Crow Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into what we’ve got on the books for the next couple of weeks. Gotta be honest with ya, it’s a tough one. There’s a long, dry stretch of nothing good on offer, so we’re gonna have to be patient.

Right now and for the bulk of the 16-day window, it’s just not happening. We’re looking at wave heights that waver between a tiny 1 ft and a messy 7 ft, but the quality is just… poor. The swell is mostly coming from the west and southwest with short, weak periods, often under 8 seconds. The combined swell energy is all over the shop – sometimes it’s weak (49), sometimes it’s strong (1086) – but it doesn’t matter because the wind is usually howling onshore or cross-onshore, trashing any chance of a clean wave. We are talking sustained winds of 15 to 22 mph, sometimes even stronger, just shredding the surface. This is one of those stretches where the setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, to be honest.

The only break in this report is Crow Point. It’s a sheltered point that rarely breaks, so you’d already be rolling the dice. And for the first week and a half, the dice are loading snake eyes. The water is running at about 66° for the first reading, which is 5° warmer than normal – that’s notably warm for this time of year – but you won’t be wanting to get in it for the surf.

Now, there is a little flicker of hope. All the way out on Monday, September 14th and into Tuesday, September 15th, something changes. We see the wind switching to a cross-offshore from the NNW. On the Monday afternoon, that cross-off wind is strong at 25 mph, but the word on it is “clean”. The swell is tiny though – just 2 ft with a long, juicy 11-second period from the west. The combined energy is only 125, so it’s weak. Then on Tuesday morning, things get lighter. The wind drops to a gentle 9 mph from the NNW, still cross-off and clean, but the swell drops to 2 ft with a 10-second period.

If you are desperate, that’s your window. It’s the only time in the whole forecast period we get a clean look. A tiny, long-period groundswell with offshore wind at a rarely-breaking point. It’s a long shot, more of a promise than a guarantee, but that Tuesday morning, September 15th, is the only thing I’d even paddle out to check. Don’t expect much, but you might find a clean little nugget if you’re patient.

Other than that, it is a blank run. For this area, a run of poor conditions is more normal, but it never stays poor forever. Forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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