Crow Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the outlook for Crow Point over the next 16 days is about as bleak as I've seen in a while. There's nothing to get excited about, and honestly, most of this period will be a write-off. We're looking at a long stretch of poor surf quality, with only a tiny, fleeting moment late in the second week that might offer a glimmer. You'll want to look elsewhere for any sort of real session.

Starting off, and right through to the middle of September, it's a mess. Thursday the 3rd kicks off with a weak 5ft swell from the WSW, but the 16 mph onshore wind is just ruining it. The energy is weak (241) and the water is a weird 66°F – about 5°F warmer than usual for this time of year, which is pretty notable. But that's the only notable thing here; the conditions are poor.

The first week is dominated by onshore and cross-onshore winds. Friday the 4th sees a bump in size to 7ft from the W, and the combined energy jumps to 587 – moderate – but the 19 mph cross-onshore wind at Crow Point, a sheltered, rarely-breaking point, makes for nothing but choppy, blown-out junk. It stays that way through the weekend. There's a pulse of energy early on Monday the 7th with 7ft W swell at 12 seconds and a combined energy of 1111 (strong!), but that 16 mph cross-shore wind and the "poor surf conditions" tag kill it.

The following days from Tuesday the 8th through the rest of the first week and into the second are just more of the same: choppy, lumpy, and useless. The swell sticks around a bit on Tuesday the 8th with 8ft W swell (combined energy of 1003), but again, it's a wind-affected mess for a rare-breaking point. Not for beginners (too big and messy), and not worth an expert's time either. After that, the charts flatline. From Wednesday the 9th onwards, the swell drops off and we enter a really quiet period. The winds do eventually ease, giving us clean conditions on Thursday the 10th, but the swell is only 5ft and the energy is weak to moderate (236). It’s surfable in a straight-shooting, clean kind of way, but with no shape to the wave, it's a total non-event.

Then we hit a drought. From around the 11th to the 14th of September, there are days with almost nothing. The gaps are brutal. On Sunday the 13th, we get clean, offshore winds from the ENE, but the swell is a pathetic 2ft. The energy is barely registering (107). It’s glassy, but there's no wave to surf.

The only real standout, and I mean the only one: Tuesday the 15th of September. This is the best – and virtually the only – option across the whole 16 days. Tuesday morning starts clean with a 12 mph offshore from the NE, on a tiny 1.0ft groundswell from the W with a very long period of 17 seconds. The energy is weak (92). But the magic happens in the Tuesday afternoon window. The wind drops to a light 6 mph offshore from the NE, and the swell picks up to 2ft from the W, with a long period of 15 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 172 (moderate). The report even says "surfable waves" – the only time it says that. For a spot that "rarely breaks" and is sheltered, this would be the time to paddle out. A long-period W groundswell with clean offshore wind on a point break is a recipe for a couple of clean, lined-up waves. The crowd is listed as "sometimes", so expect some company for the few waves that roll through. It's not a day for the beginners, as the long period and tiny size will make it feel more like a chess match than a wave count.

Beyond that, the 16th, 17th, and 18th of September are completely dead. Forget it.

So, to sum it up: one brief, promising window on the afternoon of Tuesday the 15th. Everything else is a no-go. For the rest of the time, it’s poor conditions or flat spells. If you're a kite surfer, look elsewhere – the onshore wind at the beginning might have worked, but the quality isn't there. For us paddle surfers, mark the 15th in your calendar, hope the forecast holds, and expect a quiet, rewarding little session at Crow Point.

– Rusty

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