Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming at Su Paulo Su.

It’s a rough start. We’ve got a long stretch of flat or near-flat conditions kicking things off. The water is sitting at 28°, which is way warmer than usual for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing worth noting for a while.

Sunday morning the 6th sees a tiny 1ft swell from the NW with a short 6-second period. Combined energy is a weak 11. It’s glassy, so it’ll look clean, but there’s hardly any power. By the afternoon, a light cross-on breeze picks up, and the swell only bumps to 2ft. Not worth getting wet for.

Monday the 7th is more of the same: 1ft in the morning, dropping to 0.7ft by the afternoon. The morning has clean conditions with a cross-off breeze, but the swell is too small to ride. After that, we hit a real dead zone. From Tuesday the 8th through Wednesday the 9th, there’s zero swell. Nothing. The ocean is flat.

Things start to move a little on Thursday the 10th. The morning brings 4ft from the NW, with a 7-second period. Combined energy is a moderate 169. But the wind is a cross-shore at 12 mph, so it’s lumpy. By the afternoon, the swell jumps to 8ft from the NW with a 9-second period and energy shoots up to 1042. That’s a strong pulse. But the wind is onshore at 19 mph, and conditions are marginal. At 8ft, this is expert territory, and with that wind, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a clean paddle session.

Friday the 11th morning is where we get our best shot. Swell is 6ft from the WNW, period is 8 seconds, and combined energy is a solid 365. The wind is light and cross-off from the east at 6 mph. That’ll keep it clean. This is the standout window. It’s not perfect, but it’s the best we’ve got. The afternoon turns onshore, so make the most of the morning.

After Friday, it drops back down. Saturday the 12th morning has 3ft from the NW, but it’s weak at 58 energy. Clean, but small. From there, the swell fades and we’re back to tiny or flat conditions for the rest of the outlook. There’s a bit of movement around the 17th and 18th, but it’s small, short-period, and blown out by strong winds. Not worth chasing.

So, to sum it up: the only real window is Friday morning the 11th. It’s a reef break, consistent, exposed to the NW, and the optimum swell direction is NW, so it’s lined up. The water is warm, the wind is clean, and there’s enough energy to get a few. It’s not epic, but it’s the best on offer. Crowds are possible at this spot, so expect company.

Stay patient. The flat spells are long, but forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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