than nothing. If you’re desperate, this is your window, but don’t expect much.

After that, from Tuesday August 11th through Thursday August 13th, we slide right back into tiny, weak conditions again. The swell drops to 0.7ft to 2ft, periods are 6-7 seconds, and energy is low. Even though we get some glassy mornings, it’s pure flatness.

The standout – and I use that term loosely – is the Monday August 10th morning session at Flagler Avenue. It’s the only time in the whole 16 days where the conditions are clean enough and the swell is big enough to actually catch something. But keep your expectations in check: it’s a weak, short-period, small wave day. That’s the best we’ve got.

Honestly, this stretch is a long, flat, frustrating run. With the only break being a beach/jetty and the wind turning onshore or choppy most of the time, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing on several of those afternoons.

Stay patient, buds. It tends not to stay this poor for long, and forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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