Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. We’ve got a 16-day look at Mini Capo, and I gotta be straight with you – it’s a tough stretch. This spot is a bit of a diva anyway, an exposed reef break that’s inconsistent. You really need everything to line up for it to fire, and for the next couple of weeks, the stars just aren’t aligning.

Right out of the gate, Thursday morning the 16th, it’s tiny – we’re talking 0.3 ft and glassy, but there’s just no energy at all. The combined swell energy is a measly 1. That’s not surf, that’s a lake. We’re stuck in this pattern for days. Friday, Saturday, Sunday... nothing of consequence. You’ll see little bumps of 0.7 ft to 1 ft, but with periods shorter than 8 seconds, it’s just wind slop. The water temp is at 80°, which feels much warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least a paddle would be pleasant, but you won’t be riding anything.

We go through a whole week of this. Clean skies, light winds, but the ocean is just sleeping. From the 16th all the way through to the morning of Monday, July 27th, there’s basically nothing rideable. A full ten-day gap of absolutely no recommendations.

Now, Monday July 27th is where we finally see a pulse. Monday morning, the swell nudges up to 4 ft from the NW with a period of 7 seconds, and the combined energy hits 103. Conditions are glassy, which is beautiful, but it’s still just “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s a start.

The real standout, the only one worth circling on your calendar, is Monday afternoon, July 27th. This is the one. We get a solid 6 ft of swell out of the NW, period bumping to 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 493 – that’s moderate, but for this spot it’s the best we’ll see. The wind is a cross-offshore breeze from the WNW at 9 mph, keeping it clean. It’s going to be a proper size for Mini Capo. Now, keep in mind that 6 ft is starting to get a bit meaty, and this is an advanced reef break, so it’s not for the groms. But for the crew that knows the lineup, that afternoon session is the only window of quality all forecast.

Tuesday the 28th still has some leftover energy in the morning – 3 ft and glassy – but the energy drops off fast to 84, and by the afternoon the wind picks up and it’s back to nothing. After that, we fade right back into the flat spell for the rest of the month.

So there you have it. Almost two weeks of nothing, then one promising afternoon on the 27th. Get on it if you can, because the rest of this forecast is a write-off.

Rusty.

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