Flagler Avenue Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Flagler Avenue has in store for us over the next couple of weeks. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The whole 16-day window is one long, flat spell, so we’re not talking about picking the best day, we’re talking about whether you’d even bother getting wet.

Starting off on Saturday, 29 August, it’s tiny. We’re looking at a weak 1 ft swell pushing in from the east with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined wave energy is a very low 36, so there’s just no punch. The wind is light and cross-shore in the morning, but the surf is – let’s be honest – poor. That afternoon the breeze picks up to 12 mph from the east, making it choppy and cross-onshore. No good.

Sunday the 30th is more of the same: a bumpy 2 ft swell, but it’s only a 6-second period (energy 52). On top of that, there’s a risk of thunderstorms. Not what you want.

Moving into the week, Monday 31 August through to the end of the first week, the swell stays around 2 ft to 2 ft, with periods mostly between 7 and 11 seconds. The combined energy briefly touches 110 on Wednesday morning (2 September) – that’s moderate energy – but the wind is cross-onshore and the surf quality is still listed as poor. For a beach/jetty break like Flagler, a longer period swell like that 11-second groundswell can sometimes make the waves a bit too straight and closed out, so no real highlight there.

Friday 4 September and Saturday 5 September have glassy conditions early with zero wind – that’s a rare treat for the paddle out – but the swell is barely 1 ft to 2 ft (energy in the 20s). It’s clean but totally flat. You might catch a waist-high ripple if you’re lucky.

The second week – 6 September onwards – stays flat. Swell never gets above 2 ft and the period plummets to 4 seconds on the 6th afternoon, which is just wind chop. There’s a 14-second pulse showing up on Tuesday afternoon (8 September), but it’s delivering only 0.7 ft of north-east windswell (energy 33) – that’s a long-period whisper, not a wave.

Through to 13 September, we’re stuck under 2 ft and the wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore. No standout days, no real swell. Flagler Avenue is a very consistent break for Florida, but right now it’s in a drought. If you’re a kitesurfer, you might find some fun in the afternoon sea breeze, but for paddle surfing – leave the board at home.

Water temperature is not given in the data, so I can’t tell you if it’s warmer or cooler than usual. But honestly, with no waves, it doesn’t matter.

Keep an eye on the charts – it tends not to stay this blank forever around here, and forecasts can shift. Right now though, there’s nothing to surf.

Rusty.

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