Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. The next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for surf at Flagler Avenue. We’ve got a lot of weak, short-period swell and onshore wind messing up the water for the better part of the next week and a half.

Right now, the surf is barely a ripple – 2ft at best, with a weak 9-second easterly swell and next to no energy (42). Sunday morning is glassy, which is nice, but there’s just nothing pushing through. By the afternoon, a southeast breeze picks up and it gets a little lumpy. Nothing ridable.

Monday stays small, 2ft and clean in the morning but still gutless. Tuesday is worse – down to 1ft and not even a real swell direction. We’re scratching for anything. That whole stretch from now through the 21st is just flat and messy. There are a few moments of glass, but no push, no power.

Then things start to move around the 22nd. We finally see a bit of life – a 4ft NE swell at 9 seconds, and the energy starts building (236). Tuesday morning has a light south cross-off and looks clean, but the afternoon gets a cross-chop with a risk of storms. Not a total loss, but still rough.

Wednesday the 23rd is where it gets interesting. This is the standout of the whole window. Morning has a 5ft NE swell at 9 seconds, with a light southwest offshore wind – that’s clean, glassy-ish, and the energy jumps to 430. The afternoon is even better, 5ft with a slight south cross-off, still clean. This is the best on offer – a proper, rideable day at Flagler Avenue with some push behind it.

But here’s the catch – after Wednesday, it starts to get messy again. Thursday the 24th is bigger, 6ft, but it’s cross-on and choppy. The energy is up (500), but the wind is ruining it. Not worth paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Friday the 25th is similar – 6ft, but onshore wind and messy. Saturday the 26th looks a little bigger, 6ft, but onshore again. The energy is strong (449), but the quality is poor. I’d skip it.

Sunday the 27th drops back to 4ft, but still onshore. Monday the 28th has 4ft and cross-on wind. It’s just not coming together after that one good day on Wednesday.

So, honestly, if you’re looking for something worth paddling out for, Wednesday the 23rd is your window. Everything else in this stretch is either too small, too messy, or just plain poor.

The water is warm – 84° which is right on par for this time of year. No surprises there.

One more thing – there’s a solid stretch of no-surf from now until that Wednesday, so don’t hold your breath. But when that Wednesday swell shows, it’ll be worth the wait.

Alright, that’s the picture. Stay patient, and be ready for Wednesday.

Rusty.

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