Chia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the outlook for Chia over the next 16 days is a tough one. We're looking at a long, dry spell with very little to get excited about. The water is sitting at a very warm 86°, which is a solid 7° warmer than usual for this time of year – that's a standout anomaly, making it feel much warmer than normal for a surf.

The first real chance to paddle out doesn't come until Friday morning, the 21st of August. There's a small bump of swell pushing in at 3 ft from the west, with a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy is weak at 103, so it's not going to have much punch. The wind, however, is a positive note – it's a moderate offshore from the NNW at 12 mph, which will keep the surface clean. It's surfable, but the conditions are very ordinary, so keep your expectations in check.

After that, it's a long stretch of nothing. From Friday afternoon right through to the start of September, the wave comment is repeatedly "poor surf conditions." We're talking about a gap of over a week with no real surf worth mentioning. The swell drops away to tiny, choppy, and wind-affected junk. It's a bleak run.

Things start to look a little different on Thursday, the 3rd of September. The afternoon shows a sudden spike in swell energy up to 283 (moderate energy) with a 7 ft swell from the WNW. The period is a short 6 seconds, making it a bit of a windswell mess. The wind is a fresh breeze from the WNW at 19 mph, which is cross-offshore, keeping it clean on the face. The problem is that the 7 ft swell with short period on a beach break setup is going to be a wild, bumpy, and unruly mess. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. It's definitely not for beginners and only for the most experienced crew.

The final day of the forecast, Friday the 4th of September, offers a little hope. The morning brings a gentle offshore from the NW at 9 mph, with a 2 ft west swell. The energy is still weak at 65, but the conditions are clean. It's a tiny, weak wave, but it's about the best we'll see.

If you're desperate for a surf, the Friday morning of the 21st of August is the only real window in the near term, and it's very marginal. The bigger swell on the 3rd of September is a draw for experts only, and even then, the quality looks poor. Honestly, for the next two weeks, Chia is in a drought. It's a blank run, but that's not unusual for this area. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it, but don't plan your life around it.

Rusty.

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