Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Su Paulo Su, a reef break on the island of São Paulo. The water’s sitting at 79°, which is a solid 5° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s noticeably warm, you’ll be surfing in boardies for sure.

Honestly, the next week and a half is a bit of a bust. From Saturday the 11th through to the morning of Tuesday the 21st, there’s barely a ripple. A few tiny, low-energy swells pop up, but nothing over 2ft. The wind is mostly light and variable, but the swell just isn’t there. It’s a real dry spell, a gap of about ten days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Then, things start to look up. On Tuesday the 21st, the morning shows a solid 6ft swell from the northwest, with a period of 8 seconds and offshore wind from the east. The combined energy is 511, which is a solid moderate push. The break is exposed to the northwest, and the offshore wind will clean it right up. This is a genuine standout – the best of the run. It’s the first real swell we’ve seen, and it’s got the right wind.

Later that same day, the afternoon gets a bit too big for comfort, with the swell jumping to 10ft and the wind turning onshore. That’s expert territory, and the wind is going to chop it up. Not the one to pick.

The morning of Wednesday the 22nd is still a good option, with a 5ft northwest swell and 8-second period, cross-off wind from the east, and moderate energy at 289. It’s a step down from Tuesday, but still clean and rideable.

Now, the real heavyweight is shaping up for Friday the 24th. The morning brings a 13ft northwest swell, with a 10-second period – that’s a proper groundswell. The combined energy is 3013, which is strong. The wind is glassy out of the east-northeast. This is a big, powerful swell with clean conditions. This is only for experienced surfers, as it’s well over 8ft. The long period (10 seconds) means it’ll have good shape and power, but at a reef break like this, it’ll be a serious session. Afternoon sees the wind shift onshore, so the morning is the window.

Saturday the 25th morning is still a decent option, with 5ft from the northwest, 8-second period, and offshore wind. Clean and manageable.

The rest of the run into the 26th and beyond fades out again. So, the pick of the fortnight is Tuesday the 21st morning for a solid, clean, fun-sized swell, and Friday the 24th morning for the big, powerful, glassy groundswell if you’ve got the experience. Keep in mind this is a consistent reef break, and crowds are possible here.

Rusty.

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