Mini Capo Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks. The water’s sitting at 81°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a solid 5°F above the average. You’ll feel that difference.

It’s a slow start, though. There’s nothing worth paddling out for until Thursday the 10th. For the next few days, we’re looking at flat to tiny surf and wonky wind, so save your energy.

Thursday the 10th is the first real chance for a wave. The morning session at Mini Capo is the standout in this whole stretch. We’ve got a clean 5ft groundswell from the NW, with an 8-second period that’ll have some push. The wind is light offshore from the NNE, keeping things glassy. The combined swell energy sits at 289 (moderate). This is a reef break that’s famously inconsistent, so to see it firing like this is a treat. It’s exposed to the SW swell direction, and this NW swell is a good match. Keep in mind it’s an advanced wave, and crowds are possible. The afternoon gets gusty and cloudy with the wind picking up to 16 mph from the NNW, so the morning is the window.

Friday the 11th is smaller and only surfable – around 3ft of weak, short-period NW swell (7 seconds, energy at 106). The morning has glassy conditions under a 3 mph easterly, but it’s not going to be memorable.

Saturday the 12th sees a little more size in the morning with 4ft from the WNW, but the period is still short at 7 seconds. The wind is light offshore from the NE, so it’s clean. The energy nudges up to 120 (moderate). Ordinary but rideable.

Sunday morning the 13th repeats the theme: 4ft from the WNW, a 7-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the north (9 mph). Energy at 142. Conditions are clean, but don’t expect power.

Then we hit a dry spell. From Monday the 14th all the way through to the end of the week, it’s mostly flat or junk – no size, poor conditions, or just no swell at all. There’s a gap of about four or five days where you’re better off doing something else.

Friday the 18th morning shows some hope: a 4ft NW groundswell comes in with an 8-second period and energy at 223 (moderate). The wind is light cross from the east at 3 mph, but the wave comment flags it as marginal. The afternoon cleans up with a light cross-off breeze, and the swell holds at 3ft.

The real kicker is Tuesday the 22nd. The afternoon session looks solid: 7ft from the WNW, a 9-second period, and a light cross-off wind out of the WNW. The combined energy jumps to 699 (strong). The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” At this size, it’s advanced-only. The period isn’t super long, so it won’t be too walled up at this exposed reef spot. Given that this is over a week and a half away, keep an eye on it – it’s promising but not locked in.

Overall, the week of the 10th has the best call, and that Tuesday the 22nd afternoon could be a ripper if the forecasts hold.

Rusty.

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