Capo Marina Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you—this 16-day outlook for Capo Marina is a tough one. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with barely a ripple for the first week and a half. The water is sitting at 79°, which is a massive 5° warmer than usual for this time of year—very unusual, almost like bathwater. The good news is there’s a pulse of energy trying to build in the second week, but you’ll need patience.

The forecast kicks off with nothing. From Thursday 9 July right through to Monday 20 July, the surf is tiny and poor. We’re talking waves under 2ft, short periods of 4 to 6 seconds, and combined swell energy barely registering (1 to 18). It’s so flat that on the mornings of 15 and 16 July you’ll see glassy conditions with no wind, but there’s nothing to ride. The wind is mostly light, and sometimes offshore from the north or north-northeast, but it doesn’t matter when there’s no swell. This is a real blank run, and for this area, it’s not unusual—the consistency is listed as “inconsistent”, so don’t be too shocked.

Then we get a small glimmer. On Tuesday morning 21 July, a 2ft swell from the southwest with a 7-second period rolls in, pushing the combined energy to 51. The wind is cross-offshore from the east-northeast, keeping it clean, but the conditions are still very ordinary. It’s surfable, but barely. Wednesday 22 July is similar—3ft from the south-southwest, 6 seconds, energy at 57, with a light east wind keeping it tidy. Still, nothing to get excited about.

The standout window, and the only one worth marking on your calendar, is Thursday 24 July morning. The swell builds to 4ft from the south-southwest, period bumps up to 7 seconds, and the combined energy hits a moderate 160. The wind is offshore from the north, light at 5 km/h, so it’ll be clean. This is a reef break, so that longer period will wrap in nicely, but it’s only for advanced surfers—4ft here feels bigger on a reef, and the break is “inconsistent”, so don’t expect a wave every minute. Crowds are sometimes an issue, so you might have a few others out. This is the best on offer, but it’s still only a “surfable but very ordinary” call.

After that, Friday 24 July afternoon drops off, and the rest of the forecast fades again. No big swell, no quality. Honestly, if you’re desperate, have a look at Thursday 24 July morning, but otherwise, keep the board in the car and wait for a better window.

Rusty.

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