Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Mini-Capo, and honestly, it’s a pretty flat and frustrating run for the next couple of weeks. There’s a whole lot of nothing in the immediate future, with a good stretch of days where there’s essentially no swell at all. We’re looking at a long, quiet spell from the 3rd through the 6th, with waves barely registering. It’s going to be a test of patience. The water’s sitting at 82°F, which is a couple of degrees warmer than you’d expect for this time of year—so that’s something, even if the surf ain’t.

Around the 7th, there’s a slight pulse of northwest windswell, pushing things up to about 3ft with a 7-second period (moderate combined energy of 75). The morning looks glassy with a light northerly, which is about the best you’ll get, but it’s still small and weak. That’s your best bet for a paddle, but don’t expect any fireworks.

Then we slide back into a dead zone for the 8th and 9th. The 10th brings a bit more of the same—3ft on the morning with light east winds, but it’s crossed-up and messy. The 11th has a clean morning with a light offshore, and similar energy (54), but again, it’s all northwest windswell, not exactly firing.

The middle of the month is pretty grim. The 12th through the 14th are almost completely flat, with energy readings mostly in single digits. There’s a slight bump on the 15th, a Saturday, when the morning shows 3ft of northwest swell with a 7-second period and glassy conditions—the energy jumps to 102, which is at least something. The afternoon sees it push to 4ft (energy 131) but the wind swings onshore, making it sloppy. Still, that Saturday morning might be the pick of a very average bunch.

After that, it’s back to nothing for the 16th and 17th. We’re talking about a couple of weeks of mostly poor, small surf, so if you’re desperate for a wave, keep your expectations rock-bottom. This reef needs a solid southwest groundswell to show its true colours, and that’s just not on the cards. Right now, it’s more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddling one on the bigger afternoons, given the cross-off winds and lack of proper swell.

So, to sum it up: there are no real standouts in this window. The 7th and the 15th mornings are the only times I’d even bother looking at the ocean, and even then, it’s a long paddle for a marginal wave. Hang tight, keep the board in the car, and maybe work on your tan.

Rusty.

Read more