Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same surf for you in feet and miles per hour.

We’re talkin’ about Su Paulo Su, a reef break that’s consistent and exposed to the NW. It’s a slow start, but the back end of this forecast is where the fire lights up.

For the first week or so, the ocean is flat as a pancake. The water is a warm 82°, a full 4° warmer than usual for this time of year, which is a real standout – feels like a warm bath out there. From Monday the 24th through to around Friday the 4th of September, the swell is barely a ripple. The combined energy is mostly in the single digits or low double digits, real weak stuff. Most mornings are glassy or clean with light offshore breezes, but with waves under 3 ft, it’s pretty much unrideable on this reef.

Things start to tease a little on the morning of Wednesday the 2nd of September. The swell bumps up to 4 ft from the NW, with a clean offshore breeze and a combined energy of 109 (moderate). It’s surfable, but it’s still pretty ordinary. Then on Friday the 4th of September morning, we get similar conditions – 4 ft NW at 7 seconds, clean, with energy at 139. Still just a warm-up.

Now, the real standout is Saturday the 5th of September. The morning session is a proper call to arms. We’re lookin’ at a solid 10 ft swell from the NW, glassy conditions, and a combined energy of 1006. That’s strong energy, and with the glassy surface, it’s going to be clean. But listen, at 10 ft, this is for experienced surfers only – it’s too big for beginners. The afternoon gets even bigger, 16 ft at 12 seconds from the NW, but a moderate cross-shore wind kicks in and the energy jumps to 6683. That’s pumping, but the wind will put a bit of chop on it.

Sunday the 6th of September morning is another gem. Clean conditions with a 15 ft NW groundswell at 11 seconds (very long period) and energy at 4187. That’s a long period groundswell, which means it’ll wrap nicely into this reef, offering long, powerful walls. Still, at that size, it’s strictly for the experts.

The real standout pick for the whole period, though, has to be Monday the 7th of September morning. We’ve got a 16 ft NW swell at 11 seconds, with a gentle cross-shore breeze. The combined energy is a massive 6095. The wind is light enough to keep things relatively clean, and that long period groundswell will march straight into the break. This is the kind of day that gets the heart thumping. Be warned, though, the crowds are likely here, so get in early.

The follow-up morning on Tuesday the 8th of September will see the swell drop to a much more manageable 5 ft with a cross-shore breeze, but the energy is down to 242. It’ll be a shadow of the weekend.

So, to sum it up: we’ve got a long, flat first week, then a massive pulse of swell from the 5th to the 7th of September. The morning of the 7th is the absolute pick of the litter: big, powerful, and clean-ish. Don’t miss it.

Rusty.

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