Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Su Paulo Su.

Honestly, it’s a tough run ahead. This reef setup wants a clean NW swell and offshore winds to work its magic, but most of this 16-day window is filled with either onshore slop, lumpy cross-chop, or just not enough size. The overall swell energy is weak for the most part – you’ll see readings like 0 (and 1) for days on end, which tells you there’s hardly any push. The few pulses of energy that do pop up get hammered by the wind, so don't get your hopes up for much.

The window starts right now, Monday the 17th of August, but there’s almost nothing. Monday morning is dead flat with glassy conditions (combined energy 0), and by afternoon a weak 1 ft NW swell shows up but it’s cross-onshore and messy. Tuesday the 18th sees a jump to 6 ft from the NW with moderate energy (269), but the wind is NW 19 mph in the afternoon creating lumpy, cross-onshore junk. Not surfable.

Wednesday the 19th of August morning is your best bet so far. We’ve got a 4 ft NW swell with a period of 7 seconds, energy at 132 – moderate, and the wind is glassy from the ESE at 3 mph. That’s clean. It’s only a 1 out of 10, the shape won’t be great, but if you’re desperate, that morning window is the first real chance to get wet. By afternoon, it’s gone again.

The next week is pretty bleak. A few tiny pulses – 2 ft on Saturday the 22nd morning (combined energy 60) with glassy winds – surfable but ordinary. Sunday the 23rd morning has a 1 ft clean offshore from the east, but it’s tiny. The pattern just keeps teasing.

There’s a bit of a lift on Wednesday the 26th of August morning: 3 ft NW swell, period 7 seconds, and the combined energy bumps up to 198 – moderate. It’s glassy calm with WSW winds at 0 mph. That could be worth a paddle if you can find a peak. Still only rated a 1, so don’t expect firing waves, but at least the surface is clean.

But the real interesting window, the one that’s worth circling on the calendar, is Tuesday the 1st of September morning. Now, that’s over a week away, so treat it as a promising long-range hint, not a guarantee. The forecast shows 6 ft NW swell with an 8-second period and combined energy jumping to 446 – that’s strong. The wind is light cross-onshore from the west at 3 mph, just a slight air, so the surface will have small ripples but it’ll be surfable. This is the biggest, most energetic swell of the whole outlook. For a reef break like Su Paulo Su that’s exposed to NW swells and prefers that direction, this is the standout session. The size is pushing into intermediate territory – not for groms, but not death-wish big either. The period is a touch short (8 seconds), so the waves will be a bit crumbly, but with that much energy, it’ll still produce rideable surf.

Crowds are possible here, so don't expect to have it to yourself if the forecast holds.

This spot is a consistent reef, so it does break more often than not. But the next 16 days are mostly a washout. That one morning on the 1st of September is the only true standout if it comes together.

Outside of that, you're looking at long gaps – three or four days at a time where the best you get is a 0 out of 10. It’s a rough stretch.

This is Rusty signing off – stay patient, and mark that 1st of September on your board.

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