Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, so I’m lookin’ at the full 16-day window for Flagler Avenue, and honestly, it’s a bit of a tough stretch. The surf is just tiny for the vast majority of the run. You’re looking at a solid week to ten days where the swell barely gets its feet wet, with a lot of poor surf conditions flagged up. There’s a little pocket of energy that tries to show up around the 7th and 8th of August, but even then it’s not a home run.

Let’s run through it. The first recommendation doesn’t really come until Friday, July 31st, and even then it’s a knee-slapper. The morning sees a weak 0.7 ft from the east with a short period of 8 seconds and combined energy of just 8 – that’s weak. The wind is a light cross-off from the west, so it’s clean, but there’s barely a ripple to surf. The water temp is around 84°, which is bang on average for the time of year, no drama there. The afternoon picks up a little, with 1 ft from the east-southeast, but the wind swings onshore, making it messy.

We roll through the first week of August and it’s the same story. Saturday, Sunday, Monday – all mornings are clean or glassy with light winds, but the swell is stuck between 0.7 ft and 2 ft. The combined energy rarely cracks 40. It’s the kind of flat spell where you’re better off waxing the roof rack. The afternoon sessions are consistently chopped up by moderate sea breezes.

Now, there’s a glimmer. By Friday, August 7th, we finally see a pulse. The morning swell bumps up to 3 ft from the east, period 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 122 – that’s moderate energy. The wind is light onshore, so it’s not perfect, but it’s the biggest we’ve seen. The afternoon holds at 3 ft, period 9 seconds, energy 130. This is the standout window, but it’s still not massive. Because it’s Flagler, a beach/jetty setup, that east swell will be a bit soft and straight, but for a week of near-flatness, this is your best bet. Saturday the 8th still has some life, with 2 ft in the morning, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s a bit lumpy.

After that, it’s back to the doldrums. From Sunday the 9th right through to Saturday the 15th, the swell drops back to 1.0 ft to 2 ft, with energy numbers mostly in the teens and twenties. The wind is a mix of glassy mornings and choppy afternoons, but the size just isn’t there. The 15th caps it off with a glassy 1 ft, but it’s barely a ripple.

The bottom line is: if you’re desperate, the Friday 7th and Saturday 8th of August are the only days worth a look. The rest of the two weeks is a solid flat spell. For a spot that’s very consistent, this is a real lull, but it won’t last forever. Keep an eye on the longer-range forecasts because things can change.

Rusty.

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