Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Su Paulo Su over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with ya – it's a pretty bleak run. We're looking at a big gap with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real chance to get wet doesn't come until Wednesday the 19th, and even then, it's nothing to write home about. After that, there's another long stretch of tiny, weak junk before we might see something a bit more interesting right at the tail end.

So, Wednesday morning the 19th is the first flicker of hope. The swell is a tiny 4ft from the NW, with a period of just 7 seconds – that's short-period wind swell, not much grunt behind it. The combined energy is weak (119). But here's the thing: the wind is glassy. Dead calm. That's a beautiful thing for a spot like this. It'll be clean as a whistle, even if the waves are small and weak. For a beginner or someone just wanting to get the board wet in clean conditions, this is your window. Just know it won't be powerful.

Then we hit the doldrums. From Thursday the 20th all the way through to Monday the 31st of August, it's a whole lot of nothing. Swell heights are mostly below 2ft, energy readings are in the single digits and low tens – barely a ripple. You'll see a few glassy mornings, but with no swell to speak of, it's a lake. The 25th and 26th see a bump to around 3-5ft from the NW, but the wind is howling cross-onshore at 16 mph, making a mess of things. Not worth it.

The one standout, and it's a long way off, is Friday the 28th of August. We get a proper push of NW swell, hitting 5ft in the morning and building to a solid 7ft by the afternoon. The period stretches to 8 seconds, which is still short, but the energy jumps up to 297 and then a strong 519. That's got some real push. The problem? The wind is cross-shore at 9-16 mph, so it'll be a bit chopped and won't be perfect. That 7ft is getting into the expert-only range for a reef break, and with that cross-chop, it's going to be a handful. It's the biggest and most powerful surf of the whole outlook, but it's gonna be a battle. If you're a solid surfer and you're desperate, that's your best bet for a real wave, but don't expect it to be pretty.

Overall, the water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

This is a rough patch. Keep an eye on the forecast, because it tends not to stay this flat for too long.

- Rusty

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