Buggerru Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Buggerru over the next couple of weeks. Straight up, I gotta say—this is a tough stretch. There’s a whole lot of nothing for the first week, and even when the swell shows up, the wind and size make it a tricky one for paddle surfing.

We start off with a long dry spell. From Friday the 4th right through to Monday the 9th, it’s flat as a pancake or close to it. Swell heights barely reach 3ft, periods are short and gutless, and the combined wave energy is tiny—54 (weak energy) at best on Friday morning, but the conditions are poor. Glassy mornings on Saturday and Sunday with 1ft NW windswell just don’t offer anything worth paddling for. You’d be better off staying home and waxing your board.

Things look like they might turn around Tuesday the 10th with a bit more size—8ft NW at 9 seconds on Thursday morning—but the wind is howling cross-onshore at 12 mph, making it a choppy mess. The energy climbs to 798 (moderate), but the surf quality is rated poor. That pattern holds through the next few days: plenty of NW swell coming through, but onshore winds from the NW and WNW keep it lumpy and unappealing. Wednesday the 16th actually has some serious power—10ft to 13ft NW swell, long period of 9–10 seconds, and clean offshore ESE and southerly winds. But here’s the kicker: the swell is simply too big for Buggerru. That’s an expert-only day, and even then, it’s pushing the limits. Combined energy is through the roof—1575 and 3034 (strong to very strong)—but for your average surfer, it’s a no-go.

If you’re an experienced paddler, the best window is Thursday the 17th morning. The swell drops to 7ft NW from a still-solid 8-second period, combined energy 519 (moderate to strong), and the wind is light offshore from the east at 6 mph. It’ll be clean, but still big enough that beginners should stay on the sand. Crowds at Buggerru are often a thing, but on a day like that, you might have it to yourself.

Water temperature is a steamy 82°F—that’s about 5°F warmer than normal for this time of year, which is very unusual. You won’t need a wetsuit, just a rashie.

Bottom line: for paddle surfing, this forecast is a tough watch. The first week is flat, the middle week is blown out, and the end is either too big or mediocre. Honestly, that strong cross-onshore wind and punchy swell over the 12th and 13th looks more interesting for kite surfing than a paddle session. Keep an eye on long-range forecasts—they can change—but right now, there’s not much to get excited about.

Rusty.

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