Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, let’s talk about it.

The next couple of weeks are looking pretty grim for Su Paulo Su, to be honest. There’s a big flat spell on the way before we finally see some proper energy roll in, but even then, conditions look like they’re going to get blown out quick. It’s a waiting game, and the wait is going to feel long.

The surf just isn’t there for the first week and a half. From Wednesday the 5th through the morning of Saturday the 15th, we're looking at tiny, weak waves, mostly under 2ft, with poor energy readings often in the single digits. There’s a little bump on the Friday morning, the 7th, with 3ft of short-period NW swell, but the cross-onshore wind will have it chopped up. The water is running about 82°, which is a full 5° warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s quite warm, but the surf is just flat. You’re better off not even looking at the ocean for a bit.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Sunday the 16th. The morning brings a clean 3ft of NW swell with a period of 8 seconds, and the wind is light and cross-off. The energy is finally up to 113, which is a moderate reading. It’s surfable, but it’s still just very ordinary. The afternoon gets a bit bigger at 4ft, but the wind swings cross-onshore and takes the shine right off it.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 17th. That’s when the ocean properly wakes up. There’s a significant jump in size, with the morning seeing a solid 10ft of NW swell, and the afternoon pushing it to 12ft with a period of 10 seconds. The combined energy hits a massive 1548 in the morning and 2328 in the afternoon. That’s strong, powerful surf. However, this is over 8ft, so this is strictly for experts. The wind is light and onshore in the morning with some rain, and the afternoon has a light cross. It’s a big, powerful swell, but it’s going to be a serious, grunty session with questionable conditions. This is a day for the experienced locals who know the reef well.

After that peak, the energy starts to fade. Tuesday the 18th still has surf, with a 5ft morning swell, but the afternoon wind cranks up to 30 km/h from the NW, and it gets messy fast. From Wednesday the 19th onward, we’re back to poor conditions. The swell drops, but the wind really howls, hitting 40 km/h from the NW, which will make things completely blown out and lumpy. The setup will be less about surfing and more about wondering if you should have brought a kite.

So, bottom line: there’s a big, powerful swell on Monday the 17th, but it’s for experts only and the winds aren't ideal. Before that, it’s a long, flat, and clean but empty stretch. The surf will be back, but the whole window is a bit of a mess.

Rusty.

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