Buggerru Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it. We're looking at a pretty grim stretch here for Buggerru. The ocean’s basically flat for the next few days, so don’t even bother waxing up until things start moving.

The first real sign of life shows up on Thursday the 10th. We get some northwest swell pushing in, around 6ft to 7ft, with moderate wave energy (457 to 637). But the wind is going to be junk – onshore and cross-onshore from the northwest – so it’s going to be a messy, choppy mess. Not worth your time.

Friday the 11th is when it starts to clean up. Swell drops a bit but stays in the 5ft to 6ft range, and the energy is still moderate (271 to 353). The morning is glassy with a little north wind, and the afternoon gets a cross-offshore breeze from the southwest. That's your first real window, and the waves should have some decent shape. It's a beach and pier setup, so it might be a bit sectiony, but with that NW swell and clean conditions, it's the standout of this first week.

The weekend is a write-off. Saturday the 12th has some small, short-period swell (4ft at 6 seconds), but it's weak and there's a chance of thunderstorms. Sunday is even smaller and more onshore. Just a flat, grovelly mess.

Then we get another pulse, but it's not for us. Monday the 18th brings a bigger, longer-period swell, building through the day. It gets up to 7ft by the afternoon with strong energy (698). The problem is the wind, it's howling from the northwest at 13 mph, making it cross-onshore and choppy. Not clean.

Now, the big one. The 19th of September is the real story. Overnight and into Saturday morning, a solid groundswell fills in. The swell tops out at a solid 10ft with a period of 9 seconds, and the energy reading is 1400 – that's strong, powerful stuff. But here's the catch: it's too big for Buggerru. The water is just going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-onshore too, so it's going to be a blown-out mess. Even though there's lots of juice, this is for experts only, and even then, I'd be cautious. It’s more interesting for the kite surfers than anyone on a prone board.

The swell backs off into Sunday the 20th, but the damage is done and the wind is still messy.

Looking further out, there's another significant swell incoming for the 21st and 22nd. Monday afternoon looks massive, with a 16ft northwest swell at 11 seconds. The energy value is insane at 6418. Again, just way too big for this spot. Tuesday the 22nd stays big, around 10ft, with a long 11-second period. There will be a moment on Tuesday morning with light winds, and it'll be glassy, but with that much size and period, this beach break is going to close out and be dangerous. This is promising for the horizon, but it's a long way out, so don't book your flights yet. The water is a very warm 81°F, which is about 5°F above average for this time of year, so you'll just need boardshorts.

Bottom line: Don't hold your breath for the next week. Friday the 11th is your best bet for a clean, manageable surf. The 19th through 22nd are big-power days, but they're for experts only if you can find a protected corner, but it looks like a washing machine from here.

Rusty

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