Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mates, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming for the next couple of weeks.

First thing, the water is running way warmer than usual for this time of year – about 82°, which is a full three degrees above the norm. That’s very unusual, so ditch the wetsuit.

The forecast starts off slow. Saturday afternoon is a bust with a tiny 1ft close-out and choppy cross-on wind. Sunday isn’t much better, though there’s a small clean window late in the day with a 1ft swell and a cross-off breeze. The real action doesn’t fire up until Monday the 27th.

Monday morning is the one to circle. We’ve got a clean 4ft groundswell out of the northwest, with a period of 8 seconds and a light offshore wind. The combined energy is moderate at 208, and the waves will be clean and lining up. This is your best session of the whole window. By Monday afternoon, the swell builds to 5ft, but the wind swings cross-off and gets stronger, so it’ll be a bit messier and more of a handful. That size is fine for most, but beginners should stick to the morning.

Tuesday the 28th still has some waist-high waves around 4ft with a clean cross-off breeze in the morning, but the energy drops off (160) and the period shortens. It’s surfable, but nothing special.

Then we hit a major dry spell. From Wednesday the 29th of July all the way through to the 5th of August, the swell flatlines completely. There’s days of glassy mornings with zero waves – perfect for a paddle, but not a single rideable ripple. The forecast just shows zeros and poor conditions for over a week. That’s a long gap.

We get a tiny flicker on the 5th of August with a 2ft swell, but the period is short and the energy is weak (19). Not worth getting wet for. Another small pulse shows up on the morning of the 7th of August – 4ft from the northwest, period of 7 seconds, and a glassy start. The energy is moderate (135), but the wave quality is only ordinary. It’s the best thing in the second week, but it’s a long way off and a long way from that Monday blast.

Overall, the only true standout here is Monday the 27th of July, early morning at Mini Capo. Clean, offshore, moderate energy, and a solid 4ft northwest swell. Get it while it’s good.

Rusty.

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