Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, ol’ Rusty here. Gotta be straight with ya – the next couple of weeks are lookin’ pretty grim for any sort of proper surf. We’re talkin’ a real flat spell for the most part, so if you’re itchin’ for a wave, you’ll need some serious patience.

Right off the bat, this Saturday the 5th is dead. There’s a tiny 1ft ripple, but the energy is weak (3) and the conditions are just poor. Not even worth paddling out for. Sunday the 6th is a bit better with a clean 1.6ft on the morning, but it’s still gutless. We’re in a lull, plain and simple.

The first real chance of anything comes mid-week. On Thursday the 10th, we see a slight bump with a 2ft northwest swell pushing in the morning, but the afternoon turns into a cross-onshore mess at 3ft. It’s still pretty weak overall.

Then, on Friday the 11th, things finally start to wake up. Overnight a pulse of northwest groundswell arrives. The morning is looking like our first genuine window. We got a clean 4.6ft at Su Paulo Su, with a period of 8 seconds and a light offshore east wind. The combined energy jumps to 225, which is moderate. It’s not huge, but it’s the first real surfable wave. The direction is right for this spot. Don’t expect perfection, but definitely the best option so far. As the day goes on, the wind swings northwest and kicks up, turning it to crud by the afternoon.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The swell builds through Saturday the 12th, but the wind nukes. We get a strong northwest cross-onshore blowing all day, completely ruining the 5.6ft to 8.2ft of new swell. Combined energy is huge – between 280 and 931 – but it’s just howling and lumpy. This one’s a write-off for paddling.

Sunday the 13th is a tease. The swell is still pushing through at a solid 8.2ft with a longer 9-second period and energy at 1159, which is strong. The wind is light for the morning, but it’s cross, not offshore. It might be a bit of a circus out there with that much water moving. It could be a go for the experts, but for most of us, it’ll be too big and a bit messy.

And just like that, it’s gone. From Sunday afternoon onwards, the surf rapidly fades. Monday the 14th sees the swell dropping fast with fresh onshore winds, and by Tuesday the 15th, we’re back down to tiny dribbles. The rest of the week into the 20th is completely flat. You're lookin’ at a solid week with nothing on offer.

So, for standouts, it’s a slim pickings kinda forecast. The Friday morning session on the 11th is the one to target – it’s our best bet for clean, rideable waves. Keep an eye on the Sunday the 13th morning, but only if you’re comfortable in solid, lumpy conditions. Otherwise, the board stays in the car and the wax stays in the bag. Stay patient.

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