Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—Flagler Avenue’s got some waves on the horizon, but it’s a real slow burn for the next week or so. The first real chance to paddle out won’t show up until Wednesday, August 19, so we’re in a bit of a waiting game. Most of the time, the energy’s weak (as low as 18 in the combined energy) and the swell is tiny, with a short 8-second period that just doesn’t pack the punch you want. It’s a classic beach/jetty setup, so don’t expect perfection.

Let’s run through it. From Saturday, August 15 through Tuesday, August 18, it’s mostly 1ft of ESE swell, and the wind’s messy on the afternoons with a cross-shore chop. The mornings do clean up a bit—like Sunday morning, August 16, with a light offshore SW breeze at 3 mph and glassy conditions, but the swell’s just too small to get excited about. Water temp is a warm 84° that first morning, about normal for this time of year, so that’s a plus if you’re just floating around.

The standout? I’d point you to Wednesday morning, August 19. That’s the first day we see surfable waves—still nothing special, but at least it’s not a flat lake. You’ve got 2ft of E swell coming in at a 9-second period, with a light offshore SW wind at 3 mph. The combined energy is only 50, but the morning’s clean, and if you’re after a mellow session, it’s the best of a quiet patch. Waves are small, so beginners can handle it, and the beach is very consistent, so there’s always something to sit on, even if it’s tiny.

Jump ahead to Tuesday, August 25 afternoon—the swell bumps up to 2ft from ESE with an 11-second period, and the combined energy hits 125, so there’s some moderate power. But the wind’s a cross-shore at 12 mph, which puts a chop on it. Not ideal, but if you’re desperate, it’s something. Then Thursday, August 27 morning brings a similar setup: 2ft of E swell, 12-second period, and glassy conditions with a light southerly breeze. Combined energy is 121, so there’s a bit of push, but the waves are still pretty ordinary, according to the score. The long period (12 seconds) could make it more lined up at the jetty, but don’t expect barrels.

For the second week, the only other worth a mention is Friday, August 28 afternoon—3ft of ESE swell at 10 seconds, with combined energy jumping to 258, which is moderate to strong. But the wind’s onshore from the SE at 16 mph, and there’s a risk of thunderstorms, so it’s messy and not for beginners. That size is fine for intermediates, but the conditions are rough.

Honestly, there’s no true standout here. The water’s warm, the mornings can be glassy, and the swell’s consistent in its smallness, but if you’re wanting clean, punchy surf, this 16-day window’s a dud. Keep an eye on it—forecasts can change, and it’s rare to stay this flat for long.

Rusty

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