Crow Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break it down the old-fashioned way.

Honestly, I gotta be straight with you – this is a rough run. The whole 16-day window is a struggle. We don’t see any real surfable waves until the very end, and even then it’s a stretch. There’s a big gap right from the start, with nothing worth paddling out for. The first decent nod comes on Thursday the 17th of September, and even that is just barely surfable.

Let’s talk about the break we’ve got to work with: Crow Point. It’s a point break, sheltered, but it rarely breaks, so you’re already fighting an uphill battle. The water is sitting at 66°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a notable 4° above the long-term average. A nice bit of warmth, but it won’t help the waves.

The opening days, from the 5th through the 16th, are a total write-off. The wind is almost always crossing up the swell, and the energy is just pathetic. The best we see is a brief pulse on Monday the 7th and Tuesday the 8th, with some chest-high swell (5ft) from the west and a period of 13 seconds, but the combined energy is moderate (800), though the cross-on or cross-shore wind just ruins it. It’s choppy, lumpy, and messy. Not the place to be.

Then the swell drops to nothing. By the 14th, we’re looking at knee-high dribble (1ft) with glassy conditions on Monday morning, but there’s zero power. The combined energy is a measly 26, so you’re just floating. It’s clean, but it’s a lake.

The light at the end of the tunnel? Thursday the 17th of September. We get a pulse of 5ft swell from the west, with a period of 7 seconds. The wind finally turns cross-off or even offshore from the ESE, and conditions are clean. The combined energy is still low (187), but it’s surfable. It’s the only real window. Friday the 18th hangs in there with similar 4ft waves, clean again, but still very ordinary. The energy is weak (113), and the period is short (6 seconds), so it’ll be a bit fat and weak.

The one standout you should aim for is Thursday morning, the 17th of September, at Crow Point. That’s your best bet. Waist-to-chest high swell from the west, clean conditions with cross-off winds, and it’s the only time the score creeps off the floor. It’s not pumping, but it’s all we’ve got. The crowd situation is “sometimes,” so you might have company, but at a spot that rarely breaks, it’s not going to be a zoo.

Bottom line: save your energy for the 17th. The rest is a long, flat, windy slog.

Rusty.

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