Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie, ‘cause old Rusty’s gonna walk you through the next couple weeks at Mini Capo. Gotta be straight with you right off the bat, there’s a serious flat spell on the menu before anything gets moving.

We’re looking at a pretty grim start. From Wednesday the 5th through the middle of next week, it’s mostly a desert out there. Sure, the mornings are glassy with light winds from time to time—like Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th have that clean, inviting look—but there’s no push. We’re talking waves in the 0.7 ft to 1 ft range coming from the WSW with a short period. The energy is pathetic, sitting around 7 in the combined swell energy department. It’s basically a lake with a pulse. There’s just nothing for a surfboard to work with.

There’s a little blip on Friday the 7th. Overnight some swell arrives from the NW, pushing the morning waves up to a meagre 3 ft with a 7-second period. The morning wind is light cross-off, which will keep it clean, but the energy is still weak (97). It’s surfable, sure, but “ordinary” is about the kindest word I can use. That’s a pop, not a swell. Then it fades straight back out again—Saturday the 8th through Tuesday the 12th is basically a write-off. Just a whole lot of nothing and lots of flat, glassy conditions. Bring a book.

Around Tuesday the 13th, we’re back to full-on flat. No waves at all. This is a long, long wait.

Now, looking further ahead, and I want to be clear this is a long-range promise, not a guarantee, things try to wake up again.

The first real sign of life comes on Wednesday the 19th. A fresh NW swell pushes the afternoon waves up to 4 ft with a 7-second period, and the energy jumps to 184. But the wind is the main character here, switching to a cross-onshore from the WSW. That’s poor surf quality, even if the size is coming up. It’s going to be choppy and messy. A far cry from what we need.

The highlight of this whole 16-day stretch? It’s safely Thursday the 20th. The swell data shows the most promise, with the morning pushing 6 ft from the NW with a 7-second period. The combined swell energy really kicks in here at a solid 393—that’s the strongest we’ve seen all forecast. It’s the standout, but it comes with caveats. The wind is still cross-onshore from the SE, which will put some texture on the surface. 6 ft at a spot like Mini Capo is expert territory—it’s a proper reef, and this size starts to get serious. It’s not a day for beginners. But for those who know the lineup, this is the best chance for some real power and push.

So there you have it. A whole lot of flat, a couple of nothing burgers, and one day—Thursday the 20th—that actually looks like it has some grunt to it, even if the wind isn’t ideal. It’s a long, dry wait. Keep your board waxed, polish your patience, because that’s the main muscle you’ll be using.

Later.

Rusty.

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