Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's take a long hard look at what Flagler Avenue has in store for us. Gotta be straight with you, the next week and a half is looking pretty grim for a proper paddle. We've got a long stretch of small, weak, and mostly onshore junk to work through before a potential window of quality opens up.

The water temp is sitting right around 84°F for the first session, which is pretty much normal for this time of year, so at least you won't be freezing while you're waiting for nothing.

The surf kicks off on Monday the 14th with tiny 2ft easterly windswell and only 39 units of energy. The wind is glassy in the morning, which is cruel because there's just no swell to work with. It's basically a lake with a few ripples. That sets the tone for a long, dull run. Tuesday and Wednesday are even worse, with heights barely scraping 2ft and energy dropping as low as 32. The wind stays messy, mostly cross-onshore or onshore, so it's a write-off.

Thursday the 17th sees a bit of a bump, with swell hitting 5ft from the NE and energy climbing to 245, but it's still cross-onshore and labeled as marginal at best. Friday the 18th drops back down, and we're stuck in this rut of small, weak, and poorly-winded surf right through to the 23rd. It's a solid 9-day stretch of nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, there's a light at the end of the tunnel. Thursday the 24th morning finally shows a sign of life. We get 3ft of NE swell with 113 units of energy and a clean, cross-offshore breeze. It's surfable, but still very ordinary.

The real standout, and I mean the *only* real standout in this whole 16-day window, is Saturday the 26th. The morning session is where it's at. Flagler Avenue should see 6ft of NE groundswell with a 9-second period and a massive 830 units of combined energy. The wind is glassy, absolutely dead calm. That combo will produce some clean, punchy waves. Keep in mind, at 6ft this is getting a bit much for beginners, but for anyone with a bit of experience, this is the morning to circle on your calendar. The swell direction is right in line with the optimum NNE for this spot.

The day before, Friday the 25th morning, is also worth a mention with 5ft NE swell and clean cross-offshore wind, but it's not quite as good as Saturday. Saturday afternoon gets ruined by a cross-onshore breeze, so get your session in early. Sunday the 27th morning holds some clean, glassy 4ft surf with decent energy (312), but it's a step down from the Saturday peak.

After that, we're back into a run of smaller, onshore conditions through to the end of the period. The long-range stuff around the 29th looks weak and poorly directed.

So, to wrap it up: don't bother for the first week and a half. The absolute best bet is Saturday the 26th morning. Get out there early for clean, head-high plus waves with no wind. Friday the 25th morning is your second-best shout. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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