Caerhays Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Caerhays. I’ll be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one to swallow for a surfer.

For the next week and a half, the surf is pretty much a no-show. We’re looking at a long, drawn-out stretch of flat or near-flat conditions, with only tiny dribbles of swell. The first real glimmer of something surfable doesn’t pop up until Friday the 14th of August, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about.

The Big Picture

Overall, the wave energy is very weak. The combined swell energy rarely gets into double figures, and for most of the period it’s sitting in the single digits (e.g., 8, 4, 6) – that’s about as weak as it gets. The water temperature is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 66°.

The Long, Dry Spell (Now – 13th August)

From now right through to the 13th, it’s a write-off. We’re talking swell heights of barely 0.7ft to 1ft, with periods that are mostly short or, when they do get long (15 seconds on the 7th), the swell is just too tiny to do anything with. Winds are a mixed bag, but it doesn’t matter when there’s no waves. Don’t bother paddling out. This is a proper flat spell.

The One Day That Might Just Offer Something

Friday the 14th of August – this is your best bet, and it’s the only one I can point you towards. The morning session is the pick. We’ve got a small pulse of swell coming in from the W at 2ft, with a period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 60 – still weak, but a massive improvement on what we’ve seen. More importantly, the wind is glassy out of the NNW. That means absolutely clean conditions, which is a major positive for a break like this.

Caerhays is a fairly exposed spot, and it’s inconsistent, but with glassy wind, those tiny waves will look a lot better than they have any right to. The swell direction is from the W, which is not quite the optimum SSW, but the glassy wind makes up for a lot. The afternoon sees a cross-off wind, which is still workable, but the swell drops back to 2ft.

After the 14th, it’s back to tiny, poor conditions right through the rest of the forecast window. The 17th of August has a moment of absolute glass (0 mph wind from the W) with 1ft swell, but the energy is still weak (25). It’s a tease.

So there you have it. It’s going to be a lean couple of weeks. The 14th is the standout – a rare morning of glass and a tiny bump. If you’ve got a log and you’re desperate, that’s your window. Otherwise, it’s a good time to wax your board and wait.

Stay keen,
Rusty

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