Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's on offer for Flagler Avenue.

Well, I gotta be straight with you—this stretch of the coast is looking pretty darn quiet for the next 16 days. The forecast is a long, flat spell with no real surf to get excited about. We're looking at a big gap of small, weak, and poor conditions that just doesn't let up.

Right from the start, on Sunday afternoon, August 2nd, it's a tiny 2ft of swell from the east, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is a measly 30 (weak energy), and with a risk of thunderstorms and a moderate offshore wind, it's not going to be worth the paddle out. The water temp is sitting at 84°, which is about average for the time of year.

Moving through the week, the vibe doesn't change. Monday the 3rd through to Wednesday the 5th, we're stuck on that same 2ft, period dropping to 7 seconds, and the energy barely getting above 30. The wind is mostly offshore or light, which cleans things up a bit, but there’s just no power in the water. It’s what we call a "poor surf conditions" day, every day.

By Thursday the 6th, the swell bumps up slightly to 2ft, but that period is still a short 7 seconds. The energy climbs to 47–51 (weak), but the wind goes cross-shore and then cross-onshore, chopping up what little form there is. It’s not getting any better.

Friday the 7th sees the swell reach 4ft, and the energy finally breaks into triple digits at 111–125 (moderate wave energy). But the wind is a stiff cross-onshore at 12 mph, and the period is still a short 7 seconds. This is not clean, surfable waves; it's a messy, choppy mess. For a beach/jetty setup like this, that onshore wind just kills it.

The weekend of the 8th and 9th offers a peak of 4ft on Saturday morning, with energy hitting 190 (moderate wave energy). The period is a slightly better 8 seconds, but the wind is cross-shore with a risk of storms. It’s still poor. For a beginner-friendly spot like Flagler Avenue, this is too much chop and not enough quality.

From the 10th of August right through to the 17th, the swell fades back to 1ft to 3ft, with periods dropping to 4–8 seconds and energy levels mostly below 60. The wind does get glassy on the mornings of the 16th and 17th, which is a beautiful thing to see, but with only 1ft of swell and 24–38 energy (weak), it’s barely a ripple. You’d be floating more than surfing.

Honestly, if you're looking for waves, this isn't your window. The setup could be more interesting for kite surfing on those windy, choppy days, but for a paddle surfer, there's nothing here. We just have to wait for the next system to roll in. Forecasts can change, but right now, it's a long, flat run.

Rusty.

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