Crow Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you – this outlook for Crow Point is a tough one. We're lookin' at a solid 16-day run, but don't get your hopes up too early. The first real stretch is a write-off for any decent surf, and even when we get some size later on, the wind is gonna be a battle. There's a massive gap of poor conditions before we see anything worth paddling out for.

Right from the get-go on Tuesday the 18th of August, it's a mess. We've got a 4ft W swell bumpin' in but with a cross-shore wind that's got a real cross-chop on it. The combined energy is weak at just 154, so it's not even worth the look. That theme carries on through Wednesday and Thursday – the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore, and the wave state is just choppy and lumpy. It's a real downer.

Friday the 21st of August sees a glimmer of hope, but it's a cruel one. The wind goes offshore from the NE and it's glassy clean in the morning, but the swell has dropped right out to a tiny 2ft. Saturday and Sunday are similar – clean conditions with light winds, but we're barely registering a ripple with the swell under 1ft. The combined energy is pitiful, down in the 20s and 30s. It's a flat spell, simple and pure.

Then we hit a real lull. Monday the 24th is glassy but flat at 1.0ft. That poor run carries on through to the end of the month. Tuesday the 25th shows a slight pulse of energy (combined energy of 267) with a 4ft W swell, but the wind is cross-shore again and ruining it. We go through a long stretch of cross-onshore wind and poor surf until we hit the 29th of August, where the swell starts to build again – but still with that horrible cross-onshore chop.

Now, here's where it gets interesting for the brave. Sunday the 31st of August and into Monday the 1st of September, we see a serious increase in swell. We're talking 6ft to 7ft from the WSW, and the combined energy rockets up to 569 and then a massive 1495 on the 1st. That's serious energy. But here's the catch – it's all onshore wind from the south and southwest. Crow Point is sheltered, so it might be big, but it's gonna be a messy, blown-out wall. For a point break, this is a big, raw swell (over 7ft) with a short to moderate period, which is really only for the experts. The wind is gonna make it a battle, and with crowds being "sometimes" an issue here, expect company if you're daft enough to try it.

The only real standout, and I mean the *only* one, is the very last entry. On Wednesday morning the 2nd of September, we finally get a combination that works. The swell is a solid 7ft from the west with a period of 9 seconds, giving a combined energy of 624 – that's a proper push. But the magic is the wind: it's a light offshore from the NW. That's gonna groom that W swell into clean, workable lines at the point. Now, 7ft is pushing the limits for beginners, but for any competent surfer, this is the session of the outlook. The forecast confidence this far out is shaky, so don't book the time off work just yet, but mark it on the calendar.

So, in short: you're waiting until the 2nd of September for the one clean shot. Everything before that is either flat, messy, or blown out. Keep your stick in the car and your eyes on the forecast for that last window.

- Rusty

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