Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me break it down for ya. Honestly, the next 16 days are looking flat to tiny for Mini Capo, so don't get your hopes up for any real waves. We're looking at a long stretch of poor conditions, with a bit of a tease right at the end.

Starting off, the forecast is grim. From Thursday July 9th right through to the end of the third week, we're talking about wave heights barely cracking 2 ft, and most of the time it's under 1 ft. The combined swell energy is weak, often in the single digits (19 to 30 range at best), so there's just no power in the water. That first week is a total washout for surfing.

There's a real gap here. For days on end, from the 9th all the way through to the 17th, there's nothing worth paddling out for. The swell is tiny, and the periods are short (mostly 5-7 seconds), meaning it's just wind chop or weak, dribbly lines. The morning of Saturday July 11th has a glassy, offshore wind, but with a combined energy of just 1, it's a millpond, not a surf break.

The first hint of something comes on Friday morning, July 17th. We see a bump to 2 ft of northwest swell with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 24, which is still weak, but it's the best we've got. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the NNW, so the surface will be clean. But honestly, 2 ft at a reef break like Mini Capo is barely a knee-high ripple. It's not a standout.

The only real window that might get a little interesting is right at the end of the outlook. On Thursday, July 23rd, we see a 2 ft northwest swell in the afternoon, with a clean cross-offshore wind. The combined energy is 18. Then on Friday, July 24th, the morning is tiny, but in the afternoon we get a fresh offshore wind from the NNW at 19 mph, with a 1 ft southwest swell. The period is a very short 2 seconds, so it's just wind swell, but the offshore wind is a major positive for cleaning it up. Still, the size is tiny.

So, the best on offer? That's a tough call. Maybe the late afternoon of Friday July 24th. The fresh offshore wind will make it glassy and clean, but the waves are only 1 ft. If you're desperate for a longboard glide, that's your window. But don't expect any power. The water temp is a touch warmer than normal at 77°, so at least you won't be cold waiting for a set.

Stay patient, my friend. The forecasts can change, but right now, it's a flat spell.

Rusty

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