Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. It’s a bit of a weird run ahead for Su Paulo Su. We’ve got a solid, consistent reef setup on our hands, but the ocean’s not really cooperating for the next week or so. We’re looking at a lot of small, short-period swell with wind that’s all over the place.

The water’s a big story right now, coming in at 83°, which is a couple of degrees warmer than average. That’s a real treat, something you don’t feel every day. It’s like the ocean turned the thermostat up just for us.

For the first stretch, from Friday afternoon on the 21st right through to the 27th of August, it’s a write-off. We’ve got tiny waves, under 2ft, with periods of 4 to 7 seconds. That’s just wind chop and leftovers. Most days have a cross or onshore breeze chopping it up. No energy at all. You’d be fighting for nothing out there. This is a gap of about a week with nothing worth paddling for.

Now, things start to look a bit more interesting around Friday the 28th. We finally get a pulse of swell, jumping up to 5ft on Friday morning with a period of 6 seconds, and then it builds to a solid 8ft by Friday afternoon with a slightly longer 9-second period. The energy kicks up to 839, which is a strong signal. But here’s the rub: the wind blows hard from the northwest, cross-on, and it’s going to be lumpy and messy. It’s a lot of push, but the surface is going to be a washing machine. That’s not really surfable for a paddle; that’s more for the kite crew.

Saturday the 29th keeps that size, with waves around 6ft, and the period stays at 8 seconds. The energy is still strong, in the 450 range. But again, the cross-shore wind, at times a fresh 19 mph, is going to put a heavy chop on it. It’s big but ugly.

After that, the swell backs down quickly. Sunday the 30th has 3ft dropping to 2ft, and the wind is still messy. The cleanest windows are early mornings on the 31st and the 5th of September, where we see light offshore or cross-off winds and clean conditions, but the swell is just too small, barely breaking 1ft.

Looking at the whole 16 days, there’s no standout session. The best on offer is probably Saturday morning the 29th, with that 6ft of northwest swell, but the cross-chop is going to kill the quality. It’s a powerful, angry ocean, not a clean, rippable one. If you’re desperate for a wave, it’s a picky, expert-only kind of day due to the size and the wind. But honestly, the forecast doesn’t give us anything that will make you want to rush down there. It’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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