Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for our local stretch.

Straight up, this is a tough run. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with little to no surf on the cards for the first week and a half. The water is sitting at a very unusual 82°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year. From Friday the 31st of July right through to the morning of Tuesday the 11th of August, it’s pretty much flat or with tiny, weak dribbles that aren’t worth getting out of bed for. The combined energy barely registers, often sitting at just 1 or 2. It’s a frustrating wait.

The first real sign of life shows up on the morning of Tuesday the 11th of August. We’ve got a 4ft swell from the NW, with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 158 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-onshore, so it’s not clean, but it’s a start. That afternoon, the swell builds quickly to 7ft from the NW, but the period drops to 8 seconds and the wind swings straight onshore. It’s a messy, blown-out situation with a combined energy of 580 (strong). Not the one.

Now, the standout window. Wednesday the 12th of August is the one to circle on the calendar. The morning is looking prime. We’ve got a solid 7ft NW swell, with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is up at 604 (strong). The wind is glassy from the NE, which means clean, smooth conditions. This is the best on offer, but at 7ft, this is getting into expert territory. Su Paulo Su is a reef break, so it’ll handle that size, but it’s not for the beginners. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 10ft from the NW, with a period of 9 seconds and a combined energy of 1271 (very strong). The wind turns cross-shore from the NW, creating a chop, so expect a bit of a battle for the paddle out.

The morning of Thursday the 13th of August still has some leftover energy, with a 4ft NW swell (period 7 seconds, combined energy 144). The wind is glassy again, so it’ll be clean, but it’s a noticeable drop in size and power compared to the day before. The afternoon turns messy again with cross-onshore wind.

After that, it’s a rapid fade into nothing. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are blown out by strong to near-gale force winds, and the swell drops to almost nothing. There’s no surf to be had.

So, to sum it up: the long wait is worth it for the morning of Wednesday the 12th of August. That’s the standout. Clean, strong, and solid. Get on it if you’ve got the skills. The rest of the window is a write-off.

Rusty.

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