Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board. Let’s talk about what’s coming up for Mini Capo.

Right now, the water is sitting at a warm 79°, which is a solid 5° above the norm for this time of year. That’s noticeably warmer than usual, so you’ll be surfing in boardshorts or a spring suit at most.

Honestly, we’re in a bit of a flat spell to kick things off. From Saturday the 11th right through to the morning of Monday the 20th, the swell is tiny, and the energy is basically non-existent. We’re looking at a long stretch of knee-high or smaller mush, with combined energy values barely ticking over (0 to 20). There’s a glassy moment on Sunday morning the 12th with a light ENE breeze, but the swell is just 0.7ft – it’s a lake out there. Not worth paddling out for.

The first real flicker of hope comes on Monday morning the 20th. A 2ft NW swell with a 7-second period creeps in, and the wind is glassy from the SE. The energy is still low (47), but it’s a start. The afternoon picks up a touch to 3ft, but the wind goes cross-offshore from the WNW, so it’s likely a bit bumpy. Not a standout, but if you’re itching, Monday morning is your best bet in this quiet period.

Things start to look a little more promising by Tuesday the 22nd. The morning shows a 3ft NW swell with a 7-second period, and a light NW cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy climbs to 78, and the conditions are described as surfable. It’s not epic, but it’s a solid step up from the previous week. The afternoon stays clean but drops off a bit.

Now, let’s talk about the real standout. Saturday the 25th into Sunday the 26th. This is the one to circle on the calendar. On Saturday afternoon, the swell jumps to 7ft from the NW with an 8-second period, and the combined energy hits 507 – that’s moderate to strong energy. However, the wind is cross-shore from the WSW at 12 mph, so it’s going to be a bit messy with a cross-chop. This is advanced territory; that 7ft is too big for beginners. The conditions are marginal, but there’s power in the water.

Then, Sunday morning the 26th drops to 5ft from the NW (still solid), with a light cross-shore breeze from the east. The energy is 288. It’s still a bit on the big side, but cleaner than Saturday. Then Sunday afternoon is the pick of the whole run: 5ft NW swell, 8-second period, and a clean cross-offshore breeze from the NW at 9 mph. The combined energy is 226, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” This is the moment. The swell is a good size for experienced surfers, the wind is offshore, and the reef at Mini Capo should be working nicely. The only bummer is that this spot is listed as “inconsistent” and “rarely breaks,” so when it does come alive like this, you’ve got to be ready. Crowds are possible here, so expect a few others with the same idea.

To give you a heads-up: that 6ft to 7ft on Saturday the 25th is pushing into expert-only territory, especially with the cross-chop. The 5ft on Sunday the 26th is the sweet spot for solid, clean waves.

Alright, that’s the long and short of it. The first week is a write-off, but the second weekend has some promise.

Rusty.

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