Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk Mini Capo. This is a 16-day forecast that’s mostly a lesson in patience, but there’s a couple of windows that’ll fire up the stoke.

We kick off on Friday, August 21st, with a little 4ft west swell at 7 seconds. Water temp’s 83°, and it’s 5° warmer than usual for this time of year — feels like a hot tub. Wind’s a cross-off from the west at 9 mph, so it’s clean, but the combined energy is weak at 110. It’s surfable, but？
nothing special.

Saturday morning, August 22nd, drops to 3ft from the WSW, same 7-second period. The wind goes north, straight offshore at 9 mph — that’s glassy. The energy is still weak at 103, but that offshore wind will make it look better than the numbers suggest. Still, not a standout.

Then from Saturday afternoon all the way through Thursday, August 27th, it’s flat and weak. Swells below 2ft, periods under 7 seconds, combined energy mostly in the single digits or teens. The wind’s all over the place — cross, cross-on, sometimes onshore. That’s a solid 7-8 day stretch of nothin’ to ride.

Friday, August 28th, the morning shows a 3ft west swell at 6 seconds, energy at 73 — still weak. But the afternoon — now we’re talkin’. A 8ft northwest swell with a 9-second period, and the combined energy jumps to 839 (moderate to strong). The wind is cross-off from the northwest at 19 mph, so it’s clean but breezy. At over 8ft, this is expert territory only. The direction is northwest, not the reef’s preferred southwest, but it’ll still throw heavy, hollow waves. This is the big one — the standout if you’re brave enough.

Saturday, August 29th, the morning is the real gem. 6ft of northwest swell, 8-second period, combined energy 375 (moderate). The wind is from the north-northwest at 12 mph, offshore, strong and clean. This is a much friendlier size — still solid, but not scary. The reef will handle the moderate period well, and the offshore wind will keep it glassy. The afternoon wind picks up to 19 mph cross-off, and the quality drops. So the morning of the 29th is your best session.

After that, it’s a fade. Sunday the 30th down to 3ft, then back to tiny 1.0ft and 0.7ft through the end of the month and into early September. The combined energy drops to single digits. There’s a little bump on Saturday, September 5th, with 3ft from the northwest and a light offshore, but the energy is only 77 — weak. It’s surfable, but nothin’ to write home about.

So, bottom line: first week is small and weak with a big flat gap. The real action is Friday afternoon, August 28th for the big, expert-only stuff, and Saturday morning, August 29th for the best all-around session with clean, offshore winds and solid 6ft waves. After that, it’s back to waitin’.

Rusty.

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