Chia Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Chia over the next couple of weeks. I gotta be straight with you – it’s gonna be a tough stretch. We’re staring down a real dry patch.

Right now and for the next several days, we’ve got next to nothing. The waves are flat, and the forecast is spitting out "poor surf conditions" day after day. You’re looking at a solid gap of about a week with no real recommendations. Don’t bother paddling out until at least the 22nd; there’s just no energy in the water.

Now, the first sign of life comes on the 22nd of September. The morning starts small with a 1ft swell from the SE, but it’s got a short period (5 seconds) and the wind is a moderate breeze from the NE. The combined wave energy is weak at 6, and it’s still rated as poor. Not the one.

Things start to change toward the end of the window. On the 24th of September, we see a real bump in size. Swell hits 4ft from the SE with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy climbs to 204 – that’s moderate energy. But here’s the rub: the wind is a stiff E to ESE breeze, blowing cross to cross-on, making it choppy. It’s still rated as poor conditions. That size (4ft) is fine for a beginner like Chia is set up for, but the wind is messy.

The real standout, if you can even call it that, is on the 25th of September. We’ve got a better window in the morning. Swell picks up to 5ft from the SE with the same short period (6 seconds) and the combined energy is 201. The wind swings around to a light ENE breeze, keeping conditions cross-shore and manageable. This is the biggest, most consistent bit of swell in the whole run, but at 5ft it’s starting to get a bit too much for true beginners. And because the period is short (6 seconds), it’s gonna be a bit lumpy and disorganized, even with the lighter wind.

We also have to talk about the water. For Chia, it’s a warm 83°F, which is more than five degrees above normal for this time of year. That’s very unusual – feels like a hot bath out there.

For a beginner spot like Chia, the offshore wind from the NNW is what we want, and we do see some glassy or clean conditions on a few of those flat days early on, but there’s simply no swell to ride.

Bottom line: There’s nothing good on offer here for the next 16 days. The only day that’s even worth checking is the morning of the 25th for a small, short-period, cross-shore session, but don’t get your hopes up. This is just one of those periods where the forecasts will hopefully change. Hang loose.

Rusty.

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