Su Paulo Su Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right. Lookin’ at this 16-day stretch, I gotta be straight with you—it’s mostly a waiting game. The first full week is a write-off for any kind of decent surf. We’ve got a long gap of flat, weak, or straight-up messy conditions until things finally show a pulse around July 19th. That Sunday morning is where the only real window opens, but even then, it comes with strings attached.

The one spot that has any chance of getting you wet is Su Paulo Su—a consistent reef break that usually handles swell well. It’s exposed to the north-west, which is exactly what we need. Water temp is sitting at a very warm 79°F, which is 4°F hotter than normal for this time of year—pretty unusual, so you’ll be surf-park warm, no wetsuit needed.

Now, through the 10th all the way to the 18th, it’s a desert. We’re talking tiny ankle-snappers under 1 ft at best, with wind directions all over the place—onshore, cross-off, cross—none of it lines up. The combined wave energy barely gets into double digits, mostly sitting between 1 and 15 (weak). You’d be wasting your time.

Come Sunday morning, July 19th, we finally get a lift. The swell bumps up to 4 ft out of the north-west with a 7-second period—short-period wind swell, so it won’t have the punch of a groundswell, but it’s something. Wind is light and offshore from the north at 6 mph, keeping the surface clean. The combined energy hits 121 (moderate), so there’s enough push to get a few fun ones. This is the standout, and really the only true highlight in the whole outlook.

That afternoon on the 19th, the swell jumps to 8 ft from the NW, with energy soaring to 736 (strong), but the wind swings cross-shore at 12 mph, messing up the face. That’s expert-only territory—too much power and chop for most.

After that, the 20th and beyond turn ugly again: strong winds, lumpy cross-onshore junk, and the swell drops off fast. The rest of the month is a no-go.

So, bottom line: if you’re keen, circle Sunday morning, July 19th at Su Paulo Su for a clean, small session. Everything else? Save your energy. Forecasts can change, but right now it’s a long dry spell.

Rusty.

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