Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab a coffee and settle in, because I've been staring at the charts for Flagler Avenue, and to be honest, it's a pretty quiet outlook. We're looking at a solid 16-day window, but the surf is going to be a tough sell for most of it.

The water temp is sitting right around 84°F, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least the air and water are warm, even if the waves aren't.

Let's break it down. The story starts on Wednesday, the 15th, and it's a slow one. We're looking at tiny, weak swell—combined energy is only at 35 (weak), with a wave height of 1ft from the NE. That's a knee-high dribbler at best. The wind is a light cross-off, so it's clean, but there's just nothing to push you around. This tiny surf pattern hangs around for days. Thursday and Friday are the same deal: ankle to knee-high, with the combined energy dropping to the teens and twenties. Friday morning the 17th does go glassy, which is beautiful to look at, but the swell is only 1ft.

This flat spell is a long one. We're looking at a stretch from the 15th right through to the 29th of July where every single call is "poor surf conditions." There's a little bump in the afternoon of Sunday the 19th with 3ft from the SE, but with a period of only 4 seconds, that's just wind chop—mushy and weak. The combined energy on that bump is only 20, so it's not worth the drive.

The only real standout window, and I'm using that word loosely, arrives on the morning of Tuesday, the 29th of July. We get a glassy morning with a bit of long-period energy creeping in. The swell is still only 1ft, but the period stretches to 9 seconds, and the combined energy nudges up to 24. That's still weak, but the glassy conditions and the slightly better period will make the rare peelable wave a little more fun. The optimum swell direction is NNE, and we're getting it from the E, so it's a bit off, but on a day with nothing else, you take what you can get.

After that, the afternoon of the 29th sees a bit more size (2ft) but the wind switches to a cross-shore, and the 30th looks like another clean, tiny morning followed by a choppy afternoon.

So, the honest truth? Flagler Avenue is looking like a complete write-off for the next two weeks. The energy is just not there. If you're dead set on getting wet, the glassy morning of the 29th of July is your best bet for a few clean, waist-high sliders, but don't expect much. For the rest of the time, the setup is so weak and small that it honestly looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer, if the wind picks up enough.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on those long-range charts. Sometimes it takes a while for the Atlantic to wake up.

Rusty

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