Surf Forecasts:
Flagler Avenue surf forecast from 10 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period, ENE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 2PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period, NE swell with 60 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 10 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with ENE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Flagler Avenue this week:
The surf forecast for Flagler Avenue over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Flagler Avenue in the next 16 days are 0.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Sep 11) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (EDT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 2ft (0.6m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Flagler Avenue over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next week and a half is looking flat and pretty sad for Flagler Avenue. The swell is weak, the energy is low, and we're dealing with dribbly leftovers. It's going to be a long stretch of small, poor surf. We're talking ankle-biters with not much push. There will be a few glassy mornings, like Sunday the 13th, Monday the 14th, and Friday the 18th, with clean conditions, but there just won't be any real waves to ride. The combined energy is stuck in the weak zone, with many readings in the 20s and 30s, and the swell is tiny, often under 2ft. It's a good time to get other things done. The water temp is 83°F, which is just about average for this time of year, so a normal warm September.
Now, here's the glimmer of hope. We have a solid gap of nothing for a while, but things are going to change around the 21st of September. We're looking at a strong new swell filling in from the NNE. Monday the 21st brings building surf, but it's coming with a strong NE wind at 22 mph in the morning, gusting to 28 mph in the afternoon, which will chop it up and make it a mess. The energy will be moderate, around 159 jumping to 292. It’s windy and stormy, so not ideal. Tuesday the 22nd stays big and rough with winds swinging to the NNW, creating lumpy cross-chop. This is more of a wind-sport day than a surf day.
But the real standout is the morning of Wednesday, September 23rd. The swell is predicted to be a solid 10ft from the NE with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy is huge, reading 1311. The wind is forecast to be from the north at 12 mph, which is moderate cross-onshore. The file even notes the wind and tide are favorable. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the period, but it's going to be a beast and too big for most of us. At 10ft, this is expert territory only. It might be a sight to see, but definitely not a day for the faint-hearted. It could be a mess at a beach/jetty spot like this with that much power. The swell direction is from the NNE, which is the optimum direction for this break.
Following that, things stay oversized on Thursday the 24th, with a 10ft swell in the afternoon and a very strong energy reading of 3327, but with an onshore ENE wind, making for messy, blown-out conditions. So, the one standout is that huge, powerful swell on Wednesday the 23rd, which will be one for experts and spectators only. There's lots of smaller, more manageable surf in the days after, but nothing else that’s a real standout.
So, there you have it. A long flat spell, bookended by a massive, potentially unruly pulse. Keep an eye on the forecasts, as things can change, but as it stands, the 23rd is the only day that looks truly significant.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 31°C on Fri afternoon, min 26°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 31°C on Mon afternoon, min 27°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 6 | NE 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 42 | 17 | 20 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 54 | 42 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 23 | 39 | 24 | 25 | 14 | 25 | 32 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 8:17PM1.57m | 8:39AM1.53m | 9:02PM1.52m | 9:25AM1.56m | 9:45PM1.46m | 10:09AM1.56m | 10:27PM1.37m | 10:53AM1.52m | 11:09PM1.28m | 11:37AM1.47m | 11:52PM1.19m | 12:24PM1.40m | 00:37AM1.12m | |||||||
Low Tide | 2:29AM0.00m | 2:51PM-0.01m | 3:11AM0.00m | 3:38PM0.03m | 3:52AM0.03m | 4:25PM0.09m | 4:31AM0.09m | 5:11PM0.17m | 5:12AM0.16m | 5:57PM0.26m | 5:54AM0.23m | 6:47PM0.34m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | 7:35 | — | — | 7:32 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:29 | — | — | 7:27 | — |
mm | 2 | 13 | 2 | — | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 28 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 |
Feels °C | 32 | 32 | 31 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 33 | 31 | 34 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 33 | 30 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 27 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | NE 8 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | NE 6 |
| kJ | 42 | 17 | 20 | 12 | 17 | 21 | 3 | 42 | 40 | 40 | 40 | 39 | 38 | 23 | 39 | 24 | 25 | 6 | 8 | 32 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | NE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | SE 4 | NE 8 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 6 | N 6 | NE 5 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 5 |
| kJ | 15 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 9 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | E 8 | — | E 15 | E 15 | E 15 | NE 4 | E 14 | E 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 14 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 3 | SE 4 | — | ESE 3 | SE 4 | — | ESE 8 | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | ESE 2 | SE 2 | — | — | E 3 | — | NE 6 | — |
| kJ | 3 | 5 | — | 4 | 8 | — | 54 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | 25 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 136 | 82 | 82 | 1267 | 82 | 82 | 1577 | 6 | 6 | 43 | 6 | 82 | 1367 | 82 | 1229 | 1826 | 728 | 575 | 747 | 977 |
Best forecast wave conditions in North Florida | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in United States | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Flagler Avenue Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Flagler Avenue provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Flagler Avenue can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Flagler Avenue surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Flagler Avenue) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Flagler Avenue may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Flagler Avenue is 4 km (2 miles) from New Smyrna Beach. If you plan a vacation in North Florida, look for hotels and other accommodation in New Smyrna Beach. New Smyrna Beach has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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